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Price analysis 11/18: BTC, ETH, XRP, LINK, LTC, BCH, DOT, BNB, ADA, BSV

Price analysis 11/18: BTC, ETH, XRP, LINK, LTC, BCH, DOT, BNB, ADA, BSV

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Bitcoin price looks ready to consolidate after reaching a new 2020 high and altcoins may attempt to recover from their sharp losses.

Within the last 24-hours, Bitcoin (BTC) price hit an intraday high of $18,466.14 and this is just roughly 8% lower than the magical $20,000 figure being watched by many traders. 

However, investors in several countries such as Russia, Argentina, Brazil, and Mexico have already seen their Bitcoin holdings hit a new all-time high in their local currency. Even Bitcoin’s market capitalization has hit a new record high, topping the high created in December 2017.

With institutional investors finally arriving in herds, it seems it is only a matter of time before Bitcoin finally overtakes $20,000 and sets a new all-time high.

Adding to the list of high profile billionaire’s acquiring Bitcoin, Ricardo Salinas Pliego, Mexico’s second-richest man, recently announced that he had invested in the digital asset. Accordion to Pliego, 10% of his liquid assets are held in Bitcoin.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

Even existing investors have added to their holdings. Galaxy Digital chairman and CEO Mike Novogratz recently said that he had purchased more Bitcoin at $15,800 as he expects a rally to $65,000. Novogratz believes that “the network effect has taken over” and with “tons of new buyers” coming in, the limited supply will not be enough.

The steady institutional inflow has resulted in Grayscale Investments Bitcoin holdings surging to over 500,000 Bitcoin. An annual survey from the company revealed that about 38% of the respondents have bought Bitcoin in the past four months. 63% of these investors said that the coronavirus pandemic was the main factor that influenced their decision to purchase Bitcoin.

After today’s spectacular rally, many investors are searching for hints on whether Bitcoin will continue its uptrend or correct sharply from the current levels.

Let’s analyze the top-10 cryptocurrencies to see what the charts project.

BTC/USD

Bitcoin’s (BTC) momentum was very strong in the past two days and while many investors believed that $17,200 would serve as a major resistance, the price sliced right through it with ease.

However, the cryptocurrency has been running hard since early October and it may soon tire out if it keeps proceeding at the current pace.

BTC/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView

If it takes a break to regroup and then resume the uptrend, this would be a positive as it would all the current rally to have longer staying power. The price has currently formed a Doji candlestick and this shows there is indecision among the bulls and the bears.

If the price corrects to the 20-day exponential moving average ($15,528), placed just above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, it may be considered a healthy sign.

Even if the price does not correct, a range-bound action between $16,500 and $18,500 will be positive.

Contrary to this assumption, if the momentum drives the BTC/USD pair to new highs without any pullback, then the possibility of the record highs sustaining will be lowered. At that time, a correction could be vicious as there is no major support until $12,500.

The relative strength index (RSI) has been trading between 70 and 84 for about a month, which shows that the trend is strong but also overextended. Hence, at the risk of missing out on some part of the rally, traders should keep their greed in check and trade with suitable stop losses.

ETH/USD

Ether (ETH) inched above the overhead resistance at $488.134 today but the bulls could not sustain the breakout. This shows that the bears are defending the overhead resistance aggressively.

ETH/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView

However, if the bulls do not allow the price to dip below the 20-day EMA ($442), it will suggest accumulation at lower levels. If the price consolidates near the overhead resistance, it will increase the possibility of a break above it.

If the ETH/USD pair sustains above $488.134, the rally could extend to $520 and then to $550.

On the other hand, if the bears sink the price below the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that the momentum has weakened. A break below the 50-day simple moving average ($399) will tilt the advantage in favor of the bears.

XRP/USD

XRP reached its first target objective at $0.303746 on Nov. 17 and short-term traders seem to have booked profits at this level as seen from the sharp correction today. However, the bulls are trying to arrest the decline at the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of $0.278123.

XRP/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView

If they succeed, then another attempt to push the price above the $0.308176 resistance is likely. The next level where the bears may again launch a stiff resistance is $0.326113.

