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The Boundaries of Fiscal and Monetary Policy

The members of the Philadelphia Convention1 had a few fundamental purposes they hoped to achieve with the Constitution they created. Some of their ideas…

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The members of the Philadelphia Convention1 had a few fundamental purposes they hoped to achieve with the Constitution they created. Some of their ideas were new at the time and some were time-tested. Others were not even stated and just adopted as commonsensical, since the theoretical developments explaining their soundness came much later as they developed from the observation of arrangements put in practice in the United States and elsewhere.

The overarching purpose the framers had in mind was the establishment of limited and representative government for the recently united former colonies. All the elements of the new Constitution should be understood as instruments performing, in their totality, that function.

Popular sovereignty, the rule of law, political representation, federalism, checks and balances, the division of power between the legislative, executive and judiciary branches were all considered by the framers of the constitution to constitute the ideal form to function as the guarantor of those self-evident truths stated a few years earlier in the Declaration of Independence.

Two of the elements of the American constitutional order that I wish to discuss here, fiscal and monetary policies, are today among the least understood elements of that order. If it is true that at the time of the Founding, the boundaries between these two prerogatives of the state were well-defined, over the course of history the demarcation between them has been increasingly blurred. So much so that, nowadays, it is excusable that many policymakers, and even some academics no longer can distinguish where lies the border between those fields of state action.

Early in the Republic, the “power of the purse” held by Congress meant that no money could leave the coffers of the federal government without the explicit and periodic consent of the legislature. That soon became formalized in authorization and appropriation bills by which Congress would define the scope and size of actions that the executive branch was authorized to engage. This is an application of the principle of legality, that part of the rule of law that establishes that any private individual is only prevented from doing something if forbidden by law, while any public agent is only authorized to do something if determined by law. The determination of any action by the federal government was intended to be given in the annual appropriations process.

From this perspective, all “mandatory” and “back-door” spending are all infringements on popular sovereignty and violations of the rule of law. If a dollar leaves the coffers of the Treasury, whatever the justification, under the Constitutional order in which we supposedly live, it should be first authorized and then annually appropriated. The retirement of the federal debt, the payment of pensions to military veterans, the concession of loans, or subsidies to whatever sector of society all should be weighed by the sitting Congress. Such expenditures should further be considered in comparison with possible alternative uses of public funds before Congress authorizes the executive to spend a single penny of those funds.

Consider the way the Federal Reserve and the CFPB (Consumer Financial Protection Bureau) are funded. Their expenses are paid from the proceeds of the Fed’s operations; Congress does not appropriate them. If they were, many would argue, they would lose their independence to conduct monetary policy and to exercise oversight of relations between financial companies and their customers, respectively. Yet the judiciary branch is funded by annual appropriations. Is anyone prepared to argue that because of that, the judiciary is not independent in the United States?

Think about the operation of the FFB (Federal Financing Bank). They facilitate the ability of many federal agencies to borrow money in the market, and the Treasury, supported by the Fed, is compelled by law to fund its operations. From these funds, subsidized loans to agriculture, real estate development, exports, infrastructure, and a myriad of other programs are funded off-budget.

The list of ways in which Congress’ constitutional power of the purse is disregarded in both spirit and intent goes on and on. To be clear, Congress is left out of the loop concerning which programs are funded by the executive branch and its agencies directly. These policies are also executed without being subject to previous authorization and annual appropriations by Congressional representatives. Voters complain that they disagree with most of the actions of the Federal government. No wonder, if more than 85% of the money disbursed by our national government is not appropriated by our representatives.

Monetary policy today is also far removed from what was originally envisaged by Alexander Hamilton. The edifice of American finances was established on solid and eminently practical foundations. However, before we discuss what was originally established and what we have today, let us start by going back to an idealized model. Although ahistorical, this idealization is modeled on the same British arrangements that inspired Hamilton and the other Founding Fathers.

