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Oppenheimer: 3 Stocks That Are Worth a Close Look

Oppenheimer: 3 Stocks That Are Worth a Close Look

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How do you face risk? How do you account for it? Investing is inherently risky, there’s no way around that, and investors must be willing to shoulder that risk in order to reap a profit. The problem now, in the midst of the COVID-19 pandemic, is that our expectations of risk management and the reality of governmental and economic conditions are out of sync.

To start with, economies around the world are practically shut down to combat the spread of the virus. But at the same time, the early models of viral spread and total rates of infection and death and proven to be grossly overstated. To date, some 2 million people worldwide have gotten sick, and there have been about 103,000 deaths – but due to lags and inadequacies in the various testing and reporting policies around the world, those numbers are subject to high uncertainty.

A recent report from Oppenheimer lays out a case for buying into the markets now, while prices are still relatively low and before the economy restarts. John Stoltzfus, Chief Investment Strategist, advises investors to stick to the tried and true virtues: a diversified portfolio, patience, and well-managed expectation. Stoltzfus suggests an “overall focus … with cyclical sectors including technology, consumer discretionary, and industrials looking particularly attractive for when the tide turns against COVID-19…”

Oppenheimer’s stock analysis teams have been taking these themes to heart, finding investment choices that should pique your interest now, in preparation for longer-term market gains. We’ve used the TipRanks database to pull up three of the firm’s choices, all new rating assignments or upgrades to existing coverage, to find out just why they are compelling stock moves.

iQIYI, Inc. (IQ)

We’ll start in China, where iQIYI has become one of the world’s largest online video and streaming sites. Notice – that’s one of the world’s largest video sites. China has a population of 1.4 billion, and well over 800 million of them are connected to the internet. Even though the country restricts outside web access, its domestic market for online services is huge. In a gross measure of just how big, IQ boasts over 500 million active users and more than 6 billion hours of access every month.

Taking a macro look at IQ’s public trading history, the recent downturn in the markets simply pushed the stock’s price from a modest peak to a modest trough – but the share value remained within the stock’s long-term trading range. With earnings season ahead, China only starting to loosen its coronavirus lockdowns, it’s interesting to note that IQ is expected to post a net loss of 48 cents per share for Q1, in line with the Q4 net loss of 49 cents. While the company operates at a loss for now, revenue has been growing. The Q4 top line was $1 billion, up 7% year-over-year, and significantly higher than expected.

In another key metric, IQ continues to show a positive trend for investors. The company saw subscribed users grow by 106.9 million last quarter, a 22% yoy gain. Of that number, only 1.1% were free trials – the other 98.9% were paying users. While still below Netflix’ numbers, IQ’s growth rate outpaced the American company’s.

IQ’s strong market position convinced Oppenheimer’s Bo Pei to initiate coverage of the stock with a Buy rating and a price target of $23. At current levels, that target suggests an upside of 24%. (To watch Bo Pei’s track record, click here)

In his comments on the stock, the analyst wrote, “Based on our proprietary survey, we believe investors currently underestimate IQ’s ability to lift subscription prices. We also believe IQ will continue to produce high-quality content and to attract new paying subscribers in the coming years. IQ is still early in overseas markets, but as the company expands to Southeast Asia, we see it as another potential growth driver."

Over the past 3 month, "buy" ratings have outnumbered "holds" four-to-two on iQIYI, and the average target price on Wall Street is just a smidge about Oppenheimer's targeted $23 price -- $24.22, across all analysts surveyed by TipRanks. Assuming they're right about that, investors in iQIYI today stand to rake in about 30% profit over the next year. (See iQIYI stock analysis at TipRanks)

Pentair (PNR)

Shifting gears, we move to the water industry. Water is essential in most aspects of human life, and Pentair offers products for filtration, purification, pumping, and disposal in residential, commercial, industrial, municipal, and agriculture applications.

