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Israel & Inflation Spark Big Week For Bonds, Bullion, & Black Gold
Israel & Inflation Spark Big Week For Bonds, Bullion, & Black Gold
JPM’s boss summed shit up succinctly:
“This may be the most…

JPM's boss summed shit up succinctly:
“This may be the most dangerous time the world has seen in decades,” Jamie Dimon said in a statement accompanying the bank’s quarterly earnings, warning of “far-reaching impacts on energy and food markets, global trade and geopolitical relationships.”
...and it was a short-week for bonds to deal with all this.
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Good: Earnings (this morning, results from JPM, WFC, Citi, and UNH are all being taken positively)
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Bad: Inflation (CPI, PPI, & UMich all hotter than expected) and Consumer Confidence tumbled (on cost of living concerns)
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Ugly: Geopolitical chaos (you know that story) and long-bond auctions (is the world turning its back?)
Stickier-than-expected 'actual' inflation and soaring 'expected' inflation piled on to geopolitical risk this week as US macro data disappointed...
Source: Bloomberg
...with 'soft' survey data starting to roll over and catch down to 'hard' data's dive...
Source: Bloomberg
But it was 'war hedges' that dominated...
Gold surged over 5% this week after the attacks on Israel - its biggest weekly jump since March - sending spot prices back above $1900...
Source: Bloomberg
Oil prices also soared with WTI up over 5% on the week (its second biggest weekly gain since April)...
Bonds were bid with the long-end dramatically outperforming...
Source: Bloomberg
But 2Y yields bounced back above 5.00%, flattening the yield curve (2s30s) dramatically on the week (but still well off the mid-Sept lows)...
Source: Bloomberg
VIX spiked back above 20 as protection-buyers stepped in, sending skews and VVIX soaring...
Source: Bloomberg
On the week, Small Caps were clubbed like a baby seal but Nasdaq ended perfectly unchanged while the S&P and Dow managed modest gains - despite some ugly down-drafts intraday...
Energy and Utes outperformed while the consumer was punched in the face...
Source: Bloomberg
Airlines worst weekly drop since March...
Source: Bloomberg
JPM, WFC, and C all ended the week higher (helped by today's earnings)...
Source: Bloomberg
But, despite big bank earnings beats, the Regional Banks index was dumped...
"Most Shorted" stocks fell for the 9th week of the last 11 to its lowest weekly close since May 2020...
Source: Bloomberg
The dollar ended marginally higher, driven mostly by a post-CPI panic-bid yesterday. But notably, the Bloomberg dollar index stalled at the pre-payrolls level from last Friday..
Source: Bloomberg
Crypto dropped on the week with Bitcoin finding support around $26,500...
Source: Bloomberg
Ethereum was also monkeyhammered lower, now at its weakest relative to Bitcoin since July 2022...
Source: Bloomberg
Silver also soared with futures tagging $23 intraday...
Finally, we note that financial conditions were basically flat this week after tightening dramatically from mid-Sept...
Source: Bloomberg
It's notable because, as Nomura's Charlie McElligott notes, this leads to a dysfunctional feedback loop where, ironically, via the Fed’s extreme FCI reflexivity “The Fed says ‘the market did the (tightening) job’ for them over multiple weeks…but then the market undoes that job in the matter of just a few days”
McElligott's current state of “the psychological chop”:
Will it "be over" enough to warrant action?
Uncategorized
Ferrari to accept crypto payments in the US
Ferrari’s decision to accept cryptocurrency payments was driven by market demand and dealer requests, with numerous clients investing in digital currencies.
…

Ferrari’s decision to accept cryptocurrency payments was driven by market demand and dealer requests, with numerous clients investing in digital currencies.
Ferrari will accept cryptocurrency payments for its luxury sports cars in the United States due to customer demand. The carmaker also plans to accept crypto payments in Europe.
According to an Oct. 14 report from Reuters, Ferrari’s chief marketing and commercial officer, Enrico Galliera, confirmed the intentions of the luxury car brand. Ferrari’s choice to accept cryptocurrency payments was driven by market demand and dealer requests, with numerous clients, including crypto-savvy young investors, having invested in digital currencies.
Although Galliera didn’t specify the number of cars Ferrari expects to sell via crypto payments, he reportedly stated that the carmaker’s strong order portfolio is fully booked until 2025. Ferrari aims to test this expanding market to connect with potential buyers beyond its usual clientele. The luxury automaker plans to introduce cryptocurrency payments in Europe by the first quarter of 2024 and expand to other crypto-friendly regions after.
For its initial phase in the U.S., Ferrari has reportedly partnered with major cryptocurrency payment processor, BitPay. This collaboration enables transactions in Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) and USD Coin (USDC).
Galliera confirmed that there will be no additional fees or surcharges when using cryptocurrency, as BitPay will promptly convert cryptocurrency payments into conventional fiat currency for Ferrari’s dealers, ensuring they are shielded from cryptocurrency price fluctuations.
BitPay will also verify the legitimacy of the digital currency, ensuring it does not originate from illicit activities, money laundering or tax evasion.
Related: Madeira announces creation of Bitcoin business hub for innovation
Many large corporations have hesitated to adopt cryptocurrencies due to their price volatility and associated transaction impracticality. Among these companies is Tesla, the electric vehicle manufacturer, which initially started accepting payments in Bitcoin in 2021. However, CEO Elon Musk suspended this payment method due to environmental concerns.
Magazine: The Truth Behind Cuba’s Bitcoin Revolution: An on-the-ground report
cryptocurrency bitcoin crypto btc currencies cryptoUncategorized
Caroline Ellison wanted to step down but feared a bank run on FTX
Former Alameda CEO Caroline Ellison recognized she wasn’t doing a good job months before the company filed for bankruptcy, but Sam Bankman-Fried persuaded…

