Connect with us

Uncategorized

First Reliance Bancshares Reports Fourth Quarter 2022 Results

First Reliance Bancshares Reports Fourth Quarter 2022 Results
PR Newswire
FLORENCE, S.C., Feb. 1, 2023

FLORENCE, S.C., Feb. 1, 2023 /PRNewswire/ — First Reliance Bancshares, Inc. (OTC:FSRL), the holding company for First Reliance Bank (collectivel…

Published

on

First Reliance Bancshares Reports Fourth Quarter 2022 Results

PR Newswire

FLORENCE, S.C., Feb. 1, 2023 /PRNewswire/ -- First Reliance Bancshares, Inc. (OTC:FSRL), the holding company for First Reliance Bank (collectively, "First Reliance" or the "Company"), today announced its financial results for the fourth quarter of 2022.

Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2022 Highlights

  • Net income for the fourth quarter of 2022 increased 60.2% to $1.5 million, or $0.18 per diluted share, compared to $0.9 million, or $0.12 per diluted share, for the fourth quarter of 2021. Net income for the year ended December 31, 2022 was $5.9 million, or $0.73 per diluted share, compared to $5.3 million, or $0.65 per diluted share, for the year ended December 31, 2021.
  • Net interest income for the quarter was $7.9 million, which represents a decrease of $0.4 million, or 4.3%, on a linked quarter basis and an increase of $1.3 million, or 19.1% compared to the same period in 2021. Net interest income for the full year was $30.0 million, which represents an increase of $5.3 million, or 21.6%, compared to the same period in 2021.
  • Net interest margin compressed during the quarter to 3.68% at December 31, 2022 compared to 3.71% for the third quarter of 2022, but increased 58 basis points compared to the same period in 2021.
  • Total loans increased $14.6 million, or 9.0% annualized, to $661.3 million at December 31, 2022 from $646.6 million at September 30, 2022. For the full year 2022, total loans increased $74.8 million, or 12.8%, from $586.4 million at December 31, 2021. Included in the increase in loans for the year was a $22.7 million decrease to $29.6 million at December 31, 2022 from $52.3 million at December 31, 2021 in the bank's indirect auto loan portfolio.
  • Total deposits decreased $42.2 million, or 20.1% annualized, to $798.2 million at December 31, 2022 from $840.4 million at September 30, 2022. While we saw declines in deposit balances for the quarter, a significant portion of the decline was in our real estate trust accounts and internal mortgage servicing accounts which regularly fluctuate. For the full year 2022, total deposits increased $17.4 million, or 2.2%, from $780.8 million at December 31, 2021.
  • Asset quality improved with nonperforming assets as a percentage of total assets of 0.05% at December 31, 2022 compared to 0.06% at September 30, 2022. The Company had net charge-offs of $85.4 thousand, or annualized 0.05% of average loans during the quarter compared to net charge-offs of $34.0 thousand, or annualized 0.02% of average loans, for the quarter ended September 30, 2022.
  • Cost of funds for the fourth quarter of 2022 increased to 0.71% from 0.33% on a linked quarter basis and from 0.23% for the same period in 2021. Cost of funds for the full year of 2022 increased slightly to 0.37% from 0.27% for the year 2021.

Rick Saunders, Chief Executive Officer, remarked: "2022 has brought rapid improvement in our net interest margin, continued successes in moving new client relationships to our Bank, and an extremely tough environment for the mortgage industry. I am very proud of the accomplishments and resiliency of our team.

As we look forward to 2023, we know that rising deposit competition in the short run will pressure some of the gains made in net interest margin during 2022.  Our loan portfolio will reprice over the next couple of years, which will help offset funding cost increases.  We will continue to focus on improving our cost structure in order to maximize operating leverage as well as ensuring our risk management framework remains robust." 

 

Financial Summary




Three Months Ended




Twelve Months Ended


Dec 31

Sep 30

Jun 30

Mar 31

Dec 31


Dec 31

Dec 31

($ in thousands, except per share data)

2022

2022

2022

2022

2021


2022

2021

Earnings:









Net income available to common shareholders

$     1,493

$     2,522

$     1,064

$          852

$          932


$      5,931

$      5,276

Earnings per common share, diluted

0.18

0.31

0.13

0.11

0.12


0.73

0.65

Total revenue(1)

9,417

11,103

9,404

9,097

9,253


39,021

38,907

Net interest margin

3.68 %

3.71 %

3.39 %

3.12 %

3.10 %


3.48 %

3.25 %

Return on average assets(2)

0.65 %

1.06 %

0.45 %

0.37 %

0.41 %


0.63 %

0.64 %

Return on average equity(2)

9.78 %

15.60 %

6.60 %

4.85 %

5.28 %


9.11 %

7.56 %

Efficiency ratio(3)

78.14 %

69.40 %

84.49 %

87.50 %

88.45 %


79.37 %

82.75 %

 


