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Stock Market Crash Threatens Bullish Bitcoin Consolidation Sub-$10K

Stock Market Crash Threatens Bullish Bitcoin Consolidation Sub-$10K

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The Bitcoin price bulls and bears will be looking to tip the scales in their favor over the weekend as the bullish structure for BTC remains intact.

Bitcoin (BTC), the biggest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, is trading at $9,375, representing a 0.2% loss in value in the last 24 hours and the same for today’s session.

The wider crypto market is generally following Bitcoin, with Ethereum’s Ether (ETH) down around 0.27% and XRP underperforming but still relatively flat and down less than 1% at $0.19. Meanwhile, Bitcoin dominance remains flat at 65% after a strong couple of weeks by the alts.

Cryptocurrency market 24-hour view. Source: Coin360

Cryptocurrency market 24-hour view. Source: Coin360

One-week chart

The one-week chart for Bitcoin shows seven weeks of consolidation below the $10,000 handle — a price point that has been elusive support since September 2019.

Trading continues to take place above all key weekly moving averages, with the 50-week and 20-week MAs playing an important recent role in supporting price. While the price remains above the 20-week, 50-week, 100-week and 200-week moving averages, it is reasonable to describe the market as bullish while consolidating below resistance. Bitcoin has yet to print a higher high and turn $10,000 into support, which would be the indication that BTC/USD is in a bull market.

BTC/USD 1-week chart. Source: Tradingview

BTC/USD one-week chart. Source: Tradingview

Overall, the volume has been decreasing as would be expected during bullish consolidation. The On Balance Volume, or OBV, indicator, which can highlight where there is a deviation between volume and price action, shows the lack of higher highs. This is largely a consequence of the high volume sustained weeks of rejection when prices were below $8,000.

A breakdown in the OBV while the price is maintained may be an indication of weakness, but this has not yet been seen, and the lower volume consolidation appears to continue to favor the bulls for now.

Key support for Bitcoin could be expected around the yearly pivot and the 50-week and 20-week moving averages, which are complemented by high volume interest at this level at around $8,150–$8,650.

Any breakdown for Bitcoin would most likely see this level as an important battleground, with the 100-week MA at $7,250 being the next level to look for since it was an important resistance level during the ascension from $4,000.

One-day chart

Looking at the daily chart, it is easier to see that Bitcoin continues to apply pressure to $10,000, with around four concerted attempts to break it, whereas price lows are generally higher lows.

As such, this is the longest consolidation for Bitcoin below $10,000 and is one that shares characteristics of a bullish consolidation triangle, which — if it played out — would imply a move to the upside toward $12,000.

Should the triangle break to the downside, there are the 200-day and 100-day moving averages, both also in the key support area just north of $8,000. As it stands, the 50-day MA is supporting the price, having been tested multiple times this week.

BTC/USD 1-day chart. Source: Tradingview

BTC/USD one-day chart. Source: Tradingview

The one-day volume emphasizes the recent volume drop off, but the OBV shows to also be putting in higher highs on the daily chart, meaning that the bearish volume in the consolidation has been resolved by bullish consolidation.

The daily MACD shows a loss of momentum, which would be expected in a sideways consolidation, but remains above zero. A break from this downtrend would be useful to detect the first sign of a momentum shift to the upside.

BTC/USD 1-day chart. Source: Tradingview

BTC/USD 1-day chart. Source: Tradingview

One-hour chart

The one-hour chart shows Bitcoin fighting with the 50-day moving average in an attempt to regain support with the main key area of interest being above at $9,550–$9,600, which has been a support/resistance level for nearly the whole of June.

Reclaiming this level would be key and would most likely lead to another retest of $10,000, which under the right complimentary circumstances, may be the last time the bulls need to knock on this door before a breakout. As such, this is the key objective for the bulls as the apex of the ascending triangle is traded within.

Fortunately for the bulls, there was a strong amount of buying interest at $8,900–$9,000 when tested on June 15, which can be seen by the OBV, which is outperforming price action.

Price action for the weekend is most likely to be concentrated between $9,300 and $9,600.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: Tradingview

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Tradingview

The pick up in price action noted above on Monday came largely around the time that the Federal Reserve announced a furthermore aggressive ability to purchase up to $750 billion of corporate bonds, providing liquidity and some comfort to investors in traditional markets, which saw an uptick across all the markets.

