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McCarthy Fallout: GOP Fundraising Jitters

McCarthy Fallout: GOP Fundraising Jitters

Authored by Susan Crabtree via RealClear Wire,

House Speaker Kevin McCarthy and his predecessor…

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McCarthy Fallout: GOP Fundraising Jitters

Authored by Susan Crabtree via RealClear Wire,

House Speaker Kevin McCarthy and his predecessor Nancy Pelosi shared an essential strength in modern-day politics that gave them an edge when it came to clawing their way to the top of their parties.

Both Californians are powerhouse fundraisers who spent years helping build out their majorities by showering their colleagues in tight reelections, as well as the party itself, with tens of millions of dollars in cash.

As the dust settles on McCarthy’s swift demise, there’s a nervous edge surrounding the frenetic race to anoint a successor.

Will the chaotic GOP infighting discourage conservative donors from ponying up this cycle? And are the candidates for speaker, Reps. Steve Scalise and Jim Jordan, the declared contenders in the race, and Rep. Kevin Hern, who is still gauging interest, willing and able to do what it takes to remain just as financially competitive with Democrats as when McCarthy was at the helm?

“The biggest question mark is fundraising,” one GOP operative told RealClearPolitics. “The issue set and political environment are very positive for Republicans, and we have a clear playbook to run on – economy, prices, crime, border.

In recent years the speakership has been a blessing and a curse for Republicans as a hardline conservative minority in the House has used the GOP’s thin majorities to hold their leaders’ feet to the fire on promises to cut spending and other priorities.

Republican political operatives want to ensure that the next speaker will devote the time and energy crisscrossing the country, hat in hand, to match or even rival McCarthy’s fundraising juggernaut. They’re also looking for a commitment that the new speaker will spend as much time as team McCarthy did recruiting the right candidates for each district, even if those members are more centrist than the hardline rabble rousers would like.

Also, is the timing right for Scalise, who is undergoing treatment for cancer and already survived a bullet shot to his left hip during a congressional baseball game practice, fracturing bones and injuring internal organs?

And will Jim Jordan, who chairs the House Judiciary Committee and has rattled his colleagues with his hardline public spats, take sides in primaries, or will he back the candidates with the best chance at winning and expanding the Republican majority?

Republican National Committee Chair Ronna McDaniel, who overcame a challenge to her hold on the party’s leadership earlier this year, alluded Tuesday to the myriad fears rippling through the party.

"I've worked with Kevin McCarthy the past four years. You don't get the House without Kevin McCarthy, with the recruitment that he did, with the record number of women and minority members serving in Congress,” she told Fox News. “It takes a lot of flying and a lot of fundraising and a lot of grit to do what he did to get us the House back, and I'm very sad on a personal level for my friend, Kevin McCarthy."

The morning after losing the gavel, McCarthy suggested that what his fellow Republicans should be sad about is that they’ve done this to themselves.

While trying to shore up his support this week, McCarthy said Democrats told him they couldn’t back his effort to hold onto the speakership because of his success as a fundraiser. Already this cycle, McCarthy has channeled millions of dollars to his party’s campaign committees, other candidates, and committees.

“I think the quote was, ‘Why would we help the person that becomes our executioner?’” McCarthy recalled.

He then mocked Rep. Matt Gaetz, who led his ouster, sarcastically remarking, “I’m sure Matt Gaetz will give the NRCC a lot of money.”

While arguing for his removal, Gaetz and Rep. Tim Burchett of Tennessee said McCarthy’s over-emphasis on fundraising from special interests was part of his undoing and a big motivating factor in their thinking.

McCarthy allies pushed back, with the most direct attack coming from conservative Rep. Garret Graves, who groused that Gaetz and his allies were illegally fundraising off the push to oust McCarthy.

All of a sudden, my phone keeps sending text messages – text messages saying, ‘Hey, give me money’,” Graves said during a speech on the House floor. “Oh, look at that. Oh look, ‘Give me money. I filed the motion to vacate.’ Using official actions to raise money. It’s disgusting. It’s what’s disgusting about Washington.”

