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8 Legitimate Retirement Fears & How To Overcome Your Real Money Fear

You are not alone if you habitually fear running out of funds during your retirement years. As much as 66% … Read more

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You are not alone if you habitually fear running out of funds during your retirement years. As much as 66% of US citizens are concerned about their finances running dry as they near their retirement age.

Monetary fears during your retirement are genuine. After all, everyone craves a financially secure future after working for decades! Around 50% of Americans fear unexpected health expenses during their retirement, while 21% are worried about early retirement.

Meticulous retirement planning is what you need to address these challenges. In this article, we have discussed eight legitimate retirement fears and also recommended effective guidelines to mitigate them.

Common Retirement Fears and How to Sort Them Out?

The thought of retirement often evokes a sensation of fear, and the reasons are quite natural. With no source of income or means to generate fresh revenue streams, you may feel cramped for funds! While money matters happen to be the biggest retirement fear, health issues and other woes continue to bother Americans. Let’s evaluate these common retirement fears and check out how you can overcome them.

1. Running Out of Savings

Do you know that around 40% of US citizens don’t even have $5,000 in their retirement savings accounts?

Miscalculations in your retirement savings often lead to your accumulations running dry. There’s no point denying that you fear outliving your savings. While these are rational fears and legitimate enough to spark panic, proper retirement planning holds the secret to saving adequately.

The solution

Planning your investments in annuities strategically ensures a steady flow of funds. Investing in annuities, you can warrant a consistent availability of paycheck after your retirement. Financial experts often go for QLACs (qualified longevity annuity contracts) to guarantee income later in their lives. This type of deferred annuity brings you much-needed mental peace as you save for the long term.

Experts also recommend segmenting the lifetime of a retiree into several time horizons. Accordingly, they create different investment portfolios to address the financial needs of each segment. Hence, they devise a clear plan to guarantee income through annuities.

Depending on your employment status, it’s wise to maximize the contributions to your 401(k), traditional IRA, or Roth IRA.

With a practical retirement plan in place, saving for your future wouldn’t be a distant dream anymore.

2. Unexpected Medical Expenses

Mounting healthcare and treatment costs might bother retirees, given that 70% of people will likely need long-term care services. As you grow older, experiencing everyday health issues is quite common. So, how well are you poised financially to mitigate this expensive proposition? An obvious line of defense against future medical costs is to stay prepared with the right type of health insurance policies.

The solution

The best way to plan for your long-term healthcare expenses is to maximize your contribution to your 401(k) plan. This way, you can save adequately to manage your long-term medical expenses. 

Besides, it’s wise to contribute to an HSA (health savings account). In the process, you can accumulate a dedicated pool of funds to manage long-term medical expenses during retirement. Contributing to an HSA also brings you some tax benefits

  • You can curtail your current tax payment since the contributions to HSA are made before tax.
  • The growth of your investments is deferred from tax.
  • So long as you use the amount for healthcare purposes, you can withdraw it free from tax.

If you are already in your 50s, long-term care coverage is worth considering. This would cover the cost of in-home care for nursing, which typical health insurance policies don’t cover.

3. Inflation

Inflation continues to be a pressing concern not only for retirees but for people of all age groups. With inflation refusing to dip below 6%, chances are high that it would erode your savings sooner than later. This directly reduces the purchasing power of retirees, considering that inflation will continue to rise over the next few decades.

Therefore, it’s wise to structure your savings portfolio for retirement, which can potentially outpace inflation. The secret lies in diversifying your assets in such a way that can mitigate the damaging impact of inflation.

The solution

It pays to invest in assets like real estate and commodities, which undergo a value appreciation during inflation. Considering the average inflation rate to be 6%, look out for assets or investment opportunities which can outperform inflation.

Government-backed treasury bonds can help you hedge against inflation. Besides, try to channel some funds into high-yielding savings accounts, stocks, and mutual funds. 

With long-term investment plans, you can also benefit from the compounding effect of interest. This way, retirees can battle inflation by strategically planning their wealth accumulation.

4. Reduced Social Security

Have you ever wondered what might happen if you are deprived of the promised social security during your retirement?

Well, in the first place, you shouldn’t consider social security to be a primary source of income during your retirement. The cash inflow you gain from social security can simply complement your existing income. It’s not meant to be a mainstream flow of funds as you plan a peaceful retirement.

