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Solar Energy Storage Market to record USD 539.54 Mn Growth; Driven by the reduction in costs of solar PV systems – Technavio
Solar Energy Storage Market to record USD 539.54 Mn Growth; Driven by the reduction in costs of solar PV systems – Technavio
PR Newswire
NEW YORK, Nov. 15, 2022
NEW YORK, Nov. 15, 2022 /PRNewswire/ — The “Solar Energy Storage Market by End-user (C…
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Solar Energy Storage Market to record USD 539.54 Mn Growth; Driven by the reduction in costs of solar PV systems - Technavio
PR Newswire
NEW YORK, Nov. 15, 2022
NEW YORK, Nov. 15, 2022 /PRNewswire/ -- The "Solar Energy Storage Market by End-user (Commercial and industrial, Utilities, and Residential) and Geography (APAC, North America, Europe, Middle East and Africa, and South America) - Forecast and Analysis 2022-2026" report has been added to Technavio's offering. With ISO 9001:2015 certification, Technavio is proudly partnering with more than 100 Fortune 500 companies for over 16 years. The potential growth difference for the solar energy storage market between 2021 and 2026 is USD 539.54 million. To get the exact yearly growth variance and the Y-O-Y growth rate, Download a Free PDF Report Sample.
Key Market Dynamics:
- Market Driver: The reduction in the cost of solar PV systems is one of the major factors driving the growth of the market. Governments across the world are planning to make solar power generation affordable by introducing various initiatives and subsidies. For instance, the US DoE plans to achieve the following targets by 2020 to make solar power generation technology cost-competitive compared with other sources of power generation. USD 0.10 per kWh for residential solar, USD 0.06 per kWh for utility-scale solar, and USD 0.08 per kWh for commercial solar. With declining costs of solar PV systems, owing to government initiatives and subsidies, as well as competitive bidding processes, there has been substantial growth in solar PV installations globally.
- Market Challenges: Stringent regulations on lead pollution will reduce the growth potential in the market. There has been a rise in the demand for lead-acid batteries owing to an increase in the number of battery energy storage applications, as well as growth in renewable electricity generation. These lead-acid batteries contain lead plates that are placed in sulfuric acid inside a plastic cover. Moreover, lead-acid batteries contain a high amount of lead oxide toxins, which adversely impact the environment. The improper disposal of lead-acid batteries in landfills can lead to the leakage of sulfuric acid and lead into groundwater reserves and result in the contamination of the drinking water supply. As recycling lead-acid batteries reduces the amount of solid waste disposed of, governments across the world have put forth stringent regulations on recycling such hazardous wastes. The stringent regulations against lead pollution can become a major challenge for the growth of the market in focus.
Learn about additional key drivers, trends, and challenges available with
Technavio. Read our FREE Sample Report Now!
Segmentation Analysis
The solar energy storage market report is segmented by end-user (commercial and industrial, utilities, and residential) and geography (APAC, North America, Europe, Middle East and Africa, and South America).
Commercial and industrial end-users exhibit high demand for solar energy storage. The adoption of solar energy storage in the commercial and industrial sectors is driven by a rise in the need for backup power, an increase in the economic benefits of ESS, and a reduction in renewable energy costs. Hence, several commercial and industrial facilities have been opting for solar energy and storage solutions. In addition, the growth in energy consumption, financial aid from governments, and an increase in the adoption of solar power are contributing to the growth of the segment.
By region, APAC will emerge as the dominant market for solar energy storage, occupying 58% of the global market share. The large-scale adoption of solar power, supported by favorable government regulations to reduce carbon emissions, and the provision of technologically advanced offerings that increase efficiency and optimize the performance of solar power systems are expected to boost the growth of the market in APAC during the forecast period.
View Our Sample Report for additional insights into the contribution of all the segments
and regional opportunities in the report.
Key Vendors Covered
- ABB Ltd.
- Abengoa SA
- Acciona SA
- Adara Power
- AEG Power Solutions BV
- Alpha Tech Energy Solutions India Pvt. Ltd.
- Aura Power Developments Ltd.
