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MCAN FINANCIAL GROUP ANNOUNCES Q1 2022 RESULTS AND DECLARES $0.36 REGULAR CASH DIVIDEND

MCAN FINANCIAL GROUP ANNOUNCES Q1 2022 RESULTS AND DECLARES $0.36 REGULAR CASH DIVIDEND
Canada NewsWire
TORONTO, May 9, 2022

TORONTO, May 9, 2022 /CNW/ – MCAN Mortgage Corporation d/b/a MCAN Financial Group (“MCAN”, the “Company” or “we”) (TSX: MKP…

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MCAN FINANCIAL GROUP ANNOUNCES Q1 2022 RESULTS AND DECLARES $0.36 REGULAR CASH DIVIDEND

Canada NewsWire

TORONTO, May 9, 2022 /CNW/ - MCAN Mortgage Corporation d/b/a MCAN Financial Group ("MCAN", the "Company" or "we") (TSX: MKP) reported strong net income of $15.5 million ($0.52 earnings per share) for the first quarter of 2022, a slight decrease from net income of $15.9 million ($0.64 earnings per share) in the first quarter of 2021.  Earnings per share for the first quarter of 2022 was impacted by our Rights Offering of almost 2.0 million units completed in December 2021, for which there has only been one quarter impact of the investment of those proceeds.  First quarter 2022 return on average shareholders' equity1 was 14.19% compared to 18.15% in the prior year. 

The Board of Directors declared a second quarter regular cash dividend of $0.36 per share to be paid June 30, 2022 to shareholders of record as of June 15, 2022. 

"Our first quarter results were solid and in line with our expectations, despite market conditions materially changing since this time last year due to the increasing interest rate environment, housing market challenges, inflation and geopolitical uncertainties.  We reached almost $4 billion in total assets at the end of the quarter and grew our corporate assets by 5%," said Karen Weaver, President and Chief Executive Officer. "We also unveiled a new brand identity whereby MCAN Mortgage Corporation is now doing business as MCAN Financial Group.  Our rebrand not only reflects the scope and breadth of all that we do, it also represents a new phase for MCAN - one defined by a continued focus on growth and ingenuity using our extensive real estate expertise and manifested by collaborative and fulfilling internal and external partnerships.  We invest in our most important asset - our people - and we are proud to have been recently recognized as a 2022 5-Star Mortgage Employer by Canadian Mortgage Professional.  We are also proud to have been certified as a Great Place to Work and in fact we recently ranked 13th overall on the 2022 list of Best WorkplacesTM (under 1000+ employees) in Canada."

Highlights

  • Corporate assets totalled $2.28 billion at March 31, 2022, a net increase of $118 million (5%) from December 31, 2021 driven by growth in all our major assets:
    • Uninsured residential mortgage originations totalled $120 million year to date 2022, an increase of $15 million (14%) from the same period in 2021.
    • Construction and commercial originations totalled $102 million year to date 2022, a decrease of $19 million (15%) from the same period in 2021.
    • Marketable securities totalled $67 million at March 31, 2022, a net increase of $4 million (7%) from December 31, 2021 including $7 million of REIT purchases, $4 million of REIT sales and $1 million of net fair value gains.
    • Non-marketable securities totalled $72 million at March 31, 2022, an increase of $7 million (10%) from December 31, 2021 with $45 million of remaining capital advances expected to fund over the next five years.
  • Securitized mortgages totalled $1.66 billion at March 31, 2022, an increase of $75 million (5%) from December 31, 2021 primarily due to originations and securitization volumes:
    • Insured residential mortgage originations totalled $181 million year to date 2022, a decrease of $29 million (14%) from the same period in 2021.
    • Insured residential mortgage securitizations totalled $137 million year to date 2022, a decrease of $91 million (40%) from the same period in 2021.