Under this model, money, as the ultimate form of payment, was created by the state through the coinage of precious metals. At the same time, commercial banks would expand and contract the supply of banknotes redeemable in money proper according to the existence of profitable opportunities for short-term lending against good collateral, what was known as Real Bills. Under this model, the fluctuations in the demand and supply for liquidity in the economy would be produced, in part, from “outside” the market, by the state coinage, and, in part, from “inside” the market, by bank lending.

Thanks to Hamilton, ever the practical man, taking into consideration the immense burden of the Revolutionary War debt, and following the example of the Bank of England, the new Constitution counted among the exclusive powers of the legislative branch, “To coin Money, regulate the Value thereof, and of foreign Coin.”

Later, with the establishment of the United States Mint and the authorization for the creation of the First Bank of the United States (the first of three attempts to create a central bank in the country), the foundations of our financial system were established. The national debt would be purchased by banks to invest their capital, and they would be authorized to issue banknotes redeemable on demand in coins issued by the Mint to supply credit to private enterprise.

Note that at the very beginning, there was already a close relation between the public debt, eminently an instrument of fiscal policy, and the arrangements by which money and other liquid instruments were supplied in the country, ostensibly the object only of monetary policy. However, the boundaries between them were still clearly defined. Banks would purchase Treasury bonds as long-term investments, funded by capital raised from their shareholders, while their credit operations were to be funded from their deposits on demand, with banknotes being issued against the discount of short-term commercial paper, that is, Real Bills.

This ahistorical, schematic presentation is a good proxy for what was the history of our fiscal and monetary policies all the way up to the Civil War. There were still periods in which the “central bank” was abolished. For example, there was a short period during the Andrew Jackson administration in which all public debt was retired, but, by and large, this was the picture.

Then came the Civil War. To fund the war effort, banks were required to buy Treasuries not only to constitute their capital, but also to have the ability to issue banknotes. In addition, the Treasury started to issue its own paper money, “greenbacks,” and last but not least, convertibility of bank deposits and notes in gold was suspended. Eventually convertibility was resumed and some of the war debt was paid. However, this created problems of its own under the banking arrangements put in place in 1862 which remained in place until the creation of the third “central bank” of the United States, the Federal Reserve (Fed), in 1913.

After the creation of the Federal Reserve, the fiscal requirements brought about by the Great War, the Great Depression, and World War II forced an immense coordination between fiscal and monetary policy—so much so, that the Fed only regained operational independence inside the government in 1951. Another contradictory period occurred when, due to the Vietnam War and the Great Society programs of the Johnson administration, the Fed continued to accommodate the fiscal needs of the Treasury while still somewhat constrained by the gold redemption clause of the Bretton Woods treaty.

The contradiction eventually became unsustainable, and the Nixon administration defaulted in the U.S. obligations under that treaty in 1971. With that, an inflationary period began. It lasted until some prudence was restored, if not to the fiscal policy, at least to the execution of monetary policy. Once sober monetary policy was implemented, the period known as the Great Moderation ensued.

Fiscal profligacy, which had been practically uninterrupted since the 1960s and was only accelerated by the Financial Crisis of 2008 and the Covid-19 Pandemic, brought us to the situation that we face nowadays.

There are some instruments, such as the public debt and the prerogatives to create money and regulate finances, which are tools of both monetary and fiscal policy. The goals of those policies are different, though. Monetary policy is concerned with price stability and a balance between the supply and demand for loanable funds, whereas fiscal policy is concerned with funding the government. For these different goals to be achieved at the same time using essentially the same tools, clear boundaries about what is permissible in each field are necessary.

Those boundaries continue to be blurred in recent decades. In this article, I have tried to describe the institutional setting in which this has been taking place, what the consequences are, and what might be done to preserve, restore, and strengthen the foundations of a society of free and responsible individuals as envisioned by the Founding Fathers. We began with a discussion of the constitutional disposition about the power of the purse that Congress has, which requires annual authorizations and appropriations for any money to be disbursed by the Federal government. From that point, we discussed some ways in which “back-door” expenditures happen.