- BrightSource Energy Inc
- BYD Co. Ltd.
- E Solar
- EnerSys
- Evergreen Solar
- General Electric Co.
- Helios New Energy Technology Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Leclanche SA
- LG Chem Ltd.
- Saft Groupe SAS
- Samsung SDI Co. Ltd.
- SMA Solar Technology AG
- Tesla Inc.
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Related Reports:
- The solar thermal market share is expected to increase by 167187.58 megawatts from 2021 to 2026, and the market's growth momentum will accelerate at a CAGR of 5.71%. The rise in investments in renewable energy is notably driving the solar thermal market growth, although factors such as technical challenges associated with solar thermal technology may impede the market growth.
- The solar batteries market share is expected to increase by USD 7.89 billion from 2021 to 2026, and the market's growth momentum will accelerate at a CAGR of 15.46%. The implementation of solar-plus-storage systems is notably driving the solar batteries market growth, although factors such as the complexity of solar PV systems may impede the market growth.
Solar Energy Storage Market Scope | |
Report Coverage | Details |
Page number | 120 |
Base year | 2021 |
Forecast period | 2022-2026 |
Growth momentum & CAGR | Accelerate at a CAGR of 11.1% |
Market growth 2022-2026 | USD 539.54 million |
Market structure | Fragmented |
YoY growth (%) | 8.44 |
Regional analysis | APAC, North America, Europe, Middle East and Africa, and South America |
Performing market contribution | APAC at 58% |
Key consumer countries | US, China, Japan, India, and Germany |
Competitive landscape | Leading companies, competitive strategies, consumer engagement scope |
Companies profiled | ABB Ltd., Abengoa SA, Acciona SA, Adara Power, AEG Power Solutions BV, Alpha Tech Energy Solutions India Pvt. Ltd., Aura Power Developments Ltd., BrightSource Energy Inc, BYD Co. Ltd., E Solar, EnerSys, Evergreen Solar, General Electric Co., Helios New Energy Technology Australia Pty. Ltd., Leclanche SA, LG Chem Ltd., Saft Groupe SAS, Samsung SDI Co. Ltd., SMA Solar Technology AG, and Tesla Inc. |
Market Dynamics | Parent market analysis, Market growth inducers and obstacles, Fast-growing and slow-growing segment analysis, COVID-19 impact and future consumer dynamics, and market condition analysis for the forecast period. |
Customization purview | If our report has not included the data that you are looking for, you can reach out to our analysts and get segments customized. |
Table of contents:
1 Executive Summary
- 1.1 Market overview
- Exhibit 01: Executive Summary – Chart on Market Overview
- Exhibit 02: Executive Summary – Data Table on Market Overview
- Exhibit 03: Executive Summary – Chart on Global Market Characteristics
- Exhibit 04: Executive Summary – Chart on Market by Geography
- Exhibit 05: Executive Summary – Chart on Market Segmentation by End-user
- Exhibit 06: Executive Summary – Chart on Incremental Growth
- Exhibit 07: Executive Summary – Data Table on Incremental Growth
- Exhibit 08: Executive Summary – Chart on Vendor Market Positioning
2 Market Landscape
- 2.1 Market ecosystem
- Exhibit 09: Parent market
- Exhibit 10: Market Characteristics
3 Market Sizing
- 3.1 Market definition
- Exhibit 11: Offerings of vendors included in the market definition
- 3.2 Market segment analysis
- Exhibit 12: Market segments
- 3.3 Market size 2021
- 3.4 Market outlook: Forecast for 2021-2026
- Exhibit 13: Chart on Global - Market size and forecast 2021-2026 ($ million)
- Exhibit 14: Data Table on Global - Market size and forecast 2021-2026 ($ million)
- Exhibit 15: Chart on Global Market: Year-over-year growth 2021-2026 (%)
