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DraftKings Stock Forecast: Is DKNG Riskier Than Sports Gambling?

In this DraftKings stock forecast we’ll cover the ups and potential downsides of this sports betting juggernaut so you can make a more informed decision.
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Before we get into this DraftKings stock forecast, let’s take a look at the why this stock is gaining investors’ attention.  Sporting events are about as American as the Constitution, bald eagles, or hot dogs. And the athletes that excel can be instantly rocketed to celebrity status. It also feels like no matter how many games there are, people just never seem to get enough. In particular, Americans really love their football.

Every year, the Super Bowl is one of the most-watched events in the world. In the fall, college football stadiums host crowds of more than 100,000. Even in the offseason, sports fans spend hours analyzing different teams, players, and trades. For some fans, just watching sports isn’t even enough. Lots of fans participate in a sport-within-the-sport. This is where fantasy sports comes in.

Fantasy sports exist on the back-end of almost all professional leagues. If you’re not familiar, fantasy sports are a game where people assemble imaginary “teams” made up of real players. A team’s score then depends on the performance of the real-world players that have been picked for that team. Fantasy players act as the coach and need to decide which players to play, bench, or trade. And while you don’t need to gamble on fantasy sports, many people do.

According to ESPN, about 40 million people participate in fantasy football leagues each season. In recent years, one company is redefining the way that people play fantasy sports. That company is DraftKings.

So, if you’re already wagering money on fantasy sports, should you wager a little bit on DraftKings stock? Let’s take a look at a DraftKings stock forecast and find out.

DraftKings is expected to announce Q3 earnings on November 5th, 2021.

DraftKings (Nasdaq: DKNG) Stock Forecast

We’ll start with an explainer about what does DraftKings does. DraftKings is one of the largest operators of fantasy sports services. DraftKings literally changed the fantasy game by allowing its members the ability to compete in weekly contests. Prior to DraftKings, you only got one chance to draft your lineup. After that, you were stuck with those players for the season. If your No. 1 draft pick tore his ACL, you were out of luck.

This model was tweaked slightly when DraftKings introduced weekly contests. This allows participants to draft a new lineup every week. Weekly (and even daily) contests gives people more opportunities to participate in fantasy sports. It also encourages them to stay engaged throughout the entire season – instead of losing interest.

DraftKings currently has about 8 million members. And it had generated most of its revenue from fees, advertising, and partnerships. More recently, DraftKings launched the DraftKings Sportsbook. This occurred in May 2018, when sports betting was legalized in New Jersey. Since then New York, West Virginia, Indiana, Iowa, New Hampshire and Mississippi have all legalized sports betting as well.

There have been other announcements made as well that could add to the company’s bottom line. For instance…

  • Partnership with Foxwood – Foxwood Resort Casino and DraftKings announced a partnership to bring online sports betting to Connecticut.
  • Partnership with Polygon – Polygon is an Ethereum-based scaling platform. This agreement will help DraftKings scale its NFT marketplace.
  • Partnership with NHL – In October 2021, DraftKings became the official sports betting, daily fantasy sports, and iGaming partner of the NHL.

Draftkings Stock Price Forecast

At the current moment, DraftKing’s earnings are a little bit difficult to interpret. This adds a level of difficulty to making an informed DraftKings stock forecast. This is mainly because the company just went public in January 2020. This was mere months before COVID-19 hit the U.S. And during the pandemic, most live sports were essentially canceled. Since DraftKing’s entire business relies on live sports, it obviously wasn’t making much money.

Due to this, it isn’t quite fair to judge them for numbers reported during 2020. Additionally, since 2020 numbers were suppressed, it makes it difficult to judge any year-over-year growth. And since DraftKings is pioneering a new industry, there aren’t many obvious competitors to compare against.

With that said, DraftKings reported a 2020 annual revenue of $614 million with a net loss of $1.2 billion. In Q1 2021, DraftKings reported revenue of $312 million with a net loss of $346 million. In Q2, it reported revenue of $297 million with a loss of $305 million. However, as of Q2 2021, DraftKings had $2.6 billion in cash on hand. This will help them continue to fund operations while still battling the aftermath of the pandemic.