The solution

With the political climate in the US volatile, fears of reduced social security are not impractical. The secret to strategizing your financial savings is to reduce your expenses and tap your home equity. Get your investments and taxes optimized way before you retire. Also, you may consider keeping a side hustle that should help you supplement your retirement income.

To make the most of your social security, consider applying for the same at a later stage of retirement. You may also consider working a few more years after 60 to accumulate enough funds for retirement.

5. Your Investments Wouldn’t be Sufficient

Well, you already know how fragile investment planning can be! The pandemic has already shown how stable stocks collapse and how such a catastrophe can lead to financially distressing periods. So, the amount you feel to be adequate for retirement now may not be sufficient later. A recession, pandemic, or other financial disaster can throw your plans out of the window.

Another worry that bothers retirees is how much they should retire with. While a million dollars was believed to be sufficient even a decade ago, the targeted amount is inching toward the two-million mark.

The solution

The opportunity of doing anything about the macroeconomic issues is limited. The best you can do is to draw a tactical line of defense against unexpected turn of events eating into your retirement savings. First, get a proper understanding of how you should allocate your assets. Choosing the right investment avenues will help you design a flawless portfolio.

For instance, if you are not into real estate, why not consider going for REITs? Also, consider your expense ratios from investments. The higher you pay to fund managers and fund expenses, the lower you would have at your disposal for investment. 

While some of these fees are unavoidable, it’s wise to go for ETFs or index funds at lower fees to align with your financial objectives. This way, you can save thousands of dollars throughout your journey toward retirement savings.

6. Supporting Adult Children

Nothing is predictable, and circumstances might see you supporting adult children financially even after your retirement. While children habitually grow up to be financially independent and look after their old parents, there are a few exceptions. 

Interestingly, a study reveals that 50% of US citizens end up sacrificing their retirement savings to support their kids financially. Being generous to your kids isn’t always intelligent when you consider your finances!

The solution

The best way to ensure mental peace during retirement is to plan your investments for kids strategically. With a dedicated pool of funds available to finance their education costs or help them establish themselves, you can proceed towards a peaceful retirement.

Here are some of the popular investment plans for children that can serve a wide plethora of purposes.

  • 529 plans
  • Roth IRA for children
  • Custodial accounts
  • Health Savings Account (HSA)
  • High-yield savings account

7. Early Retirement

Well, you might have plans to work late into your 60s. However, with volatility in the professional front and recession, people are being forced to accept early retirement. The lack of job satisfaction, health issues, or job loss can force you to accept early retirement.

Retiring early adversely impacts your pension payouts and social security benefits. Eventually, it can mess up your retirement plans if you aren’t strategic enough to balance your expenses.

The solution

The first thing to focus on is to refrain from outliving your assets in case of early retirement. Be careful while withdrawing your retirement savings.

Besides, ensure that you have multiple sources of income and not just the salary from the ongoing job. Even after retiring early, many Americans continue their businesses or capitalize on their real estate investments. The best solution is to have a well-conceptualized financial plan to help you negotiate your financial woes during retirement.

Financial experts also recommend a few strategic moves that can help you curtail your expenses and enable you to save more.

  • Take up a low-stress job or business for side income after retirement
  • Downsize your home or spend less as you near your retirement
  • Consider having a moderately aggressive investment portfolio

 8. Caring for Elderly Parents

Caring for your parents is a generous move, but it pays to weigh your abilities. Research conducted at Boston College reveals that around 10% to 12% of retired people still care for their elderly parents or relatives. On average, caregivers provide between 70 to 95 hours of care each month. This can consume around 35% of your healthcare budget. You can mitigate this substantial burden only through proper financial planning.

The solution

Pre-emptive medical expense planning is necessary to ensure that medical expenses for your parents or elderly relatives don’t mess up with your retirement savings. Besides, special medical insurance policies are available that reimburse the expenses for caregivers. Planning the late-life expenses for your family members or parents can ensure mental peace during your retirement.

Endnote

Well, you spend your entire life working for a better living. A peaceful and worry-free retirement is what you deserve. No one loves being stressed about finances during their retirement days. So, it pays to have a foolproof financial strategy in place. Even when the world turns upside down, you should be able to generate consistent funding throughout your retirement life.

Financial fear during retirement is natural; the best practice is to accept it head-on. Consider consulting a financial advisor to be on the right track with your retirement savings. 