As of


Dec 31

Sep 30

Jun 30

Mar 31

Dec 31

(dollars in thousands)

2022

2022

2022

2022

2021

Balance Sheet:






Total assets

$       937,113

$       946,437

$       946,853

$       953,784

$       910,797

Total loans receivable

661,251

646,634

637,953

592,089

586,446

Total deposits

798,184

840,392

830,992

837,663

780,833

Total transaction deposits(4) to total deposits

51.05 %

51.42 %

51.14 %

52.71 %

50.19 %

Loans to deposits

82.84 %

76.94 %

76.77 %

70.68 %

75.11 %

Bank Capital Ratios:






Total risk-based capital ratio

13.43 %

13.47 %

12.97 %

13.67 %

14.07 %

Tier 1 risk-based capital ratio

12.43 %

12.45 %

11.98 %

12.65 %

13.03 %

Tier 1 leverage ratio

10.37 %

9.84 %

9.66 %

9.67 %

9.66 %

Common equity tier 1 capital ratio

12.43 %

12.45 %

11.98 %

12.65 %

13.03 %

Asset Quality Ratios:






Nonperforming assets as a percentage of
   total assets

0.05 %

0.06 %

0.06 %

0.11 %

0.10 %

Allowance for loan losses as a percentage of
   total loans receivable

1.16 %

1.18 %

1.17 %

1.22 %

1.20 %







Footnotes to table located at the end of this release.

 

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED INCOME STATEMENTS – Unaudited




Three Months Ended




Twelve Months Ended


Dec 31

Sep 30

Jun 30

Mar 31

Dec 31


Dec 31

($ in thousands, except per share data)

2022

2022

2022

2022

2021


2022

2021

Interest income









Loans

$        7,848

$        7,555

$        6,781

$        6,380

$        6,663


$        28,565

$        25,286

Investment securities

1,247

1,097

840

571

359


3,755

1,203

Other interest income

316

321

176

73

79


886

234

Total interest income

9,411

8,973

7,797

7,024

7,101


33,206

26,723

Interest expense









Deposits

1,106

446

212

197

224


1,961

1,022

Other interest expense

417

283

252

252

256


1,204

996

Total interest expense

1,523

729

464

449

480


3,165

2,018

Net interest income

7,888

8,244

7,333

6,575

6,621


30,041

24,705

Provision for loan losses

115

170

110

85

95


480

303

Net interest income after provision for loan
   losses

7,773

8,074

7,223

6,490

6,526


29,561

24,402

Noninterest income









Mortgage banking income

378

1,721

897

1,420

1,407


4,416

9,531

Service fees on deposit accounts

330

343

357

362

356


1,392

1,221

Debit card and other service charges,
   commissions, and fees

500

536

559

498

543


2,093

2,038

Income from bank owned life insurance

92

91

89

88

93


360

374

Gain on sale of securities, net

-

-

-

-

-


-

81

Gain on sale of loans

-

-

-

-

-


-

326

Gain (Loss) on disposal of fixed assets

24

(10)

-

10

69


23

69

Other income

205

178

168

144

164


696

562

Total noninterest income

1,529

2,859

2,070

2,522

2,632


8,980

14,202

Noninterest expense









Compensation and benefits

4,364

4,505

5,059

5,079

4,965


19,006

20,742

Occupancy and equipment

883

923

890

893

862


3,589

3,221

Data processing, technology, and communications

878

846

789

837

920


3,351

3,554

Professional fees

207

185

180

180

202


751

916

Marketing

279

206

184

74

150


744

419

Other

748

1,040

843

897

1,085


3,529

3,345

Total noninterest expense

7,359

7,705

7,945

7,960

8,184


30,970

32,197

Income before provision for income taxes

1,943

3,228

1,348

1,052

974


7,571

6,407

Income tax expense

450

706

284

200

42


1,640

1,131

Net income available to common shareholders

$        1,493

$        2,522

$        1,064

$             852

$             932


$           5,931

$           5,276










Weighted average common shares - basic

7,775

7,777

7,782

7,784

7,785


7,779

7,749

Weighted average common shares - diluted

8,152

8,073

8,094

8,100

8,096


8,127

8,142

Basic income per common share

$           0.19

$           0.32

$           0.32

$           0.14

$           0.12


$              0.76

$              0.68

Diluted income per common share

$           0.18

$           0.31

$           0.31

$           0.13

$           0.12


$              0.73

$              0.65










Net income for the three months ended December 31, 2022 was $1.5 million, or $0.18 per diluted common share, compared to $0.9 million, or $0.12 per diluted common share, for the three months ended December 31, 2021.  Net income for the twelve months ended December 31, 2022 totaled $5.9 million, or $0.73 per diluted common share, compared to $5.3 million, or $0.65 per diluted common share for the twelve months ended December 31, 2021.

