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CONAGRA BRANDS REPORTS SECOND QUARTER RESULTS

CONAGRA BRANDS REPORTS SECOND QUARTER RESULTS
PR Newswire
CHICAGO, Jan. 5, 2023

CHICAGO, Jan. 5, 2023 /PRNewswire/ — Today Conagra Brands, Inc. (NYSE: CAG) reported results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2023, which ended on November 27, 20…

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CONAGRA BRANDS REPORTS SECOND QUARTER RESULTS

PR Newswire

CHICAGO, Jan. 5, 2023 /PRNewswire/ -- Today Conagra Brands, Inc. (NYSE: CAG) reported results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2023, which ended on November 27, 2022. All comparisons are against the prior-year fiscal period, unless otherwise noted. 

CONAGRA BRANDS REPORTS SECOND QUARTER RESULTS

Highlights

  • Second quarter net sales increased 8.3%; organic net sales increased 8.6%
  • Operating margin increased 320 basis points in the quarter to 16.6%; adjusted operating margin increased 237 basis points to 17.0%
  • Diluted earnings per share (EPS) for the second quarter increased 38.6% to $0.79, and adjusted EPS increased 26.6% to $0.81
  • The company is raising its fiscal 2023 guidance to reflect:
    • Organic net sales growth of 7% to 8% compared to fiscal 2022
    • Adjusted operating margin between 15.3% and 15.6%
    • Adjusted EPS between $2.60 and $2.70 representing growth of 10% to 14% compared to fiscal 2022 

CEO Perspective
Sean Connolly, president and chief executive officer of Conagra Brands, commented, "Our second quarter results reflect the ongoing strength of our brands and successful execution of the Conagra Way playbook as evidenced by our robust top-line growth, margin recovery, and earnings results. Our decisive actions to offset inflation coupled with improved service levels and productivity allowed us to successfully navigate ongoing inflationary pressures and industry-wide supply chain challenges as each segment delivered adjusted operating margin expansion in the quarter."

He continued, "We are raising our fiscal 2023 guidance on all metrics - organic net sales growth, adjusted operating margin, and adjusted earnings per share due to continued positive business momentum and our strong first half performance. Looking ahead, we remain committed to executing on our strategic business priorities, including strengthening the balance sheet, as we continue our focus on generating value for our shareholders."

Total Company Second Quarter Results
In the quarter, net sales increased 8.3% to $3.3 billion. The increase in net sales primarily reflects:

  • a 0.3% decrease from the unfavorable impact of foreign exchange; and
  • an 8.6% increase in organic net sales.

The 8.6% increase in organic net sales was driven by a 17.0% improvement in price/mix, which was partially offset by an 8.4% decrease in volume. Price/mix was driven by the company's inflation-driven pricing actions that were reflected in the marketplace throughout the quarter. The volume decrease was primarily a result of the elasticity impact from inflation-driven pricing actions; however, the elasticity impact was favorable to expectations.

Gross profit increased 22.2% to $922 million in the quarter, and adjusted gross profit increased 21.7% to $933 million. Second quarter gross profit benefited from higher organic net sales and productivity, which more than offset the negative impacts of cost of goods sold inflation (including unfavorable commodity positions), unfavorable operating leverage, and continued elevated supply chain operating costs. Gross margin increased 316 basis points to 27.8% in the quarter, and adjusted gross margin increased 310 basis points to 28.2%.

Selling, general, and administrative expense (SG&A), which includes advertising and promotional expense (A&P), increased 7.9% to $373 million in the quarter and adjusted SG&A, which excludes A&P, increased 17.5% to $291 million driven by increased incentive compensation compared to the prior year quarter.

A&P for the quarter increased 10.3% to $79 million, driven primarily by increased investment in modern marketing, including social and digital platforms. 

Net interest expense was $100 million in the quarter. Compared to the prior-year period, net interest expense increased 5.7% or $5 million, primarily due to a higher weighted average interest rate on outstanding debt.

The average diluted share count in the quarter was 481 million shares. During the second quarter, the company repurchased approximately 2.8 million shares of its common stock for approximately $100 million.

In the quarter, net income attributable to Conagra Brands increased 38.6% to $382 million, or $0.79 per diluted share. Adjusted net income attributable to Conagra Brands increased 27.9% to $392 million, or $0.81 per diluted share. The increase was driven primarily by the increase in gross profit and a strong performance from the company's Ardent Mills joint venture.

Adjusted EBITDA, which includes equity method investment earnings and pension and postretirement non-service income, increased 21.5% to $710 million in the quarter, primarily driven by the increase in adjusted gross profit and a strong performance from the company's Ardent Mills joint venture, slightly offset by lower pension income.

Grocery & Snacks Segment Second Quarter Results
Reported and organic net sales for the Grocery & Snacks segment increased 6.8% to $1.3 billion in the quarter.

In the quarter, price/mix increased 18.4% and volume decreased 11.6%. Price/mix was driven by favorability in inflation-driven pricing. The volume decrease was primarily a result of the elasticity impact from inflation-driven pricing actions. In the quarter, the company gained share in snacking categories including meat snacks and microwave popcorn, and staples categories including refried beans and canned meat.

Operating profit for the segment increased 36.6% to $340 million in the quarter. Adjusted operating profit increased 24.7% to $341 million as higher organic net sales and productivity more than offset the negative impacts of cost of goods sold inflation (including unfavorable commodity positions), unfavorable operating leverage, continued elevated supply chain costs, and increased SG&A.

Refrigerated & Frozen Segment Second Quarter Results
Reported and organic net sales for the Refrigerated & Frozen segment increased 10.5% to $1.4 billion in the quarter.

In the quarter, price mix increased 16.0% and volume decreased 5.5%. The price/mix increase was driven by favorability in inflation-driven pricing. The volume decrease was primarily a result of the elasticity impact from inflation-driven pricing actions. In the quarter, the company gained share in categories such as frozen single serve meals, plant-based protein, and frozen breakfast.

Operating profit for the segment increased 48.6% to $250 million in the quarter. Adjusted operating profit increased 37.1% to $259 million as higher organic net sales and productivity more than offset the negative impacts of cost of goods sold inflation (including unfavorable commodity positions), continued elevated supply chain operating costs, increased SG&A, and unfavorable operating leverage.

International Segment Second Quarter Results
Net sales for the International segment decreased 1.3% to $259 million in the quarter reflecting:

  • a 3.4% decrease from the unfavorable impact of foreign exchange; and
  • a 2.1% increase in organic net sales.

On an organic net sales basis, price/mix increased 12.8% and volume decreased 10.7%. The price/mix increase was driven by inflation-driven pricing. The volume decrease was primarily a result of the elasticity impact from inflation-driven pricing actions.

Operating profit for the segment decreased 0.6% to $37 million in the quarter. Adjusted operating profit decreased 0.9% to $37 million as the benefits from higher organic net sales and productivity were more than offset by the negative impact of cost of goods sold inflation (including unfavorable commodity positions) and unfavorable operating leverage.

