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Five Food Investments to Buy as Hedges Against Inflation and War

Five food investments to buy as hedges against inflation and war should avoid the worst fallout from rising prices and Russia’s disruption of agricultural…

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Five food investments to buy as hedges against inflation and war should avoid the worst fallout from rising prices and Russia’s disruption of agricultural commodities, food and grain that its continuing invasion of Ukraine has caused other countries.

The strain on the world’s food supply has only worsened in the past week as Pakistan has been deluged with flooding that has put one-third of the country underwater, its top officials said. Another calamity is a drought that has dried out food production in much of Africa, as well as hurting many European nations such as Spain.

Almost half of the 27-nation European Union is facing drought conditions, with Belgium, France, Germany, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Portugal and Romania also increasingly affected. In fact, an ancient Roman military camp in northwestern Spain has been revealed fully as reservoirs have shrunk in Europe amid a record-breaking drought.

Five Food Investments to Buy Include ETF Picked by Pension Head

Food, beverages and other consumer staples investments normally outperform stock indexes during recessions and bear markets, said Bob Carlson, a pension fund chairman who also leads the Retirement Watch investment newsletter. Such companies tend to have reliable cash flows and can raise prices as costs climb, he added.

“Consumers will reduce spending in other areas when money becomes tight,” Carlson continued.

 Bob Carlson, leader of Retirement Watch, meets with Paul Dykewicz.

For a diversified position in food and beverage stocks, Carlson suggested an exchange-traded fund (ETF) such as Invesco Dynamic Food and Beverage (PBJ). The fund tends to have smaller and more growth-oriented companies than others in the consumer staples sector, he added.

The ETF has 29 stocks, and 47% of the fund is in the 10 largest positions. Top holdings recently were General Mills (NYSE: GIS), Keurig Dr. Pepper (NASDAQ: KDP), Sysco (NYSE: SYY), Hershey (NYSE: HSY) and PepsiCo (NASDAQ: PEP).

Hershey Recommended by Stock Picker Woods and BofA

The Hershey Company (NYSE: HSY), of Hershey, Pennsylvania, is the first recommended stock among the five food investments to buy. It has many favorable attributes, including a Buy recommendation from BofA Global Research, due partly to its resilience in times of economic distress when people crave sweets to eat as comfort food.

“I’m sweet on the company literally known for its ‘Kisses,’ and that is The Hershey Company,” said Jim Woods, who heads the Successful Investing and Intelligence Report newsletters, as well as directs High Velocity Options and Bullseye Stock Trader. He has recommended Hershey in the past in High Velocity Options and could do so again in that fast-paced trading service when the timing is right.

Paul Dykewicz meets with stock picker Jim Woods, who co-leads Fast Money Alert

Woods explained that as the leading U.S. confectionery manufacturer, Hershey controls around 46% of the domestic chocolate space with brands such as Hershey bars, Reese’s and KitKat.

“Last quarter, HSY saw strong earnings per share (EPS) growth of 22% year over year, and I expect the company to deliver an even tastier result when they report earnings again in late October,” Woods said. “The reason being is that confection sales are up of late, and I think it’s because many consumers are taking refuge in the small pleasures in life where they can, especially considering the dual pinch of rising inflation and soaring gas prices.”

Another sweet aspect of HSY is the stock’s technical pattern, which is showing a bullish breakout over the past week that has vaulted it back above resistance at the 50-day moving average, added Woods.

Chart courtesy of www.stockcharts.com

Archer Daniels Midland Becomes One of Five Food Investments to Buy 

Chicago-based Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) is one of the world’s largest processors of food and beverage ingredients. It also has a smaller business focused on nutrition for animals and people.

“The company is considered to have some of the strongest fundamentals for its industry,” said Michelle Connell, a former portfolio manager who heads Dallas-based Portia Capital Management. Those fundamentals feature one of the highest growth rates for return on assets, a five-year earnings per share (EPS) growth greater than the industry and a lower price/cash flow ratio than its competitors, she added.

Thus, an investor pays less for ADM’s cash flow than for the company’s competitors, Connell continued.

The company has been consistent in providing its investors with upside surprises for the last 12 quarters, Connell counseled. This is due to high demand for its products, sustained productivity improvement and product innovation, she added.

