Connect with us


World’s Largest Chipmaker Sees ‘Bottom’ After Semiconductor Downturn

World’s Largest Chipmaker Sees ‘Bottom’ After Semiconductor Downturn

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, the world’s largest chip…



World's Largest Chipmaker Sees 'Bottom' After Semiconductor Downturn

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, the world's largest chip producer, has signaled the downturn in semiconductor demand could end and possibly bottom in 2024. 

On a conference call with investors on Thursday, TSMC Chief Executive C.C. Wei told Morgan Stanley's Charlie Chan, "As I said, we do observe some early signs of demand stabilization in PCs and smartphone end market. Those two segments are the biggest segments for TSMC's business." 

Chan asked TSMC executives when they believed the chip cycle was bottoming out.

"We want to say that 2024 will be a very healthy growth, but right now, did we see the bottom? Very close, very close. We want to -- I cannot give you a number, but it's -- because it's too early to call it a sharp rebound," Wei responded. 

However, Wei pointed out that "the macro environment remains uncertain" and will likely weigh on customers and inventory control in the first half of 2024. 

Chan asked Wei another question: "So just I want to kind of verify because we do see some green shoots and some rush orders to wafer foundry sector?"

Wei responded: "Charlie, the AI demand continues to grow stronger and stronger," but cautioned that it's still too early to expect a sharp rebound. 

Before the investor call, TSMC reported revenue in the third quarter that dropped 11% from a year earlier, as sales for chips used in computers and smartphones fell. Net profit also dropped by 25% compared with the same quarter a year ago. 

Investors on Wednesday were greeted with news from TSMC's tool supplier ASML, who warned of flat sales in 2024, yet more evidence the rebound might not be robust. 

Here's the investor call transcript (courtesy of Bloomberg): 

After the earnings call, Bruce Lu and Evelyn Yu of Goldman told clients that they reiterated a "buy" on TSMC/ADR and added TSMC/ADR to their Conviction List. 

"After a prolonged inventory digestion cycle, we expect a broad-based recovery of TSMC's UTR in 2024E as supported by 1) re-stocking demand, 2) PC/server demand resumption, and stabilizing smartphone demand," the analysts said. 

They provided clients with the top highlights from the earnings call: 

  1. healthy inventory digestion progression,
  2. potentially stronger smartphone demand recovery,
  3.  capex outlook likely better than feared
  4.  technology leadership intact,
  5. N2 R&D progress is on track, with meaningful revenue contribution likely in 2026,
  6. back-end business likely growing stronger than guided, and
  7. overseas expansion is progressing well.

If Goldman is correct, the inventory correction cycle for TSMC could be over next year, potentially unleashing a new growth chapter. Pro subs can read the full report in the usual place...

Tyler Durden Thu, 10/19/2023 - 22:30

Read More

Continue Reading


Crypto community accuses WSJ of exaggerating Hamas crypto funding by 99%

Crypto community members have accused The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) of publishing misleading information about Hamas crypto-related funding. On Oct. 10,…



Crypto community members have accused The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) of publishing misleading information about Hamas crypto-related funding. On Oct. 10, WSJ reported that Hamas had acquired approximately $90 million in cryptocurrency to finance a surprise attack against Israel. This revelation drew significant attention from prominent crypto skeptics, who swiftly used this funding to illustrate how the industry aided malicious actors. Several U.S. lawmakers, spearheaded by Senator Elizabeth Warren, cited the WSJ report in a letter addressed to the White House and the Treasury Department. The lawmakers expressed concerns about the national security risks posed by cryptocurrencies due to their potential use in terrorist financing.

Community says WSJ overreported terror funding by 99%

Sam Callahan, the lead market analyst at Swan Bitcoin, countered that “WSJ’s figure for crypto use in financing Hamas was off by over 99%,” citing a recent Chainalysis report. According to Callahan, the media firm had mistakenly counted an entire exchange’s trading volume for the group’s address. He added:
“The actual funds that went to known terrorist-linked addresses was substantially less.”
Consequently, Callahan urged WSJ to retract the story because “politicians with an agenda will likely continue to use this fake news as evidence to attack an industry they have a personal vendetta against.” Meanwhile, crypto stakeholders, including Nic Carter, also shared Callahan’s view, claiming that the journalists refused to retract their story despite contacting them via mail. He added:
“This is a journalistic failure as egregious as the NYT’s reporting on the rocket striking a hospital in gaza. not directly responsible for loss of life, but evidencing a similarly callous disregard for the truth. Boycotting the WSJ until they retract.”
Sam Lyman, the director of public policy at Bitcoin (BTC) miner Riot Platforms, pointed out that the WSJ report failed to mention that Hamas’ crypto fundraising program was a complete disaster. He said the fundraising had “exposed [the group] key donors to criminal prosecution and financed its two greatest enemies, the US and Israel, to the tune of millions of dollars.” CryptoSlate reported that Coinbase had argued that blockchain technology could be used to fight terrorism funding, adding that terror funding still relies on the traditional financial system, not crypto. The post Crypto community accuses WSJ of exaggerating Hamas crypto funding by 99% appeared first on CryptoSlate.

