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Making sense of differing digital health funding reports

Digital health venture funding had a ridiculous, bonkers, blockbuster year. On this, everyone can agree, although longtime watchers
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Digital health venture funding had a ridiculous, bonkers, blockbuster year. On this, everyone can agree, although longtime watchers of the industry will remember that we’ve heard that consistently for the last several years.

But never mind, 2021 was a blockbuster even compared to 2020 or 2019, with many sources saying there was twice as much, or nearly twice as much money raised this past year compared with the year before.

But wait a minute, exactly how much money was raised in digital health globally? And exactly how much more was that than 2020? Was it $57.2 billion, per a new report from CB Insights? Or $44 billion, as StartUp Health reports? Maybe it’s a mere $28.4 billion; that’s the number that my alma mater MobiHealthNews came up with from their own reporting.

When it comes to absolute numbers, pick your favourite. Because none of them are right or wrong. It all just comes down to definitions. Much ink has been spilled about the fact that “digital health” as a category has no standardised definition. And if it’s hard to definitively separate companies into “digital health” and “not digital health”, it’s even harder to subdivide those companies into categories.

Messy as they may be, these clashing numbers are not a bad thing. They represent a host of firms trying to make sense of a rapidly emerging phenomenon, slicing up funding data different ways to see what methodology generates a meaningful narrative. And when we look at them in aggregate, we can learn even more from the places where they broadly agree — and most starkly disagree.

Dramatis Personae

In this article I’m looking at four 2021 healthcare funding reports: CB Insights, StartUp Health, Rock Health, and Silicon Valley Bank.

CB Insights’ report purports to track global digital health funding, though it also carves out some regions, including the US. The group, a subscription-based technology insights platform which sometimes releases free reports, defines digital health as “companies in the healthcare space that use technology and software as a key differentiator.”

This strikes me as a problematic definition: If all the companies in this category have the same differentiator, it’s not much of a differentiator, is it? But I see what they’re going for with it: They’re seeking to exclude healthcare companies that use technology incidentally — a category that would basically be synonymous with “healthcare companies”.

StartUp Health is a digital health startup connector/investor. Its reports include many of its own “healthcare transformers”. StartUp casts a somewhat wide net for digital health, with an intentional focus on looking beyond the United States. Per the company, they track “companies that enable health, wellness, and the delivery of care through data/analytics, sensors, mobile, internet-of-things, 3D printing, genomics, and personalised medicine.” The specificity is appreciated, but a bit risky since emerging companies could be clearly in digital health but not fall into any of those buckets (virtual reality companies, for example).

Rock Health, a digital health advisory firm and venture fund, has a web page where it very helpfully explains what it does and doesn’t classify as digital health. They’re also among the pickiest, excluding any service company that doesn’t build or sell technology. They also don’t count deals under $2 million and are focused exclusively on the United States. Rock Health and StartUp Health have both been covering digital health funding quarterly for around a decade now, so their trend data tends to be impressively comprehensive.

Finally, Silicon Valley Bank’s report is a bit different, eschewing the term “digital health” entirely in favour of tracking all healthcare funding and putting it into four buckets: biopharma, health tech, diagnostic tools, and devices. Although this is allegedly a report on the whole healthcare sector, three of those four categories deal pretty much exclusively with technology. And the biopharma sector was led by tech-related deals as well, with computational biology emerging as a major trend.

Here’s what I see in all this: There’s a notion in the digital health sector that the term is eventually going to go away as digital becomes ubiquitous in healthcare. We may be closer to that future than we think, and it’s making the always-thorny problem of defining and tracking digital health funding even harder.

So now that you know a bit about these sources and their methodologies, let’s take a look at what we can conclude about digital health funding in 2021.

Conclusion #1: 2021 funding was massively record-breaking, and led by the USA

Global digital health funding was at $57 billion according to CB Insights, a 79% increase year-over-year. Startup Health had it at $44 billion, a true doubling from 2020. Silicon Valley Bank’s total, for just the US and Europe, is a whopping $86 billion, though when you cut out the biopharma sector that drops to an even $50 billion. That also constitutes nearly a doubling if you look at 2020 numbers for the three non-pharma segments. And Rock Health’s US numbers, which we’ll get to in a moment, also nearly doubled.

So even though everyone’s numbers are different, they all agree that they’re up from 2020 by an unprecedented amount. Different, but not conflicting, explanations are offered for this boom. Rock Health points out that VC funding, in general, was up this year. CB Insights attributes the boom to “the growing need to provide digital solutions and delivery models to patients during the pandemic”. Startup Health also cites COVID-19 as the main driver, while SVB points to a sort of snowball effect from successful healthcare exits, creating a generally frothy market.

