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Visa CEO Alfred Kelly On The Motivation Behind Plaid

Visa CEO Alfred Kelly On The Motivation Behind Plaid

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Visa CEO Alfred Kelly

CNBC Transcript: CNBC’s Carl Quintanilla Interviews Visa Chairman And CEO Alfred Kelly from the CNBC Evolve Summit today

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WHEN: Today, Tuesday, November 10

WHERE: The CNBC Evolve Summit

Following is the unofficial transcript of a CNBC interview with Visa Chairman and CEO Alfred Kelly live from the CNBC Evolve Summit on Tuesday, November 10th.

Mandatory credit: CNBC Evolve Summit.

Interview With Visa Chairman And CEO Alfred Kelly

CARL QUINTANILLA: It's great to be with everybody today. Thanks, of course, for coming to Evolve. You know, the payments business is one of those industries right now in this uncertain year that people are looking to judge about the recovery of global growth, recovery of the consumer, and it's on that note that we are very pleased to welcome Al Kelly today, the Chairman and CEO of Visa. Al, it is great to see you. Thanks for the time.

ALFRED KELLY: Carl, good to be with you. I'm not going to be doing any singing, but I look forward to talking with you.

CARL QUINTANILLA: I want to talk about the business, obviously, internally and externally. But let's just begin with what this incredible week has brought us, and that's positive news on the vaccine, a growing sense that maybe the world is changing this week. And if that's true, we're going to be looking for areas in which payments would recovery the quickest. I wonder if you could just set us up on your take of the news this weekend and how you're going to be looking for changes from within.

ALFRED KELLY: Well, look, I think, Carl, the reality is that uncertainty is never a good thing in most businesses, ours included. And the fact that it looks like there's a resolution to the presidential race, that there's some hope on the vaccine front, I think have people excited and hopeful. And I think after seven and a half or eight months of people being locked down or having their lives disrupted, people are anxious to get out and be able to do things. Obviously, right now we still have to be very careful and follow all the guidelines that medical experts are asking us to follow. The virus has been very interesting for payments. On one hand, it's suppressing cash usage as people are worried about germs being spread via currency and so more people, even for small ticket items where they might have used cash in the past, are looking to use a debit card or a credit card. E-commerce has exploded as people are now sitting home and working on their tablets or their computers or their mobile devices and wanting to continue to be able to shop. And we've seen an incredible increase in the number of people who, for the first time, are shopping in an e-commerce situation. We're seeing governments become more interested in digital payments, and that's a good thing. Governments distribute a lot of funds. We work with the U.S. government and about 15 others on the distribution of everything from unemployment funds to emergency funds to stimulus funds. And obviously the one negative in this has been the impact on travel, Carl. The reality is that you really almost can't travel right now. It's very inconvenient, if you can.  There are so many restrictions that I really think of travel as being, for all intents and purposes, not a real option for consumers or business people. But I think the hope of a vaccine can change that. I think that the world is an exciting place, and people still want to get out there and travel and knock things off their bucket list, etc. So I'm very hopeful that at some point we will get back traveling and people will be able to enjoy seeing the world, and that will be good for payments, as well.

CARL QUINTANILLA: Yeah. What do you think the bull case is on pent-up demand for leisure, but really more importantly on corporate travel? What argument can be made that we get back to corporate travel habits that we were used to before this pandemic began?

