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Investment Lessons from Charles Schwab

Investment Lessons from Charles Schwab

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Many of the great Investors have left their mark on our investment world. Some have been innovators, others have been pioneers and all have been performers. And unsurprisingly, all have posted consistently outstanding results because of it. Each in their own way has crafted individual legacies which can teach us new ways of thinking when we trade. When it comes to the business of trading one man stands out from the crowd and has significantly changed the way Americans buy and sell investments.

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And that one man is Charles Schwab.

In doing so, he built a Fortune 500 company whose value compounded at an average rate of 19% a year since IPO in 1987; twice the growth rate of the S&P 500. Central to his belief; the customer was at the heart of everything Schwab did. He entered a race that for fear of revenue loss, the large incumbent brokers didn’t want to be involved with, a lucrative niche providing customers with cut-price stock transactions which he exploited and expanded with new technologies.

Charles Schwab tells his story in a recent book, ‘Invested - Changing Forever The Way Americans Invest’. On the dust jacket, Warren Buffett notes, ‘I’ve admired Chuck Schwab for a long time. When you read this book, you’ll understand why.’

In many ways Charles Schwab epitomises the ‘Scale-Economics Shared’ model employed by many of the great enduring companies. In a recent investor letter, IP Capital Partners noted, ‘Throughout its history, Schwab has continually cut the cost of investing through its platform and kept its competitors under constant pressure.’ Lower prices = more customers & increased revenue. Lower costs = increased profits. Return profit to customers via even lower prices. Repeat.

“Never underestimate the power of a low-cost structure: if you can make a profit by offering consumers good value; it’s a great business plan.” Francois Rochon

Learning from Charles Schwab

Charles Schwab vs S&P500 - 1987-2020 [Source: Bloomberg]

As a veteran of markets for over forty years, Charles’ reflections on the 1987 crash and the Global Financial Crisis are timely reminders of the need to remove emotion and maintain an investment plan in times of panic. I’ve collected some of my favourite quotes from the book below, but don’t be surprised to see many of the common themes we’ve seen with the other great businesses we’ve studied.

Learning from Charles Schwab

Competitive Niche

“Everybody said to me, ‘Wait until Merrill Lynch decides to go into your business. You are going to be crushed.’ I was worried, but Merrill was an entrenched member of the Wall Street establishment. It was still beholden to its many commissioned brokers, and its highly profitable investment banking and research business. It couldn’t just chuck all that out the window.”

“I thought if I could strip away all the fluff surrounding the purchase and sale of stocks - the tainted research, the bogus analysis, the flimsy recommendations, all the ways that Wall Street had historically justified high commission - and sell just the plain-vanilla service of executing trades, I could slash overhead, focus on efficiency, cut prices dramatically - by as much as 75% - and still make a profit.”

How would my firm differ from the kind of firms that had ruled Wall Street for so many years? For one thing, I meant to serve an entirely new client base, composed of what we now call independent investors.”

We were the common enemy of every big firm that had ever prospered under the old, protected system (regulated commissions).”

“If you take brokers out of the equation - as I was proposing to do - how then do you sell stocks? Well, you don’t sell. You market. My big aha! was when I realised I didn’t have to sell at all. All I had to do was market the discount brokerage service and then provide the best possible customer service.”

Recognising a business opportunity is only one part of succeeding as an entrepreneur. The key is acting on your business insight and following through.”

Our business was based on finding ways to break compromises. That was the magic behind lower trading costs, 24-hour phone service, local branches, no-fee IRAs, and internet trading.”

A business like ours comes down to two things; a big idea that makes a difference in people’s lives, and people who believe in it and will see it through to fruition day after day, despite what may get in the way. You have to get both right.”

Leverage Change

“I was starting Schwab hoping to take advantage of the significant changes that would come from the deregulation of the brokerage industry.”

Low Costs

Our whole business plan revolved around keeping costs low. No lavish expense accounts, no fancy digs, no high salaries or fat commissions for our brokers.”

“I wanted to cut out all the frivolous costs so that I could make the price to the investor substantially lower than had ever been seen before - as much as 75% lower than traditional firms were charging. It would be a fact that practically jumped off the page at independent investors when we began advertising.”

Technology

We paid a price early on by automating well ahead of our competitors, but the leverage we gained for later growth was enormous.”

“People often ask why Schwab got into technology so early and in such a big way to make it a defining part of who we are and how we operate to this day. In some ways, necessity is the mother of invention. We had to get more efficient or we were dead in the water. When I first started Schwab and slashed commissions by 75%, I had just a vague idea that I could make it work. I knew it would take volume.”

“I’m no technology expert, but I have always been willing to invest in technology, and not just because it lowers our costs and gives us a competitive advantage. The way I see it, every time we make another advance, we strip away one more layer of intermediation between the masses and the markets. That’s always good.”