Foodservice Segment Second Quarter Results
Reported and organic net sales for the Foodservice segment increased 14.8% to $283 million in the quarter.

In the quarter, price/mix increased 18.2% and volume decreased 3.4%. The price/mix increase was driven by inflation-driven pricing. The volume decline was primarily a result of the elasticity impact from inflation-driven pricing actions.

Operating profit for the segment increased 106.5% to $29 million and adjusted operating profit increased 53.4% to $29 million in the quarter as the benefits of higher organic net sales and productivity more than offset the impacts of cost of goods sold inflation (including unfavorable commodity positions) and unfavorable operating leverage.

Other Second Quarter Items
Corporate expenses increased 80.2% to $107 million in the quarter and adjusted corporate expense increased 44.4% to $102 million in the quarter driven by increased incentive compensation compared to the prior year quarter.

Pension and post-retirement non-service income was $6 million in the quarter compared to $16 million of income in the prior-year period.

In the quarter, equity method investment earnings were $49 million. The $20 million increase was primarily driven by favorable market conditions for the Ardent Mills joint venture, and the venture's effective management through recent volatility in the wheat markets.

In the quarter, the effective tax rate was 24.3% compared to 23.4% in the prior-year period. The adjusted effective tax rate was 24.3% compared to 22.9% in the prior-year period.

In the quarter, the company paid a dividend of $0.33 per share. 

Outlook
Due to a strong performance in the first half of the fiscal year, the company is raising its full year outlook for fiscal 2023. The company continues to plan for supply chain inefficiencies tied to the dynamic operating environment and also expects both gross inflation (input cost inflation before the impacts of hedging and other sourcing benefits) and results from its Ardent Mills joint venture to moderate through the remainder of the fiscal year.  

The company's updated fiscal 2023 guidance is as follows:

  • Organic net sales growth is expected to be 7% to 8% compared to fiscal 2022
  • Adjusted operating margin is expected to be between 15.3% and 15.6%
  • Adjusted EPS is expected to be between $2.60 and $2.70, representing growth of 10% to 14% compared to fiscal 2022
  • Capital expenditures of approximately $425M
  • Interest expense of approximately $405M
  • Adjusted effective tax rate of approximately 24%
  • Pension income of approximately $25M

The inability to predict the amount and timing of the impacts of foreign exchange, acquisitions, divestitures, and other items impacting comparability makes a detailed reconciliation of forward-looking non-GAAP financial measures impracticable. Please see the end of this release for more information.

Items Affecting Comparability of EPS
The following are included in the $0.79 EPS for the second quarter of fiscal 2023 (EPS amounts are rounded and after tax).  Please see the reconciliation schedules at the end of this release for additional details.

  • Approximately $0.01 per diluted share of net expense due to fire related costs
  • Approximately $0.01 per diluted share of net expense related to rounding

The following are included in the $0.57 EPS for the second quarter of fiscal 2022 (EPS amounts are rounded and after tax).  Please see the reconciliation schedules at the end of this release for additional details.

  • Approximately $0.02 per diluted share of net expense related to restructuring plans
  • Approximately $0.07 per diluted share of net expense related to impairment of businesses held for sale
  • Approximately $0.01 per diluted share of net benefit related to proceeds received from the sale of a legacy investment
  • Approximately $0.02 per diluted share of net benefit related to legal matters
  • Approximately $0.01 per diluted share of net expense related to rounding

Please note that certain prior year amounts have been reclassified to conform with current year presentation.

Discussion of Results
Conagra Brands will host a webcast and conference call at 9:30 a.m. Eastern time today to discuss the results. The live audio webcast and presentation slides will be available on www.conagrabrands.com/investor-relations under Events & Presentations. The conference call may be accessed by dialing 1-877-883-0383 for participants in the U.S. and 1-412-902-6506 for all other participants and using passcode 8026468. Please dial in 10 to 15 minutes prior to the call start time. Following the company's remarks, the conference call will include a question-and-answer session with the investment community. A replay of the webcast will be available on www.conagrabrands.com/investor-relations under Events & Presentations until January 5, 2024.

About Conagra Brands
Conagra Brands, Inc. (NYSE: CAG), headquartered in Chicago, is one of North America's leading branded food companies. Guided by an entrepreneurial spirit, Conagra Brands combines a rich heritage of making great food with a sharpened focus on innovation. The company's portfolio is evolving to satisfy people's changing food preferences. Conagra's iconic brands, such as Birds Eye®, Marie Callender's®, Banquet®, Healthy Choice®, Slim Jim®, Reddi-wip®, and Vlasic®, as well as emerging brands, including Angie's® BOOMCHICKAPOP®, Duke's®, Earth Balance®, Gardein®, and Frontera®, offer choices for every occasion. For more information, visit www.conagrabrands.com.

Note on Forward-Looking Statements
This document contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. These forward-looking statements are based on management's current expectations and are subject to uncertainty and changes in circumstances. Readers of this document should understand that these statements are not guarantees of performance or results. Many factors could affect our actual financial results and cause them to vary materially from the expectations contained in the forward-looking statements, including those set forth in this document. These risks, uncertainties, and factors include, among other things: the risk that the cost savings and any other synergies from the acquisition of Pinnacle Foods Inc. (the Pinnacle acquisition) may not be fully realized or may take longer to realize than expected; the risk that the Pinnacle acquisition may not be accretive within the expected timeframe or to the extent anticipated; the risks that the Pinnacle acquisition and related integration will create disruption to the company and its management and impede the achievement of business plans; risks related to our ability to achieve the intended benefits of other recent acquisitions and divestitures; risks associated with general economic and industry conditions; risks associated with our ability to successfully execute our long-term value creation strategies; risks related to our ability to deleverage on currently anticipated timelines, and to continue to access capital on acceptable terms or at all; risks related to our ability to execute operating and restructuring plans and achieve targeted operating efficiencies from cost-saving initiatives, and to benefit from trade optimization programs; risks related to the effectiveness of our hedging activities and ability to respond to volatility in commodities; risks related to the company's competitive environment and related market conditions; risks related to our ability to respond to changing consumer preferences and the success of our innovation and marketing investments; risks related to the ultimate impact of any product recalls and litigation, including litigation related to the lead paint and pigment matters, as well as any securities litigation, including securities class action lawsuits; risk associated with actions of governments and regulatory bodies that affect our businesses, including the ultimate impact of new or revised regulations or interpretations; risks related to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on our business, suppliers, consumers, customers and employees; risks related to our forecasts of consumer eat-at-home habits as the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic abate; risks related to the availability and prices of supply chain resources, including raw materials, packaging, and transportation including any negative effects caused by changes in inflation rates, weather conditions, or health pandemics or outbreaks of disease, actual or threatened hostilities or war, or other geopolitical uncertainty; disruptions or inefficiencies in our supply chain and/or operations, including from the COVID-19 pandemic; risks related to disruptions in the global economy caused by the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine; risks associated with actions by our customers, including changes in distribution and purchasing terms; risks and uncertainties associated with intangible assets, including any future goodwill or intangible assets impairment charges; risks related to a material failure in or breach of our or our vendors' information technology systems; the amount and timing of future dividends, which remain subject to Board approval and depend on market and other conditions; risks related to the company's ability to execute on its strategies or achieve expectations related to environmental, social, and governance matters, including as a result of evolving legal, regulatory, and other standards, processes, and assumptions, the pace of scientific and technological developments, increased costs, the availability of requisite financing, and changes in carbon markets, and other risks described in our reports filed from time to time with the Securities and Exchange Commission. We caution readers not to place undue reliance on any forward-looking statements included in this document, which speak only as of the date of this document. We undertake no responsibility to update these statements, except as required by law.