ALFRED KELLY: Well, let me take the consumer part first, because I think it's the easiest. The bulk of Visa's travel spend is consumers. I do think consumers are going to want to go back to travel, see family, see friends, see the world. And there's just so many people who love to travel and love the adventure of it, so I do see the consumer travel when these various inconveniences are lifted.  I see consumer travel coming back pretty quickly. Business travel is another story. You know, you and I realize -- I haven't traveled in eight months, and I'm a guy who traveled 80 percent of the time. And I feel like as much as I feel a bit locked down from time to time, I feel like I've been pretty efficient. And I think all of us, as business leaders, have realized that perhaps we had people taking trips that might not have been necessary, or we sent too many people on a trip, or we sent somebody to give a presentation for an hour and a half and sent them around the world, and that cost money and it cost time, which is money, and now realize that, boy, a lot of that stuff can be done on any one of these video platforms that work darned well. So I do think there is going to be at least a medium-term adjustment in the amount of business travel.  How much remains to be seen. I still think it's critically important to get out there and see clients and talk to your employees, etc. So I know I expect my travel to come back as soon as the restrictions are lifted, but I do think that, in general, it's going to be a much slower recovery, Carl, on the business side than on the consumer side.

CARL QUINTANILLA: So when you think now about opportunities, as we start to envision a world post COVID, talk to me about where the white space is for Visa. Is this about -- is it going to be a story of chasing millennials? Is it going to be trying to take share from cash? How much of this is about M&A? And I'll ask you about Plaid in a moment, but I guess where will the battles be fought, do you think, post COVID?

ALFRED KELLY: Well, look, you know, every single day, in every corner of the earth, people have a choice on how to spend. They can spend on cash or they can spend writing a check or they can use a Visa card or a MasterCard or an AmEx card or some local scheme card. So the battleground always is out in the local market every day, and we operate in 230 countries and territories around the world, and we want to win as many transactions as we can. When I look ahead and say where is the white space, it's in several areas. There's still $18 trillion spent in the world on cash and checks. So that remains an enormous opportunity for us, and one that I think accelerates because of some concerns about viruses and germs and cash. We have great opportunities geographically. I'm in the midst of a virtual trip to Africa, and yesterday I talked to the vice president of Nigeria; today I talked to the head of the Central Bank in Nigeria. And I look at the continent of Africa as an example of really fertile ground for growth as we look forward. We're also going to get a lot of growth by operating our network in the opposite way that people generally think about our network. People generally think about Visa as a network where you go and buy goods and services from somebody, and your money gets pulled from your bank account and gets paid to the seller or the merchant. We're increasingly having our network work the other way, where we are supporting use cases where money goes back in your bank account. So, for example, after an insurance claim is adjudicated, we will send -- the insurance company, instead of mailing you a claims check, will send it directly to your bank account via Visa rails. An Uber driver, at the end of a shift, can go on to their app and have their profits or pay from that day sent to them directly and immediately to their bank account using Visa. We power all the big P2P players in the U.S., and in other countries as well, but Venmo, Zelle, Apple Cash, Square Cash, etc. When you and I, or one of my children and I move money between each other, that movement is happening on Visa Rails. And we call that capability "Visa Direct."  It's our push platform, where we're pushing money to people. And I think there's still -- even though we have 3.5 billion Visa cards in the world, used at over 70 million locations, I think both those numbers are still way too small, Carl. I think there's a tremendous opportunity to grow the number of credentials, and I think there's a huge opportunity to grow the number of places where people can use their cards. One of the exciting areas we're very focused on, although right now it's obviously being impacted by COVID, is mass transportation. I'm hugely bullish on mass transportation. If we can create the -- it could be habit-forming. If we can get people to use their credit card or their debit card on their ten commutes in the course of a week, it really starts to break them into the habit of using their card, and they'll use it to buy their coffee in the morning and their lunch and maybe a snack in the afternoon, etc, and all of a sudden you're getting a lot of transactions that heretofore you might not have gotten. So I see that as an enormous growth opportunity for us as well. The reality is, and the exciting part is, I come to work every day figuring out how to grow the pie.  It's a very unique part of our industry, and makes it very, very exciting. Sure, we focus and nudge -- get into skirmishes with our competitors over various corners of the pie. But, in general, my job every day is to come and figure out how to grow that pie. And that's a very unique aspect of the payment and money movement space.

CARL QUINTANILLA: Interesting. I mentioned Plaid just briefly, but what does it say -- what is your motivation behind Plaid and is the pushback from regulators a sign that that growth will come with some friction?