The upsloping moving averages and the RSI near overbought territory suggest that bulls have the upper hand.

Contrary to this assumption, if the XRP/USD pair dips below $0.278123, a decline to the 20-day EMA ($0.264) is likely.

LINK/USD

Chainlink (LINK) broke above the $13.28 overhead resistance on Nov. 17 but the bulls are struggling to sustain the breakout. This suggests that the bears are attempting to sink the price back below the breakout level.

LINK/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the LINK/USD pair breaks and sustains below the 20-day EMA ($12.26), it will invalidate the bullish inverse head and shoulders pattern.

Conversely, if the bulls manage to sustain the price above the breakout level of $13.28, the pair could start its journey towards the target objective of $19.2731. The upsloping moving averages and the RSI above 59 suggest that bulls are in command.

LTC/USD

Litecoin (LTC) is currently witnessing a pullback in an uptrend but the long tail on the candlestick shows strong buying at the breakout level of $68.9008. This suggests that the bulls have managed to flip $68.9008 as support. This level may now act as a floor during future declines.

LTC/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView

The rising moving averages and the RSI in the positive zone suggest that the bulls are in control. They will now attempt to push the price above the $77.20 resistance and resume the uptrend. If they succeed, the LTC/USD pair could rally to $100.

On the contrary, if the bears sink the price below the immediate support at $68.9008, it will suggest that the momentum has weakened. A break below the 20-day EMA ($62.92) could signal that the bears have made a strong comeback.

BCH/USD

Bitcoin Cash (BCH) continues to face stiff resistance at the 20-day EMA ($255). This is a negative sign as it suggests that the bulls are not able to absorb the selling by the bears and push the price higher.

BCH/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView

The price has broken below the moving averages and the bears will now try to sink the BCH/USD pair below the immediate support at $242. If they succeed, the pair could drop to the $231 support.

A break below $231 will increase the likelihood of a fall to $200 but if the pair rebounds off $231, the range-bound action may continue for a few more days. The flat moving averages and the RSI in the negative territory suggest a minor advantage to the bears.

DOT/USD

Polkadot (DOT) bounced off the 20-day EMA ($4.41) on Nov. 16 and reached the overhead resistance at $4.95 on Nov. 17. The bears are currently trying to defend the resistance and keep the altcoin range-bound for a few more days.

DOT/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView

However, the gradually upsloping 20-day EMA and the RSI in positive territory suggest that bulls have the upper hand.

If the price rebounds off the 20-day EMA, the buyers may once again attempt to clear the hurdle at $4.95. If they can do that, the DOT/USD pair could move up to $5.5899.

Contrary to this assumption, if the pair breaks below the moving averages, the range-bound action between $3.80 and $4.95 could continue for a few more days.

BNB/USD

The bulls failed to propel Binance Coin (BNB) above the $27.30 to $28.97 range today as the price turned down from the overhead resistance. This suggests that buying dries up at higher levels.

BNB/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView

However, this tight range trading is unlikely to continue for long. Soon, the BNB/USD pair will either break above or below the range. It is difficult to predict the direction of the breakout because the indicators are suggesting a balance between supply and demand.

Therefore, it is better to wait for the price to escape the range before placing large bets. If the bulls push the price above the range, a rally to $32 is possible. Conversely, if the bears sink the price below $27.30, the pair could retest the critical support at $25.6652.

ADA/USD

The bulls pushed Cardano (ADA) above the downtrend line on Nov. 17 but they have not been able to clear the hurdle at $0.1142241. This suggests that the bears are defending this overhead resistance.

ADA/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView

However, if the ADA/USD pair does not dip back below the downtrend line, the bulls will once again try to propel the price above the overhead resistance. If they manage to do that, the pair will complete a double bottom pattern that has a target objective of $0.1391.

If the RSI breaks and sustains above 60, it could signal a possible pick up in momentum that could result in a break above $0.1142241. This bullish view will be invalidated if the pair breaks below the $0.098822 support.

BSV/USD

Bitcoin SV (BSV) rallied above the downtrend line on Nov. 17 but the bulls have not been able to sustain the momentum. This suggests that traders are closing their positions even on minor rallies.

