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Bayer 2020: End in sight

Bayer 2020: End in sight

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Close to settling the lawsuits filed against the company over Roundup, Bayer looks to the future and concentrates on the pharmaceutical pipeline.

By Christiane Truelove • chris.truelove@medadnews.com

 

 

 

 

Bayer AG
51368 Leverkusen, Germany
Telephone: +49 214 30-1
Website: bayer.com

 

FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE

(All figures are in millions of dollars, except EPS, and were translated using the Federal Reserve Board’s average rate of exchange in 2019: €1.1194)

2019

Revenue $48,744 

Net income $4,579 

EPS $4.67 

R&D expense $5,980 

1H 2020

Revenue $25,633 

Net income $(9,021) 

Diluted EPS $(9.18) 

R&D expense $2,764 

 

BEST-SELLING Rx PRODUCTS

(All sales are in millions of dollars and were translated using the Federal Reserve Board’s average rate of exchange in 2019: €1.1194)

2019

Xarelto $4,619  

Eylea $2,792  

Mirena, Kyleena, Jaydess  $1,369 

Kogenate, Kovaltry, Jivi $987         

Nexavar  $790 

Yasmin, Yaz, Yasminelle $762 

Glucobay $747 

Adalat $743 

Aspirin Cardio $648

Betaseron/Betaferon $512 

1H 2020

Xarelto $2,431  

Eylea $1,300              

Mirena, Kyleena, Jaydess $564                        

Kogenate, Kovaltry, Jivi $495          

Yasmin, Yaz, Yasminelle $375        

Nexavar $372              

Adalat  $354                  

Aspirin Cardio $354                

Stivarga $280  

Adempas $278                    

 

Outcomes Creativity Index Score: 6
Manny Awards – N/A
Cannes Lions – N/A
LIA: Health & Wellness – N/A
Clio Health – 5
One Show: HW&P – N/A
MM&M Awards – N/A
Global Awards – 1
Creative Floor Awards – N/A

 

For Bayer, 2019 was ultimately a successful year. “We achieved our operational objectives, pressed ahead diligently with the announced efficiency and structural measures, and completed the planned portfolio changes,” says Bayer Chairman Werner Baumann. “And, as promised, we defined ambitious sustainability goals to further boost our efforts in this area. In short: We’ve delivered.”

“I for my part will do all I can to lead Bayer successfully and sustainably over the next few years, for the benefit of our owners, our people and other stakeholder groups.” — Werner Baumann, Chairman

Bayer announced on Sept. 30, 2020, confirmation of the company’s adjusted outlook for the year, with 2021 sales expected at 2020 levels despite significant headwinds from the COVID-19 pandemic, especially in the agricultural market. Management says core earnings per share in 2021 are expected to be slightly below 2020 levels at constant exchange rates. To further advance Bayer in a market environment that continues to be challenging, the Board of Management decided to introduce additional operational savings of more than 1.5 billion euros annually as of 2024, on top of annual earnings contributions of 2.6 billion euros as of 2022, which were announced during November 2018. The incremental cash flow from these efforts will mainly be allocated for investments in additional innovation, profitable growth opportunities and debt reduction.

“We believe the additional measures are necessary to accelerate our overall transformation, generate margin improvements and thus maintain our competitive profile,” Baumann says. “They will help mitigate the impact of COVID-19 on our business. We must adapt our cost structures to the changes in market conditions and at the same time generate resources for further investment in innovation and growth. We also remain committed to reducing our net financial debt.”

Resolving Roundup

The company’s 2018 acquisition of Monsanto may have been the opportunity to give a huge boost to its Crop Science division, but it also came with a big headache: litigation over the glyphosate-based weed killer Roundup. These lawsuits “cast their shadow” over Bayer in 2019, according to Baumann, as the number of plaintiffs has grown further. “However, we remain firmly convinced that our glyphosate-based herbicides are safe and are not carcinogenic,” Baumann says.

Some progress was made in resolving these claims this year. In June, Bayer agreed to pay $11 billion to settle lawsuits, and in September, announced that progress has been made with plaintiffs’ class counsel on a revised class plan to manage and resolve potential future Roundup claims. 

As of the writing of this article, the details of the revised class plan were expected to be finalized over the coming weeks and a motion for preliminary approval was to be filed upon completion of the formal agreement. 

“The plan to manage and resolve potential future litigation aligns with Bayer’s longstanding position that it would consider a resolution as long as it could be reached on reasonable financial terms and addresses both current and potential future claims,” company executives stated. “In keeping with this holistic approach, the company will also proceed on an accelerated basis to finalize the preliminary agreements to resolve the current cases and claims that were announced on June 24.”

Bloomberg reported that the settlements in September resolve about 15,000 U.S. lawsuits, and that added to the 32,000 settlements previously disclosed by Ken Feinberg, the mediator overseeing the process. The company has previously stated that Bayer faces about 125,000 filed and unfiled Roundup claims.

As a sign of its trust, Bayer’s board of directors in September extended Baumann’s contract until April 30, 2024. Before the extension, Baumann’s contract would have expired at the 2021 Annual Stockholders’ Meeting. 

Baumann, 57, has worked for Bayer since 1988. He was appointed to the Board of Management in 2010 and has been Chairman since May 2016. 

“Bayer is strategically very well positioned as a focused life science company with leading businesses in the attractive growth markets of health and nutrition. This is particularly evident in light of the current challenges posed by the COVID-19 crisis. Bayer’s strategic strength and robust operational performance are due in large part to Werner Baumann and the entire management team,” commented Prof. Dr. Norbert Winkeljohann, Chairman of the Supervisory Board of Bayer AG. 

Under Baumann’s leadership, the priority of the next three and a half years is to successfully drive Bayer’s further development in a highly challenging environment, Winkeljohann said. 

This means overcoming the effects of the coronavirus crisis; setting the course for profitable growth after patent expirations for important products of the Pharmaceuticals Division; building on the leading position of the Crop Science business via innovation, digitalization and sustainability; accelerating growth at Consumer Health; and systematically continuing the efficiency and structural programs. 

