The Fed Just Started The Countdown To The Next Recession: Here's When It Will Strike There is an old chart from Bank of America that shows...
The MBA 2022 forecast includes higher mortgage rates, more purchase volume and tighter margins for lenders. The post Mike Fratantoni on MBA’s 2022 mortgage market forecast...
COVID-19 Economic Zombification Authored by Daniel Fernandez via UFM Market Trends, More and more economists and finance specialists are warning of the potential arrival of a...
In certain quarters, “scientific” quarters, the Chinese haven’t just done a fantastic job managing their own outbreak of COVID-19, the Communist government has produced a pandemic...
Silver On Sale: Silver-Gold Ratio Back Above 80-1 Via SchiffGold.com, The silver-gold ratio has climbed back above 80-1. This has historically signaled silver on sale. As I...
Policymakers must strike the right balance in the face of high debt and rising inflation.
Interest rates are front and center today as the Federal Reserve prepares to update the world on its current thinking about monetary policy. The main question:...
In spring 2020, millions of Americans lost or left their jobs. While many continued to search for work, ready to take a job, others left the...
Six months after talks stalled, The New York Times has reemerged as a potential buyer of The Athletic, sources told Front Office Sports. The post New...
"We Expect A Sea Change": Morgan Stanley Admits It Was Wrong, Now Sees Liftoff In 2022 As Goldman Goes All-In With 7 Rate Hikes At the...
Inflation is rising at the fastest pace since Ronald Reagan was president.
UMich Sentiment Rebounds Modestly From Decade-Lows Amid "Emerging Wage-Price Spiral" After puking to decade lows in November (despite record high stocks), analysts expected a modest rebound...
With the end of the year in sight, the US economy continues to show signs of a sharp pickup in growth in the fourth quarter, based...
The FT-IGM US Macroeconomists survey is out (it was conducted over the weekend). The results are summarized here, and an FT article here (gated). Here’s some...
Schiff: The Federal Reserve Is Picking A Fight It Cannot Win Via SchiffGold.com, The stock market rallied early this week with receding worry about the omicron...
Housing inventory has collapsed to all-time lows this year. Lack of inventory continues to be one of the biggest risks to the housing market. The post...
According to the popular narrative, the role of the central bank is to navigate the economy along the so-called path of economic stability. By this way of...
The US Census Bureau today reported that US imports of goods and services reached a record monthly high of $290.7 billion in October 2021. Just goods...
What Is Financial Liquidity?In physics, liquidity refers to a substance’s ability to flow, which is a description that also works well in the stock market. Financial...
Mainstream Economists Are Struggling To Hide The Incoming Economic Collapse Authored by Brandon Smith via Alt-Market.us, For many years now there has been a contingent of...
Marco Del Negro is the director of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s new research center, AMEC, which stands for the Applied Macroeconomics and Econometrics...
Today, the New York Fed’s Center for Microeconomic Data released its Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit for the third quarter of 2021. Overall debt...
As the economy continues to recover from the pandemic recession, many businesses are struggling to keep up with surging demand amid widespread supply shortages and delays....
The market has entered what I like to term a “work zone” or “construction area,” where everyone is wearing a yellow vest and a hard hat....
Light yellow line is the 10-year Government of Canada bond yield, orange line is the 2-year bond yield: Over the past week, Omicron fears have triggered...
The Issue: In the recovery from the Great Recession, the announcement that the Fed was considering tapering its security purchases sent the markets into a “tantrum”...
The rise in the index of aggregate hours would be equivalent to more than 630,000 jobs with no changes in workweeks. The post Unemployment Falls to...
With inflationary pressures intensifying and Omicron generating new uncertainties, monetary policymakers are facing new and challenging tradeoffs.
There is a cumulative shortage of 1.35 million new single-family homes permitted in the 35 largest U.S. housing markets. Here's why. The post Playing Catch-up: Putting...
Wynn Resorts Limited (NASDAQ: WYNN) now has its gaming revenues and room rates in the United States significantly above the pre-pandemic numbers. Still, Kynikos Associates’ Jim...