Connect with us

Uncategorized

Bringing the real estate transaction to the end zone

Former NFL player and top-producing broker-owner Terrence Murphy shares the keys to his success on and off the gridiron.

Published

on

Terrence Murphy

From the end zone to luxury open houses, Terrence Murphy is proof that an entrepreneurial spirit is the key to success in nearly everything. 

Murphy is not only a legendary football player, he is also a top-producing real estate agent, investor and broker-owner. He leads TM5 Properties, powered by eXp Realty, which has won the Inc. 5000 several times. He even hosts a podcast, despite describing himself as an introvert. 

Despite the tight market, Murphy has amassed more than 75 listings above $1 million. Below, he spoke with HousingWire about his career in real estate and as a professional football player. Throughout it all, Murphy said, “Books, God and my wife are my triangle of success.” 

HousingWire: Before we discuss your current career in real estate, tell us a bit more about your past experience as an athlete. 

Terrence Murphy: I was a quarterback out of East Texas, and I had 20 Division One offers to play quarterback. I had a lot of really good offers because of my GPA scores and my background, so I actually got full-ride academic offers before I ever got a full athletic scholarship. 

I chose to go to Texas A&M and played football as a two-time team captain; a two-time, first-team all-conference; and two All-American records. I also broke several school records. I’m most proud of my three-time, academic all-conference record. It was really important to me, and my mom, to not just go to school to score touchdowns but to do really well in the classroom as well. 

Back then, a lot of freshmen got red-shirted. I actually came in on the first game of the year, and as a true freshman, caught the game-winning touchdown in the fourth quarter with two minutes left. To come from humble beginnings — I wasn’t a big-time recruit — and catch that game-winning touchdown, really set my career on the right path. 

My next step was getting drafted. I was projected to go in the top 15 as a receiver. Aaron Rodgers was the first pick for Green Bay that year and I was the second pick. In that same season, I got injured. Today, everyone knows Damar Hamlin’s name because of his cardiac arrest. A very similar thing happened to me on Monday Night Football. It forced me to retire because I had neck injuries. 

HW: How did you make the transition to real estate? What inspired that move? 

TM: I had to rebuild myself mentally, spiritually and physically. I was in a transition, thinking, “What am I going to do with my life?” 

I ended up doubling down on my financial literacy. When the stock market hit in 2008, I went to my financial advisor and told him to take out all my money. He challenged me and said, “What are you going to do?” So, I went to Barnes and Noble, and I started buying real estate books, investment books and financial books. I read Robert Kiyosaki’s book, “Who Took My Money?” That is what set me on my real estate path. That book changed my life. 

As I fully transitioned into real estate, I started investing with a group called Stillwater Capital in Dallas. They gave me my first taste of real estate investing. After three years of investing with them, I told my wife I wanted to move back to College Station and start doing real estate there. I was still reading books and teaching myself how to become a real estate investor and entrepreneur. So, I started buying houses around campus.

I tried to get mentors, and I would knock on people’s doors, but no one ever had time for me, which was the total opposite of what I expected. I thought, “Man, I was the face of Texas A&M football and an NFL draft pick,” but the world thinks we just had stuff laid out for us and it wasn’t. So, I had to build everything on my own. 

HW: What was the greatest learning curve getting into a new industry? 

TM: I taught myself through trial and error. That is where I cut my teeth. After doing that for a couple of years, people started to ask me to help them learn the business. I ended up getting my license with Keller Williams. In that first year, I did seven transactions for $1 million, and I was frustrated because I knew I could do better than that. I left after only doing seven transactions, and I started my own brokerage. Everyone told me not to do that, but that’s part of being an athlete; you just blaze out there.

I started TM5 with no broker help, no training or anything. Since then, I’ve scaled the business with my team to $1.4 billion in sales in eight years. Now, I have 52 companies under the Terrence Murphy company portfolio. They are either companies that I founded and created or ones that I acquired. But back then, I started winning awards like Inc. 5000, and realized that I knew something about being an entrepreneur. That was when we started scaling and doing everything that we are doing. 

HW: Having more than 50 businesses under your portfolio is impressive. Obviously, partnerships and strong business relationships have played a big role in your ability to scale that way.  How do you think you’ve best-used partnerships to grow your business? 

TM: I didn’t have a specific mentor, so God has truly been my mentor. I just figured most of this out on my own. My wife has played such an interesting role. She’s been my business partner and she is very sharp. She helps me execute my visions and integrate them. She’s my right hand in building these companies. We funded everything on our own and we sacrificed. I remember that I ate sack lunches for a year straight. All the money I could have spent going out for lunch, I spent on books. 