DraftKings went public via a SPAC in January 2020. Since then, DraftKings stock is up about 400%. Most of this growth actually occurred in 2020. So far in 2021, DraftKings stock is up just 9%.

With that said, let’s answer the most important question: Should you buy DraftKings stock?

Potential Upsides

DraftKings really has its hand in two jars. It is already a major provider of fantasy sports games. However, on a broader scale, it’s hoping to become a hub for online sports betting in general.

The online sports betting industry reminds me a lot of the marijuana industry. Both were formerly-illegal, yet very popular. Both are also slowly becoming more socially acceptable. Now that a handful of states of legalized these activities, it’s hard to imagine that others will hold out much longer.

Due to this, a lot of the things that make marijuana stocks attractive also apply to DraftKings.

  1. A burgeoning industry: Let’s be honest, sports betting was already very popular. Now, it’s just becoming a huge legal industry.
  2. Fantasy sports are extremely popular: Much like marijuana, those interested in fantasy sports spread across all ages, races, and income levels. And it’s generally a good idea to invest in companies that have such a broad appeal.
  3. High growth potential: Investors tend to get really excited about new things. If investors rally behind DraftKings, it could quickly appreciate in value. Additionally, DraftKings has been aggressively pursuing partnerships.

Organizations DraftKings Has Partnered With

  • The MLB
  • ESPN
  • Fox Sports
  • The NFL
  • Bleacher Report
  • NASCAR
  • UFC
  • Madison Square Garden
  • Staples Center
  • Five NFL teams
  • Eight NBA teams
  • Twenty-five MLB teams
  • Dish Network

These partnerships could potentially turn DraftKings into the face of fantasy sports. And possibly even sports betting in general. Every time a fan turns on a game, a DraftKing’s logo will be looking back at them and offering a discount code to sign up.

On top of that, DraftKings is also building an NFT marketplace. To help get it going, it partnered with Tom Brady’s NFT company, Autograph. This marketplace currently boasts digital collectibles from sports legends like Simone Biles, Tony Hawk, and Tiger Woods.

From this perspective, DraftKings stock certainly has a lot going for it. But not all of this DraftKings stock forecast paints such a rosy picture. No stock is perfect. So let’s take a look at the downsides of buying DraftKings stock.

Potential Downsides

Sports betting is currently still illegal in 24 states. Sure, eventually it could be legalized in all 50 states. But who knows how long that will take? But it’s definitely not a given that it’ll be granted legalized status across the country. And if other states are slow to adopt sports betting, the size of the sports betting market will remain smaller than some investors would prefer.

Also, there’s always a rush of excitement that comes with legalization. However, once something has been legalized for a few years, the initial excitement dies down. So legalization doesn’t guarantee customers. Those who don’t gamble aren’t likely to suddenly wager thousands of dollars on DraftKings just because it’s legal. Due to this, it’s easy to imagine that actual market growth might not be as big as people expect.

On top of that, legalization also means fierce competition. DraftKings does not currently have a whole lot of competition. However, competition is growing. A few major sportsbooks in the U.S. include BetMGM, Caesar’s Sportsbook, and WynnBet. In all honesty, I’m not a sports better so I’m not super familiar with these platforms. However, you’d have to imagine that these companies will be investing heavily in online sports betting. Just like DraftKings is.

In this sense, DraftKings could become a little bit like Robinhood. Robinhood changed the investing game by offering consumers a sleek mobile platform and no trading commissions. However, major brokerages were quick to follow suit. Now, pretty much all brokerages offer a mobile platform and no trading commissions. And just like that, Robinhood’s advantage vanished. Something similar could happen with DraftKing.

When Competition Outpaces the Forerunner

If DraftKings loses its first-to-the-market advantage, investors could face a “right industry, wrong company” situation. By this, I mean that sports betting could very well become a massive industry. However, it might be some other company that ultimately ends up on top, instead of DraftKings.

Finally, the elephant in the room is that DraftKings has been bleeding money. In the short term, this shouldn’t be too big of an issue since it has plenty of cash on hand. However, legalization isn’t a quick process. DraftKings could run out of cash before this process is complete. In this case, the competition with deeper pockets and backed by major casinos could have the upper hand.