Noninterest income for the three months ended December 31, 2022 was $1.5 million, a decrease of $1.1 million from $2.6 million for the same period in 2021.  Noninterest income is largely driven by the Company's mortgage banking division, which produced net revenue of $0.4 million during the three months ended December 31, 2022 and $4.4 million during the twelve months ended December 31, 2022.  The decrease in mortgage noninterest income is primarily due to a decrease in sales volume compared to the prior year quarter in 2021.  Additionally, the Bank has chosen to portfolio select loans out of the higher margin retail channel which has also contributed to reduced gain on sale proceeds.   

Noninterest expense for the three months ended December 31, 2022 was $7.4 million, a decrease of $0.8 million from $8.2 million for the same period in 2021.  This decrease was primarily driven by a decrease in compensation and benefits data processing, technology, and communications somewhat offset by an increase in marketing expense compared to fourth quarter 2021.    

NET INTEREST INCOME AND MARGIN – Unaudited



For the  Three Months Ended


December 31, 2022


December 31, 2021


Average

Income/

Yield/


Average

Income/

Yield/

(dollars in thousands)

Balance

Expense

Rate


Balance

Expense

Rate

Assets








Interest-earning assets








Federal funds sold and interest-bearing deposits

$      33,754

$              310

3.64 %


$    170,402

$              72

0.17 %

Investment securities

158,204

1,247

3.13 %


71,327

359

2.00 %

Nonmarketable equity securities

871

6

2.82 %


837

7

3.44 %

Loans held for sale

4,767

83

6.91 %


29,269

253

3.43 %

Loans

654,285

7,765

4.71 %


575,351

6,410

4.42 %

Total interest-earning assets

851,881

9,411

4.38 %


847,186

7,101

3.33 %

Allowance for loan losses

(7,665)




(6,973)



Noninterest-earning assets

78,848




76,359



Total assets

$   923,064




$    916,572











Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity








Interest-bearing liabilities








NOW accounts

$   146,865

$                 67

0.18 %


$    143,784

$              18

0.05 %

Savings & money market

290,709

858

117.00 %


267,404

86

0.13 %

Time deposits

99,847

181

0.72 %


129,717

120

0.37 %

Total interest-bearing deposits

537,421

1,106

0.82 %


540,905

224

0.16 %

FHLB advances and other borrowings

14,330

96

2.67 %


17,995

47

1.05 %

Subordinated debentures

25,687

321

4.95 %


25,654

209

3.23 %

Total interest-bearing liabilities

577,438

1,523

1.05 %


584,554

480

0.33 %

Noninterest bearing deposits

270,975




249,831



Other liabilities

13,551




11,549



Shareholders' equity

61,100




70,638



Total liabilities and shareholders' equity

$   923,064




$    916,572











Net interest income (tax equivalent) / interest
  rate spread


$         7,888

3.34 %



$       6,621

3.00 %

Net Interest Margin



3.67 %




3.10 %









 


For the  Twelve Months Ended


December 31, 2022


December 31, 2021


Average

Income/

Yield/


Average

Income/

Yield/

(dollars in thousands)

Balance

Expense

Rate


Balance

Expense

Rate

Assets








Interest-earning assets








Federal funds sold and interest-bearing deposits

$      81,509

$              863

1.06 %


$    139,380

$           181

0.13 %

Investment securities

145,694

3,755

2.58 %


55,480

1,203

2.17 %

Nonmarketable equity securities

632

23

3.69 %


891

53

5.97 %

Loans held for sale

14,218

647

4.55 %


33,296

993

2.98 %

Loans

622,418

27,918

4.49 %


532,090

24,293

4.57 %

Total interest-earning assets

864,471

33,206

3.84 %


761,137

26,723

3.51 %

Allowance for loan losses

(7,415)




(6,602)



Noninterest-earning assets

80,187




74,896



Total assets

$   937,243




$    829,431











Liabilities and Shareholders' Equity








Interest-bearing liabilities








NOW accounts

$   158,135

$              136

0.09 %


$    133,350

$              62

0.05 %

Savings & money market

289,213

1,364

0.47 %


225,021

350

0.16 %

Time deposits

110,028

461

0.42 %


134,582

610

0.45 %

Total interest-bearing deposits

557,376

1,961

0.35 %


492,953

1,022

0.21 %

FHLB advances and other borrowings

13,367

131

0.98 %


17,748

188

1.06 %

Subordinated debentures

25,675

1,073

4.18 %


21,351

808

3.79 %

Total interest-bearing liabilities

596,418

3,165

0.53 %


532,052

2,018

0.38 %

Noninterest bearing deposits

263,085




216,697



Other liabilities

12,656




10,910



Shareholders' equity

65,084




69,772



Total liabilities and shareholders' equity

$   937,243




$    829,431











Net interest income (tax equivalent) / interest
  rate spread


$      30,041

3.31 %



$    24,705

3.13 %

Net Interest Margin



3.48 %




3.25 %









Net interest income for the three months ended December 31, 2022 was $7.9 million compared to $6.6 million for the three months ended December 31, 2021.  This increase was primarily driven by an increase in interest-earning assets, as well as an increase in interest rates.  Yield on interest-earning assets increased to 4.38% for the three months ended December 31, 2022 from 3.33% for the same period in 2021.   