- Exhibit 16: Data Table on Global Market: Year-over-year growth 2021-2026 (%)
4 Five Forces Analysis
- 4.1 Five forces summary
- Exhibit 17: Five forces analysis - Comparison between 2021 and 2026
- 4.2 Bargaining power of buyers
- Exhibit 18: Chart on Bargaining power of buyers – Impact of key factors 2021 and 2026
- 4.3 Bargaining power of suppliers
- Exhibit 19: Bargaining power of suppliers – Impact of key factors in 2021 and 2026
- 4.4 Threat of new entrants
- Exhibit 20: Threat of new entrants – Impact of key factors in 2021 and 2026
- 4.5 Threat of substitutes
- Exhibit 21: Threat of substitutes – Impact of key factors in 2021 and 2026
- 4.6 Threat of rivalry
- Exhibit 22: Threat of rivalry – Impact of key factors in 2021 and 2026
- 4.7 Market condition
- Exhibit 23: Chart on Market condition - Five forces 2021 and 2026
5 Market Segmentation by End-user
- 5.1 Market segments
- Exhibit 24: Chart on End-user - Market share 2021-2026 (%)
- Exhibit 25: Data Table on End-user - Market share 2021-2026 (%)
- 5.2 Comparison by End-user
- Exhibit 26: Chart on Comparison by End-user
- Exhibit 27: Data Table on Comparison by End-user
- 5.3 Commercial and industrial - Market size and forecast 2021-2026
- Exhibit 28: Chart on Commercial and industrial - Market size and forecast 2021-2026 ($ million)
- Exhibit 29: Data Table on Commercial and industrial - Market size and forecast 2021-2026 ($ million)
- Exhibit 30: Chart on Commercial and industrial - Year-over-year growth 2021-2026 (%)
- Exhibit 31: Data Table on Commercial and industrial - Year-over-year growth 2021-2026 (%)
- 5.4 Utilities - Market size and forecast 2021-2026
- Exhibit 32: Chart on Utilities - Market size and forecast 2021-2026 ($ million)
- Exhibit 33: Data Table on Utilities - Market size and forecast 2021-2026 ($ million)
- Exhibit 34: Chart on Utilities - Year-over-year growth 2021-2026 (%)
- Exhibit 35: Data Table on Utilities - Year-over-year growth 2021-2026 (%)
- 5.5 Residential - Market size and forecast 2021-2026
- Exhibit 36: Chart on Residential - Market size and forecast 2021-2026 ($ million)
- Exhibit 37: Data Table on Residential - Market size and forecast 2021-2026 ($ million)
- Exhibit 38: Chart on Residential - Year-over-year growth 2021-2026 (%)
- Exhibit 39: Data Table on Residential - Year-over-year growth 2021-2026 (%)
- 5.6 Market opportunity by End-user
- Exhibit 40: Market opportunity by End-user ($ million)
6 Customer Landscape
- 6.1 Customer landscape overview
- Exhibit 41: Analysis of price sensitivity, lifecycle, customer purchase basket, adoption rates, and purchase criteria
7 Geographic Landscape
- 7.1 Geographic segmentation
- Exhibit 42: Chart on Market share by geography 2021-2026 (%)
- Exhibit 43: Data Table on Market share by geography 2021-2026 (%)
- 7.2 Geographic comparison
- Exhibit 44: Chart on Geographic comparison
- Exhibit 45: Data Table on Geographic comparison
- 7.3 APAC - Market size and forecast 2021-2026
- Exhibit 46: Chart on APAC - Market size and forecast 2021-2026 ($ million)
- Exhibit 47: Data Table on APAC - Market size and forecast 2021-2026 ($ million)
- Exhibit 48: Chart on APAC - Year-over-year growth 2021-2026 (%)
- Exhibit 49: Data Table on APAC - Year-over-year growth 2021-2026 (%)
- 7.4 North America - Market size and forecast 2021-2026
- Exhibit 50: Chart on North America - Market size and forecast 2021-2026 ($ million)
- Exhibit 51: Data Table on North America - Market size and forecast 2021-2026 ($ million)
- Exhibit 52: Chart on North America - Year-over-year growth 2021-2026 (%)
- Exhibit 53: Data Table on North America - Year-over-year growth 2021-2026 (%)
