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Three stocks to buy right now and hold forever

With the TSX flat since 2022, more investors are realizing the best stocks to buy right now have long runways immune to short-term noise.
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With the TSX caught in a narrow band of uncertainty over the past two years, more investors are realizing the best stocks to buy right now are long-term holdings immune to short-term volatility.

Source: Google.

Whether the rest of 2023 sees the index trending up or down, it remains the case that stocks need years to compound. This means it will benefit your future self, as well as your present quality of sleep, to ignore the market’s latest fit and leave your investments alone for as long as possible.

At the broadest level, there are two ways investors can set themselves up with a long-term stock portfolio tailored to their respective financial position, risk tolerance and future goals:

Implementing a couch-potato strategy with broad market index funds diversified across the globe, including Canada, the United States, Developed Markets and Emerging Markets. This approach offers exposure to the global public market, which has yielded a positive historical return going back over a century Implementing an active stock-picking strategy that focuses on maximizing returns by owning the companies best positioned to deliver them through innovation, growth and profitability

Seeing as Market Herald readers fall squarely into the second camp, we wanted to leave you with three theses for stocks to buy right now and hold forever to consider over Thanksgiving weekend, understanding forever as your age of retirement, so you can minimize short-term market stress and fortify your nest egg with potentially outsized returns:

Thermal Energy International

Thermal Energy International (TSXV:TMG) offers proprietary energy efficiency and emission reduction solutions, in addition to process, energy, environmental and financial expertise to meet custom requests. Its clients include many Fortune 500 and other leading multinational companies across a diversity of industries.

Thermal Energy’s technology focuses on drying and heat recovery and has been proven to deliver low emissions, energy savings of 10-30 per cent, significant returns with paybacks of one to five years, and lifespans of more than 15 years, all while improving operational consistency at lower maintenance costs than its competitors.

The company’s standout value proposition, propelled by the more than US$600 billion environmental technology market’s global tailwind, led it to post an 84 per cent YoY revenue increase in Fiscal Q4 with almost C$1 million in net income and C$21.4 million in its order backlog as of September 26.

CEO Bill Crossland spoke with our Ryan Dhillon about the company’s Q4 results.

Management is expecting a strong Fiscal 2024 backed by numerous active project development agreements expected to convert into orders, a growing business development pipeline, and net income figures over the past four years on the edge of consistent profitability.

Considering that Thermal Energy is practically glowing with promise, it’s no surprise that TMG shares have added 118.75 per cent over the past five years.

Click here to read Thermal Energy International’s latest investor presentation.

Mullen Group

Mullen Group (TSX:MTL), one of Canada’s largest logistics providers, is essentially a more industrials focused Berkshire Hathaway.

The company holds 40 independently operated businesses focused on less-than-truckload, truckload, warehousing, logistics, transload, oversized, third-party logistics and specialized hauling transportation. Each of these businesses benefits from a central corporate office that offers capital and financial expertise, legal support, technology and systems support, as well as shared services and strategic planning, while allowing each brand to pursue its unique vision for growth.

Mullen also provides specialized services in the energy, mining, forestry and construction industries of Western Canada, including water management, fluid hauling and environmental reclamation, granting shareholders a diversified presence across essential industries.

A focus on acquisitions with long-term viability, a culture of continual improvement, and the greatness that can arise from a self-managed business has allowed Mullen to achieve profitability over the past 18 quarters, with growth in net income of more than 100 per cent between 2019 and 2022. The company’s steady annual revenue growth, capital allocation expertise, and presence in thousands of Canadian and U.S. communities as a distributor of essential goods bodes well for this profitability trend continuing long into the future.

Mullen Group stock (TSX:MTL) looks undervalued at a 9 per cent loss since 2018 and only a 6.72 per cent gain since 2009.

Senior Corporate Officer Joanna Scott recently joined Ryan Dhillon to speak about Mullin’s annual insights conference, where executives gather to discuss their near-term outlooks.

Click here to read Mullin Group’s latest investor presentation.

Marizyme

Our final pick for a stock to buy right now and hold forever is Marizyme (OTCQB:MRZM), a biomedical technology company focused on filling critical market gaps in coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery, pet health and chronic kidney disease.

The company’s flagship DuraGraft product received FDA approval this week, making it the only intra-operative vascular conduit storage and flushing solution for CABG surgeries to hold this distinction. DuraGraft is also the only product available for this indication in Europe and numerous other countries.

