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More Meaningful Host Cell Protein Analysis

Besides identifying and quantifying contaminants, new assays and algorithms are contextualizing them across developmental stages and patient populations.
The…

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By Mike May, PhD

In a typical bioprocessing run, the engineered cells produce a drug—but that’s not all. They also express and release host cell proteins (HCPs). Depending on the specific HCP and its concentration, it can affect the product’s efficacy or, more likely, safety. An HCP might trigger various unwanted processes in a patient, including an extreme immune response or an allergic reaction. A mild HCP-driven response might just be a nuisance to a patient, but an extreme reaction can be deadly. Consequently, biomanufacturers strive to minimize the HCPs in a product. But minimizing HCPs is difficult. Even identifying all the HCPs in a product is difficult.

Analyzing a biotherapeutic product for HCPs can require a range of techniques, from basic biochemical methods, such as ELISAs, to advanced combinations of liquid chromatography (LC) and mass spectrometry (MS). Plus, the analysis should start as soon as a company begins developing a new biotherapeutic—hopefully resolving any HCP-related issues before the company makes a gigantic investment in a product that might fail in risk-analysis studies.

Further complicating matters, a bioprocess must be optimized from cell selection through product manufacturing to keep HCPs at extremely low levels. “The general consensus has gotten into the parts-per-million levels,” says Kevin Van Cott, PhD, associate professor of chemical and biomolecular engineering at the University of Nebraska–Lincoln. “It really depends on the product, the route of administration, and the patient.”

At the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, Kevin Van Cott, PhD, and his colleagues are committed to the high-level molecular characterization of therapeutic proteins. One of their activities is the detection and quantification of HCPs. Besides relying on traditional proteomics methods (such as ELISAs) to identify as many HCPs as possible in a sample, they use targeted LC-MS and multiple reaction-monitoring methods to quantitate specific HCPs. This quantitation can be on a relative or absolute basis.

For some HCPs in certain patient populations, levels in the hundreds of parts per million can be acceptable. For other HCPs, levels must be kept to single-digit parts per million. Some HCPs may even need to be at undetectable levels. “If you look in the literature, the number that’s most often quoted is 100 parts per million,” Van Cott points out, “but that’s just a number because there are no guidelines set by the regulatory agencies, which makes 100 parts per million just kind of a vague target.”

Ideally, biomanufacturers want to make a product that contains no measurable HCPs. “You want to get it as pure as possible,” Van Cott insists.

Across-the-board analysis

Van Cott and his colleagues often work with startup companies that lack the MS equipment for HCP analysis. That work often involves limiting HCPs in process development. “We also work with products in later stage development—as well as with commercially licensed products that all of a sudden have an HCP problem,” Van Cott says. “You need to determine if known HCPs are becoming more abundant in the product, or if new HCPs are showing up, and you need to see where the HCPs are coming from in the process.”

If a company comes to Van Cott with a good drug substance, he doesn’t expect to see a wide variety of HCPs, but the range depends on the class of the product. “Most people are pretty good at purifying monoclonal antibodies right now,” he observes. “If you’re entering clinical trials with a monoclonal antibody, your host cell protein levels should be down to around 10 parts per million or less for total HCPs.” He adds that for other product classes, difficulties in purification can lead to HCPs in the hundreds of parts per million range.

Much of the challenge of analyzing HCPs arises from the available tools. “We’re using equipment and software for data analysis in an off-label scenario,” Van Cott explains. “They were not specifically designed for HCP analysis.” So, experiments must be designed to exploit the strengths of the equipment and software and minimize their weaknesses.

“We’re going after the very-low-abundance proteins in a sample, and there’s a lot of competition from the product protein,” Van Cott says. So, methods and data analysis must be carefully designed to ensure that the product protein does not dominate the experiment. In some cases, results from HCP studies must be examined one protein at a time.

Where possible, the HCP data go into a software search engine that identifies the proteins, but that is far from foolproof. “I’ve worked with search engines that generate up to 50% false positives for host cell proteins,” Van Cott relates. “No piece of software is perfect. In HCP work, a false positive is just as bad as a false negative—both of those could be catastrophic to a product, determining if it makes it through clinical trials or not.”

Van Cott hopes to improve the software for HCP analysis. As part of the HCP analysis process, he is working with Protein Metrics, which makes what he considers “the best search engine software for wholesale protein analysis.” He indicates that he is working with the company “to see if we can make it even better—a little bit more reliable.”

