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Q3 2021 Momentum-driven financial stocks to consider

Here are some momentum-driven financial stocks for Q3 2021 to consider based on EPS and sales growth – check them out
The post Q3 2021 Momentum-driven financial stocks to consider appeared first on Value the Markets.

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Financial stocks include a wide array of businesses operating in the financial sector. Banks, lenders, insurance, payment networks, financial services, mortgage REITs, blockchain and cryptocurrency offerings, fintech stocks, and even SPACs come under this umbrella.

Finance is at the heart of the stock market which gives further scope for an investment opportunity. There are also several financial-themed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) for those wary of investing in individual finance stocks.

What is the financial sector?

The global economy is made up of several industry sectors. One of these is the financial sector, which refers to the businesses and institutions providing financial services in both business-to-business (B2B) and business-to-consumer (B2C) models.

When the economy is thriving, financial stocks tend to thrive in sync, but a declining financial sector can be a sign of a struggling economy. Mortgages and loans are a major contributor to financial sector revenues, leading it to flourish in a low-interest-rate environment.

Here is a selection of stocks in the financial sector enjoying price momentum in recent months:

Momentum-driven financial stocks by EPS for Q3 2021

EPS stands for earnings per share. This financial ratio relates the earnings generated by the business, to the number of shares in issue.

The EPS refers to earnings generated during a specific time frame. For example, TTM stands for Trailing Twelve Months, so EPS and TTM often come together to describe how the earnings have changed during the past 12 consecutive months.

According to our calculations, some momentum-driven financial stocks, displaying significant EPS growth, include the following:

Ally Financial Inc

Ally Financial Inc (NYSE: ALLY) is a bank holding company. It provides various digital financial products and services to consumer, commercial, and corporate customers in the US and Canada

ALLY has a $19.3bn market cap, total debt is $17.4bn, while cash and equivalents amount to $13.6bn. Meanwhile, the short interest on this stock is 3%.

Ally Financial Inc has a forward P/E of 7.6. It also offers shareholders a 1.8% dividend yield. ALLY displays EPS growth of 124% TTM and its 2021 consensus average EPS forecast is 8.14

Analyst consensus on this stock is a 12-month average share price target of $65.25. That gives a potential 21.6% upside. ALLY stock currently appears in 141 exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

Onemain Holdings Inc

Onemain Holdings Inc (NYSE: OMF) is a financial services holding company operating in consumer finance and insurance. It has a $7.9bn market cap, total debt is $17.6bn, while cash and equivalents are $1.7bn. Meanwhile, the short interest on this stock is 2.4%.

Onemain Holdings Inc has a forward P/E of 6.7. It also offers shareholders a 16.4% dividend yield.

OMF displays EPS growth of 125.3% TTM and its 2021 consensus average EPS forecast is $10.66.

Analyst consensus on this stock is a 12-month average share price target of $72. That gives a potential 20.7% upside. OMF stock appears in 104 exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

Capital One Financial

Capital One Financial (NYSE: COF) is a financial services holding company offering Credit Card, Consumer Banking, and Commercial Banking.

COF has a $76bn market cap, total debt is $37.9bn, while cash and equivalents are $37.6bn. Meanwhile, the short interest on this stock is 1%.

Capital One Financial has a forward P/E of 9. It also offers shareholders a 1.4% dividend yield. COF displays EPS growth of 135.4% TTM and its 2021 consensus average EPS forecast is $24.40.

Analyst consensus on this stock is a 12-month average share price target of $180.02. That gives a potential 5% upside. COF stock appears in 196 exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

Wells Fargo & Co

Wells Fargo & Co (NYSE: WFC) is a leading financial services company serving 1 in 3 US households. It has $1.3T in assets and provides a diversified range of banking, investment and mortgage products, along with consumer and commercial finance.

WFC has a $203bn market cap, total debt is $244bn, while cash and equivalents are $476bn. Meanwhile, the short interest on this stock is 1%.

Wells Fargo & Co has a forward P/E of 14.5. It also offers shareholders a 0.8% dividend yield. WFC displays EPS growth of 639.7% TTM and its 2021 consensus average EPS forecast is $4.34.

