Uncategorized
U.S. FORECLOSURE ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO INCREASE QUARTERLY NEARING PRE-PANDEMIC LEVELS
U.S. FORECLOSURE ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO INCREASE QUARTERLY NEARING PRE-PANDEMIC LEVELS
PR Newswire
IRVINE, Calif., Oct. 13, 2022
U.S. Foreclosure Starts Increase 167 Percent From a Year Ago; Average Time to Foreclose Nationwide Decreases 4 Percent F…
U.S. FORECLOSURE ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO INCREASE QUARTERLY NEARING PRE-PANDEMIC LEVELS
PR Newswire
IRVINE, Calif., Oct. 13, 2022
U.S. Foreclosure Starts Increase 167 Percent From a Year Ago; Average Time to Foreclose Nationwide Decreases 4 Percent From a Year Ago
IRVINE, Calif., Oct. 13, 2022 /PRNewswire/ -- ATTOM, a leading curator of real estate data nationwide for land and property data, released its Q3 2022 U.S. Foreclosure Market Report, which shows there were a total of 92,634 U.S. properties with foreclosure filings — default notices, scheduled auctions or bank repossessions — up 3 percent from the previous quarter and 104 percent from a year ago.
The report also shows there were a total of 31,836 U.S. properties with foreclosure filings in September 2022, down 8 percent from the previous month but up 62 percent from September 2021.
Foreclosure starts close to pre-pandemic levels nationwide
Lenders started the foreclosure process on 67,249 U.S. properties in Q3 2022, up 1 percent from the previous quarter and up 167 percent from a year ago — nearly reaching pre-pandemic levels.
"Foreclosure starts, while rising since the end of the government's foreclosure moratorium, still lag behind pre-pandemic levels," said Rick Sharga, executive vice president of market intelligence for ATTOM. "Foreclosure activity is reflecting other aspects of the economy, as unemployment rates continue to be historically low, and mortgage delinquency rates are lower than they were before the COVID-19 outbreak."
States that posted the greatest number of foreclosure starts in Q3 2022, included California (7,368 foreclosure starts); Florida (6,671 foreclosure starts); Texas (6,217 foreclosure starts); Illinois (4,702 foreclosure starts); and New York (3,997 foreclosure starts).
Among the 223 metropolitan statistical areas analyzed in the report those that posted the greatest number of foreclosure starts in Q3 2022, included New York, New York (4,621 foreclosure starts); Chicago, Illinois (3,950 foreclosure starts); Los Angeles, California (2,275 foreclosure starts); Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (1,991 foreclosure starts); and Miami, Florida (1,990 foreclosure starts);
Counter to the national trend of quarterly increases, among those metropolitan areas with a population greater than one million that saw a decline in foreclosure starts in Q3 2022 were Tulsa, Oklahoma (down 60 percent); Kansas City, Missouri (down 26 percent); Birmingham, Alabama (down 25 percent); Minneapolis, Minnesota (down 23 percent); and Cincinnati, Ohio (down 22 percent).
Highest foreclosure rates in Illinois, Delaware, and New Jersey
Nationwide one in every 1,517 properties had a foreclosure filing in Q3 2022. States with the highest foreclosure rates in Q3 2022 were Illinois (one in every 694 housing units with a foreclosure filing); Delaware (one in every 825); New Jersey (one in every 855); South Carolina (one in every 971); and Ohio (one in every 1,027).
Among 223 metropolitan statistical areas analyzed in the report, those with the highest foreclosure rates in Q3 2022 were Peoria, Illinois (one in every 472 housing units with a foreclosure filing); Cleveland, Ohio (one in every 589); Jacksonville, North Carolina (one in every 593); Columbia, South Carolina (one in every 599); and Rockford, Illinois (one in every 602).
Bank repossessions increase nationwide
Lenders repossessed 10,515 U.S. properties through foreclosure (REO) in Q3 2022, up 18 percent from the previous quarter and up 39 percent from a year ago.