With each new technological advance, we provided a level of service a cut above other discounters; and we brought our clients one step closer to my ideal of direct, unmediated participation in the market.”

We were trying as many things as we could to get ahead in technology. Not all of them were working but we kept pushing forward - knowing the future was coming at us fast, and the future was all about technology.”

Culture

“[We had] an entrepreneurial culture that was big on creativity and imagination and not so big on structures, details, and planning.”

Path to Freedom

“Today, I remain more convinced than ever that investing is the individual’s path to financial freedom.”

Be An Optimist

I’m an optimist. And investing has always seemed to me to be the ultimate act of optimism. You’ve got to have confidence that the money you invest today is going to grow; otherwise, you might as well stuff it under the mattress. You have to believe tomorrow will be better than today.”

“I believed it then, I believed it when I started Schwab against so many odds, and I still believe it today. To be a successful investor, you have to be optimistic.”

Approach to Money

“Trying to build a life in the wake of the Depression had an enormous impact on my parents’ attitude toward money, saving, and risk that lasted their entire lives… So much of a person’s attitudes and habits towards money get formed when they are young. We see it with clients at Schwab every day.”

A person’s approach to money, his or her saving and spending habits, and comfort or discomfort with risk are all deeply ingrained, and more emotional than rational.”

Reciprocation

“I’m sure one of the reasons for my success over the years has been that people generally like me - and the secret to that is just human nature: I pay attention to them. I listen to their stories and take a genuine interest. And it’s made for a richer life. People are endlessly fascinating and their stories are motivating.”

Reading

I read a lot of biographies of people who had accomplished great things, people such as John D Rockefeller, J.P. Morgan, Charles M Schwab, the steel magnate (no relation), and many others. I saw the importance of determination, or passion and fighting hard for what you believed in, and the importance of optimism and believing good things are possible. All the people I read about had a maniacal focus on growth.”

Public Speaking

“To this day I encourage young executives to get training in public speaking. No matter how good they are, mastering those moments in front of an audience is crucial to leading others, and it rarely comes naturally.”

The Stock Market & Investing

With the stock market, there are no guarantees. You can guarantee service, costs, quality, and certainly integrity. But you can’t guarantee performance; Risk is just part of the deal.”

I don’t think human nature deals very well with the patience and strong stomach investing requires. We’re wired for fight or flight.”

I have now seen nine crashes in my life, and it still troubles me that investors react this way [sit on the sidelines], because it always ends the same. The market roars back and leaves too many investors sitting on the sidelines missing out. Sometimes I wish I could just tie them to their chairs to help them ride out the temporary storm. To this day our advice is the same: ‘Panic is not a strategy, stick with your investment plan, and don’t let emotions get the better of you.’ Heeding that advice when you’re in full panic mode is just not easy. People aren’t wired to be good investors.”

The most natural instinct is to run for the door. To sell. Sell everything,’ I said [in 2008 when reaching out to clients]. ‘You’ve got to fight that emotion because you want to be able to hang on for the recovery. Which has happened every time we have had an experience like this in my career .. and that goes back now some 40 years … nine different cracks in the market like this. Smart investing is about taking it year by year. It is a little bit of a nightmare, but we handle those by living through them and looking forward to better days.’ Did I get the timing right with my advice? Not exactly. You never do. And that’s exactly the point… Timing the market is impossible. As the saying goes, it’s not timing the market that counts, but time in the market.”

Successful investing is not easy, that’s the bottom line. It involves so much of your emotions, your sense of self-worth, your ego.”

The Unexpected

“To be fair, every worst-case scenario at the time [prior to 1987 crash] assumed a sudden market decline of 5%, not 25%. What happened on Black Monday was a previously unimaginable event, which, after the fact, becomes a calculable risk against which responsible parties take steps to protect themselves in the future. It’s those extreme moments when things come out of a dark closet and into the light so that you see them… [One account] exposed a hole in our defences. Today, we take those measures to new heights, running crisis scenarios that are far out of the realm of any prior experience, trying to make the unknown, if not knowable, at least manageable.”

Decisions & Process

You control your decisions and you control how well you execute them; you don’t control the environment.”

Don’t panic and overreact to the economic environment or the stock price; stay focused on what works.”

Mistakes

“I’ve always felt that when you make mistakes, if you stand up and admit them, people will give you the benefit of the doubt. Acknowledge and own up to problems and people will trust you. That will be helpful the next time. If you blame somebody else or try to sugarcoat the problem, you may get away with it once.”

Encourage Ownership

“Experiencing how powerful and motivating that sense of ownership is, I’ve always encouraged and helped my employees over the years to be owners in our company as well.”