Other than that, it is all about hiring the right people. You need people that can get behind a vision. I can cast a vision and create a picture for people; that is a gift of mine. But having a team that can help me execute is key. 

God, those books and my wife have been the triangle to success. 

HW: What does the market look like in your area? 

TM: Texas is a very unique place with the interest rates being at an all-time high. It is stable but unique. There are four major housing markets: Houston, Austin, Dallas and San Antonio. College Station is right in the center of them all. 

Just last week, I closed another $3 million listing. I’ve done about 75 listings in the range of $1 million to $7 million. High-end homes and luxury ranches are my specialty. Those stats are just me personally, not my brokerage or team. 

It goes to show that no matter what the interest rates are, high-net-worth individuals are buying luxury real estate. And they mostly pay cash for these properties.

I didn’t start there but, obviously, that’s what I’ve worked my way up to as a broker.

HW: What lessons from your football career helped you in the real estate business? 

TM: One of the biggest similarities is the importance of team culture. If you get one bad apple in the bunch who is negative, makes excuses and doesn’t work hard, then they can corrupt the whole team. Now, I get why coaches used to make guys run. I get why coaches used to bench people or cut players because they can really hurt the whole team environment. I recognized that similarity quickly. 

One of the hardest things I’ve realized is that to scale a business, you need people. I can sell a lot of high-end ranches by myself, but I can’t get to everybody. So who on my team can create a similar experience as me? I studied the Starbucks business model and learned a lot about how they run their business. 

Back when I was in high school, I had an underdog story. In my sophomore year, my high school record was 0-10. Junior year it was 1-9.

Going into my senior year, our school hadn’t signed a Division One recruit in 10 years, but I was walking around telling everybody that I was going to be one of them, that I was going to play in the NFL. People thought I was delusional. That is the reason I worked so hard to take the opportunities that were put in front of me. 

Read More

Continue Reading

Uncategorized

February Employment Situation

By Paul Gomme and Peter Rupert The establishment data from the BLS showed a 275,000 increase in payroll employment for February, outpacing the 230,000…

Published

on

By Paul Gomme and Peter Rupert

The establishment data from the BLS showed a 275,000 increase in payroll employment for February, outpacing the 230,000 average over the previous 12 months. The payroll data for January and December were revised down by a total of 167,000. The private sector added 223,000 new jobs, the largest gain since May of last year.

Temporary help services employment continues a steep decline after a sharp post-pandemic rise.

Average hours of work increased from 34.2 to 34.3. The increase, along with the 223,000 private employment increase led to a hefty increase in total hours of 5.6% at an annualized rate, also the largest increase since May of last year.

The establishment report, once again, beat “expectations;” the WSJ survey of economists was 198,000. Other than the downward revisions, mentioned above, another bit of negative news was a smallish increase in wage growth, from $34.52 to $34.57.

The household survey shows that the labor force increased 150,000, a drop in employment of 184,000 and an increase in the number of unemployed persons of 334,000. The labor force participation rate held steady at 62.5, the employment to population ratio decreased from 60.2 to 60.1 and the unemployment rate increased from 3.66 to 3.86. Remember that the unemployment rate is the number of unemployed relative to the labor force (the number employed plus the number unemployed). Consequently, the unemployment rate can go up if the number of unemployed rises holding fixed the labor force, or if the labor force shrinks holding the number unemployed unchanged. An increase in the unemployment rate is not necessarily a bad thing: it may reflect a strong labor market drawing “marginally attached” individuals from outside the labor force. Indeed, there was a 96,000 decline in those workers.

Earlier in the week, the BLS announced JOLTS (Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey) data for January. There isn’t much to report here as the job openings changed little at 8.9 million, the number of hires and total separations were little changed at 5.7 million and 5.3 million, respectively.

As has been the case for the last couple of years, the number of job openings remains higher than the number of unemployed persons.

Also earlier in the week the BLS announced that productivity increased 3.2% in the 4th quarter with output rising 3.5% and hours of work rising 0.3%.

The bottom line is that the labor market continues its surprisingly (to some) strong performance, once again proving stronger than many had expected. This strength makes it difficult to justify any interest rate cuts soon, particularly given the recent inflation spike.

Read More

Continue Reading

Uncategorized

Mortgage rates fall as labor market normalizes

Jobless claims show an expanding economy. We will only be in a recession once jobless claims exceed 323,000 on a four-week moving average.