Note on Non-GAAP Financial Measures
This document includes certain non-GAAP financial measures, including adjusted EPS, organic net sales, adjusted gross profit, adjusted operating profit, adjusted SG&A, adjusted corporate expenses, adjusted gross margin, adjusted operating margin, adjusted effective tax rate, adjusted net income attributable to Conagra Brands, free cash flow, net debt, net leverage ratio, and adjusted EBITDA. Management considers GAAP financial measures as well as such non-GAAP financial information in its evaluation of the company's financial statements and believes these non-GAAP financial measures provide useful supplemental information to assess the company's operating performance and financial position. These measures should be viewed in addition to, and not in lieu of, the company's diluted earnings per share, operating performance and financial measures as calculated in accordance with GAAP.

Organic net sales excludes, from reported net sales, the impacts of foreign exchange, divested businesses and acquisitions, as well as the impact of any 53rd week. All references to changes in volume and price/mix throughout this release are on an organic net sales basis.

References to adjusted items throughout this release refer to measures computed in accordance with GAAP less the impact of items impacting comparability. Items impacting comparability are income or expenses (and related tax impacts) that management believes have had, or are likely to have, a significant impact on the earnings of the applicable business segment or on the total corporation for the period in which the item is recognized, and are not indicative of the company's core operating results. These items thus affect the comparability of underlying results from period to period.

References to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) refer to net income attributable to Conagra Brands before the impacts of discontinued operations, income tax expense (benefit), interest expense, depreciation, and amortization. References to adjusted EBITDA refer to EBITDA before the impacts of items impacting comparability.

Hedge gains and losses are generally aggregated, and net amounts are reclassified from unallocated corporate expense to the operating segments when the underlying commodity or foreign currency being hedged is expensed in segment cost of goods sold. The net change in the derivative gains (losses) included in unallocated corporate expense during the period is reflected as a comparability item, Corporate hedging derivate gains (losses).

Note on Forward-Looking Non-GAAP Financial Measures
Our fiscal 2023 guidance includes certain non-GAAP financial measures (organic net sales growth, adjusted operating margin, adjusted EPS, and adjusted effective tax rate) that are presented on a forward-looking basis. Historically, the company has calculated these non-GAAP financial measures excluding the impact of certain items such as, but not limited to, foreign exchange, acquisitions, divestitures, restructuring expenses, the extinguishment of debt, hedging gains and losses, impairment charges, legacy legal contingencies, and unusual tax items. Reconciliations of these forward-looking non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures are not provided because the company is unable to provide such reconciliations without unreasonable effort, due to the uncertainty and inherent difficulty of predicting the timing and financial impact of such items. For the same reasons, the company is unable to address the probable significance of the unavailable information, which could be material to future results.

Conagra Brands, Inc.

Consolidated Statements of Earnings

(in millions)

(unaudited)




SECOND QUARTER




Thirteen Weeks
Ended



Thirteen Weeks
Ended








November 27,
2022



November 28,
2021



Percent Change


Net sales


$

3,312.9



$

3,058.9




8.3

%

Costs and expenses:













Cost of goods sold



2,390.6




2,304.1




3.8

%

Selling, general and administrative expenses



372.7




345.4




7.9

%

Pension and postretirement non-service income



(6.1)




(16.1)




(62.2)

%

Interest expense, net



100.3




94.9




5.7

%

Income before income taxes and equity method investment earnings



455.4




330.6




37.7

%

Income tax expense



122.5




84.2




45.4

%

Equity method investment earnings



49.3




29.5




67.2

%

Net income


$

382.2



$

275.9




38.5

%

Less: Net income attributable to noncontrolling interests



0.3




0.4




(28.1)

%

Net income attributable to Conagra Brands, Inc.


$

381.9



$

275.5




38.6

%














Earnings per share - basic













Net income attributable to Conagra Brands, Inc.


$

0.80



$

0.57




40.4

%

Weighted average shares outstanding



479.4




480.2




(0.2)

%














Earnings per share - diluted













Net income attributable to Conagra Brands, Inc.


$

0.79



$

0.57




38.6

%

Weighted average share and share equivalents outstanding



480.9




481.9




(0.2)

%

 

Conagra Brands, Inc.

Consolidated Statements of Earnings

(in millions)

(unaudited)




SECOND QUARTER YEAR TO DATE




Twenty-Six
Weeks Ended



Twenty-Six
Weeks Ended








November 27,
2022



November 28,
2021



Percent Change


Net sales


$

6,217.2



$

5,712.2




8.8

%

Costs and expenses:













Cost of goods sold



4,574.6




4,284.0




6.8

%

Selling, general and administrative expenses



1,114.3




655.5




70.0

%

Pension and postretirement non-service income



(12.2)




(32.2)




(62.2)

%

Interest expense, net



197.4




189.1




4.3

%

Income before income taxes and equity method investment earnings



343.1




615.8




(44.3)

%

Income tax expense



136.9




153.9




(11.1)

%

Equity method investment earnings



98.5




49.7




98.1

%

Net income


$

304.7



$

511.6




(40.4)

%

Less: Net income attributable to noncontrolling interests



0.3




0.7




(58.0)

%

Net income attributable to Conagra Brands, Inc.


$

304.4



$

510.9




(40.4)

%














Earnings per share - basic













Net income attributable to Conagra Brands, Inc.


$

0.63



$

1.06




(40.6)

%

Weighted average shares outstanding



480.0




480.3




(0.1)

%














Earnings per share - diluted













Net income attributable to Conagra Brands, Inc.


$

0.63



$

1.06




(40.6)

%

Weighted average share and share equivalents outstanding



481.6




482.1




(0.1)

%

 

Conagra Brands, Inc.