"Very few of the properties entering the foreclosure process have reverted to the lender at the end of the foreclosure," Sharga noted. "In fact, nearly three times more homes were repossessed by lenders in the second quarter of 2019 than in the second quarter of 2022. We believe that this may be an indication that borrowers are leveraging their equity and selling their homes rather than risking the loss of their equity in a foreclosure auction."
U.S. Completed Foreclosures (REOs)
States that posted the largest number of completed foreclosures in Q3 2022, included Illinois (1,331 REOs); Michigan (729 REOs); New York (695 REOs); Pennsylvania (643 REOs); and Ohio (557 REOs).
Average time to foreclose decreases 4 percent from last year
Properties foreclosed in Q3 2022 had been in the foreclosure process an average of 885 days, down from 948 days in the previous quarter and down 4 percent from 924 days in Q3 2021.
Average Days to Complete Foreclosure
States with the longest average foreclosure timelines for homes foreclosed in Q3 2022 were Hawaii (2,121 days); New Jersey (2,002 days); Louisiana (1,963 days); Kansas (1,848 days); and New York (1,808 days).
States with the shortest average foreclosure timelines for homes foreclosed in Q3 2022 were Minnesota (113 days); Mississippi (167 days); Texas (168 days); Nebraska (168 days); and Missouri (172 days).
September 2022 Foreclosure Activity High-Level Takeaways
- Nationwide in September 2022 one in every 4,413 properties had a foreclosure filing.
- States with the highest foreclosure rates in September 2022 were Illinois (one in every 1,959 housing units with a foreclosure filing); Nevada (one in every 2,473 housing units); New Jersey (one in every 2,649 housing units); Maryland (one in every 2,825 housing units); and Ohio (one in every 2,885 housing units).
- 21,869 U.S. properties started the foreclosure process in September 2022, down 9 percent from the previous month but up 113 percent from a year ago.
- Lenders completed the foreclosure process on 3,509 U.S. properties in September 2022, down 11 percent from the previous month but up 31 percent from a year ago.
U.S. Foreclosure Market Data by State – Q3 2022
Rate | State Name | Total | 1/every X HU | %∆ Q2 | %∆ Q3 |
U.S. | 92,634 | 1,517 | 2.77 | 103.52 | |
18 | Alabama | 1,271 | 1,800 | -7.43 | 74.83 |
21 | Alaska | 165 | 1,924 | 51.38 | 101.22 |
32 | Arizona | 1,281 | 2,406 | -12.62 | 130.40 |
38 | Arkansas | 461 | 2,962 | 24.26 | 94.51 |
12 | California | 10,850 | 1,326 | 11.04 | 77.55 |
26 | Colorado | 1,172 | 2,126 | -22.84 | 224.65 |
10 | Connecticut | 1,205 | 1,270 | 3.34 | 100.50 |
2 | Delaware | 544 | 825 | 2.45 | 90.21 |
District of Columbia | 58 | 6,041 | 9.43 | 123.08 | |
7 | Florida | 9,284 | 1,063 | -3.93 | 71.26 |
14 | Georgia | 3,021 | 1,460 | -3.11 | 141.29 |
31 | Hawaii | 239 | 2,348 | 20.10 | 77.04 |
44 | Idaho | 180 | 4,177 | -9.09 | 83.67 |
1 | Illinois | 7,821 | 694 | 2.84 | 113.75 |
8 | Indiana | 2,533 | 1,154 | -1.40 | 76.52 |
15 | Iowa | 942 | 1,500 | -1.67 | 98.73 |
41 | Kansas | 405 | 3,150 | 114.29 | 20.18 |
45 | Kentucky | 447 | 4,462 | 8.50 | 35.45 |
20 | Louisiana | 1,085 | 1,911 | 6.90 | 89.69 |
19 | Maine | 388 | 1,905 | -1.02 | 83.89 |
9 | Maryland | 2,103 | 1,203 | 47.79 | 141.72 |
29 | Massachusetts | 1,337 | 2,243 | 26.61 | 101.36 |
11 | Michigan | 3,547 | 1,288 | 20.77 | 242.04 |
28 | Minnesota | 1,117 | 2,225 | -18.94 | 184.22 |
35 | Mississippi | 507 | 2,603 | -1.17 | 108.64 |
34 | Missouri | 1,132 | 2,462 | -19.77 | 63.82 |