BSV/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bears are currently trying to sink the BSV/USD pair back below the downtrend line, while the bulls are attempting to achieve a close above it. The flat moving averages and the RSI close to the midpoint does not give a clear advantage either to the bulls or the bears.

A close above the downtrend line could increase the possibility of a rally to $181 while a close below the line may result in a drop to $146. The next trending move could start after the pair breaks above or below the $181 to $146 range.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Market data is provided by HitBTC exchange.

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Default: San Francisco Four Seasons Hotel Investors $3 Million Late On Loan As Foreclosure Looms

Default: San Francisco Four Seasons Hotel Investors $3 Million Late On Loan As Foreclosure Looms

Westbrook Partners, which acquired the San…

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Default: San Francisco Four Seasons Hotel Investors $3 Million Late On Loan As Foreclosure Looms

Westbrook Partners, which acquired the San Francisco Four Seasons luxury hotel building, has been served a notice of default, as the developer has failed to make its monthly loan payment since December, and is currently behind by more than $3 million, the San Francisco Business Times reports.

Westbrook, which acquired the property at 345 California Center in 2019, has 90 days to bring their account current with its lender or face foreclosure.

Related

As SF Gate notes, downtown San Francisco hotel investors have had a terrible few years - with interest rates higher than their pre-pandemic levels, and local tourism continuing to suffer thanks to the city's legendary mismanagement that has resulted in overlapping drug, crime, and homelessness crises (which SF Gate characterizes as "a negative media narrative).

Last summer, the owner of San Francisco’s Hilton Union Square and Parc 55 hotels abandoned its loan in the first major default. Industry insiders speculate that loan defaults like this may become more common given the difficult period for investors.

At a visitor impact summit in August, a senior director of hospitality analytics for the CoStar Group reported that there are 22 active commercial mortgage-backed securities loans for hotels in San Francisco maturing in the next two years. Of these hotel loans, 17 are on CoStar’s “watchlist,” as they are at a higher risk of default, the analyst said. -SF Gate

The 155-room Four Seasons San Francisco at Embarcadero currenly occupies the top 11 floors of the iconic skyscrper. After slow renovations, the hotel officially reopened in the summer of 2021.

"Regarding the landscape of the hotel community in San Francisco, the short term is a challenging situation due to high interest rates, fewer guests compared to pre-pandemic and the relatively high costs attached with doing business here," Alex Bastian, President and CEO of the Hotel Council of San Francisco, told SFGATE.

Heightened Risks

In January, the owner of the Hilton Financial District at 750 Kearny St. - Portsmouth Square's affiliate Justice Operating Company - defaulted on the property, which had a $97 million loan on the 544-room hotel taken out in 2013. The company says it proposed a loan modification agreement which was under review by the servicer, LNR Partners.

Meanwhile last year Park Hotels & Resorts gave up ownership of two properties, Parc 55 and Hilton Union Square - which were transferred to a receiver that assumed management.

In the third quarter of 2023, the most recent data available, the Hilton Financial District reported $11.1 million in revenue, down from $12.3 million from the third quarter of 2022. The hotel had a net operating loss of $1.56 million in the most recent third quarter.

Occupancy fell to 88% with an average daily rate of $218 in the third quarter compared with 94% and $230 in the same period of 2022. -SF Chronicle

According to the Chronicle, San Francisco's 2024 convention calendar is lighter than it was last year - in part due to key events leaving the city for cheaper, less crime-ridden places like Las Vegas

Tyler Durden Sun, 03/17/2024 - 18:05

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Mistakes Were Made

Mistakes Were Made

Authored by C.J.Hopkins via The Consent Factory,

Make fun of the Germans all you want, and I’ve certainly done that…

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Mistakes Were Made

Authored by C.J.Hopkins via The Consent Factory,

Make fun of the Germans all you want, and I’ve certainly done that a bit during these past few years, but, if there’s one thing they’re exceptionally good at, it’s taking responsibility for their mistakes. Seriously, when it comes to acknowledging one’s mistakes, and not rationalizing, or minimizing, or attempting to deny them, and any discomfort they may have allegedly caused, no one does it quite like the Germans.

