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Indonesia Auto Finance Market is expected to generate USD ~53 Bn by 2026 owning to increasing Digitisation, Positive Outlook for E-Vehicles and Increasing Urbanization: Ken Research

Indonesia Auto Finance Market is expected to generate USD ~53 Bn by 2026 owning to increasing Digitisation, Positive Outlook for E-Vehicles and Increasing Urbanization: Ken Research
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GURUGRAM, India, Feb. 7, 2023

GURUGRAM, India, Feb. 7,…

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Indonesia Auto Finance Market is expected to generate USD ~53 Bn by 2026 owning to increasing Digitisation, Positive Outlook for E-Vehicles and Increasing Urbanization: Ken Research

PR Newswire

GURUGRAM, India, Feb. 7, 2023 /PRNewswire/ -- Indonesia Auto Finance Market is in the growing stage, being driven by rising demand of automotives, positive outlook for e-vehicles, and increasing urbanization. There are several players in the Indonesia Auto Finance market some of which are Toyota astra finance, Daihatsu, Mitsubishi lease and finance, Suzuki Finance Indonesia, and Honda etc.

Increasing Digitization: multi-finance companies today offer convenient facilities in terms of online presence. Automotive Financing Companies are increasingly moving towards higher technological advancements to improve operational profits as well as customer experience, which includes digital installment payment system, zero or very less face-to-face dealing, and simpler procedure, e.g. - Kredit Pintar. Car dealerships are expected to increasingly bring the experience of car shopping online by range of ways such as providing digital showrooms as well as e-finance. In the past, 5 – 10 years, Indonesia is witnessing a new wave of digital enhancements with several new fin-tech platforms for aggregation, peer – to – peer lending and more coming in the market. Some of the most well-known of these start- ups are- broom, cermati etc.

Revision of down payment rates: Financial authority of Indonesia (OJK) has allowed lower down payment rates for multi finance companies and banks whose NPF is less than 1%.

Low Interest Rates: Credit lending companies have lowered the interest rates to increase the loan taking capacity of customers; further supported by the Government's efforts to increase financial support SMEs as SMEs contribute to major share of the total GDP of Indonesia. And also, the policies to take credit have been relaxed significantly to ease the process; strict regulations and verification of long-list of documents have been reduced.

Expanding urban population: Growing urban population and the increasing buying capacity as well as the awareness of the consumers has made automobile as well as auto finance industry to grow hand-in-hand.

Growth of E-vehicles: that Indonesian EV sector is still in its infancy but these also show that market interest has grown significantly. Electrum, a joint venture company between Indonesia decacorn Gojek and energy firm TBS Energi Utama (TBS), synergize to accelerate the development of the most complete and integrated electric vehicle ecosystem in Indonesia. Numerous policies have been issued by the government, to further boost the EV sector, such as Positive Investment List (PIL) as per which the companies that participate in development of EV sector are eligible to benefits like ease of attaining business licenses and leveraging various tax incentives.

Analysts at Ken Research in their latest publication "Indonesia Auto Finance Industry Outlook to 2026 - Driven by growing digital penetration, evolving vehicle ownership characteristics and rebates by the Government amidst systematically regulated vehicle ownership and financing policies by the regulatory authorities" by Ken Research observed that Indonesia Auto Finance Market is in the Growing Phase with Banking Institutions and NBFCs leading the Market and Online Aggregators Platforms entering the Market. Increasing Digitisation, Positive Outlook for E-Vehicles, Revision of Down payments, Expanding Population and Lower Interest Rates, are expected to contribute to the market growth over the forecast period. The Indonesia Auto Finance Market is expected to see high growth rate over the forecasted period 2021-2026F.

Key Segments Covered

Indonesia Auto Finance Market

By Category of Lenders (by Revenue), 2021 & 2026F

  • Captive Financing Companies
  • Banks
  • NBFCs

By Type Of Vehicles (by Revenue), 2021 & 2026F

  • Two Wheelers
  • Three Wheelers
  • Four Wheelers

By Type of Ownership (by Revenue), 2021 & 2026F

  • Used Cars
  • New Cars

By Category of Vehicles (by Revenue), 2021 & 2026F

  • Passenger Vehicles
  • Commercial Vehicles

To learn more about this report Download a Free Sample Report

By Duration of Loan (by Revenue), 2021 & 2026F

  • 1 Year
  • 2 Year
  • 3 Year
  • 3+ Years

By Geographical Location (by Revenue), 2021 & 2026F

  • Rural & Semi Urban
  • Urban
  • Metropolitan

Key Target Audience

  • Banks and its Subsidiaries
  • NBFCs
  • Captive Finance Companies
  • Government and Institutions
  • Automobile Companies
  • Car Dealers
  • Government and Institutions
  • Existing Auto Finance Companies
  • OEM Dealerships
  • New Market Entrants
  • Investors
  • Auto mobile Associations