Reward Staff

I paid people what I thought they were worth, regardless of seniority, and I used perks and bonuses to reward my stars.”

Employees are your most important resource. Helping them take care of their health is simply good for business.”

People

Business is all about people and you need to find those who share your vision and values, who will bring their own passion and strengths to the task. And you need that at every level of the organisation, from the mailroom up to the boardroom.”

An entrepreneur who is afraid to hire people who can do something better than he can is doomed.”

Growth

I always wanted our company to be a growth company.”

In my experience earnings follow growth, and stock prices follow earnings. My philosophy is that with growth, everyone wins: clients get better service; investors get a better return; employees get jobs and rising pay; the community gets support; and, of course, the government gets taxes.”

“I believe it is incumbent on every leader of a company that the number one thing on their mind is growth. You don’t prosper without it.”

“We are growth junkies - people who thrive on change and adaptability and the next new thing.”

It’s an irony: growth is a sign of success and shows you’re on to something that people want, but with a young company like ours the growth outpaces your sources of capital. You’re reinvesting every penny of profit you can, and it’s not enough.”

Risk

Gamblers like taking risks, not entrepreneurs. Entrepreneurs start with a vision and accept, reluctantly, that no vision was ever realised without risking something important. But a true entrepreneur seeks to control his risks as much as possible.”

Taking and managing risk is a critical part of any successful endeavour. In business particularly, you have to have an appetite for it or you stagnate and don’t do things that delight the customers and keep them coming back.”

My role was to embrace risk when I saw an opportunity for a huge reward. I’ve always tried to encourage my operating people to make big leaps that could have a significant impact on the company’s bottom line.”

You’re never gambling the whole house, you take calculated risks. You’ve thought things through, and experience and maturity and intuition and the tests you go through give you incrementally better odds each time.”

Innovate & Accept Mistakes

“You have to be willing to embrace client-focused innovation, even when it competes with your own existing business. Sometimes the most important competitor you confront is yourself. That’s how you stay a step ahead of everyone else. You can’t think just because you’re big, just because you’re successful, that you can’t disrupt yourself. You can - and in fact in today’s world, you have to.”

We tried a lot of things that didn’t work. For a while it was one failure after another. But that never worried me. Innovators should expect failure, it’s part of the process. As head of the organisation, it was my job to encourage experimentation, not punish it.”

We had a history - a culture of innovation - that helped prepare us for the internet.”

You try a lot of things as an entrepreneur. You learn as you go. And sometimes you wind up with something that works that wasn’t planned.”

The work, the innovation, is never done. There’s always another new idea, another convention to challenge, a million ways to make investing better. We just need to do it.”

Help the Customer

“Our clients have always been the heart of our business.

"I always believed that profits were something that come naturally at the end of the line, if you got the first part right - finding new ways to help the customer succeed."

“We had a lot to learn on the way to becoming a company that could be proud of its customer service, which was the goal, and it took us a long time to get there.”

All I ever set out to do was build a firm that serves the customer the way I’d want to be served myself.”

“We have never been the cheapest discount broker, but we have always tried to offer our customers the most value.

Every client interaction changes our company’s future - either to the positive or negative.”

“It was really one thing that bought us success: a zealous team of people on a mission that I fondly refer to as ‘Chuck’s secret sauce', all of them in lockstep pursuing a simple innovation, total empathy for our clients: make it better, easier, more successful for the investor. I call it the mother lode of our innovations, more important than any single technology or new product. It was building a company from a basic belief; view your decisions through your clients’ eyes.”

Nuisance Fees

“[In 2004] we were struggling to grow, and Schwab has always been a growth company. Now we were doing things to solve our problems that created difficulties for our clients. Our prices weren’t competitive, and we’d let some nuisance fees creep in. Walt Bettinger, who was then leading the branch network, called them gotcha fees, which we tried to avoid. We’d gotten harder to work with. We made our struggles into our clients’ problem, and that couldn’t stand.”

Walk The Floors

I had never paid much attention to what my competitors were doing. I did not waste time thinking about how to exploit their weaknesses. Instead, I was always keyed into my own clients. To me the trick was coming up with products and services that satisfied investor needs before anyone else did. Get out ahead and others would be playing catch up. .. The only way that works is if you have first hand knowledge. I got mine spending a lot of time in the branches - talking to customers, watching what they were doing, trying to understand what they were thinking.”

Cost Cutting

You can’t cut a company to greatness.”

Branch Offices

It turns out there is something about having a nearby presence that helps persuade people to do business with you.”

The branch offices turned out to be spectacular growth engines.. We opened somewhere and, boom, our business exploded by a factor of 15. Here, I saw, was the key to growth on a grand scale - the kind of growth I had been seeking ever since I founded Schwab.”