“The Supervisory Board is firmly convinced that Werner Baumann is the right leader to advance this comprehensive transformation purposefully and resolutely,” Winkeljohann added. “His profound knowledge of Bayer’s markets, businesses, organization and strengths are key to this. We also expect that the glyphosate litigation will be handled in a way that is satisfactory for the company, makes economic sense, and is structured in a way that enables potential future cases to be efficiently resolved.”

Baumann stated that he was “very grateful” for the Supervisory Board’s trust in him. “And I’m also pleased that the Supervisory Board agreed to extend my contract until the end of April 2024 instead of the maximum possible four-year period – and thus accommodate my personal plans.” Baumann said. “I for my part will do all I can to lead Bayer successfully and sustainably over the next few years, for the benefit of our owners, our people and other stakeholder groups.”

Financial & product performances

Despite “a very challenging environment,” Baumann says Bayer achieved operational targets for 2019 with sales of €43.5 billion ($48.74 billion) and record EBITDA before special items of €11.5 billion ($12.88 billion). “Our business expanded in 2019,” Baumann says. “Pharmaceuticals posted strong growth in sales and earnings, with gains in China and the ongoing positive development of our products Xarelto and Eylea playing an especially important part. Consumer Health also expanded business on a currency- and portfolio-adjusted basis, while EBITDA before special items of this division came in at the prior-year level.”

Net income from continuing and discontinued operations totaled €4.09 billion ($4.58 billion) compared with €1.7 billion ($1.9 billion) in 2018. Earnings per share in 2019 more than doubled to €4.17 ($4.67) compared with €1.80 ($2.01), reflecting not just the rise in earnings from operations, but also the proceeds from the divestment of Bayer’s stake in Currenta (€1.6 billion) and other factors. 

While sales in the Crop Science Division came in a little lower than forecast, mainly due to the extreme weather in some regions and the negative impact this had on agriculture, Baumann says this was offset by the Pharmaceuticals business, which posted sales above expectations. Consumer Health sales also passed their target, he adds.

“We can therefore be very pleased with our operational performance last year,” Baumann says.

In the first half of 2020, the company achieved revenue of €22.9 billion ($25.63 billion), slightly less than in the same 2019 period. Net loss was €8.06 billion ($9.02 billion), compared with first-half 2019 net income of €1.65 billion ($1.84 billion). Loss per share totaled €8.20 ($9.18) compared with diluted earnings per share of €1.68 ($1.88) in first-half 2019.

The Pharmaceuticals Division achieved 2019 sales of €17.96 billion ($20.11 billion), 7.3 percent more than in 2018. Executives say this was due to continued strong growth in China and the performance of Xarelto and Eylea, as well as the encouraging development of the radiology business, which had a positive impact. 

First-half 2020 Pharmaceuticals sales were €8.54 billion ($9.56 billion), almost 3 percent less than in first-half 2019. Bayer executives say sales in the period were affected by the cancellation or postponement of visits to the doctor due to the global protective measures and contact restrictions in light of the COVID-19 pandemic; as a result, nonurgent treatments, in particular, were not carried out.

Bayer’s top 10 pharmaceutical products in 2019 sales were Xarelto, Eylea, the Mirena family; the Kogenate line, Nexavar, the Yaz group, Glucobay, Adalat, Aspirin Cardio, and Betaseron/Betaferon.

The blood thinner Xarelto achieved sales of €4.13 billion ($4.62 billion), an increase of 13.6 percent from 2018. In first-half 2020, the product generated €2.17 billion ($2.43 billion), an increase of 11.7 percent from first-half 2019. Management says sales grew largely as a result of higher volumes in China, Russia, and Germany. License revenues – recognized as sales – in the United States, where Xarelto is marketed by a Johnson & Johnson subsidiary, were up slightly year on year.

Eylea, for treating age-related macular degeneration and diabetic macular edema, was once again Bayer’s second best-selling drug, generating sales of €2.49 billion ($2.79 billion), 14.1 percent more than in 2018. Eylea sales in first-half 2020 were €1.16 billion ($1.3 billion), 2.2 percent less than in the same 2019 period. Management says sales of Eylea were down because of a reduced number of treatments, attributed to the closure of some eye hospitals and ophthalmology practices, and the extension of treatment intervals by patients due to the contact restrictions and stay-at-home measures in Europe. This development was partly offset by the launch of the Eylea prefilled syringe in Europe and Japan, and an overall volume increase in Japan resulting from changes in order patterns brought about by price reductions.

The Mirena birth control product family generated €1.22 billion ($1.37 billion) in 2019, 7 percent more than in 2018. Mirena sales in the first half of 2020 were €504 million ($564 million), down 18.6 percent versus the first half of 2019. The decline was because of substantially fewer product insertions, especially in the United States, with the pandemic causing many visits to the doctor to be canceled or postponed.

Once again fourth in sales was the hemophilia product line Kogenate, Kovaltry and Jivi, which posted €882 million ($987 million), 3.2 percent more than in 2018. Sales in first-half 2020 totaled €442 million ($495 million), 1.8 percent more than in the same period for 2019.

The cancer drug Nexavar had 2019 sales of €706 million ($790 million), down 0.8 percent versus 2018. Sales in the first half of 2020 were €332 million ($372 million), a decline of 8 percent from first-half 2019. 

The birth control family of drugs Yaz, Yasmin and Yasminelle registered sales of €681 million ($762 million), 6.6 percent more than in 2018. Half-year 2020 sales were €335 million ($375 million), 2.8 percent more than in first-half 2019.

The diabetes drug Glucobay generated 2019 sales of €667 million ($747 million), 7.1 percent more than in 2018. First-half 2020 sales plummeted 54.4 percent to €156 million ($175 million). Management says this is chiefly due to the implementation of a volume-based procurement policy that involves a substantial price reduction, which cannot be offset by the resulting growth in volumes.

