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Record highs in Bitcoin’s long-term holder supply signal market confidence

Bitcoin’s long-term holders are addresses that have held onto their Bitcoin for over 155 days. And while 155 days might not sound like a lot of time…

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Bitcoin’s long-term holders are addresses that have held onto their Bitcoin for over 155 days. And while 155 days might not sound like a lot of time in the context of Bitcoin, addresses that have held onto their assets for longer than that have a statistically lower chance of selling their BTC.

Therefore, the actions and decisions of this particular entity can significantly influence the crypto market and Bitcoin’s price trajectory. Historically, long-term holders have shown resilience during Bitcoin’s price fluctuations, often holding onto their assets during downturns and selling during peaks.

Recently, Bitcoin’s price has shown a relatively flat trading pattern, hovering around the $26,200 mark after reclaiming its $26,000 support just last week. This stabilization comes on the heels of a tumultuous month, where Bitcoin’s price plummeted to lows of $25,000, a stark contrast to the preceding months of sideways movement between $29,000 and $30,000.

Graph showing Bitcoin’s price from June 2023 to September 2023 (Source: CryptoSlate BTC)

Despite the price volatility, the Bitcoin supply held by long-term holders has surged to an all-time high.

long-term holders supply all time
Graph showing the total supply held by long-term holders from 2010 to 2023 (Source: Glassnode)

The long-term holder supply now stands at 14.83 million BTC. Since the beginning of 2023, this supply has seen an addition of 757,177 BTC. Over the past year, it has grown by 1.07 million BTC, with 152,216 BTC added in just the last 30 days.

long-term holders supply 1 year
Graph showing the total supply held by long-term holders from September 2022 to September 2023 (Source: Glassnode)

This surge in long-term holder supply underscores these holders’ confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term potential. Even amidst price fluctuations, their willingness to hold suggests a belief in the cryptocurrency’s enduring value. Moreover, with such a significant portion of Bitcoin’s supply being held long-term, there’s reduced liquidity in the market, which can lead to increased price volatility.

Currently, the long-term holder supply constitutes a whopping 76.09% of Bitcoin’s circulating supply. The last time this percentage was surpassed was in August 2015, when it briefly exceeded 76%. This indicates that most of Bitcoin’s circulating supply is now in the hands of those who believe in its long-term value proposition.

long-term holders supply percentage circulating supply 2014 2023
Graph showing the percentage of Bitcoin’s circulating supply held by long-term holders from 2014 to 2023 (Source: Glassnode)

The long-term holder realized price and the MVRV ratio offer further insights. The realized price is the average price of the long-term holder Bitcoin supply, calculated based on the last transaction date of each coin on-chain. It’s often viewed as this group’s ‘on-chain cost basis.’ Data from Glassnode reveals that the realized price for long-term holders is currently $20,599. This has declined since November 2022, when it was pegged at $23,500.

The MVRV ratio, on the other hand, is a measure of the market value (spot price) relative to the realized value (realized price) for the long-term holder cohort. An MVRV ratio of 1.311, as it stands now, suggests that the current price is 31.1% above the average cost basis for long-term holders.

long-term holders realized price MVRV
Graph showing the realized price and MVRV ratio for long-term holders from July 2022 to September 2023 (Source: Glassnode)

These metrics indicate that a significant portion of Bitcoin’s supply is currently in profit. The MVRV ratio, in particular, can be a valuable tool to gauge market sentiment. Extreme high or low values can signal periods where the market is overheated or undervalued.

The surge in Bitcoin’s long-term holder supply, coupled with the insights from on-chain metrics, paints a picture of a market that remains optimistic about Bitcoin’s future. While price volatility is a given in the crypto realm, the steadfastness of long-term holders suggests a continued belief in Bitcoin’s long-term potential.

The post Record highs in Bitcoin’s long-term holder supply signal market confidence appeared first on CryptoSlate.

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One more airline cracks down on lounge crowding in a way you won’t like

Qantas Airways is increasing the price of accessing its network of lounges by as much as 17%.