Analyst consensus on this stock is a 12-month average share price target of $48.94. That offers a potential 1% downside on the current share price. WFC stock appears in 180 exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

CIT Group

CIT Group (NYSE: CIT) is a bank holding company. It has a market cap of $5.1bn, total debt is $6.1bn while cash and equivalents are $5.6bn. Meanwhile, the short interest on this stock is 3.8%.

CIT has a forward P/E of 12. It also offers shareholders a 2.6% dividend yield. The CIT Group share price is up 234% from its 52-week low and down 6% from its 52-week high. It has risen 46% year-to-date and 154% in a year.

CIT may have a positive short-term outlook but the mid-to-long term is less clear. Its recent Q2 results reported net income to common shareholders of $215 million or $2.14 per diluted common share.

CIT Group is merging with First Citizens BancShares (NASDAQ: FCNCA) to increase its customer offering. It received approval from the FDIC in July and expects to complete in Q3.

During Q2, CIT raised its tangible book value per common share to $54.39. It has also been successfully reducing funding costs and growing average deposits.

CIT Group displays EPS growth of 127% TTM and its future EPS is expected to continue to show strong growth. Its most significant shareholders are BlackRock (NYSE: BLK) at 10.8% and Vanguard at 9.6%.

Analyst consensus on this stock is a 12-month average share price target of $50. That offers a potential 6.3% downside on the current share price. CIT stock appears in 75 exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

Cincinnati Financial Corporation

Cincinnati Financial Corporation (NASDAQ: CINF) is an insurance holding company. Its five divisions include commercial, personal, excess and surplus, life insurance, and investments.

CINF has an impressive track record of increasing its dividend for 60 years. Common stocks make up 42% of its portfolio and it has 32 years of favorable reserve development.

The pandemic caused growth to slow for several quarters resulting in $85m worth of full-year loss and expenses. CINF has a $19bn market cap and a forward P/E of 25. Its dividend yield is 2.1%.

Analyst consensus estimates have a 12-month average share price target of $126.40. That offers a potential 8.6% upside. CINF appears in 187 ETFs.

Cincinnati Financial Corporation displays EPS growth of 2,763% TTM. But its future EPS is expected to fall.

World Acceptance Corporation

World Acceptance Corporation (NASDAQ: WRLD) specializes in consumer finance, particularly small and short-term loans. The financial company has enjoyed momentum over the past 12 months with EPS growth of 301% TTM.

Its share price is up 73.7% year-to-date and 113% in a year. World Acceptance has a $1.2bn market cap. Its current P/E ratio is 13 and its forward P/E is 17.

WRLD displays EPS growth of 301% TTM. But its future EPS is expected to fall. Short interest in this stock is over 10%.

Analyst consensus on this stock is a 12-month average share price target of $96.50, which is a 47% drop from today’s price. This indicates a bearish outlook, signaling WRLD may be a momentum trap.

Best Q3 2021 momentum-driven financial stocks by sales growth

Sales growth is an important financial metric for any business to track. If sales are increasing, the company should be thriving, whereas if sales are declining, the business may be in trouble.

To calculate the sales growth rate year over year, simply divide the current sales by the prior year’s sales. Sales growth = this year’s sales / last year’s sales

Here are a few financial stocks gaining momentum in sales growth:

Cowen Inc

Cowen Inc (NASDAQ: COWN) is a diversified financial services company operating through two segments: alternative investment and broker-dealer.

It released its Q2 earnings reporting GAAP net income of $43.6m, $1.29 per diluted share. The company also enjoyed strong Investment Banking, Brokerage, and Management fee revenues.

It repurchased $49.9m in shares and declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.10 per share.

Cowen displays sales growth of 82.5% TTM. Analyst consensus on this stock is a 12-month average share price target of $57.80. That gives a potential 44.44% upside.

Meanwhile, its 2021 consensus average EPS forecast is $8.96. Its forward P/E is 6.9 and it offers a 1% dividend yield.