ALFRED KELLY: Well, we weren't -- we've known Plaid for a while. We were an investor in Plaid, and we're very impressed with the management team there and what they're doing. We're a network.  Increasingly, we're trying to become a network of networks. And Plaid is a network like we're a network. They sit between -- in the United States, between about 11,000 financial institutions, banks, brokerage houses, etc, and about 2700 Fintech developers. They facilitate the movement of data. We facilitate the movement of funds or money. So when you go to sign up for Venmo, Carl, you are actually presented with a set of screens that ask you where you bank, what your bank account is, etc. Those screens are provided by Plaid, and Plaid facilitates the movement of information for those Fintech developers to be able to deliver the great experiences they deliver. So Plaid is just, at its most simple level, it's another network that we believe fits into our desire to have multiple networks on which we move information and money around the world. We continue to be very excited about them. I truly think that the government really doesn't fully understand the differences here. And it's, you know, disappointing, but we will fight this vigorously. And I believe we will prevail, because this is a very pro-consumer play and I think people will recognize that as we get into it a little bit more.

CARL QUINTANILLA: You mentioned Fintech in general, Al. And we did get one viewer question from Christopher, who says: What is Visa doing in the crypto-asset space? I guess it's an inevitable question that you must be fielding all the time.

ALFRED KELLY: Well, in crypto, you know, crypto is a developing part of payments in the world.  t's in the very nascent state right now. And we're very interested in cryptocurrencies. We're not as interested in crypto that is more of a commodity-based play. So we're interested in crypto that ultimately becomes fiat based so there's a clear understanding of the value when there's an exchange of crypto for the purchase of a good or a service. We're working with about 25 crypto players already in the world today, Carl, where we're facilitating putting a Visa credential into their system, where you can convert your crypto based on fiat currency and put the funds in a wallet where you can use them at anywhere Visa is accepted. It's a way of making those funds valuable and usable across our network. The other thing that's happening is central banks around the world are looking at central bank digital currencies. They are in early stages, probably China is the furthest advanced. But we expect to be working -- continue to work with central banks around the world in how we can help those central banks as they develop a digital currency for the future. Ultimately, I can see digital currencies running on our Visa network on a more regular basis. I think it's a number of years out, but we're certainly open to any vehicle that helps facilitate the movement of money around the world. We want to be in the middle of it. And I think crypto can play a role, especially in countries that are emerging markets where there's a lot of underbanked and unbanked people in the world. And we think that number is about 1.7 billion people on the face of the earth that are not banked in the mainstream banking system, in whatever country they happen to live in, including some here in the United States.

CARL QUINTANILLA: All right. Speaking of moving money around, there's still hope out there that we get an infrastructure bill, that we get small business aid, that there's something to be done to mitigate unemployment in this country. I know you've got some thoughts on that.

ALFRED KELLY: Well and I said this to the head of Central Bank in Nigeria today, 50 percent of the small businesses in Africa are in Nigeria. And I believe wherever you look around the world, and I've had the opportunity to travel much of it, the reality is that small businesses are the engine of growth. And they're not only the engine of growth for the economy, Carl, they play a very important role in communities. If you live in a community that has a Main Street, these small businesses bring some energy to that community. Nobody wants to live on a Main Street that just has bank branches and a gas station and a couple of restaurants. They want a variety. They want to be able to walk on a Saturday or Sunday afternoon and poke their head in all kinds of different shops. So we're deep believers in the importance of small businesses, and we've got to get them back to work. They really suffered in this COVID-19 pandemic, and we've got to make sure we're doing everything we can to help them get back to work. And I think some of the initial bills were focused on asking these small businesses to keep their payroll going, which was really hard for them. Most of them had to get rid of or furlough their people early on, and their costs were really about rent, insurance, and those kinds of things. So I think we have to be a little bit more flexible in how any kind of emergency or stimulus funds are allowed to be utilized by small business owners. And I think something like an infrastructure bill that you alluded to is very important in the United States. Our infrastructure is not as good as it needs to be. It's crumbling in some cases. And this is a win, win, win where we can create an awful lot of jobs and, at the same time, improve the infrastructure of this country for the next generation. And I certainly hope that the next Congress can see the value of it, and we can get an infrastructure bill done and we can make sure that we're taking care of small business owners. We're certainly trying to do everything we can on our part to help small business owners.