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Over the last two years, multiple airlines have dealt with crowding in their lounges. While they are designed as a luxury experience for a small subset of travelers, high numbers of people taking a trip post-pandemic as well as the different ways they are able to gain access through status or certain credit cards made it difficult for some airlines to keep up with keeping foods stocked, common areas clean and having enough staff to serve bar drinks at the rate that customers expect them.

In the fall of 2023, Delta Air Lines  (DAL)  caught serious traveler outcry after announcing that it was cracking down on crowding by raising how much one needs to spend for lounge access and limiting the number of times one can enter those lounges.

Related: Competitors pushed Delta to backtrack on its lounge and loyalty program changes

Some airlines saw the outcry with Delta as their chance to reassure customers that they would not raise their fees while others waited for the storm to pass to quietly implement their own increases.

A photograph captures a Qantas Airways lounge in Sydney, Australia.

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This is how much more you'll have to pay for Qantas lounge access

Australia's flagship carrier Qantas Airways  (QUBSF)  is the latest airline to announce that it would raise the cost accessing the 24 lounges across the country as well as the 600 international lounges available at airports across the world through partner airlines.

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Unlike other airlines which grant access primarily after reaching frequent flyer status, Qantas also sells it through a membership — starting from April 18, 2024, prices will rise from $600 Australian dollars ($392 USD)  to $699 AUD ($456 USD) for one year, $1,100 ($718 USD) to $1,299 ($848 USD) for two years and $2,000 AUD ($1,304) to lock in the rate for four years.

Those signing up for lounge access for the first time also currently pay a joining fee of $99 AUD ($65 USD) that will rise to $129 AUD ($85 USD).

The airline also allows customers to purchase their membership with Qantas Points they collect through frequent travel; the membership fees are also being raised by the equivalent amount in points in what adds up to as much as 17% — from 308,000 to 399,900 to lock in access for four years.

Airline says hikes will 'cover cost increases passed on from suppliers'

"This is the first time the Qantas Club membership fees have increased in seven years and will help cover cost increases passed on from a range of suppliers over that time," a Qantas spokesperson confirmed to Simple Flying. "This follows a reduction in the membership fees for several years during the pandemic."

The spokesperson said the gains from the increases will go both towards making up for inflation-related costs and keeping existing lounges looking modern by updating features like furniture and décor.

While the price increases also do not apply for those who earned lounge access through frequent flyer status or change what it takes to earn that status, Qantas is also introducing even steeper increases for those renewing a membership or adding additional features such as spouse and partner memberships.

In some cases, the cost of these features will nearly double from what members are paying now.

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Star Wars icon gives his support to Disney, Bob Iger

Disney shareholders have a huge decision to make on April 3.

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Disney's  (DIS)  been facing some headwinds up top, but its leadership just got backing from one of the company's more prominent investors.

Star Wars creator George Lucas put out of statement in support of the company's current leadership team, led by CEO Bob Iger, ahead of the April 3 shareholders meeting which will see investors vote on the company's 12-member board.

"Creating magic is not for amateurs," Lucas said in a statement. "When I sold Lucasfilm just over a decade ago, I was delighted to become a Disney shareholder because of my long-time admiration for its iconic brand and Bob Iger’s leadership. When Bob recently returned to the company during a difficult time, I was relieved. No one knows Disney better. I remain a significant shareholder because I have full faith and confidence in the power of Disney and Bob’s track record of driving long-term value. I have voted all of my shares for Disney’s 12 directors and urge other shareholders to do the same."

Related: Disney stands against Nelson Peltz as leadership succession plan heats up

Lucasfilm was acquired by Disney for $4 billion in 2012 — notably under the first term of Iger. He received over 37 million in shares of Disney during the acquisition.

Lucas' statement seems to be an attempt to push investors away from the criticism coming from The Trian Partners investment group, led by Nelson Peltz. The group, owns about $3 million in shares of the media giant, is pushing two candidates for positions on the board, which are Peltz and former Disney CFO Jay Rasulo.