Shouts of “Shame!” filled the chamber from the Republican side.

“Boo all you want,” Gaetz retorted. “I’ll be happy to fund my political operation through the work of hard-working Americans – 10, and 20 and 30 dollars at a time – and you keep showing up at the lobbyist fundraisers and see how that goes for you.”

The next morning, Gaetz doubled down, sending out another email to would-be supporters, asking for more donations to help him fight the “RINOS” – a common taunt from the right meaning Republicans in Name Only – who attacked and booed him for asking individuals “to weigh in and contribute to this fight.”

Gaetz himself sailed to victory in his own heavily gerrymandered district, despite lingering allegations that he engaged in sex trafficking of a minor. An ongoing House ethics investigation into some of the same accusations may be more threatening. As Gaetz led the revolt against McCarthy over the last few days, some fellow Republicans have called for his expulsion from the House if the ethics committee finds him guilty of breaking House rules.

Despite all the sniping about fundraising and special interests, competing in heavily contested elections in swing districts doesn’t come cheap. It’s also the only way to grow and keep a majority. Even though the red wave that McCarthy and other many other GOP leaders anticipated in 2022 never materialized, Republicans won a net gain of three seats in New York, helping give the GOP its razor-thin majority. In the 2020 cycle, under McCarthy’s leadership, they also gained a total of three seats in the liberal stronghold of California while Donald Trump lost nationwide.

Over the last 24 hours, McCarthy cited these gains as proof of his solid record in his leadership role. All members of the GOP leadership team and top committee members rake in big money – but not at the same level as McCarthy. Last cycle, McCarthy’s personal campaign committee and the Majority Committee, his leadership PAC, amassed a combined $34.5 million, compared to the $21.6 million Scalise collected in his campaign committee and Eye of the Tiger PAC, according to opensecrets.org, the Center for Responsive Politics’ fundraising database.

In the 2022 cycle, Jordan raised nearly $14 million for his personal campaign committee, $126,000 for his Buckeye Liberty PAC, and also played a big role in directing $2.9 million in checks to the House Freedom Fund, the fundraising arm for the conservative House Freedom Caucus.

For several election cycles in a row, McCarthy also has headlined events for multiple joint fundraising committees and assists several outside groups, including the Congressional Leadership Fund and the American Action Network, an affiliated nonprofit. Just this week, CLF and AAN announced a fundraising total of $80 million so far this election cycle, $20 million higher than their previous record of $60 million in the first nine months of 2021.

Under the leadership of Speaker McCarthy, House Republicans are better positioned than ever before to hold and grow the House majority next fall,” CLF President Dan Conston declared in a statement on Monday, before Gaetz moved to oust McCarthy from his job.

Later that day, Conston expressed deep concern about the rebellion against McCarthy, his friend and ally. 

“[McCarthy] is the single most popular congressional leader,” Conston said on X, formerly Twitter. “He’s popular with Republicans nationwide. He is far from a liability in swing states.”

So far this cycle, McCarthy has collected $9 million in his personal campaign committee and nearly $4 million in his leadership PAC, according to the latest federal campaign disclosures. After all he’s been through McCarthy could simply choose to hold onto the cash, effectively withholding it from the GOP 2024 reelection efforts and keeping it on ice for his next political move. When former Republican speakers such as Newt Gingrich and John Boehner gave up their gavels, they left Congress altogether, but McCarthy hasn’t disclosed his plans.

The 16-year veteran of the House has plenty of choices when it comes to the funds he raised. He could retain the sums for a future political run, give them to GOP party committees, dole them out to Republican candidates or donate them to charities.

In a hastily assembled news conference Monday night, McCarthy announced his decision not to run for speaker again and cited upbeat quotes from Abraham Lincoln, Teddy Roosevelt, and Lou Gehrig about his time running the House, insisting he wouldn’t have done anything differently. He pledged to continue to use his fundraising and political clout to help Republicans expand their House majority.