Bitcoin has been moving alongside the S&P 500 since the COVID-19 outbreak, and despite the falloff during consolidation, the overall correlation remains relatively high at 76%. Bitcoin also shared some similar market moves to oil, but more so toward the start of the marketwide collapse earlier this year. Bitcoin is inversely correlated to gold and was also this way during the drop earlier this year.

As such, it seems that Bitcoin is going to continue to behave as a risk-on asset as seen earlier in the week and particularly when the markets are at pivotal points.

The Federal Reserve appears to be happy in expanding the money supply through the purchase of corporate bonds and commitment to maintaining interest rates low, which, in the long run, is good for Bitcoin. Increasing the dollar base overlaid on a decreasing inflation rate for Bitcoin is a basic economics equation that most investors expect to lead to higher prices, assuming other things remain constant.

Bitcoin correlation 1-day chart. Source: Tradingview

Bitcoin correlation one-day chart. Source: Tradingview

Moving into the weekend

Friday afternoon is normally a relatively volatile time period with positions being risk-managed for the weekend period. The bulls have the objective of reclaiming and sustaining $9,600, whereas the bears will be looking to take advantage of any weakness and break below $8,900, which would most likely open the door to test the lower levels of support around $8,000.

Overall, from a technical point of view, the market remains in a bullish posture, above all key MAs but is consolidating below resistance. Turn $10,500 into support and $12,000 and beyond becomes a very real possibility. But, as mentioned, shorter-term price action remains largely at the mercy of the wider economy — particularly while Bitcoin consolidates on low volume.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Key shipping company files for Chapter 11 bankruptcy

The Illinois-based general freight trucking company filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy to reorganize.

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The U.S. trucking industry has had a difficult beginning of the year for 2024 with several logistics companies filing for bankruptcy to seek either a Chapter 7 liquidation or Chapter 11 reorganization.

The Covid-19 pandemic caused a lot of supply chain issues for logistics companies and also created a shortage of truck drivers as many left the business for other occupations. Shipping companies, in the meantime, have had extreme difficulty recruiting new drivers for thousands of unfilled jobs.

Related: Tesla rival’s filing reveals Chapter 11 bankruptcy is possible

Freight forwarder company Boateng Logistics joined a growing list of shipping companies that permanently shuttered their businesses as the firm on Feb. 22 filed for Chapter 7 bankruptcy with plans to liquidate.

The Carlsbad, Calif., logistics company filed its petition in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Southern District of California listing assets up to $50,000 and and $1 million to $10 million in liabilities. Court papers said it owed millions of dollars in liabilities to trucking, logistics and factoring companies. The company filed bankruptcy before any creditors could take legal action.

Lawsuits force companies to liquidate in bankruptcy

Lawsuits, however, can force companies to file bankruptcy, which was the case for J.J. & Sons Logistics of Clint, Texas, which on Jan. 22 filed for Chapter 7 liquidation in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Western District of Texas. The company filed bankruptcy four days before the scheduled start of a trial for a wrongful death lawsuit filed by the family of a former company truck driver who had died from drowning in 2016.

California-based logistics company Wise Choice Trans Corp. shut down operations and filed for Chapter 7 liquidation on Jan. 4 in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Northern District of California, listing $1 million to $10 million in assets and liabilities.

The Hayward, Calif., third-party logistics company, founded in 2009, provided final mile, less-than-truckload and full truckload services, as well as warehouse and fulfillment services in the San Francisco Bay Area.

The Chapter 7 filing also implemented an automatic stay against all legal proceedings, as the company listed its involvement in four legal actions that were ongoing or concluded. Court papers reportedly did not list amounts for damages.

In some cases, debtors don't have to take a drastic action, such as a liquidation, and can instead file a Chapter 11 reorganization.

Truck shipping products.

Shutterstock

Nationwide Cargo seeks to reorganize its business

Nationwide Cargo Inc., a general freight trucking company that also hauls fresh produce and meat, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Northern District of Illinois with plans to reorganize its business.

The East Dundee, Ill., shipping company listed $1 million to $10 million in assets and $10 million to $50 million in liabilities in its petition and said funds will not be available to pay unsecured creditors. The company operates with 183 trucks and 171 drivers, FreightWaves reported.

Nationwide Cargo's three largest secured creditors in the petition were Equify Financial LLC (owed about $3.5 million,) Commercial Credit Group (owed about $1.8 million) and Continental Bank NA (owed about $676,000.)

The shipping company reported gross revenue of about $34 million in 2022 and about $40 million in 2023.  From Jan. 1 until its petition date, the company generated $9.3 million in gross revenue.

