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What are Bollinger Bands, and how to use them in crypto trading?

Bollinger Bands are volatility indicators utilizing price bands. Traders buy near the lower band and sell near the upper band.
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Bollinger Bands are volatility indicators utilizing price bands. Traders buy near the lower band and sell near the upper band.

A technical analysis tool called Bollinger Bands uses price volatility to provide probable entry and exit opportunities in trading. They are made up of two outer bands or lines and a centerline (the simple moving average for a 20-day period), which enlarges and contracts in response to changes in price. For thorough market analysis, they are frequently utilized in conjunction with other technical indicators.

Bollinger Bands, explained

Bollinger Bands were created by John Bollinger in the 1980s. They are a useful technical analysis tool used in cryptocurrency trading and other financial markets to evaluate price volatility, pinpoint probable reversal points, and make trading decisions.

The three bands that help construct a Bollinger Band include:

Upper band

The upper band is created by multiplying the middle band by the price’s standard deviation. A price’s volatility is quantified by the standard deviation. Traders often use a multiplier of 2 for the standard deviation (SD), but this can be changed depending on the state of the market and personal preferences.

Middle band (SMA)

The middle band typically represents the price of the asset over a given period as a simple moving average (SMA). It serves as the axis and depicts the average price of the cryptocurrency within the selected time frame.

Lower band

From the middle band, a multiple of the standard deviation is subtracted to determine the lower band.

The purpose of Bollinger Bands in cryptocurrency trading

In cryptocurrency trading, Bollinger Bands serve as a crucial technical analysis technique that allows traders to:

Assess price volatility

Traders can assess the degree of price volatility in the cryptocurrency market using Bollinger Bands. When the bands widen, there may be trading possibilities because it suggests higher volatility. On the other hand, a contraction of the bands denotes less volatility and the potential for price consolidation or trend reversals.

Identify overbought and oversold conditions

Bollinger Bands are used to detect possible overbought and oversold scenarios, helping traders identify them. A potential sell opportunity arises when the price reaches or exceeds the upper band, which is a sign that the price is overbought. On the other hand, if the price reaches or drops beneath the lower band, it can be considered oversold, indicating a potential purchase opportunity.

Determine trend direction

Traders may use Bollinger Bands to ascertain the prevailing trend direction. The price may indicate an uptrend if it constantly moves along the top band. On the other hand, if it frequently touches or remains close to the lower band, it can be a sign of a downtrend.

Generate reverse signals

Bollinger Bands can be used to create reversal signals, which are indicators of possible trend reversals. For instance, a possible reversal from an overextended condition may be indicated when the price moves outside the bands and then reenters (below the lower band for a downtrend or above the upper band for an uptrend).

How are Bollinger Bands constructed?

The simple moving average and standard deviation are the two basic building blocks of Bollinger Bands and are used in their construction. These bands offer insightful information on price volatility and possible trading opportunities in the cryptocurrency markets.

Here’s a step-by-step guide to constructing Bollinger Bands:

Step one: Calculate the SMA

Depending on their trading technique, traders choose a particular time frame for analysis, such as daily, hourly or another timeframe. For the selected time frame, previous closing prices for the cryptocurrency under examination are gathered. Since it indicates the last traded price at the conclusion of each time period, the closing price is frequently employed.

By adding up the closing prices for the chosen time period and dividing the total by the number of data points, the SMA is calculated. For instance, if traders were examining a cryptocurrency’s daily closing prices over a 20-day period, they would add up the closing prices from the previous 20 days, divide by 20, and then find the SMA for that day.

Step two: Calculate the SD

Traders determine the standard deviation of the closing prices during the same time period after computing the SMA. The standard deviation, which is crucial for assessing price volatility in cryptocurrency markets, quantifies the dispersion or variability of prices from the SMA.

Step three: Construct the upper and lower Bollinger Bands

The higher Bollinger Band is created by multiplying the SMA by the standard deviation. A typical multiplier is 2, although (as mentioned) this can be changed depending on the preferences of the traders and the state of the market. The same multiple of the SD is subtracted from the SMA to arrive at the lower Bollinger Band.

Step four: Plotting the Bollinger Bands on a price chart

Traders can plot the SMA, standard deviation, upper Bollinger Band and lower Bollinger Band on a price chart after calculating them. The centerline of the Bollinger Bands and the SMA is represented by the middle line. Plotting the upper and lower bands above and below the SMA creates a channel that encircles the price chart.

Step five: Interpretation

To understand how to use Bollinger Bands to trade cryptocurrencies, it is vital to interpret the price signals. For instance, when the price reaches or swings outside the upper band, it may signal an overbought condition and an opportunity to sell.