Net interest income was $30.0 million for the twelve months ended December 31, 2022, an increase of $5.3 million over the same period in 2021.  Increases in average loans and investments contributed to a majority of the increase in net interest income somewhat offset by an increase in yield on interest bearing liabilities.

CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS – Unaudited



As of


Dec 31

Sep 30

Jun 30

Mar 31

Dec 31

(dollars in thousands)

2022

2022

2022

2022

2021

Assets






Cash and cash equivalents:






Cash and due from banks

$             3,917

$             4,147

$                 7,702

$                 4,672

$                 5,299

Interest-bearing deposits with banks

29,880

60,537

45,683

116,192

144,825

Total cash and cash equivalents

33,797

64,684

53,385

120,864

150,124

Time deposits in other banks

259

259

257

257

257

Investment securities:






Investment securities available for sale

162,097

160,504

164,440

144,422

81,917

Other investments

1,921

658

657

521

837

Total investment securities

164,018

161,162

165,097

144,943

82,754

Mortgage loans held for sale

7,940

4,599

19,648

23,528

23,844

Loans receivable:






Loans

661,251

646,634

637,953

592,089

586,446

Less allowance for loan losses

(7,660)

(7,630)

(7,494)

(7,206)

(7,040)

Loans receivable, net

653,591

639,004

630,459

584,883

579,406

Property and equipment, net

22,811

22,868

23,100

23,222

22,805

Mortgage servicing rights

10,441

10,182

14,893

14,536

14,057

Bank owned life insurance

18,836

18,744

18,653

18,564

18,476

Deferred income taxes

8,629

8,629

7,376

5,862

4,128

Other assets

16,791

16,306

13,985

17,125

14,946

Total assets

937,113

946,437

946,853

953,784

910,797

Liabilities






Deposits

$       798,184

$       840,392

$           830,992

$           837,663

$           780,833

Federal Home Loan Bank advances

30,000

-

-

-

10,000

Federal funds and repurchase agreements

7,368

3,726

13,805

11,886

11,372

Subordinated debentures

15,381

15,373

15,365

15,357

15,349

Junior subordinated debentures

10,310

10,310

10,310

10,310

10,310

Other liabilities

12,574

14,472

12,412

11,937

12,131

Total liabilities

873,817

884,273

882,884

887,153

839,995

Shareholders' equity






Preferred stock - Series D non-cumulative, no par
  value

1

1

1

1

1

Common Stock - $.01 par value; 20,000,000 shares
  authorized

87

88

88

88

88

Treasury stock, at cost

(4,502)

(4,364)

(4,333)

(4,419)

(4,323)

Nonvested restricted stock

(2,121)

(2,291)

(2,500)

(2,572)

(2,668)

Additional paid-in capital

53,968

54,013

54,088

53,980

53,856

Retained earnings

29,916

28,423

25,901

24,837

23,985

Accumulated other comprehensive (loss) income 

(14,053)

(13,706)

(9,276)

(5,284)

(137)

Total shareholders' equity

63,296

62,164

63,969

66,631

70,802

Total liabilities and shareholders' equity

$       937,113

$       946,437

$           946,853

$           953,784

$           910,797







 

COMMON STOCK SUMMARY - Unaudited





As of




Dec 31

Sep 30

Jun 30

Mar 31

Dec 31

(shares in thousands)

2022

2022

2022

2022

2021

Voting common shares outstanding

8,730

8,793

8,801

8,782

8,793

Treasury shares outstanding

(590)

(575)

(571)

(545)

(535)

  Total common shares outstanding

8,140

8,218

8,230

8,237

8,258







Tangible book value per common share(5)

$                     7.67

$                     7.46

$                     7.66

$                     7.98

$                     8.46







Stock price:






  High

$                     9.50

$                     9.40

$                     9.85

$                  10.20

$                  10.74

  Low

$                     8.60

$                     9.00

$                     9.25

$                     9.75

$                     9.95

  Period end

$                     8.72

$                     9.14

$                     9.25

$                     9.85

$                  10.20

 

ASSET QUALITY MEASURES – Unaudited



As of


Dec 31

Sep 30

Jun 30

Mar 31

Dec 31

(dollars in thousands)

2022

2022

2022

2022

2021

Nonperforming Assets






Commercial






Owner occupied RE

$                     134

$                     135

$                     140

$                     144

$                       152

Non-owner occupied RE

-

-

-

295

-

Construction

-

-

-

-

-

Commercial business

76

146

81

-

-

Consumer






Real estate

1

2

3

343

341

Home equity

-

-

-

-

-

Construction

-

-

-

-

-

Other

119

130

160

104

84

Nonaccruing troubled debt restructurings

143

160

173

190

205

Total nonaccrual loans

$                     473

$                     573

$                     557

$                1,076

$                       782

Other real estate owned

-

-

-

-

135

Total nonperforming assets

$                     473

$                     573

$                     557

$                1,076

$                       917

Nonperforming assets as a percentage of:






Total assets

0.05 %

0.06 %

0.06 %

0.11 %

0.10 %

Total loans receivable

0.07 %

0.09 %

0.09 %

0.18 %

0.16 %

Accruing troubled debt restructurings

$                1,151

$                1,312

$                1,349

$                1,393

$                  1,405








Three Months Ended


Dec 31

Sep 30

Jun 30

Mar 31

Dec 31

(dollars in thousands)

2022

2022

2022

2022

2021

Allowance for Loan Losses






Balance, beginning of period

$                7,630

$                7,494

$                7,206

$                7,040

$                  6,934

Loans charged-off

101

76

11

19

5

Recoveries of loans previously charged-off

16

42

189

100

16

Net charge-offs (recoveries)

85

34

(178)

(81)

(11)

Provision for loan losses

115

170

110

85

95

Balance, end of period

$                7,660

$                7,630

$                7,494

$                7,206

$                  7,040

Allowance for loan losses to gross loans receivable

1.16 %

1.18 %

1.17 %

1.22 %

1.20 %

Allowance for loan losses to nonaccrual loans

1619.45 %

1331.59 %

1345.42 %

669.70 %

900.26 %


Footnotes to table located at the end of this release.

Our asset quality improved through December 31, 2022, with nonperforming assets decreasing $100 thousand to $0.5 million, which represents 0.05% of total assets, compared to $0.6 million or 0.06% of total assets at September 30, 2022.  The allowance for loan losses as a percentage of total loans receivable decreased to 1.16% at December 31, 2022, compared to 1.18% at September 30, 2022.  The Company had net charge-offs of $85 thousand for the three months ended December 31, 2022 compared to net recoveries of $11 thousand for the same period in 2021.

LOAN COMPOSITION – Unaudited



As of


Dec 31

Sep 30

Jun 30

Mar 31

Dec 31

(dollars in thousands)

2022

2022

2022

2022

2021

Commercial real estate

$             391,661

$             378,589

$             368,316

$             334,508

$             333,060

Consumer real estate

151,533

147,110

142,711

123,908

120,079

Commercial and industrial

69,243

67,200

67,239

66,285

60,687

Consumer and other

48,814

53,735

59,687

67,388

72,620

Total loans, net of deferred fees

661,251

646,634

637,953

592,089

586,446

Less allowance for loan losses

7,660

7,630

7,494

7,206

7,040

Total loans, net

$             653,591

$             639,004

$             630,459

$             584,883

$             579,406

 

DEPOSIT COMPOSITION – Unaudited



As of


Dec 31

Sep 30

Jun 30

Mar 31

Dec 31

(dollars in thousands)

2022

2022

2022

2022

2021

Noninterest-bearing

$        255,427

$        277,587

$        265,049

$        273,118

$        238,019

Interest-bearing:






DDA and NOW accounts

152,012

154,550

159,939

168,401

153,889

Money market accounts

221,550

232,711

230,840

217,812

204,432

Savings

65,494

71,929

66,727

61,246

58,566

Time, less than $250,000

80,549

76,530

78,735

84,874

99,059

Time, $250,000 and over

23,152

27,085

29,702

32,212

26,868

Total deposits

$        798,184

$        840,392

$        830,992

$        837,663

$        780,833







Footnotes to tables:



(1)

Total revenue is the sum of net interest income and noninterest income.

(2)

Annualized for the respective period.

(3)

Noninterest expense divided by the sum of net interest income and noninterest income.

(4)

Includes noninterest-bearing and interest-bearing DDA and NOW accounts.

(5)

The tangible book value per share is calculated as total shareholders' equity less intangible assets, divided by period-end outstanding common shares. 

ABOUT FIRST RELIANCE

Founded in 1999, First Reliance Bancshares, Inc. (OTC: FSRL.OB), is based in Florence, South Carolina and has assets of approximately $937 million. The company employs more than 180 professionals and has locations throughout South Carolina and central North Carolina. First Reliance has redefined community banking with a commitment to making customers' lives better, its founding principle. Customers of the company have given it a 93% customer satisfaction rating well above the bank industry average of 81%. First Reliance is also one of two companies throughout South Carolina to receive the Best Places to Work in South Carolina award all 17 years since the program began. We believe that this recognition confirms that our associates are engaged and committed to our brand and the communities we serve. The company offers a full range of personalized community banking products and services for individuals, small businesses, and corporations.  The company also offers a full suite of digital banking services, Treasury Services, a Customer Service Guaranty, a Mortgage Service Guaranty, and First Reliance Wealth Strategies.

FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

Certain statements in this news release contain "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, such as statements relating to future plans and expectations, and are thus prospective.  Such forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements with respect to our plans, objectives, expectations and intentions and other statements that are not historical facts, and other statements identified by words such as "believes," "expects," "anticipates," "estimates," "intends," "plans," "targets," and "projects," as well as similar expressions.  Such statements are subject to risks, uncertainties, and other factors which could cause actual results to differ materially from future results expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements.  Although we believe that the assumptions underlying the forward-looking statements are reasonable, any of the assumptions could prove to be inaccurate.  Therefore, we can give no assurance that the results contemplated in the forward-looking statements will be realized.  The inclusion of this forward-looking information should not be construed as a representation by the Company or any person that the future events, plans, or expectations contemplated by the Company will be achieved.

The following factors, among others, could cause actual results to differ materially from the anticipated results or other expectations expressed in the forward-looking statements:  (1) competitive pressures among depository and other financial institutions may increase significantly and have an effect on pricing, spending, third-party relationships and revenues; (2) the strength of the United States economy in general and the strength of the local economies in which we conduct operations may be different than expected resulting in, among other things, a deterioration in the credit quality or a reduced demand for credit, including the resultant effect on the Company's loan portfolio and allowance for loan losses; (3) the rate of delinquencies and amounts of charge-offs, the level of allowance for loan loss, the rates of loan growth, or adverse changes in asset quality in our loan portfolio, which may result in increased credit risk-related losses and expenses; (4) the risk that the preliminary financial information reported herein and our current preliminary analysis will be different when our review is finalized; (5) changes in the U.S. legal and regulatory framework including, but not limited to, the Dodd-Frank Act and regulations adopted thereunder; (6) adverse conditions in the stock market, the public debt market and other capital markets (including changes in interest rate conditions) could have a negative impact on the Company, including the value of its MSR asset; (7) the business related to acquisitions may not be integrated successfully or such integration may take longer to accomplish than expected; (8) the expected cost savings and any revenue synergies from acquisitions may not be fully realized within expected timeframes; and (9) disruption from acquisitions may make it more difficult to maintain relationships with clients, associates or suppliers.  Moreover, a trade war or other governmental action related to tariffs or international trade agreements or policies, as well as Covid-19 or other potential epidemics or pandemics, have the potential to negatively impact ours and/or our customers' costs, demand for our customers' products, and/or the U.S. economy or certain sectors thereof and, thus, adversely affect our business, financial condition, and results of operations.  All subsequent written and oral forward-looking statements concerning the Company or any person acting on its behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements above.  We do not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statement to reflect circumstances or events that occur after the date the forward-looking statements are made.

Contact:
Robert Haile
SEVP & Chief Financial Officer
(843) 656-5000
rhaile@firstreliance.com

View original content to download multimedia:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/first-reliance-bancshares-reports-fourth-quarter-2022-results-301735545.html

SOURCE First Reliance Bancshares

Read More

Continue Reading

Uncategorized

February Employment Situation

By Paul Gomme and Peter Rupert The establishment data from the BLS showed a 275,000 increase in payroll employment for February, outpacing the 230,000…

Published

on

By Paul Gomme and Peter Rupert

The establishment data from the BLS showed a 275,000 increase in payroll employment for February, outpacing the 230,000 average over the previous 12 months. The payroll data for January and December were revised down by a total of 167,000. The private sector added 223,000 new jobs, the largest gain since May of last year.

Temporary help services employment continues a steep decline after a sharp post-pandemic rise.

Average hours of work increased from 34.2 to 34.3. The increase, along with the 223,000 private employment increase led to a hefty increase in total hours of 5.6% at an annualized rate, also the largest increase since May of last year.

The establishment report, once again, beat “expectations;” the WSJ survey of economists was 198,000. Other than the downward revisions, mentioned above, another bit of negative news was a smallish increase in wage growth, from $34.52 to $34.57.

The household survey shows that the labor force increased 150,000, a drop in employment of 184,000 and an increase in the number of unemployed persons of 334,000. The labor force participation rate held steady at 62.5, the employment to population ratio decreased from 60.2 to 60.1 and the unemployment rate increased from 3.66 to 3.86. Remember that the unemployment rate is the number of unemployed relative to the labor force (the number employed plus the number unemployed). Consequently, the unemployment rate can go up if the number of unemployed rises holding fixed the labor force, or if the labor force shrinks holding the number unemployed unchanged. An increase in the unemployment rate is not necessarily a bad thing: it may reflect a strong labor market drawing “marginally attached” individuals from outside the labor force. Indeed, there was a 96,000 decline in those workers.

Earlier in the week, the BLS announced JOLTS (Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey) data for January. There isn’t much to report here as the job openings changed little at 8.9 million, the number of hires and total separations were little changed at 5.7 million and 5.3 million, respectively.

As has been the case for the last couple of years, the number of job openings remains higher than the number of unemployed persons.