Sales of Adalat, for the treatment of hypertension, grew 8.7 percent in 2019 to €664 million ($743 million). In the first half of 2020, sales were €316 million ($354 million), an 8.4 percent decrease from first-half 2019.

Aspirin Cardio generated 2019 sales of €579 million ($648 million), 3.9 percent more than in 2018. First-half 2020 sales amounted to €316 million ($354 million), 6 percent more than in first-half 2019.

The multiple sclerosis drug Betaseron/Betaferon produced sales of €457 million ($512 million), 16 percent less than in 2018. First-half 2020 sales continued to exhibit a decline, to €214 million ($240 million), 3.2 percent less than in the same period for 2019. 

Bayer’s Consumer Health business reported 2019 sales of €5.46 billion ($6.11 billion), 0.2 percent more than the 2018 total. Bayer says solid fundamentals of the growing, aging population and the self-care trend were supported by strong allergy, cough and cold seasons.

In the first half of 2020, Consumer Health sales were €2.6 billion ($2.91 billion), 8.4 percent less than in the corresponding 2019 period. According to management, after a very strong first quarter, the second quarter showed expected destocking by retailers and consumers, but the quarantine and protective measures introduced in various regions were also a key factor in the decline in sales.

Net sales of the Crop Science division for 2019 totaled €19.83 billion ($22.2 billion), 39 percent more than in the previous year. For the first half of 2020, the division’s sales were €11.64 billion ($13.03 billion), 3.6 percent more than in first-half 2019. 

Pipeline, Collaborations

2019 and the beginning of 2020 had some stumbles for Bayer in the company’s R&D efforts. In July 2019, the company announced a clinical collaboration agreement with Bristol-Myers Squibb and Ono Pharmaceutical to evaluate the combination of the multikinase inhibitor Stivarga (regorafenib) and Bristol-Myers Squibb’s/Ono’s immuno-oncology treatment Opdivo (nivolumab) in patients with micro-satellite stable metastatic colorectal cancer (MSS mCRC), the most common form of mCRC.

In September 2019, Bayer decided to discontinue the development program for its anti-TFPI antibody BAY 1093884 for the treatment of hemophilia for safety reasons after a Phase II trial investigating the safety and tolerability of BAY 1093884 in patients with hemophilia A or B with or without inhibitors was halted ahead of schedule. 

In January 2020, Bayer halted the development of its alpha2c AR antagonist fadaltran as the efficacy endpoints in the Phase IIa trial were not met. 

In November 2019, Bayer opted to discontinue the development of the TASK channel blocker BAY 2253651 after it failed to demonstrate sufficient efficacy in the treatment of patients with obstructive sleep apnea in a Phase II trial. 

But that same month, the company announced that the Phase III study VICTORIA evaluating the use of vericiguat in patients with chronic heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) had met its primary endpoint. Bayer executives say vericiguat reduced the risk of cardiovascular death or heart failure hospitalization versus placebo when given in combination with available heart failure therapies. Vericiguat is the first-in-class soluble guanylate cyclase (sGC) stimulator being developed to treat patients with worsening chronic heart failure. The drug is being jointly developed with Merck & Co.

There was more good news for vericiguat in July 2020, when the U.S. FDA accepted for priority review the New Drug Application for the drug to treat patients with symptomatic chronic heart failure with an ejection fraction less than 45 percent following a worsening heart failure event.

This regulatory submission was based on positive data from the Phase III VICTORIA study published in the New England Journal of Medicine in March. The FDA set a Prescription Drug User Fee Act target action date of January 20, 2021.

Another positive piece of news came in July, when Bayer announced that finerenone met its primary endpoint in the Phase III FIDELIO-DKD renal outcomes study in patients with chronic kidney disease and type 2 diabetes. The results show that the investigational drug finerenone delayed the progression of CKD by significantly reducing the combined risk of time to first occurrence of kidney failure, a sustained decrease of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) greater than or equal to 40 percent from baseline over a period of at least four weeks, or renal death. Finerenone significantly reduced the risk of the key secondary outcome, a composite of time to first occurrence of cardiovascular (CV) death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke, or heart failure hospitalization.

The FIDELIO-DKD study is part of the largest Phase III clinical trial program in CKD and T2D, which enrolled 13,000 patients across a broad range of disease severity including those with early kidney damage and more advanced stages of kidney disease. FIDELIO-DKD is a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, parallel-group, multicenter, event-driven Phase III study investigating finerenone versus placebo in patients with CKD and T2D. The study included 5,700 patients from more than 1,000 sites across 48 countries. Patients were randomized to receive either finerenone 10 mg or 20 mg orally once daily or placebo when added to standard of care, including blood glucose lowering therapies and maximum tolerated dose of RAS-blocking therapy such as angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors or angiotensin II receptor blockers (ARBs).

In May 2020, Bayer filed an application for marketing authorization for the precision oncology treatment larotrectinib to the Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare (MHLW) in Japan. Larotrectinib is an oral TRK inhibitor that has been developed specifically to treat adults and children with locally advanced or metastatic solid tumors that have the rare genomic alteration called a neurotrophic tyrosine receptor kinase (NTRK) gene fusion. The product is approved in several countries under the brand name Vitrakvi, including the United States, Brazil, Canada and countries of the European Union. Filings in other regions are under way or planned.

The submission to the MHLW is based on data from the Phase I study of adults, the Phase II NAVIGATE study in adult and adolescent patients and the Phase I/II pediatric SCOUT trial. Larotrectinib was investigated across more than 20 different histologies of solid tumors including lung, thyroid, melanoma, gastrointestinal stromal tumors, colon, cholangiocarcinoma, soft tissue sarcomas, salivary gland, and infantile fibrosarcoma. 

In March Bayer announced that the European Commission granted marketing authorization in the European Union for Nubeqa (darolutamide), an oral androgen receptor inhibitor (ARi). The compound, which is developed jointly by Bayer and Orion Corp., is indicated for the treatment of men with non-metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer, who are at high risk of developing metastatic disease. Bayer is responsible for global commercialization, with a joint promotion of Bayer and Orion in certain European markets.