On the other hand, if the price touches or swings outside the lower band, it can be a sign that the market is oversold, presenting a potential buying opportunity. The bands’ breadth provides information on market volatility; broader bands denote higher volatility, while narrower bands denote lesser volatility.

Crypto trading strategies with Bollinger Bands

Various crypto trading strategies using Bollinger Bands used by traders include:

The Bollinger Band Squeeze strategy for crypto

The Bollinger Band Squeeze approach is based on the idea that times of low volatility in crypto prices (referred to as a “squeeze”) are frequently followed by periods of high volatility (referred to as an “expansion”). It works as follows:

  • Find the squeeze: Watch for times when the Bollinger Bands narrow and move in closer proximity, a sign of decreased price volatility.
  • Prepare for a breakout: After a squeeze, traders expect a strong price change. They don’t foresee the breakout’s direction, but they do get ready for it.
  • Entry points: Traders enter positions following price breakouts from Bollinger Bands (above upper band for up, below lower band for down), often using additional confirmation indicators, such as volume.
  • Stop-loss and take-profit: Implement stop-loss orders to limit potential losses if the breakout fails to hold and set take-profit levels according to one’s trading strategy.

Bollinger Bands for setting entry and exit points in crypto trades

When trading cryptocurrencies, whether for short-term investments or day trading, Bollinger Bands can be utilized to find the best entry and exit points.

Entry points

When the price reaches or breaks below the lower Bollinger Band, indicating an oversold scenario, traders might seek buy signals. In contrast, they view overbought conditions as sell signals when the price reaches or exceeds the upper Bollinger Band. However, it could be necessary to do more technical investigation and validation.

Exit points

Bollinger Bands can be used by traders to determine when to close out a position. For instance, it may be an indication to take profits if traders are long on a cryptocurrency, and the price is approaching the upper band. In contrast, it might be time to close out the trade if they are short, and the price is getting close to the lower band.

Combining Bollinger Bands with other trading indicators

Bollinger Bands are frequently used by traders together with other indicators to complement their trading strategies.

Bollinger Bands and RSI

Combining Bollinger Bands and the relative strength index (RSI) might aid traders in spotting probable reversals. A probable slump may be indicated, for instance, if the price is nearing the upper Bollinger Band and the RSI shows overbought circumstances.

Volume analysis

Bollinger Bands and analysis of trading volume can be used to corroborate price fluctuations. An increase in volume during a Bollinger Band breakout might strengthen the signal’s validity.

Bollinger Bands and moving averages

Moving averages are used in combination with Bollinger Bands by traders to add more context to trend analysis. Bollinger Bands and a moving average crossover approach, for instance, can support the confirmation of trend changes.

Limitations of Bollinger Bands for crypto traders

Bollinger Bands are a useful tool for cryptocurrency traders, but they also have some drawbacks. Firstly, they might produce false signals during times of minimal volatility or in markets that are moving strongly, which could result in losses. Secondly, traders must utilize other indicators or analysis techniques to confirm trend direction since they do not provide directional information on their own.

The efficacy of Bollinger Bands might also vary across different cryptocurrencies and timeframes. Additionally, unexpected market news or occurrences may result in price gaps that aren’t necessarily reflected in the bands, which may catch traders off guard.

Risk management strategies when using Bollinger Bands

As with any technical indicator, Bollinger Bands must be used by cryptocurrency traders in conjunction with thorough risk management and analysis. To reduce possible losses in the event that transactions go against them, traders should set up explicit stop-loss orders.

Position sizing is also essential; to avoid overexposure, traders should also allocate a certain amount of their cash to each trade. Moreover, risk can be reduced by diversifying among different cryptocurrencies and limiting the percentage of one’s entire capital that can be lost in a single trade.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

Finally, Bollinger Bands should always be used in conjunction with other indicators for confirmation, as well as larger market patterns. Long-term success with Bollinger Bands depends on maintaining discipline and following a clear risk management strategy.

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Lido on Solana wind down ‘deemed a necessity’ after low fees, says staking firm

Unsustainable financials and low fees generated by Lido on Solana were two of the main reasons for the sunsetting.
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Unsustainable financials and low fees generated by Lido on Solana were two of the main reasons for the sunsetting.

Decentralized liquid staking protocol Lido Finance has announced a decision to cease operations on the Solana blockchain following a community vote in Lido’s decentralized autonomous organization.

The proposal to sunset Lido on Solana was first put forward by Lido’s peer-to-peer team on Sept. 5, citing unsustainable financials and low fees generated by Lido on Solana. Voting commenced on Sept. 29 and finished a week later on Oct. 6.

“After extensive DAO forum discussion followed by community vote, the sunsetting of the Lido on Solana protocol was approved by Lido token holders and the process will begin shortly,” Lido explained in an Oct. 16 post.