I hope that you’ve found this DraftKings stock forecast to be valuable when deciding whether or not to invest in DraftKings stock. If you want to read more DraftKings analysis, check out my article “Should You Invest In DraftKings Stock.”

And if you’re looking for other investment opportunities, enter your email address in the box below to sign up for the Trade of the Day e-letter. It’s a quick and easy way to stay on top of the markets while learning about the industries and individual companies poised to make the biggest moves.

 

NOTE: I’m not a financial advisor and am just offering my own research and commentary. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions. I also own a small position in DraftKings.

The post DraftKings Stock Forecast: Is DKNG Riskier Than Sports Gambling? appeared first on Investment U.

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Are Voters Recoiling Against Disorder?

Are Voters Recoiling Against Disorder?

Authored by Michael Barone via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

The headlines coming out of the Super…

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Are Voters Recoiling Against Disorder?

Authored by Michael Barone via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

The headlines coming out of the Super Tuesday primaries have got it right. Barring cataclysmic changes, Donald Trump and Joe Biden will be the Republican and Democratic nominees for president in 2024.

(Left) President Joe Biden delivers remarks on canceling student debt at Culver City Julian Dixon Library in Culver City, Calif., on Feb. 21, 2024. (Right) Republican presidential candidate and former U.S. President Donald Trump stands on stage during a campaign event at Big League Dreams Las Vegas in Las Vegas, Nev., on Jan. 27, 2024. (Mario Tama/Getty Images; David Becker/Getty Images)

With Nikki Haley’s withdrawal, there will be no more significantly contested primaries or caucuses—the earliest both parties’ races have been over since something like the current primary-dominated system was put in place in 1972.

The primary results have spotlighted some of both nominees’ weaknesses.

Donald Trump lost high-income, high-educated constituencies, including the entire metro area—aka the Swamp. Many but by no means all Haley votes there were cast by Biden Democrats. Mr. Trump can’t afford to lose too many of the others in target states like Pennsylvania and Michigan.

Majorities and large minorities of voters in overwhelmingly Latino counties in Texas’s Rio Grande Valley and some in Houston voted against Joe Biden, and even more against Senate nominee Rep. Colin Allred (D-Texas).

Returns from Hispanic precincts in New Hampshire and Massachusetts show the same thing. Mr. Biden can’t afford to lose too many Latino votes in target states like Arizona and Georgia.

When Mr. Trump rode down that escalator in 2015, commentators assumed he’d repel Latinos. Instead, Latino voters nationally, and especially the closest eyewitnesses of Biden’s open-border policy, have been trending heavily Republican.

High-income liberal Democrats may sport lawn signs proclaiming, “In this house, we believe ... no human is illegal.” The logical consequence of that belief is an open border. But modest-income folks in border counties know that flows of illegal immigrants result in disorder, disease, and crime.

There is plenty of impatience with increased disorder in election returns below the presidential level. Consider Los Angeles County, America’s largest county, with nearly 10 million people, more people than 40 of the 50 states. It voted 71 percent for Mr. Biden in 2020.

Current returns show county District Attorney George Gascon winning only 21 percent of the vote in the nonpartisan primary. He’ll apparently face Republican Nathan Hochman, a critic of his liberal policies, in November.

Gascon, elected after the May 2020 death of counterfeit-passing suspect George Floyd in Minneapolis, is one of many county prosecutors supported by billionaire George Soros. His policies include not charging juveniles as adults, not seeking higher penalties for gang membership or use of firearms, and bringing fewer misdemeanor cases.

The predictable result has been increased car thefts, burglaries, and personal robberies. Some 120 assistant district attorneys have left the office, and there’s a backlog of 10,000 unprosecuted cases.

More than a dozen other Soros-backed and similarly liberal prosecutors have faced strong opposition or have left office.