Published

on

Everyone was waiting to see if this week’s jobs report would send mortgage rates higher, which is what happened last month. Instead, the 10-year yield had a muted response after the headline number beat estimates, but we have negative job revisions from previous months. The Federal Reserve’s fear of wage growth spiraling out of control hasn’t materialized for over two years now and the unemployment rate ticked up to 3.9%. For now, we can say the labor market isn’t tight anymore, but it’s also not breaking.

The key labor data line in this expansion is the weekly jobless claims report. Jobless claims show an expanding economy that has not lost jobs yet. We will only be in a recession once jobless claims exceed 323,000 on a four-week moving average.

From the Fed: In the week ended March 2, initial claims for unemployment insurance benefits were flat, at 217,000. The four-week moving average declined slightly by 750, to 212,250


Below is an explanation of how we got here with the labor market, which all started during COVID-19.

1. I wrote the COVID-19 recovery model on April 7, 2020, and retired it on Dec. 9, 2020. By that time, the upfront recovery phase was done, and I needed to model out when we would get the jobs lost back.

2. Early in the labor market recovery, when we saw weaker job reports, I doubled and tripled down on my assertion that job openings would get to 10 million in this recovery. Job openings rose as high as to 12 million and are currently over 9 million. Even with the massive miss on a job report in May 2021, I didn’t waver.

Currently, the jobs openings, quit percentage and hires data are below pre-COVID-19 levels, which means the labor market isn’t as tight as it once was, and this is why the employment cost index has been slowing data to move along the quits percentage.  

2-US_Job_Quits_Rate-1-2

3. I wrote that we should get back all the jobs lost to COVID-19 by September of 2022. At the time this would be a speedy labor market recovery, and it happened on schedule, too

Total employment data

4. This is the key one for right now: If COVID-19 hadn’t happened, we would have between 157 million and 159 million jobs today, which would have been in line with the job growth rate in February 2020. Today, we are at 157,808,000. This is important because job growth should be cooling down now. We are more in line with where the labor market should be when averaging 140K-165K monthly. So for now, the fact that we aren’t trending between 140K-165K means we still have a bit more recovery kick left before we get down to those levels. 




From BLS: Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 275,000 in February, and the unemployment rate increased to 3.9 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job gains occurred in health care, in government, in food services and drinking places, in social assistance, and in transportation and warehousing.

Here are the jobs that were created and lost in the previous month:

IMG_5092

In this jobs report, the unemployment rate for education levels looks like this:

  • Less than a high school diploma: 6.1%
  • High school graduate and no college: 4.2%
  • Some college or associate degree: 3.1%
  • Bachelor’s degree or higher: 2.2%
IMG_5093_320f22

Today’s report has continued the trend of the labor data beating my expectations, only because I am looking for the jobs data to slow down to a level of 140K-165K, which hasn’t happened yet. I wouldn’t categorize the labor market as being tight anymore because of the quits ratio and the hires data in the job openings report. This also shows itself in the employment cost index as well. These are key data lines for the Fed and the reason we are going to see three rate cuts this year.

Read More

Continue Reading

Uncategorized

Inside The Most Ridiculous Jobs Report In History: Record 1.2 Million Immigrant Jobs Added In One Month

Inside The Most Ridiculous Jobs Report In History: Record 1.2 Million Immigrant Jobs Added In One Month

Last month we though that the January…

Published

on

Inside The Most Ridiculous Jobs Report In History: Record 1.2 Million Immigrant Jobs Added In One Month

Last month we though that the January jobs report was the "most ridiculous in recent history" but, boy, were we wrong because this morning the Biden department of goalseeked propaganda (aka BLS) published the February jobs report, and holy crap was that something else. Even Goebbels would blush. 

What happened? Let's take a closer look.

On the surface, it was (almost) another blockbuster jobs report, certainly one which nobody expected, or rather just one bank out of 76 expected. Starting at the top, the BLS reported that in February the US unexpectedly added 275K jobs, with just one research analyst (from Dai-Ichi Research) expecting a higher number.

Some context: after last month's record 4-sigma beat, today's print was "only" 3 sigma higher than estimates. Needless to say, two multiple sigma beats in a row used to only happen in the USSR... and now in the US, apparently.

Before we go any further, a quick note on what last month we said was "the most ridiculous jobs report in recent history": it appears the BLS read our comments and decided to stop beclowing itself. It did that by slashing last month's ridiculous print by over a third, and revising what was originally reported as a massive 353K beat to just 229K,  a 124K revision, which was the biggest one-month negative revision in two years!

Of course, that does not mean that this month's jobs print won't be revised lower: it will be, and not just that month but every other month until the November election because that's the only tool left in the Biden admin's box: pretend the economic and jobs are strong, then revise them sharply lower the next month, something we pointed out first last summer and which has not failed to disappoint once.