Cowen has a $1.1bn market cap and its debt is $3.8bn, while cash and equivalents are $6.6bn. The short interest in Cowen stock is 13%. COWN stock appears in 65 exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

JMP Group LLC

JMP Group LLC (NYSE: JMP) is an investment banking and asset management firm. It has recently released upbeat Q2 earnings, beating a lone analyst estimate in both EPS and revenue.

With operating earnings of $0.29 per share, JMP Group achieved its second-best quarter ever, thanks to strong advisory revenues at JMP Securities, record results in asset management, and investment income that exceeded corporate costs.

JMP has a $140m market cap, total debt is $72m, while cash and equivalents are $126. Meanwhile, the short interest in this stock is 0.22%.

JMP Group has a forward P/E of 9. It doesn’t offer shareholders a dividend. JMP Group displays sales growth of 99% TTM and its 2021 consensus average EPS forecast is $0.83.

The sole analyst consensus on this stock is a 12-month average share price target of $7.50. That gives a potential 6.4% upside. JMP stock appears in 1 ETF.

Oaktree Specialty Lending

Oaktree Specialty Lending (NASDAQ: OCSL) is a fund covering a variety of specialist investments. The firm recently completed its merger with Oaktree Strategic Income Corporation, which should help diversify and strengthen its portfolio.

Its third fiscal quarter results showed a sharp 56% jump in investment income over Q2, largely thanks to interest income earned on assets from the merger. Excluding merger-related income, adjusted total investment income was up 44% at $60.4 million ($0.33 per share).

It recently raised its dividend by 11.5%, giving it a forward yield of 8.4% and the dividend is now 38% higher than a year earlier. Meanwhile, the net asset value (NAV) per share was $7.22 as of June 30, 2021, up 1.8% sequentially.

Armen Panossian, Chief Executive Officer and Chief Investment Officer, said:

“The third quarter was highlighted by strong earnings and continued robust portfolio performance. NAV grew again this quarter, as the portfolio continues to perform well and our credit quality remains excellent.”

OCSL displays sales growth of 41% TTM and its 2021 consensus average EPS forecast is $0.59. Analyst consensus on this stock is a 12-month average share price target of $7.54. That gives a potential 4% upside.

Compass Diversified Holdings

Compass Diversified Holdings (NYSE: CODI) is a private equity firm investing in North America. Current holdings include Velocity Outdoor, Arnold Magnetic Technologies, Ergobaby, Marucci, and more.

CODI displays sales growth of 32.8% TTM and its 2021 consensus average EPS forecast is $2.43. CODI has a $1.7bn market cap, $1.1bn debt, and $110m cash and equivalents. Its dividend yield is 5% and its forward P/E is 27.

Analyst consensus on this stock is a 12-month average share price target of $29.50. That gives a potential 10% upside.

Reliant Bancorp Inc

Reliant Bancorp Inc (NASDAQ: RBNC) is the financial holding company of Reliant Bank. It offers retail banking and residential mortgages.

Reliant Bancorp has a $494m market cap, forward P/E of 10.9 and its dividend yield is 1.6%. RBNC displays sales growth of 64% TTM and its 2021 consensus average EPS forecast is $2.83.

Analyst consensus on this stock is a 12-month average share price target of $35.13. That gives a potential 18% upside.

Jefferies Financial Group Inc

Jefferies Financial Group Inc (NYSE: JEF) is an investment bank and financial services company operating internationally.

It has an $8.7bn market cap and a forward P/E of 12. It also offers shareholders a 2.8% dividend yield. JEF displays sales growth of 50% TTM and its 2021 consensus average EPS forecast is $4.85.

Analyst consensus on this stock gives a 12-month average share price target of $39.50. That gives a potential 12% upside.

Watch out for momentum traps!

While financial stocks have been leading the S&P 500 higher, sentiment can change in the blink of an eye when it comes to trading momentum. A stock that was once a bargain, can turn into a momentum trap.

No investor wants to be stuck with a momentum trap to be left holding the bag at the moment an abrupt change in sentiment causes the share price to plummet.

