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Franklin Financial Reports 2023 Q1 Results; Declares Dividend

Franklin Financial Reports 2023 Q1 Results; Declares Dividend
PR Newswire
CHAMBERSBURG, Pa., April 25, 2023

CHAMBERSBURG, Pa., April 25, 2023 /PRNewswire/ — Franklin Financial Services Corporation (the Corporation) (NASDAQ: FRAF), the bank holding…

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Franklin Financial Reports 2023 Q1 Results; Declares Dividend

PR Newswire

CHAMBERSBURG, Pa., April 25, 2023 /PRNewswire/ -- Franklin Financial Services Corporation (the Corporation) (NASDAQ: FRAF), the bank holding company of F&M Trust (the Bank), reported consolidated earnings of $3.3 million ($0.75 per diluted share) for the first quarter and year-to-date period ended March 31, 2023, compared to $3.0 million ($0.67 per diluted share) for the first quarter and year-to-date period ended March 31, 2022, or a 9.3% increase over the comparable quarter, and an 11.9% EPS increase over the comparable quarter. For 2023, the Corporation had a $2.0 million increase in net interest income, which was partially offset by an increase of $529 thousand in the provision for credit losses, a decrease in noninterest income of $659 thousand, and an increase in noninterest expense of $753 thousand.

A summary of operating results for the first quarter and year-to-date 2023 are as follows:

  • Net interest income was $12.8 million for the first quarter of 2023 compared to $10.8 million for the first quarter of 2022. The net interest margin increased to 3.41% for the first quarter of 2023 from 2.66% for the same quarter of the prior year. The increase in the 2023 net interest margin was due primarily to an increase in the yield on earning assets from 2.83% in 2022 to 4.38% in 2023 as all asset classes had higher yields in 2023. The cost of interest-bearing deposits rose from 0.15% for 2022 to 1.14% for 2023. Likewise, the total cost of deposits increased from 0.12% for 2022 to 0.92% for 2023 and was 1.02% as of March 31, 2023.

  • Average earning assets for 2023 were $1.7 billion compared to $1.8 billion in 2022, a decrease of 5.5%. In 2023, the average balance of interest-earning cash balances decreased $114.3 million (72.3%) to support loan growth and to offset a decrease in average deposits during the year. The average balance of the investment portfolio decreased $55.4 million (10.5%), while the average balance of the loan portfolio increased $48.6 million (4.9%), over the prior year averages. Within the loan portfolio, average commercial loan balances increased $28.1 million during the year and residential mortgages increased $20.9 million. Total deposits averaged $1.5 billion for 2023, a decrease of $72.3 million (4.6%) from the average balance for 2022, reflecting deposit run-off of more than $64 million in December 2022. All deposit categories reported a year-over-year decrease in average balances, except for savings deposits.

  • On January 1. 2023, the Bank adopted a new accounting standard for the calculation of its allowance for credit losses (ACL), referred to as the current expected credit loss (CECL) model. Upon adoption, the Bank recorded a decrease of $536 thousand to the ACL for loans, an increase of $411 thousand to the ACL for unfunded commitments (carried in Other Liabilities on the consolidated balance sheet), an increase of $98 thousand to retained earnings, and a deferred tax liability of $26 thousand. The provision for credit losses for the first quarter of 2023 was calculated using the CECL model, while the provision for loan losses for the first quarter of 2022 was calculated under the previous methodology. For the first quarter of 2023, the provision for credit losses was $592 thousand allocated between the provision for loans of $467 thousand and the provision for unfunded commitments of $62 thousand. The provision for loan loss expense for the first quarter of 2022 was $0. The ACL ratio for loans was 1.31% at March 31, 2023 compared to 1.35% at December 31, 2022. The ACL for unfunded commitments was $1.9 million compared to $1.5 million at December 31, 2022.

  • Noninterest income totaled $3.2 million for the first quarter of 2023 compared to $3.9 million in the first quarter of 2022 (a decrease of 17.0%) and $3.6 million for the fourth quarter of 2022. The decrease year-over-year was due to a decrease of $181 thousand in gains on sale of mortgages and losses on the sale of investment securities of $602 thousand taken as part of a portfolio restructuring. The changes were partially offset by an increase of $186 thousand in loan service charges.