Algorithms for immunogenic risk

Other vendors offer software-based analysis of HCPs. At EpiVax, programmers developed a toolkit that comprises several integrated algorithms for immunogenicity screening of HCPs, known as ISPRI-HCP (Interactive Screening and Protein Reengineering Interface for Host Cell Proteins). The web-based software relies on well-established algorithms used by many small and large biopharma companies for conducting risk assessments and for screening and reengineering biologic candidates.

HCP illustration
EpiVax recently celebrated its 25th year as a specialist in assessing the immunogenicity of vaccines and biologics. The company’s accomplishments include the development of an online work environment called the Interactive Screening and Protein Reengineering Interface for Host Cell Proteins (ISPRI-HCP). A typical ISPRI-HCP analysis is shown here. It reflects how proteins that contain more nonhuman regions are more likely to trigger an unwanted immune response. It also shows that a sample can contain a variety of HCPs across a spectrum of concentrations.

EpiVax has demonstrated that its software can be used to survey the Chinese hamster ovary (CHO) HCP immunogenicity landscape. “We took a large dataset of commonly found CHO cell protein impurities and performed an in silico immunogenicity risk assessment,” reports Kirk Haltaufderhyde, PhD, biomedical scientist, EpiVax. “We found that the CHO HCPs covered a wide range of immune responses, and our results correlated well with known immunogenic CHO proteins.” So, comparing the ISPRI-HCP study of CHO proteins to clinical reports demonstrated that EpiVax is on the right track. “It gave us evidence that the application of our algorithms for HCP assessments are working well,” Haltaufderhyde remarks. “We’re continuing to collect experimental data to advance the technology.”

Although the EpiVax algorithm is proprietary, Haltaufderhyde provides some insight into the process. For one thing, the software generates two scores: an EpiMatrix Score and a JanusMatrix Score. The EpiMatrix Score measures the T-cell epitope content of an HCP and the probability of each epitope binding to a T cell, which could trigger an unwanted immune response. “That score will provide insight into how immunogenic that particular protein could be,” Haltaufderhyde explains. In addition, the JanusMatrix Score uses an algorithm that determines how human-like the T-cell epitopes are in an HCP. “The more human-like it is, the more likely that HCP can be tolerated in humans,” Haltaufderhyde says.

Seeking better separations

In addition to companies that are developing software, there are companies that are working to improve the technology behind HCP analysis. And this technology could stand improvement. As Guojie Mao, PhD, principal scientist, R&D, Lonza, says, “The lack of a formal limit for HCPs puts pressure upon manufacturers to accurately test for potential risks and make products that are as clean and as safe as possible.”

At Lonza, Mao oversees the development of assays. The goal, he says, is “to give more accurate and sensitive data readouts, ultimately allowing for improved efficiency in the development of a drug and the clearance of HCPs.”

At the BioPharmaceutical Emerging Best Practices Association’s HCP conference in May, Lonza described its two-dimensional difference gel electrophoresis (2D DIGE) method. “This is a sensitive and robust approach to separate HCP populations and provide informative comparisons of HCP profile changes during the manufacturing process, and it provides a critical reagent characterization for HCP analysis,” Mao explains. “We have optimized 2D DIGE in three key respects for HCP analysis: first, as an alternative dye to conventional options for HCP labeling; second, as another option for the loading method; and third, as an optimized sample buffer.” As a result, these optimizations enabled a protein labeling efficiency of 94% or above for all HCPs.

Having achieved this desirable result, Lonza is optimistic about making additional HCP advances. “Sustainability is essential,” Mao declares. “We need to ensure that our stock is capable of lasting for at least 10 years to reduce the need for reproduction (and the associated impacts) and to reduce wastage.”

In addition, Lonza is considering automation. “Currently, HCP development processes are very labor consuming, but automation offers an opportunity to automate certain steps in the creation and development of assays,” Mao says. “We’re currently shortlisting several such technologies for use in HCP testing across Lonza.”

Overall, Lonza hopes to bring more teamwork to HCP analysis. “There is an important role for industry collaboration and knowledge sharing,” Mao relates. “Globally, there aren’t many people working on HCP analysis, and moving forward, collaboration will be essential.”

Lives are on the line

Van Cott characterizes HCP analysis as follows: “A lot of times, it’s like being a detective: Companies come to you with problems, and you get to use these really incredible tools to help them figure out and fix those problems.” Nonetheless, being Sherlock Holmes can be stressful. “Big, important decisions are being made on the basis of your data and results, and you learn very quickly to take it very seriously,” Van Cott says. “You can’t just be willy-nilly, flip through the data, and just hope that things work out.”