The EU approval is based on the pivotal Phase III ARAMIS trial data evaluating the efficacy and safety of darolutamide plus androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) compared to placebo plus ADT. Results demonstrated a highly significant improvement in the primary efficacy endpoint of metastasis-free survival (MFS) of darolutamide plus ADT, with a median of 40.4 months, versus 18.4 months for placebo plus ADT (p<0.001), and a favorable safety profile. Nubeqa is already approved in the United States, Australia, Brazil, Canada, as well as Japan and filings in other regions are under way or planned.

Bayer is involved in the global fight against COVID-19. During April, Bayer announced that the company’s Canadian organization, Bayer Inc. in Mississauga, Ontario, was partnering with the Population Health Research Institute (PHRI) in launching a major clinical research program aimed at identifying potential treatments against COVID-19. The two studies evaluated the safety and efficacy of different combination therapies including Bayer’s chloroquine and interferon beta-1b. Bayer made a financial commitment of CAD 1.5 million (€1 million) towards the studies and will supply study drugs to support the research. This adds to the CAD 0.5 million previously committed by the PHRI that enabled the development of the research program. The goal is to assess the value of these and other therapies rapidly so that the results can inform practice as soon as possible. PHRI planned to enroll 6,000 patients into the two studies from more than 60 contributing research sites across Ontario and internationally.

Among other development partnerships entered into by Bayer in 2020, in September the company announced an exclusive global license deal with Systems Oncology LLC for ERSO, a compound in pre-clinical development for treating metastatic estrogen receptor-positive (ER+) breast cancer. ERSO is a small molecule activator of the unfolded protein response (UPR) in ER+ breast cancer cells. ERSO’s differentiated mechanism of action offers significant potential to provide a meaningful novel treatment option for women with metastatic ER+ breast cancer, an area where new therapies are urgently required.

In preclinical studies, ERSO showed activity in ER+ breast cancer cells as well as activity on ER mutations conferring a resistance to standard treatments. ERSO’s mode of action of activating UPR in ER+ breast cancer cells offers a significant differentiation from current and potential upcoming anti-hormonal agents. In addition, the therapeutic potential of this novel mode of action in other tumor types is being investigated.

Bayer is responsible for developing and commercializing ERSO globally. Systems Oncology received an upfront payment of $25 million and is eligible to receive payments from Bayer upon achievement of certain development and commercialization milestones totaling $345 million.

Also in September, Bayer and U.S.-based Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc., a digital biology company industrializing drug discovery, entered into a strategic collaboration deal. The partnership leverages Recursion’s purpose-built artificial intelligence-guided drug discovery platform and Bayer’s small molecule compound library and deep scientific expertise to discover and develop new treatments for fibrotic diseases of the lung, kidney, heart, and more. Leaps by Bayer, the impact investment arm of Bayer AG, is leading Recursion’s Series D financing with an investment of $50 million.

Recursion’s drug discovery platform combines highly automated, wet lab biology experiments as the base for iterative learning through its computational tools. The purpose-built drug-discovery platform is based on a proprietary library of over half a billion images of human cells from more than 33 million experiments conducted in-house at Recursion and coupled with advanced data analytics based on machine learning. Recursion has on-boarded over 750 cellular disease models to broadly interrogate diverse therapeutic areas.

Under the terms of the agreement, the parties may initiate more than 10 programs with possible development and commercial milestone payments of more than $100 million per program plus royalties on future sales. Bayer will gain the option to exclusively license novel therapeutics derived from the research activities. Bayer will contribute with its small molecule compound library and expertise in biology and medicinal chemistry. In addition to the $50 million equity investment, Recursion received an upfront payment of $30 million.

Bayer grew its capabilities in September by completing the acquisition of UK-based biotech company KaNDy Therapeutics Ltd. to expand the drug development pipeline in women’s healthcare. With the acquisition, Bayer is fully integrating KaNDy’s NT-814 compound into its women’s healthcare pipeline and plans to start Phase III development in 2021.

As previously announced, under the terms of the agreement Bayer is responsible for an upfront consideration of $425 million, potential milestone payments of up to $450 million until launch followed by potential additional triple-digit million sales milestone payments.

In February Bayer announced that it entered into a definitive agreement to transfer a large part of the company’s Berlin-based small molecule research unit to Nuvisan, an international service provider for clinical studies, laboratory services and contract manufacturing with several sites and clinics in Germany and France. The strategic partnership will lay the foundation for a brand-new research entity to be established by Nuvisan in Berlin. According to management, the partnership will also support Bayer’s increased focus on the flexibility and productivity of its R&D operating model. 

The Berlin-based research unit with around 400 workplaces comprises a fully operational team specialized in small molecule research. The research center comes with capabilities and capacities spanning the entire drug discovery value chain, including lead discovery, medicinal chemistry, pharmacology, drug metabolism and pharmacokinetics, investigational toxicology, and animal management. Bayer will retain significant research activities in Berlin, which remains the headquarters for the company’s Pharmaceuticals Division and one of its major global research sites. The transaction was expected to close mid-2020 subject to successful completion of the consultation process with the employee representatives and the preparations for taking over the research activities.

In March, Bayer and Curadev Pvt. Ltd., a drug-discovery company based in India, announced a research collaboration and license deal for Curadev’s Stimulator of Interferon Genes (STING) antagonist program. The collaboration aims to discover new drug candidates for treating lung diseases, cardiovascular diseases, and other inflammatory diseases. STING antagonists offer tremendous potential for new treatments as STING is known to play a role in activating the innate immune system in auto-inflammatory diseases.

Curadev’s small molecule STING antagonist program aims to discover and develop inhibitors of the intracellular stimulator of interferon genes (STING) pathway, which can modulate the immune response associated with various auto-inflammatory diseases. As part of the agreement, Bayer gains exclusive access to novel molecules from Curadev that are designed to inhibit the STING pathway. The companies are collaborating to optimize and advance these molecules, as well as others generated during the collaboration, into clinical development.