Consolidated Balance Sheets

(in millions)

(unaudited)




November 27, 2022



May 29, 2022


ASSETS









Current assets









Cash and cash equivalents


$

39.7



$

83.3


Receivables, less allowance for doubtful accounts of $3.7 and $3.9



910.5




867.4


Inventories



2,347.7




1,966.7


Prepaid expenses and other current assets



118.5




116.3


Total current assets



3,416.4




3,033.7


Property, plant and equipment, net



2,688.2




2,737.2


Goodwill



11,180.1




11,329.2


Brands, trademarks and other intangibles, net



3,579.0




3,857.8


Other assets



1,550.3




1,477.2




$

22,414.0



$

22,435.1


LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS' EQUITY









Current liabilities









Notes payable


$

365.5



$

184.3


Current installments of long-term debt



954.3




707.3


Accounts payable



1,596.3




1,864.6


Accrued payroll



119.4




151.7


Other accrued liabilities



687.2




610.9


Total current liabilities



3,722.7




3,518.8


Senior long-term debt, excluding current installments



8,081.8




8,088.2


Other noncurrent liabilities



1,871.8




1,965.9


Total stockholders' equity



8,737.7




8,862.2




$

22,414.0



$

22,435.1


 

Conagra Brands, Inc. and Subsidiaries

Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows

(in millions)

(unaudited)




Twenty-Six
Weeks Ended



Twenty-Six
Weeks Ended




November 27,
2022



November 28,
2021


Cash flows from operating activities:









Net income


$

304.7



$

511.6


Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash flows from operating activities:









Depreciation and amortization



185.5




193.5


Asset impairment charges



413.7




41.6


Equity method investment earnings in excess of distributions



(55.6)




(24.2)


Stock-settled share-based payments expense



59.0




14.3


Contributions to pension plans



(5.9)




(4.9)


Pension benefit



(6.9)




(25.5)


Other items



(4.5)




(14.5)


Change in operating assets and liabilities excluding effects of business acquisitions
and dispositions:









Receivables



(46.1)




(183.3)


Inventories



(380.9)




(148.4)


Deferred income taxes and income taxes payable, net



(39.4)




(13.9)


Prepaid expenses and other current assets



(13.8)




(10.4)


Accounts payable



(109.8)




(14.1)


Accrued payroll



(32.2)




(60.6)


Other accrued liabilities



30.0




0.9


Net cash flows from operating activities



297.8




262.1


Cash flows from investing activities:









Additions to property, plant and equipment



(188.4)




(257.5)


Sale of property, plant and equipment



2.4




9.9


Purchase of marketable securities



(1.6)




(1.9)


Sale of marketable securities



1.6




1.9


Proceeds from divestitures






0.1


Other items



4.1




3.3


Net cash flows from investing activities



(181.9)




(244.2)


Cash flows from financing activities:









Issuances of short-term borrowings, maturities greater than 90 days



172.2




392.6


Repayment of short-term borrowings, maturities greater than 90 days



(168.8)




(249.8)


Net issuance (repayment) of other short-term borrowings



72.0




(264.4)


Issuance of long-term debt



500.0




499.1


Repayment of long-term debt



(265.8)




(29.4)


Debt issuance costs



(4.0)




(2.5)


Repurchase of Conagra Brands, Inc. common shares



(150.0)




(50.0)


Payment of intangible asset financing arrangement






(12.6)


Cash dividends paid



(308.6)




(282.0)


Exercise of stock options and issuance of other stock awards, including tax withholdings



(5.7)




(17.4)


Other items



1.3




(7.3)


Net cash flows from financing activities



(157.4)




(23.7)


Effect of exchange rate changes on cash and cash equivalents and restricted cash



(2.1)




(5.7)


Net change in cash and cash equivalents and restricted cash



(43.6)




(11.5)


Cash and cash equivalents and restricted cash at beginning of period



83.3




80.2


Cash and cash equivalents and restricted cash at end of period


$

39.7



$

68.7


 

Conagra Brands, Inc. 

Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures to Reported Financial Measures 

(in millions) 


Q2 FY23


Grocery &
Snacks



Refrigerated
& Frozen



International



Foodservice



Total
Conagra
Brands


Net Sales


$

1,349.9



$

1,421.5



$

258.7



$

282.8



$

3,312.9


Impact of foreign exchange









8.9







8.9


Organic Net Sales


$

1,349.9



$

1,421.5



$

267.6



$

282.8



$

3,321.8























Year-over-year change - Net Sales



6.8

%



10.5

%



(1.3)

%



14.8

%



8.3

%

Impact of foreign exchange (pp)









3.4







0.3


Organic Net Sales



6.8

%



10.5

%



2.1

%



14.8

%



8.6

%






















Volume (Organic)



(11.6)

%



(5.5)

%



(10.7)

%



(3.4)

%



(8.4)

%

Price/Mix



18.4

%



16.0

%



12.8

%



18.2

%



17.0

%











Q2 FY22


Grocery &
Snacks



Refrigerated
& Frozen



International



Foodservice



Total
Conagra
Brands


Net Sales


$

1,264.5



$

1,285.9



$

262.2



$

246.3



$

3,058.9


Net sales from divested businesses
















Organic Net Sales


$

1,264.5



$

1,285.9



$

262.2



$

246.3



$

3,058.9




Q2 FY23 YTD


Grocery &
Snacks



Refrigerated
& Frozen



International



Foodservice



Total
Conagra
Brands


Net Sales


$

2,538.2



$

2,629.1



$

492.2



$

557.7



$

6,217.2


Impact of foreign exchange









14.4







14.4


Organic Net Sales


$

2,538.2



$

2,629.1



$

506.6



$

557.7



$

6,231.6























Year-over-year change - Net Sales



8.5

%



10.1

%



(1.3)

%



14.7

%



8.8

%

Impact of foreign exchange (pp)









2.9







0.3


Organic Net Sales



8.5

%



10.1

%



1.6

%



14.7

%



9.1

%






















Volume (Organic)



(9.0)

%



(4.1)

%



(9.1)

%



(3.8)

%



(6.6)

%

Price/Mix



17.5

%



14.2

%



10.7

%



18.5

%



15.7

%






















Q2 FY22 YTD


Grocery &
Snacks



Refrigerated
& Frozen



International



Foodservice



Total
Conagra
Brands


Net Sales


$

2,339.6



$

2,387.7



$

498.8



$

486.1



$

5,712.2


Net sales from divested businesses
















Organic Net Sales


$

2,339.6



$

2,387.7



$

498.8



$

486.1



$

5,712.2


 

Conagra Brands, Inc. 

Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures to Reported Financial Measures 

(in millions) 



Q2 FY23


Grocery &
Snacks



Refrigerated
& Frozen



International



Foodservice



Corporate
Expense



Total Conagra
Brands


Operating Profit


$

340.4



$

250.3



$

36.9



$

28.5



$

(106.5)



$

549.6


Restructuring plans



(0.1)




0.8




(0.1)







1.2




1.8


Acquisitions and divestitures















0.5




0.5


Fire related costs






7.9













7.9


Municipal water break costs



0.6
















0.6


Corporate hedging derivative losses
(gains)















2.4




2.4


Adjusted Operating Profit


$

340.9



$

259.0



$

36.8



$

28.5



$

(102.4)



$

562.8



























Operating Profit Margin



25.2

%



17.6

%



14.3

%



10.1

%







16.6

%

Adjusted Operating Profit Margin



25.3

%



18.2

%



14.2

%



10.1

%







17.0

%

Year-over-year % change - Operating
Profit



36.6

%



48.6

%



(0.6)

%



106.5

%



80.2

%



34.2

%

Year-over year % change - Adjusted
Operating Profit



24.7

%



37.1

%



(0.9)

%



53.4

%



44.4

%



25.9

%

Year-over-year bps change - Operating
Profit


551 bps



451 bps



10 bps



447 bps







320 bps


Year-over-year bps change - Adjusted
Operating Profit


363 bps



353 bps



7 bps



253 bps







237 bps






















Q2 FY22


Grocery &
Snacks



Refrigerated &
Frozen



International



Foodservice



Corporate
Expense



Total Conagra
Brands


Operating Profit


$

249.2



$

168.3



$

37.1



$

13.8



$

(59.0)



$

409.4


Restructuring plans



2.0




6.8










3.6




12.4


Impairment of businesses held for sale



22.4




12.0







4.8







39.2


Acquisitions and divestitures















0.6




0.6


 Proceeds received from the sale of a
 legacy investment















(3.3)




(3.3)


Legal matters















(14.6)




(14.6)


Consulting fees on tax matters






1.7













1.7


Corporate hedging derivative losses
(gains)















1.8




1.8


Adjusted Operating Profit


$

273.6



$

188.8



$

37.1



$

18.6



$

(70.9)



$

447.2



























Operating Profit Margin



19.7

%



13.1

%



14.2

%



5.6

%







13.4

%

Adjusted Operating Profit Margin



21.6

%



14.7

%



14.1

%



7.5

%







14.6

%

 

Conagra Brands, Inc. 

Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures to Reported Financial Measures 

(in millions) 


Q2 FY23 YTD


Grocery &
Snacks



Refrigerated
& Frozen



International



Foodservice



Corporate
Expense



Total
Conagra
Brands


Operating Profit


$

590.8



$

34.0



$

63.8



$

29.7



$

(190.0)



$

528.3


Restructuring plans



0.2




1.4




(0.2)







5.3




6.7


Impairment of businesses held for sale



0.5




5.7







20.5







26.7


Acquisitions and divestitures















0.6




0.6


Goodwill and brand impairment
charges






385.7













385.7


Fire related costs






7.9













7.9


Municipal water break costs



3.2
















3.2


Corporate hedging derivative losses
(gains)















1.9




1.9


Adjusted Operating Profit


$

594.7



$

434.7



$

63.6



$

50.2



$

(182.2)



$

961.0



























Operating Profit Margin



23.3

%



1.3

%



13.0

%



5.3

%







8.5

%

Adjusted Operating Profit Margin



23.4

%



16.5

%



12.9

%



9.0

%







15.5

%

Year-over-year % change - Operating
Profit



27.0

%



(89.6)

%



(10.5)

%



(13.0)

%



53.6

%



(31.6)

%

Year-over year % change - Adjusted
Operating Profit



20.5

%



23.6

%



(10.7)

%



28.2

%



36.7

%



16.9

%

Year-over-year bps change - Operating
Profit



340 bps




(1236) bps




(132) bps




(169) bps








(503) bps


Year-over-year bps change - Adjusted
Operating Profit



234 bps




181 bps




(136) bps




95 bps








107 bps



























Q2 FY22 YTD


Grocery &
Snacks



Refrigerated
& Frozen



International



Foodservice



Corporate
Expense



Total
Conagra
Brands


Operating Profit


$

465.1



$

325.9



$

71.2



$

34.1



$

(123.6)



$

772.7


Restructuring plans



6.1




11.8







0.3




10.0




28.2


Impairment of businesses held for sale



22.4




12.0







4.8







39.2


Acquisitions and divestitures















1.6




1.6


Proceeds received from the sale of a
legacy investment















(3.3)




(3.3)


Legal matters















(14.6)




(14.6)


Consulting fees on tax matters






1.7













1.7


Corporate hedging derivative losses
(gains)















(3.4)




(3.4)


Adjusted Operating Profit


$

493.6



$

351.4



$

71.2



$

39.2



$

(133.3)



$

822.1



























Operating Profit Margin



19.9

%



13.6

%



14.3

%



7.0

%







13.5

%

Adjusted Operating Profit Margin



21.1

%



14.7

%



14.3

%



8.1

%







14.4

%

 

Conagra Brands, Inc. 

Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures to Reported Financial Measures 

(in millions) 


Q2 FY23


Gross profit



Selling, general
and
administrative
expenses



Operating
profit
1



Income before
income taxes
and equity
method
investment
earnings



Income tax
expense



Effective tax
rate



Net income
attributable to
Conagra
Brands, Inc.



Diluted EPS
from income
attributable to
Conagra
Brands, Inc
common
stockholders


Reported


$

922.3



$

372.7



$

549.6



$

455.4



$

122.5




24.3

%


$

381.9



$

0.79


% of Net Sales



27.8

%



11.3

%



16.6

%





















Restructuring plans



0.1




1.7




1.8




1.8




0.5








1.3





Acquisitions and divestitures






0.5




0.5




0.5




0.1








0.4





Corporate hedging derivative losses
(gains)



2.4







2.4




2.4




0.6








1.8





Advertising and promotion expenses2






78.8





















Fire related costs



7.4




0.5




7.9




7.9




1.9








6.0




0.01


Municipal water break costs



0.6







0.6




0.6




0.2








0.4





Rounding

























0.01


Adjusted


$

932.8



$

291.2



$

562.8



$

468.6



$

125.8




24.3

%


$

391.8



$

0.81


% of Net Sales



28.2

%



8.8

%



17.0

%





















Year-over-year % of net sales change -
     reported



316 bps




(4) bps




320 bps






















Year-over-year % of net sales change -
     adjusted



310 bps




69 bps




237 bps























































Year-over-year change - reported



22.2

%



7.9

%



34.2

%



37.7

%



45.4

%







38.6

%



38.6

%

Year-over-year change - adjusted



21.7

%



17.5

%



25.9

%



27.2

%



37.9

%







27.9

%



26.6

%


Q2 FY22


Gross profit



Selling, general
and
administrative
expenses



Operating
profit
1



Income before
income taxes
and equity
method
investment
earnings



Income tax
expense



Effective tax
rate



Net income
attributable to
Conagra
Brands, Inc.