St. Louis prosecutor Kim Gardner resigned last May amid lawsuits seeking her removal, Milwaukee’s John Chisholm retired in January, and Baltimore’s Marilyn Mosby was defeated in July 2022 and convicted of perjury in September 2023. Last November, Loudoun County, Virginia, voters (62 percent Biden) ousted liberal Buta Biberaj, who declined to prosecute a transgender student for assault, and in June 2022 voters in San Francisco (85 percent Biden) recalled famed radical Chesa Boudin.

Similarly, this Tuesday, voters in San Francisco passed ballot measures strengthening police powers and requiring treatment of drug-addicted welfare recipients.

In retrospect, it appears the Floyd video, appearing after three months of COVID-19 confinement, sparked a frenzied, even crazed reaction, especially among the highly educated and articulate. One fatal incident was seen as proof that America’s “systemic racism” was worse than ever and that police forces should be defunded and perhaps abolished.

2020 was “the year America went crazy,” I wrote in January 2021, a year in which police funding was actually cut by Democrats in New York, Los Angeles, San Francisco, Seattle, and Denver. A year in which young New York Times (NYT) staffers claimed they were endangered by the publication of Sen. Tom Cotton’s (R-Ark.) opinion article advocating calling in military forces if necessary to stop rioting, as had been done in Detroit in 1967 and Los Angeles in 1992. A craven NYT publisher even fired the editorial page editor for running the article.

Evidence of visible and tangible discontent with increasing violence and its consequences—barren and locked shelves in Manhattan chain drugstores, skyrocketing carjackings in Washington, D.C.—is as unmistakable in polls and election results as it is in daily life in large metropolitan areas. Maybe 2024 will turn out to be the year even liberal America stopped acting crazy.

Chaos and disorder work against incumbents, as they did in 1968 when Democrats saw their party’s popular vote fall from 61 percent to 43 percent.

Views expressed in this article are opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of The Epoch Times or ZeroHedge.

Tyler Durden Sat, 03/09/2024 - 23:20

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Government

Veterans Affairs Kept COVID-19 Vaccine Mandate In Place Without Evidence

Veterans Affairs Kept COVID-19 Vaccine Mandate In Place Without Evidence

Authored by Zachary Stieber via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

The…

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Veterans Affairs Kept COVID-19 Vaccine Mandate In Place Without Evidence

Authored by Zachary Stieber via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

The U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) reviewed no data when deciding in 2023 to keep its COVID-19 vaccine mandate in place.

Doses of a COVID-19 vaccine in Washington in a file image. (Jacquelyn Martin/Pool/AFP via Getty Images)

VA Secretary Denis McDonough said on May 1, 2023, that the end of many other federal mandates “will not impact current policies at the Department of Veterans Affairs.”

He said the mandate was remaining for VA health care personnel “to ensure the safety of veterans and our colleagues.”

Mr. McDonough did not cite any studies or other data. A VA spokesperson declined to provide any data that was reviewed when deciding not to rescind the mandate. The Epoch Times submitted a Freedom of Information Act for “all documents outlining which data was relied upon when establishing the mandate when deciding to keep the mandate in place.”

The agency searched for such data and did not find any.

The VA does not even attempt to justify its policies with science, because it can’t,” Leslie Manookian, president and founder of the Health Freedom Defense Fund, told The Epoch Times.

“The VA just trusts that the process and cost of challenging its unfounded policies is so onerous, most people are dissuaded from even trying,” she added.

The VA’s mandate remains in place to this day.

The VA’s website claims that vaccines “help protect you from getting severe illness” and “offer good protection against most COVID-19 variants,” pointing in part to observational data from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) that estimate the vaccines provide poor protection against symptomatic infection and transient shielding against hospitalization.

There have also been increasing concerns among outside scientists about confirmed side effects like heart inflammation—the VA hid a safety signal it detected for the inflammation—and possible side effects such as tinnitus, which shift the benefit-risk calculus.

President Joe Biden imposed a slate of COVID-19 vaccine mandates in 2021. The VA was the first federal agency to implement a mandate.

President Biden rescinded the mandates in May 2023, citing a drop in COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations. His administration maintains the choice to require vaccines was the right one and saved lives.

“Our administration’s vaccination requirements helped ensure the safety of workers in critical workforces including those in the healthcare and education sectors, protecting themselves and the populations they serve, and strengthening their ability to provide services without disruptions to operations,” the White House said.