Read More

Continue Reading


Bitcoin ETF to trigger massive demand from institutions, EY says

Bitcoin is facing a lot of pent-up demand from institutions amid investors closely monitoring spot Bitcoin ETF news, Ernst & Young’s global blockchain…



Bitcoin is facing a lot of pent-up demand from institutions amid investors closely monitoring spot Bitcoin ETF news, Ernst & Young’s global blockchain leader Paul Brody says. Bitcoin (BTC) is in massive demand from institutional investors but awaits a spot BTC exchange-traded fund (ETF) approval to trigger a buying rally, according to a blockchain executive at the professional services provider Ernst & Young (EY). EY’s global blockchain leader Paul Brody believes that Bitcoin faces a lot of pent-up demand from institutions due to United States regulators not approving a spot Bitcoin ETF for years. Brody discussed the outlook for the cryptocurrency adoption on CNBC’s Crypto Decrypted on Oct. 23, declaring that trillions of dollars in institutional money are waiting to enter Bitcoin once a BTC ETF is approved. “But any of these other institutional funds, they can’t touch this stuff unless it’s an ETF or some other kind of regulatory blessed activity,” EY’s blockchain expert said, adding:
“If you look at people who are buying Bitcoin, they are buying it as an asset. They are not buying it as a payment tool. Those who are buying Ethereum, are buying it as a computing platform for business transactions and DeFi [decentralized finance] services.”
Brody’s remarks come amid global investors closely watching the crypto regulatory process by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), which has not approved a single spot Bitcoin ETF so far. A number of companies, including Grayscale Investments, ARK Investment, BlackRock and Fidelity, have filed with the SEC for multiple Bitcoin ETF products and are awaiting a regulatory response. Related: Grayscale files for new spot Bitcoin ETF on NYSE Arca Grayscale, which in August 2023 won an SEC lawsuit for a spot Bitcoin ETF review, has recently filed an S-3 form registration statement with the SEC to list its Grayscale Bitcoin Trust on the New York Stock Exchange Arca. According to Bloomberg senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas, a recent amendment to the spot Bitcoin ETF by ARK Invest and 21Shares is a “good sign” of progress and impending approvals. The ETF expert believes that the ETF amendments filed in mid-October 2023 could be in direct response to concerns the SEC has asked ETF issuers to address. Magazine: Big Questions: Did the NSA create Bitcoin?  

Read More

Continue Reading


Dave Ramsey explains how budgeting is a ‘key to financial peace’

One important move can help people take control.



Personal finance radio personality and author Dave Ramsey speaks frequently about some of the basics involved with handling money.

One of the first things he believes people who are getting serious about finances should do is create an emergency fund to cover unexpected expenses.

Related: Forget Bud Light, popular beer brand files for bankruptcy

The next step Ramsey advises is to get completely out of debt, except for a mortgage on a home if a person has one. A mortgage is different than other debt because it secured by the value of the home.

The debts to pay off first include cars, credit cards and student loans, Ramsey counsels. And he suggests paying them off one by one using what he calls the debt snowball method.

"Put them in order by balance from smallest to largest — regardless of interest rate," he wrote on his website, Ramsey Solutions. "Pay minimum payments on everything but the little one. Attack that one with a vengeance. Once it's gone, take that payment and put it toward the second-smallest debt, making minimum payments on the rest."

Once that is achieved, Ramsey advises investing 15% of a person's household income in retirement.

His next recommendations are saving for college funds and paying the home off early. Then, Ramsey says, a person is in a position to build wealth and to give.

Budgeting can be simpler than a lot of people think.


The trick is to stay motivated

In order to work successfully through these steps, it is important, Ramsey says, to stay motivated and on budget.

"Sometimes the excitement of having fun right now or the short-term thrill of impulse spending can take our eyes off our priorities," he wrote. "And sometimes life gets so busy that we lose focus on how to stay on budget."

"As a result, our budgeting — a major key to financial peace — takes a back seat. It happens to everyone. So first, show yourself some grace," he added.

Ramsey believes that, while budgeting can be exhausting, it is worth it in the end.

"You can't take charge of your money without a budget," he wrote. "Why? Because when you budget, you tell every dollar what to do. Every. Single. Dollar. That’s taking control!"

"So maybe you don't wake up early when it's time to create a new budget because you just can't wait to get started," he added. "That's okay. You don't have to be jazzed about the process of budgeting as long as you’re pumped about what budgeting does for you, today and in the long run."

Ramsey offers some tips

Because staying motivated to keep on budget is difficult, Ramsey put together a few suggestions on his website.

One of those tips is the mental exercise of making goals visual.

"Hang up images around the house that represent your financial goals," Ramsey wrote. "Paying off that car? Put a picture of it on your fridge to remember why you're cooking at home instead of ordering that pizza. You're adjusting your budget and living by it so you can make big things happen. So, make sure you're reminding yourself of those big things. Every. Day."

Ramsey also encourages people to celebrate wins, both big and small.

"If you're motivated by rewards, don't feel bad," he wrote. "First of all, that's natural. Second, use that to keep up your money motivation. When you reach a goal — even a small one — celebrate! After you budget three months straight, pay off a debt, or cut extra spending for 30 days, treat yourself to a budget-friendly reward."

The bestselling author also has a few words to say about use of social media.

"Let's be honest, your budget is more important than your Instagram feed," Ramsey wrote. "Yes, we said it! It's way more important to track expenses and stay on top of your spending than it is to see what a near-stranger is having for dinner. Of course, it's okay to jump on social media, but make sure it's not getting more of your attention than your money goals."

Ramsey adds a banking tip as well to help people with staying true to a budget.

"Wherever possible, put your goals on autopilot," he wrote. "Set up automatic bank drafts that send money directly to your retirement accounts, mortgage company or lenders."

"If you never see the money in the first place, you're less likely to miss it — and more likely to be pleasantly surprised by your progress along the way," Ramsey added.

Get exclusive access to portfolio managers and their proven investing strategies with Real Money Pro. Get started now

Read More

Continue Reading