International
Oil demand
Oil demand


Oil demand is conditioned by the level of GDP. The COVID-19 recession is deeper and appears more persistent than the 2009 recession, GDP levels will not be back to pre-crisis levels before at least 2022/2023. This means that demand will remain subdued during this period.
Q2 2020 hedge fund letters, conferences and more
Efforts To Reduce The Depence On Oil
There are many efforts to reduce dependence on oil. This reflects an ecological effect as many people want to reduce their global carbon footprint. This means there are important developments underway in looking for alternative sources of energy. The current health crisis is probably a watershed moment. We have all witnessed improvements in efficiency related to many areas of alternative energy.
The focus on the two earlier points is seen around the car market. This market is changing rapidly. Consumers want cleaner cars, governments fund incentives to buy them and automakers have adapted their supply. On top of this in Europe there are initiatives around batteries to improve the capacity to capture energy.
There are also large investment on hydrogens. All this means that industrial companies, governments and consumers do not see their future through new developments depending on oil. This is a structural change.
The interesting point behind these two previous remarks is that western countries imagine that their long term growth process could progressively be less dependent on oil.
Challenges For Developing Countries
- Since the first oil shock we’ve seen large improvements in efficiency in the use of oil.
- Since the beginning of the twentieth century, growth has been dependent on the use of oil and the discovery of new reserves. This time maybe ending.
The challenge will probably be for developing countries where the dependence on oil is larger. Their demand will remain strong for the moment as it will be associated with an improvement in people lives. There is a lot to do here to change the growth process.
The last question is on the oïl producers’ strategy. For all the reasons developed above, demand will remain subdued in coming years. This means that the oil price will remain subdued. For many producers it will be a source of weakness as their budget is dependent on the level of the oil price. Many producers have calculated their budget on higher prices than those currently observed. This leads to large fiscal deficit and reduction in expenditures. This will have two consequences.
- Oil investment will be frozen in the short to medium term. This will limit production in the future, leading to higher prices. On this point, the rapid development of alternative energies may change this dynamic.
- I don’t believe in an OPEC cooperative strategy. In the past, when oil revenues are lower than expected, producers have the temptation to produce more leading to oversupply and lower prices. This is probably what we can expect in coming months as many producers (US, Russia) are still producing a lot This would be a source of a stronger growth momentum in developed countries.
Philippe Waechter,
ChiefEconomist,
Ostrum AM
The post Oil demand appeared first on ValueWalk.
International
Tesla rival Stellantis unveils its lowest price electric vehicles
The Big Three automaker unveils details on its low-priced electric vehicles that will be delivered over the next two years.

Electric vehicle manufacturers have realized that the prices of their cars are making it more difficult for many of them to compete against makers of lower-priced internal combustion engine vehicles.
Tesla saw its third quarter deliveries fall below market estimates, prompting Elon Musk's company in early October to lower the list price of the Model 3 from $40,240 to $38,990 and its industry leading seller Model Y has recently fallen from $47,740 to $43,990.
Related: Tesla Japanese rivals debut concept vehicles in latest challenge
Tesla top rival Ford already cut the price of its all-electric Mustang Mach-E by up to $4,000 in May and its F-150 Lightning by about $10,000 in July.
Stellantis revealing entry-level electric cars
Stellantis (STLA) - Get Free Report has been busy revealing low-priced entry-level electric vehicles that it plans to begin selling in 2024 to compete with French automaker Renault in Europe as well as Chinese EV companies. The company in August said it would unveil a second new entry-level Fiat-branded electric vehicle in July 2024 that will be priced less than €25,000 or about $27,390. The company, however, didn't say when the vehicle might be sold in the U.S.
The company said in June that it will deliver the new Citroën e-C3 electric car to Europe in early 2024. The Citroën e-C3 was expected to have a range of 186 miles on a charge and would be among lowest priced EVs on the market. Stellantis had already said it would bring Fiat's best-selling EV, the Fiat 500e, to the U.S. market in 2024 to compete against Tesla and the growing U.S. EV market.
Stellantis
Big Three automaker unveils its low-priced electric vehicles
Stellantis on Oct. 17 revealed its updated all-new, all-electric Citroën e-C3, which is its first European-designed, European-built B-segment, or subcompact, EV hatchback. The new vehicle is now estimated to have a 199-mile range, charging 20% to 80% of capacity in as little as 26 minutes. The EV accelerates 0 to 62 mph in 11 seconds with a provisional top speed of 84 mph for everyday driving and traffic in urban and suburban areas.
The company estimates that the vehicle will be priced below £23,000 ($27,900) in the UK. No word yet if the Citroën e-C3 will roll out in the U.S.