Diluted EPS
from income
attributable to
Conagra
Brands, Inc
common
stockholders


Reported


$

754.8



$

345.4



$

409.4



$

330.6



$

84.2




23.4

%


$

275.5



$

0.57


% of Net Sales



24.7

%



11.3

%



13.4

%





















Restructuring plans



9.9




2.5




12.4




12.4




3.1








9.3




0.02


Acquisitions and divestitures






0.6




0.6




0.6




0.1








0.5





Corporate hedging derivative losses
     (gains)



1.8







1.8




1.8




0.4








1.4





Advertising and promotion expenses2






71.4





















Consulting fees on tax matters






1.7




1.7




1.7




0.5








1.2





Impairment of businesses held for sale






39.2




39.2




39.2




7.0








32.2




0.07


Proceeds received from the sale of a
legacy investment






(3.3)




(3.3)




(3.3)




(0.5)








(2.8)




(0.01)


Legal matters






(14.6)




(14.6)




(14.6)




(3.6)








(11.0)




(0.02)


Rounding

























0.01


Adjusted


$

766.5



$

247.9



$

447.2



$

368.4



$

91.2




22.9

%


$

306.3



$

0.64


% of Net Sales



25.1

%



8.1

%



14.6

%






















1 Operating profit is derived from taking Income from continuing operations before income taxes and equity method investment earnings, adding back Interest expense, net and removing Pension and postretirement non-service income.

2 Advertising and promotion expense (A&P) has been removed from adjusted selling, general and administrative expense because this metric is used in reporting to management, and management believes this adjusted measure provides useful supplemental information to assess the company's operating performance.  Please note that A&P is not removed from adjusted profit measures.

 

 

Conagra Brands, Inc. 

Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures to Reported Financial Measures 

(in millions) 


Q2 FY23 YTD


Gross profit



Selling, general
and
administrative
expenses



Operating
profit
1



Income before
income taxes
and equity
method
investment
earnings



Income tax
expense



Effective tax
rate



Net income
attributable to
Conagra
Brands, Inc.



Diluted EPS
from income
attributable to
Conagra
Brands, Inc
common
stockholders


Reported


$

1,642.6



$

1,114.3



$

528.3



$

343.1



$

136.9




31.0

%


$

304.4



$

0.63


% of Net Sales



26.4

%



17.9

%



8.5

%





















Restructuring plans



0.3




6.4




6.7




6.7




1.7








5.0




0.01


Acquisitions and divestitures






0.6




0.6




0.6




0.1








0.5





Corporate hedging derivative losses
     (gains)



1.9







1.9




1.9




0.5








1.4





Advertising and promotion expenses2






140.7





















Fire related costs



7.4




0.5




7.9




7.9




1.9








6.0




0.01


Municipal water break costs



3.2







3.2




3.2




0.8








2.4





Impairment of businesses held for sale






26.7




26.7




26.7




6.6








20.1




0.04


Goodwill and brand impairment charges






385.7




385.7




385.7




58.9








326.8




0.68


Rounding

























0.01


Adjusted


$

1,655.4



$

553.7



$

961.0



$

775.8



$

207.4




23.7

%


$

666.6



$

1.38


% of Net Sales



26.6

%



8.9

%



15.5

%





















Year-over-year % of net sales change -
reported


142 bps



645 bps



(503) bps






















Year-over-year % of net sales change -
adjusted


140 bps



41 bps



107 bps























































Year-over-year change - reported



15.0

%



70.0

%



(31.6)

%



(44.3)

%



(11.1)

%







(40.4)

%



(40.6)

%

Year-over-year change - adjusted



14.9

%



14.1

%



16.9

%



16.6

%



23.9

%







21.9

%



22.1

%


Q2 FY22 YTD


Gross profit



Selling, general
and
administrative
expenses



Operating
profit
1



Income before
income taxes
and equity
method
investment
earnings



Income tax
expense



Effective tax
rate



Net income
attributable to
Conagra
Brands, Inc.



Diluted EPS
from income
attributable to
Conagra
Brands, Inc
common
stockholders


Reported


$

1,428.2



$

655.5



$

772.7



$

615.8



$

153.9




23.1

%


$

510.9



$

1.06


% of Net Sales



25.0

%



11.5

%



13.5

%





















Restructuring plans



16.3




11.9




28.2




28.2




7.0








21.2




0.04


Acquisitions and divestitures






1.6




1.6




1.6




0.4








1.2





Corporate hedging derivative losses
     (gains)



(3.4)







(3.4)




(3.4)




(0.9)








(2.5)




(0.01)


Advertising and promotion expenses2






133.6





















Consulting fees on tax matters






1.7




1.7




1.7




0.5








1.2





Impairment of businesses held for sale






39.2




39.2




39.2




7.0








32.2




0.07


Proceeds received from the sale of a
legacy investment






(3.3)




(3.3)




(3.3)




(0.5)








(2.8)




(0.01)


Legal matters






(14.6)




(14.6)




(14.6)




(3.6)








(11.0)




(0.02)


Unusual tax items















3.6








(3.6)




(0.01)


Rounding

























0.01


Adjusted


$

1,441.1



$

485.4



$

822.1



$

665.2



$

167.4




23.4

%


$

546.8



$

1.13


% of Net Sales



25.2

%



8.5

%



14.4

%






















1 Operating profit is derived from taking Income from continuing operations before income taxes and equity method investment earnings, adding back Interest expense, net and removing Pension and postretirement non-service income.

2 Advertising and promotion expense (A&P) has been removed from adjusted selling, general and administrative expense because this metric is used in reporting to management, and management believes this adjusted measure provides useful supplemental information to assess the company's operating performance.  Please note that A&P is not removed from adjusted profit measures.

 

Conagra Brands, Inc.

Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures to Reported Financial Measures

(in millions)




November 27,
2022



November 28,
2021



% Change


Net cash flows from operating activities


$

297.8



$

262.1




13.6

%

Additions to property, plant and equipment



(188.4)




(257.5)




(26.8)

%

Free cash flow


$

109.4



$

4.6




N/A


 



Q2 FY23



Q2 FY22


Notes payable


$

365.5



$

585.8


Current installments of long-term debt



954.3




270.6


Senior long-term debt, excluding current installments



8,081.8




8,527.8


Total Debt


$

9,401.6



$

9,384.2


Less: Cash



39.7




68.7


Net Debt


$

9,361.9



$

9,315.5


 



Q2 FY23 LTM2


Net Debt


$

9,361.9







Net income attributable to Conagra Brands, Inc.


$

681.7


Add Back: Income tax expense



273.5


Income tax expense attributable to noncontrolling interests



0.1


Interest expense, net



388.2


Depreciation



308.3


Amortization



59.1


Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA)


$

1,710.9


Restructuring plans1



24.3


Acquisitions and divestitures



1.4


Consulting fees on tax matters



1.1


Corporate hedging derivative gains



0.9


Impairment of businesses held for sale



57.6


Goodwill and brand impairment charges



592.7


Legal matters



(5.0)


Environmental matters



(6.5)


Fire related costs



19.2


Municipal water break costs



3.2


Adjusted EBITDA


$

2,399.8







Net Debt to Adjusted EBITDA



3.9



1 Excludes comparability items related to depreciation.

2 Last twelve months

 

Conagra Brands, Inc.

Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures to Reported Financial Measures

(in millions)




Q2 FY23



Q2 FY22



% Change


Net income attributable to Conagra Brands, Inc.


$

381.9



$

275.5




38.6

%

Add Back: Income tax expense



122.5




84.2






Income tax expense attributable to noncontrolling interests



(0.1)




(0.1)






Interest expense, net



100.3




94.9






Depreciation



77.8




82.2






Amortization



14.7




14.8






Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization


$

697.1



$

551.5




26.4

%

Restructuring plans1



1.8




7.7






Acquisitions and divestitures



0.5




0.6






Corporate hedging derivative losses (gains)



2.4




1.8






Fire related costs



7.9









Municipal water break costs



0.6









Consulting fees on tax matters






1.7






Impairment of businesses held for sale






39.2






Proceeds from the sale of a legacy investment






(3.3)






Legal matters






(14.6)






Adjusted Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and
amortization


$

710.3



$

584.6




21.5

%




Q2 FY23 YTD



Q2 FY22 YTD



% Change


Net income attributable to Conagra Brands, Inc.


$

304.4



$

510.9




(40.4)

%

Add Back: Income tax expense



136.9




153.9






Income tax expense attributable to noncontrolling interests



(0.1)




(0.2)






Interest expense, net



197.4




189.1






Depreciation



156.0




163.8






Amortization



29.5




29.7






Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization


$

824.1



$

1,047.2




(21.3)

%

Restructuring plans1



6.7




17.2






Acquisitions and divestitures



0.6




1.6






Corporate hedging derivative losses (gains)



1.9




(3.4)






Fire related costs



7.9









Municipal water break costs



3.2









Consulting fees on tax matters






1.7






Impairment of businesses held for sale



26.7




39.2






Proceeds from the sale of a legacy investment






(3.3)






Legal matters






(14.6)






Goodwill and brand impairment charges



385.7









Adjusted Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and
amortization


$

1,256.8



$

1,085.6




15.8

%


1 Excludes comparability items related to depreciation.

 

For more information, please contact:
MEDIA: Mike Cummins
312-549-5257
Michael.Cummins@conagra.com
INVESTORS: Melissa Napier
312-549-5738
IR@conagra.com

 

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Aging at AACR Annual Meeting 2024

BUFFALO, NY- March 11, 2024 – Impact Journals publishes scholarly journals in the biomedical sciences with a focus on all areas of cancer and aging…

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BUFFALO, NY- March 11, 2024 – Impact Journals publishes scholarly journals in the biomedical sciences with a focus on all areas of cancer and aging research. Aging is one of the most prominent journals published by Impact Journals

Credit: Impact Journals

BUFFALO, NY- March 11, 2024 – Impact Journals publishes scholarly journals in the biomedical sciences with a focus on all areas of cancer and aging research. Aging is one of the most prominent journals published by Impact Journals

Impact Journals will be participating as an exhibitor at the American Association for Cancer Research (AACR) Annual Meeting 2024 from April 5-10 at the San Diego Convention Center in San Diego, California. This year, the AACR meeting theme is “Inspiring Science • Fueling Progress • Revolutionizing Care.”

Visit booth #4159 at the AACR Annual Meeting 2024 to connect with members of the Aging team.

About Aging-US:

Aging publishes research papers in all fields of aging research including but not limited, aging from yeast to mammals, cellular senescence, age-related diseases such as cancer and Alzheimer’s diseases and their prevention and treatment, anti-aging strategies and drug development and especially the role of signal transduction pathways such as mTOR in aging and potential approaches to modulate these signaling pathways to extend lifespan. The journal aims to promote treatment of age-related diseases by slowing down aging, validation of anti-aging drugs by treating age-related diseases, prevention of cancer by inhibiting aging. Cancer and COVID-19 are age-related diseases.

Aging is indexed and archived by PubMed/Medline (abbreviated as “Aging (Albany NY)”), PubMed CentralWeb of Science: Science Citation Index Expanded (abbreviated as “Aging‐US” and listed in the Cell Biology and Geriatrics & Gerontology categories), Scopus (abbreviated as “Aging” and listed in the Cell Biology and Aging categories), Biological Abstracts, BIOSIS Previews, EMBASE, META (Chan Zuckerberg Initiative) (2018-2022), and Dimensions (Digital Science).

Please visit our website at www.Aging-US.com​​ and connect with us:

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NY Fed Finds Medium, Long-Term Inflation Expectations Jump Amid Surge In Stock Market Optimism

NY Fed Finds Medium, Long-Term Inflation Expectations Jump Amid Surge In Stock Market Optimism

One month after the inflation outlook tracked…

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NY Fed Finds Medium, Long-Term Inflation Expectations Jump Amid Surge In Stock Market Optimism

One month after the inflation outlook tracked by the NY Fed Consumer Survey extended their late 2023 slide, with 3Y inflation expectations in January sliding to a record low 2.4% (from 2.6% in December), even as 1 and 5Y inflation forecasts remained flat, moments ago the NY Fed reported that in February there was a sharp rebound in longer-term inflation expectations, rising to 2.7% from 2.4% at the three-year ahead horizon, and jumping to 2.9% from 2.5% at the five-year ahead horizon, while the 1Y inflation outlook was flat for the 3rd month in a row, stuck at 3.0%. 

The increases in both the three-year ahead and five-year ahead measures were most pronounced for respondents with at most high school degrees (in other words, the "really smart folks" are expecting deflation soon). The survey’s measure of disagreement across respondents (the difference between the 75th and 25th percentile of inflation expectations) decreased at all horizons, while the median inflation uncertainty—or the uncertainty expressed regarding future inflation outcomes—declined at the one- and three-year ahead horizons and remained unchanged at the five-year ahead horizon.

Going down the survey, we find that the median year-ahead expected price changes increased by 0.1 percentage point to 4.3% for gas; decreased by 1.8 percentage points to 6.8% for the cost of medical care (its lowest reading since September 2020); decreased by 0.1 percentage point to 5.8% for the cost of a college education; and surprisingly decreased by 0.3 percentage point for rent to 6.1% (its lowest reading since December 2020), and remained flat for food at 4.9%.

We find the rent expectations surprising because it is happening just asking rents are rising across the country.

At the same time as consumers erroneously saw sharply lower rents, median home price growth expectations remained unchanged for the fifth consecutive month at 3.0%.

Turning to the labor market, the survey found that the average perceived likelihood of voluntary and involuntary job separations increased, while the perceived likelihood of finding a job (in the event of a job loss) declined. "The mean probability of leaving one’s job voluntarily in the next 12 months also increased, by 1.8 percentage points to 19.5%."