Financial Update

  • Net corporate mortgage spread income1 increased by $3.8 million in Q1 2022 compared to Q1 2021 due to a higher average corporate mortgage portfolio balance partially offset by a reduction in the spread of corporate mortgages over term deposit interest. The decrease in the spread of corporate mortgages over term deposit interest and expenses is due to a larger reduction in mortgage rates compared to term deposit rates. The decline in our mortgage rate is primarily due to continued market competition and appetite for variable rate mortgages which has kept rates compressed in our current portfolio mix.
  • Net securitized mortgage spread income1 decreased by $0.2 million in Q1 2022 compared to Q1 2021 due to a lower spread of securitized mortgages over liabilities partially offset by a higher average securitized mortgage portfolio balance from insured residential mortgage originations. We have seen spreads decline on securitizations mainly as a result of a decline in the spread of Government of Canada bond yields versus our mortgage rates. Government of Canada bond yields have risen significantly in Q1 2022 as we have entered a rising interest rate environment.
  • Allowance for credit losses on our corporate mortgage portfolio totalled $5.4 million at March 31, 2022, a net decrease of $1.3 million from December 31, 2021. The decrease was mainly due to improved economic forecasts as we recover from the economic effects of the COVID-19 pandemic partly offset by growth in our portfolio and increased uncertainty around inflation.
  • Equity income from MCAP Commercial LP ("MCAP") in Q1 2022 of $5.2 million, a decrease of $1.5 million from Q1 2021. This decrease was primarily due to competition in the mortgage origination space, which remained very strong in the first quarter of 2022 with low fixed rate mortgage spreads. Residential mortgage originations shifted significantly to variable rate mortgages in the quarter. This highly competitive mortgage origination space caused a decline in profitability quarter over quarter. This was partly offset by higher servicing and administration revenue from higher assets under management primarily related to its acquisition of Paradigm Quest Inc. in Q3 2021.
  • In Q1 2022, we recorded a $1.2 million net gain on securities compared to a $3.9 million net gain on securities in Q1 2021 as we began to see more recent volatility in REIT prices from current geopolitical conflicts and an inflationary environment compared to optimism in Q1 2021 around vaccine rollouts. During Q1 2022, one REIT in our portfolio had a mandatory corporate action resulting in privatization and as such we recognized a $1.8 million realized loss.
  • Return on average shareholders' equity1 was 14.19% in Q1 2022, a decrease from 18.15% in Q1 2021.

Credit Quality

  • The impaired corporate mortgage ratio1 was 0.03% at March 31, 2022 compared to 0.05% at December 31, 2021.
  • The impaired total mortgage ratio1 was 0.02% at March 31, 2022 compared to 0.03% at December 31, 2021.
  • Arrears total mortgage ratio1 was 0.40% at March 31, 2022 compared to 0.46% at December 31, 2021.
  • The average loan to value ratio of our uninsured residential mortgage portfolio based on an industry index of current real estate values was 55.5% at March 31, 2022 compared to 60.3% at December 31, 2021.

Capital

  • We issued $28.8 million in new common shares on March 31, 2022 for our 2022 first quarter special stock dividend to shareholders (with fractional shares paid in cash) at the weighted average trading price for the five days preceding the record date of $18.9326.
  • In 2021, we filed a Prospectus Supplement to our Base Shelf prospectus establishing an at-the-market equity program ("ATM Program") to issue up to $30 million common shares to the public from time to time over a 2 year period at the market prices prevailing at the time of sale. The volume and timing of distributions under the ATM Program will be determined at our sole discretion. During Q1 2022, we sold 24,300 common shares at a weighted average price of $17.76 for gross proceeds of $440,000 and net proceeds of $404,000 including $9,000 of commission paid to our agent and $27,000 of other share issuance costs under the ATM Program.
  • We issued $3.4 million in new common shares through the Dividend Reinvestment Program ("DRIP") in Q1 2022 compared to $2.9 million in new common shares in Q1 2021. The DRIP participation rate was 17% for the Q1 2022 dividend (Q1 2021 - 17%). The DRIP is a program that has historically provided MCAN with a reliable source of new capital and existing shareholders an opportunity to acquire additional shares at a discount to market value.
  • The income tax assets to capital ratio3 was 5.53 at March 31, 2022 compared to 5.29 at December 31, 2021.
  • The Common Equity Tier 1 ("CET 1") and Tier 1 Capital to risk-weighted assets ratios2 were 19.32% at March 31, 2022 compared to 20.26% at December 31, 2021. Total Capital to risk-weighted assets ratio2 was 19.57% at March 31, 2022 compared to 20.54% at December 31, 2021.
  • The leverage ratio2 was 8.96% at March 31, 2022 compared to 9.41% at December 31, 2021.

1 Considered to be a non-GAAP and other financial measure. For further details, refer to the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of this new release.  Non-GAAP and other financial measures and ratios used in this document are not defined terms under IFRS and, therefore, may not be comparable to similar terms used by other issuers.