This is not such a problem for a set-and-forget long-term portfolio whereby investors can afford to ignore the peaks and troughs in favor of a longer time horizon. But for traders, it’s an important caveat to watch.

The post Q3 2021 Momentum-driven financial stocks to consider appeared first on Value the Markets.

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Key shipping company files for Chapter 11 bankruptcy

The Illinois-based general freight trucking company filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy to reorganize.

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The U.S. trucking industry has had a difficult beginning of the year for 2024 with several logistics companies filing for bankruptcy to seek either a Chapter 7 liquidation or Chapter 11 reorganization.

The Covid-19 pandemic caused a lot of supply chain issues for logistics companies and also created a shortage of truck drivers as many left the business for other occupations. Shipping companies, in the meantime, have had extreme difficulty recruiting new drivers for thousands of unfilled jobs.

Related: Tesla rival’s filing reveals Chapter 11 bankruptcy is possible

Freight forwarder company Boateng Logistics joined a growing list of shipping companies that permanently shuttered their businesses as the firm on Feb. 22 filed for Chapter 7 bankruptcy with plans to liquidate.

The Carlsbad, Calif., logistics company filed its petition in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Southern District of California listing assets up to $50,000 and and $1 million to $10 million in liabilities. Court papers said it owed millions of dollars in liabilities to trucking, logistics and factoring companies. The company filed bankruptcy before any creditors could take legal action.

Lawsuits force companies to liquidate in bankruptcy

Lawsuits, however, can force companies to file bankruptcy, which was the case for J.J. & Sons Logistics of Clint, Texas, which on Jan. 22 filed for Chapter 7 liquidation in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Western District of Texas. The company filed bankruptcy four days before the scheduled start of a trial for a wrongful death lawsuit filed by the family of a former company truck driver who had died from drowning in 2016.

California-based logistics company Wise Choice Trans Corp. shut down operations and filed for Chapter 7 liquidation on Jan. 4 in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Northern District of California, listing $1 million to $10 million in assets and liabilities.

The Hayward, Calif., third-party logistics company, founded in 2009, provided final mile, less-than-truckload and full truckload services, as well as warehouse and fulfillment services in the San Francisco Bay Area.

The Chapter 7 filing also implemented an automatic stay against all legal proceedings, as the company listed its involvement in four legal actions that were ongoing or concluded. Court papers reportedly did not list amounts for damages.

In some cases, debtors don't have to take a drastic action, such as a liquidation, and can instead file a Chapter 11 reorganization.

Truck shipping products.

Shutterstock

Nationwide Cargo seeks to reorganize its business

Nationwide Cargo Inc., a general freight trucking company that also hauls fresh produce and meat, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Northern District of Illinois with plans to reorganize its business.

The East Dundee, Ill., shipping company listed $1 million to $10 million in assets and $10 million to $50 million in liabilities in its petition and said funds will not be available to pay unsecured creditors. The company operates with 183 trucks and 171 drivers, FreightWaves reported.

Nationwide Cargo's three largest secured creditors in the petition were Equify Financial LLC (owed about $3.5 million,) Commercial Credit Group (owed about $1.8 million) and Continental Bank NA (owed about $676,000.)

The shipping company reported gross revenue of about $34 million in 2022 and about $40 million in 2023.  From Jan. 1 until its petition date, the company generated $9.3 million in gross revenue.

Related: Veteran fund manager picks favorite stocks for 2024

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Key shipping company files Chapter 11 bankruptcy

The Illinois-based general freight trucking company filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy to reorganize.

Published

on

The U.S. trucking industry has had a difficult beginning of the year for 2024 with several logistics companies filing for bankruptcy to seek either a Chapter 7 liquidation or Chapter 11 reorganization.

The Covid-19 pandemic caused a lot of supply chain issues for logistics companies and also created a shortage of truck drivers as many left the business for other occupations. Shipping companies, in the meantime, have had extreme difficulty recruiting new drivers for thousands of unfilled jobs.

Related: Tesla rival’s filing reveals Chapter 11 bankruptcy is possible

Freight forwarder company Boateng Logistics joined a growing list of shipping companies that permanently shuttered their businesses as the firm on Feb. 22 filed for Chapter 7 bankruptcy with plans to liquidate.