Visit this Link :- Request for custom report

Time Period Captured in the Report:-

  • Historical Period: 2016-2020
  • Base Year: 2021
  • Forecast Period: 2022– 2026F

Companies Covered:-

  • Bank CIMB Niaga
  • Bank Rakyat Indonesia
  • Danamon Bank (Adira Dinamika Finance)
  • Mandiri Bank (Mandiri Tunas Finance)
  • Megabank (WOM)
  • Bank Negara Indonesia
  • BCA Bank
  • Bank Jasa Jakarta
  • Cekaja
  • ACC Finance
  • Oto Multiartha
  • Radana Bhaskara
  • Adira Finance
  • Indomobil Multi Jasa
  • Mitsui Auto Finance
  • Mandiri Tunas Finance
  • Rabana Investindo
  • Maybank Finance
  • Mobil88
  • OLX Indonesia
  • Mobil123
  • Carmudi
  • Oto.com
  • Diamond Smart Auto
  • Carro

Key Topics Covered in the Report:-

  • Demographic overview and major industries of Indonesia
  • Economic Overview of Indonesia
  • Trade Scenario of Indonesia
  • Indonesia Automotive Market – Vehicle sales
  • Indonesia Automotive Market - Major OEM brands basis passenger cars sales
  • Indonesia Auto Finance Ecosystem
  • Indonesia Auto Finance Market Value Chain Analysis
  • Major Types of auto loans available in the Indonesia Auto Finance Market
  • Growth Drivers of Indonesia Auto Finance Industry
  • Decision making Parameters for selecting Auto loan Vendor
  • SWOT Analysis of the industry
  • Trends and Developments in the Industry
  • Issues and challenges in the industry
  • Government initiatives in the industry
  • COVID-19 Impact on the Indonesia Auto Finance Industry
  • Customer Journey
  • Indonesia Auto Finance Market Sizing
  • Indonesia Auto Finance Market Segmentation
  • Indonesia Automotive Finance Aggregator
  • Indonesia Auto Finance Market - Future Sizing
  • Indonesia Auto Finance Market - Future Segmentation
  • Digital Disruptions in the Indonesia Auto Finance Industry
  • Analyst Recommendations

For more insights on the market intelligence, refer to below link:-

Indonesia Auto Finance Industry

Related Reports By Ken Research:-

Thailand Auto Finance Market Outlook to 2026F- Driven by Road Infrastructure Development and Economic Growth in the Country

According to Ken Research estimates, the Thailand Auto Finance Market grew from approximately THB 900 Bn in 2016 to approximately THB 1200 Bn in 2021, and is forecasted to grow further to ~ THB 1800 Bn by 2026F owing to the increasing purchasing power of the consumers and adoption of EVs. The automotive industry in Thailand is the largest in Southeast Asia and the 10th largest in the world. Banks have been the dominant players as they have huge pre-built database that they leverage for their own advantage. Many Western brands are present in the country but Japanese brands have long had a dominant position in Thailand due to affordable prices.

UAE Auto Finance Market Outlook to 2026F- Driven by growing digital penetration, evolving vehicle ownership characteristics and rebates by the Government amidst systematically regulated vehicle ownership and financing policies by the regulatory authorities

According to Ken Research estimates, that UAE Auto Finance Market has decreased from 2016 to 2021 at a CAGR of -6.3% owing to government regulations, lifestyle changes and the COVID-19 lockdown but in the upcoming period, the growth is expected to normalize owing to the emergence of new and improved technologies. UAE Auto Finance Market is estimated to grow at a positive CAGR of ~17% in between 2022E and 2026F. UAE Auto Finance Industry is expected to witness good growth in future owing to reasons such as Increasing Population, growing income levels, new and innovative business models and more.

Egypt Auto Finance Market Outlook to 2027– Driven by women drivers entering the market, digital advancements and initiatives by the Government

Urbanization is expected to rise to more than 60% by 2030, which means increased demand for jobs, housing, infrastructure, and social services such as public transportation. Moreover, the recent increase in the cost of public transportation has led to increase in demand for personal vehicles. Egypt Auto Finance Market is currently at the growth stage and the market is currently increasing at a double digit CAGR owing because of lower interest rate, growing disposable income and easy financing options.