2 These measures have been calculated in accordance with OSFI's Leverage Requirements and Capital Adequacy Requirements guidelines.  Effective March 31, 2020, the total capital ratio reflects the inclusion of stage 1 and stage 2 allowances on the Company's mortgage portfolio in Tier 2 capital. In accordance with OSFI's transitional arrangements for capital treatment of ECL issued March 27, 2020, a portion of stage 1 and stage 2 allowances that would otherwise be included in Tier 2 capital are included in CET 1 capital. The adjustment to CET 1 capital will be measured each quarter as the increase, if any, in stage 1 and stage 2 allowances compared to the corresponding allowances at December 31, 2019. The increase, if any, is subject to a scaling factor that will decrease over time and was 70% in fiscal 2020, 50% in fiscal 2021 and is set at 25% in fiscal 2022.

3 Tax balances are calculated in accordance with the Tax Act.

 

Annual and Special Meeting of Shareholders

The Company's virtual Annual and Special Meeting of Shareholders will be held at 4:30pm (Toronto time) on May 10, 2022 via live video webcast at https://web.lumiagm.com/460905079, meeting ID number 460-905-079 using the password: mcan2022.

Further Information

Complete copies of the Company's 2022 First Quarter Report will be filed on the System for Electronic Document Analysis and Retrieval ("SEDAR") at www.sedar.com and on the Company's website at www.mcanmortgage.com.

For our Outlook, refer to the "Outlook" section of the 2022 First Quarter Report.

MCAN is a public company listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange under the symbol MKP and is a reporting issuer in all provinces and territories in Canada.  MCAN also qualifies as a mortgage investment corporation ("MIC") under the Income Tax Act (Canada) (the "Tax Act"). 

The Company's primary objective is to generate a reliable stream of income by investing in a diversified portfolio of Canadian mortgages, including residential, residential construction, non-residential construction and commercial loans, as well as other types of securities, loans and real estate investments. MCAN employs leverage by issuing term deposits that are eligible for Canada Deposit Insurance Corporation deposit insurance that are sourced through a network of independent financial agents. We manage our capital and asset balances based on the regulations and limits of both the Tax Act and OSFI.

As a MIC, we are entitled to deduct the dividends that we pay to shareholders from our taxable income.  Regular dividends are treated as interest income to shareholders for income tax purposes.  We are also able to pay capital gains dividends, which would be treated as capital gains to shareholders for income tax purposes. Dividends paid to foreign investors may be subject to withholding taxes.  To meet the MIC criteria, 67% of our non-consolidated assets measured on a tax basis are required to be held in cash or cash equivalents and residential mortgages.

Our MCAN Home division operates through MCAN's wholly owned subsidiary, XMC Mortgage Corporation, which has legally changed its name effective April 1, 2022, to MCAN Home Mortgage Corporation. 

For how to enroll in the DRIP, please refer to the Management Information Circular dated March 11, 2022 or visit our website at www.mcanfinancial.com.  Under the DRIP, dividends paid to shareholders are automatically reinvested in common shares issued out of treasury at the weighted average trading price for the five days preceding such issue less a discount of 2%.

Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures

This news release references a number of non-GAAP and other financial measures and ratios to assess our performance such as return on average shareholders' equity, net corporate mortgage spread income, net securitized mortgage spread income, impaired corporate mortgage ratio, impaired total mortgage ratio, and arrears total mortgage ratio.  These measures are not calculated in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards ("IFRS"), are not defined by IFRS and do not have standardized meanings that would ensure consistency and comparability between companies using these measures.  These metrics are considered to be non-GAAP and other financial measures and are incorporated by reference and defined in the "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" section of our 2022 First Quarter MD&A available on SEDAR at www.sedar.com. Below are reconciliations for our non-GAAP financial measures included in this news release using the most directly comparable IFRS financial measures.

Net Corporate Mortgage Spread Income 

Non-GAAP financial measure that is an indicator of net interest profitability of income-earning assets less cost of funding for our corporate mortgage portfolio.  It is calculated as the difference between corporate mortgage interest and term deposit interest and expenses.

(in thousands)



Change

For the Quarters Ended March 31

2022

2021

($)

    Mortgage interest - corporate assets

$     20,508

$     15,796


    Term deposit interest and expenses

8,518

7,556


Net Corporate Mortgage Spread Income

$     11,990

$       8,240

$       3,750

 

Net Securitized Mortgage Spread Income

Non-GAAP financial measure that is an indicator of net interest profitability of income-earning securitization assets less cost of securitization liabilities for our securitized mortgage portfolio.  It is calculated as the difference between securitized mortgage interest and interest on financial liabilities from securitization. 