The Carlsbad, Calif., logistics company filed its petition in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Southern District of California listing assets up to $50,000 and and $1 million to $10 million in liabilities. Court papers said it owed millions of dollars in liabilities to trucking, logistics and factoring companies. The company filed bankruptcy before any creditors could take legal action.

Lawsuits force companies to liquidate in bankruptcy

Lawsuits, however, can force companies to file bankruptcy, which was the case for J.J. & Sons Logistics of Clint, Texas, which on Jan. 22 filed for Chapter 7 liquidation in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Western District of Texas. The company filed bankruptcy four days before the scheduled start of a trial for a wrongful death lawsuit filed by the family of a former company truck driver who had died from drowning in 2016.

California-based logistics company Wise Choice Trans Corp. shut down operations and filed for Chapter 7 liquidation on Jan. 4 in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Northern District of California, listing $1 million to $10 million in assets and liabilities.

The Hayward, Calif., third-party logistics company, founded in 2009, provided final mile, less-than-truckload and full truckload services, as well as warehouse and fulfillment services in the San Francisco Bay Area.

The Chapter 7 filing also implemented an automatic stay against all legal proceedings, as the company listed its involvement in four legal actions that were ongoing or concluded. Court papers reportedly did not list amounts for damages.

In some cases, debtors don't have to take a drastic action, such as a liquidation, and can instead file a Chapter 11 reorganization.

Truck shipping products.

Shutterstock

Nationwide Cargo seeks to reorganize its business

Nationwide Cargo Inc., a general freight trucking company that also hauls fresh produce and meat, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Northern District of Illinois with plans to reorganize its business.

The East Dundee, Ill., shipping company listed $1 million to $10 million in assets and $10 million to $50 million in liabilities in its petition and said funds will not be available to pay unsecured creditors. The company operates with 183 trucks and 171 drivers, FreightWaves reported.

Nationwide Cargo's three largest secured creditors in the petition were Equify Financial LLC (owed about $3.5 million,) Commercial Credit Group (owed about $1.8 million) and Continental Bank NA (owed about $676,000.)

The shipping company reported gross revenue of about $34 million in 2022 and about $40 million in 2023.  From Jan. 1 until its petition date, the company generated $9.3 million in gross revenue.

Related: Veteran fund manager picks favorite stocks for 2024

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Tight inventory and frustrated buyers challenge agents in Virginia

With inventory a little more than half of what it was pre-pandemic, agents are struggling to find homes for clients in Virginia.

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No matter where you are in the state, real estate agents in Virginia are facing low inventory conditions that are creating frustrating scenarios for their buyers.

“I think people are getting used to the interest rates where they are now, but there is just a huge lack of inventory,” said Chelsea Newcomb, a RE/MAX Realty Specialists agent based in Charlottesville. “I have buyers that are looking, but to find a house that you love enough to pay a high price for — and to be at over a 6.5% interest rate — it’s just a little bit harder to find something.”

Newcomb said that interest rates and higher prices, which have risen by more than $100,000 since March 2020, according to data from Altos Research, have caused her clients to be pickier when selecting a home.

“When rates and prices were lower, people were more willing to compromise,” Newcomb said.

Out in Wise, Virginia, near the westernmost tip of the state, RE/MAX Cavaliers agent Brett Tiller and his clients are also struggling to find suitable properties.

“The thing that really stands out, especially compared to two years ago, is the lack of quality listings,” Tiller said. “The slightly more upscale single-family listings for move-up buyers with children looking for their forever home just aren’t coming on the market right now, and demand is still very high.”

Statewide, Virginia had a 90-day average of 8,068 active single-family listings as of March 8, 2024, down from 14,471 single-family listings in early March 2020 at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, according to Altos Research. That represents a decrease of 44%.

Virginia-Inventory-Line-Chart-Virginia-90-day-Single-Family

In Newcomb’s base metro area of Charlottesville, there were an average of only 277 active single-family listings during the same recent 90-day period, compared to 892 at the onset of the pandemic. In Wise County, there were only 56 listings.