To be fair, not every aspect of the jobs report was stellar (after all, the BLS had to give it some vague credibility). Take the unemployment rate, after flatlining between 3.4% and 3.8% for two years - and thus denying expectations from Sahm's Rule that a recession may have already started - in February the unemployment rate unexpectedly jumped to 3.9%, the highest since February 2022 (with Black unemployment spiking by 0.3% to 5.6%, an indicator which the Biden admin will quickly slam as widespread economic racism or something).

And then there were average hourly earnings, which after surging 0.6% MoM in January (since revised to 0.5%) and spooking markets that wage growth is so hot, the Fed will have no choice but to delay cuts, in February the number tumbled to just 0.1%, the lowest in two years...

... for one simple reason: last month's average wage surge had nothing to do with actual wages, and everything to do with the BLS estimate of hours worked (which is the denominator in the average wage calculation) which last month tumbled to just 34.1 (we were led to believe) the lowest since the covid pandemic...

... but has since been revised higher while the February print rose even more, to 34.3, hence why the latest average wage data was once again a product not of wages going up, but of how long Americans worked in any weekly period, in this case higher from 34.1 to 34.3, an increase which has a major impact on the average calculation.

While the above data points were examples of some latent weakness in the latest report, perhaps meant to give it a sheen of veracity, it was everything else in the report that was a problem starting with the BLS's latest choice of seasonal adjustments (after last month's wholesale revision), which have gone from merely laughable to full clownshow, as the following comparison between the monthly change in BLS and ADP payrolls shows. The trend is clear: the Biden admin numbers are now clearly rising even as the impartial ADP (which directly logs employment numbers at the company level and is far more accurate), shows an accelerating slowdown.

But it's more than just the Biden admin hanging its "success" on seasonal adjustments: when one digs deeper inside the jobs report, all sorts of ugly things emerge... such as the growing unprecedented divergence between the Establishment (payrolls) survey and much more accurate Household (actual employment) survey. To wit, while in January the BLS claims 275K payrolls were added, the Household survey found that the number of actually employed workers dropped for the third straight month (and 4 in the past 5), this time by 184K (from 161.152K to 160.968K).

This means that while the Payrolls series hits new all time highs every month since December 2020 (when according to the BLS the US had its last month of payrolls losses), the level of Employment has not budged in the past year. Worse, as shown in the chart below, such a gaping divergence has opened between the two series in the past 4 years, that the number of Employed workers would need to soar by 9 million (!) to catch up to what Payrolls claims is the employment situation.

There's more: shifting from a quantitative to a qualitative assessment, reveals just how ugly the composition of "new jobs" has been. Consider this: the BLS reports that in February 2024, the US had 132.9 million full-time jobs and 27.9 million part-time jobs. Well, that's great... until you look back one year and find that in February 2023 the US had 133.2 million full-time jobs, or more than it does one year later! And yes, all the job growth since then has been in part-time jobs, which have increased by 921K since February 2023 (from 27.020 million to 27.941 million).

Here is a summary of the labor composition in the past year: all the new jobs have been part-time jobs!

But wait there's even more, because now that the primary season is over and we enter the heart of election season and political talking points will be thrown around left and right, especially in the context of the immigration crisis created intentionally by the Biden administration which is hoping to import millions of new Democratic voters (maybe the US can hold the presidential election in Honduras or Guatemala, after all it is their citizens that will be illegally casting the key votes in November), what we find is that in February, the number of native-born workers tumbled again, sliding by a massive 560K to just 129.807 million. Add to this the December data, and we get a near-record 2.4 million plunge in native-born workers in just the past 3 months (only the covid crash was worse)!

The offset? A record 1.2 million foreign-born (read immigrants, both legal and illegal but mostly illegal) workers added in February!

Said otherwise, not only has all job creation in the past 6 years has been exclusively for foreign-born workers...

Source: St Louis Fed FRED Native Born and Foreign Born

... but there has been zero job-creation for native born workers since June 2018!

This is a huge issue - especially at a time of an illegal alien flood at the southwest border...

... and is about to become a huge political scandal, because once the inevitable recession finally hits, there will be millions of furious unemployed Americans demanding a more accurate explanation for what happened - i.e., the illegal immigration floodgates that were opened by the Biden admin.

Which is also why Biden's handlers will do everything in their power to insure there is no official recession before November... and why after the election is over, all economic hell will finally break loose. Until then, however, expect the jobs numbers to get even more ridiculous.

Tyler Durden Fri, 03/08/2024 - 13:30

Read More

Continue Reading

Trending