Under the terms of the agreement, Curadev received an upfront payment. Curadev will receive research funding during the research term and might be eligible for pre-clinical, clinical and sales milestones of potentially over €250 million as well as royalties of single digit percentages of net sales.

In January, Bayer entered into three other collaborations. Bayer and Daré Bioscience entered into exclusive license agreement for U.S. commercial rights to the investigational hormone-free, monthly contraceptive Ovaprene. Daré received an upfront payment and access to Bayer’s clinical and market capabilities while retaining control over Ovaprene’s development and regulatory approval process. Bayer received the right to obtain exclusive rights to commercialize the product in the U.S. following completion of the pivotal clinical trial being undertaken by Daré. 

The licensing option becomes effective with a payment of $20 million from Bayer to Daré. Daré might be eligible to receive commercial milestone payments potentially totaling $310 million as well as double-digit tiered royalties on net sales.

Bayer and Exscientia Ltd., a UK-based artificial intelligence (AI)-driven drug discovery company, entered into a three-year, multi-target collaboration. The partners are working on early research projects combining Exscientia’s proprietary AI drug discovery platform and drug design know-how with Bayer’s data and drug discovery capabilities. They aim to identify and optimize novel lead structures for potential drug candidates to treat cardiovascular and oncological diseases. Exscientia may be eligible to receive up to €240 million, including upfront and research payments, near term, and clinical milestones. As part of the agreement, Exscientia may also receive sales royalties. Bayer owns the rights to novel lead structures generated as part of the collaboration, which focuses on early-stage research by using an AI-based algorithm to predict potential drug molecules. 

Evotec SE and Bayer announced the expansion of their partnership in women’s health indications with a new five-year, multi-target collaboration to develop multiple clinical candidates for treating polycystic ovary syndrome. Both companies are contributing drug targets and a comprehensive set of high-quality technology platforms to jointly develop innovative treatment options. The strategic alliance also has access to targets from the recently formed partnership between Celmatix Inc. and Evotec. Celmatix is the world leader in big data-driven target discovery focused on fertility and women’s health.

Bayer and Evotec are sharing responsibilities during the pre-clinical development of potential clinical candidates. Bayer is responsible for any subsequent clinical development and commercialization. Evotec receives a €6.5 million upfront payment and €10 million research payments over five years. Evotec may be eligible to receive pre-clinical, clinical and sales milestones of potentially over €330 million and royalties up to low double-digit percentage of net sales.  

 

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Fauci Deputy Warned Him Against Vaccine Mandates: Email

Fauci Deputy Warned Him Against Vaccine Mandates: Email

Authored by Zachary Stieber via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

Mandating COVID-19…

Published

on

Fauci Deputy Warned Him Against Vaccine Mandates: Email

Authored by Zachary Stieber via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

Mandating COVID-19 vaccination was a mistake due to ethical and other concerns, a top government doctor warned Dr. Anthony Fauci after Dr. Fauci promoted mass vaccination.

Coercing or forcing people to take a vaccine can have negative consequences from a biological, sociological, psychological, economical, and ethical standpoint and is not worth the cost even if the vaccine is 100% safe,” Dr. Matthew Memoli, director of the Laboratory of Infectious Diseases clinical studies unit at the U.S. National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID), told Dr. Fauci in an email.

“A more prudent approach that considers these issues would be to focus our efforts on those at high risk of severe disease and death, such as the elderly and obese, and do not push vaccination on the young and healthy any further.”

Dr. Anthony Fauci, ex-director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID. in Washington on Jan. 8, 2024. (Madalina Vasiliu/The Epoch Times)

Employing that strategy would help prevent loss of public trust and political capital, Dr. Memoli said.

The email was sent on July 30, 2021, after Dr. Fauci, director of the NIAID, claimed that communities would be safer if more people received one of the COVID-19 vaccines and that mass vaccination would lead to the end of the COVID-19 pandemic.

“We’re on a really good track now to really crush this outbreak, and the more people we get vaccinated, the more assuredness that we’re going to have that we’re going to be able to do that,” Dr. Fauci said on CNN the month prior.

Dr. Memoli, who has studied influenza vaccination for years, disagreed, telling Dr. Fauci that research in the field has indicated yearly shots sometimes drive the evolution of influenza.

Vaccinating people who have not been infected with COVID-19, he said, could potentially impact the evolution of the virus that causes COVID-19 in unexpected ways.

“At best what we are doing with mandated mass vaccination does nothing and the variants emerge evading immunity anyway as they would have without the vaccine,” Dr. Memoli wrote. “At worst it drives evolution of the virus in a way that is different from nature and possibly detrimental, prolonging the pandemic or causing more morbidity and mortality than it should.”

The vaccination strategy was flawed because it relied on a single antigen, introducing immunity that only lasted for a certain period of time, Dr. Memoli said. When the immunity weakened, the virus was given an opportunity to evolve.

Some other experts, including virologist Geert Vanden Bossche, have offered similar views. Others in the scientific community, such as U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention scientists, say vaccination prevents virus evolution, though the agency has acknowledged it doesn’t have records supporting its position.

Other Messages

Dr. Memoli sent the email to Dr. Fauci and two other top NIAID officials, Drs. Hugh Auchincloss and Clifford Lane. The message was first reported by the Wall Street Journal, though the publication did not publish the message. The Epoch Times obtained the email and 199 other pages of Dr. Memoli’s emails through a Freedom of Information Act request. There were no indications that Dr. Fauci ever responded to Dr. Memoli.

Later in 2021, the NIAID’s parent agency, the U.S. National Institutes of Health (NIH), and all other federal government agencies began requiring COVID-19 vaccination, under direction from President Joe Biden.

In other messages, Dr. Memoli said the mandates were unethical and that he was hopeful legal cases brought against the mandates would ultimately let people “make their own healthcare decisions.”