Related: Veteran fund manager picks favorite stocks for 2024

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Key shipping company files Chapter 11 bankruptcy

The Illinois-based general freight trucking company filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy to reorganize.

Published

on

The U.S. trucking industry has had a difficult beginning of the year for 2024 with several logistics companies filing for bankruptcy to seek either a Chapter 7 liquidation or Chapter 11 reorganization.

The Covid-19 pandemic caused a lot of supply chain issues for logistics companies and also created a shortage of truck drivers as many left the business for other occupations. Shipping companies, in the meantime, have had extreme difficulty recruiting new drivers for thousands of unfilled jobs.

Related: Tesla rival’s filing reveals Chapter 11 bankruptcy is possible

Freight forwarder company Boateng Logistics joined a growing list of shipping companies that permanently shuttered their businesses as the firm on Feb. 22 filed for Chapter 7 bankruptcy with plans to liquidate.

The Carlsbad, Calif., logistics company filed its petition in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Southern District of California listing assets up to $50,000 and and $1 million to $10 million in liabilities. Court papers said it owed millions of dollars in liabilities to trucking, logistics and factoring companies. The company filed bankruptcy before any creditors could take legal action.

Lawsuits force companies to liquidate in bankruptcy

Lawsuits, however, can force companies to file bankruptcy, which was the case for J.J. & Sons Logistics of Clint, Texas, which on Jan. 22 filed for Chapter 7 liquidation in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Western District of Texas. The company filed bankruptcy four days before the scheduled start of a trial for a wrongful death lawsuit filed by the family of a former company truck driver who had died from drowning in 2016.

California-based logistics company Wise Choice Trans Corp. shut down operations and filed for Chapter 7 liquidation on Jan. 4 in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Northern District of California, listing $1 million to $10 million in assets and liabilities.

The Hayward, Calif., third-party logistics company, founded in 2009, provided final mile, less-than-truckload and full truckload services, as well as warehouse and fulfillment services in the San Francisco Bay Area.

The Chapter 7 filing also implemented an automatic stay against all legal proceedings, as the company listed its involvement in four legal actions that were ongoing or concluded. Court papers reportedly did not list amounts for damages.

In some cases, debtors don't have to take a drastic action, such as a liquidation, and can instead file a Chapter 11 reorganization.

Truck shipping products.

Shutterstock

Nationwide Cargo seeks to reorganize its business

Nationwide Cargo Inc., a general freight trucking company that also hauls fresh produce and meat, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Northern District of Illinois with plans to reorganize its business.

The East Dundee, Ill., shipping company listed $1 million to $10 million in assets and $10 million to $50 million in liabilities in its petition and said funds will not be available to pay unsecured creditors. The company operates with 183 trucks and 171 drivers, FreightWaves reported.

Nationwide Cargo's three largest secured creditors in the petition were Equify Financial LLC (owed about $3.5 million,) Commercial Credit Group (owed about $1.8 million) and Continental Bank NA (owed about $676,000.)

The shipping company reported gross revenue of about $34 million in 2022 and about $40 million in 2023.  From Jan. 1 until its petition date, the company generated $9.3 million in gross revenue.

Related: Veteran fund manager picks favorite stocks for 2024

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Tight inventory and frustrated buyers challenge agents in Virginia

With inventory a little more than half of what it was pre-pandemic, agents are struggling to find homes for clients in Virginia.

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No matter where you are in the state, real estate agents in Virginia are facing low inventory conditions that are creating frustrating scenarios for their buyers.

“I think people are getting used to the interest rates where they are now, but there is just a huge lack of inventory,” said Chelsea Newcomb, a RE/MAX Realty Specialists agent based in Charlottesville. “I have buyers that are looking, but to find a house that you love enough to pay a high price for — and to be at over a 6.5% interest rate — it’s just a little bit harder to find something.”

Newcomb said that interest rates and higher prices, which have risen by more than $100,000 since March 2020, according to data from Altos Research, have caused her clients to be pickier when selecting a home.

“When rates and prices were lower, people were more willing to compromise,” Newcomb said.

Out in Wise, Virginia, near the westernmost tip of the state, RE/MAX Cavaliers agent Brett Tiller and his clients are also struggling to find suitable properties.

“The thing that really stands out, especially compared to two years ago, is the lack of quality listings,” Tiller said. “The slightly more upscale single-family listings for move-up buyers with children looking for their forever home just aren’t coming on the market right now, and demand is still very high.”