Beyond the economic success of a biotherapeutic protein, even more is on the line. “You have to be extremely careful and aware of what you’re doing,” Van Cott emphasizes. “It all comes down to patient safety and efficacy of the products.”

The post More Meaningful Host Cell Protein Analysis appeared first on GEN - Genetic Engineering and Biotechnology News.

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Digital Currency And Gold As Speculative Warnings

Over the last few years, digital currencies and gold have become decent barometers of speculative investor appetite. Such isn’t surprising given the evolution…

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Over the last few years, digital currencies and gold have become decent barometers of speculative investor appetite. Such isn’t surprising given the evolution of the market into a “casino” following the pandemic, where retail traders have increased their speculative appetites.

“Such is unsurprising, given that retail investors often fall victim to the psychological behavior of the “fear of missing out.” The chart below shows the “dumb money index” versus the S&P 500. Once again, retail investors are very long equities relative to the institutional players ascribed to being the “smart money.””

“The difference between “smart” and “dumb money” investors shows that, more often than not, the “dumb money” invests near market tops and sells near market bottoms.”

Net Smart Dumb Money vs Market

That enthusiasm has increased sharply since last November as stocks surged in hopes that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates. As noted by Sentiment Trader:

“Over the past 18 weeks, the straight-up rally has moved us to an interesting juncture in the Sentiment Cycle. For the past few weeks, the S&P 500 has demonstrated a high positive correlation to the ‘Enthusiasm’ part of the cycle and a highly negative correlation to the ‘Panic’ phase.”

Investor Enthusiasm

That frenzy to chase the markets, driven by the psychological bias of the “fear of missing out,” has permeated the entirety of the market. As noted in This Is Nuts:”

“Since then, the entire market has surged higher following last week’s earnings report from Nvidia (NVDA). The reason I say “this is nuts” is the assumption that all companies were going to grow earnings and revenue at Nvidia’s rate. There is little doubt about Nvidia’s earnings and revenue growth rates. However, to maintain that growth pace indefinitely, particularly at 32x price-to-sales, means others like AMD and Intel must lose market share.”

Nvidia Price To Sales

Of course, it is not just a speculative frenzy in the markets for stocks, specifically anything related to “artificial intelligence,” but that exuberance has spilled over into gold and cryptocurrencies.

Birds Of A Feather

There are a couple of ways to measure exuberance in the assets. While sentiment measures examine the broad market, technical indicators can reflect exuberance on individual asset levels. However, before we get to our charts, we need a brief explanation of statistics, specifically, standard deviation.

As I discussed in “Revisiting Bob Farrell’s 10 Investing Rules”:

“Like a rubber band that has been stretched too far – it must be relaxed in order to be stretched again. This is exactly the same for stock prices that are anchored to their moving averages. Trends that get overextended in one direction, or another, always return to their long-term average. Even during a strong uptrend or strong downtrend, prices often move back (revert) to a long-term moving average.”

The idea of “stretching the rubber band” can be measured in several ways, but I will limit our discussion this week to Standard Deviation and measuring deviation with “Bollinger Bands.”

“Standard Deviation” is defined as:

“A measure of the dispersion of a set of data from its mean. The more spread apart the data, the higher the deviation. Standard deviation is calculated as the square root of the variance.”

In plain English, this means that the further away from the average that an event occurs, the more unlikely it becomes. As shown below, out of 1000 occurrences, only three will fall outside the area of 3 standard deviations. 95.4% of the time, events will occur within two standard deviations.

Standard Deviation Chart

A second measure of “exuberance” is “relative strength.”

“In technical analysis, the relative strength index (RSI) is a momentum indicator that measures the magnitude of recent price changes to evaluate overbought or oversold conditions in the price of a stock or other asset. The RSI is displayed as an oscillator (a line graph that moves between two extremes) and can read from 0 to 100.

Traditional interpretation and usage of the RSI are that values of 70 or above indicate that a security is becoming overbought or overvalued and may be primed for a trend reversal or corrective pullback in price. An RSI reading of 30 or below indicates an oversold or undervalued condition.” – Investopedia

With those two measures, let’s look at Nvidia (NVDA), the poster child of speculative momentum trading in the markets. Nvidia trades more than 3 standard deviations above its moving average, and its RSI is 81. The last time this occurred was in July of 2023 when Nvidia consolidated and corrected prices through November.

NVDA chart vs Bollinger Bands

Interestingly, gold also trades well into 3 standard deviation territory with an RSI reading of 75. Given that gold is supposed to be a “safe haven” or “risk off” asset, it is instead getting swept up in the current market exuberance.