“I am certainly doing everything in my power to influence that,” he wrote on Nov. 2, 2021, to an unknown recipient. Dr. Memoli also disclosed that both he and his wife had applied for exemptions from the mandates imposed by the NIH and his wife’s employer. While her request had been granted, his had not as of yet, Dr. Memoli said. It’s not clear if it ever was.

According to Dr. Memoli, officials had not gone over the bioethics of the mandates. He wrote to the NIH’s Department of Bioethics, pointing out that the protection from the vaccines waned over time, that the shots can cause serious health issues such as myocarditis, or heart inflammation, and that vaccinated people were just as likely to spread COVID-19 as unvaccinated people.

He cited multiple studies in his emails, including one that found a resurgence of COVID-19 cases in a California health care system despite a high rate of vaccination and another that showed transmission rates were similar among the vaccinated and unvaccinated.

Dr. Memoli said he was “particularly interested in the bioethics of a mandate when the vaccine doesn’t have the ability to stop spread of the disease, which is the purpose of the mandate.”

The message led to Dr. Memoli speaking during an NIH event in December 2021, several weeks after he went public with his concerns about mandating vaccines.

“Vaccine mandates should be rare and considered only with a strong justification,” Dr. Memoli said in the debate. He suggested that the justification was not there for COVID-19 vaccines, given their fleeting effectiveness.

Julie Ledgerwood, another NIAID official who also spoke at the event, said that the vaccines were highly effective and that the side effects that had been detected were not significant. She did acknowledge that vaccinated people needed boosters after a period of time.

The NIH, and many other government agencies, removed their mandates in 2023 with the end of the COVID-19 public health emergency.

A request for comment from Dr. Fauci was not returned. Dr. Memoli told The Epoch Times in an email he was “happy to answer any questions you have” but that he needed clearance from the NIAID’s media office. That office then refused to give clearance.

Dr. Jay Bhattacharya, a professor of health policy at Stanford University, said that Dr. Memoli showed bravery when he warned Dr. Fauci against mandates.

“Those mandates have done more to demolish public trust in public health than any single action by public health officials in my professional career, including diminishing public trust in all vaccines.” Dr. Bhattacharya, a frequent critic of the U.S. response to COVID-19, told The Epoch Times via email. “It was risky for Dr. Memoli to speak publicly since he works at the NIH, and the culture of the NIH punishes those who cross powerful scientific bureaucrats like Dr. Fauci or his former boss, Dr. Francis Collins.”

Tyler Durden Mon, 03/11/2024 - 17:40

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Government

Trump “Clearly Hasn’t Learned From His COVID-Era Mistakes”, RFK Jr. Says

Trump "Clearly Hasn’t Learned From His COVID-Era Mistakes", RFK Jr. Says

Authored by Jeff Louderback via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

President…

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Trump "Clearly Hasn't Learned From His COVID-Era Mistakes", RFK Jr. Says

Authored by Jeff Louderback via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

President Joe Biden claimed that COVID vaccines are now helping cancer patients during his State of the Union address on March 7, but it was a response on Truth Social from former President Donald Trump that drew the ire of independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. holds a voter rally in Grand Rapids, Mich., on Feb. 10, 2024. (Mitch Ranger for The Epoch Times)

During the address, President Biden said: “The pandemic no longer controls our lives. The vaccines that saved us from COVID are now being used to help beat cancer, turning setback into comeback. That’s what America does.”

President Trump wrote: “The Pandemic no longer controls our lives. The VACCINES that saved us from COVID are now being used to help beat cancer—turning setback into comeback. YOU’RE WELCOME JOE. NINE-MONTH APPROVAL TIME VS. 12 YEARS THAT IT WOULD HAVE TAKEN YOU.”

An outspoken critic of President Trump’s COVID response, and the Operation Warp Speed program that escalated the availability of COVID vaccines, Mr. Kennedy said on X, formerly known as Twitter, that “Donald Trump clearly hasn’t learned from his COVID-era mistakes.”

“He fails to recognize how ineffective his warp speed vaccine is as the ninth shot is being recommended to seniors. Even more troubling is the documented harm being caused by the shot to so many innocent children and adults who are suffering myocarditis, pericarditis, and brain inflammation,” Mr. Kennedy remarked.

“This has been confirmed by a CDC-funded study of 99 million people. Instead of bragging about its speedy approval, we should be honestly and transparently debating the abundant evidence that this vaccine may have caused more harm than good.

“I look forward to debating both Trump and Biden on Sept. 16 in San Marcos, Texas.”

Mr. Kennedy announced in April 2023 that he would challenge President Biden for the 2024 Democratic Party presidential nomination before declaring his run as an independent last October, claiming that the Democrat National Committee was “rigging the primary.”

Since the early stages of his campaign, Mr. Kennedy has generated more support than pundits expected from conservatives, moderates, and independents resulting in speculation that he could take votes away from President Trump.

Many Republicans continue to seek a reckoning over the government-imposed pandemic lockdowns and vaccine mandates.

President Trump’s defense of Operation Warp Speed, the program he rolled out in May 2020 to spur the development and distribution of COVID-19 vaccines amid the pandemic, remains a sticking point for some of his supporters.

Vice President Mike Pence (L) and President Donald Trump deliver an update on Operation Warp Speed in the Rose Garden of the White House in Washington on Nov. 13, 2020. (Mandel Ngan/AFP via Getty Images)

Operation Warp Speed featured a partnership between the government, the military, and the private sector, with the government paying for millions of vaccine doses to be produced.

President Trump released a statement in March 2021 saying: “I hope everyone remembers when they’re getting the COVID-19 Vaccine, that if I wasn’t President, you wouldn’t be getting that beautiful ‘shot’ for 5 years, at best, and probably wouldn’t be getting it at all. I hope everyone remembers!”

President Trump said about the COVID-19 vaccine in an interview on Fox News in March 2021: “It works incredibly well. Ninety-five percent, maybe even more than that. I would recommend it, and I would recommend it to a lot of people that don’t want to get it and a lot of those people voted for me, frankly.