- 7.5 Europe - Market size and forecast 2021-2026
- Exhibit 54: Chart on Europe - Market size and forecast 2021-2026 ($ million)
- Exhibit 55: Data Table on Europe - Market size and forecast 2021-2026 ($ million)
- Exhibit 56: Chart on Europe - Year-over-year growth 2021-2026 (%)
- Exhibit 57: Data Table on Europe - Year-over-year growth 2021-2026 (%)
- 7.6 Middle East and Africa - Market size and forecast 2021-2026
- Exhibit 58: Chart on Middle East and Africa - Market size and forecast 2021-2026 ($ million)
- Exhibit 59: Data Table on Middle East and Africa - Market size and forecast 2021-2026 ($ million)
- Exhibit 60: Chart on Middle East and Africa - Year-over-year growth 2021-2026 (%)
- Exhibit 61: Data Table on Middle East and Africa - Year-over-year growth 2021-2026 (%)
- 7.7 South America - Market size and forecast 2021-2026
- Exhibit 62: Chart on South America - Market size and forecast 2021-2026 ($ million)
- Exhibit 63: Data Table on South America - Market size and forecast 2021-2026 ($ million)
- Exhibit 64: Chart on South America - Year-over-year growth 2021-2026 (%)
- Exhibit 65: Data Table on South America - Year-over-year growth 2021-2026 (%)
- 7.8 China - Market size and forecast 2021-2026
- Exhibit 66: Chart on China - Market size and forecast 2021-2026 ($ million)
- Exhibit 67: Data Table on China - Market size and forecast 2021-2026 ($ million)
- Exhibit 68: Chart on China - Year-over-year growth 2021-2026 (%)
- Exhibit 69: Data Table on China - Year-over-year growth 2021-2026 (%)
- 7.9 US - Market size and forecast 2021-2026
- Exhibit 70: Chart on US - Market size and forecast 2021-2026 ($ million)
- Exhibit 71: Data Table on US - Market size and forecast 2021-2026 ($ million)
- Exhibit 72: Chart on US - Year-over-year growth 2021-2026 (%)
- Exhibit 73: Data Table on US - Year-over-year growth 2021-2026 (%)
- 7.10 Japan - Market size and forecast 2021-2026
- Exhibit 74: Chart on Japan - Market size and forecast 2021-2026 ($ million)
- Exhibit 75: Data Table on Japan - Market size and forecast 2021-2026 ($ million)
- Exhibit 76: Chart on Japan - Year-over-year growth 2021-2026 (%)
- Exhibit 77: Data Table on Japan - Year-over-year growth 2021-2026 (%)
- 7.11 India - Market size and forecast 2021-2026
- Exhibit 78: Chart on India - Market size and forecast 2021-2026 ($ million)
- Exhibit 79: Data Table on India - Market size and forecast 2021-2026 ($ million)
- Exhibit 80: Chart on India - Year-over-year growth 2021-2026 (%)
- Exhibit 81: Data Table on India - Year-over-year growth 2021-2026 (%)
- 7.12 Germany - Market size and forecast 2021-2026
- Exhibit 82: Chart on Germany - Market size and forecast 2021-2026 ($ million)
- Exhibit 83: Data Table on Germany - Market size and forecast 2021-2026 ($ million)
- Exhibit 84: Chart on Germany - Year-over-year growth 2021-2026 (%)
- Exhibit 85: Data Table on Germany - Year-over-year growth 2021-2026 (%)
- 7.13 Market opportunity by geography
- Exhibit 86: Market opportunity by geography ($ million)
8 Drivers, Challenges, and Trends
- 8.1 Market drivers
- 8.2 Market challenges
- 8.3 Impact of drivers and challenges
- Exhibit 87: Impact of drivers and challenges in 2021 and 2026
- 8.4 Market trends
9 Vendor Landscape
- 9.1 Overview
- 9.2 Vendor landscape
- Exhibit 88: Overview on Criticality of inputs and Factors of differentiation
- 9.3 Landscape disruption
- Exhibit 89: Overview on factors of disruption
- 9.4 Industry risks
- Exhibit 90: Impact of key risks on business
10 Vendor Analysis
- 10.1 Vendors covered
- Exhibit 91: Vendors covered
- 10.2 Market positioning of vendors
- Exhibit 92: Matrix on vendor position and classification
- 10.3 ABB Ltd.