Also earlier in the week the BLS announced that productivity increased 3.2% in the 4th quarter with output rising 3.5% and hours of work rising 0.3%.

The bottom line is that the labor market continues its surprisingly (to some) strong performance, once again proving stronger than many had expected. This strength makes it difficult to justify any interest rate cuts soon, particularly given the recent inflation spike.

Read More

Continue Reading

Uncategorized

Mortgage rates fall as labor market normalizes

Jobless claims show an expanding economy. We will only be in a recession once jobless claims exceed 323,000 on a four-week moving average.

Published

on

Everyone was waiting to see if this week’s jobs report would send mortgage rates higher, which is what happened last month. Instead, the 10-year yield had a muted response after the headline number beat estimates, but we have negative job revisions from previous months. The Federal Reserve’s fear of wage growth spiraling out of control hasn’t materialized for over two years now and the unemployment rate ticked up to 3.9%. For now, we can say the labor market isn’t tight anymore, but it’s also not breaking.

The key labor data line in this expansion is the weekly jobless claims report. Jobless claims show an expanding economy that has not lost jobs yet. We will only be in a recession once jobless claims exceed 323,000 on a four-week moving average.

From the Fed: In the week ended March 2, initial claims for unemployment insurance benefits were flat, at 217,000. The four-week moving average declined slightly by 750, to 212,250


Below is an explanation of how we got here with the labor market, which all started during COVID-19.

1. I wrote the COVID-19 recovery model on April 7, 2020, and retired it on Dec. 9, 2020. By that time, the upfront recovery phase was done, and I needed to model out when we would get the jobs lost back.

2. Early in the labor market recovery, when we saw weaker job reports, I doubled and tripled down on my assertion that job openings would get to 10 million in this recovery. Job openings rose as high as to 12 million and are currently over 9 million. Even with the massive miss on a job report in May 2021, I didn’t waver.

Currently, the jobs openings, quit percentage and hires data are below pre-COVID-19 levels, which means the labor market isn’t as tight as it once was, and this is why the employment cost index has been slowing data to move along the quits percentage.  

2-US_Job_Quits_Rate-1-2

3. I wrote that we should get back all the jobs lost to COVID-19 by September of 2022. At the time this would be a speedy labor market recovery, and it happened on schedule, too

Total employment data

4. This is the key one for right now: If COVID-19 hadn’t happened, we would have between 157 million and 159 million jobs today, which would have been in line with the job growth rate in February 2020. Today, we are at 157,808,000. This is important because job growth should be cooling down now. We are more in line with where the labor market should be when averaging 140K-165K monthly. So for now, the fact that we aren’t trending between 140K-165K means we still have a bit more recovery kick left before we get down to those levels. 




From BLS: Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 275,000 in February, and the unemployment rate increased to 3.9 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job gains occurred in health care, in government, in food services and drinking places, in social assistance, and in transportation and warehousing.

Here are the jobs that were created and lost in the previous month:

IMG_5092

In this jobs report, the unemployment rate for education levels looks like this:

  • Less than a high school diploma: 6.1%
  • High school graduate and no college: 4.2%
  • Some college or associate degree: 3.1%
  • Bachelor’s degree or higher: 2.2%
IMG_5093_320f22

Today’s report has continued the trend of the labor data beating my expectations, only because I am looking for the jobs data to slow down to a level of 140K-165K, which hasn’t happened yet. I wouldn’t categorize the labor market as being tight anymore because of the quits ratio and the hires data in the job openings report. This also shows itself in the employment cost index as well. These are key data lines for the Fed and the reason we are going to see three rate cuts this year.

Read More

Continue Reading

Uncategorized

Inside The Most Ridiculous Jobs Report In History: Record 1.2 Million Immigrant Jobs Added In One Month

Inside The Most Ridiculous Jobs Report In History: Record 1.2 Million Immigrant Jobs Added In One Month

Last month we though that the January…

Published

on

Inside The Most Ridiculous Jobs Report In History: Record 1.2 Million Immigrant Jobs Added In One Month

Last month we though that the January jobs report was the "most ridiculous in recent history" but, boy, were we wrong because this morning the Biden department of goalseeked propaganda (aka BLS) published the February jobs report, and holy crap was that something else. Even Goebbels would blush. 

What happened? Let's take a closer look.

On the surface, it was (almost) another blockbuster jobs report, certainly one which nobody expected, or rather just one bank out of 76 expected. Starting at the top, the BLS reported that in February the US unexpectedly added 275K jobs, with just one research analyst (from Dai-Ichi Research) expecting a higher number.

Some context: after last month's record 4-sigma beat, today's print was "only" 3 sigma higher than estimates. Needless to say, two multiple sigma beats in a row used to only happen in the USSR... and now in the US, apparently.

Before we go any further, a quick note on what last month we said was "the most ridiculous jobs report in recent history": it appears the BLS read our comments and decided to stop beclowing itself. It did that by slashing last month's ridiculous print by over a third, and revising what was originally reported as a massive 353K beat to just 229K,  a 124K revision, which was the biggest one-month negative revision in two years!