“But again, we have our freedoms and we have to live by that and I agree with that also. But it’s a great vaccine, it’s a safe vaccine, and it’s something that works.”

On many occasions, President Trump has said that he is not in favor of vaccine mandates.

An environmental attorney, Mr. Kennedy founded Children’s Health Defense, a nonprofit that aims to end childhood health epidemics by promoting vaccine safeguards, among other initiatives.

Last year, Mr. Kennedy told podcaster Joe Rogan that ivermectin was suppressed by the FDA so that the COVID-19 vaccines could be granted emergency use authorization.

He has criticized Big Pharma, vaccine safety, and government mandates for years.

Since launching his presidential campaign, Mr. Kennedy has made his stances on the COVID-19 vaccines, and vaccines in general, a frequent talking point.

“I would argue that the science is very clear right now that they [vaccines] caused a lot more problems than they averted,” Mr. Kennedy said on Piers Morgan Uncensored last April.

“And if you look at the countries that did not vaccinate, they had the lowest death rates, they had the lowest COVID and infection rates.”

Additional data show a “direct correlation” between excess deaths and high vaccination rates in developed countries, he said.

President Trump and Mr. Kennedy have similar views on topics like protecting the U.S.-Mexico border and ending the Russia-Ukraine war.

COVID-19 is the topic where Mr. Kennedy and President Trump seem to differ the most.

Former President Donald Trump intended to “drain the swamp” when he took office in 2017, but he was “intimidated by bureaucrats” at federal agencies and did not accomplish that objective, Mr. Kennedy said on Feb. 5.

Speaking at a voter rally in Tucson, where he collected signatures to get on the Arizona ballot, the independent presidential candidate said President Trump was “earnest” when he vowed to “drain the swamp,” but it was “business as usual” during his term.

John Bolton, who President Trump appointed as a national security adviser, is “the template for a swamp creature,” Mr. Kennedy said.

Scott Gottlieb, who President Trump named to run the FDA, “was Pfizer’s business partner” and eventually returned to Pfizer, Mr. Kennedy said.

Mr. Kennedy said that President Trump had more lobbyists running federal agencies than any president in U.S. history.

“You can’t reform them when you’ve got the swamp creatures running them, and I’m not going to do that. I’m going to do something different,” Mr. Kennedy said.

During the COVID-19 pandemic, President Trump “did not ask the questions that he should have,” he believes.

President Trump “knew that lockdowns were wrong” and then “agreed to lockdowns,” Mr. Kennedy said.

He also “knew that hydroxychloroquine worked, he said it,” Mr. Kennedy explained, adding that he was eventually “rolled over” by Dr. Anthony Fauci and his advisers.

President Donald Trump greets the crowd before he leaves at the Operation Warp Speed Vaccine Summit in Washington on Dec. 8, 2020. (Tasos Katopodis/Getty Images)

MaryJo Perry, a longtime advocate for vaccine choice and a Trump supporter, thinks votes will be at a premium come Election Day, particularly because the independent and third-party field is becoming more competitive.

Ms. Perry, president of Mississippi Parents for Vaccine Rights, believes advocates for medical freedom could determine who is ultimately president.

She believes that Mr. Kennedy is “pulling votes from Trump” because of the former president’s stance on the vaccines.

“People care about medical freedom. It’s an important issue here in Mississippi, and across the country,” Ms. Perry told The Epoch Times.

“Trump should admit he was wrong about Operation Warp Speed and that COVID vaccines have been dangerous. That would make a difference among people he has offended.”

President Trump won’t lose enough votes to Mr. Kennedy about Operation Warp Speed and COVID vaccines to have a significant impact on the election, Ohio Republican strategist Wes Farno told The Epoch Times.

President Trump won in Ohio by eight percentage points in both 2016 and 2020. The Ohio Republican Party endorsed President Trump for the nomination in 2024.

“The positives of a Trump presidency far outweigh the negatives,” Mr. Farno said. “People are more concerned about their wallet and the economy.

“They are asking themselves if they were better off during President Trump’s term compared to since President Biden took office. The answer to that question is obvious because many Americans are struggling to afford groceries, gas, mortgages, and rent payments.

“America needs President Trump.”

Multiple national polls back Mr. Farno’s view.

As of March 6, the RealClearPolitics average of polls indicates that President Trump has 41.8 percent support in a five-way race that includes President Biden (38.4 percent), Mr. Kennedy (12.7 percent), independent Cornel West (2.6 percent), and Green Party nominee Jill Stein (1.7 percent).

A Pew Research Center study conducted among 10,133 U.S. adults from Feb. 7 to Feb. 11 showed that Democrats and Democrat-leaning independents (42 percent) are more likely than Republicans and GOP-leaning independents (15 percent) to say they have received an updated COVID vaccine.

The poll also reported that just 28 percent of adults say they have received the updated COVID inoculation.

The peer-reviewed multinational study of more than 99 million vaccinated people that Mr. Kennedy referenced in his X post on March 7 was published in the Vaccine journal on Feb. 12.

It aimed to evaluate the risk of 13 adverse events of special interest (AESI) following COVID-19 vaccination. The AESIs spanned three categories—neurological, hematologic (blood), and cardiovascular.

The study reviewed data collected from more than 99 million vaccinated people from eight nations—Argentina, Australia, Canada, Denmark, Finland, France, New Zealand, and Scotland—looking at risks up to 42 days after getting the shots.

Three vaccines—Pfizer and Moderna’s mRNA vaccines as well as AstraZeneca’s viral vector jab—were examined in the study.

Researchers found higher-than-expected cases that they deemed met the threshold to be potential safety signals for multiple AESIs, including for Guillain-Barre syndrome (GBS), cerebral venous sinus thrombosis (CVST), myocarditis, and pericarditis.

A safety signal refers to information that could suggest a potential risk or harm that may be associated with a medical product.

The study identified higher incidences of neurological, cardiovascular, and blood disorder complications than what the researchers expected.

President Trump’s role in Operation Warp Speed, and his continued praise of the COVID vaccine, remains a concern for some voters, including those who still support him.