  • Noninterest expense for the first quarter of 2023 was $12.0 million compared to $11.3 million in the first quarter of 2022 (an increase of 6.7%) and $13.2 million for the fourth quarter of 2022. Contributing to the year-over-year increase was an increase of $570 thousand in salaries and benefits (primarily salaries due to a highly competitive labor market) and net occupancy increased $136 thousand from expenses associated with the new headquarters and operations center that was put in service in July 2022.

  • The effective federal income tax rate was 6.3% for the first quarter of 2023 and reflects the benefit of a $280 thousand tax credit that was recorded during the quarter. Without the tax credit, the effective rate would have been 14.3%.

Total assets at March 31, 2023 were $1.700 billion unchanged from December 31, 2022; however, the composition of the balance sheet changed since year-end. Significant balance sheet changes since December 31, 2022, include: 

  • Short-term interest-earning deposits in other banks increased $21.6 million (45.9%) and the investment portfolio decreased $29.1 million (6.0%). Approximately $30 million of investments were sold during the quarter as part of a portfolio restructuring to take advantage of higher market interest rates.

  • The net loan portfolio increased $26.4 million (2.5%) over the year-end 2022 balance, primarily from an increase in commercial purpose loans of $31.5 from year-end 2022.

  • Deposits decreased $49.3 million (3.2%) over year-end 2022, primarily from a decrease in interest-bearing checking and money management accounts, that was partially offset by an increase in time deposits. The largest decrease occurred in municipal accounts, reversing much of the growth in these account deposits that occurred during 2022. Time deposits showed an increase of $16.2 million due to the addition of $8.6 million in brokered CDs and retail depositors seeking higher rates. The Bank's cost of deposits has increased from .64% at December 31, 2022 to 1.02% at March 31, 2023. At March 31, 2023, the Bank estimated that approximately 92% of its deposits were FDIC insured or collateralized.

  • At March 31, the Bank had borrowed $50.0 million from the Federal Reserve through the Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) to temporarily support its liquidity position. The Bank has additional funding capacity in the BTPF, the Federal Reserve Discount Window and the Federal Home Loan Bank.

  • Shareholders' equity increased $9.4 million from December 31, 2022. Retained earnings increased $2.0 million in 2023 and accumulated other comprehensive income (AOCI) increased $7.3 million as the fair value of the investment portfolio increased during the year. At March 31, 2023, the book value of the Corporation's common stock was $28.07 per share and tangible book value was $26.02 per share. In December 2022, an open market repurchase plan was approved to repurchase 150,000 shares over a one-year period and as of March 31, 2023, 8,752 shares have been repurchased in 2023 and 11,600 shares have been purchased under the approved plan. The Bank is considered to be well-capitalized under regulatory guidance as of March 31, 2023.

"I am pleased that, despite the continued choppiness of the economic news and forecasts, and the unprecedented climb in interest rates, the Corporation has finished the first quarter of 2023 in a comparatively stronger position than one year ago," said Tim Henry, President and CEO. "In the near term we will continue to focus on and manage our liquidity while expecting to see more growth in our commercial loan portfolio and growth in fee income generated by our Investment & Trust Services team. The decline in deposits we experienced earlier in the year has moderated as a result of deposit rates moving in line with the market and, with 92% of our deposits FDIC insured or collateralized, our customers are not having to worry about the safety of their deposits. While we are disappointed that bank stocks have recently been out of favor with the market, we are pleased to continue to provide our shareholders with a solid dividend while still being able to invest funds back into the Corporation."

On April 13, 2023, the Board of Directors of Franklin Financial Services Corporation declared a $0.32 per share regular quarterly cash dividend for the second quarter of 2023 to be paid on May 24, 2023, to shareholders of record at the close of business on May 5, 2023. This compares to a $0.32 per share regular cash dividend for the fourth quarter of 2022 and $.32 per share for the second quarter of 2022.

Additional information on the Corporation is available on our website at: www.franklinfin.com/Presentations.  

Franklin Financial is the largest independent, locally owned and operated bank holding company headquartered in Franklin County with assets of more than $1.7 billion. Its wholly-owned subsidiary, F&M Trust, has twenty-two community banking locations in Franklin, Cumberland, Fulton and Huntingdon Counties PA, and Washington County MD. Franklin Financial stock is trading on the Nasdaq Stock Market under the symbol FRAF. Please visit our website for more information, www.franklinfin.com

Management considers subsequent events occurring after the balance sheet date for matters which may require adjustment to, or disclosure in, the consolidated financial statements.  The review period for subsequent events extends up to and including the filing date of a public company's consolidated financial statements when filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC"). Accordingly, the financial information in this announcement is subject to change.