CARL QUINTANILLA: We've only got a couple minutes left, Al, but you mentioned cities and walking down the sidewalk and wanting to see a rich display of small businesses and retailers. Just your thoughts on cities right now in general, and how that plays into return to the office, what you're doing internally, what concerns employees have, and whether or not you see Visa using your corporate real estate footprint at 100 percent again someday.

ALFRED KELLY: Well, a lot of questions there. It's really amazing how the world can change very, very quickly. The whole world pre-COVID was moving to cities, you know? Everywhere I go in the world, it's impossible to get from the airport into these cities. It takes 2 or 3 hours, especially if you are trying to do it during the rush hour. And the whole push was people getting to cities, living in cities, and urbanization was a big deal. You know, the virus has pushed people away from cities.

Now, I personally do not think that's a long-term change. I think it's going to cause some people to think, but I think our cities have so much culture and life to them, and convenience to them, etc, that I think cities will come back. And they'll come back as businesses start to open again, as well. That said, look, the virus has shown all of us, even naysayers, about flexible work. And I'll put my hand up and say I was a bit of a naysayer. But our company has, for eight months now, operated pretty efficiently with 95 percent of our employees working from home, and I fully expect that, as we look forward, we're going to have an awful lot of people operating under a more hybrid, flexible work model; couple days in the office, couple days at home.

I personally believe that everybody's got to get to the office for certain numbers of days a month.  It's critical for orientation of new employees. It's important for culture. I think it's very important for inclusion, so that people in minority populations are not left behind or left out. I think it's important for brainstorming and creativity. And I think it's important for training. So I expect us to be a company that has a lot more flexible work models, but the way I've been talking internally about it, Carl, is I want a flexible, flexible work model; meaning, employees can have a baseline understanding with the company of, for instance, how many days they might be at home and how many they might be in the office, but it's critical that shareholders and other key constituents come first. And if you're supposed to be home on a Tuesday and we need you in the office for whatever reason we need you, you've got to be flexible, the employee -- you, the employee, have to be flexible as well and come to the office on that day. And likewise, by the way, if you're supposed to be in the office one day and all you're doing is meetings by phone or video, there's no reason why that day can't be a day you end up working from home.

I do think, therefore, to your last point, our real estate will have to be reconfigured a bit to accommodate a situation where we have some employees who want to work full-time in the office, some who need to because of the nature of their job; and then we have to be able to have the flexible space for people who are coming in and out for team meetings, for brainstorming, for cultural types of events, for town hall kinds of meetings. And that's something I have a whole task force looking at, that whole return to work and our real estate footprint, and what that means for us all around the world, because we have offices ranging from 10 people to 4,000 people. So they each have -- come with their idiosyncrasies and their own challenges.

CARL QUINTANILLA: Well, normally, you know, you and I might have been doing this chat on stage in front of a huge audience. Instead, we're doing it on this interface. But it would be nice to have the option one day. That's certainly the take-away from a lot of this. Al, we're so grateful.

ALFRED KELLY: Yeah, and I think it's important. Well, Carl, it's great to see you, great to be with you and your audience.

CARL QUINTANILLA: Our thanks, too.

ALFRED KELLY: Stay safe. Thank you.

The post Visa CEO Alfred Kelly On The Motivation Behind Plaid appeared first on ValueWalk.

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Are Voters Recoiling Against Disorder?

Are Voters Recoiling Against Disorder?