Take this Covid mess, for example. Just last week, the German authorities confessed that they made a few minor mistakes during their management of the “Covid pandemic.” According to Karl Lauterbach, the Minister of Health, “we were sometimes too strict with the children and probably started easing the restrictions a little too late.” Horst Seehofer, the former Interior Minister, admitted that he would no longer agree to some of the Covid restrictions today, for example, nationwide nighttime curfews. “One must be very careful with calls for compulsory vaccination,” he added. Helge Braun, Head of the Chancellery and Minister for Special Affairs under Merkel, agreed that there had been “misjudgments,” for example, “overestimating the effectiveness of the vaccines.”

This display of the German authorities’ unwavering commitment to transparency and honesty, and the principle of personal honor that guides the German authorities in all their affairs, and that is deeply ingrained in the German character, was published in a piece called “The Divisive Virus” in Der Spiegel, and immediately widely disseminated by the rest of the German state and corporate media in a totally organic manner which did not in any way resemble one enormous Goebbelsian keyboard instrument pumping out official propaganda in perfect synchronization, or anything creepy and fascistic like that.

Germany, after all, is “an extremely democratic state,” with freedom of speech and the press and all that, not some kind of totalitarian country where the masses are inundated with official propaganda and critics of the government are dragged into criminal court and prosecuted on trumped-up “hate crime” charges.

OK, sure, in a non-democratic totalitarian system, such public “admissions of mistakes” — and the synchronized dissemination thereof by the media — would just be a part of the process of whitewashing the authorities’ fascistic behavior during some particularly totalitarian phase of transforming society into whatever totalitarian dystopia they were trying to transform it into (for example, a three-year-long “state of emergency,” which they declared to keep the masses terrorized and cooperative while they stripped them of their democratic rights, i.e., the ones they hadn’t already stripped them of, and conditioned them to mindlessly follow orders, and robotically repeat nonsensical official slogans, and vent their impotent hatred and fear at the new “Untermenschen” or “counter-revolutionaries”), but that is obviously not the case here.

No, this is definitely not the German authorities staging a public “accountability” spectacle in order to memory-hole what happened during 2020-2023 and enshrine the official narrative in history. There’s going to be a formal “Inquiry Commission” — conducted by the same German authorities that managed the “crisis” — which will get to the bottom of all the regrettable but completely understandable “mistakes” that were made in the heat of the heroic battle against The Divisive Virus!

OK, calm down, all you “conspiracy theorists,” “Covid deniers,” and “anti-vaxxers.” This isn’t going to be like the Nuremberg Trials. No one is going to get taken out and hanged. It’s about identifying and acknowledging mistakes, and learning from them, so that the authorities can manage everything better during the next “pandemic,” or “climate emergency,” or “terrorist attack,” or “insurrection,” or whatever.

For example, the Inquiry Commission will want to look into how the government accidentally declared a Nationwide State of Pandemic Emergency and revised the Infection Protection Act, suspending the German constitution and granting the government the power to rule by decree, on account of a respiratory virus that clearly posed no threat to society at large, and then unleashed police goon squads on the thousands of people who gathered outside the Reichstag to protest the revocation of their constitutional rights.

Once they do, I’m sure they’ll find that that “mistake” bears absolutely no resemblance to the Enabling Act of 1933, which suspended the German constitution and granted the government the power to rule by decree, after the Nazis declared a nationwide “state of emergency.”

Another thing the Commission will probably want to look into is how the German authorities accidentally banned any further demonstrations against their arbitrary decrees, and ordered the police to brutalize anyone participating in such “illegal demonstrations.”

And, while the Commission is inquiring into the possibly slightly inappropriate behavior of their law enforcement officials, they might want to also take a look at the behavior of their unofficial goon squads, like Antifa, which they accidentally encouraged to attack the “anti-vaxxers,” the “Covid deniers,” and anyone brandishing a copy of the German constitution.

Come to think of it, the Inquiry Commission might also want to look into how the German authorities, and the overwhelming majority of the state and corporate media, accidentally systematically fomented mass hatred of anyone who dared to question the government’s arbitrary and nonsensical decrees or who refused to submit to “vaccination,” and publicly demonized us as “Corona deniers,” “conspiracy theorists,” “anti-vaxxers,” “far-right anti-Semites,” etc., to the point where mainstream German celebrities like Sarah Bosetti were literally describing us as the inessential “appendix” in the body of the nation, quoting an infamous Nazi almost verbatim.