HOLLYWOOD, CALIFORNIA - JUNE 14: George Lucas attends the Los Angeles Premiere of LucasFilms' "Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny" at Dolby Theatre on June 14, 2023 in Hollywood, California. (Photo by Axelle/Bauer-Griffin/FilmMagic)

Axelle/Bauer-Griffin/Getty Images

Peltz and Co. have called out a pair of Disney directors — Michael Froman and Maria Elena Lagomasino — for their lack of experience in the media space.

Related: Women's basketball is gaining ground, but is March Madness ready to rival the men's game?

Blackwells Capital is also pushing three of its candidates to take seats during the early April shareholder meeting, though Reuters has reported that the firm has been supportive of the company's current direction.

Disney has struggled in recent years amid the changes in media and the effects of the pandemic — which triggered the return of Iger at the helm in late 2022. After going through mass layoffs in the spring of 2023 and focusing on key growth brands, the company has seen a steady recovery with its stock up over 25% year-to-date and around 40% for the last six months.

Related: Veteran fund manager picks favorite stocks for 2024

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Another airline is making lounge fees more expensive

Qantas Airways is increasing the price of accessing its network of lounges by as much as 17%.

Published

on

Over the last two years, multiple airlines have dealt with crowding in their lounges. While they are designed as a luxury experience for a small subset of travelers, high numbers of people taking a trip post-pandemic as well as the different ways they are able to gain access through status or certain credit cards made it difficult for some airlines to keep up with keeping foods stocked, common areas clean and having enough staff to serve bar drinks at the rate that customers expect them.

In the fall of 2023, Delta Air Lines  (DAL)  caught serious traveler outcry after announcing that it was cracking down on crowding by raising how much one needs to spend for lounge access and limiting the number of times one can enter those lounges.

Related: Competitors pushed Delta to backtrack on its lounge and loyalty program changes

Some airlines saw the outcry with Delta as their chance to reassure customers that they would not raise their fees while others waited for the storm to pass to quietly implement their own increases.

A photograph captures a Qantas Airways lounge in Sydney, Australia.

Shutterstock

This is how much more you'll have to pay for Qantas lounge access

Australia's flagship carrier Qantas Airways  (QUBSF)  is the latest airline to announce that it would raise the cost accessing the 24 lounges across the country as well as the 600 international lounges available at airports across the world through partner airlines.

More Travel:

Unlike other airlines which grant access primarily after reaching frequent flyer status, Qantas also sells it through a membership — starting from April 18, 2024, prices will rise from $600 Australian dollars ($392 USD)  to $699 AUD ($456 USD) for one year, $1,100 ($718 USD) to $1,299 ($848 USD) for two years and $2,000 AUD ($1,304) to lock in the rate for four years.

Those signing up for lounge access for the first time also currently pay a joining fee of $99 AUD ($65 USD) that will rise to $129 AUD ($85 USD).

The airline also allows customers to purchase their membership with Qantas Points they collect through frequent travel; the membership fees are also being raised by the equivalent amount in points in what adds up to as much as 17% — from 308,000 to 399,900 to lock in access for four years.

Airline says hikes will 'cover cost increases passed on from suppliers'

"This is the first time the Qantas Club membership fees have increased in seven years and will help cover cost increases passed on from a range of suppliers over that time," a Qantas spokesperson confirmed to Simple Flying. "This follows a reduction in the membership fees for several years during the pandemic."

The spokesperson said the gains from the increases will go both towards making up for inflation-related costs and keeping existing lounges looking modern by updating features like furniture and décor.

While the price increases also do not apply for those who earned lounge access through frequent flyer status or change what it takes to earn that status, Qantas is also introducing even steeper increases for those renewing a membership or adding additional features such as spouse and partner memberships.

In some cases, the cost of these features will nearly double from what members are paying now.

Read More

Continue Reading

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