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The Australian Buy Now Pay Later Gross Merchandise Value is Expected to Reach $119 Billion by 2028
The Australian Buy Now Pay Later Gross Merchandise Value is Expected to Reach $119 Billion by 2028
PR Newswire
DUBLIN, Nov. 7, 2022
DUBLIN, Nov. 7, 2022 /PRNewswire/ — The “Australia Buy Now Pay Later Business and Investment Opportunities – 75+ KP…
The Australian Buy Now Pay Later Gross Merchandise Value is Expected to Reach $119 Billion by 2028
PR Newswire
DUBLIN, Nov. 7, 2022
DUBLIN, Nov. 7, 2022 /PRNewswire/ -- The "Australia Buy Now Pay Later Business and Investment Opportunities - 75+ KPIs on Buy Now Pay Later Trends by End-Use Sectors, Operational KPIs, Market Share, Retail Product Dynamics, and Consumer Demographics - Q3 2022 Update" report has been added to ResearchAndMarkets.com's offering.
According to the publisher, BNPL payments in the country are expected to grow by 57.0% on an annual basis to reach US$22,062.3 million in 2022.
Medium to long term growth story of BNPL industry in Australia remains strong. BNPL payment adoption is expected to grow steadily over the forecast period, recording a CAGR of 32.5% during 2022-2028. The BNPL Gross Merchandise Value in the country will increase from US$14,056.7 million in 2021 to reach US$119,277.8 million by 2028.
Australian consumers have been one of the early adopters of the buy now pay later (BNPL) payment method globally. The explosion in the popularity of the BNPL payment method during the global pandemic outbreak has seen many traditional financial services firms, including banks, rapidly move into the BNPL space, either in collaboration with established BNPL providers or introducing their deferred payment service, despite initial hesitancy and skepticism about these payment arrangements.
The medium to the long-term growth outlook for the BNPL sector remains strong in Australia, as payment adoption is expected to grow steadily among consumers across different age groups. Recent moves by BNPL providers, such as Afterpay, also indicate where the next growth phase of the BNPL industry may come from. The Australia-based firm, which Square has acquired, is making inroads in the physical retail segment by integrating the BNPL payment method with in-store point of sale solutions offered by Square.
Over the next three to four years, the publisher expects in-store growth to overtake the online BNPL segment in Australia. With the enormous market reach offered by mobile payments, integration of BNPL services with digital wallets like Apple and Google Pay presents enormous new addressable markets.
Banking institutions continue to enter the deferred payment segment with BNPL product launches in Australia
With Australian consumers increasing their BNPL spending aggressively, the once hesitant traditional banking institutions continue to enter into the deferred payment segment by launching their BNPL services. Introducing these new BNPL services in the Australian market is expected to further pressure existing operators. For instance,
- In May 2022, National Australia Bank (NAB) announced the launch of the BNPL service. This made the bank the third of the big four banks in Australia to offer BNPL products to customers. The bank started offering the NAB Now Pay Later services from July 2022 using the existing Visa credit card system. This means that the bank will not have to sign up merchants just like the standalone operators such as Afterpay and Zip do. The entry of NAB into the BNPL segment will put additional pressure on standalone operators who are battling corporate losses amid rising interest rates which have made it harder for players to survive.
The BNPL service of NAB comes on top of similar services launched by CBA and ANZ, which leaves Westpac the only one of the big four currently not providing a BNPL product. For existing pure-play BNPL operators, the entry of banks will further cause a massive squeeze in the segment, as the market in Australia has already peaked, and growth is expected to slow down from the short-term perspective.
BNPL providers are expanding their services into new product categories to drive growth amid rising competition
Amid the growing competition in the Australian BNPL industry, firms are expanding their services into new product categories to gain more traction among consumers and drive growth. For instance,
- In March 2022, Fupay, the Australian Fintech firm, announced that it is expanding BNPL products to petrol and groceries. After expanding into rent in 2021, the domestic BNPL player announced new partnerships in the fuel and grocery sector with United Petroleum, IGA Marketplace, and Foodworks. This move comes amid an expansion in payments services across the board, as emerging Fintech firms continue to compete and challenge the big banks.