(in thousands)



Change

For the Quarters Ended March 31

2022

2021

($)

    Mortgage interest - securitized assets

$       7,257

$       6,632


    Interest on financial liabilities from securitization

5,249

4,426


Net Securitized Mortgage Spread Income

$       2,008

$       2,206

$         (198)

 

A Caution About Forward-looking Information and Statements

This news release contains forward-looking information within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws.  All information contained in this news release, other than statements of current and historical fact, is forward-looking information. All of the forward-looking information in this news release is qualified by this cautionary note. Often, but not always, forward-looking information can be identified by the use of words such as "may," "believe," "will," "anticipate," "expect," "planned," "estimate," "project," "future," and variations of these or similar words or other expressions that are predictions of or indicate future events and trends and that do not relate to historical matters. Forward-looking information in this news release includes, among others, statements and assumptions with respect to:

  • the current business environment and outlook;
  • the impact of global health pandemics on the Canadian economy and globally, including the continuing impact of COVID-19;
  • possible or assumed future results;
  • our ability to create shareholder value;
  • our business goals and strategy;
  • the potential impact of new regulations and changes to existing regulations;
  • the stability of home prices;
  • the effect of challenging conditions on us;
  • the performance of our investments;
  • factors affecting our competitive position within the housing lending market;
  • international trade and geopolitical uncertainties and their impact on the Canadian economy, including the Russia/Ukraine conflict;
  • sufficiency of our access to capital resources;
  • the timing of the effect of interest rate changes on our cash flows; and
  • the declaration and payment of dividends.

Forward-looking information is not, and cannot be, a guarantee of future results or events. Forward-looking information reflects management's current beliefs and is based on information currently available to management. Forward-looking information is based on, among other things, opinions, assumptions, estimates and analyses that, while considered reasonable by us at the date the forward-looking information is provided, inherently are subject to significant risks, uncertainties, contingencies and other factors that may cause actual results and events to be materially different from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking information.

The material factors or assumptions that we identified and were applied by us in drawing conclusions or making forecasts or projections set out in the forward-looking information, include, but are not limited to:

  • our ability to successfully implement and realize on our business goals and strategy;
  • government regulation of our business and the cost to us of such regulation, including the impact of government actions related to COVID-19;
  • the economic and social impact, management, duration and potential worsening of the impact of COVID-19 or any other future pandemic;
  • factors and assumptions regarding interest rates;
  • housing sales and residential mortgage borrowing activities;
  • the effect of competition;
  • systems failure or cyber and security breaches;
  • the availability of funding and capital to meet our requirements;
  • investor appetite for securitization products;
  • the value of mortgage originations;
  • the expected spread between interest earned on mortgage portfolios and interest paid on deposits;
  • the relative uncertainty and volatility of real estate markets;
  • acceptance of our products in the marketplace;
  • the stage of the real estate cycle and the maturity phase of the mortgage market;
  • impact on housing demand from changing population demographics and immigration patterns;
  • our ability to forecast future changes to borrower credit and credit scores, loan to value ratios and other forward-looking factors used in assessing expected credit losses and rates of default;
  • availability of key personnel;
  • our operating cost structure;
  • the current tax regime; and
  • operations within, and market conditions relating to, our equity and other investments.

The COVID-19 pandemic has resulted in uncertainty relating to the Company's internal expectations, estimates, projections, assumptions and beliefs, including with respect to the Canadian economy, employment conditions, interest rates, levels of housing activity and household debt service levels. There can be no assurance that they will continue to be valid.  The duration, extent and severity of the impact the COVID-19 pandemic or any further variants or outbreaks, including measures to prevent their spread and related government actions adopted in response thereto, will have on our business continues to be uncertain and difficult to predict.

Reliance should not be placed on forward-looking information because it involves known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, which may cause actual results to differ materially from anticipated future results expressed or implied by such forward-looking information. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in the forward-looking information include, but are not limited to, the risks and uncertainties referred to in our Annual Information Form for the year ended December 31, 2021, our MD&A and our other public filings with the applicable Canadian regulatory authorities.

Subject to applicable securities law requirements, we undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking information after the date of this news release whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise or to explain any material difference between subsequent actual events and any forward-looking information.  However, any further disclosures made on related subjects in subsequent reports should be consulted.