Gold vs Bollinger Bands

The same is seen with digital currencies. Given the recent approval of spot, Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), the panic bid to buy Bitcoin has pushed the price well into 3 standard deviation territory with an RSI of 73.

Bitcoin vs Bollinger Bands

In other words, the stock market frenzy to “buy anything that is going up” has spread from just a handful of stocks related to artificial intelligence to gold and digital currencies.

It’s All Relative

We can see the correlation between stock market exuberance and gold and digital currency, which has risen since 2015 but accelerated following the post-pandemic, stimulus-fueled market frenzy. Since the market, gold and cryptocurrencies, or Bitcoin for our purposes, have disparate prices, we have rebased the performance to 100 in 2015.

Gold was supposed to be an inflation hedge. Yet, in 2022, gold prices fell as the market declined and inflation surged to 9%. However, as inflation has fallen and the stock market surged, so has gold. Notably, since 2015, gold and the market have moved in a more correlated pattern, which has reduced the hedging effect of gold in portfolios. In other words, during the subsequent market decline, gold will likely track stocks lower, failing to provide its “wealth preservation” status for investors.

SP500 vs Gold

The same goes for cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin is substantially more volatile than gold and tends to ebb and flow with the overall market. As sentiment surges in the S&P 500, Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies follow suit as speculative appetites increase. Unfortunately, for individuals once again piling into Bitcoin to chase rising prices, if, or when, the market corrects, the decline in cryptocurrencies will likely substantially outpace the decline in market-based equities. This is particularly the case as Wall Street can now short the spot-Bitcoin ETFs, creating additional selling pressure on Bitcoin.

SP500 vs Bitcoin

Just for added measure, here is Bitcoin versus gold.

Gold vs Bitcoin

Not A Recommendation

There are many narratives surrounding the markets, digital currency, and gold. However, in today’s market, more than in previous years, all assets are getting swept up into the investor-feeding frenzy.

Sure, this time could be different. I am only making an observation and not an investment recommendation.

However, from a portfolio management perspective, it will likely pay to remain attentive to the correlated risk between asset classes. If some event causes a reversal in bullish exuberance, cash and bonds may be the only place to hide.

The post Digital Currency And Gold As Speculative Warnings appeared first on RIA.

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Aging at AACR Annual Meeting 2024

BUFFALO, NY- March 11, 2024 – Impact Journals publishes scholarly journals in the biomedical sciences with a focus on all areas of cancer and aging…

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BUFFALO, NY- March 11, 2024 – Impact Journals publishes scholarly journals in the biomedical sciences with a focus on all areas of cancer and aging research. Aging is one of the most prominent journals published by Impact Journals

Credit: Impact Journals

BUFFALO, NY- March 11, 2024 – Impact Journals publishes scholarly journals in the biomedical sciences with a focus on all areas of cancer and aging research. Aging is one of the most prominent journals published by Impact Journals

Impact Journals will be participating as an exhibitor at the American Association for Cancer Research (AACR) Annual Meeting 2024 from April 5-10 at the San Diego Convention Center in San Diego, California. This year, the AACR meeting theme is “Inspiring Science • Fueling Progress • Revolutionizing Care.”

Visit booth #4159 at the AACR Annual Meeting 2024 to connect with members of the Aging team.

About Aging-US:

Aging publishes research papers in all fields of aging research including but not limited, aging from yeast to mammals, cellular senescence, age-related diseases such as cancer and Alzheimer’s diseases and their prevention and treatment, anti-aging strategies and drug development and especially the role of signal transduction pathways such as mTOR in aging and potential approaches to modulate these signaling pathways to extend lifespan. The journal aims to promote treatment of age-related diseases by slowing down aging, validation of anti-aging drugs by treating age-related diseases, prevention of cancer by inhibiting aging. Cancer and COVID-19 are age-related diseases.

Aging is indexed and archived by PubMed/Medline (abbreviated as “Aging (Albany NY)”), PubMed CentralWeb of Science: Science Citation Index Expanded (abbreviated as “Aging‐US” and listed in the Cell Biology and Geriatrics & Gerontology categories), Scopus (abbreviated as “Aging” and listed in the Cell Biology and Aging categories), Biological Abstracts, BIOSIS Previews, EMBASE, META (Chan Zuckerberg Initiative) (2018-2022), and Dimensions (Digital Science).

Please visit our website at www.Aging-US.com​​ and connect with us:

  • Aging X
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  • Aging YouTube
  • Aging LinkedIn
  • Aging SoundCloud
  • Aging Pinterest
  • Aging Reddit

Click here to subscribe to Aging publication updates.