Some experts said requiring vaccination meant many younger people were forced to get a vaccine despite the risks potentially outweighing the benefits, leaving fewer doses for older adults.

By mandating the vaccines to younger people and those with natural immunity from having had COVID, older people in the U.S. and other countries did not have access to them, and many people might have died because of that,” Martin Kulldorff, a professor of medicine on leave from Harvard Medical School, told The Epoch Times previously.

The VA was one of just a handful of agencies to keep its mandate in place following the removal of many federal mandates.

“At this time, the vaccine requirement will remain in effect for VA health care personnel, including VA psychologists, pharmacists, social workers, nursing assistants, physical therapists, respiratory therapists, peer specialists, medical support assistants, engineers, housekeepers, and other clinical, administrative, and infrastructure support employees,” Mr. McDonough wrote to VA employees at the time.

This also includes VA volunteers and contractors. Effectively, this means that any Veterans Health Administration (VHA) employee, volunteer, or contractor who works in VHA facilities, visits VHA facilities, or provides direct care to those we serve will still be subject to the vaccine requirement at this time,” he said. “We continue to monitor and discuss this requirement, and we will provide more information about the vaccination requirements for VA health care employees soon. As always, we will process requests for vaccination exceptions in accordance with applicable laws, regulations, and policies.”

The version of the shots cleared in the fall of 2022, and available through the fall of 2023, did not have any clinical trial data supporting them.

A new version was approved in the fall of 2023 because there were indications that the shots not only offered temporary protection but also that the level of protection was lower than what was observed during earlier stages of the pandemic.

Ms. Manookian, whose group has challenged several of the federal mandates, said that the mandate “illustrates the dangers of the administrative state and how these federal agencies have become a law unto themselves.”

Tyler Durden Sat, 03/09/2024 - 22:10

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Spread & Containment

The Coming Of The Police State In America

The Coming Of The Police State In America

Authored by Jeffrey Tucker via The Epoch Times,

The National Guard and the State Police are now…

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The Coming Of The Police State In America

Authored by Jeffrey Tucker via The Epoch Times,

The National Guard and the State Police are now patrolling the New York City subway system in an attempt to do something about the explosion of crime. As part of this, there are bag checks and new surveillance of all passengers. No legislation, no debate, just an edict from the mayor.

Many citizens who rely on this system for transportation might welcome this. It’s a city of strict gun control, and no one knows for sure if they have the right to defend themselves. Merchants have been harassed and even arrested for trying to stop looting and pillaging in their own shops.

The message has been sent: Only the police can do this job. Whether they do it or not is another matter.

Things on the subway system have gotten crazy. If you know it well, you can manage to travel safely, but visitors to the city who take the wrong train at the wrong time are taking grave risks.

In actual fact, it’s guaranteed that this will only end in confiscating knives and other things that people carry in order to protect themselves while leaving the actual criminals even more free to prey on citizens.

The law-abiding will suffer and the criminals will grow more numerous. It will not end well.

When you step back from the details, what we have is the dawning of a genuine police state in the United States. It only starts in New York City. Where is the Guard going to be deployed next? Anywhere is possible.

If the crime is bad enough, citizens will welcome it. It must have been this way in most times and places that when the police state arrives, the people cheer.

We will all have our own stories of how this came to be. Some might begin with the passage of the Patriot Act and the establishment of the Department of Homeland Security in 2001. Some will focus on gun control and the taking away of citizens’ rights to defend themselves.

My own version of events is closer in time. It began four years ago this month with lockdowns. That’s what shattered the capacity of civil society to function in the United States. Everything that has happened since follows like one domino tumbling after another.

It goes like this:

1) lockdown,

2) loss of moral compass and spreading of loneliness and nihilism,

3) rioting resulting from citizen frustration, 4) police absent because of ideological hectoring,

5) a rise in uncontrolled immigration/refugees,

6) an epidemic of ill health from substance abuse and otherwise,

7) businesses flee the city

8) cities fall into decay, and that results in

9) more surveillance and police state.

The 10th stage is the sacking of liberty and civilization itself.