SOURCE MCAN Mortgage Corporation

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Wendy’s teases new $3 offer for upcoming holiday

The Daylight Savings Time promotion slashes prices on breakfast.

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Daylight Savings Time, or the practice of advancing clocks an hour in the spring to maximize natural daylight, is a controversial practice because of the way it leaves many feeling off-sync and tired on the second Sunday in March when the change is made and one has one less hour to sleep in.

Despite annual "Abolish Daylight Savings Time" think pieces and online arguments that crop up with unwavering regularity, Daylight Savings in North America begins on March 10 this year.

Related: Coca-Cola has a new soda for Diet Coke fans

Tapping into some people's very vocal dislike of Daylight Savings Time, fast-food chain Wendy's  (WEN)  is launching a daylight savings promotion that is jokingly designed to make losing an hour of sleep less painful and encourage fans to order breakfast anyway.

Wendy's has recently made a big push to expand its breakfast menu.

Image source: Wendy's.

Promotion wants you to compensate for lost sleep with cheaper breakfast

As it is also meant to drive traffic to the Wendy's app, the promotion allows anyone who makes a purchase of $3 or more through the platform to get a free hot coffee, cold coffee or Frosty Cream Cold Brew.

More Food + Dining:

Available during the Wendy's breakfast hours of 6 a.m. and 10:30 a.m. (which, naturally, will feel even earlier due to Daylight Savings), the deal also allows customers to buy any of its breakfast sandwiches for $3. Items like the Sausage, Egg and Cheese Biscuit, Breakfast Baconator and Maple Bacon Chicken Croissant normally range in price between $4.50 and $7.

The choice of the latter is quite wide since, in the years following the pandemic, Wendy's has made a concerted effort to expand its breakfast menu with a range of new sandwiches with egg in them and sweet items such as the French Toast Sticks. The goal was both to stand out from competitors with a wider breakfast menu and increase traffic to its stores during early-morning hours.

Wendy's deal comes after controversy over 'dynamic pricing'

But last month, the chain known for the square shape of its burger patties ignited controversy after saying that it wanted to introduce "dynamic pricing" in which the cost of many of the items on its menu will vary depending on the time of day. In an earnings call, chief executive Kirk Tanner said that electronic billboards would allow restaurants to display various deals and promotions during slower times in the early morning and late at night.

Outcry was swift and Wendy's ended up walking back its plans with words that they were "misconstrued" as an intent to surge prices during its most popular periods.

While the company issued a statement saying that any changes were meant as "discounts and value offers" during quiet periods rather than raised prices during busy ones, the reputational damage was already done since many saw the clarification as another way to obfuscate its pricing model.

"We said these menuboards would give us more flexibility to change the display of featured items," Wendy's said in its statement. "This was misconstrued in some media reports as an intent to raise prices when demand is highest at our restaurants."

The Daylight Savings Time promotion, in turn, is also a way to demonstrate the kinds of deals Wendy's wants to promote in its stores without putting up full-sized advertising or posters for what is only relevant for a few days.

Related: Veteran fund manager picks favorite stocks for 2024

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Inside The Most Ridiculous Jobs Report In Recent History: Record 1.2 Million Immigrant Jobs Added In One Month

Inside The Most Ridiculous Jobs Report In Recent History: Record 1.2 Million Immigrant Jobs Added In One Month

Last month we though that the…

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Inside The Most Ridiculous Jobs Report In Recent History: Record 1.2 Million Immigrant Jobs Added In One Month

Last month we though that the January jobs report was the "most ridiculous in recent history" but, boy, were we wrong because this morning the Biden department of goalseeked propaganda (aka BLS) published the February jobs report, and holy crap was that something else. Even Goebbels would blush. 

What happened? Let's take a closer look.

On the surface, it was (almost) another blockbuster jobs report, certainly one which nobody expected, or rather just one bank out of 76 expected. Starting at the top, the BLS reported that in February the US unexpectedly added 275K jobs, with just one research analyst (from Dai-Ichi Research) expecting a higher number.

Some context: after last month's record 4-sigma beat, today's print was "only" 3 sigma higher than estimates. Needless to say, two multiple sigma beats in a row used to only happen in the USSR... and now in the US, apparently.

Before we go any further, a quick note on what last month we said was "the most ridiculous jobs report in recent history": it appears the BLS read our comments and decided to stop beclowing itself. It did that by slashing last month's ridiculous print by over a third, and revising what was originally reported as a massive 353K beat to just 229K,  a 124K revision, which was the biggest one-month negative revision in two years!