Certain statements appearing herein which are not historical in nature are forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.  Such forward-looking statements refer to a future period or periods, reflecting management's current views as to likely future developments, and use words "may," "will," "expect," "believe," "estimate," "anticipate," or similar terms.  Because forward-looking statements involve certain risks, uncertainties and other factors over which Franklin Financial Services Corporation has no direct control, actual results could differ materially from those contemplated in such statements.  These factors include (but are not limited to) the following: changes in interest rates, changes in the rate of inflation, general economic conditions particularly with regard to the negative impact of severe, wide-ranging and continuing disruptions caused by the spread of the coronavirus COVID-19 pandemic and responses thereto, changes in the Corporation's cost of funds, changes in government monetary policy, changes in government regulation and taxation of financial institutions, changes in technology, the intensification of competition within the Corporation's market area, and other similar factors.

We caution readers not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. They only reflect management's analysis as of this date. The Corporation does not revise or update these forward-looking statements to reflect events or changed circumstances. Please carefully review the risk factors described in other documents the Corporation files from time to time with the SEC, including the Annual Reports on Form 10-K, Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q, and any Current Reports on Form 8-K. 

FRANKLIN FINANCIAL SERVICES CORPORATION










Financial Highlights (Unaudited)




















Earnings Summary



For the Three Months Ended

(Dollars in thousands, except per share data)


3/31/2023


12/31/2022


3/31/2022











Interest income


$

16,583


$

16,997


$

11,534

Interest expense



3,746



2,392



726

     Net interest income



12,837



14,605



10,808

Provision for credit loss expense



529



650



-

Noninterest income



3,225



3,610



3,884

Noninterest expense



12,019



13,196



11,266

     Income before income taxes



3,514



4,369



3,426

Income taxes



222



652



414

Net income


$

3,292


$

3,717


$

3,012











Diluted earnings per share


$

0.75


$

0.84


$

0.67

Regular cash dividends declared


$

0.32


$

0.32


$

0.32











Balance Sheet Highlights (as of )


3/31/2023


12/31/2022


3/31/2022

Total assets


$

1,711,285


$

1,699,579


$

1,767,061

Investment and equity securities



458,154



487,247



511,969

Loans, net



1,063,337



1,036,866



985,927

Deposits



1,502,110



1,551,448



1,596,386

Shareholders' equity



123,583



114,197



137,136











Assets Under Management (fair value)










Investment and Trust Services



942,025



904,317



920,597

Held at third party brokers



124,483



116,398



111,742













As of and for the Three Months Ended

Performance Ratios


3/31/2023


12/31/2022


3/31/2022

Return on average assets*



0.80 %



0.84 %



0.69 %

Return on average equity*



11.33 %



13.58 %



7.96 %

Dividend payout ratio



42.68 %



37.77 %



47.18 %

Net interest margin*



3.41 %



3.58 %



2.66 %

Net loans (charged-off) recovered/average loans*



0.00 %



-0.56 %



-0.01 %

Nonperforming loans / gross loans



0.02 %



0.01 %



0.74 %

Nonperforming assets / total assets



0.01 %



0.01 %



0.42 %

Allowance for credit losses / loans



1.31 %



1.35 %



1.50 %

Book value, per share


$

28.07


$

26.01


$

30.77

Tangible book value (1)