Pentair will be an early reporter for the Q1 results, and hold its conference call on April 30. Heading into the earnings season, after the COVID-19 disruptions of the first quarter, PNR can take comfort in the cushion provided by its strong Q4 results: 68 cents EPS, 13% above estimates, and revenue that rose to $755 million. The EPS forecast for this month’s earnings call is 45 cents, which would represent a 33% drop.

Through past several years, PNR has maintained its dividend payments, adjusting the amount as needed to ensure affordability. The company’s current payment is 19 cents quarterly, sent out to shareholders earlier this week. At 76 cents annualized, the dividend gives a yield of 2.5%. It’s an above average yield, and a far higher return than interest rates or bond yield can currently show.

Writing on the stock for Oppenheimer, Bryan Blair sees reason to upgrade Pentair from Neutral to Buy. He writes, “Although clearly still subject to the fluid demand (and developing supply chain) pressures from COVID-19, we expect PNR to be less impacted than most industrials… Given Aquatics low y/y bar and its generally stable, replacement-driven demand, we envision far less downside (and an earlier rebound) for PNR’s key cash generator vs. the steep declines expected for industrials broadly.”

Blair’s price target on PNR, $38, implies room for a 30% upside. (To watch Blair’s track record, click here)

The Moderate Buy analyst consensus rating on PNR is derived from 3 Buys and 4 Holds, along with a single Sell, all set in recent weeks. Shares are priced at $29.25, and the average price target, at $36.75, indicates that the stock has about 25% growth potential in the coming 12 months. (See Pentair stock analysis on TipRanks)

US Bancorp (USB)

Last up is US Bancorp, one of the major providers of banking services in the US. The company’s subsidiaries control over 3,100 bank branches and 4,800 ATMs in the Midwestern and Western regions of the country. US Bancorp’s services include personal banking, mortgage services, payment processing to and for individuals, merchants, and government entities, and investment banking. The company brought in over $6.9 billion in top line revenue in 2019.

Banks typically lead the earnings season, and USB reported Q1 results earlier this week. The bank’s results were mixed – EPS came in at 72 cents, which was down 33% from Q4 – but was also 47% above the forecast. So, earnings were down, but nowhere near as badly as expected. The company got a tailwind from higher loan and deposit balances, and top-line revenue rose 3.5% yoy to reach $5.77 billion.

Also of interest to investors, USB paid out its 42-cent quarterly dividend on April 15. The payment was the third at the current rate, and gives an annualized yield of 5.3%. USB has an 11-year history of reliable dividend payments, and the payout ratio of 58% signals that the company can afford to keep the dividend reliable.

5-star analyst Chris Kotowski, in his review for Oppenheimer, assigns this stock a Buy rating, with a $59 price target that suggests US Bancorp will see a most robust 80% share appreciation over the next 12 months. (To watch Kotowski’s track record, click here)

In his comments on the stock, Kotowski writes, “USB's 1Q20 results were generally in line with our expectations and highlighted the resilience of the underlying earnings power of the business… Since rates started rising in late 2015, USB has started to see accelerating core earnings growth again. Third-quarter 2019 brought the sixth consecutive quarter of positive operating leverage, and we think USB is now well poised to outperform.”

TipRanks suggests the cautious analysts match up against the bulls rooting for USB's opportunity. Out of 15 analysts polled in the last 3 months, 7 are bullish on the stock, while 6 remain sidelined, and 2 are bearish. With a return potential of 37%, the stock's consensus target price stands at $44.86. (See US Bancorp stock analysis on TipRanks.)

To find good ideas for stocks trading at attractive valuations, visit TipRanks’ Best Stocks to Buy, a newly launched tool that unites all of TipRanks’ equity insights.

The post Oppenheimer: 3 Stocks That Are Worth a Close Look appeared first on TipRanks Financial Blog.

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Key shipping company files for Chapter 11 bankruptcy

The Illinois-based general freight trucking company filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy to reorganize.