Of course, that does not mean that this month's jobs print won't be revised lower: it will be, and not just that month but every other month until the November election because that's the only tool left in the Biden admin's box: pretend the economic and jobs are strong, then revise them sharply lower the next month, something we pointed out first last summer and which has not failed to disappoint once.

To be fair, not every aspect of the jobs report was stellar (after all, the BLS had to give it some vague credibility). Take the unemployment rate, after flatlining between 3.4% and 3.8% for two years - and thus denying expectations from Sahm's Rule that a recession may have already started - in February the unemployment rate unexpectedly jumped to 3.9%, the highest since February 2022 (with Black unemployment spiking by 0.3% to 5.6%, an indicator which the Biden admin will quickly slam as widespread economic racism or something).

And then there were average hourly earnings, which after surging 0.6% MoM in January (since revised to 0.5%) and spooking markets that wage growth is so hot, the Fed will have no choice but to delay cuts, in February the number tumbled to just 0.1%, the lowest in two years...

... for one simple reason: last month's average wage surge had nothing to do with actual wages, and everything to do with the BLS estimate of hours worked (which is the denominator in the average wage calculation) which last month tumbled to just 34.1 (we were led to believe) the lowest since the covid pandemic...

... but has since been revised higher while the February print rose even more, to 34.3, hence why the latest average wage data was once again a product not of wages going up, but of how long Americans worked in any weekly period, in this case higher from 34.1 to 34.3, an increase which has a major impact on the average calculation.

While the above data points were examples of some latent weakness in the latest report, perhaps meant to give it a sheen of veracity, it was everything else in the report that was a problem starting with the BLS's latest choice of seasonal adjustments (after last month's wholesale revision), which have gone from merely laughable to full clownshow, as the following comparison between the monthly change in BLS and ADP payrolls shows. The trend is clear: the Biden admin numbers are now clearly rising even as the impartial ADP (which directly logs employment numbers at the company level and is far more accurate), shows an accelerating slowdown.

But it's more than just the Biden admin hanging its "success" on seasonal adjustments: when one digs deeper inside the jobs report, all sorts of ugly things emerge... such as the growing unprecedented divergence between the Establishment (payrolls) survey and much more accurate Household (actual employment) survey. To wit, while in January the BLS claims 275K payrolls were added, the Household survey found that the number of actually employed workers dropped for the third straight month (and 4 in the past 5), this time by 184K (from 161.152K to 160.968K).

This means that while the Payrolls series hits new all time highs every month since December 2020 (when according to the BLS the US had its last month of payrolls losses), the level of Employment has not budged in the past year. Worse, as shown in the chart below, such a gaping divergence has opened between the two series in the past 4 years, that the number of Employed workers would need to soar by 9 million (!) to catch up to what Payrolls claims is the employment situation.

There's more: shifting from a quantitative to a qualitative assessment, reveals just how ugly the composition of "new jobs" has been. Consider this: the BLS reports that in February 2024, the US had 132.9 million full-time jobs and 27.9 million part-time jobs. Well, that's great... until you look back one year and find that in February 2023 the US had 133.2 million full-time jobs, or more than it does one year later! And yes, all the job growth since then has been in part-time jobs, which have increased by 921K since February 2023 (from 27.020 million to 27.941 million).

Here is a summary of the labor composition in the past year: all the new jobs have been part-time jobs!

But wait there's even more, because now that the primary season is over and we enter the heart of election season and political talking points will be thrown around left and right, especially in the context of the immigration crisis created intentionally by the Biden administration which is hoping to import millions of new Democratic voters (maybe the US can hold the presidential election in Honduras or Guatemala, after all it is their citizens that will be illegally casting the key votes in November), what we find is that in February, the number of native-born workers tumbled again, sliding by a massive 560K to just 129.807 million. Add to this the December data, and we get a near-record 2.4 million plunge in native-born workers in just the past 3 months (only the covid crash was worse)!

The offset? A record 1.2 million foreign-born (read immigrants, both legal and illegal but mostly illegal) workers added in February!

Said otherwise, not only has all job creation in the past 6 years has been exclusively for foreign-born workers...

Source: St Louis Fed FRED Native Born and Foreign Born

... but there has been zero job-creation for native born workers since June 2018!

This is a huge issue - especially at a time of an illegal alien flood at the southwest border...