Lido will not be accepting staking requests as of Oct. 16. Voluntary node operator off-boarding will begin on Nov. 17 and Lido users will need to unstake on Solana’s frontend by Feb. 4.

“After this date, unstaking will need to be done using the CLI,” Lido added.

The earlier proposal saw Lido seeking $20,000 per month from Lido DAO to support technical maintenance efforts involved with sunsetting operations on Solana over the next five months.

Lido’s statement on terminating services on Solana. Source: Lido.fi

Lido’s P2P team has been working on the Lido on Solana project since acquiring it in March 2022 from Chorus One.

Since the takeover, the P2P team has invested about $700,000 into Lido on Solana and made $220,000 in revenue, resulting in a net loss of $484,000, according to the mediakov, the author of the proposal.

The alternative in the Sept. 5 proposal was to provide more funding to Solana from Lido DAO — however 65 million (92.7%) of the 70.1 million LDO tokens (voted by token holders) were in favor of sunsetting operations on Solana instead, according to open-source voting platform Snapshot.

Lido explained the decision was a difficult but necessary one to make:

“Whilst this decision was difficult in the face of numerous strong relationships across the Solana ecosystem, it was deemed a necessity for the continued success of the broader Lido protocol ecosystem.”

Lido confirmed that staked-Solana (stSOL) token holders will continue to receive network rewards throughout the sunsetting process.

Related: Lido Finance discloses 20 slashing events due to validator config issues

Lido’s staking services are now only supported on Ethereum and Polygon, where $14 billion and $80 million are staked, respectively, according to Lido’s website.

Lido launched on Solana on Sept. 8, 2021, when SOL was priced at $189 — an 87% fall from its current price of $24, according to CoinGecko.

Despite the news, SOL is up 8.6% over the last 24 hours.

SOL’s price movements over the last seven days. Source: CoinGecko

Magazine: DeFi Dad, Hall of Flame: Ethereum is ‘woefully undervalued’ but growing more powerful

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Solana wind down ‘deemed a necessity’ after low fees, says Lido Finance

Unsustainable financials and low fees generated by Lido on Solana were two of the main reasons for the sunsetting.
Decentralized liquid…

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on

Unsustainable financials and low fees generated by Lido on Solana were two of the main reasons for the sunsetting.

Decentralized liquid staking protocol Lido Finance has announced a decision to cease operations on the Solana blockchain following a community vote in Lido’s decentralized autonomous organization.

The proposal to sunset Lido on Solana was first put forward by Lido’s peer-to-peer team on Sept. 5, citing unsustainable financials and low fees generated by Lido on Solana. Voting commenced on Sept. 29 and finished a week later on Oct. 6.

“After extensive DAO forum discussion followed by community vote, the sunsetting of the Lido on Solana protocol was approved by Lido token holders and the process will begin shortly,” Lido explained in an Oct. 16 post.

Lido will not be accepting staking requests as of Oct. 16. Voluntary node operator off-boarding will begin on Nov. 17 and Lido users will need to unstake on Solana’s frontend by Feb. 4.

“After this date, unstaking will need to be done using the CLI,” Lido added.

The earlier proposal saw Lido seeking $20,000 per month from Lido DAO to support technical maintenance efforts involved with sunsetting operations on Solana over the next five months.

Lido’s statement on terminating services on Solana. Source: Lido.fi

Lido’s P2P team has been working on the Lido on Solana project since acquiring it in March 2022 from Chorus One.

Since the takeover, the P2P team has invested about $700,000 into Lido on Solana and made $220,000 in revenue, resulting in a net loss of $484,000, according to the mediakov, the author of the proposal.

The alternative in the Sept. 5 proposal was to provide more funding to Solana from Lido DAO — however 65 million (92.7%) of the 70.1 million LDO tokens (voted by token holders) were in favor of sunsetting operations on Solana instead, according to open-source voting platform Snapshot.

Lido explained the decision was a difficult but necessary one to make:

“Whilst this decision was difficult in the face of numerous strong relationships across the Solana ecosystem, it was deemed a necessity for the continued success of the broader Lido protocol ecosystem.”

Lido confirmed that staked-Solana (stSOL) token holders will continue to receive network rewards throughout the sunsetting process.

Related: Lido Finance discloses 20 slashing events due to validator config issues

Lido’s staking services are now only supported on Ethereum and Polygon, where $14 billion and $80 million are staked, respectively, according to Lido’s website.

Lido launched on Solana on Sept. 8, 2021, when SOL was priced at $189 — an 87% fall from its current price of $24, according to CoinGecko.

Despite the news, SOL is up 8.6% over the last 24 hours.

SOL’s price movements over the last seven days. Source: CoinGecko

Magazine: DeFi Dad, Hall of Flame: Ethereum is ‘woefully undervalued’ but growing more powerful

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Essential retailer files for bankruptcy, stores will close

A retail store chain relied on by millions of shoppers will close stores after filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy.