Former Alameda CEO Caroline Ellison recognized she wasn’t doing a good job months before the company filed for bankruptcy, but Sam Bankman-Fried persuaded her to stay.
Caroline Ellison wasn’t doing a good job leading Alameda Research in 2022, and she did not hide it. Excerpts from her personal notes shared as evidence by prosecutors in Sam Bankman-Fried’s trial revealed details about the trading firm’s struggles and its CEO’s desire to resign weeks and months before FTX collapsed.
Ellison spent over 10 hours testifying during Bankman-Fried’s trial this past week, notably entering through the front doors of the United States District Court for the Southern District of New York in Manhattan, joined by her attorneys. Ellison said she had not seen Bankman-Fried since the crypto empire failed in November 2022, but their communication had eroded months before.
In April 2022, their romantic relationship ended, and Caroline started avoiding meetings with Bankman-Fried even though they still lived in the same luxurious apartment in the Bahamas. Alameda’s growing liabilities with FTX and the breakup with Bankman-Fried made her consider leaving the company altogether.
“I feel like neither [Sam] Trabucco nor I have been doing a great job of pushing on stuff,” she wrote in the document to Bankman-Fried, which was shared as evidence during her cross-examination by the former FTX CEO’s defense counsel.
One more Caroline Ellison courtroom sketch.
— Ariel Givner, Esq. (@GivnerAriel) October 11, 2023
This one featuring SBF himself! https://t.co/q3O6xqxEhl pic.twitter.com/cQJbj5V1H7
Bankman-Fried asked her to stay on, saying that her departure could create rumors about Alameda’s financial health, thus harming FTX’s credibility, so Ellison remained CEO.
Ellison joined Alameda as a trader in 2018. By 2020, she handled most of the company’s operations, while Bankman-Fried focused on his newly launched crypto exchange, FTX. In August 2021, she became co-CEO alongside Sam Trabucco, who stepped down a few months later, leaving her in charge of the company. In August 2022, Trabucco officially resigned as co-CEO.
Ellison was against creating FTX, she revealed. “I didn’t think of myself as ambitious before I started at Alameda, but I believe I became more ambitious” under Bankman-Fried’s incentive, she said.
As CEO, Ellison was in charge of handling Alameda’s crypto lenders. In mid-2022, after the Terra ecosystem failed, the company’s open-term loans stood at $1.3 billion. The market downturn drained liquidity from crypto assets, prompting Alameda’s lenders to demand loan repayments.
According to Ellison, Bankman-Fried instructed her to keep repaying creditors via Alameda’s line of credit with FTX. In other words, Alameda would use FTX’s customer assets to repay crypto lenders. At the time, its line of credit with the exchange stood at $13 billion.
As lenders demanded loan repayments and Alameda’s balance sheets, Bankman-Fried suggested Ellison use “alternative means” for presenting the company’s financials. In the following months, Ellison would create many additional versions of a balance sheet to deceive creditors.
Early in November 2022, an alternative version of Alameda’s balance sheet was leaked. Ellison was on vacation in Japan at the time, but she had to travel to FTX Hong Kong’s office to deal with the company’s crisis.
While the balance sheet data didn’t reflect the company’s reality, it was enough to spread rumors and trigger a bank run on FTX a few days later, exposing an $8 billion gap between the companies.
Having cooperated with the U.S. Department of Justice since December 2022, Ellison will soon receive her sentence regarding the seven counts of fraud and conspiracy to commit fraud she was charged with.
Magazine: Blockchain detectives — Mt. Gox collapse saw birth of Chainalysis
blockchain crypto cryptoUncategorized
ProShares prepares to launch unique Short Ether Strategy ETF
ProShares’ SETH ETF will start trading soon, following the first Ethereum futures ETFs by about two weeks.
ProShares introduced a trio…

ProShares' SETH ETF will start trading soon, following the first Ethereum futures ETFs by about two weeks.
ProShares introduced a trio of Ethereum futures ETFs in the recent weeks. Presently, the company is gearing up to provide a distinctive offering.
ProShares' Short Ether Strategy ETF (SETH) from the fund group is poised to commence trading shortly, following the debut of the initial Ethereum futures ETFs by about two weeks.
SETH, scheduled for listing on the NYSE Arca exchange, aims to achieve daily investment outcomes that mirror the inverse of the daily S&P CME Ether Futures Index performance, as indicated in a filing made on Friday, Oct. 13.
The fund does not engage in direct shorting of ether (ETH); rather, it seeks to capitalize on potential declines in the asset's value, as stated in the prospectus. On Friday, the price of ETH stood at approximately $1,540, reflecting a decrease of approximately 6% over the past week.

ProShares anticipates that the registration statement for SETH will become effective on Oct. 15 and plans to introduce the fund in early November, as reported by Blockworks.
However, the three existing ProShares ether futures funds — including two that invest in both ether and bitcoin futures contracts — debuted on Oct. 2 alongside similar products by VanEck and Bitwise.
The US Securities and Exchange Commission approved ether futures ETFs two years following the introduction of the initial bitcoin futures ETF, the ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO), which entered the market in Oct. 2021.
Related: SEC reportedly won’t appeal court decision on Grayscale Bitcoin ETF
ProShares continued its release of bitcoin futures ETFs with the Short Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITI) in June 2022. As of now, BITO has accumulated around $850 million in assets, while BITI has approximately $75 million.
In August, Cointelegraph reported that Ether futures ETFs may be approved in October, causing an 11% spike in ETH prices at the time.
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bitcoin ethereum etf-
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