It took roughly four years on average for a branch to become profitable. Opening branches is expensive, it eats into profits. But not forever - that’s the key.”

Debt

“We face enough risk and uncertainty every day in our business, not just normal operating risk, like any other company, but also stock market risk. To compound that double uncertainty with a mountain of debt strikes me as unwise. Plus I spent too many years as a young man having to scratch and claw for money. If that means we keep more cash around than some analysts think is appropriate for maximising shareholder value, so be it.”

“[We’ve] always been conservative with the balance sheet.”

Wall Street

When it comes to telling tales aimed at garnering sales - as I know from hard experience - brokers are the best. I suffered my share of bubbles as a young investor.”

“Our employees weren’t compensated in a way that encouraged them to persuade clients to do more trading.”

Advertising - Social Proof

The biggest obstacle we had to overcome was a perceived lack of credibility. Most of our customers knew us only as a telephone number… One way we fought that perception was the same way McDonald’s did - by counting our customers and bragging constantly about our growing numbers; ‘16,000 investors can’t be wrong,’ we said in one of our early newspaper ads.”

“Nothing compares to the word of mouth that results from good PR. It was true then, and is truer today, with the explosion of social media.”

“[Our agency] floated the idea of using my picture as the centrepiece for all our print advertising .. We had to find a way to personalise our clients relationship with the firm, or we were just a phone number and a mailing address.”

Acquisitions

A lesson about acquisitions: understand the culture you’re buying, really figure that one out. Is it compatible with yours? Or do you have an opportunity to transform their culture so it aligns with yours?”

“You get so confident about things, willing to do anything to acquire companies, but you still have to do your analysis to see, ‘Does it really fit?’ In my experience, the biggest potential problem, is always culture.”

Summary

Schwab’s initial competitive advantage exploited the changes in regulated commissions at a time the incumbent brokers refused to compete for fear of lost revenue. Like Amazon’s AWS in cloud computing and Starbucks’ Coffee Shops, this provided a long runway for growth before like-minded competition entered.

A culture of continuous innovation coupled with an unrelenting focus on satisfying customer needs fed Schwab’s unbridled demand for growth. The willingness to adopt a longer term view allowed the business to sacrifice near term profits as technology spend ramped to further automate and scale. This provided the opportunity to cut prices and grow volume, dissuading others from entering the market while widening the company’s competitive advantage. Investors, whether employee owners, shareholders, or customers of the Charles Schwab company have been amply rewarded.

Finally, Charles Schwab is an optimist. After more than forty years witnessing investor behaviour and umpteen markets dislocations, he vehemently maintains optimism is the right mindset for an investor. Self awareness is another key component. For as Chuck says, in good times or bad:

Sometimes the most important competitor you confront is yourself.

The post Investment Lessons from Charles Schwab appeared first on ValueWalk.

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Analyzing Capital Market Trends

As the industrial market sees some cooling from pandemic-era highs and financing tightens, what should owners and investors expect over the next 12-18…

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As the industrial market sees some cooling from pandemic-era highs and financing tightens, what should owners and investors expect over the next 12-18 months? Four national experts took the stage at I.CON West to discuss what lies ahead for this popular asset class.  

Capital Raising is Down, Cash is King 

Overall, institutional capital raising was down 30-40% in 2023. Institutional investors have been wary of open-ended funds, portfolios have been trimmed and deals are happening increasingly in cash. Considering the current lending environment, more investors prefer unlevered deals.  

“I’m always surprised how many groups out there are willing to buy all cash,” said Christy Gahr, director of capital markets, North America, Realterm. “It’s taken off over the last year, especially when the cost of debt is 6%.” 

The private equity market is active, and panelists said they see more investment coming from end users. On the debt side, banks are shying away from speculative development projects and focused on smaller transactions last year. Some investors are taking more of a “rifle shot” approach by focusing on targeted, specific projects rather than casting a wide net. There is also interest from life companies that have some liquidity to invest in stabilized industrial product in first-tier markets. 

Not Much Distress, But More Scrutiny 

PJ Charlton, chief investment officer, CenterPoint Properties, commented he wasn’t seeing much distress and certainly not at 2009 levels. However, there are motivated sellers. It is a suitable time to sell assets out of a fund due to the high leasing rates and spectacular rent growth. “Most sellers today have a reason,” said Tim Walsh, chief investment officer, Dermody, “whether it’s a balance sheet-motivated, whether it’s related to some sort of tax structuring or promises they’ve made to investors.” 

What has changed over the past 2-3 years is the approach of investment committees. “Back then it was about aggregation,” said Charlton. “It was all in on industrial… rents were growing 15% a year, cap rates are down another 50 basis points. Interest rates are 3%…  Investment committees are reading every page and scrutinizing every word now. It’s a much more discerning buyer than it was three years ago,” he said. Investment committees are focusing on projects in healthy rent growth markets such as New Jersey, Los Angeles and Miami with $50-$150 million deal ranges.  