Chart courtesy of www.stockcharts.com

For example, the development of destination marketing for the company’s agricultural services business segment involves moving products from ports of entry to their ultimate destination, Connell said. This has enhanced profit margins for the segment, with ADM offering guidance that its volume growth will reach 30% for destination marketing by 2025, she added.

“Thus, this innovation will continue to be a future profit enhancer,” Connell counseled.

ADM, One of Five Food Investments to Buy, Offers Dividend Payout

Another plus is that ADM is a “solid dividend candidate” with a yield of 1.76%, Connell continued.

“ADM has been an exceptional investment… versus the underlying market or the S&P,” Connell said. “It should continue this trend in the foreseeable future.”

Michelle Connell leads Dallas-based Portia Capital Management.

Connell offered the following highlights for ADM.

  • For the past 10 years, an investor in ADM would have made 239%, before factoring in its dividend yield. For the same period, the S&P has only returned 187%.
  • For many years, ADM did not repurchase its stock. However, this past February, the company announced an 8 billion share repurchase program.
  • While the stock is up over 30% year to date, most analysts believe that there’s more upside from ADM’s current price.
  • The stock’s 12-month upside estimates range from 10-25%.

But ADM is not without risk, Connell said. Risks include foreign exchange exposure and a larger than anticipated impact on production from inflation.

J.M. Smucker Earns Berth Among Five Food Investments to Buy

J.M. Smucker (SJM), of Orrville, Ohio, is one of the largest U.S. food manufacturing and food service companies, with $8 billion in sales and $1.4 billion in operating profit in fiscal year 2022 across its four main sectors. Those sectors are U.S. retail consumer coffee, U.S. retail consumer foods, U.S. retail pet foods and international and food service.

BofA Global Research rates SJM shares as a Buy after several years of divestitures. The company now appears to be positioned well to take advantage of low price elasticities in its remaining portfolio compared to its center-store packaged food peers, according to BofA.

In addition, SJM has reduced its private label exposure, while optimizing margins and stimulating sales growth in core products through innovation and capacity expansion.

BofA’s $160 price objective on SJM, up recently from $155, is based on 17.5x of the investment firm’s 2023 EPS estimate. The valuation multiple is at a discount to overall peer group average of 19x, but more in line with centers store packaged food peers that is warranted as SJM executes against its fiscal year 2023 plan, BofA continued.

Chart courtesy of www.stockcharts.com

Potential outperformance could occur with faster-than-expected sales growth and greater share gains, specifically in “Uncrustables” and coffee, BoA wrote in a research note. Other pluses could come from lower-than-expected commodity cost inflation, a quicker-than-anticipated rebound after its Jif peanut butter recall and an improved balance sheet that allows for share buybacks or acquisitions.

Risks to BofA’s price objective include continued weakness in sales growth and profitability primarily within pet food as competition intensifies, slower pet food expansion plans, increased demand elasticity in roast and ground coffee and slower Jif recovery than expected.

PepsiCo Gains Slot Among Five Food Investments to Buy

BofA’s quality holding in consumer staples not only include Hershey but PepsiCo (NASDAQ: PEP), a Purchase, New York-based global snack and beverage company that manufactures and markets salty and convenient snacks, carbonated and non-carbonated beverages and foods. Key divisions include Frito-Lay North America (FLNA), Quaker Foods NA, North America Beverages (NAB), Latin America, Europe Sub-Saharan Africa (ESSA) and Asia, Middle East and North Africa (AMENA).

The company also operates in the United Kingdom, Mexico, India and China. Brands include Pepsi Cola, Mountain Dew, Gatorade, Tropicana, Frito-Lay, Quaker and among others. BofA has a Buy rating and a $190 price target on the stock.

“We continue to believe our multiple fairly reflects PEP’s balanced momentum, margin support and brand investments, capable of delivering the high end of their long-term outlook,” according to a recent BofA research report.

Upon taking the helm as PepsiCo’s CEO in 2018, Ramon Laguarta’s efforts to pivot the company towards a growth-oriented path have taken root, BofA wrote. Reinvestment in the business and an appetite for risk remain the cornerstone philosophies of this strategy, reflected in PEP’s ramping digitization efforts, new category expansion and supply chain investments to fuel a stronger innovation engine, BofA added.