FAQs

What is the right age to start saving for your retirement?

The earlier you start saving for your retirement, the better it should be. Try to start the wealth-building process from your mid-twenties if possible. This way, you would benefit from the compounding effect of interest that would help you grow your wealth portfolio.

What are some common retirement fears?

The shortage of funds during your retirement is the gravest financial fear. Besides, retirees seem concerned over rising medical bills, treatment costs, and inflation. Not saving sufficiently for their children also bothers retirees.

What is the biggest retirement risk?

Inflation and improper financial planning are the biggest retirement risks. Amidst market volatility, it pays to channel your funds intelligibly across different asset classes. This significantly helps in reducing retirement risks.

How to manage risk during retirement?

Having multiple sources of income is one of the most effective ways to reduce financial risks during retirement. Income from real estate, assets, stocks, commodities, dividend-yielding stocks, and mutual funds can also supplement your retirement savings.

How do I plan for my retirement?

Having well-defined and achievable long-term goals makes retirement planning easy. Considering the age when you start saving for retirement, put aside at least 15% of your monthly income for retirement funds. Also, consider market volatility, inflation, and other uncertainties while you plan for your future.

The post 8 Legitimate Retirement Fears & How to Overcome Your Real Money Fear appeared first on Due.

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February Employment Situation

By Paul Gomme and Peter Rupert The establishment data from the BLS showed a 275,000 increase in payroll employment for February, outpacing the 230,000…

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By Paul Gomme and Peter Rupert

The establishment data from the BLS showed a 275,000 increase in payroll employment for February, outpacing the 230,000 average over the previous 12 months. The payroll data for January and December were revised down by a total of 167,000. The private sector added 223,000 new jobs, the largest gain since May of last year.

Temporary help services employment continues a steep decline after a sharp post-pandemic rise.

Average hours of work increased from 34.2 to 34.3. The increase, along with the 223,000 private employment increase led to a hefty increase in total hours of 5.6% at an annualized rate, also the largest increase since May of last year.

The establishment report, once again, beat “expectations;” the WSJ survey of economists was 198,000. Other than the downward revisions, mentioned above, another bit of negative news was a smallish increase in wage growth, from $34.52 to $34.57.

The household survey shows that the labor force increased 150,000, a drop in employment of 184,000 and an increase in the number of unemployed persons of 334,000. The labor force participation rate held steady at 62.5, the employment to population ratio decreased from 60.2 to 60.1 and the unemployment rate increased from 3.66 to 3.86. Remember that the unemployment rate is the number of unemployed relative to the labor force (the number employed plus the number unemployed). Consequently, the unemployment rate can go up if the number of unemployed rises holding fixed the labor force, or if the labor force shrinks holding the number unemployed unchanged. An increase in the unemployment rate is not necessarily a bad thing: it may reflect a strong labor market drawing “marginally attached” individuals from outside the labor force. Indeed, there was a 96,000 decline in those workers.

Earlier in the week, the BLS announced JOLTS (Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey) data for January. There isn’t much to report here as the job openings changed little at 8.9 million, the number of hires and total separations were little changed at 5.7 million and 5.3 million, respectively.

As has been the case for the last couple of years, the number of job openings remains higher than the number of unemployed persons.

Also earlier in the week the BLS announced that productivity increased 3.2% in the 4th quarter with output rising 3.5% and hours of work rising 0.3%.

The bottom line is that the labor market continues its surprisingly (to some) strong performance, once again proving stronger than many had expected. This strength makes it difficult to justify any interest rate cuts soon, particularly given the recent inflation spike.

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Mortgage rates fall as labor market normalizes

Jobless claims show an expanding economy. We will only be in a recession once jobless claims exceed 323,000 on a four-week moving average.

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Everyone was waiting to see if this week’s jobs report would send mortgage rates higher, which is what happened last month. Instead, the 10-year yield had a muted response after the headline number beat estimates, but we have negative job revisions from previous months. The Federal Reserve’s fear of wage growth spiraling out of control hasn’t materialized for over two years now and the unemployment rate ticked up to 3.9%. For now, we can say the labor market isn’t tight anymore, but it’s also not breaking.

The key labor data line in this expansion is the weekly jobless claims report. Jobless claims show an expanding economy that has not lost jobs yet. We will only be in a recession once jobless claims exceed 323,000 on a four-week moving average.