- Exhibit 93: ABB Ltd. - Overview
- Exhibit 94: ABB Ltd. - Business segments
- Exhibit 95: ABB Ltd. - Key news
- Exhibit 96: ABB Ltd. - Key offerings
- Exhibit 97: ABB Ltd. - Segment focus
- 10.4 Abengoa SA
- Exhibit 98: Abengoa SA - Overview
- Exhibit 99: Abengoa SA - Product / Service
- Exhibit 100: Abengoa SA - Key news
- Exhibit 101: Abengoa SA - Key offerings
- 10.5 Acciona SA
- Exhibit 102: Acciona SA - Overview
- Exhibit 103: Acciona SA - Business segments
- Exhibit 104: Acciona SA - Key news
- Exhibit 105: Acciona SA - Key offerings
- Exhibit 106: Acciona SA - Segment focus
- 10.6 AEG Power Solutions BV
- Exhibit 107: AEG Power Solutions BV - Overview
- Exhibit 108: AEG Power Solutions BV - Product / Service
- Exhibit 109: AEG Power Solutions BV - Key offerings
- 10.7 BrightSource Energy Inc
- Exhibit 110: BrightSource Energy Inc - Overview
- Exhibit 111: BrightSource Energy Inc - Product / Service
- Exhibit 112: BrightSource Energy Inc - Key offerings
- 10.8 E Solar
- Exhibit 113: E Solar - Overview
- Exhibit 114: E Solar - Product / Service
- Exhibit 115: E Solar - Key offerings
- 10.9 General Electric Co.
- Exhibit 116: General Electric Co. - Overview
- Exhibit 117: General Electric Co. - Business segments
- Exhibit 118: General Electric Co. - Key news
- Exhibit 119: General Electric Co. - Key offerings
- Exhibit 120: General Electric Co. - Segment focus
- 10.10 LG Chem Ltd.
- Exhibit 121: LG Chem Ltd. - Overview
- Exhibit 122: LG Chem Ltd. - Business segments
- Exhibit 123: LG Chem Ltd. - Key news
- Exhibit 124: LG Chem Ltd. - Key offerings
- Exhibit 125: LG Chem Ltd. - Segment focus
- 10.11 Samsung SDI Co. Ltd.
- Exhibit 126: Samsung SDI Co. Ltd. - Overview
- Exhibit 127: Samsung SDI Co. Ltd. - Business segments
- Exhibit 128: Samsung SDI Co. Ltd. - Key offerings
- Exhibit 129: Samsung SDI Co. Ltd. - Segment focus
- 10.12 Tesla Inc.
- Exhibit 130: Tesla Inc. - Overview
- Exhibit 131: Tesla Inc. - Business segments
- Exhibit 132: Tesla Inc. - Key offerings
- Exhibit 133: Tesla Inc. - Segment focus
11 Appendix
- 11.1 Scope of the report
- 11.2 Inclusions and exclusions checklist
- Exhibit 134: Inclusions checklist
- Exhibit 135: Exclusions checklist
- 11.3 Currency conversion rates for US$
- Exhibit 136: Currency conversion rates for US$
- 11.4 Research methodology
- Exhibit 137: Research methodology
- Exhibit 138: Validation techniques employed for market sizing
- Exhibit 139: Information sources
- 11.5 List of abbreviations
- Exhibit 140: List of abbreviations
About Us
Technavio is a leading global technology research and advisory company. Their research and analysis focuses on emerging market trends and provides actionable insights to help businesses identify market opportunities and develop effective strategies to optimize their market positions.
With over 500 specialized analysts, Technavio's report library consists of more than 17,000 reports and counting, covering 800 technologies, spanning across 50 countries. Their client base consists of enterprises of all sizes, including more than 100 Fortune 500 companies. This growing client base relies on Technavio's comprehensive coverage, extensive research, and actionable market insights to identify opportunities in existing and potential markets and assess their competitive positions within changing market scenarios.