46 | Montana | 103 | 4,998 | -8.85 | 202.94 |
39 | Nebraska | 285 | 2,962 | -14.93 | 176.70 |
6 | Nevada | 1,241 | 1,032 | 8.67 | 45.15 |
37 | New Hampshire | 226 | 2,827 | 6.10 | 98.25 |
3 | New Jersey | 4,401 | 855 | -3.10 | 102.90 |
30 | New Mexico | 404 | 2,329 | -5.16 | 31.60 |
13 | New York | 5,926 | 1,432 | 31.57 | 187.95 |
17 | North Carolina | 2,646 | 1,780 | -9.88 | 104.64 |
48 | North Dakota | 45 | 8,236 | 4.65 | 60.71 |
5 | Ohio | 5,106 | 1,027 | -12.63 | 96.54 |
23 | Oklahoma | 877 | 1,992 | -25.30 | 89.01 |
42 | Oregon | 573 | 3,165 | 35.78 | 402.63 |
22 | Pennsylvania | 2,911 | 1,973 | 1.36 | 129.39 |
36 | Rhode Island | 184 | 2,628 | 8.24 | 80.39 |
4 | South Carolina | 2,415 | 971 | 0.00 | 123.40 |
49 | South Dakota | 23 | 16,953 | 9.52 | 35.29 |
33 | Tennessee | 1,240 | 2,445 | 35.82 | 76.89 |
16 | Texas | 6,593 | 1,758 | -0.42 | 114.34 |
25 | Utah | 562 | 2,049 | 4.66 | 143.29 |
50 | Vermont | 15 | 22,288 | -25.00 | -51.61 |
27 | Virginia | 1,701 | 2,127 | 5.19 | 175.24 |
43 | Washington | 857 | 3,737 | 26.40 | 55.82 |
47 | West Virginia | 167 | 5,124 | 5.03 | 317.50 |
40 | Wisconsin | 905 | 3,014 | -1.63 | 14.27 |
24 | Wyoming | 133 | 2,044 | 25.47 | 111.11 |
Report methodology
The ATTOM U.S. Foreclosure Market Report provides a count of the total number of properties with at least one foreclosure filing entered into the ATTOM Data Warehouse during the month and quarter. Some foreclosure filings entered into the database during the quarter may have been recorded in the previous quarter. Data is collected from more than 3,000 counties nationwide, and those counties account for more than 99 percent of the U.S. population. ATTOM's report incorporates documents filed in all three phases of foreclosure: Default — Notice of Default (NOD) and Lis Pendens (LIS); Auction — Notice of Trustee Sale and Notice of Foreclosure Sale (NTS and NFS); and Real Estate Owned, or REO properties (that have been foreclosed on and repurchased by a bank). For the annual, midyear and quarterly reports, if more than one type of foreclosure document is received for a property during the timeframe, only the most recent filing is counted in the report. The annual, midyear, quarterly and monthly reports all check if the same type of document was filed against a property previously. If so, and if that previous filing occurred within the estimated foreclosure timeframe for the state where the property is located, the report does not count the property in the current year, quarter or month.
About ATTOM
ATTOM provides premium property data to power products that improve transparency, innovation, efficiency and disruption in a data-driven economy. ATTOM multi-sources property tax, deed, mortgage, foreclosure, environmental risk, natural hazard, and neighborhood data for more than 155 million U.S. residential and commercial properties covering 99 percent of the nation's population. A rigorous data management process involving more than 20 steps validates, standardizes, and enhances the real estate data collected by ATTOM, assigning each property record with a persistent, unique ID — the ATTOM ID. The 30TB ATTOM Data Warehouse fuels innovation in many industries including mortgage, real estate, insurance, marketing, government and more through flexible data delivery solutions that include bulk file licenses, property data APIs, real estate market trends, property reports and more. Also, introducing our newest innovative solution, that offers immediate access and streamlines data management – ATTOM Cloud.