From the Fed: In the week ended March 2, initial claims for unemployment insurance benefits were flat, at 217,000. The four-week moving average declined slightly by 750, to 212,250


Below is an explanation of how we got here with the labor market, which all started during COVID-19.

1. I wrote the COVID-19 recovery model on April 7, 2020, and retired it on Dec. 9, 2020. By that time, the upfront recovery phase was done, and I needed to model out when we would get the jobs lost back.

2. Early in the labor market recovery, when we saw weaker job reports, I doubled and tripled down on my assertion that job openings would get to 10 million in this recovery. Job openings rose as high as to 12 million and are currently over 9 million. Even with the massive miss on a job report in May 2021, I didn’t waver.

Currently, the jobs openings, quit percentage and hires data are below pre-COVID-19 levels, which means the labor market isn’t as tight as it once was, and this is why the employment cost index has been slowing data to move along the quits percentage.  

2-US_Job_Quits_Rate-1-2

3. I wrote that we should get back all the jobs lost to COVID-19 by September of 2022. At the time this would be a speedy labor market recovery, and it happened on schedule, too

Total employment data

4. This is the key one for right now: If COVID-19 hadn’t happened, we would have between 157 million and 159 million jobs today, which would have been in line with the job growth rate in February 2020. Today, we are at 157,808,000. This is important because job growth should be cooling down now. We are more in line with where the labor market should be when averaging 140K-165K monthly. So for now, the fact that we aren’t trending between 140K-165K means we still have a bit more recovery kick left before we get down to those levels. 




From BLS: Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 275,000 in February, and the unemployment rate increased to 3.9 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job gains occurred in health care, in government, in food services and drinking places, in social assistance, and in transportation and warehousing.

Here are the jobs that were created and lost in the previous month:

IMG_5092

In this jobs report, the unemployment rate for education levels looks like this:

  • Less than a high school diploma: 6.1%
  • High school graduate and no college: 4.2%
  • Some college or associate degree: 3.1%
  • Bachelor’s degree or higher: 2.2%
IMG_5093_320f22

Today’s report has continued the trend of the labor data beating my expectations, only because I am looking for the jobs data to slow down to a level of 140K-165K, which hasn’t happened yet. I wouldn’t categorize the labor market as being tight anymore because of the quits ratio and the hires data in the job openings report. This also shows itself in the employment cost index as well. These are key data lines for the Fed and the reason we are going to see three rate cuts this year.

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Inside The Most Ridiculous Jobs Report In History: Record 1.2 Million Immigrant Jobs Added In One Month

Inside The Most Ridiculous Jobs Report In History: Record 1.2 Million Immigrant Jobs Added In One Month

Last month we though that the January…

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Inside The Most Ridiculous Jobs Report In History: Record 1.2 Million Immigrant Jobs Added In One Month

Last month we though that the January jobs report was the "most ridiculous in recent history" but, boy, were we wrong because this morning the Biden department of goalseeked propaganda (aka BLS) published the February jobs report, and holy crap was that something else. Even Goebbels would blush. 

What happened? Let's take a closer look.

On the surface, it was (almost) another blockbuster jobs report, certainly one which nobody expected, or rather just one bank out of 76 expected. Starting at the top, the BLS reported that in February the US unexpectedly added 275K jobs, with just one research analyst (from Dai-Ichi Research) expecting a higher number.

Some context: after last month's record 4-sigma beat, today's print was "only" 3 sigma higher than estimates. Needless to say, two multiple sigma beats in a row used to only happen in the USSR... and now in the US, apparently.

Before we go any further, a quick note on what last month we said was "the most ridiculous jobs report in recent history": it appears the BLS read our comments and decided to stop beclowing itself. It did that by slashing last month's ridiculous print by over a third, and revising what was originally reported as a massive 353K beat to just 229K,  a 124K revision, which was the biggest one-month negative revision in two years!

Of course, that does not mean that this month's jobs print won't be revised lower: it will be, and not just that month but every other month until the November election because that's the only tool left in the Biden admin's box: pretend the economic and jobs are strong, then revise them sharply lower the next month, something we pointed out first last summer and which has not failed to disappoint once.