“There is a thesis that there’s a slowdown in developments in all our markets,” said Walsh. “Everyone sees it. There are some submarkets where there weren’t any groundbreakings in the first quarter.” However, there will be an overall return to a balanced supply and demand dynamic. 

Embracing ESG 

Investors and tenants are increasingly recognizing the importance of ESG, and the panel agreed bigger credit and quality tenants tend to be more environmentally focused. Dermody has increased its environmental standards, making sure each of their building roofs can structurally support solar panels and installing piping and wiring the parking lots for electric charging. “There is a lot of noise out there when it comes to NIMBYism,” said Walsh, “And I think we need to do more to promote the modern environmentally sensitive product that we’re all building.” 

Additionally, power supply is becoming more of a concern. “Several years ago, everyone was talking about having the right amount of parking. Now the hot topic is having access to power supply,” said Charlton. Several Fortune 500 companies, including FedEx, have promised to reduce their carbon footprint quickly and that means access to electrified parking. “What we’re seeing is that parking is even more important because now you have fleets that need to be able to charge two or three times a day in last-mile distribution facilities,” said Gahr. “It will change aspects of how we invest and how we underwrite and think about what our properties need to be able to provide our users.”  

Nearshoring and Onshoring  

Jack Fraker, president and global head of industrial and logistics capital markets for Newmark, turned the discussion to what is happening near the U.S.-Mexico border and asked the panelists what they are seeing in terms of nearshoring. Gahr commented that so much has changed in a short period and cited several statistics. For example, since 2019, China alone has invested in more than 120 projects in Mexico and in over 18 million square feet of industrial space. U.S.-Mexico trade is now outpacing U.S.-China trade by more than 40%.  

“During the first half of 2023, $461 billion of goods passed through the U.S.-Mexico border, which is 44% higher than the value of goods between U.S. and China,” said Gahr. More than 150 foreign companies said in 2023 that they will open a new operation or expand into Mexico. These sectors include automotive, energy, manufacturing and IT.  

Texas cities Laredo and El Paso were identified as active border markets, and the panelists agreed the best-performing assets are going to be as close to the border as possible. In 2023, El Paso had over three million square feet in total net absorption with a market wide vacancy of less than 4%, according to CBRE. The panelists also discussed the tremendous amount of opportunity in Mexico, although many U.S. development companies have not yet chosen to invest there. Onshoring activity, such as a Samsung project in Austin, is also on the rise. 

Overall, the panel remained optimistic about investments, the economy and interest rates. Unemployment is below 4% and the economy is still growing. Additionally, the level of capital that’s sitting in money markets right now is “at $6 trillion – and that’s $2 trillion higher than it was five years ago,” according to Walsh. “So, the giant pile of money persists. And it’s available as soon as people are comfortable coming off the sidelines.” 


This post is brought to you by JLL, the social media and conference blog sponsor of NAIOP’s I.CON West 2024. Learn more about JLL at www.us.jll.com or www.jll.ca.

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Centre for Doctoral Training in Diversity in Data Visualization awarded over £9m funding from the EPSRC

Announced today, a new Centre for Doctoral Training (CDT) has been funded by a grant of over £9 million from the Engineering and Physical Sciences Research…

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Announced today, a new Centre for Doctoral Training (CDT) has been funded by a grant of over £9 million from the Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) to help train the next, diverse generation of research leaders in data visualization.

A collaboration between City, University of London and the University of Warwick, the EPSRC Centre for Doctoral Training in Diversity in Data Visualization (DIVERSE CDT) will train 60 PhD students, in cohorts of 12 students, beginning in October 2025. The set-up phase will begin in July 2024.

The funding announcement is part of a wider UK Research & Innovation (UKRI) announcement of the UK’s biggest-ever investment in engineering and physical sciences postgraduate skills, totalling more than £1 billion.

DIVERSE CDT will be supported by 19 partner organisations, including the Natural History Museum, the Ordnance Survey, and the Centre for Applied Education Research.

Data Visualization is the practice of designing, developing and evaluating representations of complex data – the kinds of data that lie at the heart of every organization – to enable more people to make real-world use of a source of information which is otherwise challenging to access.

Data visualization can be used to synthesise complex data into a clear story upon which actions can be based. From illustrating how the Covid-19 pandemic made countries poorer, to showing how the processing-power of cryptocurrencies may have driven up the price of high-street graphics cards; data visualization is crucial to society obtaining meaning from data.