... and is about to become a huge political scandal, because once the inevitable recession finally hits, there will be millions of furious unemployed Americans demanding a more accurate explanation for what happened - i.e., the illegal immigration floodgates that were opened by the Biden admin.

Which is also why Biden's handlers will do everything in their power to insure there is no official recession before November... and why after the election is over, all economic hell will finally break loose. Until then, however, expect the jobs numbers to get even more ridiculous.

Tyler Durden Fri, 03/08/2024 - 13:30

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Shipping company files surprise Chapter 7 bankruptcy, liquidation

While demand for trucking has increased, so have costs and competition, which have forced a number of players to close.

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The U.S. economy is built on trucks.

As a nation we have relatively limited train assets, and while in recent years planes have played an expanded role in moving goods, trucks still represent the backbone of how everything — food, gasoline, commodities, and pretty much anything else — moves around the country.

Related: Fast-food chain closes more stores after Chapter 11 bankruptcy

"Trucks moved 61.1% of the tonnage and 64.9% of the value of these shipments. The average shipment by truck was 63 miles compared to an average of 640 miles by rail," according to the U.S. Bureau of Transportation Statistics 2023 numbers.

But running a trucking company has been tricky because the largest players have economies of scale that smaller operators don't. That puts any trucking company that's not a massive player very sensitive to increases in gas prices or drops in freight rates.

And that in turn has led a number of trucking companies, including Yellow Freight, the third-largest less-than-truckload operator; J.J. & Sons Logistics, Meadow Lark, and Boateng Logistics, to close while freight brokerage Convoy shut down in October.

Aside from Convoy, none of these brands are household names. but with the demand for trucking increasing, every company that goes out of business puts more pressure on those that remain, which contributes to increased prices.

Demand for trucking has continued to increase.

Image source: Shutterstock

Another freight company closes and plans to liquidate

Not every bankruptcy filing explains why a company has gone out of business. In the trucking industry, multiple recent Chapter 7 bankruptcies have been tied to lawsuits that pushed otherwise successful companies into insolvency.

In the case of TBL Logistics, a Virginia-based national freight company, its Feb. 29 bankruptcy filing in U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Western District of Virginia appears to be death by too much debt.

"In its filing, TBL Logistics listed its assets and liabilities as between $1 million and $10 million. The company stated that it has up to 49 creditors and maintains that no funds will be available for unsecured creditors once it pays administrative fees," Freightwaves reported.

The company's owners, Christopher and Melinda Bradner, did not respond to the website's request for comment.

Before it closed, TBL Logistics specialized in refrigerated and oversized loads. The company described its business on its website.

"TBL Logistics is a non-asset-based third-party logistics freight broker company providing reliable and efficient transportation solutions, management, and storage for businesses of all sizes. With our extensive network of carriers and industry expertise, we streamline the shipping process, ensuring your goods reach their destination safely and on time."

The world has a truck-driver shortage

The covid pandemic forced companies to consider their supply chain in ways they never had to before. Increased demand showed the weakness in the trucking industry and drew attention to how difficult life for truck drivers can be.

That was an issue HBO's John Oliver highlighted on his "Last Week Tonight" show in October 2022. In the episode, the host suggested that the U.S. would basically start to starve if the trucking industry shut down for three days.

"Sorry, three days, every produce department in America would go from a fully stocked market to an all-you-can-eat raccoon buffet," he said. "So it’s no wonder trucking’s a huge industry, with more than 3.5 million people in America working as drivers, from port truckers who bring goods off ships to railyards and warehouses, to long-haul truckers who move them across the country, to 'last-mile' drivers, who take care of local delivery." 

The show highlighted how many truck drivers face low pay, difficult working conditions and, in many cases, crushing debt.

"Hundreds of thousands of people become truck drivers every year. But hundreds of thousands also quit. Job turnover for truckers averages over 100%, and at some companies it’s as high as 300%, meaning they’re hiring three people for a single job over the course of a year. And when a field this important has a level of job satisfaction that low, it sure seems like there’s a huge problem," Oliver shared.

The truck-driver shortage is not just a U.S. problem; it's a global issue, according to IRU.org.

"IRU’s 2023 driver shortage report has found that over three million truck driver jobs are unfilled, or 7% of total positions, in 36 countries studied," the global transportation trade association reported. 

"With the huge gap between young and old drivers growing, it will get much worse over the next five years without significant action."

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