Authored by Michael Barone via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

The headlines coming out of the Super…

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Are Voters Recoiling Against Disorder?

Authored by Michael Barone via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

The headlines coming out of the Super Tuesday primaries have got it right. Barring cataclysmic changes, Donald Trump and Joe Biden will be the Republican and Democratic nominees for president in 2024.

(Left) President Joe Biden delivers remarks on canceling student debt at Culver City Julian Dixon Library in Culver City, Calif., on Feb. 21, 2024. (Right) Republican presidential candidate and former U.S. President Donald Trump stands on stage during a campaign event at Big League Dreams Las Vegas in Las Vegas, Nev., on Jan. 27, 2024. (Mario Tama/Getty Images; David Becker/Getty Images)

With Nikki Haley’s withdrawal, there will be no more significantly contested primaries or caucuses—the earliest both parties’ races have been over since something like the current primary-dominated system was put in place in 1972.

The primary results have spotlighted some of both nominees’ weaknesses.

Donald Trump lost high-income, high-educated constituencies, including the entire metro area—aka the Swamp. Many but by no means all Haley votes there were cast by Biden Democrats. Mr. Trump can’t afford to lose too many of the others in target states like Pennsylvania and Michigan.

Majorities and large minorities of voters in overwhelmingly Latino counties in Texas’s Rio Grande Valley and some in Houston voted against Joe Biden, and even more against Senate nominee Rep. Colin Allred (D-Texas).

Returns from Hispanic precincts in New Hampshire and Massachusetts show the same thing. Mr. Biden can’t afford to lose too many Latino votes in target states like Arizona and Georgia.

When Mr. Trump rode down that escalator in 2015, commentators assumed he’d repel Latinos. Instead, Latino voters nationally, and especially the closest eyewitnesses of Biden’s open-border policy, have been trending heavily Republican.

High-income liberal Democrats may sport lawn signs proclaiming, “In this house, we believe ... no human is illegal.” The logical consequence of that belief is an open border. But modest-income folks in border counties know that flows of illegal immigrants result in disorder, disease, and crime.

There is plenty of impatience with increased disorder in election returns below the presidential level. Consider Los Angeles County, America’s largest county, with nearly 10 million people, more people than 40 of the 50 states. It voted 71 percent for Mr. Biden in 2020.

Current returns show county District Attorney George Gascon winning only 21 percent of the vote in the nonpartisan primary. He’ll apparently face Republican Nathan Hochman, a critic of his liberal policies, in November.

Gascon, elected after the May 2020 death of counterfeit-passing suspect George Floyd in Minneapolis, is one of many county prosecutors supported by billionaire George Soros. His policies include not charging juveniles as adults, not seeking higher penalties for gang membership or use of firearms, and bringing fewer misdemeanor cases.

The predictable result has been increased car thefts, burglaries, and personal robberies. Some 120 assistant district attorneys have left the office, and there’s a backlog of 10,000 unprosecuted cases.

More than a dozen other Soros-backed and similarly liberal prosecutors have faced strong opposition or have left office.

St. Louis prosecutor Kim Gardner resigned last May amid lawsuits seeking her removal, Milwaukee’s John Chisholm retired in January, and Baltimore’s Marilyn Mosby was defeated in July 2022 and convicted of perjury in September 2023. Last November, Loudoun County, Virginia, voters (62 percent Biden) ousted liberal Buta Biberaj, who declined to prosecute a transgender student for assault, and in June 2022 voters in San Francisco (85 percent Biden) recalled famed radical Chesa Boudin.

Similarly, this Tuesday, voters in San Francisco passed ballot measures strengthening police powers and requiring treatment of drug-addicted welfare recipients.

In retrospect, it appears the Floyd video, appearing after three months of COVID-19 confinement, sparked a frenzied, even crazed reaction, especially among the highly educated and articulate. One fatal incident was seen as proof that America’s “systemic racism” was worse than ever and that police forces should be defunded and perhaps abolished.