$

26.02


$

23.96


$

28.75

Market value, per share


$

29.64


$

36.10


$

33.58

Market value/book value ratio



105.59 %



138.79 %



109.13 %

Market value/tangible book value ratio



113.91 %



150.67 %



116.82 %

Price/earnings multiple*



9.88



10.74



12.53

Current quarter dividend yield*



4.32 %



3.55 %



3.81 %

* Annualized










(1) NonGAAP measurement. See GAAP versus NonGAAP disclosure







GAAP versus non-GAAP Presentations – The Corporation supplements its traditional GAAP measurements with certain non-GAAP measurements to evaluate its performance and to eliminate the effect of intangible assets.  By eliminating intangible assets (Goodwill), the Corporation believes it presents a measurement that is comparable to companies that have no intangible assets or to companies that have eliminated intangible assets in similar calculations. However, not all companies may use the same calculation method for each measurement. The non-GAAP measurements are not intended to be used as a substitute for the related GAAP measurements. Non-GAAP financial measures should be viewed in addition to, and not as an alternative for, our reported results prepared in accordance with GAAP. In the event of such a disclosure or release, the Securities and Exchange Commission's Regulation G requires: (i) the presentation of the most directly comparable financial measure calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP and (ii) a reconciliation of the differences between the non-GAAP financial measure presented and the most directly comparable financial measure calculated and presented in accordance with GAAP. The following table shows the calculation of the non-GAAP measurements.

NonGAAP










(Dollars in thousands, except per share)


As of


As of


As of



March 31, 2023


December 31, 2022


March 31, 2022

Tangible Book Value (per share) (non-GAAP)










Shareholders' equity


$

123,583


$

114,197


$

137,136

Less intangible assets



(9,016)



(9,016)



(9,016)

Tangible book value (non-GAAP)



114,567



105,181



128,120











Shares outstanding (in thousands)



4,403



4,390



4,457











  Tangible book value per share (non-GAAP)



26.02



23.96



28.75

 

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SOURCE Franklin Financial Services Corporation

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February Employment Situation

By Paul Gomme and Peter Rupert The establishment data from the BLS showed a 275,000 increase in payroll employment for February, outpacing the 230,000…

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By Paul Gomme and Peter Rupert

The establishment data from the BLS showed a 275,000 increase in payroll employment for February, outpacing the 230,000 average over the previous 12 months. The payroll data for January and December were revised down by a total of 167,000. The private sector added 223,000 new jobs, the largest gain since May of last year.

Temporary help services employment continues a steep decline after a sharp post-pandemic rise.

Average hours of work increased from 34.2 to 34.3. The increase, along with the 223,000 private employment increase led to a hefty increase in total hours of 5.6% at an annualized rate, also the largest increase since May of last year.

The establishment report, once again, beat “expectations;” the WSJ survey of economists was 198,000. Other than the downward revisions, mentioned above, another bit of negative news was a smallish increase in wage growth, from $34.52 to $34.57.

The household survey shows that the labor force increased 150,000, a drop in employment of 184,000 and an increase in the number of unemployed persons of 334,000. The labor force participation rate held steady at 62.5, the employment to population ratio decreased from 60.2 to 60.1 and the unemployment rate increased from 3.66 to 3.86. Remember that the unemployment rate is the number of unemployed relative to the labor force (the number employed plus the number unemployed). Consequently, the unemployment rate can go up if the number of unemployed rises holding fixed the labor force, or if the labor force shrinks holding the number unemployed unchanged. An increase in the unemployment rate is not necessarily a bad thing: it may reflect a strong labor market drawing “marginally attached” individuals from outside the labor force. Indeed, there was a 96,000 decline in those workers.

Earlier in the week, the BLS announced JOLTS (Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey) data for January. There isn’t much to report here as the job openings changed little at 8.9 million, the number of hires and total separations were little changed at 5.7 million and 5.3 million, respectively.

As has been the case for the last couple of years, the number of job openings remains higher than the number of unemployed persons.

Also earlier in the week the BLS announced that productivity increased 3.2% in the 4th quarter with output rising 3.5% and hours of work rising 0.3%.

The bottom line is that the labor market continues its surprisingly (to some) strong performance, once again proving stronger than many had expected. This strength makes it difficult to justify any interest rate cuts soon, particularly given the recent inflation spike.

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Mortgage rates fall as labor market normalizes

Jobless claims show an expanding economy. We will only be in a recession once jobless claims exceed 323,000 on a four-week moving average.

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Everyone was waiting to see if this week’s jobs report would send mortgage rates higher, which is what happened last month. Instead, the 10-year yield had a muted response after the headline number beat estimates, but we have negative job revisions from previous months. The Federal Reserve’s fear of wage growth spiraling out of control hasn’t materialized for over two years now and the unemployment rate ticked up to 3.9%. For now, we can say the labor market isn’t tight anymore, but it’s also not breaking.

The key labor data line in this expansion is the weekly jobless claims report. Jobless claims show an expanding economy that has not lost jobs yet. We will only be in a recession once jobless claims exceed 323,000 on a four-week moving average.