All four reports show the United States leading in digital health investment by a considerable amount. CB Insights puts US funding at $37.9 billion, Startup Health at $34 billion, Rock Health at $29.1 billion, and SVB at $42.7 billion (again excluding biopharma). But this is nothing new. In fact, CB Insights and StartUp Health both agree that the trend in funding is toward a larger percentage of deals happening outside the US, with the UK, China, and India as some of the leading spots, per StartUp Health, and Latin American funding at record levels, per CB Insights.

Conclusion #2: Mega-deals are on the rise

A mega-deal is a single investment over $100 million. They used to be relatively rare in the sector. Now they’re everywhere, and every one of these reports made a note of it. Rock Health tracked 88 mega deals; CB Insights found 154. In the health tech sector, SVB found that 60% of the funding came from 105 of these mega-rounds, including a $1.2 billion round (a giga-round, perhaps?) for insuretech company Devoted Health. And Rock Health, whose digital health definition does not encompass Devoted Health, concluded that mega-deals were responsible for 57% of the year’s total funding.

What does it mean? It reflects the increasing visibility and popularity of the space — it’s now attracting bigger investors with deeper pockets, and the existing investors are willing to take bigger risks on it. But it’s not without its dangers, especially for analysis of funding trends.

“This is a well-documented trend across venture capital, and it has the potential to skew our perception of market growth overall,” Startup Health’s Logan Plaster writes. “In health innovation, total funding numbers are important metrics, but they need to be balanced against total deal counts, regional totals, and measurable global impact.”

Conclusion #3: Mental health and MSK are segments to watch

Rock Health and CB Insights both highlighted the mental health segment as a major winner in 2021, a trend that makes intuitive sense considering the significant emotional strain the pandemic has created, as well as a drive by employers to expand offerings that might help them retain employees in the midst of the great resignation.

CB Insights reported a 139% funding growth for the mental health segment, while Rock Health reported $5.1 billion raised, nearly double 2020’s haul.

The windfall for musculoskeletal treatment companies, meanwhile, was mainly concentrated on two companies: Hinge Health and Sword Health. But the two of them both had mega-deals, at $400 million and $189 million respectively, and Hinge Health is valued at $6.2 billion, making it the second highest valued private digital company, according to SVB. Those factors led both StartUp Health and Rock Health to point out the space as one to watch.

Conclusion #4: Exits are heating up

Exactly how many digital health companies exited in 2021 is another question with many different answers. But most agree that that number is rising, driven both by private M&A and by IPOs and SPACs.

CB Insights tracked 574 acquisitions, 77 IPOs, and 17 SPACs. StartUp Health tracked 110 M&A deals and 24 IPOs, including SPAC deals. Rock Health counted 92 acquisitions and 23 IPOs/SPAC deals. And SVB tracked 169 M&As across all its non-pharma segments, along with 70 IPOs.

CB Insights called the exits record-breaking. StartUp attributed the rise in exits to the rise in fundraising, suggesting that the M&A activity would continue this year. Silicon Valley Bank agreed with that assessment, even as it predicted a slowing of investment activity in many of its sectors.

“Over the past decade, roughly one in four (23%) digital health dollars invested has gone to companies that ultimately exited; 13% of those funds went to companies that merged or were acquired, while 10% went to companies that exited onto the public markets,” Rock Health wrote in its report. “For comparison, when we last reported on sector liquidity in 2019, only 15% of digital health’s investment dollars had exited.”

A lot to look forward to?

While the reports mostly agreed in a prediction of more M&A in 2022, opinions of the future of investing were more mixed. After all, a spike like this invites the question: is this the new shape of the slope or a statistical aberration that will revert to the mean?

That’s a hard question to answer. Silicon Valley Bank says the numbers are simply too high to be sustainable — activity will drop in 2022. StartUp Health doesn’t address the question head on, but uses terms like “accelerating growth rate” to talk about the trend, and points out that many wrongly predicted a cooling-off of the market in 2020.

Rock Health dives into the question of whether digital health is a bubble head-first, and concludes that it doesn’t seem to be, based on factors including changing consumer attitudes toward digital, a good mix of new and old investors, and the aforementioned rate of exits.

It’s certainly an exciting time to be in digital health, with the money flowing at an unprecedented rate — no matter who you ask. And it’s exciting to be in an industry with so many different independent groups giving us the data to make sense of it.

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International

United Airlines adds new flights to faraway destinations

The airline said that it has been working hard to "find hidden gem destinations."

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Since countries started opening up after the pandemic in 2021 and 2022, airlines have been seeing demand soar not just for major global cities and popular routes but also for farther-away destinations.