Along with new BNPL players, established global giants such as Afterpay are also launching the service across the different segments. For instance,
- In March 2022, Afterpay announced that the firm had entered into a strategic collaboration with DoorDash, one of the leading global food delivery platforms. Under the strategic alliance, DoorDash customers will be able to use the BNPL service offered by Afterpay while ordering food from the aggregator.
The publisher expects the trend to grow further into momentum as players seek to expand their services into more product categories amid the growing competition in the Australian BNPL market.
Mergers and acquisitions deals are expected to increase as players consolidate to survive the increased competition and rising interest rates
In 2022, the BNPL sector in Australia is likely to see more mergers and acquisition deals as firms consolidate to survive the increased competition and rising interest rates. Notably, Australia is expected to start hiking interest rates from a record low during the pandemic later this year. With firms facing higher costs in borrowing funds, the margins derived from providing interest-free installment loans for shoppers at the point of sale will get reduced.
Moreover, the explosive revenue growth achieved by the BNPL sector over the last two years during the global pandemic has attracted investments from global tech giants such as Apple Inc. and PayPal Holdings Inc., which will likely crowd out smaller BNPL firms from the short to medium-term perspective. As a result of this, the publisher projects that most of the startups will either be purchased or go out of business without the ability to raise more investment for survival.
Scope
This report provides in-depth, data-centric analysis of Buy Now Pay Later industry in Australia . Below is a summary of key market segments:
Australia BNPL Market Size and Spending Pattern
- Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis
- Average Value Per Transaction Trend Analysis
- Transaction Volume Trend Analysis
Australia Buy Now Pay Later Operational KPIs
- Buy Now Pay Later Revenues, 2019 - 2028
- Buy Now Pay Later Share by Revenue Segments
- Buy Now Pay Later Merchant Commission, 2019 - 2028
- Buy Now Pay Later Missed Payment Fee Revenue, 2019 - 2028
- Buy Now Pay Later Pay Now & Other Income, 2019 - 2028
- Buy Now Pay Later Accounts, 2019 - 2028
- Buy Now Pay Later Bad Debt, 2019 - 2028
Australia Buy Now Pay Later Market Share Analysis by Key Players
- (Afterpay, Zippay, Humm, OpenPay, Payright)
Australia Buy Now Pay Later Spend Analysis by Channel: Market Size and Forecast
- Online Channel
- POS Channel
Australia Buy Now Pay Later in Retail Shopping: Market Size and Forecast
- Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis
- Average Value Per Transaction Trend Analysis
- Transaction Volume Trend Analysis
Australia Buy Now Pay Later in Home Improvement: Market Size and Forecast
- Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis
- Average Value Per Transaction Trend Analysis
- Transaction Volume Trend Analysis
Australia Buy Now Pay Later in Leisure & Entertainment: Market Size and Forecast
- Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis
- Average Value Per Transaction Trend Analysis
- Transaction Volume Trend Analysis
Australia Buy Now Pay Later in Healthcare and Wellness: Market Size and Forecast
- Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis
- Average Value Per Transaction Trend Analysis
- Transaction Volume Trend Analysis
Australia Buy Now Pay Later in Other: Market Size and Forecast
- Gross Merchandise Value Trend Analysis
- Average Value Per Transaction Trend Analysis
- Transaction Volume Trend Analysis
Australia Buy Now Pay Later Analysis by Consumer Attitude and Behaviour
- Buy Now Pay Later Sales Uplift by Product Category
- Buy Now Pay Later Spend Share by Age Group
- Buy Now Pay Later Gross Merchandise Share by Income
- Buy Now Pay Later Gross Merchandise Value Share by Gender
- Buy Now Pay Later Adoption Rationale Gross Merchandise Value Analysis
Reasons to buy
- In-depth Understanding of Buy Now Pay Later Market Dynamics: Understand market opportunities and key trends along with forecast (2019-2028). Understand market dynamics through essential KPIs such as Gross Merchandise Value, Volume, and Average Value Per Transaction.