2020 was “the year America went crazy,” I wrote in January 2021, a year in which police funding was actually cut by Democrats in New York, Los Angeles, San Francisco, Seattle, and Denver. A year in which young New York Times (NYT) staffers claimed they were endangered by the publication of Sen. Tom Cotton’s (R-Ark.) opinion article advocating calling in military forces if necessary to stop rioting, as had been done in Detroit in 1967 and Los Angeles in 1992. A craven NYT publisher even fired the editorial page editor for running the article.

Evidence of visible and tangible discontent with increasing violence and its consequences—barren and locked shelves in Manhattan chain drugstores, skyrocketing carjackings in Washington, D.C.—is as unmistakable in polls and election results as it is in daily life in large metropolitan areas. Maybe 2024 will turn out to be the year even liberal America stopped acting crazy.

Chaos and disorder work against incumbents, as they did in 1968 when Democrats saw their party’s popular vote fall from 61 percent to 43 percent.

Views expressed in this article are opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of The Epoch Times or ZeroHedge.

Tyler Durden Sat, 03/09/2024 - 23:20

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Government

Veterans Affairs Kept COVID-19 Vaccine Mandate In Place Without Evidence

Veterans Affairs Kept COVID-19 Vaccine Mandate In Place Without Evidence

Authored by Zachary Stieber via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

The…

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Veterans Affairs Kept COVID-19 Vaccine Mandate In Place Without Evidence

Authored by Zachary Stieber via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

The U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) reviewed no data when deciding in 2023 to keep its COVID-19 vaccine mandate in place.

Doses of a COVID-19 vaccine in Washington in a file image. (Jacquelyn Martin/Pool/AFP via Getty Images)

VA Secretary Denis McDonough said on May 1, 2023, that the end of many other federal mandates “will not impact current policies at the Department of Veterans Affairs.”

He said the mandate was remaining for VA health care personnel “to ensure the safety of veterans and our colleagues.”

Mr. McDonough did not cite any studies or other data. A VA spokesperson declined to provide any data that was reviewed when deciding not to rescind the mandate. The Epoch Times submitted a Freedom of Information Act for “all documents outlining which data was relied upon when establishing the mandate when deciding to keep the mandate in place.”

The agency searched for such data and did not find any.

The VA does not even attempt to justify its policies with science, because it can’t,” Leslie Manookian, president and founder of the Health Freedom Defense Fund, told The Epoch Times.

“The VA just trusts that the process and cost of challenging its unfounded policies is so onerous, most people are dissuaded from even trying,” she added.

The VA’s mandate remains in place to this day.

The VA’s website claims that vaccines “help protect you from getting severe illness” and “offer good protection against most COVID-19 variants,” pointing in part to observational data from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) that estimate the vaccines provide poor protection against symptomatic infection and transient shielding against hospitalization.

There have also been increasing concerns among outside scientists about confirmed side effects like heart inflammation—the VA hid a safety signal it detected for the inflammation—and possible side effects such as tinnitus, which shift the benefit-risk calculus.

President Joe Biden imposed a slate of COVID-19 vaccine mandates in 2021. The VA was the first federal agency to implement a mandate.

President Biden rescinded the mandates in May 2023, citing a drop in COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations. His administration maintains the choice to require vaccines was the right one and saved lives.

“Our administration’s vaccination requirements helped ensure the safety of workers in critical workforces including those in the healthcare and education sectors, protecting themselves and the populations they serve, and strengthening their ability to provide services without disruptions to operations,” the White House said.

Some experts said requiring vaccination meant many younger people were forced to get a vaccine despite the risks potentially outweighing the benefits, leaving fewer doses for older adults.

By mandating the vaccines to younger people and those with natural immunity from having had COVID, older people in the U.S. and other countries did not have access to them, and many people might have died because of that,” Martin Kulldorff, a professor of medicine on leave from Harvard Medical School, told The Epoch Times previously.