However, no current CDT focuses upon training its students in data visualization. This is despite government’s Department of Digital, Media, Culture and Sport listing data visualization as one of the top five skills needed by businesses – with 23% of businesses saying that their sector has insufficient capacity. Likewise, Wiley’s Digital Skills Gap Index, 2021, listed data visualization as the third most needed business and organisational skill for employees to succeed in the workplace in the next five years.

Key innovations of DIVERSE CDT will include students:

Credit: Alex Kachkaev and Jo Wood, City, University of London

Announced today, a new Centre for Doctoral Training (CDT) has been funded by a grant of over £9 million from the Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) to help train the next, diverse generation of research leaders in data visualization.

A collaboration between City, University of London and the University of Warwick, the EPSRC Centre for Doctoral Training in Diversity in Data Visualization (DIVERSE CDT) will train 60 PhD students, in cohorts of 12 students, beginning in October 2025. The set-up phase will begin in July 2024.

The funding announcement is part of a wider UK Research & Innovation (UKRI) announcement of the UK’s biggest-ever investment in engineering and physical sciences postgraduate skills, totalling more than £1 billion.

DIVERSE CDT will be supported by 19 partner organisations, including the Natural History Museum, the Ordnance Survey, and the Centre for Applied Education Research.

Data Visualization is the practice of designing, developing and evaluating representations of complex data – the kinds of data that lie at the heart of every organization – to enable more people to make real-world use of a source of information which is otherwise challenging to access.

Data visualization can be used to synthesise complex data into a clear story upon which actions can be based. From illustrating how the Covid-19 pandemic made countries poorer, to showing how the processing-power of cryptocurrencies may have driven up the price of high-street graphics cards; data visualization is crucial to society obtaining meaning from data.

However, no current CDT focuses upon training its students in data visualization. This is despite government’s Department of Digital, Media, Culture and Sport listing data visualization as one of the top five skills needed by businesses – with 23% of businesses saying that their sector has insufficient capacity. Likewise, Wiley’s Digital Skills Gap Index, 2021, listed data visualization as the third most needed business and organisational skill for employees to succeed in the workplace in the next five years.

Key innovations of DIVERSE CDT will include students:

  • undertaking and relating a series of applied studies with world-leading industrial and academic partners through a structured internship programme and an exchange programme with 18 leading international labs
     
  • using an interactive digital notebook for recording, reflection and reporting which becomes a “thesis” for examination, in lieu of the traditional doctoral thesis, and in line with current best practice in data visualization methodology
     
  • being provided with tools that mitigate against the dreaded isolation that PhD students fear, including opportunities for cohort reflection and supportive inclusion via enriching and inclusive processes for admissions, support, and a research environment that addresses barriers for students from under-represented backgrounds; specifically students who identify as female, students from ethnic minority backgrounds and students from lower socio-economic groups.

DIVERSE CDT will be led by Professor Stephanie Wilson, Co-Director of the Centre for HCI Design (HCID) and Professor Jason Dykes, Professor of Visualization and Co-Director of the giCentre, both of the School of Science & Technology at City, University of London.

Members of DIVERSE CDT’s interdisciplinary team include:

  • Professor Cagatay Turkay and Dr Gregory McInerny from the Centre for Interdisciplinary Methodologies, University of Warwick
  • Dr Sara Jones, Reader in Creative Interactive System Design, Bayes Business School at City
  • Professor Rachel Cohen, Professor in Sociology, Work and Employment, School of Policy & Global Affairs at City
  • Professor Jo Wood, Professor of Visual Analytics, and Dr Marjahan Begum, Lecturer in Computer Science, School of Science & Technology at City
  • Ian Gibbs, Head of Academic Enterprise at City.
     

Reflecting on DIVERSE CDT, Co-Principal Investigator, Professor Stephanie Wilson said:

“This funding represents a significant investment from the EPSRC and partner organisations in our vision of an innovative approach to doctoral training. We are delighted to have the opportunity to train a new and diverse generation of PhD students to become future leaders in data visualization.”

Professor Cagatay Turkay said:

“I am thrilled to see this investment for this exciting initiative that brings City and Warwick together to train the next generation of data visualization leaders. Together with our stellar partner organisations, DIVERSE CDT will deliver a transformative training programme that will underpin pioneering interdisciplinary data visualization research that not only innovates in methods and techniques but also delivers meaningful change in the world.”

Dr Sara Jones said:

“I’m really excited to be part of this great new initiative, sharing some of the innovative approaches we’ve developed through the interdisciplinary Centre for Creativity in Professional Practice and Masters in Innovation, Creativity and Leadership, and applying them in this important field.”

Professor Rachel Cohen said:

“DIVERSE CDT puts City at the heart of interdisciplinary data visualization. Data are increasingly part of the social science and policy agenda and it is imperative that those charged with visualizing data understand both the technical and social implications of visualization”

“The CDT is committed to developing and widening the group of people who have the cutting-edge skills needed to visualize, interpret and represent key aspects of our everyday lives. As such it marks a huge step forward both in terms of skill development and representation.”