“I’m proud of the fact that as Republican leader, we elected more women, we elected more minorities, we expanded the base,” he told reporters. “We won in places no one thought we would win. The same way you would underestimate me. You always thought we’d lose each time around. We kept gaining.”

Asked if he there was anything he could have done differently with the eight GOP members who voted to remove him, McCarthy was quick to respond:

“Yeah,” he said. “A lot of them, I helped get elected. So, I probably should have picked someone else.”

Susan Crabtree is RealClearPolitics' White House/national political correspondent.

Tyler Durden Fri, 10/06/2023 - 15:25

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Government

Survey Shows Declining Concerns Among Americans About COVID-19

Survey Shows Declining Concerns Among Americans About COVID-19

A new survey reveals that only 20% of Americans view covid-19 as "a major threat"…

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Survey Shows Declining Concerns Among Americans About COVID-19

A new survey reveals that only 20% of Americans view covid-19 as "a major threat" to the health of the US population - a sharp decline from a high of 67% in July 2020.

(SARMDY/Shutterstock)

What's more, the Pew Research Center survey conducted from Feb. 7 to Feb. 11 showed that just 10% of Americans are concerned that they will  catch the disease and require hospitalization.

"This data represents a low ebb of public concern about the virus that reached its height in the summer and fall of 2020, when as many as two-thirds of Americans viewed COVID-19 as a major threat to public health," reads the report, which was published March 7.

According to the survey, half of the participants understand the significance of researchers and healthcare providers in understanding and treating long COVID - however 27% of participants consider this issue less important, while 22% of Americans are unaware of long COVID.

What's more, while Democrats were far more worried than Republicans in the past, that gap has narrowed significantly.

"In the pandemic’s first year, Democrats were routinely about 40 points more likely than Republicans to view the coronavirus as a major threat to the health of the U.S. population. This gap has waned as overall levels of concern have fallen," reads the report.

More via the Epoch Times;

The survey found that three in ten Democrats under 50 have received an updated COVID-19 vaccine, compared with 66 percent of Democrats ages 65 and older.

Moreover, 66 percent of Democrats ages 65 and older have received the updated COVID-19 vaccine, while only 24 percent of Republicans ages 65 and older have done so.

“This 42-point partisan gap is much wider now than at other points since the start of the outbreak. For instance, in August 2021, 93 percent of older Democrats and 78 percent of older Republicans said they had received all the shots needed to be fully vaccinated (a 15-point gap),” it noted.

COVID-19 No Longer an Emergency

The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) recently issued its updated recommendations for the virus, which no longer require people to stay home for five days after testing positive for COVID-19.

The updated guidance recommends that people who contracted a respiratory virus stay home, and they can resume normal activities when their symptoms improve overall and their fever subsides for 24 hours without medication.

“We still must use the commonsense solutions we know work to protect ourselves and others from serious illness from respiratory viruses, this includes vaccination, treatment, and staying home when we get sick,” CDC director Dr. Mandy Cohen said in a statement.

The CDC said that while the virus remains a threat, it is now less likely to cause severe illness because of widespread immunity and improved tools to prevent and treat the disease.

Importantly, states and countries that have already adjusted recommended isolation times have not seen increased hospitalizations or deaths related to COVID-19,” it stated.

The federal government suspended its free at-home COVID-19 test program on March 8, according to a website set up by the government, following a decrease in COVID-19-related hospitalizations.

According to the CDC, hospitalization rates for COVID-19 and influenza diseases remain “elevated” but are decreasing in some parts of the United States.

Tyler Durden Sun, 03/10/2024 - 22:45

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Rand Paul Teases Senate GOP Leader Run – Musk Says “I Would Support”

Rand Paul Teases Senate GOP Leader Run – Musk Says "I Would Support"

Republican Kentucky Senator Rand Paul on Friday hinted that he may jump…

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Rand Paul Teases Senate GOP Leader Run - Musk Says "I Would Support"

Republican Kentucky Senator Rand Paul on Friday hinted that he may jump into the race to become the next Senate GOP leader, and Elon Musk was quick to support the idea. Republicans must find a successor for periodically malfunctioning Mitch McConnell, who recently announced he'll step down in November, though intending to keep his Senate seat until his term ends in January 2027, when he'd be within weeks of turning 86. 