Studies have shown that saphenous vein grafts treated with DuraGraft have reduced graft wall thickening compared to standard treatment after 12 months, as well as reduced long-term mortality three years after CABG surgery.

The approval positions Marizyme to help hundreds of thousands of patients in the more than US$16 billion global CABG procedures market, while meaningfully reducing coronary heart disease’s more than US$200 billion in economic costs per year, according to the CDC.

Judging by shares’ almost 40 per cent gain on the day, investors are optimistic about DuraGraft’s granted patents and pending applications in more than 30 countries, and Marizyme management’s ability to apply its extensive background in medical devices toward commercialization.

CEO David Barthel sat down with Brieanna McCutcheon to discuss the FDA approval and DuraGraph’s revenue potential, which is already bearing fruit overseas.

Despite today’s gains, Marizyme stock (OTCQB:MRZM) is down by approximately 80 per cent over the past year, leaving an ample margin of safety for high-conviction allocations.

Click here to visit Marizyme’s official website.

Join the discussion: Find out what everybody’s saying about these stocks to buy right now on the Thermal Energy International, Mullen Group and Marizyme Bullboards, and check out Stockhouse’s stock forums and message boards.

This is sponsored content issued on behalf of Thermal Energy International, Mullen Group and Marizyme, please see full disclaimer here.

The post Three stocks to buy right now and hold forever appeared first on The Market Herald Canada.

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Four burning questions about the future of the $16.5B Novo-Catalent deal

To build or to buy? That’s a classic question for pharma boardrooms, and Novo Nordisk is going with both.
Beyond spending billions of dollars to expand…

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To build or to buy? That’s a classic question for pharma boardrooms, and Novo Nordisk is going with both.

Beyond spending billions of dollars to expand its own production capacity for its weight loss drugs, the Danish drugmaker said Monday it will pay $11 billion to acquire three manufacturing plants from Catalent. It’s part of a broader $16.5 billion deal with Novo Holdings, the investment arm of the pharma’s parent group, which agreed to acquire the contract manufacturer and take it private.

It’s a big deal for all parties, with potential ripple effects across the biotech ecosystem. Here’s a look at some of the most pressing questions to watch after Monday’s announcement.

Why did Novo do this?

Novo Holdings isn’t the most obvious buyer for Catalent, particularly after last year’s on-and-off M&A interest from the serial acquirer Danaher. But the deal could benefit both Novo Holdings and Novo Nordisk.

Novo Nordisk’s biggest challenge has been simply making enough of the weight loss drug Wegovy and diabetes therapy Ozempic. On last week’s earnings call, Novo Nordisk CEO Lars Fruergaard Jørgensen said the company isn’t constrained by capital in its efforts to boost manufacturing. Rather, the main challenge is the limited amount of capabilities out there, he said.

“Most pharmaceutical companies in the world would be shopping among the same manufacturers,” he said. “There’s not an unlimited amount of machinery and people to build it.”

While Novo was already one of Catalent’s major customers, the manufacturer has been hamstrung by its own balance sheet. With roughly $5 billion in debt on its books, it’s had to juggle paying down debt with sufficiently investing in its facilities. That’s been particularly challenging in keeping pace with soaring demand for GLP-1 drugs.

Novo, on the other hand, has the balance sheet to funnel as much money as needed into the plants in Italy, Belgium, and Indiana. It’s also struggled to make enough of its popular GLP-1 drugs to meet their soaring demand, with documented shortages of both Ozempic and Wegovy.

The impact won’t be immediate. The parties expect the deal to close near the end of 2024. Novo Nordisk said it expects the three new sites to “gradually increase Novo Nordisk’s filling capacity from 2026 and onwards.”

As for the rest of Catalent — nearly 50 other sites employing thousands of workers — Novo Holdings will take control. The group previously acquired Altasciences in 2021 and Ritedose in 2022, so the Catalent deal builds on a core investing interest in biopharma services, Novo Holdings CEO Kasim Kutay told Endpoints News.

Kasim Kutay

When asked about possible site closures or layoffs, Kutay said the team hasn’t thought about that.

“That’s not our track record. Our track record is to invest in quality businesses and help them grow,” he said. “There’s always stuff to do with any asset you own, but we haven’t bought this company to do some of the stuff you’re talking about.”

What does it mean for Catalent’s customers? 