- Insights into Opportunity by end-use sectors - Get market dynamics by end-use sectors to assess emerging opportunity across various end-use sectors.
- Develop Market Specific Strategies: Identify growth segments and target specific opportunities to formulate BNPL strategy; assess market specific key trends, drivers, and risks in the BNPL industry.
- Get Insights into Consumer Attitude and Behaviour: Drawing from proprietary survey results, this report identifies and interprets key Buy Now Pay Later KPIs, including spend by age, gender, and income level.
- Market Share by Key Players
For more information about this report visit https://www.researchandmarkets.com/r/h6kotd
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Research and Markets
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Uncategorized
Homes listed for sale in early June sell for $7,700 more
New Zillow research suggests the spring home shopping season may see a second wave this summer if mortgage rates fall
The post Homes listed for sale in…
- A Zillow analysis of 2023 home sales finds homes listed in the first two weeks of June sold for 2.3% more.
- The best time to list a home for sale is a month later than it was in 2019, likely driven by mortgage rates.
- The best time to list can be as early as the second half of February in San Francisco, and as late as the first half of July in New York and Philadelphia.
Spring home sellers looking to maximize their sale price may want to wait it out and list their home for sale in the first half of June. A new Zillow® analysis of 2023 sales found that homes listed in the first two weeks of June sold for 2.3% more, a $7,700 boost on a typical U.S. home.
The best time to list consistently had been early May in the years leading up to the pandemic. The shift to June suggests mortgage rates are strongly influencing demand on top of the usual seasonality that brings buyers to the market in the spring. This home-shopping season is poised to follow a similar pattern as that in 2023, with the potential for a second wave if the Federal Reserve lowers interest rates midyear or later.
The 2.3% sale price premium registered last June followed the first spring in more than 15 years with mortgage rates over 6% on a 30-year fixed-rate loan. The high rates put home buyers on the back foot, and as rates continued upward through May, they were still reassessing and less likely to bid boldly. In June, however, rates pulled back a little from 6.79% to 6.67%, which likely presented an opportunity for determined buyers heading into summer. More buyers understood their market position and could afford to transact, boosting competition and sale prices.
The old logic was that sellers could earn a premium by listing in late spring, when search activity hit its peak. Now, with persistently low inventory, mortgage rate fluctuations make their own seasonality. First-time home buyers who are on the edge of qualifying for a home loan may dip in and out of the market, depending on what’s happening with rates. It is almost certain the Federal Reserve will push back any interest-rate cuts to mid-2024 at the earliest. If mortgage rates follow, that could bring another surge of buyers later this year.
Mortgage rates have been impacting affordability and sale prices since they began rising rapidly two years ago. In 2022, sellers nationwide saw the highest sale premium when they listed their home in late March, right before rates barreled past 5% and continued climbing.
Zillow’s research finds the best time to list can vary widely by metropolitan area. In 2023, it was as early as the second half of February in San Francisco, and as late as the first half of July in New York. Thirty of the top 35 largest metro areas saw for-sale listings command the highest sale prices between May and early July last year.
Zillow also found a wide range in the sale price premiums associated with homes listed during those peak periods. At the hottest time of the year in San Jose, homes sold for 5.5% more, a $88,000 boost on a typical home. Meanwhile, homes in San Antonio sold for 1.9% more during that same time period.