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The U.S. trucking industry has had a difficult beginning of the year for 2024 with several logistics companies filing for bankruptcy to seek either a Chapter 7 liquidation or Chapter 11 reorganization.

The Covid-19 pandemic caused a lot of supply chain issues for logistics companies and also created a shortage of truck drivers as many left the business for other occupations. Shipping companies, in the meantime, have had extreme difficulty recruiting new drivers for thousands of unfilled jobs.

Related: Tesla rival’s filing reveals Chapter 11 bankruptcy is possible

Freight forwarder company Boateng Logistics joined a growing list of shipping companies that permanently shuttered their businesses as the firm on Feb. 22 filed for Chapter 7 bankruptcy with plans to liquidate.

The Carlsbad, Calif., logistics company filed its petition in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Southern District of California listing assets up to $50,000 and and $1 million to $10 million in liabilities. Court papers said it owed millions of dollars in liabilities to trucking, logistics and factoring companies. The company filed bankruptcy before any creditors could take legal action.

Lawsuits force companies to liquidate in bankruptcy

Lawsuits, however, can force companies to file bankruptcy, which was the case for J.J. & Sons Logistics of Clint, Texas, which on Jan. 22 filed for Chapter 7 liquidation in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Western District of Texas. The company filed bankruptcy four days before the scheduled start of a trial for a wrongful death lawsuit filed by the family of a former company truck driver who had died from drowning in 2016.

California-based logistics company Wise Choice Trans Corp. shut down operations and filed for Chapter 7 liquidation on Jan. 4 in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Northern District of California, listing $1 million to $10 million in assets and liabilities.

The Hayward, Calif., third-party logistics company, founded in 2009, provided final mile, less-than-truckload and full truckload services, as well as warehouse and fulfillment services in the San Francisco Bay Area.

The Chapter 7 filing also implemented an automatic stay against all legal proceedings, as the company listed its involvement in four legal actions that were ongoing or concluded. Court papers reportedly did not list amounts for damages.

In some cases, debtors don't have to take a drastic action, such as a liquidation, and can instead file a Chapter 11 reorganization.

Truck shipping products.

Shutterstock

Nationwide Cargo seeks to reorganize its business

Nationwide Cargo Inc., a general freight trucking company that also hauls fresh produce and meat, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Northern District of Illinois with plans to reorganize its business.

The East Dundee, Ill., shipping company listed $1 million to $10 million in assets and $10 million to $50 million in liabilities in its petition and said funds will not be available to pay unsecured creditors. The company operates with 183 trucks and 171 drivers, FreightWaves reported.

Nationwide Cargo's three largest secured creditors in the petition were Equify Financial LLC (owed about $3.5 million,) Commercial Credit Group (owed about $1.8 million) and Continental Bank NA (owed about $676,000.)

The shipping company reported gross revenue of about $34 million in 2022 and about $40 million in 2023.  From Jan. 1 until its petition date, the company generated $9.3 million in gross revenue.

Related: Veteran fund manager picks favorite stocks for 2024

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Key shipping company files Chapter 11 bankruptcy

The Illinois-based general freight trucking company filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy to reorganize.

Published

on

The U.S. trucking industry has had a difficult beginning of the year for 2024 with several logistics companies filing for bankruptcy to seek either a Chapter 7 liquidation or Chapter 11 reorganization.

The Covid-19 pandemic caused a lot of supply chain issues for logistics companies and also created a shortage of truck drivers as many left the business for other occupations. Shipping companies, in the meantime, have had extreme difficulty recruiting new drivers for thousands of unfilled jobs.

Related: Tesla rival’s filing reveals Chapter 11 bankruptcy is possible

Freight forwarder company Boateng Logistics joined a growing list of shipping companies that permanently shuttered their businesses as the firm on Feb. 22 filed for Chapter 7 bankruptcy with plans to liquidate.

The Carlsbad, Calif., logistics company filed its petition in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Southern District of California listing assets up to $50,000 and and $1 million to $10 million in liabilities. Court papers said it owed millions of dollars in liabilities to trucking, logistics and factoring companies. The company filed bankruptcy before any creditors could take legal action.