Until the deal closes, Catalent will operate as a standalone business. After it closes, Novo Nordisk said it will honor its customer obligations at the three sites, a spokesperson said. But they didn’t answer a question about what happens when those contracts expire.

The wrinkle is the long-term future of the three plants that Novo Nordisk is paying for. Those sites don’t exclusively pump out Wegovy, but that could be the logical long-term aim for the Danish drugmaker.

The ideal scenario is that pricing and timelines remain the same for customers, said Nicole Paulk, CEO of the gene therapy startup Siren Biotechnology.

Nicole Paulk

“The name of the group that you’re going to send your check to is now going to be Novo Holdings instead of Catalent, but otherwise everything remains the same,” Paulk told Endpoints. “That’s the best-case scenario.”

In a worst case, Paulk said she feared the new owners could wind up closing sites or laying off Catalent groups. That could create some uncertainty for customers looking for a long-term manufacturing partner.

Are shareholders and regulators happy? 

The pandemic was a wild ride for Catalent’s stock, with shares surging from about $40 to $140 and then crashing back to earth. The $63.50 share price for the takeover is a happy ending depending on the investor.

On that point, the investing giant Elliott Investment Management is satisfied. Marc Steinberg, a partner at Elliott, called the agreement “an outstanding outcome” that “clearly maximizes value for Catalent stockholders” in a statement.

Elliott helped kick off a strategic review last August that culminated in the sale agreement. Compared to Catalent’s stock price before that review started, the deal pays a nearly 40% premium.

Alessandro Maselli

But this is hardly a victory lap for CEO Alessandro Maselli, who took over in July 2022 when Catalent’s stock price was north of $100. Novo’s takeover is a tacit acknowledgment that Maselli could never fully right the ship, as operational problems plagued the company throughout 2023 while it was limited by its debt.

Additional regulatory filings in the next few weeks could give insight into just how competitive the sale process was. William Blair analysts said they don’t expect a competing bidder “given the organic investments already being pursued at other leading CDMOs and the breadth and scale of Catalent’s operations.”

The Blair analysts also noted the companies likely “expect to spend some time educating relevant government agencies” about the deal, given the lengthy closing timeline. Given Novo Nordisk’s ascent — it’s now one of Europe’s most valuable companies — paired with the limited number of large contract manufacturers, antitrust regulators could be interested in taking a close look.

Are Catalent’s problems finally a thing of the past?

Catalent ran into a mix of financial and operational problems over the past year that played no small part in attracting the interest of an activist like Elliott.

Now with a deal in place, how quickly can Novo rectify those problems? Some of the challenges were driven by the demands of being a publicly traded company, like failing to meet investors’ revenue expectations or even filing earnings reports on time.

But Catalent also struggled with its business at times, with a range of manufacturing delays, inspection reports and occasionally writing down acquisitions that didn’t pan out. Novo’s deep pockets will go a long way to a turnaround, but only the future will tell if all these issues are fixed.

Kutay said his team is excited by the opportunity and was satisfied with the due diligence it did on the company.

“We believe we’re buying a strong company with a good management team and good prospects,” Kutay said. “If that wasn’t the case, I don’t think we’d be here.”

Amber Tong and Reynald Castañeda contributed reporting.

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Petrina Kamya, Ph.D., Head of AI Platforms at Insilico Medicine, presents at BIO CEO & Investor Conference

Petrina Kamya, PhD, Head of AI Platforms and President of Insilico Medicine Canada, will present at the BIO CEO & Investor Conference happening Feb….

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Petrina Kamya, PhD, Head of AI Platforms and President of Insilico Medicine Canada, will present at the BIO CEO & Investor Conference happening Feb. 26-27 at the New York Marriott Marquis in New York City. Dr. Kamya will speak as part of the panel “AI within Biopharma: Separating Value from Hype,” on Feb. 27, 1pm ET along with Michael Nally, CEO of Generate: Biomedicines and Liz Schwarzbach, PhD, CBO of BigHat Biosciences.

Credit: Insilico Medicine

Petrina Kamya, PhD, Head of AI Platforms and President of Insilico Medicine Canada, will present at the BIO CEO & Investor Conference happening Feb. 26-27 at the New York Marriott Marquis in New York City. Dr. Kamya will speak as part of the panel “AI within Biopharma: Separating Value from Hype,” on Feb. 27, 1pm ET along with Michael Nally, CEO of Generate: Biomedicines and Liz Schwarzbach, PhD, CBO of BigHat Biosciences.