For media inquiries, please contact media@impactjournals.com.


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NY Fed Finds Medium, Long-Term Inflation Expectations Jump Amid Surge In Stock Market Optimism

NY Fed Finds Medium, Long-Term Inflation Expectations Jump Amid Surge In Stock Market Optimism

One month after the inflation outlook tracked…

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NY Fed Finds Medium, Long-Term Inflation Expectations Jump Amid Surge In Stock Market Optimism

One month after the inflation outlook tracked by the NY Fed Consumer Survey extended their late 2023 slide, with 3Y inflation expectations in January sliding to a record low 2.4% (from 2.6% in December), even as 1 and 5Y inflation forecasts remained flat, moments ago the NY Fed reported that in February there was a sharp rebound in longer-term inflation expectations, rising to 2.7% from 2.4% at the three-year ahead horizon, and jumping to 2.9% from 2.5% at the five-year ahead horizon, while the 1Y inflation outlook was flat for the 3rd month in a row, stuck at 3.0%. 

The increases in both the three-year ahead and five-year ahead measures were most pronounced for respondents with at most high school degrees (in other words, the "really smart folks" are expecting deflation soon). The survey’s measure of disagreement across respondents (the difference between the 75th and 25th percentile of inflation expectations) decreased at all horizons, while the median inflation uncertainty—or the uncertainty expressed regarding future inflation outcomes—declined at the one- and three-year ahead horizons and remained unchanged at the five-year ahead horizon.

Going down the survey, we find that the median year-ahead expected price changes increased by 0.1 percentage point to 4.3% for gas; decreased by 1.8 percentage points to 6.8% for the cost of medical care (its lowest reading since September 2020); decreased by 0.1 percentage point to 5.8% for the cost of a college education; and surprisingly decreased by 0.3 percentage point for rent to 6.1% (its lowest reading since December 2020), and remained flat for food at 4.9%.

We find the rent expectations surprising because it is happening just asking rents are rising across the country.

At the same time as consumers erroneously saw sharply lower rents, median home price growth expectations remained unchanged for the fifth consecutive month at 3.0%.

Turning to the labor market, the survey found that the average perceived likelihood of voluntary and involuntary job separations increased, while the perceived likelihood of finding a job (in the event of a job loss) declined. "The mean probability of leaving one’s job voluntarily in the next 12 months also increased, by 1.8 percentage points to 19.5%."

Mean unemployment expectations - or the mean probability that the U.S. unemployment rate will be higher one year from now - decreased by 1.1 percentage points to 36.1%, the lowest reading since February 2022. Additionally, the median one-year-ahead expected earnings growth was unchanged at 2.8%, remaining slightly below its 12-month trailing average of 2.9%.

Turning to household finance, we find the following:

  • The median expected growth in household income remained unchanged at 3.1%. The series has been moving within a narrow range of 2.9% to 3.3% since January 2023, and remains above the February 2020 pre-pandemic level of 2.7%.
  • Median household spending growth expectations increased by 0.2 percentage point to 5.2%. The increase was driven by respondents with a high school degree or less.
  • Median year-ahead expected growth in government debt increased to 9.3% from 8.9%.
  • The mean perceived probability that the average interest rate on saving accounts will be higher in 12 months increased by 0.6 percentage point to 26.1%, remaining below its 12-month trailing average of 30%.
  • Perceptions about households’ current financial situations deteriorated somewhat with fewer respondents reporting being better off than a year ago. Year-ahead expectations also deteriorated marginally with a smaller share of respondents expecting to be better off and a slightly larger share of respondents expecting to be worse off a year from now.
  • The mean perceived probability that U.S. stock prices will be higher 12 months from now increased by 1.4 percentage point to 38.9%.
  • At the same time, perceptions and expectations about credit access turned less optimistic: "Perceptions of credit access compared to a year ago deteriorated with a larger share of respondents reporting tighter conditions and a smaller share reporting looser conditions compared to a year ago."

Also, a smaller percentage of consumers, 11.45% vs 12.14% in prior month, expect to not be able to make minimum debt payment over the next three months

Last, and perhaps most humorous, is the now traditional cognitive dissonance one observes with these polls, because at a time when long-term inflation expectations jumped, which clearly suggests that financial conditions will need to be tightened, the number of respondents expecting higher stock prices one year from today jumped to the highest since November 2021... which incidentally is just when the market topped out during the last cycle before suffering a painful bear market.

Tyler Durden Mon, 03/11/2024 - 12:40

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