The VA was one of just a handful of agencies to keep its mandate in place following the removal of many federal mandates.

“At this time, the vaccine requirement will remain in effect for VA health care personnel, including VA psychologists, pharmacists, social workers, nursing assistants, physical therapists, respiratory therapists, peer specialists, medical support assistants, engineers, housekeepers, and other clinical, administrative, and infrastructure support employees,” Mr. McDonough wrote to VA employees at the time.

This also includes VA volunteers and contractors. Effectively, this means that any Veterans Health Administration (VHA) employee, volunteer, or contractor who works in VHA facilities, visits VHA facilities, or provides direct care to those we serve will still be subject to the vaccine requirement at this time,” he said. “We continue to monitor and discuss this requirement, and we will provide more information about the vaccination requirements for VA health care employees soon. As always, we will process requests for vaccination exceptions in accordance with applicable laws, regulations, and policies.”

The version of the shots cleared in the fall of 2022, and available through the fall of 2023, did not have any clinical trial data supporting them.

A new version was approved in the fall of 2023 because there were indications that the shots not only offered temporary protection but also that the level of protection was lower than what was observed during earlier stages of the pandemic.

Ms. Manookian, whose group has challenged several of the federal mandates, said that the mandate “illustrates the dangers of the administrative state and how these federal agencies have become a law unto themselves.”

Tyler Durden Sat, 03/09/2024 - 22:10

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The Coming Of The Police State In America

The Coming Of The Police State In America

Authored by Jeffrey Tucker via The Epoch Times,

The National Guard and the State Police are now…

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The Coming Of The Police State In America

Authored by Jeffrey Tucker via The Epoch Times,

The National Guard and the State Police are now patrolling the New York City subway system in an attempt to do something about the explosion of crime. As part of this, there are bag checks and new surveillance of all passengers. No legislation, no debate, just an edict from the mayor.

Many citizens who rely on this system for transportation might welcome this. It’s a city of strict gun control, and no one knows for sure if they have the right to defend themselves. Merchants have been harassed and even arrested for trying to stop looting and pillaging in their own shops.

The message has been sent: Only the police can do this job. Whether they do it or not is another matter.

Things on the subway system have gotten crazy. If you know it well, you can manage to travel safely, but visitors to the city who take the wrong train at the wrong time are taking grave risks.

In actual fact, it’s guaranteed that this will only end in confiscating knives and other things that people carry in order to protect themselves while leaving the actual criminals even more free to prey on citizens.

The law-abiding will suffer and the criminals will grow more numerous. It will not end well.

When you step back from the details, what we have is the dawning of a genuine police state in the United States. It only starts in New York City. Where is the Guard going to be deployed next? Anywhere is possible.

If the crime is bad enough, citizens will welcome it. It must have been this way in most times and places that when the police state arrives, the people cheer.

We will all have our own stories of how this came to be. Some might begin with the passage of the Patriot Act and the establishment of the Department of Homeland Security in 2001. Some will focus on gun control and the taking away of citizens’ rights to defend themselves.

My own version of events is closer in time. It began four years ago this month with lockdowns. That’s what shattered the capacity of civil society to function in the United States. Everything that has happened since follows like one domino tumbling after another.

It goes like this:

1) lockdown,

2) loss of moral compass and spreading of loneliness and nihilism,

3) rioting resulting from citizen frustration, 4) police absent because of ideological hectoring,

5) a rise in uncontrolled immigration/refugees,

6) an epidemic of ill health from substance abuse and otherwise,

7) businesses flee the city

8) cities fall into decay, and that results in

9) more surveillance and police state.

The 10th stage is the sacking of liberty and civilization itself.

It doesn’t fall out this way at every point in history, but this seems like a solid outline of what happened in this case. Four years is a very short period of time to see all of this unfold. But it is a fact that New York City was more-or-less civilized only four years ago. No one could have predicted that it would come to this so quickly.