Malaysia Automotive Finance Market Outlook to 2026-Driven by exorbitant car prices, growing digital penetration, preference for owning passenger cars amidst systematically regulated car ownership policies by the Government

Number of passenger car ownership in Malaysia exceeded the population in Malaysia. Poor public transport infrastructure is one of the reasons. The used car industry is also enjoying a boom in business, and is reportedly on-track to register double-digit growth in sales. Import of vehicles still exceeds the exports resulting huge trade deficit. Government has taken various initiatives to support domestic manufacturing of vehicles by setting up companies like Proton and Perodua. Government also gives various incentives on purchasing of National Car. The market is at maturity stage with stable population, high ownership of car and small domestic commercial vehicle market, the opportunity of growth in Malaysia is quite limited.

Philippines Auto Finance Market Outlook to 2026- Driven by change in consumer spending, ease in provision of loans, improving technology and government support

Philippines Auto Finance Market is Expected to grow at a  good  CAGR  in between 2021 and 2026F, one of the major determinants for the surging growth in coming years is the Increasing Population and growing income levels leading to rise in sales of cars , the rise in Auto Outstanding Loans in Philippines, the increase in Auto Loan Outstanding is expected a high growth rate between 2021F-2026F, High-Mid range car models are expected to witness strong success as the majority of car buyers segment includes the High Income people leading to larger Loan amount per customer, Expectation of high growth in car sales especially in Green cars as the government is building the infrastructure like the charging point at public parks . Higher digitization and usage of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning to improve customer convenience. New Business Models such as Subscription Lending, Shared ownership financing are coming into play which will lead the way for high growth rate in the Philippines Auto Finance Market.

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Contact Us:-
Ken Research Private Limited
Ankur Gupta, Director Strategy and Growth
Ankur@kenresearch.com
+91-9015378249

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February Employment Situation

By Paul Gomme and Peter Rupert The establishment data from the BLS showed a 275,000 increase in payroll employment for February, outpacing the 230,000…

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By Paul Gomme and Peter Rupert

The establishment data from the BLS showed a 275,000 increase in payroll employment for February, outpacing the 230,000 average over the previous 12 months. The payroll data for January and December were revised down by a total of 167,000. The private sector added 223,000 new jobs, the largest gain since May of last year.

Temporary help services employment continues a steep decline after a sharp post-pandemic rise.

Average hours of work increased from 34.2 to 34.3. The increase, along with the 223,000 private employment increase led to a hefty increase in total hours of 5.6% at an annualized rate, also the largest increase since May of last year.

The establishment report, once again, beat “expectations;” the WSJ survey of economists was 198,000. Other than the downward revisions, mentioned above, another bit of negative news was a smallish increase in wage growth, from $34.52 to $34.57.

The household survey shows that the labor force increased 150,000, a drop in employment of 184,000 and an increase in the number of unemployed persons of 334,000. The labor force participation rate held steady at 62.5, the employment to population ratio decreased from 60.2 to 60.1 and the unemployment rate increased from 3.66 to 3.86. Remember that the unemployment rate is the number of unemployed relative to the labor force (the number employed plus the number unemployed). Consequently, the unemployment rate can go up if the number of unemployed rises holding fixed the labor force, or if the labor force shrinks holding the number unemployed unchanged. An increase in the unemployment rate is not necessarily a bad thing: it may reflect a strong labor market drawing “marginally attached” individuals from outside the labor force. Indeed, there was a 96,000 decline in those workers.

Earlier in the week, the BLS announced JOLTS (Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey) data for January. There isn’t much to report here as the job openings changed little at 8.9 million, the number of hires and total separations were little changed at 5.7 million and 5.3 million, respectively.

As has been the case for the last couple of years, the number of job openings remains higher than the number of unemployed persons.

Also earlier in the week the BLS announced that productivity increased 3.2% in the 4th quarter with output rising 3.5% and hours of work rising 0.3%.

The bottom line is that the labor market continues its surprisingly (to some) strong performance, once again proving stronger than many had expected. This strength makes it difficult to justify any interest rate cuts soon, particularly given the recent inflation spike.

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Mortgage rates fall as labor market normalizes

Jobless claims show an expanding economy. We will only be in a recession once jobless claims exceed 323,000 on a four-week moving average.