Professor Leanne Aitken, Vice-President (Research), City, University of London, said:

“Growing the number of doctoral students we prepare in the interdisciplinary field of data visualization is core to our research strategy at City. Doctoral students represent the future of research and expand the capacity and impact of our research. The strength of the DIVERSE CDT is that it draws together our commitment to providing a supportive environment for students from all backgrounds to undertake applied research that challenges current practices in partnership with a range of commercial, public and third sector organisations. This represents an exciting expansion in our doctoral training provision.”

Professor Charlotte Deane, Executive Chair of the EPSRC, part of UKRI, said:

“The Centres for Doctoral Training announced today will help to prepare the next generation of researchers, specialists and industry experts across a wide range of sectors and industries.

“Spanning locations across the UK and a wide range of disciplines, the new centres are a vivid illustration of the UK’s depth of expertise and potential, which will help us to tackle large-scale, complex challenges and benefit society and the economy.

“The high calibre of both the new centres and applicants is a testament to the abundance of research excellence across the UK, and EPSRC’s role as part of UKRI is to invest in this excellence to advance knowledge and deliver a sustainable, resilient and prosperous nation.”

Science and Technology Secretary, Michelle Donelan, said:

“As innovators across the world break new ground faster than ever, it is vital that government, business and academia invests in ambitious UK talent, giving them the tools to pioneer new discoveries that benefit all our lives while creating new jobs and growing the economy.

“By targeting critical technologies including artificial intelligence and future telecoms, we are supporting world class universities across the UK to build the skills base we need to unleash the potential of future tech and maintain our country’s reputation as a hub of cutting-edge research and development.”

ENDS

Notes to editors

Contact details:

To speak to City, University of London collaborators, contact Dr Shamim Quadir, Senior Communications Officer, School of Science & Technology, City, University of London. Tel: +44(0) 207 040 8782 Email: shamim.quadir@city.ac.uk. 

To speak to University of Warwick collaborators contact Annie Slinn, Communications Officer, University of Warwick. Tel: +44 (0)7392 125 605 Email: annie.slinn@warwick.ac.uk

Further information

Example data visualization (image)

Bridges – Alex Kachaev and Jo Wood.

Link to image: bit.ly/3Iy3BRz Credit: Alex Kachkaev and Jo Wood, City, University of London

Data visualization for the Museum of London by Alex Kachkaev (a PhD student) with supervisor Joseph Wood, illustrating where people in London congregate in both inside and outside spaces, showing how a creative use of data can be used to build a picture of human behaviour.

Collaborating labs

Collaborators on the international exchange programme comprise the world’s leading visualization research labs, including the Visualization Group at Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), USA,  the Embodied Visualisation Group, Monash University, Australia;  Georgia Tech, USA;  AVIZ, France; the DataXExperience Lab, University of Calgary, Canada,  and the ixLab, Simon Fraser University, Canada.

About the funder

The Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) is the main funding body for engineering and physical sciences research in the UK. Our portfolio covers a vast range of fields from digital technologies to clean energy, manufacturing to mathematics, advanced materials to chemistry. 

EPSRC invests in world-leading research and skills, advancing knowledge and delivering a sustainable, resilient and prosperous UK. We support new ideas and transformative technologies which are the foundations of innovation, improving our economy, environment and society. Working in partnership and co-investing with industry, we deliver against national and global priorities.

About City, University of London

City, University of London is the University of business, practice and the professions.  

City attracts around 20,000 students (over 40 per cent at postgraduate level) from more than 150 countries and staff from over 75 countries. In recent years City has made significant investments in its academic staff, its infrastructure, and its estate. 

City’s academic range is broadly-based with world-leading strengths in business; law; health sciences; mathematics; computer science; engineering; social sciences; and the arts including journalism, dance and music. 

Our research is impactful, engaged and at the frontier of practice. In the last REF (2021) 86 per cent of City research was rated as world leading 4* (40%) and internationally excellent 3* (46%).  

We are committed to our students and to supporting them to get good jobs. City was one of the biggest improvers in the top half of the table in the Complete University Guide (CUG) 2023 and is 15th in UK for ‘graduate prospects on track’. 

Over 150,000 former students in 170 countries are members of the City Alumni Network.  

Under the leadership of our new President, Professor Sir Anthony Finkelstein, we have developed an ambitious new strategy that will direct the next phase of our development.  


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Economic Trends, Risks and the Industrial Market

By a show of hands, I.CON West keynote speaker Christine Cooper, Ph.D., managing director and chief U.S. economist with CoStar Group, polled attendees…

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By a show of hands, I.CON West keynote speaker Christine Cooper, Ph.D., managing director and chief U.S. economist with CoStar Group, polled attendees on their economic outlook – was it bright or bleak? The group responded largely positively, with most indicating they felt the economy was doing better than not.  