Chart courtesy of www.stockcharts.com

U.S. COVID Deaths Near 1.045 Million

COVID-19 cases and deaths can affect supply and demand for products such food, particularly with global sourcing of ingredients. For that reason, trends warrant watching.

U.S. COVID-19 deaths rose for the fifth consecutive week by more than 3,000, jumping 1,044,730, as of Aug. 30, according to Johns Hopkins University. Cases in the United States climbed to 94,379,514. America holds the dreaded distinction as the nation with the largest number of COVID-19 deaths and cases.

Worldwide COVID-19 deaths in the last week increased by more than 33,000 to total 6,490,754, as of Aug. 30, according to Johns Hopkins. Global COVID-19 cases reached 602,256,881 on the same date.

Roughly 79.1% of the U.S. population, or 262,643,277, have received at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine, as of Aug. 24, the CDC reported. Fully vaccinated people total 223,914,723, or 67.4%, of the U.S. population, according to the CDC. The United States also has given at least one COVID-19 booster vaccine to 108.5 million people, up 300,000 in the past week.

The five food investments to buy offer investors protection from the worst of inflation in more than 40 years, drought and Russia’s unrelenting invasion of Ukraine. In the wake of 0.75% Fed rate hikes in June and July and possibly another increase of that size in September, based on the latest signals from central bank leaders, the five food investments to buy may be enticing to consider for the portfolios of savvy investors.

Paul Dykewicz, www.pauldykewicz.com, is an accomplished, award-winning journalist who has written for Dow Jones, the Wall Street JournalInvestor’s Business DailyUSA Today, the Journal of Commerce, Seeking Alpha, GuruFocus and other publications and websites. Paul, who can be followed on Twitter @PaulDykewicz, is the editor of StockInvestor.com and DividendInvestor.com, a writer for both websites and a columnist. He further is editorial director of Eagle Financial Publications in Washington, D.C., where he edits monthly investment newsletters, time-sensitive trading alerts, free e-letters and other investment reports. Paul previously served as business editor of Baltimore’s Daily Record newspaper. Paul also is the author of an inspirational book, “Holy Smokes! Golden Guidance from Notre Dame’s Championship Chaplain,” with a foreword by former national championship-winning football coach Lou Holtz. The book is great as a gift and is endorsed by Joe Montana, Joe Theismann, Ara Parseghian, “Rocket” Ismail, Reggie Brooks, Dick Vitale and many othersCall 202-677-4457 for multiple-book pricing.

The post Five Food Investments to Buy as Hedges Against Inflation and War appeared first on Stock Investor.

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Riley Gaines Explains How Women’s Sports Are Rigged To Promote The Trans Agenda

Riley Gaines Explains How Women’s Sports Are Rigged To Promote The Trans Agenda

Is there a light forming when it comes to the long, dark and…

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Riley Gaines Explains How Women's Sports Are Rigged To Promote The Trans Agenda

Is there a light forming when it comes to the long, dark and bewildering tunnel of social justice cultism?  Global events have been so frenetic that many people might not remember, but only a couple years ago Big Tech companies and numerous governments were openly aligned in favor of mass censorship.  Not just to prevent the public from investigating the facts surrounding the pandemic farce, but to silence anyone questioning the validity of woke concepts like trans ideology. 

From 2020-2022 was the closest the west has come in a long time to a complete erasure of freedom of speech.  Even today there are still countries and Europe and places like Canada or Australia that are charging forward with draconian speech laws.  The phrase "radical speech" is starting to circulate within pro-censorship circles in reference to any platform where people are allowed to talk critically.  What is radical speech?  Basically, it's any discussion that runs contrary to the beliefs of the political left.

Open hatred of moderate or conservative ideals is perfectly acceptable, but don't ever shine a negative light on woke activism, or you might be a terrorist.

Riley Gaines has experienced this double standard first hand.  She was even assaulted and taken hostage at an event in 2023 at San Francisco State University when leftists protester tried to trap her in a room and demanded she "pay them to let her go."  Campus police allegedly witnessed the incident but charges were never filed and surveillance footage from the college was never released.  