Krista Cobb is a 40-year-old mother in western Ohio. She voted for President Trump in 2020 and said she would cast her vote for him this November, but she was stunned when she saw his response to President Biden about the COVID-19 vaccine during the State of the Union address.

I love President Trump and support his policies, but at this point, he has to know they [advisers and health officials] lied about the shot,” Ms. Cobb told The Epoch Times.

“If he continues to promote it, especially after all of the hearings they’ve had about it in Congress, the side effects, and cover-ups on Capitol Hill, at what point does he become the same as the people who have lied?” Ms. Cobb added.

“I think he should distance himself from talk about Operation Warp Speed and even admit that he was wrong—that the vaccines have not had the impact he was told they would have. If he did that, people would respect him even more.”

Tyler Durden Mon, 03/11/2024 - 17:00

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International

The next pandemic? It’s already here for Earth’s wildlife

Bird flu is decimating species already threatened by climate change and habitat loss.

I am a conservation biologist who studies emerging infectious diseases. When people ask me what I think the next pandemic will be I often say that we are in the midst of one – it’s just afflicting a great many species more than ours.

I am referring to the highly pathogenic strain of avian influenza H5N1 (HPAI H5N1), otherwise known as bird flu, which has killed millions of birds and unknown numbers of mammals, particularly during the past three years.

This is the strain that emerged in domestic geese in China in 1997 and quickly jumped to humans in south-east Asia with a mortality rate of around 40-50%. My research group encountered the virus when it killed a mammal, an endangered Owston’s palm civet, in a captive breeding programme in Cuc Phuong National Park Vietnam in 2005.

How these animals caught bird flu was never confirmed. Their diet is mainly earthworms, so they had not been infected by eating diseased poultry like many captive tigers in the region.

This discovery prompted us to collate all confirmed reports of fatal infection with bird flu to assess just how broad a threat to wildlife this virus might pose.

This is how a newly discovered virus in Chinese poultry came to threaten so much of the world’s biodiversity.

H5N1 originated on a Chinese poultry farm in 1997. ChameleonsEye/Shutterstock

The first signs

Until December 2005, most confirmed infections had been found in a few zoos and rescue centres in Thailand and Cambodia. Our analysis in 2006 showed that nearly half (48%) of all the different groups of birds (known to taxonomists as “orders”) contained a species in which a fatal infection of bird flu had been reported. These 13 orders comprised 84% of all bird species.

We reasoned 20 years ago that the strains of H5N1 circulating were probably highly pathogenic to all bird orders. We also showed that the list of confirmed infected species included those that were globally threatened and that important habitats, such as Vietnam’s Mekong delta, lay close to reported poultry outbreaks.

Mammals known to be susceptible to bird flu during the early 2000s included primates, rodents, pigs and rabbits. Large carnivores such as Bengal tigers and clouded leopards were reported to have been killed, as well as domestic cats.

Our 2006 paper showed the ease with which this virus crossed species barriers and suggested it might one day produce a pandemic-scale threat to global biodiversity.

Unfortunately, our warnings were correct.

A roving sickness

Two decades on, bird flu is killing species from the high Arctic to mainland Antarctica.

In the past couple of years, bird flu has spread rapidly across Europe and infiltrated North and South America, killing millions of poultry and a variety of bird and mammal species. A recent paper found that 26 countries have reported at least 48 mammal species that have died from the virus since 2020, when the latest increase in reported infections started.

Not even the ocean is safe. Since 2020, 13 species of aquatic mammal have succumbed, including American sea lions, porpoises and dolphins, often dying in their thousands in South America. A wide range of scavenging and predatory mammals that live on land are now also confirmed to be susceptible, including mountain lions, lynx, brown, black and polar bears.

The UK alone has lost over 75% of its great skuas and seen a 25% decline in northern gannets. Recent declines in sandwich terns (35%) and common terns (42%) were also largely driven by the virus.

Scientists haven’t managed to completely sequence the virus in all affected species. Research and continuous surveillance could tell us how adaptable it ultimately becomes, and whether it can jump to even more species. We know it can already infect humans – one or more genetic mutations may make it more infectious.

At the crossroads

Between January 1 2003 and December 21 2023, 882 cases of human infection with the H5N1 virus were reported from 23 countries, of which 461 (52%) were fatal.

Of these fatal cases, more than half were in Vietnam, China, Cambodia and Laos. Poultry-to-human infections were first recorded in Cambodia in December 2003. Intermittent cases were reported until 2014, followed by a gap until 2023, yielding 41 deaths from 64 cases. The subtype of H5N1 virus responsible has been detected in poultry in Cambodia since 2014. In the early 2000s, the H5N1 virus circulating had a high human mortality rate, so it is worrying that we are now starting to see people dying after contact with poultry again.

It’s not just H5 subtypes of bird flu that concern humans. The H10N1 virus was originally isolated from wild birds in South Korea, but has also been reported in samples from China and Mongolia.

Recent research found that these particular virus subtypes may be able to jump to humans after they were found to be pathogenic in laboratory mice and ferrets. The first person who was confirmed to be infected with H10N5 died in China on January 27 2024, but this patient was also suffering from seasonal flu (H3N2). They had been exposed to live poultry which also tested positive for H10N5.

Species already threatened with extinction are among those which have died due to bird flu in the past three years. The first deaths from the virus in mainland Antarctica have just been confirmed in skuas, highlighting a looming threat to penguin colonies whose eggs and chicks skuas prey on. Humboldt penguins have already been killed by the virus in Chile.

A colony of king penguins.
Remote penguin colonies are already threatened by climate change. AndreAnita/Shutterstock

How can we stem this tsunami of H5N1 and other avian influenzas? Completely overhaul poultry production on a global scale. Make farms self-sufficient in rearing eggs and chicks instead of exporting them internationally. The trend towards megafarms containing over a million birds must be stopped in its tracks.

To prevent the worst outcomes for this virus, we must revisit its primary source: the incubator of intensive poultry farms.

Diana Bell does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

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