But once the lockdowns happened, all bets were off. Here we had a policy that most directly trampled on all freedoms that we had taken for granted. Schools, businesses, and churches were slammed shut, with various levels of enforcement. The entire workforce was divided between essential and nonessential, and there was widespread confusion about who precisely was in charge of designating and enforcing this.

It felt like martial law at the time, as if all normal civilian law had been displaced by something else. That something had to do with public health, but there was clearly more going on, because suddenly our social media posts were censored and we were being asked to do things that made no sense, such as mask up for a virus that evaded mask protection and walk in only one direction in grocery aisles.

Vast amounts of the white-collar workforce stayed home—and their kids, too—until it became too much to bear. The city became a ghost town. Most U.S. cities were the same.

As the months of disaster rolled on, the captives were let out of their houses for the summer in order to protest racism but no other reason. As a way of excusing this, the same public health authorities said that racism was a virus as bad as COVID-19, so therefore it was permitted.

The protests had turned to riots in many cities, and the police were being defunded and discouraged to do anything about the problem. Citizens watched in horror as downtowns burned and drug-crazed freaks took over whole sections of cities. It was like every standard of decency had been zapped out of an entire swath of the population.

Meanwhile, large checks were arriving in people’s bank accounts, defying every normal economic expectation. How could people not be working and get their bank accounts more flush with cash than ever? There was a new law that didn’t even require that people pay rent. How weird was that? Even student loans didn’t need to be paid.

By the fall, recess from lockdown was over and everyone was told to go home again. But this time they had a job to do: They were supposed to vote. Not at the polling places, because going there would only spread germs, or so the media said. When the voting results finally came in, it was the absentee ballots that swung the election in favor of the opposition party that actually wanted more lockdowns and eventually pushed vaccine mandates on the whole population.

The new party in control took note of the large population movements out of cities and states that they controlled. This would have a large effect on voting patterns in the future. But they had a plan. They would open the borders to millions of people in the guise of caring for refugees. These new warm bodies would become voters in time and certainly count on the census when it came time to reapportion political power.

Meanwhile, the native population had begun to swim in ill health from substance abuse, widespread depression, and demoralization, plus vaccine injury. This increased dependency on the very institutions that had caused the problem in the first place: the medical/scientific establishment.

The rise of crime drove the small businesses out of the city. They had barely survived the lockdowns, but they certainly could not survive the crime epidemic. This undermined the tax base of the city and allowed the criminals to take further control.

The same cities became sanctuaries for the waves of migrants sacking the country, and partisan mayors actually used tax dollars to house these invaders in high-end hotels in the name of having compassion for the stranger. Citizens were pushed out to make way for rampaging migrant hordes, as incredible as this seems.

But with that, of course, crime rose ever further, inciting citizen anger and providing a pretext to bring in the police state in the form of the National Guard, now tasked with cracking down on crime in the transportation system.

What’s the next step? It’s probably already here: mass surveillance and censorship, plus ever-expanding police power. This will be accompanied by further population movements, as those with the means to do so flee the city and even the country and leave it for everyone else to suffer.

As I tell the story, all of this seems inevitable. It is not. It could have been stopped at any point. A wise and prudent political leadership could have admitted the error from the beginning and called on the country to rediscover freedom, decency, and the difference between right and wrong. But ego and pride stopped that from happening, and we are left with the consequences.

The government grows ever bigger and civil society ever less capable of managing itself in large urban centers. Disaster is unfolding in real time, mitigated only by a rising stock market and a financial system that has yet to fall apart completely.

Are we at the middle stages of total collapse, or at the point where the population and people in leadership positions wise up and decide to put an end to the downward slide? It’s hard to know. But this much we do know: There is a growing pocket of resistance out there that is fed up and refuses to sit by and watch this great country be sacked and taken over by everything it was set up to prevent.

Tyler Durden Sat, 03/09/2024 - 16:20

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