Metropolitan Area | Best Time to List | Price Premium | Dollar Boost |
United States | First half of June | 2.3% | $7,700 |
New York, NY | First half of July | 2.4% | $15,500 |
Los Angeles, CA | First half of May | 4.1% | $39,300 |
Chicago, IL | First half of June | 2.8% | $8,800 |
Dallas, TX | First half of June | 2.5% | $9,200 |
Houston, TX | Second half of April | 2.0% | $6,200 |
Washington, DC | Second half of June | 2.2% | $12,700 |
Philadelphia, PA | First half of July | 2.4% | $8,200 |
Miami, FL | First half of June | 2.3% | $12,900 |
Atlanta, GA | Second half of June | 2.3% | $8,700 |
Boston, MA | Second half of May | 3.5% | $23,600 |
Phoenix, AZ | First half of June | 3.2% | $14,700 |
San Francisco, CA | Second half of February | 4.2% | $50,300 |
Riverside, CA | First half of May | 2.7% | $15,600 |
Detroit, MI | First half of July | 3.3% | $7,900 |
Seattle, WA | First half of June | 4.3% | $31,500 |
Minneapolis, MN | Second half of May | 3.7% | $13,400 |
San Diego, CA | Second half of April | 3.1% | $29,600 |
Tampa, FL | Second half of June | 2.1% | $8,000 |
Denver, CO | Second half of May | 2.9% | $16,900 |
Baltimore, MD | First half of July | 2.2% | $8,200 |
St. Louis, MO | First half of June | 2.9% | $7,000 |
Orlando, FL | First half of June | 2.2% | $8,700 |
Charlotte, NC | Second half of May | 3.0% | $11,000 |
San Antonio, TX | First half of June | 1.9% | $5,400 |
Portland, OR | Second half of April | 2.6% | $14,300 |
Sacramento, CA | First half of June | 3.2% | $17,900 |
Pittsburgh, PA | Second half of June | 2.3% | $4,700 |
Cincinnati, OH | Second half of April | 2.7% | $7,500 |
Austin, TX | Second half of May | 2.8% | $12,600 |
Las Vegas, NV | First half of June | 3.4% | $14,600 |
Kansas City, MO | Second half of May | 2.5% | $7,300 |
Columbus, OH | Second half of June | 3.3% | $10,400 |
Indianapolis, IN | First half of July | 3.0% | $8,100 |
Cleveland, OH | First half of July | 3.4% | $7,400 |
San Jose, CA | First half of June | 5.5% | $88,400 |
The post Homes listed for sale in early June sell for $7,700 more appeared first on Zillow Research.
federal reserve pandemic home sales mortgage rates interest ratesUncategorized
February Employment Situation
By Paul Gomme and Peter Rupert The establishment data from the BLS showed a 275,000 increase in payroll employment for February, outpacing the 230,000…
By Paul Gomme and Peter Rupert
The establishment data from the BLS showed a 275,000 increase in payroll employment for February, outpacing the 230,000 average over the previous 12 months. The payroll data for January and December were revised down by a total of 167,000. The private sector added 223,000 new jobs, the largest gain since May of last year.
Temporary help services employment continues a steep decline after a sharp post-pandemic rise.
Average hours of work increased from 34.2 to 34.3. The increase, along with the 223,000 private employment increase led to a hefty increase in total hours of 5.6% at an annualized rate, also the largest increase since May of last year.
The establishment report, once again, beat “expectations;” the WSJ survey of economists was 198,000. Other than the downward revisions, mentioned above, another bit of negative news was a smallish increase in wage growth, from $34.52 to $34.57.
The household survey shows that the labor force increased 150,000, a drop in employment of 184,000 and an increase in the number of unemployed persons of 334,000. The labor force participation rate held steady at 62.5, the employment to population ratio decreased from 60.2 to 60.1 and the unemployment rate increased from 3.66 to 3.86. Remember that the unemployment rate is the number of unemployed relative to the labor force (the number employed plus the number unemployed). Consequently, the unemployment rate can go up if the number of unemployed rises holding fixed the labor force, or if the labor force shrinks holding the number unemployed unchanged. An increase in the unemployment rate is not necessarily a bad thing: it may reflect a strong labor market drawing “marginally attached” individuals from outside the labor force. Indeed, there was a 96,000 decline in those workers.