Statewide, Virginia had a 90-day average of 8,068 active single-family listings as of March 8, 2024, down from 14,471 single-family listings in early March 2020 at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, according to Altos Research. That represents a decrease of 44%.

Virginia-Inventory-Line-Chart-Virginia-90-day-Single-Family

In Newcomb’s base metro area of Charlottesville, there were an average of only 277 active single-family listings during the same recent 90-day period, compared to 892 at the onset of the pandemic. In Wise County, there were only 56 listings.

Due to the demand from move-up buyers in Tiller’s area, the average days on market for homes with a median price of roughly $190,000 was just 17 days as of early March 2024.

“For the right home, which is rare to find right now, we are still seeing multiple offers,” Tiller said. “The demand is the same right now as it was during the heart of the pandemic.”

According to Tiller, the tight inventory has caused homebuyers to spend up to six months searching for their new property, roughly double the time it took prior to the pandemic.

For Matt Salway in the Virginia Beach metro area, the tight inventory conditions are creating a rather hot market.

“Depending on where you are in the area, your listing could have 15 offers in two days,” the agent for Iron Valley Real Estate Hampton Roads | Virginia Beach said. “It has been crazy competition for most of Virginia Beach, and Norfolk is pretty hot too, especially for anything under $400,000.”

According to Altos Research, the Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News housing market had a seven-day average Market Action Index score of 52.44 as of March 14, making it the seventh hottest housing market in the country. Altos considers any Market Action Index score above 30 to be indicative of a seller’s market.

Virginia-Beach-Metro-Area-Market-Action-Index-Line-Chart-Virginia-Beach-Norfolk-Newport-News-VA-NC-90-day-Single-Family

Further up the coastline on the vacation destination of Chincoteague Island, Long & Foster agent Meghan O. Clarkson is also seeing a decent amount of competition despite higher prices and interest rates.

“People are taking their time to actually come see things now instead of buying site unseen, and occasionally we see some seller concessions, but the traffic and the demand is still there; you might just work a little longer with people because we don’t have anything for sale,” Clarkson said.

“I’m busy and constantly have appointments, but the underlying frenzy from the height of the pandemic has gone away, but I think it is because we have just gotten used to it.”

While much of the demand that Clarkson’s market faces is for vacation homes and from retirees looking for a scenic spot to retire, a large portion of the demand in Salway’s market comes from military personnel and civilians working under government contracts.

“We have over a dozen military bases here, plus a bunch of shipyards, so the closer you get to all of those bases, the easier it is to sell a home and the faster the sale happens,” Salway said.

Due to this, Salway said that existing-home inventory typically does not come on the market unless an employment contract ends or the owner is reassigned to a different base, which is currently contributing to the tight inventory situation in his market.

Things are a bit different for Tiller and Newcomb, who are seeing a decent number of buyers from other, more expensive parts of the state.

“One of the crazy things about Louisa and Goochland, which are kind of like suburbs on the western side of Richmond, is that they are growing like crazy,” Newcomb said. “A lot of people are coming in from Northern Virginia because they can work remotely now.”

With a Market Action Index score of 50, it is easy to see why people are leaving the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria market for the Charlottesville market, which has an index score of 41.

In addition, the 90-day average median list price in Charlottesville is $585,000 compared to $729,900 in the D.C. area, which Newcomb said is also luring many Virginia homebuyers to move further south.

Median-Price-D.C.-vs.-Charlottesville-Line-Chart-90-day-Single-Family

“They are very accustomed to higher prices, so they are super impressed with the prices we offer here in the central Virginia area,” Newcomb said.

For local buyers, Newcomb said this means they are frequently being outbid or outpriced.

“A couple who is local to the area and has been here their whole life, they are just now starting to get their mind wrapped around the fact that you can’t get a house for $200,000 anymore,” Newcomb said.

As the year heads closer to spring, triggering the start of the prime homebuying season, agents in Virginia feel optimistic about the market.

“We are seeing seasonal trends like we did up through 2019,” Clarkson said. “The market kind of soft launched around President’s Day and it is still building, but I expect it to pick right back up and be in full swing by Easter like it always used to.”

But while they are confident in demand, questions still remain about whether there will be enough inventory to support even more homebuyers entering the market.

“I have a lot of buyers starting to come off the sidelines, but in my office, I also have a lot of people who are going to list their house in the next two to three weeks now that the weather is starting to break,” Newcomb said. “I think we are going to have a good spring and summer.”

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