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Email:media@technavio.com
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NY Fed Finds Medium, Long-Term Inflation Expectations Jump Amid Surge In Stock Market Optimism
NY Fed Finds Medium, Long-Term Inflation Expectations Jump Amid Surge In Stock Market Optimism
One month after the inflation outlook tracked…
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One month after the inflation outlook tracked by the NY Fed Consumer Survey extended their late 2023 slide, with 3Y inflation expectations in January sliding to a record low 2.4% (from 2.6% in December), even as 1 and 5Y inflation forecasts remained flat, moments ago the NY Fed reported that in February there was a sharp rebound in longer-term inflation expectations, rising to 2.7% from 2.4% at the three-year ahead horizon, and jumping to 2.9% from 2.5% at the five-year ahead horizon, while the 1Y inflation outlook was flat for the 3rd month in a row, stuck at 3.0%.
The increases in both the three-year ahead and five-year ahead measures were most pronounced for respondents with at most high school degrees (in other words, the "really smart folks" are expecting deflation soon). The survey’s measure of disagreement across respondents (the difference between the 75th and 25th percentile of inflation expectations) decreased at all horizons, while the median inflation uncertainty—or the uncertainty expressed regarding future inflation outcomes—declined at the one- and three-year ahead horizons and remained unchanged at the five-year ahead horizon.
Going down the survey, we find that the median year-ahead expected price changes increased by 0.1 percentage point to 4.3% for gas; decreased by 1.8 percentage points to 6.8% for the cost of medical care (its lowest reading since September 2020); decreased by 0.1 percentage point to 5.8% for the cost of a college education; and surprisingly decreased by 0.3 percentage point for rent to 6.1% (its lowest reading since December 2020), and remained flat for food at 4.9%.
We find the rent expectations surprising because it is happening just asking rents are rising across the country.
At the same time as consumers erroneously saw sharply lower rents, median home price growth expectations remained unchanged for the fifth consecutive month at 3.0%.
Turning to the labor market, the survey found that the average perceived likelihood of voluntary and involuntary job separations increased, while the perceived likelihood of finding a job (in the event of a job loss) declined. "The mean probability of leaving one’s job voluntarily in the next 12 months also increased, by 1.8 percentage points to 19.5%."
Mean unemployment expectations - or the mean probability that the U.S. unemployment rate will be higher one year from now - decreased by 1.1 percentage points to 36.1%, the lowest reading since February 2022. Additionally, the median one-year-ahead expected earnings growth was unchanged at 2.8%, remaining slightly below its 12-month trailing average of 2.9%.
Turning to household finance, we find the following:
- The median expected growth in household income remained unchanged at 3.1%. The series has been moving within a narrow range of 2.9% to 3.3% since January 2023, and remains above the February 2020 pre-pandemic level of 2.7%.
- Median household spending growth expectations increased by 0.2 percentage point to 5.2%. The increase was driven by respondents with a high school degree or less.
- Median year-ahead expected growth in government debt increased to 9.3% from 8.9%.
- The mean perceived probability that the average interest rate on saving accounts will be higher in 12 months increased by 0.6 percentage point to 26.1%, remaining below its 12-month trailing average of 30%.
- Perceptions about households’ current financial situations deteriorated somewhat with fewer respondents reporting being better off than a year ago. Year-ahead expectations also deteriorated marginally with a smaller share of respondents expecting to be better off and a slightly larger share of respondents expecting to be worse off a year from now.
- The mean perceived probability that U.S. stock prices will be higher 12 months from now increased by 1.4 percentage point to 38.9%.
- At the same time, perceptions and expectations about credit access turned less optimistic: "Perceptions of credit access compared to a year ago deteriorated with a larger share of respondents reporting tighter conditions and a smaller share reporting looser conditions compared to a year ago."