Numerous reports, including a recent TripAdvisor survey of trending destinations, showed that there has been a rise in U.S. traveler interest in Asian countries such as Japan, South Korea and Vietnam as well as growing tourism traction in off-the-beaten-path European countries such as Slovenia, Estonia and Montenegro.

Related: 'No more flying for you': Travel agency sounds alarm over risk of 'carbon passports'

As a result, airlines have been looking at their networks to include more faraway destinations as well as smaller cities that are growing increasingly popular with tourists and may not be served by their competitors.

The Philippines has been popular among tourists in recent years.

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United brings back more routes, says it is committed to 'finding hidden gems'

This week, United Airlines  (UAL)  announced that it will be launching a new route from Newark Liberty International Airport (EWR) to Morocco's Marrakesh. While it is only the country's fourth-largest city, Marrakesh is a particularly popular place for tourists to seek out the sights and experiences that many associate with the country — colorful souks, gardens with ornate architecture and mosques from the Moorish period.

More Travel:

"We have consistently been ahead of the curve in finding hidden gem destinations for our customers to explore and remain committed to providing the most unique slate of travel options for their adventures abroad," United's SVP of Global Network Planning Patrick Quayle, said in a press statement.

The new route will launch on Oct. 24 and take place three times a week on a Boeing 767-300ER  (BA)  plane that is equipped with 46 Polaris business class and 22 Premium Plus seats. The plane choice was a way to reach a luxury customer customer looking to start their holiday in Marrakesh in the plane.

Along with the new Morocco route, United is also launching a flight between Houston (IAH) and Colombia's Medellín on Oct. 27 as well as a route between Tokyo and Cebu in the Philippines on July 31 — the latter is known as a "fifth freedom" flight in which the airline flies to the larger hub from the mainland U.S. and then goes on to smaller Asian city popular with tourists after some travelers get off (and others get on) in Tokyo.

United's network expansion includes new 'fifth freedom' flight

In the fall of 2023, United became the first U.S. airline to fly to the Philippines with a new Manila-San Francisco flight. It has expanded its service to Asia from different U.S. cities earlier last year. Cebu has been on its radar amid growing tourist interest in the region known for marine parks, rainforests and Spanish-style architecture.

With the summer coming up, United also announced that it plans to run its current flights to Hong Kong, Seoul, and Portugal's Porto more frequently at different points of the week and reach four weekly flights between Los Angeles and Shanghai by August 29.

"This is your normal, exciting network planning team back in action," Quayle told travel website The Points Guy of the airline's plans for the new routes.

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International

Walmart launches clever answer to Target’s new membership program

The retail superstore is adding a new feature to its Walmart+ plan — and customers will be happy.

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It's just been a few days since Target  (TGT)  launched its new Target Circle 360 paid membership plan. 

The plan offers free and fast shipping on many products to customers, initially for $49 a year and then $99 after the initial promotional signup period. It promises to be a success, since many Target customers are loyal to the brand and will go out of their way to shop at one instead of at its two larger peers, Walmart and Amazon.

Related: Walmart makes a major price cut that will delight customers

And stop us if this sounds familiar: Target will rely on its more than 2,000 stores to act as fulfillment hubs. 

This model is a proven winner; Walmart also uses its more than 4,600 stores as fulfillment and shipping locations to get orders to customers as soon as possible.

Sometimes, this means shipping goods from the nearest warehouse. But if a desired product is in-store and closer to a customer, it reduces miles on the road and delivery time. It's a kind of logistical magic that makes any efficiency lover's (or retail nerd's) heart go pitter patter. 

Walmart rolls out answer to Target's new membership tier

Walmart has certainly had more time than Target to develop and work out the kinks in Walmart+. It first launched the paid membership in 2020 during the height of the pandemic, when many shoppers sheltered at home but still required many staples they might ordinarily pick up at a Walmart, like cleaning supplies, personal-care products, pantry goods and, of course, toilet paper. 

It also undercut Amazon  (AMZN)  Prime, which costs customers $139 a year for free and fast shipping (plus several other benefits including access to its streaming service, Amazon Prime Video). 

Walmart+ costs $98 a year, which also gets you free and speedy delivery, plus access to a Paramount+ streaming subscription, fuel savings, and more. 

An employee at a Merida, Mexico, Walmart. (Photo by Jeffrey Greenberg/Universal Images Group via Getty Images)

Jeff Greenberg/Getty Images

If that's not enough to tempt you, however, Walmart+ just added a new benefit to its membership program, ostensibly to compete directly with something Target now has: ultrafast delivery. 