It's probably the last thing a champion female swimmer ever expects, but her head-on collision with the trans movement and the institutional conspiracy to push it on the public forced her to become a counter-culture voice of reason rather than just an athlete.

For years the independent media argued that no matter how much we expose the insanity of men posing as women to compete and dominate women's sports, nothing will really change until the real female athletes speak up and fight back.  Riley Gaines and those like her represent that necessary rebellion and a desperately needed return to common sense and reason.

In a recent interview on the Joe Rogan Podcast, Gaines related some interesting information on the inner workings of the NCAA and the subversive schemes surrounding trans athletes.  Not only were women participants essentially strong-armed by colleges and officials into quietly going along with the program, there was also a concerted propaganda effort.  Competition ceremonies were rigged as vehicles for promoting trans athletes over everyone else. 

The bottom line?  The competitions didn't matter.  The real women and their achievements didn't matter.  The only thing that mattered to officials were the photo ops; dudes pretending to be chicks posing with awards for the gushing corporate media.  The agenda took precedence.

Lia Thomas, formerly known as William Thomas, was more than an activist invading female sports, he was also apparently a science project fostered and protected by the athletic establishment.  It's important to understand that the political left does not care about female athletes.  They do not care about women's sports.  They don't care about the integrity of the environments they co-opt.  Their only goal is to identify viable platforms with social impact and take control of them.  Women's sports are seen as a vehicle for public indoctrination, nothing more.

The reasons why they covet women's sports are varied, but a primary motive is the desire to assert the fallacy that men and women are "the same" psychologically as well as physically.  They want the deconstruction of biological sex and identity as nothing more than "social constructs" subject to personal preference.  If they can destroy what it means to be a man or a woman, they can destroy the very foundations of relationships, families and even procreation.  

For now it seems as though the trans agenda is hitting a wall with much of the public aware of it and less afraid to criticize it.  Social media companies might be able to silence some people, but they can't silence everyone.  However, there is still a significant threat as the movement continues to target children through the public education system and women's sports are not out of the woods yet.   

The ultimate solution is for women athletes around the world to organize and widely refuse to participate in any competitions in which biological men are allowed.  The only way to save women's sports is for women to be willing to end them, at least until institutions that put doctrine ahead of logic are made irrelevant.          

Tyler Durden Wed, 03/13/2024 - 17:20

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Mike Pompeo Doesn’t Rule Out Serving In 2nd Trump Administration

Mike Pompeo Doesn’t Rule Out Serving In 2nd Trump Administration

Authored by Jack Phillips via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

Former Secretary…

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Mike Pompeo Doesn't Rule Out Serving In 2nd Trump Administration

Authored by Jack Phillips via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

Former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said in a new interview that he’s not ruling out accepting a White House position if former President Donald Trump is reelected in November.

“If I get a chance to serve and think that I can make a difference ... I’m almost certainly going to say yes to that opportunity to try and deliver on behalf of the American people,” he told Fox News, when asked during a interview if he would work for President Trump again.

I’m confident President Trump will be looking for people who will faithfully execute what it is he asked them to do,” Mr. Pompeo said during the interview, which aired on March 8. “I think as a president, you should always want that from everyone.”

Then-President Donald Trump (C), then- Secretary of State Mike Pompeo (L), and then-Vice President Mike Pence, take a question during the daily briefing on the novel coronavirus at the White House in Washington on April 8, 2020. (Mandel Ngan/AFP via Getty Images)

He said that as a former secretary of state, “I certainly wanted my team to do what I was asking them to do and was enormously frustrated when I found that I couldn’t get them to do that.”

Mr. Pompeo, a former U.S. representative from Kansas, served as Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) director in the Trump administration from 2017 to 2018 before he was secretary of state from 2018 to 2021. After he left office, there was speculation that he could mount a Republican presidential bid in 2024, but announced that he wouldn’t be running.

President Trump hasn’t publicly commented about Mr. Pompeo’s remarks.

In 2023, amid speculation that he would make a run for the White House, Mr. Pompeo took a swipe at his former boss, telling Fox News at the time that “the Trump administration spent $6 trillion more than it took in, adding to the deficit.”