And then there’s the whole “vaccination” business. The Commission will certainly want to inquire into that. They will probably want to start their inquiry with Karl Lauterbach, and determine exactly how he accidentally lied to the public, over and over, and over again …

And whipped people up into a mass hysteria over “KILLER VARIANTS” …

And “LONG COVID BRAIN ATTACKS” …

And how “THE UNVACCINATED ARE HOLDING THE WHOLE COUNTRY HOSTAGE, SO WE NEED TO FORCIBLY VACCINATE EVERYONE!”

And so on. I could go on with this all day, but it will be much easier to just refer you, and the Commission, to this documentary film by Aya Velázquez. Non-German readers may want to skip to the second half, unless they’re interested in the German “Corona Expert Council” …

Look, the point is, everybody makes “mistakes,” especially during a “state of emergency,” or a war, or some other type of global “crisis.” At least we can always count on the Germans to step up and take responsibility for theirs, and not claim that they didn’t know what was happening, or that they were “just following orders,” or that “the science changed.”

Plus, all this Covid stuff is ancient history, and, as Olaf, an editor at Der Spiegel, reminds us, it’s time to put the “The Divisive Pandemic” behind us …

… and click heels, and heil the New Normal Democracy!

Tyler Durden Sat, 03/16/2024 - 23:20

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Harvard Medical School Professor Was Fired Over Not Getting COVID Vaccine

Harvard Medical School Professor Was Fired Over Not Getting COVID Vaccine

Authored by Zachary Stieber via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

A…

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Harvard Medical School Professor Was Fired Over Not Getting COVID Vaccine

Authored by Zachary Stieber via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

A Harvard Medical School professor who refused to get a COVID-19 vaccine has been terminated, according to documents reviewed by The Epoch Times.

Martin Kulldorff, epidemiologist and statistician, at his home in Ashford, Conn., on Feb. 11, 2022. (Samira Bouaou/The Epoch Times)

Martin Kulldorff, an epidemiologist, was fired by Mass General Brigham in November 2021 over noncompliance with the hospital’s COVID-19 vaccine mandate after his requests for exemptions from the mandate were denied, according to one document. Mr. Kulldorff was also placed on leave by Harvard Medical School (HMS) because his appointment as professor of medicine there “depends upon” holding a position at the hospital, another document stated.

Mr. Kulldorff asked HMS in late 2023 how he could return to his position and was told he was being fired.

You would need to hold an eligible appointment with a Harvard-affiliated institution for your HMS academic appointment to continue,” Dr. Grace Huang, dean for faculty affairs, told the epidemiologist and biostatistician.

She said the lack of an appointment, combined with college rules that cap leaves of absence at two years, meant he was being terminated.

Mr. Kulldorff disclosed the firing for the first time this month.

“While I can’t comment on the specifics due to employment confidentiality protections that preclude us from doing so, I can confirm that his employment agreement was terminated November 10, 2021,” a spokesperson for Brigham and Women’s Hospital told The Epoch Times via email.

Mass General Brigham granted just 234 exemption requests out of 2,402 received, according to court filings in an ongoing case that alleges discrimination.

The hospital said previously, “We received a number of exemption requests, and each request was carefully considered by a knowledgeable team of reviewers.

A lot of other people received exemptions, but I did not,” Mr. Kulldorff told The Epoch Times.

Mr. Kulldorff was originally hired by HMS but switched departments in 2015 to work at the Department of Medicine at Brigham and Women’s Hospital, which is part of Mass General Brigham and affiliated with HMS.

Harvard Medical School has affiliation agreements with several Boston hospitals which it neither owns nor operationally controls,” an HMS spokesperson told The Epoch Times in an email. “Hospital-based faculty, such as Mr. Kulldorff, are employed by one of the affiliates, not by HMS, and require an active hospital appointment to maintain an academic appointment at Harvard Medical School.”