Also, a smaller percentage of consumers, 11.45% vs 12.14% in prior month, expect to not be able to make minimum debt payment over the next three months
Last, and perhaps most humorous, is the now traditional cognitive dissonance one observes with these polls, because at a time when long-term inflation expectations jumped, which clearly suggests that financial conditions will need to be tightened, the number of respondents expecting higher stock prices one year from today jumped to the highest since November 2021... which incidentally is just when the market topped out during the last cycle before suffering a painful bear market.
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Homes listed for sale in early June sell for $7,700 more
New Zillow research suggests the spring home shopping season may see a second wave this summer if mortgage rates fall
The post Homes listed for sale in…
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- A Zillow analysis of 2023 home sales finds homes listed in the first two weeks of June sold for 2.3% more.
- The best time to list a home for sale is a month later than it was in 2019, likely driven by mortgage rates.
- The best time to list can be as early as the second half of February in San Francisco, and as late as the first half of July in New York and Philadelphia.
Spring home sellers looking to maximize their sale price may want to wait it out and list their home for sale in the first half of June. A new Zillow® analysis of 2023 sales found that homes listed in the first two weeks of June sold for 2.3% more, a $7,700 boost on a typical U.S. home.
The best time to list consistently had been early May in the years leading up to the pandemic. The shift to June suggests mortgage rates are strongly influencing demand on top of the usual seasonality that brings buyers to the market in the spring. This home-shopping season is poised to follow a similar pattern as that in 2023, with the potential for a second wave if the Federal Reserve lowers interest rates midyear or later.
The 2.3% sale price premium registered last June followed the first spring in more than 15 years with mortgage rates over 6% on a 30-year fixed-rate loan. The high rates put home buyers on the back foot, and as rates continued upward through May, they were still reassessing and less likely to bid boldly. In June, however, rates pulled back a little from 6.79% to 6.67%, which likely presented an opportunity for determined buyers heading into summer. More buyers understood their market position and could afford to transact, boosting competition and sale prices.
The old logic was that sellers could earn a premium by listing in late spring, when search activity hit its peak. Now, with persistently low inventory, mortgage rate fluctuations make their own seasonality. First-time home buyers who are on the edge of qualifying for a home loan may dip in and out of the market, depending on what’s happening with rates. It is almost certain the Federal Reserve will push back any interest-rate cuts to mid-2024 at the earliest. If mortgage rates follow, that could bring another surge of buyers later this year.
Mortgage rates have been impacting affordability and sale prices since they began rising rapidly two years ago. In 2022, sellers nationwide saw the highest sale premium when they listed their home in late March, right before rates barreled past 5% and continued climbing.
Zillow’s research finds the best time to list can vary widely by metropolitan area. In 2023, it was as early as the second half of February in San Francisco, and as late as the first half of July in New York. Thirty of the top 35 largest metro areas saw for-sale listings command the highest sale prices between May and early July last year.
Zillow also found a wide range in the sale price premiums associated with homes listed during those peak periods. At the hottest time of the year in San Jose, homes sold for 5.5% more, a $88,000 boost on a typical home. Meanwhile, homes in San Antonio sold for 1.9% more during that same time period.