Media Contact:
Christine Stricker
949.748.8428
christine.stricker@attomdata.com
Data and Report Licensing:
949.502.8313
datareports@attomdata.com
View original content to download multimedia:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/us-foreclosure-activity-continues-to-increase-quarterly-nearing-pre-pandemic-levels-301648084.html
SOURCE ATTOM
Uncategorized
Homes listed for sale in early June sell for $7,700 more
New Zillow research suggests the spring home shopping season may see a second wave this summer if mortgage rates fall
The post Homes listed for sale in…
- A Zillow analysis of 2023 home sales finds homes listed in the first two weeks of June sold for 2.3% more.
- The best time to list a home for sale is a month later than it was in 2019, likely driven by mortgage rates.
- The best time to list can be as early as the second half of February in San Francisco, and as late as the first half of July in New York and Philadelphia.
Spring home sellers looking to maximize their sale price may want to wait it out and list their home for sale in the first half of June. A new Zillow® analysis of 2023 sales found that homes listed in the first two weeks of June sold for 2.3% more, a $7,700 boost on a typical U.S. home.
The best time to list consistently had been early May in the years leading up to the pandemic. The shift to June suggests mortgage rates are strongly influencing demand on top of the usual seasonality that brings buyers to the market in the spring. This home-shopping season is poised to follow a similar pattern as that in 2023, with the potential for a second wave if the Federal Reserve lowers interest rates midyear or later.
The 2.3% sale price premium registered last June followed the first spring in more than 15 years with mortgage rates over 6% on a 30-year fixed-rate loan. The high rates put home buyers on the back foot, and as rates continued upward through May, they were still reassessing and less likely to bid boldly. In June, however, rates pulled back a little from 6.79% to 6.67%, which likely presented an opportunity for determined buyers heading into summer. More buyers understood their market position and could afford to transact, boosting competition and sale prices.
The old logic was that sellers could earn a premium by listing in late spring, when search activity hit its peak. Now, with persistently low inventory, mortgage rate fluctuations make their own seasonality. First-time home buyers who are on the edge of qualifying for a home loan may dip in and out of the market, depending on what’s happening with rates. It is almost certain the Federal Reserve will push back any interest-rate cuts to mid-2024 at the earliest. If mortgage rates follow, that could bring another surge of buyers later this year.
Mortgage rates have been impacting affordability and sale prices since they began rising rapidly two years ago. In 2022, sellers nationwide saw the highest sale premium when they listed their home in late March, right before rates barreled past 5% and continued climbing.
Zillow’s research finds the best time to list can vary widely by metropolitan area. In 2023, it was as early as the second half of February in San Francisco, and as late as the first half of July in New York. Thirty of the top 35 largest metro areas saw for-sale listings command the highest sale prices between May and early July last year.
Zillow also found a wide range in the sale price premiums associated with homes listed during those peak periods. At the hottest time of the year in San Jose, homes sold for 5.5% more, a $88,000 boost on a typical home. Meanwhile, homes in San Antonio sold for 1.9% more during that same time period.