Lawsuits force companies to liquidate in bankruptcy

Lawsuits, however, can force companies to file bankruptcy, which was the case for J.J. & Sons Logistics of Clint, Texas, which on Jan. 22 filed for Chapter 7 liquidation in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Western District of Texas. The company filed bankruptcy four days before the scheduled start of a trial for a wrongful death lawsuit filed by the family of a former company truck driver who had died from drowning in 2016.

California-based logistics company Wise Choice Trans Corp. shut down operations and filed for Chapter 7 liquidation on Jan. 4 in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Northern District of California, listing $1 million to $10 million in assets and liabilities.

The Hayward, Calif., third-party logistics company, founded in 2009, provided final mile, less-than-truckload and full truckload services, as well as warehouse and fulfillment services in the San Francisco Bay Area.

The Chapter 7 filing also implemented an automatic stay against all legal proceedings, as the company listed its involvement in four legal actions that were ongoing or concluded. Court papers reportedly did not list amounts for damages.

In some cases, debtors don't have to take a drastic action, such as a liquidation, and can instead file a Chapter 11 reorganization.

Truck shipping products.

Shutterstock

Nationwide Cargo seeks to reorganize its business

Nationwide Cargo Inc., a general freight trucking company that also hauls fresh produce and meat, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in the U.S. Bankruptcy Court for the Northern District of Illinois with plans to reorganize its business.

The East Dundee, Ill., shipping company listed $1 million to $10 million in assets and $10 million to $50 million in liabilities in its petition and said funds will not be available to pay unsecured creditors. The company operates with 183 trucks and 171 drivers, FreightWaves reported.

Nationwide Cargo's three largest secured creditors in the petition were Equify Financial LLC (owed about $3.5 million,) Commercial Credit Group (owed about $1.8 million) and Continental Bank NA (owed about $676,000.)

The shipping company reported gross revenue of about $34 million in 2022 and about $40 million in 2023.  From Jan. 1 until its petition date, the company generated $9.3 million in gross revenue.

Related: Veteran fund manager picks favorite stocks for 2024

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Tight inventory and frustrated buyers challenge agents in Virginia

With inventory a little more than half of what it was pre-pandemic, agents are struggling to find homes for clients in Virginia.

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No matter where you are in the state, real estate agents in Virginia are facing low inventory conditions that are creating frustrating scenarios for their buyers.

“I think people are getting used to the interest rates where they are now, but there is just a huge lack of inventory,” said Chelsea Newcomb, a RE/MAX Realty Specialists agent based in Charlottesville. “I have buyers that are looking, but to find a house that you love enough to pay a high price for — and to be at over a 6.5% interest rate — it’s just a little bit harder to find something.”

Newcomb said that interest rates and higher prices, which have risen by more than $100,000 since March 2020, according to data from Altos Research, have caused her clients to be pickier when selecting a home.

“When rates and prices were lower, people were more willing to compromise,” Newcomb said.

Out in Wise, Virginia, near the westernmost tip of the state, RE/MAX Cavaliers agent Brett Tiller and his clients are also struggling to find suitable properties.

“The thing that really stands out, especially compared to two years ago, is the lack of quality listings,” Tiller said. “The slightly more upscale single-family listings for move-up buyers with children looking for their forever home just aren’t coming on the market right now, and demand is still very high.”

Statewide, Virginia had a 90-day average of 8,068 active single-family listings as of March 8, 2024, down from 14,471 single-family listings in early March 2020 at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, according to Altos Research. That represents a decrease of 44%.

Virginia-Inventory-Line-Chart-Virginia-90-day-Single-Family

In Newcomb’s base metro area of Charlottesville, there were an average of only 277 active single-family listings during the same recent 90-day period, compared to 892 at the onset of the pandemic. In Wise County, there were only 56 listings.