Due to the demand from move-up buyers in Tiller’s area, the average days on market for homes with a median price of roughly $190,000 was just 17 days as of early March 2024.

“For the right home, which is rare to find right now, we are still seeing multiple offers,” Tiller said. “The demand is the same right now as it was during the heart of the pandemic.”

According to Tiller, the tight inventory has caused homebuyers to spend up to six months searching for their new property, roughly double the time it took prior to the pandemic.

For Matt Salway in the Virginia Beach metro area, the tight inventory conditions are creating a rather hot market.

“Depending on where you are in the area, your listing could have 15 offers in two days,” the agent for Iron Valley Real Estate Hampton Roads | Virginia Beach said. “It has been crazy competition for most of Virginia Beach, and Norfolk is pretty hot too, especially for anything under $400,000.”

According to Altos Research, the Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News housing market had a seven-day average Market Action Index score of 52.44 as of March 14, making it the seventh hottest housing market in the country. Altos considers any Market Action Index score above 30 to be indicative of a seller’s market.

Virginia-Beach-Metro-Area-Market-Action-Index-Line-Chart-Virginia-Beach-Norfolk-Newport-News-VA-NC-90-day-Single-Family

Further up the coastline on the vacation destination of Chincoteague Island, Long & Foster agent Meghan O. Clarkson is also seeing a decent amount of competition despite higher prices and interest rates.

“People are taking their time to actually come see things now instead of buying site unseen, and occasionally we see some seller concessions, but the traffic and the demand is still there; you might just work a little longer with people because we don’t have anything for sale,” Clarkson said.

“I’m busy and constantly have appointments, but the underlying frenzy from the height of the pandemic has gone away, but I think it is because we have just gotten used to it.”

While much of the demand that Clarkson’s market faces is for vacation homes and from retirees looking for a scenic spot to retire, a large portion of the demand in Salway’s market comes from military personnel and civilians working under government contracts.

“We have over a dozen military bases here, plus a bunch of shipyards, so the closer you get to all of those bases, the easier it is to sell a home and the faster the sale happens,” Salway said.

Due to this, Salway said that existing-home inventory typically does not come on the market unless an employment contract ends or the owner is reassigned to a different base, which is currently contributing to the tight inventory situation in his market.

Things are a bit different for Tiller and Newcomb, who are seeing a decent number of buyers from other, more expensive parts of the state.

“One of the crazy things about Louisa and Goochland, which are kind of like suburbs on the western side of Richmond, is that they are growing like crazy,” Newcomb said. “A lot of people are coming in from Northern Virginia because they can work remotely now.”

With a Market Action Index score of 50, it is easy to see why people are leaving the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria market for the Charlottesville market, which has an index score of 41.

In addition, the 90-day average median list price in Charlottesville is $585,000 compared to $729,900 in the D.C. area, which Newcomb said is also luring many Virginia homebuyers to move further south.

Median-Price-D.C.-vs.-Charlottesville-Line-Chart-90-day-Single-Family

“They are very accustomed to higher prices, so they are super impressed with the prices we offer here in the central Virginia area,” Newcomb said.

For local buyers, Newcomb said this means they are frequently being outbid or outpriced.

“A couple who is local to the area and has been here their whole life, they are just now starting to get their mind wrapped around the fact that you can’t get a house for $200,000 anymore,” Newcomb said.

As the year heads closer to spring, triggering the start of the prime homebuying season, agents in Virginia feel optimistic about the market.

“We are seeing seasonal trends like we did up through 2019,” Clarkson said. “The market kind of soft launched around President’s Day and it is still building, but I expect it to pick right back up and be in full swing by Easter like it always used to.”

But while they are confident in demand, questions still remain about whether there will be enough inventory to support even more homebuyers entering the market.

“I have a lot of buyers starting to come off the sidelines, but in my office, I also have a lot of people who are going to list their house in the next two to three weeks now that the weather is starting to break,” Newcomb said. “I think we are going to have a good spring and summer.”

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