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Retail store chains that file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy can suffer from damaged vendor relationships that cause empty shelves, limited access to capital needed to pay landlords and wages, and a damaged reputation that keeps shoppers away. It can also cause store closures, leaving customers in the lurch.

For these reasons, filing for bankruptcy reorganization is a retailer’s last option. Nevertheless, bankruptcy has become increasingly common because of fierce competition from e-commerce stores like Amazon  (AMZN) - Get Free Report and big-box retailers like Walmart  (WMT) - Get Free Report and Costco Wholesale  (COST) - Get Free Report.

Shoppers can usually find the items they buy at those stores when retailers close because of bankruptcy. However, that task is more challenging when the retailer filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy sells essential items not readily available elsewhere.

Store closing sale announcement at a Bed Bath & Beyond indoor mall in northern Idaho. (Photo by: Don & Melinda Crawford/UCG/Universal Images Group via Getty Images)

UCG/Getty Images

Brick-and-mortar retailers face stiff competition.

Sears had 700 stores when it filed for bankruptcy in 2018. Nowadays, it operates fewer than 20 stores after reemerging from Chapter 11 bankruptcy in 2022.

Bed Bath & Beyond had over 1,500 stores in 2018, but less than 300 when it went bankrupt earlier this year.

Related: Bankruptcy could force this popular retailer to close 500 stores

The success of large brick-and-mortar stores like Walmart and Costco and e-commerce alternatives like Amazon are a big reason behind those failures.

Walmart’s annual revenue surged from over $450 billion to $611 billion over the past decade. Costco’s revenue has more than doubled to $242 billion, and Amazon’s sales have increased from $74 billion to over $500 billion.

Those sales have come at the expense of other retailers less able to compete on price and convenience due to impaired balance sheets, buying power, or both.

A mountain of debt takes its toll

Rite Aid  (RAD) - Get Free Report is the latest retailer to declare bankruptcy. It has similarly lost sales because of increasing competition from these larger competitors. 

Walmart is the fifth largest company, and Costco Wholesale is the 11th largest company ranked by prescription market share. Meanwhile, Amazon is pushing more deeply into pharmacy by offering online prescriptions.

Competition isn't the only reason why Rite Aid sought bankruptcy protection from creditors on Oct 15.

Rite Aid also filed for bankruptcy to insulate itself against a lawsuit that could cost it over one billion dollars to settle.

More bankruptcy:

The Department of Justice filed a civil suit against Rite Aid in March, alleging pharmacists “repeatedly filled prescriptions for controlled substances with obvious red flags" and that it "intentionally deleted internal notes about suspicious prescribers.”

The company was already struggling before the Department of Justice alleged it inappropriately filled opioid prescriptions, contributing to the opioid epidemic.

Revenue at the 2,300-store retail pharmacy chain slumped 6% from one year ago during the June quarter, despite millions of shoppers relying on it to fill prescriptions or buy everyday items, like aspirin, vitamins, and toothpaste, every week.

Slumping sales couldn't have happened at a worse time for the company. Its interest expense on over $3.3 billion in debt has soared 35% to $65 million per quarter because of rising interest rates. 

That extra burden, plus higher costs, increased theft, and goodwill write-downs on past acquisitions led to staggering losses exceeding $300 million in the quarter and full-year guidance for losses eclipsing $4.78 per share.

Those losses left Rite Aid with little wiggle room to negotiate a settlement with the Justice Department, given Walgreens Boots  (WBA) - Get Free Report and CVS Health  (CVS) - Get Free Report settled similar suits for $5.7 billion and $4.9 billion in the past year.

Rite Aid's decision to file for bankruptcy protection is based on restructuring plan negotiated with creditors that includes store closures.

“In connection with the court-supervised process, the Company will continue assessing its footprint and close additional underperforming stores. These efforts will further reduce the Company’s rent expense and are expected to strengthen its overall financial performance,” said Rite Aid in a statement announcing the bankruptcy news.

Rite Aid hasn't said which stores will close yet, but the Wall Street Journal previously reported the company could shutter up to 500 locations. 

Stores that don't close will remain in operation via a $3.45 billion debtor-in-possession financing agreement with lenders.

“Rite Aid has received a commitment for $3.45 billion in new financing from certain of its lenders. This financing is expected to provide sufficient liquidity to support the Company throughout this process,” according to the statement.

The bankruptcy filing follows the receipt of a non-compliance letter from the New York Stock Exchange on Oct. 4 due to its shares trading below $1 and its market cap being below $50 million. The company was given a short window of time to get shares back above those thresholds before being delisted, further pressuring management into its decision.

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