From the Fed: In the week ended March 2, initial claims for unemployment insurance benefits were flat, at 217,000. The four-week moving average declined slightly by 750, to 212,250


Below is an explanation of how we got here with the labor market, which all started during COVID-19.

1. I wrote the COVID-19 recovery model on April 7, 2020, and retired it on Dec. 9, 2020. By that time, the upfront recovery phase was done, and I needed to model out when we would get the jobs lost back.

2. Early in the labor market recovery, when we saw weaker job reports, I doubled and tripled down on my assertion that job openings would get to 10 million in this recovery. Job openings rose as high as to 12 million and are currently over 9 million. Even with the massive miss on a job report in May 2021, I didn’t waver.

Currently, the jobs openings, quit percentage and hires data are below pre-COVID-19 levels, which means the labor market isn’t as tight as it once was, and this is why the employment cost index has been slowing data to move along the quits percentage.  

2-US_Job_Quits_Rate-1-2

3. I wrote that we should get back all the jobs lost to COVID-19 by September of 2022. At the time this would be a speedy labor market recovery, and it happened on schedule, too

Total employment data

4. This is the key one for right now: If COVID-19 hadn’t happened, we would have between 157 million and 159 million jobs today, which would have been in line with the job growth rate in February 2020. Today, we are at 157,808,000. This is important because job growth should be cooling down now. We are more in line with where the labor market should be when averaging 140K-165K monthly. So for now, the fact that we aren’t trending between 140K-165K means we still have a bit more recovery kick left before we get down to those levels. 




From BLS: Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 275,000 in February, and the unemployment rate increased to 3.9 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job gains occurred in health care, in government, in food services and drinking places, in social assistance, and in transportation and warehousing.

Here are the jobs that were created and lost in the previous month:

IMG_5092

In this jobs report, the unemployment rate for education levels looks like this:

  • Less than a high school diploma: 6.1%
  • High school graduate and no college: 4.2%
  • Some college or associate degree: 3.1%
  • Bachelor’s degree or higher: 2.2%
IMG_5093_320f22

Today’s report has continued the trend of the labor data beating my expectations, only because I am looking for the jobs data to slow down to a level of 140K-165K, which hasn’t happened yet. I wouldn’t categorize the labor market as being tight anymore because of the quits ratio and the hires data in the job openings report. This also shows itself in the employment cost index as well. These are key data lines for the Fed and the reason we are going to see three rate cuts this year.

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Inside The Most Ridiculous Jobs Report In History: Record 1.2 Million Immigrant Jobs Added In One Month

Inside The Most Ridiculous Jobs Report In History: Record 1.2 Million Immigrant Jobs Added In One Month

Last month we though that the January…

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Inside The Most Ridiculous Jobs Report In History: Record 1.2 Million Immigrant Jobs Added In One Month

Last month we though that the January jobs report was the "most ridiculous in recent history" but, boy, were we wrong because this morning the Biden department of goalseeked propaganda (aka BLS) published the February jobs report, and holy crap was that something else. Even Goebbels would blush. 

What happened? Let's take a closer look.

On the surface, it was (almost) another blockbuster jobs report, certainly one which nobody expected, or rather just one bank out of 76 expected. Starting at the top, the BLS reported that in February the US unexpectedly added 275K jobs, with just one research analyst (from Dai-Ichi Research) expecting a higher number.

Some context: after last month's record 4-sigma beat, today's print was "only" 3 sigma higher than estimates. Needless to say, two multiple sigma beats in a row used to only happen in the USSR... and now in the US, apparently.

Before we go any further, a quick note on what last month we said was "the most ridiculous jobs report in recent history": it appears the BLS read our comments and decided to stop beclowing itself. It did that by slashing last month's ridiculous print by over a third, and revising what was originally reported as a massive 353K beat to just 229K,  a 124K revision, which was the biggest one-month negative revision in two years!

Of course, that does not mean that this month's jobs print won't be revised lower: it will be, and not just that month but every other month until the November election because that's the only tool left in the Biden admin's box: pretend the economic and jobs are strong, then revise them sharply lower the next month, something we pointed out first last summer and which has not failed to disappoint once.