| Metropolitan Area | Best Time to List | Price Premium | Dollar Boost |
| United States | First half of June | 2.3% | $7,700 |
| New York, NY | First half of July | 2.4% | $15,500 |
| Los Angeles, CA | First half of May | 4.1% | $39,300 |
| Chicago, IL | First half of June | 2.8% | $8,800 |
| Dallas, TX | First half of June | 2.5% | $9,200 |
| Houston, TX | Second half of April | 2.0% | $6,200 |
| Washington, DC | Second half of June | 2.2% | $12,700 |
| Philadelphia, PA | First half of July | 2.4% | $8,200 |
| Miami, FL | First half of June | 2.3% | $12,900 |
| Atlanta, GA | Second half of June | 2.3% | $8,700 |
| Boston, MA | Second half of May | 3.5% | $23,600 |
| Phoenix, AZ | First half of June | 3.2% | $14,700 |
| San Francisco, CA | Second half of February | 4.2% | $50,300 |
| Riverside, CA | First half of May | 2.7% | $15,600 |
| Detroit, MI | First half of July | 3.3% | $7,900 |
| Seattle, WA | First half of June | 4.3% | $31,500 |
| Minneapolis, MN | Second half of May | 3.7% | $13,400 |
| San Diego, CA | Second half of April | 3.1% | $29,600 |
| Tampa, FL | Second half of June | 2.1% | $8,000 |
| Denver, CO | Second half of May | 2.9% | $16,900 |
| Baltimore, MD | First half of July | 2.2% | $8,200 |
| St. Louis, MO | First half of June | 2.9% | $7,000 |
| Orlando, FL | First half of June | 2.2% | $8,700 |
| Charlotte, NC | Second half of May | 3.0% | $11,000 |
| San Antonio, TX | First half of June | 1.9% | $5,400 |
| Portland, OR | Second half of April | 2.6% | $14,300 |
| Sacramento, CA | First half of June | 3.2% | $17,900 |
| Pittsburgh, PA | Second half of June | 2.3% | $4,700 |
| Cincinnati, OH | Second half of April | 2.7% | $7,500 |
| Austin, TX | Second half of May | 2.8% | $12,600 |
| Las Vegas, NV | First half of June | 3.4% | $14,600 |
| Kansas City, MO | Second half of May | 2.5% | $7,300 |
| Columbus, OH | Second half of June | 3.3% | $10,400 |
| Indianapolis, IN | First half of July | 3.0% | $8,100 |
| Cleveland, OH | First half of July | 3.4% | $7,400 |
| San Jose, CA | First half of June | 5.5% | $88,400 |
The post Homes listed for sale in early June sell for $7,700 more appeared first on Zillow Research.
federal reserve pandemic home sales mortgage rates interest ratesUncategorized
February Employment Situation
By Paul Gomme and Peter Rupert The establishment data from the BLS showed a 275,000 increase in payroll employment for February, outpacing the 230,000…
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By Paul Gomme and Peter Rupert
The establishment data from the BLS showed a 275,000 increase in payroll employment for February, outpacing the 230,000 average over the previous 12 months. The payroll data for January and December were revised down by a total of 167,000. The private sector added 223,000 new jobs, the largest gain since May of last year.
Temporary help services employment continues a steep decline after a sharp post-pandemic rise.
Average hours of work increased from 34.2 to 34.3. The increase, along with the 223,000 private employment increase led to a hefty increase in total hours of 5.6% at an annualized rate, also the largest increase since May of last year.
The establishment report, once again, beat “expectations;” the WSJ survey of economists was 198,000. Other than the downward revisions, mentioned above, another bit of negative news was a smallish increase in wage growth, from $34.52 to $34.57.
The household survey shows that the labor force increased 150,000, a drop in employment of 184,000 and an increase in the number of unemployed persons of 334,000. The labor force participation rate held steady at 62.5, the employment to population ratio decreased from 60.2 to 60.1 and the unemployment rate increased from 3.66 to 3.86. Remember that the unemployment rate is the number of unemployed relative to the labor force (the number employed plus the number unemployed). Consequently, the unemployment rate can go up if the number of unemployed rises holding fixed the labor force, or if the labor force shrinks holding the number unemployed unchanged. An increase in the unemployment rate is not necessarily a bad thing: it may reflect a strong labor market drawing “marginally attached” individuals from outside the labor force. Indeed, there was a 96,000 decline in those workers.
Earlier in the week, the BLS announced JOLTS (Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey) data for January. There isn’t much to report here as the job openings changed little at 8.9 million, the number of hires and total separations were little changed at 5.7 million and 5.3 million, respectively.
As has been the case for the last couple of years, the number of job openings remains higher than the number of unemployed persons.
Also earlier in the week the BLS announced that productivity increased 3.2% in the 4th quarter with output rising 3.5% and hours of work rising 0.3%.
The bottom line is that the labor market continues its surprisingly (to some) strong performance, once again proving stronger than many had expected. This strength makes it difficult to justify any interest rate cuts soon, particularly given the recent inflation spike.
unemployment pandemic unemployment
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