Target Circle 360 particularly attracts customers with free same-day delivery for select orders over $35 and as little as one-hour delivery on select items. Target executes this through its Shipt subsidiary.

We've seen this lightning-fast delivery speed only in snippets from Amazon, the king of delivery efficiency. Who better to take on Target, though, than Walmart, which is using a similar store-as-fulfillment-center model? 

"Walmart is stepping up to save our customers even more time with our latest delivery offering: Express On-Demand Early Morning Delivery," Walmart said in a statement, just a day after Target Circle 360 launched. "Starting at 6 a.m., earlier than ever before, customers can enjoy the convenience of On-Demand delivery."

Walmart  (WMT)  clearly sees consumers' desire for near-instant delivery, which obviously saves time and trips to the store. Rather than waiting a day for your order to show up, it might be on your doorstep when you wake up. 

Consumers also tend to spend more money when they shop online, and they remain stickier as paying annual members. So, to a growing number of retail giants, almost instant gratification like this seems like something worth striving for.

Related: Veteran fund manager picks favorite stocks for 2024

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Government

President Biden Delivers The “Darkest, Most Un-American Speech Given By A President”

President Biden Delivers The "Darkest, Most Un-American Speech Given By A President"

Having successfully raged, ranted, lied, and yelled through…

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President Biden Delivers The "Darkest, Most Un-American Speech Given By A President"

Having successfully raged, ranted, lied, and yelled through the State of The Union, President Biden can go back to his crypt now.

Whatever 'they' gave Biden, every American man, woman, and the other should be allowed to take it - though it seems the cocktail brings out 'dark Brandon'?

Tl;dw: Biden's Speech tonight ...

  • Fund Ukraine.

  • Trump is threat to democracy and America itself.

  • Abortion is good.

  • American Economy is stronger than ever.

  • Inflation wasn't Biden's fault.

  • Illegals are Americans too.

  • Republicans are responsible for the border crisis.

  • Trump is bad.

  • Biden stands with trans-children.

  • J6 was the worst insurrection since the Civil War.

(h/t @TCDMS99)

Tucker Carlson's response sums it all up perfectly:

"that was possibly the darkest, most un-American speech given by an American president. It wasn't a speech, it was a rant..."

Carlson continued: "The true measure of a nation's greatness lies within its capacity to control borders, yet Bid refuses to do it."

"In a fair election, Joe Biden cannot win"

And concluded:

“There was not a meaningful word for the entire duration about the things that actually matter to people who live here.”

Victor Davis Hanson added some excellent color, but this was probably the best line on Biden:

"he doesn't care... he lives in an alternative reality."

*  *  *

Watch SOTU Live here...

*   *   *

Mises' Connor O'Keeffe, warns: "Be on the Lookout for These Lies in Biden's State of the Union Address." 

On Thursday evening, President Joe Biden is set to give his third State of the Union address. The political press has been buzzing with speculation over what the president will say. That speculation, however, is focused more on how Biden will perform, and which issues he will prioritize. Much of the speech is expected to be familiar.

The story Biden will tell about what he has done as president and where the country finds itself as a result will be the same dishonest story he's been telling since at least the summer.

He'll cite government statistics to say the economy is growing, unemployment is low, and inflation is down.

Something that has been frustrating Biden, his team, and his allies in the media is that the American people do not feel as economically well off as the official data says they are. Despite what the White House and establishment-friendly journalists say, the problem lies with the data, not the American people's ability to perceive their own well-being.

As I wrote back in January, the reason for the discrepancy is the lack of distinction made between private economic activity and government spending in the most frequently cited economic indicators. There is an important difference between the two:

  • Government, unlike any other entity in the economy, can simply take money and resources from others to spend on things and hire people. Whether or not the spending brings people value is irrelevant

  • It's the private sector that's responsible for producing goods and services that actually meet people's needs and wants. So, the private components of the economy have the most significant effect on people's economic well-being.

Recently, government spending and hiring has accounted for a larger than normal share of both economic activity and employment. This means the government is propping up these traditional measures, making the economy appear better than it actually is. Also, many of the jobs Biden and his allies take credit for creating will quickly go away once it becomes clear that consumers don't actually want whatever the government encouraged these companies to produce.

On top of all that, the administration is dealing with the consequences of their chosen inflation rhetoric.

Since its peak in the summer of 2022, the president's team has talked about inflation "coming back down," which can easily give the impression that it's prices that will eventually come back down.

But that's not what that phrase means. It would be more honest to say that price increases are slowing down.

Americans are finally waking up to the fact that the cost of living will not return to prepandemic levels, and they're not happy about it.