So far, the announced field consists of two quintessential establishment types: John Cornyn of Texas and John Thune of South Dakota. While John Barrasso's name had been thrown around as one of "The Three Johns" considered top contenders, the Wyoming senator on Tuesday said he'll instead seek the number two slot as party whip. 

Paul used X to tease his potential bid for the position which -- if the GOP takes back the upper chamber in November -- could graduate from Minority Leader to Majority Leader. He started by telling his 5.1 million followers he'd had lots of people asking him about his interest in running...

...then followed up with a poll in which he predictably annihilated Cornyn and Thune, taking a 96% share as of Friday night, with the other two below 2% each. 

Elon Musk was quick to back the idea of Paul as GOP leader, while daring Cornyn and Thune to follow Paul's lead by throwing their names out for consideration by the Twitter-verse X-verse. 

Paul has been a stalwart opponent of security-state mass surveillance, foreign interventionism -- to include shoveling billions of dollars into the proxy war in Ukraine -- and out-of-control spending in general. He demonstrated the latter passion on the Senate floor this week as he ridiculed the latest kick-the-can spending package:   

In February, Paul used Senate rules to force his colleagues into a grueling Super Bowl weekend of votes, as he worked to derail a $95 billion foreign aid bill. "I think we should stay here as long as it takes,” said Paul. “If it takes a week or a month, I’ll force them to stay here to discuss why they think the border of Ukraine is more important than the US border.”

Don't expect a Majority Leader Paul to ditch the filibuster -- he's been a hardy user of the legislative delay tactic. In 2013, he spoke for 13 hours to fight the nomination of John Brennan as CIA director. In 2015, he orated for 10-and-a-half-hours to oppose extension of the Patriot Act

Rand Paul amid his 10 1/2 hour filibuster in 2015

Among the general public, Paul is probably best known as Capitol Hill's chief tormentor of Dr. Anthony Fauci, who was director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Disease during the Covid-19 pandemic. Paul says the evidence indicates the virus emerged from China's Wuhan Institute of Virology. He's accused Fauci and other members of the US government public health apparatus of evading questions about their funding of the Chinese lab's "gain of function" research, which takes natural viruses and morphs them into something more dangerous. Paul has pointedly said that Fauci committed perjury in congressional hearings and that he belongs in jail "without question."   

Musk is neither the only nor the first noteworthy figure to back Paul for party leader. Just hours after McConnell announced his upcoming step-down from leadership, independent 2024 presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr voiced his support: 

In a testament to the extent to which the establishment recoils at the libertarian-minded Paul, mainstream media outlets -- which have been quick to report on other developments in the majority leader race -- pretended not to notice that Paul had signaled his interest in the job. More than 24 hours after Paul's test-the-waters tweet-fest began, not a single major outlet had brought it to the attention of their audience. 

That may be his strongest endorsement yet. 

Tyler Durden Sun, 03/10/2024 - 20:25

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Government

The Great Replacement Loophole: Illegal Immigrants Score 5-Year Work Benefit While “Waiting” For Deporation, Asylum

The Great Replacement Loophole: Illegal Immigrants Score 5-Year Work Benefit While "Waiting" For Deporation, Asylum

Over the past several…

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The Great Replacement Loophole: Illegal Immigrants Score 5-Year Work Benefit While "Waiting" For Deporation, Asylum

Over the past several months we've pointed out that there has  been zero job creation for native-born workers since the summer of 2018...

... and that since Joe Biden was sworn into office, most of the post-pandemic job gains the administration continuously brags about have gone foreign-born (read immigrants, mostly illegal ones) workers.