We may well associate the gradual erosion of the Congressional power of the purse with a “democratic deficit”, that is, with a decrease in the accountability of political agents. That is, changes in the institutional setting have led to a change in the structure of incentives, and the checks and balances that used to maintain the boundaries between monetary and fiscal policy have been eroded. At the same time, that “old time fiscal religion” (the idea that deficits may rise in times of emergencies but are to be repaid after the emergency ceases) has been almost totally abandoned.

This suggests the idea of fiscal “dominance.” That is, as long as fiscal prudence is not restored, it is pointless to try to tweak the institutional constraints on the abuses of monetary instruments for fiscal purposes. On the contrary, the current trend is not to reverse an unsustainable path that will end in disaster, but to accelerate further the trend, with ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) mandates for the Fed on top of the existing ones of price stability and full employment.

“To realize how far we are from the original constitutional arrangements of the United States, you just need to realize that, theoretically, the Fed is ‘a creature of Congress.'”

To realize how far we are from the original constitutional arrangements of the United States, you just need to realize that, theoretically, the Fed is “a creature of Congress.” That is not to say that, like the FCC or the FDA, it is an agency created via a law passed by Congress. No, that is to say that the Fed is technically part of the legislative branch of power, the one with the exclusive coinage power as defined by Art I, Section 8, Clause 5, mentioned above.

Mind you, the Fed does not acknowledge this. They present themselves as independent from both the Executive and the Legislative branches.2 The last time I checked, there are just three branches of power in the constitutional structure of the United States. If an agency claims to be independent from both the executive and legislative branches, while also being clear that it is not part of the judiciary, then it is claiming to be a fourth branch of power. This is something that is clearly unconstitutional, not to mention that pesky thing about the “exclusive power of coinage” given to Congress by the Constitution.

Of course, the way the Fed funds its operational expenses or the compatibility of its institutional design with the putative constitutional order of this country say nothing, at first glance, about the blurring of the lines between fiscal and monetary policy. Let us think about that. Some say that Congress is not to be trusted with responsible monetary policy, so, it is a good thing that the Fed is insulated from Congress’ direct oversight. That is a logical mistake. In the same way that Chief Justice Roberts once said, “the way to stop discrimination on the basis of race is to stop discriminating on the basis of race,” the way to have a responsible Congress is to give responsibility to Congress for their decisions. The meaning of Congress’ power of the purse is not only that it is a prerogative; it is also a duty, as brilliantly explained by Professor Katie Stith.3

For more on these topics, see

The fact that we have drifted so far away from the constitutional constraints established by the Founding Fathers in the all-important questions related to taxation, public expenditure, finances, and money, says volumes about the powerful political forces against such checks on the government and does not bode well for the future.

However, contrary to what may be inferred from what I have just said, there is a solution to avoid the tragedy of the US government losing its “full credit.” It is after all one of the most important weapons in the “arsenal of the Republic.” To not to alienate Congress further from the decision process, but to return the power to Congress, and with that, the responsibility of the purse.


Footnotes

[1] To learn more about the Philadelphia Convention, see Max Farrand’s edited volume, The Records of the Federal Convention of 1787. Available online at https://oll.libertyfund.org/title/farrand-the-records-of-the-federal-convention-of-1787-3vols.

[2] See “About the Federal Reserve System” online at https://www.federalreserve.gov/aboutthefed/structure-federal-reserve-system.htm

[3] Katie Stith, “Congress’ Power of the Purse,” The Yale Law Journal. Volume 97 (1988).


*Leonidas Zelmanovitz, a Senior Fellow with the Liberty Fund, holds a law degree from the Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul in Brazil and an economics doctorate from the Universidad Rey Juan Carlos in Spain.

For more articles by Leonidas Zelmanovitz, see the Archive.


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Are Voters Recoiling Against Disorder?

Are Voters Recoiling Against Disorder?

Authored by Michael Barone via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

The headlines coming out of the Super…

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Are Voters Recoiling Against Disorder?

Authored by Michael Barone via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

The headlines coming out of the Super Tuesday primaries have got it right. Barring cataclysmic changes, Donald Trump and Joe Biden will be the Republican and Democratic nominees for president in 2024.