Earlier in the week, the BLS announced JOLTS (Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey) data for January. There isn’t much to report here as the job openings changed little at 8.9 million, the number of hires and total separations were little changed at 5.7 million and 5.3 million, respectively.
As has been the case for the last couple of years, the number of job openings remains higher than the number of unemployed persons.
Also earlier in the week the BLS announced that productivity increased 3.2% in the 4th quarter with output rising 3.5% and hours of work rising 0.3%.
The bottom line is that the labor market continues its surprisingly (to some) strong performance, once again proving stronger than many had expected. This strength makes it difficult to justify any interest rate cuts soon, particularly given the recent inflation spike.
unemployment pandemic unemploymentUncategorized
Mortgage rates fall as labor market normalizes
Jobless claims show an expanding economy. We will only be in a recession once jobless claims exceed 323,000 on a four-week moving average.
Everyone was waiting to see if this week’s jobs report would send mortgage rates higher, which is what happened last month. Instead, the 10-year yield had a muted response after the headline number beat estimates, but we have negative job revisions from previous months. The Federal Reserve’s fear of wage growth spiraling out of control hasn’t materialized for over two years now and the unemployment rate ticked up to 3.9%. For now, we can say the labor market isn’t tight anymore, but it’s also not breaking.
The key labor data line in this expansion is the weekly jobless claims report. Jobless claims show an expanding economy that has not lost jobs yet. We will only be in a recession once jobless claims exceed 323,000 on a four-week moving average.
From the Fed: In the week ended March 2, initial claims for unemployment insurance benefits were flat, at 217,000. The four-week moving average declined slightly by 750, to 212,250
Below is an explanation of how we got here with the labor market, which all started during COVID-19.
1. I wrote the COVID-19 recovery model on April 7, 2020, and retired it on Dec. 9, 2020. By that time, the upfront recovery phase was done, and I needed to model out when we would get the jobs lost back.
2. Early in the labor market recovery, when we saw weaker job reports, I doubled and tripled down on my assertion that job openings would get to 10 million in this recovery. Job openings rose as high as to 12 million and are currently over 9 million. Even with the massive miss on a job report in May 2021, I didn’t waver.
Currently, the jobs openings, quit percentage and hires data are below pre-COVID-19 levels, which means the labor market isn’t as tight as it once was, and this is why the employment cost index has been slowing data to move along the quits percentage.
3. I wrote that we should get back all the jobs lost to COVID-19 by September of 2022. At the time this would be a speedy labor market recovery, and it happened on schedule, too
Total employment data
4. This is the key one for right now: If COVID-19 hadn’t happened, we would have between 157 million and 159 million jobs today, which would have been in line with the job growth rate in February 2020. Today, we are at 157,808,000. This is important because job growth should be cooling down now. We are more in line with where the labor market should be when averaging 140K-165K monthly. So for now, the fact that we aren’t trending between 140K-165K means we still have a bit more recovery kick left before we get down to those levels.
From BLS: Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 275,000 in February, and the unemployment rate increased to 3.9 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job gains occurred in health care, in government, in food services and drinking places, in social assistance, and in transportation and warehousing.
Here are the jobs that were created and lost in the previous month:
In this jobs report, the unemployment rate for education levels looks like this:
- Less than a high school diploma: 6.1%
- High school graduate and no college: 4.2%
- Some college or associate degree: 3.1%
- Bachelor’s degree or higher: 2.2%
Today’s report has continued the trend of the labor data beating my expectations, only because I am looking for the jobs data to slow down to a level of 140K-165K, which hasn’t happened yet. I wouldn’t categorize the labor market as being tight anymore because of the quits ratio and the hires data in the job openings report. This also shows itself in the employment cost index as well. These are key data lines for the Fed and the reason we are going to see three rate cuts this year.
recession unemployment covid-19 fed federal reserve mortgage rates recession recovery unemployment-
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