To be fair, not every aspect of the jobs report was stellar (after all, the BLS had to give it some vague credibility). Take the unemployment rate, after flatlining between 3.4% and 3.8% for two years - and thus denying expectations from Sahm's Rule that a recession may have already started - in February the unemployment rate unexpectedly jumped to 3.9%, the highest since February 2022 (with Black unemployment spiking by 0.3% to 5.6%, an indicator which the Biden admin will quickly slam as widespread economic racism or something).

And then there were average hourly earnings, which after surging 0.6% MoM in January (since revised to 0.5%) and spooking markets that wage growth is so hot, the Fed will have no choice but to delay cuts, in February the number tumbled to just 0.1%, the lowest in two years...

... for one simple reason: last month's average wage surge had nothing to do with actual wages, and everything to do with the BLS estimate of hours worked (which is the denominator in the average wage calculation) which last month tumbled to just 34.1 (we were led to believe) the lowest since the covid pandemic...

... but has since been revised higher while the February print rose even more, to 34.3, hence why the latest average wage data was once again a product not of wages going up, but of how long Americans worked in any weekly period, in this case higher from 34.1 to 34.3, an increase which has a major impact on the average calculation.

While the above data points were examples of some latent weakness in the latest report, perhaps meant to give it a sheen of veracity, it was everything else in the report that was a problem starting with the BLS's latest choice of seasonal adjustments (after last month's wholesale revision), which have gone from merely laughable to full clownshow, as the following comparison between the monthly change in BLS and ADP payrolls shows. The trend is clear: the Biden admin numbers are now clearly rising even as the impartial ADP (which directly logs employment numbers at the company level and is far more accurate), shows an accelerating slowdown.

But it's more than just the Biden admin hanging its "success" on seasonal adjustments: when one digs deeper inside the jobs report, all sorts of ugly things emerge... such as the growing unprecedented divergence between the Establishment (payrolls) survey and much more accurate Household (actual employment) survey. To wit, while in January the BLS claims 275K payrolls were added, the Household survey found that the number of actually employed workers dropped for the third straight month (and 4 in the past 5), this time by 184K (from 161.152K to 160.968K).

This means that while the Payrolls series hits new all time highs every month since December 2020 (when according to the BLS the US had its last month of payrolls losses), the level of Employment has not budged in the past year. Worse, as shown in the chart below, such a gaping divergence has opened between the two series in the past 4 years, that the number of Employed workers would need to soar by 9 million (!) to catch up to what Payrolls claims is the employment situation.

There's more: shifting from a quantitative to a qualitative assessment, reveals just how ugly the composition of "new jobs" has been. Consider this: the BLS reports that in February 2024, the US had 132.9 million full-time jobs and 27.9 million part-time jobs. Well, that's great... until you look back one year and find that in February 2023 the US had 133.2 million full-time jobs, or more than it does one year later! And yes, all the job growth since then has been in part-time jobs, which have increased by 921K since February 2023 (from 27.020 million to 27.941 million).

Here is a summary of the labor composition in the past year: all the new jobs have been part-time jobs!

But wait there's even more, because now that the primary season is over and we enter the heart of election season and political talking points will be thrown around left and right, especially in the context of the immigration crisis created intentionally by the Biden administration which is hoping to import millions of new Democratic voters (maybe the US can hold the presidential election in Honduras or Guatemala, after all it is their citizens that will be illegally casting the key votes in November), what we find is that in February, the number of native-born workers tumbled again, sliding by a massive 560K to just 129.807 million. Add to this the December data, and we get a near-record 2.4 million plunge in native-born workers in just the past 3 months (only the covid crash was worse)!

The offset? A record 1.2 million foreign-born (read immigrants, both legal and illegal but mostly illegal) workers added in February!

Said otherwise, not only has all job creation in the past 6 years has been exclusively for foreign-born workers...

Source: St Louis Fed FRED Native Born and Foreign Born

... but there has been zero job-creation for native born workers since June 2018!

This is a huge issue - especially at a time of an illegal alien flood at the southwest border...

... and is about to become a huge political scandal, because once the inevitable recession finally hits, there will be millions of furious unemployed Americans demanding a more accurate explanation for what happened - i.e., the illegal immigration floodgates that were opened by the Biden admin.

Which is also why Biden's handlers will do everything in their power to insure there is no official recession before November... and why after the election is over, all economic hell will finally break loose. Until then, however, expect the jobs numbers to get even more ridiculous.

Tyler Durden Fri, 03/08/2024 - 13:30

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