(Left) President Joe Biden delivers remarks on canceling student debt at Culver City Julian Dixon Library in Culver City, Calif., on Feb. 21, 2024. (Right) Republican presidential candidate and former U.S. President Donald Trump stands on stage during a campaign event at Big League Dreams Las Vegas in Las Vegas, Nev., on Jan. 27, 2024. (Mario Tama/Getty Images; David Becker/Getty Images)

With Nikki Haley’s withdrawal, there will be no more significantly contested primaries or caucuses—the earliest both parties’ races have been over since something like the current primary-dominated system was put in place in 1972.

The primary results have spotlighted some of both nominees’ weaknesses.

Donald Trump lost high-income, high-educated constituencies, including the entire metro area—aka the Swamp. Many but by no means all Haley votes there were cast by Biden Democrats. Mr. Trump can’t afford to lose too many of the others in target states like Pennsylvania and Michigan.

Majorities and large minorities of voters in overwhelmingly Latino counties in Texas’s Rio Grande Valley and some in Houston voted against Joe Biden, and even more against Senate nominee Rep. Colin Allred (D-Texas).

Returns from Hispanic precincts in New Hampshire and Massachusetts show the same thing. Mr. Biden can’t afford to lose too many Latino votes in target states like Arizona and Georgia.

When Mr. Trump rode down that escalator in 2015, commentators assumed he’d repel Latinos. Instead, Latino voters nationally, and especially the closest eyewitnesses of Biden’s open-border policy, have been trending heavily Republican.

High-income liberal Democrats may sport lawn signs proclaiming, “In this house, we believe ... no human is illegal.” The logical consequence of that belief is an open border. But modest-income folks in border counties know that flows of illegal immigrants result in disorder, disease, and crime.

There is plenty of impatience with increased disorder in election returns below the presidential level. Consider Los Angeles County, America’s largest county, with nearly 10 million people, more people than 40 of the 50 states. It voted 71 percent for Mr. Biden in 2020.

Current returns show county District Attorney George Gascon winning only 21 percent of the vote in the nonpartisan primary. He’ll apparently face Republican Nathan Hochman, a critic of his liberal policies, in November.

Gascon, elected after the May 2020 death of counterfeit-passing suspect George Floyd in Minneapolis, is one of many county prosecutors supported by billionaire George Soros. His policies include not charging juveniles as adults, not seeking higher penalties for gang membership or use of firearms, and bringing fewer misdemeanor cases.

The predictable result has been increased car thefts, burglaries, and personal robberies. Some 120 assistant district attorneys have left the office, and there’s a backlog of 10,000 unprosecuted cases.

More than a dozen other Soros-backed and similarly liberal prosecutors have faced strong opposition or have left office.

St. Louis prosecutor Kim Gardner resigned last May amid lawsuits seeking her removal, Milwaukee’s John Chisholm retired in January, and Baltimore’s Marilyn Mosby was defeated in July 2022 and convicted of perjury in September 2023. Last November, Loudoun County, Virginia, voters (62 percent Biden) ousted liberal Buta Biberaj, who declined to prosecute a transgender student for assault, and in June 2022 voters in San Francisco (85 percent Biden) recalled famed radical Chesa Boudin.

Similarly, this Tuesday, voters in San Francisco passed ballot measures strengthening police powers and requiring treatment of drug-addicted welfare recipients.

In retrospect, it appears the Floyd video, appearing after three months of COVID-19 confinement, sparked a frenzied, even crazed reaction, especially among the highly educated and articulate. One fatal incident was seen as proof that America’s “systemic racism” was worse than ever and that police forces should be defunded and perhaps abolished.

2020 was “the year America went crazy,” I wrote in January 2021, a year in which police funding was actually cut by Democrats in New York, Los Angeles, San Francisco, Seattle, and Denver. A year in which young New York Times (NYT) staffers claimed they were endangered by the publication of Sen. Tom Cotton’s (R-Ark.) opinion article advocating calling in military forces if necessary to stop rioting, as had been done in Detroit in 1967 and Los Angeles in 1992. A craven NYT publisher even fired the editorial page editor for running the article.