To be fair, not every aspect of the jobs report was stellar (after all, the BLS had to give it some vague credibility). Take the unemployment rate, after flatlining between 3.4% and 3.8% for two years - and thus denying expectations from Sahm's Rule that a recession may have already started - in February the unemployment rate unexpectedly jumped to 3.9%, the highest since February 2022 (with Black unemployment spiking by 0.3% to 5.6%, an indicator which the Biden admin will quickly slam as widespread economic racism or something).

And then there were average hourly earnings, which after surging 0.6% MoM in January (since revised to 0.5%) and spooking markets that wage growth is so hot, the Fed will have no choice but to delay cuts, in February the number tumbled to just 0.1%, the lowest in two years...

... for one simple reason: last month's average wage surge had nothing to do with actual wages, and everything to do with the BLS estimate of hours worked (which is the denominator in the average wage calculation) which last month tumbled to just 34.1 (we were led to believe) the lowest since the covid pandemic...

... but has since been revised higher while the February print rose even more, to 34.3, hence why the latest average wage data was once again a product not of wages going up, but of how long Americans worked in any weekly period, in this case higher from 34.1 to 34.3, an increase which has a major impact on the average calculation.

While the above data points were examples of some latent weakness in the latest report, perhaps meant to give it a sheen of veracity, it was everything else in the report that was a problem starting with the BLS's latest choice of seasonal adjustments (after last month's wholesale revision), which have gone from merely laughable to full clownshow, as the following comparison between the monthly change in BLS and ADP payrolls shows. The trend is clear: the Biden admin numbers are now clearly rising even as the impartial ADP (which directly logs employment numbers at the company level and is far more accurate), shows an accelerating slowdown.

But it's more than just the Biden admin hanging its "success" on seasonal adjustments: when one digs deeper inside the jobs report, all sorts of ugly things emerge... such as the growing unprecedented divergence between the Establishment (payrolls) survey and much more accurate Household (actual employment) survey. To wit, while in January the BLS claims 275K payrolls were added, the Household survey found that the number of actually employed workers dropped for the third straight month (and 4 in the past 5), this time by 184K (from 161.152K to 160.968K).

This means that while the Payrolls series hits new all time highs every month since December 2020 (when according to the BLS the US had its last month of payrolls losses), the level of Employment has not budged in the past year. Worse, as shown in the chart below, such a gaping divergence has opened between the two series in the past 4 years, that the number of Employed workers would need to soar by 9 million (!) to catch up to what Payrolls claims is the employment situation.

There's more: shifting from a quantitative to a qualitative assessment, reveals just how ugly the composition of "new jobs" has been. Consider this: the BLS reports that in February 2024, the US had 132.9 million full-time jobs and 27.9 million part-time jobs. Well, that's great... until you look back one year and find that in February 2023 the US had 133.2 million full-time jobs, or more than it does one year later! And yes, all the job growth since then has been in part-time jobs, which have increased by 921K since February 2023 (from 27.020 million to 27.941 million).

Here is a summary of the labor composition in the past year: all the new jobs have been part-time jobs!

But wait there's even more, because now that the primary season is over and we enter the heart of election season and political talking points will be thrown around left and right, especially in the context of the immigration crisis created intentionally by the Biden administration which is hoping to import millions of new Democratic voters (maybe the US can hold the presidential election in Honduras or Guatemala, after all it is their citizens that will be illegally casting the key votes in November), what we find is that in February, the number of native-born workers tumbled again, sliding by a massive 560K to just 129.807 million. Add to this the December data, and we get a near-record 2.4 million plunge in native-born workers in just the past 3 months (only the covid crash was worse)!

The offset? A record 1.2 million foreign-born (read immigrants, both legal and illegal but mostly illegal) workers added in February!

Said otherwise, not only has all job creation in the past 6 years has been exclusively for foreign-born workers...

Source: St Louis Fed FRED Native Born and Foreign Born

... but there has been zero job-creation for native born workers since June 2018!

This is a huge issue - especially at a time of an illegal alien flood at the southwest border...

... and is about to become a huge political scandal, because once the inevitable recession finally hits, there will be millions of furious unemployed Americans demanding a more accurate explanation for what happened - i.e., the illegal immigration floodgates that were opened by the Biden admin.

Which is also why Biden's handlers will do everything in their power to insure there is no official recession before November... and why after the election is over, all economic hell will finally break loose. Until then, however, expect the jobs numbers to get even more ridiculous.

Tyler Durden Fri, 03/08/2024 - 13:30

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