Metropolitan Area | Best Time to List | Price Premium | Dollar Boost |
United States | First half of June | 2.3% | $7,700 |
New York, NY | First half of July | 2.4% | $15,500 |
Los Angeles, CA | First half of May | 4.1% | $39,300 |
Chicago, IL | First half of June | 2.8% | $8,800 |
Dallas, TX | First half of June | 2.5% | $9,200 |
Houston, TX | Second half of April | 2.0% | $6,200 |
Washington, DC | Second half of June | 2.2% | $12,700 |
Philadelphia, PA | First half of July | 2.4% | $8,200 |
Miami, FL | First half of June | 2.3% | $12,900 |
Atlanta, GA | Second half of June | 2.3% | $8,700 |
Boston, MA | Second half of May | 3.5% | $23,600 |
Phoenix, AZ | First half of June | 3.2% | $14,700 |
San Francisco, CA | Second half of February | 4.2% | $50,300 |
Riverside, CA | First half of May | 2.7% | $15,600 |
Detroit, MI | First half of July | 3.3% | $7,900 |
Seattle, WA | First half of June | 4.3% | $31,500 |
Minneapolis, MN | Second half of May | 3.7% | $13,400 |
San Diego, CA | Second half of April | 3.1% | $29,600 |
Tampa, FL | Second half of June | 2.1% | $8,000 |
Denver, CO | Second half of May | 2.9% | $16,900 |
Baltimore, MD | First half of July | 2.2% | $8,200 |
St. Louis, MO | First half of June | 2.9% | $7,000 |
Orlando, FL | First half of June | 2.2% | $8,700 |
Charlotte, NC | Second half of May | 3.0% | $11,000 |
San Antonio, TX | First half of June | 1.9% | $5,400 |
Portland, OR | Second half of April | 2.6% | $14,300 |
Sacramento, CA | First half of June | 3.2% | $17,900 |
Pittsburgh, PA | Second half of June | 2.3% | $4,700 |
Cincinnati, OH | Second half of April | 2.7% | $7,500 |
Austin, TX | Second half of May | 2.8% | $12,600 |
Las Vegas, NV | First half of June | 3.4% | $14,600 |
Kansas City, MO | Second half of May | 2.5% | $7,300 |
Columbus, OH | Second half of June | 3.3% | $10,400 |
Indianapolis, IN | First half of July | 3.0% | $8,100 |
Cleveland, OH | First half of July | 3.4% | $7,400 |
San Jose, CA | First half of June | 5.5% | $88,400 |
The post Homes listed for sale in early June sell for $7,700 more appeared first on Zillow Research.
federal reserve pandemic home sales mortgage rates interest ratesUncategorized
February Employment Situation
By Paul Gomme and Peter Rupert The establishment data from the BLS showed a 275,000 increase in payroll employment for February, outpacing the 230,000…
By Paul Gomme and Peter Rupert
The establishment data from the BLS showed a 275,000 increase in payroll employment for February, outpacing the 230,000 average over the previous 12 months. The payroll data for January and December were revised down by a total of 167,000. The private sector added 223,000 new jobs, the largest gain since May of last year.
Temporary help services employment continues a steep decline after a sharp post-pandemic rise.
Average hours of work increased from 34.2 to 34.3. The increase, along with the 223,000 private employment increase led to a hefty increase in total hours of 5.6% at an annualized rate, also the largest increase since May of last year.
The establishment report, once again, beat “expectations;” the WSJ survey of economists was 198,000. Other than the downward revisions, mentioned above, another bit of negative news was a smallish increase in wage growth, from $34.52 to $34.57.
The household survey shows that the labor force increased 150,000, a drop in employment of 184,000 and an increase in the number of unemployed persons of 334,000. The labor force participation rate held steady at 62.5, the employment to population ratio decreased from 60.2 to 60.1 and the unemployment rate increased from 3.66 to 3.86. Remember that the unemployment rate is the number of unemployed relative to the labor force (the number employed plus the number unemployed). Consequently, the unemployment rate can go up if the number of unemployed rises holding fixed the labor force, or if the labor force shrinks holding the number unemployed unchanged. An increase in the unemployment rate is not necessarily a bad thing: it may reflect a strong labor market drawing “marginally attached” individuals from outside the labor force. Indeed, there was a 96,000 decline in those workers.
Earlier in the week, the BLS announced JOLTS (Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey) data for January. There isn’t much to report here as the job openings changed little at 8.9 million, the number of hires and total separations were little changed at 5.7 million and 5.3 million, respectively.
As has been the case for the last couple of years, the number of job openings remains higher than the number of unemployed persons.
Also earlier in the week the BLS announced that productivity increased 3.2% in the 4th quarter with output rising 3.5% and hours of work rising 0.3%.
The bottom line is that the labor market continues its surprisingly (to some) strong performance, once again proving stronger than many had expected. This strength makes it difficult to justify any interest rate cuts soon, particularly given the recent inflation spike.
unemployment pandemic unemploymentUncategorized
Mortgage rates fall as labor market normalizes
Jobless claims show an expanding economy. We will only be in a recession once jobless claims exceed 323,000 on a four-week moving average.