In 2025, Stellantis will offer a Citroën e-C3 with a 200 km- or 124-mile range and priced at €19,990 or $21,068, the company said. That price would be lower than any new EV sold in the U.S. today. General Motors (GM) - Get Free Report Chevy Bolt's lowest manufacturer suggest retail price is $26,500, while the 2024 Nissan (NSANY) - Get Free Report Leaf has a starting price of $28,140.
The new Citroën e-C3 will be available in three versions You, Plus and Max. The You version's standard equipment includes LED headlights, Citroën Advanced Comfort Suspension, Active Safety Brake, the new Citroën Head Up Display, ‘My Citroen Play with Smartphone Station’ for infotainment, electric door mirrors, auto lighting, rear parking radar, rear spoiler, cruise control, manual air conditioning, and six airbags.
Plus vehicles include 17-inch alloy wheels, Citroën’s two-tone paint with contrasting roof, decorative roof rails, front and rear skid plates, the 10.25-inch color touchscreen with smartphone mirroring, Citroën Advanced Comfort Seats, auto wipers, power-folding and heated door mirrors, leather-effect steering wheel, 60/40 folding second-row seat, and driver seat adjustment.
The premium Max version additionally has LED rear lights, rear privacy glass, enhanced seat textiles, automatic air conditioning, 3D navigation, wireless charging, rear camera, electrochrome rear-view mirror, and rear power windows.
european europe ukInternational
Putin, Xi In Beijing Pitch For ‘Alternative World Order’ As Biden Departs A Burning Middle East
Putin, Xi In Beijing Pitch For ‘Alternative World Order’ As Biden Departs A Burning Middle East
As a Rabobank note has highlighted, the main…

As a Rabobank note has highlighted, the main theme on display during Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin's Wednesday talks in Beijing was one of "common threats" bringing the two "dear friends" closer, according to a press readout. Observed Rabobank earlier in the day, "Meanwhile, as the Middle East rages and the West recoils, Xi Jinping welcomes Russia’s Putin and a host of Global South leaders, ex-India, to his Beijing Belt and Road Forum to talk about what an alternative world order might look like. The ‘global’ Western press mostly failed to even cover it."
Putin said at a media briefing following the meeting with his Chinese counterpart, "We discussed in detail the situation in the Middle East." He added: "I informed Chairman (Xi) about the situation that is developing on the Ukrainian track, also quite in detail." The Russian leader then emphasized:
"All these external factors are common threats, and they strengthen Russian-Chinese interaction."
CNN subsequently called it a "pitch for a new world order" at a moment crisis has gripped the Middle East.
Yet, almost simultaneously, Bloomberg reported that Biden is overseeing a fast unfolding disaster in the Middle East:
President Joe Biden’s 7.5-hour trip to Tel Aviv signaled full US backing for Israel but fell short on another key goal: winning over Arab leaders.
Amid growing signs the conflict may be spinning out of control, Biden made plain that the US will protect its ally, sending a clear message to rivals in the region like Iran to stay out of the fight. With one US aircraft carrier in the area and another on the way, Biden promised a new package of “unprecedented support.”
The Bloomberg headline aptly reads, "Biden’s Whirlwind Israel Trip Fails to Calm Fears of Wider Middle East Conflict." At this time, Lebanon, Jordan, and Egypt are on edge - with Western and Saudi embassies reducing staff and issuing travel advisories.
Meanwhile, related to Xi's Belt and Road (the purpose of the gathering in Beijing), Putin praised the potential for it to usher in a "fairer, multi-polar world" as Moscow and Beijing grow closer based on "deep friendship":
In his speech at the opening ceremony, Putin hailed Xi’s flagship foreign policy Belt and Road Initiative as “aiming to form a fairer, multi-polar world,” while touting his country’s deep alignment with China.
Russia and China share an “aspiration for equal and mutually beneficial cooperation,” which includes “respecting civilization diversity and the right of every state for their own development model” – he added, in an apparent push back against calls for authoritarian leaders to promote human rights and political freedoms at home.
Rather ominously, state media showed footage of Putin followed by officials carrying the Russian nuclear football around Beijing today.
— max seddon (@maxseddon) October 18, 2023
"There are certain suitcases without which no trip of Putin's is complete," Ria Novosti said https://t.co/B22AJQzRZ5 pic.twitter.com/IOX43drDFh
This is at a moment Putin is "wanted" by the International Criminal Court (ICC) and shunned and sanctioned by the West, while at the same time Global South countries are expressing growing anger at Israel's unrelenting bombing of the Gaza Strip, as the Palestinian death toll soars into the thousands.
Directly related to this, a Thursday UN Security Council resolution brought by Brazil and seeking a ceasefire in Gaza was shot down, given the US was the only "no" vote.
Also missed by the mainstream media was the following pro-China sentiment expressed by a top Palestinian official over a week ago:
China will soon lead the world, and it supports the “Palestinian position, whatever it may be,” according to Fatah’s Central Committee member Abbas Zaki.