Mean unemployment expectations - or the mean probability that the U.S. unemployment rate will be higher one year from now - decreased by 1.1 percentage points to 36.1%, the lowest reading since February 2022. Additionally, the median one-year-ahead expected earnings growth was unchanged at 2.8%, remaining slightly below its 12-month trailing average of 2.9%.

Turning to household finance, we find the following:

  • The median expected growth in household income remained unchanged at 3.1%. The series has been moving within a narrow range of 2.9% to 3.3% since January 2023, and remains above the February 2020 pre-pandemic level of 2.7%.
  • Median household spending growth expectations increased by 0.2 percentage point to 5.2%. The increase was driven by respondents with a high school degree or less.
  • Median year-ahead expected growth in government debt increased to 9.3% from 8.9%.
  • The mean perceived probability that the average interest rate on saving accounts will be higher in 12 months increased by 0.6 percentage point to 26.1%, remaining below its 12-month trailing average of 30%.
  • Perceptions about households’ current financial situations deteriorated somewhat with fewer respondents reporting being better off than a year ago. Year-ahead expectations also deteriorated marginally with a smaller share of respondents expecting to be better off and a slightly larger share of respondents expecting to be worse off a year from now.
  • The mean perceived probability that U.S. stock prices will be higher 12 months from now increased by 1.4 percentage point to 38.9%.
  • At the same time, perceptions and expectations about credit access turned less optimistic: "Perceptions of credit access compared to a year ago deteriorated with a larger share of respondents reporting tighter conditions and a smaller share reporting looser conditions compared to a year ago."

Also, a smaller percentage of consumers, 11.45% vs 12.14% in prior month, expect to not be able to make minimum debt payment over the next three months

Last, and perhaps most humorous, is the now traditional cognitive dissonance one observes with these polls, because at a time when long-term inflation expectations jumped, which clearly suggests that financial conditions will need to be tightened, the number of respondents expecting higher stock prices one year from today jumped to the highest since November 2021... which incidentally is just when the market topped out during the last cycle before suffering a painful bear market.

Tyler Durden Mon, 03/11/2024 - 12:40

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Homes listed for sale in early June sell for $7,700 more

New Zillow research suggests the spring home shopping season may see a second wave this summer if mortgage rates fall
The post Homes listed for sale in…

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  • A Zillow analysis of 2023 home sales finds homes listed in the first two weeks of June sold for 2.3% more. 
  • The best time to list a home for sale is a month later than it was in 2019, likely driven by mortgage rates.
  • The best time to list can be as early as the second half of February in San Francisco, and as late as the first half of July in New York and Philadelphia. 

Spring home sellers looking to maximize their sale price may want to wait it out and list their home for sale in the first half of June. A new Zillow® analysis of 2023 sales found that homes listed in the first two weeks of June sold for 2.3% more, a $7,700 boost on a typical U.S. home.  

The best time to list consistently had been early May in the years leading up to the pandemic. The shift to June suggests mortgage rates are strongly influencing demand on top of the usual seasonality that brings buyers to the market in the spring. This home-shopping season is poised to follow a similar pattern as that in 2023, with the potential for a second wave if the Federal Reserve lowers interest rates midyear or later. 

The 2.3% sale price premium registered last June followed the first spring in more than 15 years with mortgage rates over 6% on a 30-year fixed-rate loan. The high rates put home buyers on the back foot, and as rates continued upward through May, they were still reassessing and less likely to bid boldly. In June, however, rates pulled back a little from 6.79% to 6.67%, which likely presented an opportunity for determined buyers heading into summer. More buyers understood their market position and could afford to transact, boosting competition and sale prices.

The old logic was that sellers could earn a premium by listing in late spring, when search activity hit its peak. Now, with persistently low inventory, mortgage rate fluctuations make their own seasonality. First-time home buyers who are on the edge of qualifying for a home loan may dip in and out of the market, depending on what’s happening with rates. It is almost certain the Federal Reserve will push back any interest-rate cuts to mid-2024 at the earliest. If mortgage rates follow, that could bring another surge of buyers later this year.

Mortgage rates have been impacting affordability and sale prices since they began rising rapidly two years ago. In 2022, sellers nationwide saw the highest sale premium when they listed their home in late March, right before rates barreled past 5% and continued climbing. 

Zillow’s research finds the best time to list can vary widely by metropolitan area. In 2023, it was as early as the second half of February in San Francisco, and as late as the first half of July in New York. Thirty of the top 35 largest metro areas saw for-sale listings command the highest sale prices between May and early July last year. 

Zillow also found a wide range in the sale price premiums associated with homes listed during those peak periods. At the hottest time of the year in San Jose, homes sold for 5.5% more, a $88,000 boost on a typical home. Meanwhile, homes in San Antonio sold for 1.9% more during that same time period.  

 

Metropolitan Area Best Time to List Price Premium Dollar Boost
United States First half of June 2.3% $7,700
New York, NY First half of July 2.4% $15,500
Los Angeles, CA First half of May 4.1% $39,300
Chicago, IL First half of June 2.8% $8,800
Dallas, TX First half of June 2.5% $9,200
Houston, TX Second half of April 2.0% $6,200
Washington, DC Second half of June 2.2% $12,700
Philadelphia, PA First half of July 2.4% $8,200
Miami, FL First half of June 2.3% $12,900
Atlanta, GA Second half of June 2.3% $8,700
Boston, MA Second half of May 3.5% $23,600
Phoenix, AZ First half of June 3.2% $14,700
San Francisco, CA Second half of February 4.2% $50,300
Riverside, CA First half of May 2.7% $15,600
Detroit, MI First half of July 3.3% $7,900
Seattle, WA First half of June 4.3% $31,500
Minneapolis, MN Second half of May 3.7% $13,400
San Diego, CA Second half of April 3.1% $29,600
Tampa, FL Second half of June 2.1% $8,000
Denver, CO Second half of May 2.9% $16,900
Baltimore, MD First half of July 2.2% $8,200
St. Louis, MO First half of June 2.9% $7,000
Orlando, FL First half of June 2.2% $8,700
Charlotte, NC Second half of May 3.0% $11,000
San Antonio, TX First half of June 1.9% $5,400
Portland, OR Second half of April 2.6% $14,300
Sacramento, CA First half of June 3.2% $17,900
Pittsburgh, PA Second half of June 2.3% $4,700
Cincinnati, OH Second half of April 2.7% $7,500
Austin, TX Second half of May 2.8% $12,600
Las Vegas, NV First half of June 3.4% $14,600
Kansas City, MO Second half of May 2.5% $7,300
Columbus, OH Second half of June 3.3% $10,400
Indianapolis, IN First half of July 3.0% $8,100
Cleveland, OH First half of July  3.4% $7,400
San Jose, CA First half of June 5.5% $88,400

 

The post Homes listed for sale in early June sell for $7,700 more appeared first on Zillow Research.

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