It doesn’t fall out this way at every point in history, but this seems like a solid outline of what happened in this case. Four years is a very short period of time to see all of this unfold. But it is a fact that New York City was more-or-less civilized only four years ago. No one could have predicted that it would come to this so quickly.

But once the lockdowns happened, all bets were off. Here we had a policy that most directly trampled on all freedoms that we had taken for granted. Schools, businesses, and churches were slammed shut, with various levels of enforcement. The entire workforce was divided between essential and nonessential, and there was widespread confusion about who precisely was in charge of designating and enforcing this.

It felt like martial law at the time, as if all normal civilian law had been displaced by something else. That something had to do with public health, but there was clearly more going on, because suddenly our social media posts were censored and we were being asked to do things that made no sense, such as mask up for a virus that evaded mask protection and walk in only one direction in grocery aisles.

Vast amounts of the white-collar workforce stayed home—and their kids, too—until it became too much to bear. The city became a ghost town. Most U.S. cities were the same.

As the months of disaster rolled on, the captives were let out of their houses for the summer in order to protest racism but no other reason. As a way of excusing this, the same public health authorities said that racism was a virus as bad as COVID-19, so therefore it was permitted.

The protests had turned to riots in many cities, and the police were being defunded and discouraged to do anything about the problem. Citizens watched in horror as downtowns burned and drug-crazed freaks took over whole sections of cities. It was like every standard of decency had been zapped out of an entire swath of the population.

Meanwhile, large checks were arriving in people’s bank accounts, defying every normal economic expectation. How could people not be working and get their bank accounts more flush with cash than ever? There was a new law that didn’t even require that people pay rent. How weird was that? Even student loans didn’t need to be paid.

By the fall, recess from lockdown was over and everyone was told to go home again. But this time they had a job to do: They were supposed to vote. Not at the polling places, because going there would only spread germs, or so the media said. When the voting results finally came in, it was the absentee ballots that swung the election in favor of the opposition party that actually wanted more lockdowns and eventually pushed vaccine mandates on the whole population.

The new party in control took note of the large population movements out of cities and states that they controlled. This would have a large effect on voting patterns in the future. But they had a plan. They would open the borders to millions of people in the guise of caring for refugees. These new warm bodies would become voters in time and certainly count on the census when it came time to reapportion political power.

Meanwhile, the native population had begun to swim in ill health from substance abuse, widespread depression, and demoralization, plus vaccine injury. This increased dependency on the very institutions that had caused the problem in the first place: the medical/scientific establishment.

The rise of crime drove the small businesses out of the city. They had barely survived the lockdowns, but they certainly could not survive the crime epidemic. This undermined the tax base of the city and allowed the criminals to take further control.

The same cities became sanctuaries for the waves of migrants sacking the country, and partisan mayors actually used tax dollars to house these invaders in high-end hotels in the name of having compassion for the stranger. Citizens were pushed out to make way for rampaging migrant hordes, as incredible as this seems.

But with that, of course, crime rose ever further, inciting citizen anger and providing a pretext to bring in the police state in the form of the National Guard, now tasked with cracking down on crime in the transportation system.

What’s the next step? It’s probably already here: mass surveillance and censorship, plus ever-expanding police power. This will be accompanied by further population movements, as those with the means to do so flee the city and even the country and leave it for everyone else to suffer.

As I tell the story, all of this seems inevitable. It is not. It could have been stopped at any point. A wise and prudent political leadership could have admitted the error from the beginning and called on the country to rediscover freedom, decency, and the difference between right and wrong. But ego and pride stopped that from happening, and we are left with the consequences.

The government grows ever bigger and civil society ever less capable of managing itself in large urban centers. Disaster is unfolding in real time, mitigated only by a rising stock market and a financial system that has yet to fall apart completely.

Are we at the middle stages of total collapse, or at the point where the population and people in leadership positions wise up and decide to put an end to the downward slide? It’s hard to know. But this much we do know: There is a growing pocket of resistance out there that is fed up and refuses to sit by and watch this great country be sacked and taken over by everything it was set up to prevent.

Tyler Durden Sat, 03/09/2024 - 16:20

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