In a public address that aired on Palestine TV on Sept. 29, Abbas Zaki called on the United States to “reconsider its stance” with regard to Israel or risk becoming irrelevant. The Israelis, he said, were “sons of bitches,” “murderers” and agents of instability, while the Palestinians are “messengers of peace.”
“I know that there is serious change in Europe and even in the United States,” said Zaki.
But, he added, “do not forget the emerging camp, which is on your side—the Chinese camp. China is going to lead the world, and it proclaims: ‘There can be no stability and progress without the liberation of Palestine, with East Jerusalem as its capital.'”
While Putin is in China, Lavrov has arrived in North Korea.
— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) October 18, 2023
Very telling visits and partnerships. pic.twitter.com/mT8l8DyD8Z
Putin too, has expressed more sympathies with the Palestinian side, days ago warning Israel of the "catastrophic" death toll its attacks on Gaza will result in. He has also held calls with Arab leaders, seeking to mediate peace and a possible two-state solution.

Covid-era alternative work solutions have come under fire as businesses increasingly deploy a carrot-and-stick approach to convincing employees to return to offices.
Technology titan Meta Platforms (META) - Get Free Report, which owns Facebook, threatened poor performance reviews if workers failed to attend offices three times weekly. JP Morgan Chase (JPM) - Get Free Report CEO Jamie Dimon recently suggested workers uncomfortable with returning to offices should look for employment elsewhere.
Workers don’t like the idea of giving up the flexibility afforded by remote work, but a recent survey shows that these workers may face an uphill battle if they hope to continue working from home.
Remote work loses its luster
Companies big and small rushed to offer flexible alternative work schedules like remote and hybrid work during Covid. Remote work quickly became a key benefit used to fill jobs created by those who took early retirement and newly created positions in response to demand growth fueled by easy-money policies.
Related: Facebook issues more tough-luck news to workers
Remote work initially appeared to be a win/win for companies and employees. It allowed businesses to source job candidates nationally rather than locally and sometimes save money by closing expensive offices. Meanwhile, workers could live in the suburbs rather than crowded cities and save money by eliminating expensive childcare costs.
Unfortunately, the love affair with remote work has soured over the past year.
Businesses, from technology to financial services, have rolled back remote work, citing a need for increased collaboration and greater productivity. Many companies have likely sought to reduce the number of remote workers as part of layoff plans or to fill otherwise vacant office spaces.
Businesses are winning the return-to-office battle
Worker surveys suggest employees prefer remote work. However, they’re losing the battle with employers demanding more office face time.
The Census Bureau’s latest Household Pulse Survey shows remote work has reached a new post-pandemic low, with declines seen in all 50 states, reports Bloomberg.
More Jobs:
- Amazon issues a hard-nosed warning to workers
- General Motors delivers hard-nosed message to UAW workers
- Wall Street bankers want to take away your favorite work perk
The survey showed that fewer than 26% of households include someone who works remotely at least one day weekly. That’s a significant drop-off from the high of 37% in 2021. A total of 31 states had remote work rates above 33% at the peak. Now, only seven states exceed that hurdle.
States with the highest percentages of remote workers are typically Democratic states, mainly on the east and west coasts. Middle America and the South boast some of the lowest rates of remote work.
There’s also a more significant push for a return to office (RTO) in major metro markets where office building valuations are tumbling because of empty offices. During its recent quarterly conference call, Goldman Sachs (GS) - Get Free Report told investors that it reduced valuations on office properties in its portfolio by 50%.
The impact of lower valuations on financial companies could contribute to the stricter return to office demands. Big banks like JP Morgan have been among the most vocal in demanding RTO, and they’re also heavily exposed to commercial real estate.
For instance, in addition to loans held on commercial properties, JP Morgan is building a new multibillion-dollar headquarters in New York City.
Get exclusive access to portfolio managers and proven investing strategies with Real Money Pro. Get started now.
real estate canada alberta-
International21 hours ago
Tesla rival Stellantis unveils its lowest price electric vehicles
-
Uncategorized23 hours ago
The GDP Outlook: Now and Near Future
-
International23 hours ago
US Troops In Iraq Under Fresh Drone Attacks After Iran Said “Time Is Up”
-
International22 hours ago
Survey delivers bleak news for remote workers
-
Uncategorized21 hours ago
Lightning Labs releases Taproot Assets alpha, bringing stablecoins to Bitcoin
-
Government23 hours ago
Top Republican Threatens To Subpoena DHS Secretary If Friday Deadline Missed
-
International23 hours ago
South Korea Kicks Off Weeklong Arms Fair As Global Threat Of Turmoil Increases
-
Government23 hours ago
Our Public Schools Are A National Disaster