And while the left might find this data almost as verboten as FBI crime statistics - as it directly supports the so-called "great replacement theory" we're not supposed to discuss - it also coincides with record numbers of illegal crossings into the United States under Biden.

In short, the Biden administration opened the floodgates, 10 million illegal immigrants poured into the country, and most of the post-pandemic "jobs recovery" went to foreign-born workers, of which illegal immigrants represent the largest chunk.

Asylum seekers from Venezuela await work permits on June 28, 2023 (via the Chicago Tribune)

'But Tyler, illegal immigrants can't possibly work in the United States whilst awaiting their asylum hearings,' one might hear from the peanut gallery. On the contrary: ever since Biden reversed a key aspect of Trump's labor policies, all illegal immigrants - even those awaiting deportation proceedings - have been given carte blanche to work while awaiting said proceedings for up to five years...

... something which even Elon Musk was shocked to learn.

Which leads us to another question: recall that the primary concern for the Biden admin for much of 2022 and 2023 was soaring prices, i.e., relentless inflation in general, and rising wages in particular, which in turn prompted even Goldman to admit two years ago that the diabolical wage-price spiral had been unleashed in the US (diabolical, because nothing absent a major economic shock, read recession or depression, can short-circuit it once it is in place).

Well, there is one other thing that can break the wage-price spiral loop: a flood of ultra-cheap illegal immigrant workers. But don't take our word for it: here is Fed Chair Jerome Powell himself during his February 60 Minutes interview:

PELLEY: Why was immigration important?

POWELL: Because, you know, immigrants come in, and they tend to work at a rate that is at or above that for non-immigrants. Immigrants who come to the country tend to be in the workforce at a slightly higher level than native Americans do. But that's largely because of the age difference. They tend to skew younger.

PELLEY: Why is immigration so important to the economy?

POWELL: Well, first of all, immigration policy is not the Fed's job. The immigration policy of the United States is really important and really much under discussion right now, and that's none of our business. We don't set immigration policy. We don't comment on it.

I will say, over time, though, the U.S. economy has benefited from immigration. And, frankly, just in the last, year a big part of the story of the labor market coming back into better balance is immigration returning to levels that were more typical of the pre-pandemic era.

PELLEY: The country needed the workers.

POWELL: It did. And so, that's what's been happening.

Translation: Immigrants work hard, and Americans are lazy. But much more importantly, since illegal immigrants will work for any pay, and since Biden's Department of Homeland Security, via its Citizenship and Immigration Services Agency, has made it so illegal immigrants can work in the US perfectly legally for up to 5 years (if not more), one can argue that the flood of illegals through the southern border has been the primary reason why inflation - or rather mostly wage inflation, that all too critical component of the wage-price spiral  - has moderated in in the past year, when the US labor market suddenly found itself flooded with millions of perfectly eligible workers, who just also happen to be illegal immigrants and thus have zero wage bargaining options.

None of this is to suggest that the relentless flood of immigrants into the US is not also driven by voting and census concerns - something Elon Musk has been pounding the table on in recent weeks, and has gone so far to call it "the biggest corruption of American democracy in the 21st century", but in retrospect, one can also argue that the only modest success the Biden admin has had in the past year - namely bringing inflation down from a torrid 9% annual rate to "only" 3% - has also been due to the millions of illegals he's imported into the country.

We would be remiss if we didn't also note that this so often carries catastrophic short-term consequences for the social fabric of the country (the Laken Riley fiasco being only the latest example), not to mention the far more dire long-term consequences for the future of the US - chief among them the trillions of dollars in debt the US will need to incur to pay for all those new illegal immigrants Democrat voters and low-paid workers. This is on top of the labor revolution that will kick in once AI leads to mass layoffs among high-paying, white-collar jobs, after which all those newly laid off native-born workers hoping to trade down to lower paying (if available) jobs will discover that hardened criminals from Honduras or Guatemala have already taken them, all thanks to Joe Biden.

Tyler Durden Sun, 03/10/2024 - 19:15

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