“That’s never the right direction for the country,” he said.

In a public appearance last year, Mr. Pompeo also appeared to take a shot at the 45th president by criticizing “celebrity leaders” when urging GOP voters to choose ahead of the 2024 election.

2024 Race

Mr. Pompeo’s interview comes as the former president was named the “presumptive nominee” by the Republican National Committee (RNC) last week after his last major Republican challenger, former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, dropped out of the 2024 race after failing to secure enough delegates. President Trump won 14 out of 15 states on Super Tuesday, with only Vermont—which notably has an open primary—going for Ms. Haley, who served as President Trump’s U.S. ambassador to the United Nations.

On March 8, the RNC held a meeting in Houston during which committee members voted in favor of President Trump’s nomination.

“Congratulations to President Donald J. Trump on his huge primary victory!” the organization said in a statement last week. “I’d also like to congratulate Nikki Haley for running a hard-fought campaign and becoming the first woman to win a Republican presidential contest.”

Earlier this year, the former president criticized the idea of being named the presumptive nominee after reports suggested that the RNC would do so before the Super Tuesday contests and while Ms. Haley was still in the race.

Also on March 8, the RNC voted to name Trump-endorsed officials to head the organization. Michael Whatley, a North Carolina Republican, was elected the party’s new national chairman in a vote in Houston, and Lara Trump, the former president’s daughter-in-law, was voted in as co-chair.

“The RNC is going to be the vanguard of a movement that will work tirelessly every single day to elect our nominee, Donald J. Trump, as the 47th President of the United States,” Mr. Whatley told RNC members in a speech after being elected, replacing former chair Ronna McDaniel. Ms. Trump is expected to focus largely on fundraising and media appearances.

President Trump hasn’t signaled whom he would appoint to various federal agencies if he’s reelected in November. He also hasn’t said who his pick for a running mate would be, but has offered several suggestions in recent interviews.

In various interviews, the former president has mentioned Sen. Tim Scott (R-S.C.), Texas Gov. Greg Abbott, Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-N.Y.), Vivek Ramaswamy, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, and South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem, among others.

Tyler Durden Wed, 03/13/2024 - 17:00

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RFK Jr. Reveals Vice President Contenders

RFK Jr. Reveals Vice President Contenders

Authored by Jeff Louderback via The Epoch Times,

New York Jets quarterback Aaron Rodgers and former…

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RFK Jr. Reveals Vice President Contenders

Authored by Jeff Louderback via The Epoch Times,

New York Jets quarterback Aaron Rodgers and former Minnesota governor and professional wrestler Jesse Ventura are among the potential running mates for independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., the New York Times reported on March 12.

Citing “two people familiar with the discussions,” the New York Times wrote that Mr. Kennedy “recently approached” Mr. Rodgers and Mr. Ventura about the vice president’s role, “and both have welcomed the overtures.”

Mr. Kennedy has talked to Mr. Rodgers “pretty continuously” over the last month, according to the story. The candidate has kept in touch with Mr. Ventura since the former governor introduced him at a February voter rally in Tucson, Arizona.

Stefanie Spear, who is the campaign press secretary, told The Epoch Times on March 12 that “Mr. Kennedy did share with the New York Times that he’s considering Aaron Rodgers and Jesse Ventura as running mates along with others on a short list.”

Ms. Spear added that Mr. Kennedy will name his running mate in the upcoming weeks.

Former Democrat presidential candidates Andrew Yang and Tulsi Gabbard declined the opportunity to join Mr. Kennedy’s ticket, according to the New York Times.

Mr. Kennedy has also reportedly talked to Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) about becoming his running mate.

Last week, Mr. Kennedy endorsed Mr. Paul to replace Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) as the Senate Minority Leader after Mr. McConnell announced he would step down from the post at the end of the year.

CNN reported early on March 13 that Mr. Kennedy’s shortlist also includes motivational speaker Tony Robbins, Discovery Channel Host Mike Rowe, and civil rights attorney Tricia Lindsay. The Washington Post included the aforementioned names plus former Republican Massachusetts senator and U.S. Ambassador to New Zealand and Samoa, Scott Brown.