HMS confirmed that some faculty, who are tenured or on the tenure track, do not require hospital appointments.

Natural Immunity

Before the COVID-19 vaccines became available, Mr. Kulldorff contracted COVID-19. He was hospitalized but eventually recovered.

That gave him a form of protection known as natural immunity. According to a number of studies, including papers from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, natural immunity is better than the protection bestowed by vaccines.

Other studies have found that people with natural immunity face a higher risk of problems after vaccination.

Mr. Kulldorff expressed his concerns about receiving a vaccine in his request for a medical exemption, pointing out a lack of data for vaccinating people who suffer from the same issue he does.

I already had superior infection-acquired immunity; and it was risky to vaccinate me without proper efficacy and safety studies on patients with my type of immune deficiency,” Mr. Kulldorff wrote in an essay.

In his request for a religious exemption, he highlighted an Israel study that was among the first to compare protection after infection to protection after vaccination. Researchers found that the vaccinated had less protection than the naturally immune.

“Having had COVID disease, I have stronger longer lasting immunity than those vaccinated (Gazit et al). Lacking scientific rationale, vaccine mandates are religious dogma, and I request a religious exemption from COVID vaccination,” he wrote.

Both requests were denied.

Mr. Kulldorff is still unvaccinated.

“I had COVID. I had it badly. So I have infection-acquired immunity. So I don’t need the vaccine,” he told The Epoch Times.

Dissenting Voice

Mr. Kulldorff has been a prominent dissenting voice during the COVID-19 pandemic, countering messaging from the government and many doctors that the COVID-19 vaccines were needed, regardless of prior infection.

He spoke out in an op-ed in April 2021, for instance, against requiring people to provide proof of vaccination to attend shows, go to school, and visit restaurants.

The idea that everybody needs to be vaccinated is as scientifically baseless as the idea that nobody does. Covid vaccines are essential for older, high-risk people and their caretakers and advisable for many others. But those who’ve been infected are already immune,” he wrote at the time.

Mr. Kulldorff later co-authored the Great Barrington Declaration, which called for focused protection of people at high risk while removing restrictions for younger, healthy people.

Harsh restrictions such as school closures “will cause irreparable damage” if not lifted, the declaration stated.

The declaration drew criticism from Dr. Anthony Fauci, head of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, and Dr. Rochelle Walensky, who became the head of the CDC, among others.

In a competing document, Dr. Walensky and others said that “relying upon immunity from natural infections for COVID-19 is flawed” and that “uncontrolled transmission in younger people risks significant morbidity(3) and mortality across the whole population.”

“Those who are pushing these vaccine mandates and vaccine passports—vaccine fanatics, I would call them—to me they have done much more damage during this one year than the anti-vaxxers have done in two decades,” Mr. Kulldorff later said in an EpochTV interview. “I would even say that these vaccine fanatics, they are the biggest anti-vaxxers that we have right now. They’re doing so much more damage to vaccine confidence than anybody else.

Surveys indicate that people have less trust now in the CDC and other health institutions than before the pandemic, and data from the CDC and elsewhere show that fewer people are receiving the new COVID-19 vaccines and other shots.

Support

The disclosure that Mr. Kulldorff was fired drew criticism of Harvard and support for Mr. Kulldorff.

The termination “is a massive and incomprehensible injustice,” Dr. Aaron Kheriaty, an ethics expert who was fired from the University of California–Irvine School of Medicine for not getting a COVID-19 vaccine because he had natural immunity, said on X.

The academy is full of people who declined vaccines—mostly with dubious exemptions—and yet Harvard fires the one professor who happens to speak out against government policies.” Dr. Vinay Prasad, an epidemiologist at the University of California–San Francisco, wrote in a blog post. “It looks like Harvard has weaponized its policies and selectively enforces them.”

A petition to reinstate Mr. Kulldorff has garnered more than 1,800 signatures.

Some other doctors said the decision to let Mr. Kulldorff go was correct.

“Actions have consequence,” Dr. Alastair McAlpine, a Canadian doctor, wrote on X. He said Mr. Kulldorff had “publicly undermine[d] public health.”

Tyler Durden Sat, 03/16/2024 - 21:00

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