Four years ago, the World Health Organization declared COVID-19 a global pandemic, seemingly halting life as we knew it. And although those early days of the pandemic seem like a long time ago, we’re still in recovery from two of its major consequences: 1) the $4 trillion in economic stimulus that the U.S. government showered on consumers; and 2) the aggressive monetary policies that have created ripple effects on the industrial markets. 

Cooper began with an overview of the economic environment, which she called “the good news.” The nation’s GDP is strong, and the economy gained momentum in the second half of 2023 – we saw economic growth of 4.9% and 3.2% in Q3 and Q4 respectively — much higher than expected. “The reason is consumers,” Cooper said. “When things get tough, we go shopping. This generates sales and economic activity. But how long can it last?” 

Consumer sentiment continues to be healthy, and employment is good, although a shortage of workers could impact that moving forward. The U.S. added 275,000 jobs in January, far exceeding expectations. “The Fed raising interest rates hasn’t done what it normally does – slow job growth and the economy,” said Cooper. In addition, the $4 trillion given to keep households afloat during the pandemic has simply padded checking accounts, she said, as consumers couldn’t immediately spend the money because everyone was staying home, and the supply chain was clogged. The money was banked, and there’s still a lot of it to be spent. 

Cooper addressed economic risks and the weak points that industrial real estate professionals should be mindful of right now, including mortgage rates that remain at 20-year highs, stalling the housing market, particularly for new home buyers. Mid-pandemic years of 2020-2021 had strong home sales, driven by people moving out of the city or roommates dividing into two properties for more space and protection against the virus. Homeowners who refinanced in the early stages of the pandemic were fortunate and aren’t willing to list their houses for sale quite yet. 

“The housing market is a big driver of industrial demand – think furniture, appliances and all the durable goods that go into a home. This equates to warehouse space demand,” said Cooper. 

Interest rates on consumer credit are spiking and leading economic indexes are still signaling a recession ahead. Financial markets are indicating the same, with a current probability of 61.5% that we will be in a recession by 2025. However, Cooper said, while all signs point to a recession, economists everywhere say the same thing as the economy seemingly continues to surprise us: “This time is different.” 

Consumers are still holding the economy up with solid job and wage gains, yet higher borrowing costs are weighing on business activity and the housing market. Inflation has eased meaningfully but remains a bit too high for comfort. We’ve so far avoided the recession that everyone predicted, and the Federal Reserve appears ready to cut rates this year.  

For the industrial markets, the good news is that retailer corporate profits are beginning to bounce back after slowing in 2021 and 2022, with retail sales accelerating.  

A slowdown in industrial space absorption was reflected in all the key markets – Atlanta, Chicago, Columbus, Dallas-Fort Worth, Houston, the Inland Empire, Los Angeles, New Jersey and Phoenix – but was worst in the southern California markets, which have since been rebounding.  

“Supply responded to strong demand,” Cooper said. “In 2021, 307 million square feet were delivered, followed by 395 million in 2022. In 2023, we saw 534 million square feet delivered – that’s almost 33% higher than the year before.” 

The top 20 markets for 2023 deliveries measured by square feet are the expected hot spots: Dallas-Fort Worth (71 million square feet) leads the pack by almost double its follower of Chicago (37 million), then Houston (35 million), Phoenix (30 million) and Atlanta (29 million). Measured by share of inventory, emerging markets like Spartanburg, Pennsylvania, topped the list at 15 million square feet, followed by Austin (10 million), Phoenix and Dallas-Fort Worth (7 million), and Columbus (6 million). 

“Developers are more focused on big box distribution projects, and 90% of what’s being delivered is 100,000 square feet or more,” Cooper said. Around 400 million square feet of space currently under construction is unleased, in addition to the around 400,000 square feet that remained unleased in 2023. “Putting supply and demand together, industrial vacancy rate is rising and could peak at 6-7% in 2024,” she said. 

In conclusion, Cooper said that industrial real estate is rebalancing from its boom-and-bust years. Pandemic-related demands and accelerated e-commerce growth created a surge in 2021 and 2022, and the strong supply response that began in 2022 will continue to unfold through 2024. With rising interest rates putting a damper on demand in 2023, vacancies began to move higher and will continue to rise this year.  

“Consumers are spending and will continue to do so, and interest rates are likely to fall this year,” said Cooper. “We can hope for a recovery from the full effects of the pandemic in 2025.” 


This post is brought to you by JLL, the social media and conference blog sponsor of NAIOP’s I.CON West 2024. Learn more about JLL at www.us.jll.com or www.jll.ca.

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