Of course, that does not mean that this month's jobs print won't be revised lower: it will be, and not just that month but every other month until the November election because that's the only tool left in the Biden admin's box: pretend the economic and jobs are strong, then revise them sharply lower the next month, something we pointed out first last summer and which has not failed to disappoint once.

To be fair, not every aspect of the jobs report was stellar (after all, the BLS had to give it some vague credibility). Take the unemployment rate, after flatlining between 3.4% and 3.8% for two years - and thus denying expectations from Sahm's Rule that a recession may have already started - in February the unemployment rate unexpectedly jumped to 3.9%, the highest since February 2022 (with Black unemployment spiking by 0.3% to 5.6%, an indicator which the Biden admin will quickly slam as widespread economic racism or something).

And then there were average hourly earnings, which after surging 0.6% MoM in January (since revised to 0.5%) and spooking markets that wage growth is so hot, the Fed will have no choice but to delay cuts, in February the number tumbled to just 0.1%, the lowest in two years...

... for one simple reason: last month's average wage surge had nothing to do with actual wages, and everything to do with the BLS estimate of hours worked (which is the denominator in the average wage calculation) which last month tumbled to just 34.1 (we were led to believe) the lowest since the covid pandemic...

... but has since been revised higher while the February print rose even more, to 34.3, hence why the latest average wage data was once again a product not of wages going up, but of how long Americans worked in any weekly period, in this case higher from 34.1 to 34.3, an increase which has a major impact on the average calculation.

While the above data points were examples of some latent weakness in the latest report, perhaps meant to give it a sheen of veracity, it was everything else in the report that was a problem starting with the BLS's latest choice of seasonal adjustments (after last month's wholesale revision), which have gone from merely laughable to full clownshow, as the following comparison between the monthly change in BLS and ADP payrolls shows. The trend is clear: the Biden admin numbers are now clearly rising even as the impartial ADP (which directly logs employment numbers at the company level and is far more accurate), shows an accelerating slowdown.

But it's more than just the Biden admin hanging its "success" on seasonal adjustments: when one digs deeper inside the jobs report, all sorts of ugly things emerge... such as the growing unprecedented divergence between the Establishment (payrolls) survey and much more accurate Household (actual employment) survey. To wit, while in January the BLS claims 275K payrolls were added, the Household survey found that the number of actually employed workers dropped for the third straight month (and 4 in the past 5), this time by 184K (from 161.152K to 160.968K).

This means that while the Payrolls series hits new all time highs every month since December 2020 (when according to the BLS the US had its last month of payrolls losses), the level of Employment has not budged in the past year. Worse, as shown in the chart below, such a gaping divergence has opened between the two series in the past 4 years, that the number of Employed workers would need to soar by 9 million (!) to catch up to what Payrolls claims is the employment situation.

There's more: shifting from a quantitative to a qualitative assessment, reveals just how ugly the composition of "new jobs" has been. Consider this: the BLS reports that in February 2024, the US had 132.9 million full-time jobs and 27.9 million part-time jobs. Well, that's great... until you look back one year and find that in February 2023 the US had 133.2 million full-time jobs, or more than it does one year later! And yes, all the job growth since then has been in part-time jobs, which have increased by 921K since February 2023 (from 27.020 million to 27.941 million).

Here is a summary of the labor composition in the past year: all the new jobs have been part-time jobs!

But wait there's even more, because now that the primary season is over and we enter the heart of election season and political talking points will be thrown around left and right, especially in the context of the immigration crisis created intentionally by the Biden administration which is hoping to import millions of new Democratic voters (maybe the US can hold the presidential election in Honduras or Guatemala, after all it is their citizens that will be illegally casting the key votes in November), what we find is that in February, the number of native-born workers tumbled again, sliding by a massive 560K to just 129.807 million. Add to this the December data, and we get a near-record 2.4 million plunge in native-born workers in just the past 3 months (only the covid crash was worse)!

The offset? A record 1.2 million foreign-born (read immigrants, both legal and illegal but mostly illegal) workers added in February!

Said otherwise, not only has all job creation in the past 6 years has been exclusively for foreign-born workers...

Source: St Louis Fed FRED Native Born and Foreign Born

... but there has been zero job-creation for native born workers since June 2018!

This is a huge issue - especially at a time of an illegal alien flood at the southwest border...

... and is about to become a huge political scandal, because once the inevitable recession finally hits, there will be millions of furious unemployed Americans demanding a more accurate explanation for what happened - i.e., the illegal immigration floodgates that were opened by the Biden admin.

Which is also why Biden's handlers will do everything in their power to insure there is no official recession before November... and why after the election is over, all economic hell will finally break loose. Until then, however, expect the jobs numbers to get even more ridiculous.

Tyler Durden Fri, 03/08/2024 - 13:30

Read More

Continue Reading

Trending