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Everyone was waiting to see if this week’s jobs report would send mortgage rates higher, which is what happened last month. Instead, the 10-year yield had a muted response after the headline number beat estimates, but we have negative job revisions from previous months. The Federal Reserve’s fear of wage growth spiraling out of control hasn’t materialized for over two years now and the unemployment rate ticked up to 3.9%. For now, we can say the labor market isn’t tight anymore, but it’s also not breaking.

The key labor data line in this expansion is the weekly jobless claims report. Jobless claims show an expanding economy that has not lost jobs yet. We will only be in a recession once jobless claims exceed 323,000 on a four-week moving average.

From the Fed: In the week ended March 2, initial claims for unemployment insurance benefits were flat, at 217,000. The four-week moving average declined slightly by 750, to 212,250


Below is an explanation of how we got here with the labor market, which all started during COVID-19.

1. I wrote the COVID-19 recovery model on April 7, 2020, and retired it on Dec. 9, 2020. By that time, the upfront recovery phase was done, and I needed to model out when we would get the jobs lost back.

2. Early in the labor market recovery, when we saw weaker job reports, I doubled and tripled down on my assertion that job openings would get to 10 million in this recovery. Job openings rose as high as to 12 million and are currently over 9 million. Even with the massive miss on a job report in May 2021, I didn’t waver.

Currently, the jobs openings, quit percentage and hires data are below pre-COVID-19 levels, which means the labor market isn’t as tight as it once was, and this is why the employment cost index has been slowing data to move along the quits percentage.  

2-US_Job_Quits_Rate-1-2

3. I wrote that we should get back all the jobs lost to COVID-19 by September of 2022. At the time this would be a speedy labor market recovery, and it happened on schedule, too

Total employment data

4. This is the key one for right now: If COVID-19 hadn’t happened, we would have between 157 million and 159 million jobs today, which would have been in line with the job growth rate in February 2020. Today, we are at 157,808,000. This is important because job growth should be cooling down now. We are more in line with where the labor market should be when averaging 140K-165K monthly. So for now, the fact that we aren’t trending between 140K-165K means we still have a bit more recovery kick left before we get down to those levels. 




From BLS: Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 275,000 in February, and the unemployment rate increased to 3.9 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job gains occurred in health care, in government, in food services and drinking places, in social assistance, and in transportation and warehousing.

Here are the jobs that were created and lost in the previous month:

IMG_5092

In this jobs report, the unemployment rate for education levels looks like this:

  • Less than a high school diploma: 6.1%
  • High school graduate and no college: 4.2%
  • Some college or associate degree: 3.1%
  • Bachelor’s degree or higher: 2.2%
IMG_5093_320f22

Today’s report has continued the trend of the labor data beating my expectations, only because I am looking for the jobs data to slow down to a level of 140K-165K, which hasn’t happened yet. I wouldn’t categorize the labor market as being tight anymore because of the quits ratio and the hires data in the job openings report. This also shows itself in the employment cost index as well. These are key data lines for the Fed and the reason we are going to see three rate cuts this year.

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Inside The Most Ridiculous Jobs Report In History: Record 1.2 Million Immigrant Jobs Added In One Month

Inside The Most Ridiculous Jobs Report In History: Record 1.2 Million Immigrant Jobs Added In One Month

Last month we though that the January…

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Inside The Most Ridiculous Jobs Report In History: Record 1.2 Million Immigrant Jobs Added In One Month

Last month we though that the January jobs report was the "most ridiculous in recent history" but, boy, were we wrong because this morning the Biden department of goalseeked propaganda (aka BLS) published the February jobs report, and holy crap was that something else. Even Goebbels would blush. 

What happened? Let's take a closer look.

On the surface, it was (almost) another blockbuster jobs report, certainly one which nobody expected, or rather just one bank out of 76 expected. Starting at the top, the BLS reported that in February the US unexpectedly added 275K jobs, with just one research analyst (from Dai-Ichi Research) expecting a higher number.

Some context: after last month's record 4-sigma beat, today's print was "only" 3 sigma higher than estimates. Needless to say, two multiple sigma beats in a row used to only happen in the USSR... and now in the US, apparently.

Before we go any further, a quick note on what last month we said was "the most ridiculous jobs report in recent history": it appears the BLS read our comments and decided to stop beclowing itself. It did that by slashing last month's ridiculous print by over a third, and revising what was originally reported as a massive 353K beat to just 229K,  a 124K revision, which was the biggest one-month negative revision in two years!

Of course, that does not mean that this month's jobs print won't be revised lower: it will be, and not just that month but every other month until the November election because that's the only tool left in the Biden admin's box: pretend the economic and jobs are strong, then revise them sharply lower the next month, something we pointed out first last summer and which has not failed to disappoint once.