Evidence of visible and tangible discontent with increasing violence and its consequences—barren and locked shelves in Manhattan chain drugstores, skyrocketing carjackings in Washington, D.C.—is as unmistakable in polls and election results as it is in daily life in large metropolitan areas. Maybe 2024 will turn out to be the year even liberal America stopped acting crazy.

Chaos and disorder work against incumbents, as they did in 1968 when Democrats saw their party’s popular vote fall from 61 percent to 43 percent.

Views expressed in this article are opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of The Epoch Times or ZeroHedge.

Tyler Durden Sat, 03/09/2024 - 23:20

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Veterans Affairs Kept COVID-19 Vaccine Mandate In Place Without Evidence

Veterans Affairs Kept COVID-19 Vaccine Mandate In Place Without Evidence

Authored by Zachary Stieber via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

The…

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Veterans Affairs Kept COVID-19 Vaccine Mandate In Place Without Evidence

Authored by Zachary Stieber via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

The U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) reviewed no data when deciding in 2023 to keep its COVID-19 vaccine mandate in place.

Doses of a COVID-19 vaccine in Washington in a file image. (Jacquelyn Martin/Pool/AFP via Getty Images)

VA Secretary Denis McDonough said on May 1, 2023, that the end of many other federal mandates “will not impact current policies at the Department of Veterans Affairs.”

He said the mandate was remaining for VA health care personnel “to ensure the safety of veterans and our colleagues.”

Mr. McDonough did not cite any studies or other data. A VA spokesperson declined to provide any data that was reviewed when deciding not to rescind the mandate. The Epoch Times submitted a Freedom of Information Act for “all documents outlining which data was relied upon when establishing the mandate when deciding to keep the mandate in place.”

The agency searched for such data and did not find any.

The VA does not even attempt to justify its policies with science, because it can’t,” Leslie Manookian, president and founder of the Health Freedom Defense Fund, told The Epoch Times.

“The VA just trusts that the process and cost of challenging its unfounded policies is so onerous, most people are dissuaded from even trying,” she added.

The VA’s mandate remains in place to this day.

The VA’s website claims that vaccines “help protect you from getting severe illness” and “offer good protection against most COVID-19 variants,” pointing in part to observational data from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) that estimate the vaccines provide poor protection against symptomatic infection and transient shielding against hospitalization.

There have also been increasing concerns among outside scientists about confirmed side effects like heart inflammation—the VA hid a safety signal it detected for the inflammation—and possible side effects such as tinnitus, which shift the benefit-risk calculus.

President Joe Biden imposed a slate of COVID-19 vaccine mandates in 2021. The VA was the first federal agency to implement a mandate.

President Biden rescinded the mandates in May 2023, citing a drop in COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations. His administration maintains the choice to require vaccines was the right one and saved lives.

“Our administration’s vaccination requirements helped ensure the safety of workers in critical workforces including those in the healthcare and education sectors, protecting themselves and the populations they serve, and strengthening their ability to provide services without disruptions to operations,” the White House said.

Some experts said requiring vaccination meant many younger people were forced to get a vaccine despite the risks potentially outweighing the benefits, leaving fewer doses for older adults.

By mandating the vaccines to younger people and those with natural immunity from having had COVID, older people in the U.S. and other countries did not have access to them, and many people might have died because of that,” Martin Kulldorff, a professor of medicine on leave from Harvard Medical School, told The Epoch Times previously.

The VA was one of just a handful of agencies to keep its mandate in place following the removal of many federal mandates.

“At this time, the vaccine requirement will remain in effect for VA health care personnel, including VA psychologists, pharmacists, social workers, nursing assistants, physical therapists, respiratory therapists, peer specialists, medical support assistants, engineers, housekeepers, and other clinical, administrative, and infrastructure support employees,” Mr. McDonough wrote to VA employees at the time.