In April 2023, Mr. Kennedy entered the Democrat presidential primary to challenge President Joe Biden for the party’s 2024 nomination. Claiming that the Democrat National Committee was “rigging the primary” to stop candidates from opposing President Biden, Mr. Kennedy said last October that he would run as an independent.

This year, Mr. Kennedy’s campaign has shifted its focus to ballot access. He currently has qualified for the ballot as an independent in New Hampshire, Utah, and Nevada.

Mr. Kennedy also qualified for the ballot in Hawaii under the “We the People” party.

In January, Mr. Kennedy’s campaign said it had filed paperwork in six states to create a political party. The move was made to get his name on the ballots with fewer voter signatures than those states require for candidates not affiliated with a party.

The “We the People” party was established in five states: California, Delaware, Hawaii, Mississippi, and North Carolina. The “Texas Independent Party” was also formed.

A statement by Mr. Kennedy’s campaign reported that filing for political party status in the six states reduced the number of signatures required for him to gain ballot access by about 330,000.

Ballot access guidelines have created a sense of urgency to name a running mate. More than 20 states require independent and third-party candidates to have a vice presidential pick before collecting and submitting signatures.

Like Mr. Kennedy, Mr. Ventura is an outspoken critic of COVID-19 vaccine mandates and safety.

Mr. Ventura, 72, gained acclaim in the 1970s and 1980s as a professional wrestler known as Jesse “the Body” Ventura. He appeared in movies and television shows before entering the Minnesota gubernatorial race as a Reform Party headliner. He was a longshot candidate but prevailed and served one term.

Former pro wrestler Jesse Ventura in Washington on Oct. 4, 2013. (Brendan Smialowski/AFP via Getty Images)

In an interview on a YouTube podcast last December, Mr. Ventura was asked if he would accept an offer to run on Mr. Kennedy’s ticket.

“I would give it serious consideration. I won’t tell you yes or no. It will depend on my personal life. Would I want to commit myself at 72 for one year of hell (campaigning) and then four years (in office)?” Mr. Ventura said with a grin.

Mr. Rodgers, who spent his entire career as a quarterback for the Green Bay Packers before joining the New York Jets last season, remains under contract with the Jets. He has not publicly commented about joining Mr. Kennedy’s ticket, but the four-time NFL MVP endorsed him earlier this year and has stumped for him on podcasts.

The 40-year-old Rodgers is still under contract with the Jets after tearing his Achilles tendon in the 2023 season opener and being sidelined the rest of the year. The Jets are owned by Woody Johnson, a prominent donor to former President Donald Trump who served as U.S. Ambassador to Britain under President Trump.

Since the COVID-19 vaccine was introduced, Mr. Rodgers has been outspoken about health issues that can result from taking the shot. He told podcaster Joe Rogan that he has lost friends and sponsorship deals because of his decision not to get vaccinated.

Quarterback Aaron Rodgers of the New York Jets talks to reporters after training camp at Atlantic Health Jets Training Center in Florham Park, N.J., on July 26, 2023. (Rich Schultz/Getty Images)

Earlier this year, Mr. Rodgers challenged Kansas City Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce and Dr. Anthony Fauci to a debate.

Mr. Rodgers referred to Mr. Kelce, who signed an endorsement deal with vaccine manufacturer Pfizer, as “Mr. Pfizer.”

Dr. Fauci served as director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases from 1984 to 2022 and was chief medical adviser to the president from 2021 to 2022.

When Mr. Kennedy announces his running mate, it will mark another challenge met to help gain ballot access.

“In some states, the signature gathering window is not open. New York is one of those and is one of the most difficult with ballot access requirements,” Ms. Spear told The Epoch Times.

“We need our VP pick and our electors, and we have to gather 45,000 valid signatures. That means we will collect 72,000 since we have a 60 percent buffer in every state,” she added.

The window for gathering signatures in New York opens on April 16 and closes on May 28, Ms. Spear noted.

“Mississippi, North Carolina, and Oklahoma are the next three states we will most likely check off our list,” Ms. Spear added. “We are confident that Mr. Kennedy will be on the ballot in all 50 states and the District of Columbia. We have a strategist, petitioners, attorneys, and the overall momentum of the campaign.”

Tyler Durden Wed, 03/13/2024 - 15:45

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