To be fair, not every aspect of the jobs report was stellar (after all, the BLS had to give it some vague credibility). Take the unemployment rate, after flatlining between 3.4% and 3.8% for two years - and thus denying expectations from Sahm's Rule that a recession may have already started - in February the unemployment rate unexpectedly jumped to 3.9%, the highest since February 2022 (with Black unemployment spiking by 0.3% to 5.6%, an indicator which the Biden admin will quickly slam as widespread economic racism or something).

And then there were average hourly earnings, which after surging 0.6% MoM in January (since revised to 0.5%) and spooking markets that wage growth is so hot, the Fed will have no choice but to delay cuts, in February the number tumbled to just 0.1%, the lowest in two years...

... for one simple reason: last month's average wage surge had nothing to do with actual wages, and everything to do with the BLS estimate of hours worked (which is the denominator in the average wage calculation) which last month tumbled to just 34.1 (we were led to believe) the lowest since the covid pandemic...

... but has since been revised higher while the February print rose even more, to 34.3, hence why the latest average wage data was once again a product not of wages going up, but of how long Americans worked in any weekly period, in this case higher from 34.1 to 34.3, an increase which has a major impact on the average calculation.

While the above data points were examples of some latent weakness in the latest report, perhaps meant to give it a sheen of veracity, it was everything else in the report that was a problem starting with the BLS's latest choice of seasonal adjustments (after last month's wholesale revision), which have gone from merely laughable to full clownshow, as the following comparison between the monthly change in BLS and ADP payrolls shows. The trend is clear: the Biden admin numbers are now clearly rising even as the impartial ADP (which directly logs employment numbers at the company level and is far more accurate), shows an accelerating slowdown.

But it's more than just the Biden admin hanging its "success" on seasonal adjustments: when one digs deeper inside the jobs report, all sorts of ugly things emerge... such as the growing unprecedented divergence between the Establishment (payrolls) survey and much more accurate Household (actual employment) survey. To wit, while in January the BLS claims 275K payrolls were added, the Household survey found that the number of actually employed workers dropped for the third straight month (and 4 in the past 5), this time by 184K (from 161.152K to 160.968K).

This means that while the Payrolls series hits new all time highs every month since December 2020 (when according to the BLS the US had its last month of payrolls losses), the level of Employment has not budged in the past year. Worse, as shown in the chart below, such a gaping divergence has opened between the two series in the past 4 years, that the number of Employed workers would need to soar by 9 million (!) to catch up to what Payrolls claims is the employment situation.

There's more: shifting from a quantitative to a qualitative assessment, reveals just how ugly the composition of "new jobs" has been. Consider this: the BLS reports that in February 2024, the US had 132.9 million full-time jobs and 27.9 million part-time jobs. Well, that's great... until you look back one year and find that in February 2023 the US had 133.2 million full-time jobs, or more than it does one year later! And yes, all the job growth since then has been in part-time jobs, which have increased by 921K since February 2023 (from 27.020 million to 27.941 million).

Here is a summary of the labor composition in the past year: all the new jobs have been part-time jobs!

But wait there's even more, because now that the primary season is over and we enter the heart of election season and political talking points will be thrown around left and right, especially in the context of the immigration crisis created intentionally by the Biden administration which is hoping to import millions of new Democratic voters (maybe the US can hold the presidential election in Honduras or Guatemala, after all it is their citizens that will be illegally casting the key votes in November), what we find is that in February, the number of native-born workers tumbled again, sliding by a massive 560K to just 129.807 million. Add to this the December data, and we get a near-record 2.4 million plunge in native-born workers in just the past 3 months (only the covid crash was worse)!

The offset? A record 1.2 million foreign-born (read immigrants, both legal and illegal but mostly illegal) workers added in February!

Said otherwise, not only has all job creation in the past 6 years has been exclusively for foreign-born workers...

Source: St Louis Fed FRED Native Born and Foreign Born

... but there has been zero job-creation for native born workers since June 2018!

This is a huge issue - especially at a time of an illegal alien flood at the southwest border...

... and is about to become a huge political scandal, because once the inevitable recession finally hits, there will be millions of furious unemployed Americans demanding a more accurate explanation for what happened - i.e., the illegal immigration floodgates that were opened by the Biden admin.

Which is also why Biden's handlers will do everything in their power to insure there is no official recession before November... and why after the election is over, all economic hell will finally break loose. Until then, however, expect the jobs numbers to get even more ridiculous.

Tyler Durden Fri, 03/08/2024 - 13:30

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