The session will look at how the latest artificial intelligence (AI) tools – including generative AI and large language models – are currently being used to advance the discovery and design of new drugs, and which technologies are still in development. 

The BIO CEO & Investor Conference brings together over 1,000 attendees and more than 700 companies across industry and institutional investment to discuss the future investment landscape of biotechnology. Sessions focus on topics such as therapeutic advancements, market outlook, and policy priorities.

Insilico Medicine is a leading, clinical stage AI-driven drug discovery company that has raised over $400m in investments since it was founded in 2014. Dr. Kamya leads the development of the Company’s end-to-end generative AI platform, Pharma.AI from Insilico’s AI R&D Center in Montreal. Using modern machine learning techniques in the context of chemistry and biology, the platform has driven the discovery and design of 30+ new therapies, with five in clinical stages – for cancer, fibrosis, inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), and COVID-19. The Company’s lead drug, for the chronic, rare lung condition idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, is the first AI-designed drug for an AI-discovered target to reach Phase II clinical trials with patients. Nine of the top 20 pharmaceutical companies have used Insilico’s AI platform to advance their programs, and the Company has a number of major strategic licensing deals around its AI-designed therapeutic assets, including with Sanofi, Exelixis and Menarini. 

 

About Insilico Medicine

Insilico Medicine, a global clinical stage biotechnology company powered by generative AI, is connecting biology, chemistry, and clinical trials analysis using next-generation AI systems. The company has developed AI platforms that utilize deep generative models, reinforcement learning, transformers, and other modern machine learning techniques for novel target discovery and the generation of novel molecular structures with desired properties. Insilico Medicine is developing breakthrough solutions to discover and develop innovative drugs for cancer, fibrosis, immunity, central nervous system diseases, infectious diseases, autoimmune diseases, and aging-related diseases. www.insilico.com 


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Another country is getting ready to launch a visa for digital nomads

Early reports are saying Japan will soon have a digital nomad visa for high-earning foreigners.

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Over the last decade, the explosion of remote work that came as a result of improved technology and the pandemic has allowed an increasing number of people to become digital nomads. 

When looked at more broadly as anyone not required to come into a fixed office but instead moves between different locations such as the home and the coffee shop, the latest estimate shows that there were more than 35 million such workers in the world by the end of 2023 while over half of those come from the United States.

Related: There is a new list of cities that are best for digital nomads

While remote work has also allowed many to move to cheaper places and travel around the world while still bringing in income, working outside of one's home country requires either dual citizenship or work authorization — the global shift toward remote work has pushed many countries to launch specific digital nomad visas to boost their economies and bring in new residents.

Japan is a very popular destination for U.S. tourists. 

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This popular vacation destination will soon have a nomad visa

Spain, Portugal, Indonesia, Malaysia, Costa Rica, Brazil, Latvia and Malta are some of the countries currently offering specific visas for foreigners who want to live there while bringing in income from abroad.

More Travel:

With the exception of a few, Asian countries generally have stricter immigration laws and were much slower to launch these types of visas that some of the countries with weaker economies had as far back as 2015. As first reported by the Japan Times, the country's Immigration Services Agency ended up making the leap toward a visa for those who can earn more than ¥10 million ($68,300 USD) with income from another country.

The Japanese government has not yet worked out the specifics of how long the visa will be valid for or how much it will cost — public comment on the proposal is being accepted throughout next week. 

That said, early reports say the visa will be shorter than the typical digital nomad option that allows foreigners to live in a country for several years. The visa will reportedly be valid for six months or slightly longer but still no more than a year — along with the ability to work, this allows some to stay beyond the 90-day tourist period typically afforded to those from countries with visa-free agreements.

'Not be given a residence card of residence certificate'

While one will be able to reapply for the visa after the time runs out, this can only be done by exiting the country and being away for six months before coming back again — becoming a permanent resident on the pathway to citizenship is an entirely different process with much more strict requirements.

"Those living in Japan with the digital nomad visa will not be given a residence card or a residence certificate, which provide access to certain government benefits," reports the news outlet. "The visa cannot be renewed and must be reapplied for, with this only possible six months after leaving the countr

The visa will reportedly start in March and also allow holders to bring their spouses and families with them. To start using the visa, holders will also need to purchase private health insurance from their home country while taxes on any money one earns will also need to be paid through one's home country.

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