The president has made some clumsy attempts at damage control, such as a Super Bowl Sunday video attacking food companies for "shrinkflation"—selling smaller portions at the same price instead of simply raising prices.

In his speech Thursday, Biden is expected to play up his desire to crack down on the "corporate greed" he's blaming for high prices.

In the name of "bringing down costs for Americans," the administration wants to implement targeted price ceilings - something anyone who has taken even a single economics class could tell you does more harm than good. Biden would never place the blame for the dramatic price increases we've experienced during his term where it actually belongs—on all the government spending that he and President Donald Trump oversaw during the pandemic, funded by the creation of $6 trillion out of thin air - because that kind of spending is precisely what he hopes to kick back up in a second term.

If reelected, the president wants to "revive" parts of his so-called Build Back Better agenda, which he tried and failed to pass in his first year. That would bring a significant expansion of domestic spending. And Biden remains committed to the idea that Americans must be forced to continue funding the war in Ukraine. That's another topic Biden is expected to highlight in the State of the Union, likely accompanied by the lie that Ukraine spending is good for the American economy. It isn't.

It's not possible to predict all the ways President Biden will exaggerate, mislead, and outright lie in his speech on Thursday. But we can be sure of two things. The "state of the Union" is not as strong as Biden will say it is. And his policy ambitions risk making it much worse.

*  *  *

The American people will be tuning in on their smartphones, laptops, and televisions on Thursday evening to see if 'sloppy joe' 81-year-old President Joe Biden can coherently put together more than two sentences (even with a teleprompter) as he gives his third State of the Union in front of a divided Congress. 

President Biden will speak on various topics to convince voters why he shouldn't be sent to a retirement home.

According to CNN sources, here are some of the topics Biden will discuss tonight:

  • Economic issues: Biden and his team have been drafting a speech heavy on economic populism, aides said, with calls for higher taxes on corporations and the wealthy – an attempt to draw a sharp contrast with Republicans and their likely presidential nominee, Donald Trump.

  • Health care expenses: Biden will also push for lowering health care costs and discuss his efforts to go after drug manufacturers to lower the cost of prescription medications — all issues his advisers believe can help buoy what have been sagging economic approval ratings.

  • Israel's war with Hamas: Also looming large over Biden's primetime address is the ongoing Israel-Hamas war, which has consumed much of the president's time and attention over the past few months. The president's top national security advisers have been working around the clock to try to finalize a ceasefire-hostages release deal by Ramadan, the Muslim holy month that begins next week.

  • An argument for reelection: Aides view Thursday's speech as a critical opportunity for the president to tout his accomplishments in office and lay out his plans for another four years in the nation's top job. Even though viewership has declined over the years, the yearly speech reliably draws tens of millions of households.

Sources provided more color on Biden's SOTU address: 

The speech is expected to be heavy on economic populism. The president will talk about raising taxes on corporations and the wealthy. He'll highlight efforts to cut costs for the American people, including pushing Congress to help make prescription drugs more affordable.

Biden will talk about the need to preserve democracy and freedom, a cornerstone of his re-election bid. That includes protecting and bolstering reproductive rights, an issue Democrats believe will energize voters in November. Biden is also expected to promote his unity agenda, a key feature of each of his addresses to Congress while in office.

Biden is also expected to give remarks on border security while the invasion of illegals has become one of the most heated topics among American voters. A majority of voters are frustrated with radical progressives in the White House facilitating the illegal migrant invasion. 

It is probable that the president will attribute the failure of the Senate border bill to the Republicans, a claim many voters view as unfounded. This is because the White House has the option to issue an executive order to restore border security, yet opts not to do so

Maybe this is why? 

While Biden addresses the nation, the Biden administration will be armed with a social media team to pump propaganda to at least 100 million Americans. 

"The White House hosted about 70 creators, digital publishers, and influencers across three separate events" on Wednesday and Thursday, a White House official told CNN. 

Not a very capable social media team... 

The administration's move to ramp up social media operations comes as users on X are mostly free from government censorship with Elon Musk at the helm. This infuriates Democrats, who can no longer censor their political enemies on X. 

Meanwhile, Democratic lawmakers tell Axios that the president's SOTU performance will be critical as he tries to dispel voter concerns about his elderly age. The address reached as many as 27 million people in 2023. 

"We are all nervous," said one House Democrat, citing concerns about the president's "ability to speak without blowing things."

The SOTU address comes as Biden's polling data is in the dumps

BetOnline has created several money-making opportunities for gamblers tonight, such as betting on what word Biden mentions the most. 

As well as...

We will update you when Tucker Carlson's live feed of SOTU is published. 

Tyler Durden Fri, 03/08/2024 - 07:44

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