This also includes VA volunteers and contractors. Effectively, this means that any Veterans Health Administration (VHA) employee, volunteer, or contractor who works in VHA facilities, visits VHA facilities, or provides direct care to those we serve will still be subject to the vaccine requirement at this time,” he said. “We continue to monitor and discuss this requirement, and we will provide more information about the vaccination requirements for VA health care employees soon. As always, we will process requests for vaccination exceptions in accordance with applicable laws, regulations, and policies.”

The version of the shots cleared in the fall of 2022, and available through the fall of 2023, did not have any clinical trial data supporting them.

A new version was approved in the fall of 2023 because there were indications that the shots not only offered temporary protection but also that the level of protection was lower than what was observed during earlier stages of the pandemic.

Ms. Manookian, whose group has challenged several of the federal mandates, said that the mandate “illustrates the dangers of the administrative state and how these federal agencies have become a law unto themselves.”

Tyler Durden Sat, 03/09/2024 - 22:10

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Low Iron Levels In Blood Could Trigger Long COVID: Study

Low Iron Levels In Blood Could Trigger Long COVID: Study

Authored by Amie Dahnke via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

People with inadequate…

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Low Iron Levels In Blood Could Trigger Long COVID: Study

Authored by Amie Dahnke via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

People with inadequate iron levels in their blood due to a COVID-19 infection could be at greater risk of long COVID.

(Shutterstock)

A new study indicates that problems with iron levels in the bloodstream likely trigger chronic inflammation and other conditions associated with the post-COVID phenomenon. The findings, published on March 1 in Nature Immunology, could offer new ways to treat or prevent the condition.

Long COVID Patients Have Low Iron Levels

Researchers at the University of Cambridge pinpointed low iron as a potential link to long-COVID symptoms thanks to a study they initiated shortly after the start of the pandemic. They recruited people who tested positive for the virus to provide blood samples for analysis over a year, which allowed the researchers to look for post-infection changes in the blood. The researchers looked at 214 samples and found that 45 percent of patients reported symptoms of long COVID that lasted between three and 10 months.

In analyzing the blood samples, the research team noticed that people experiencing long COVID had low iron levels, contributing to anemia and low red blood cell production, just two weeks after they were diagnosed with COVID-19. This was true for patients regardless of age, sex, or the initial severity of their infection.

According to one of the study co-authors, the removal of iron from the bloodstream is a natural process and defense mechanism of the body.

But it can jeopardize a person’s recovery.

When the body has an infection, it responds by removing iron from the bloodstream. This protects us from potentially lethal bacteria that capture the iron in the bloodstream and grow rapidly. It’s an evolutionary response that redistributes iron in the body, and the blood plasma becomes an iron desert,” University of Oxford professor Hal Drakesmith said in a press release. “However, if this goes on for a long time, there is less iron for red blood cells, so oxygen is transported less efficiently affecting metabolism and energy production, and for white blood cells, which need iron to work properly. The protective mechanism ends up becoming a problem.”

The research team believes that consistently low iron levels could explain why individuals with long COVID continue to experience fatigue and difficulty exercising. As such, the researchers suggested iron supplementation to help regulate and prevent the often debilitating symptoms associated with long COVID.

It isn’t necessarily the case that individuals don’t have enough iron in their body, it’s just that it’s trapped in the wrong place,” Aimee Hanson, a postdoctoral researcher at the University of Cambridge who worked on the study, said in the press release. “What we need is a way to remobilize the iron and pull it back into the bloodstream, where it becomes more useful to the red blood cells.”

The research team pointed out that iron supplementation isn’t always straightforward. Achieving the right level of iron varies from person to person. Too much iron can cause stomach issues, ranging from constipation, nausea, and abdominal pain to gastritis and gastric lesions.

1 in 5 Still Affected by Long COVID

COVID-19 has affected nearly 40 percent of Americans, with one in five of those still suffering from symptoms of long COVID, according to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). Long COVID is marked by health issues that continue at least four weeks after an individual was initially diagnosed with COVID-19. Symptoms can last for days, weeks, months, or years and may include fatigue, cough or chest pain, headache, brain fog, depression or anxiety, digestive issues, and joint or muscle pain.

Tyler Durden Sat, 03/09/2024 - 12:50

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