Everyone was waiting to see if this week’s jobs report would send mortgage rates higher, which is what happened last month. Instead, the 10-year yield had a muted response after the headline number beat estimates, but we have negative job revisions from previous months. The Federal Reserve’s fear of wage growth spiraling out of control hasn’t materialized for over two years now and the unemployment rate ticked up to 3.9%. For now, we can say the labor market isn’t tight anymore, but it’s also not breaking.
The key labor data line in this expansion is the weekly jobless claims report. Jobless claims show an expanding economy that has not lost jobs yet. We will only be in a recession once jobless claims exceed 323,000 on a four-week moving average.
From the Fed: In the week ended March 2, initial claims for unemployment insurance benefits were flat, at 217,000. The four-week moving average declined slightly by 750, to 212,250
Below is an explanation of how we got here with the labor market, which all started during COVID-19.
1. I wrote the COVID-19 recovery model on April 7, 2020, and retired it on Dec. 9, 2020. By that time, the upfront recovery phase was done, and I needed to model out when we would get the jobs lost back.
2. Early in the labor market recovery, when we saw weaker job reports, I doubled and tripled down on my assertion that job openings would get to 10 million in this recovery. Job openings rose as high as to 12 million and are currently over 9 million. Even with the massive miss on a job report in May 2021, I didn’t waver.
Currently, the jobs openings, quit percentage and hires data are below pre-COVID-19 levels, which means the labor market isn’t as tight as it once was, and this is why the employment cost index has been slowing data to move along the quits percentage.
3. I wrote that we should get back all the jobs lost to COVID-19 by September of 2022. At the time this would be a speedy labor market recovery, and it happened on schedule, too
Total employment data
4. This is the key one for right now: If COVID-19 hadn’t happened, we would have between 157 million and 159 million jobs today, which would have been in line with the job growth rate in February 2020. Today, we are at 157,808,000. This is important because job growth should be cooling down now. We are more in line with where the labor market should be when averaging 140K-165K monthly. So for now, the fact that we aren’t trending between 140K-165K means we still have a bit more recovery kick left before we get down to those levels.
From BLS: Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 275,000 in February, and the unemployment rate increased to 3.9 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job gains occurred in health care, in government, in food services and drinking places, in social assistance, and in transportation and warehousing.
Here are the jobs that were created and lost in the previous month:
In this jobs report, the unemployment rate for education levels looks like this:
- Less than a high school diploma: 6.1%
- High school graduate and no college: 4.2%
- Some college or associate degree: 3.1%
- Bachelor’s degree or higher: 2.2%
Today’s report has continued the trend of the labor data beating my expectations, only because I am looking for the jobs data to slow down to a level of 140K-165K, which hasn’t happened yet. I wouldn’t categorize the labor market as being tight anymore because of the quits ratio and the hires data in the job openings report. This also shows itself in the employment cost index as well. These are key data lines for the Fed and the reason we are going to see three rate cuts this year.
recession unemployment covid-19 fed federal reserve mortgage rates recession recovery unemployment-
Uncategorized3 weeks ago
All Of The Elements Are In Place For An Economic Crisis Of Staggering Proportions
-
Uncategorized1 month ago
Cathie Wood sells a major tech stock (again)
-
Uncategorized3 weeks ago
California Counties Could Be Forced To Pay $300 Million To Cover COVID-Era Program
-
Uncategorized2 weeks ago
Apparel Retailer Express Moving Toward Bankruptcy
-
Uncategorized4 weeks ago
Industrial Production Decreased 0.1% in January
-
International3 days ago
Walmart launches clever answer to Target’s new membership program
-
International3 days ago
EyePoint poaches medical chief from Apellis; Sandoz CFO, longtime BioNTech exec to retire
-
Uncategorized3 weeks ago
RFK Jr: The Wuhan Cover-Up & The Rise Of The Biowarfare-Industrial Complex