Due to the demand from move-up buyers in Tiller’s area, the average days on market for homes with a median price of roughly $190,000 was just 17 days as of early March 2024.

“For the right home, which is rare to find right now, we are still seeing multiple offers,” Tiller said. “The demand is the same right now as it was during the heart of the pandemic.”

According to Tiller, the tight inventory has caused homebuyers to spend up to six months searching for their new property, roughly double the time it took prior to the pandemic.

For Matt Salway in the Virginia Beach metro area, the tight inventory conditions are creating a rather hot market.

“Depending on where you are in the area, your listing could have 15 offers in two days,” the agent for Iron Valley Real Estate Hampton Roads | Virginia Beach said. “It has been crazy competition for most of Virginia Beach, and Norfolk is pretty hot too, especially for anything under $400,000.”

According to Altos Research, the Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News housing market had a seven-day average Market Action Index score of 52.44 as of March 14, making it the seventh hottest housing market in the country. Altos considers any Market Action Index score above 30 to be indicative of a seller’s market.

Virginia-Beach-Metro-Area-Market-Action-Index-Line-Chart-Virginia-Beach-Norfolk-Newport-News-VA-NC-90-day-Single-Family

Further up the coastline on the vacation destination of Chincoteague Island, Long & Foster agent Meghan O. Clarkson is also seeing a decent amount of competition despite higher prices and interest rates.

“People are taking their time to actually come see things now instead of buying site unseen, and occasionally we see some seller concessions, but the traffic and the demand is still there; you might just work a little longer with people because we don’t have anything for sale,” Clarkson said.

“I’m busy and constantly have appointments, but the underlying frenzy from the height of the pandemic has gone away, but I think it is because we have just gotten used to it.”

While much of the demand that Clarkson’s market faces is for vacation homes and from retirees looking for a scenic spot to retire, a large portion of the demand in Salway’s market comes from military personnel and civilians working under government contracts.

“We have over a dozen military bases here, plus a bunch of shipyards, so the closer you get to all of those bases, the easier it is to sell a home and the faster the sale happens,” Salway said.

Due to this, Salway said that existing-home inventory typically does not come on the market unless an employment contract ends or the owner is reassigned to a different base, which is currently contributing to the tight inventory situation in his market.

Things are a bit different for Tiller and Newcomb, who are seeing a decent number of buyers from other, more expensive parts of the state.

“One of the crazy things about Louisa and Goochland, which are kind of like suburbs on the western side of Richmond, is that they are growing like crazy,” Newcomb said. “A lot of people are coming in from Northern Virginia because they can work remotely now.”

With a Market Action Index score of 50, it is easy to see why people are leaving the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria market for the Charlottesville market, which has an index score of 41.

In addition, the 90-day average median list price in Charlottesville is $585,000 compared to $729,900 in the D.C. area, which Newcomb said is also luring many Virginia homebuyers to move further south.

Median-Price-D.C.-vs.-Charlottesville-Line-Chart-90-day-Single-Family

“They are very accustomed to higher prices, so they are super impressed with the prices we offer here in the central Virginia area,” Newcomb said.

For local buyers, Newcomb said this means they are frequently being outbid or outpriced.

“A couple who is local to the area and has been here their whole life, they are just now starting to get their mind wrapped around the fact that you can’t get a house for $200,000 anymore,” Newcomb said.

As the year heads closer to spring, triggering the start of the prime homebuying season, agents in Virginia feel optimistic about the market.

“We are seeing seasonal trends like we did up through 2019,” Clarkson said. “The market kind of soft launched around President’s Day and it is still building, but I expect it to pick right back up and be in full swing by Easter like it always used to.”

But while they are confident in demand, questions still remain about whether there will be enough inventory to support even more homebuyers entering the market.

“I have a lot of buyers starting to come off the sidelines, but in my office, I also have a lot of people who are going to list their house in the next two to three weeks now that the weather is starting to break,” Newcomb said. “I think we are going to have a good spring and summer.”

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