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Dollar wavers as the Fed’s two-day policy begins
Modest dollar weakness is emerging as the Fed begins their two-day policy meeting; the euro is back above the 1.07 level, while the loonie is advancing…

Modest dollar weakness is emerging as the Fed begins their two-day policy meeting; the euro is back above the 1.07 level, while the loonie is advancing below the 200-day SMA, and as the British pound rises above the 1.24 level. Positioning into the FOMC meeting is seeing rate options traders increase hedges, which means some traders are worried that the expected mid-year pivot could be in jeopardy.
FOMC
Inflation has come down a lot, but the Fed’s inflation isn’t quite over yet. The market is assuming that inflation will come down all the way down to the Fed’s 2% target and that rate cuts will happen before next summer starts. The risks for headline inflation to heat up over the next couple of months are rising and that should complicate what the Fed does. Do policymakers become convinced that despite a resilient labor market, pricing pressures will continue to ease? If core inflation shows it is struggling to continue to drop, the higher-for-longer rate regime will last a lot longer than the market is pricing in.
To have a weaker dollar, the Fed’s projections will need to show policymakers don’t believe inflation will be too complicated to bring prices back down close to target. For stock market bulls, it seems if optimism remains that the Fed is likely done raising rates, that could help keep equities supported a little while longer. If the peak is in place Wall Street will anticipate that peak tightness in financial conditions is here and that it will only get better going forward. The problem for stocks is that double digit earnings growth will not be easy given revenue growth will be soft given the long and variable lags from the Fed’s tightening.
Where the market is getting the stock market wrong is the current belief that a soft landing means we can just count on the AI trade, improved productivity, and economic resilience for earnings to hold up. The problem is that the risk of a soft landing becoming hard landing is there. Stocks will struggle as the fastest rate hiking cycle into a leveraged system with quantitative tightening means we might not have enough excess liquidity to keep driving real money growth and economic growth.
USD outlook
Near-term action for the dollar will depend on the Fed and if the market believes the risks are growing for higher-for-longer to last deep into next year. The dollar could be supported over the short-term if the Fed seems likely to deliver one more rate hike at the end of the year.
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Ripple’s XRP price jumps 5% fuelled by Singapore licensing acquisition amidst crypto market downturn
Ripple’s XRP emerged as one of the rare gainers during a subdued 24 hours in the cryptocurrency market that saw Bitcoin (BTC) and other top digital assets…

Ripple’s XRP emerged as one of the rare gainers during a subdued 24 hours in the cryptocurrency market that saw Bitcoin (BTC) and other top digital assets lose their value.
Data from CryptoSlate reveals that XRP surged by approximately 5%, reaching $0.53018 as of press time. This uptick follows Ripple’s significant victories during the reporting period as it secured licensing in Singapore and Judge Analisa Torres rejected the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) plea for an interlocutory appeal.
Ripple’s Singapore licensing
Earlier today, Ripple said its subsidiary, Ripple Markets APAC Pte Ltd, secured a “full” Major Payments Institution (MPI) license from the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) to provide digital payment token services in the country. The crypto payment country received an in-principle approval from the regulator in June.
The MPI license enables businesses to operate free from daily and monthly transaction limits. To qualify, the business must possess a Singaporean-registered company or branch, maintain a permanent business address for record-keeping, have a minimum capital of $250,000, and appoint at least one director with Singaporean citizenship or residency.
Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse described Singapore as a “progressive jurisdiction” that has ” developed into one of the leading fintech and digital asset hubs striking a balance between innovation, consumer protection, and responsible growth.”
Besides that, Judge Torres’s decision provides a closing chapter to the legal tussle between the company and the SEC for this year, with both parties scheduled for trial by April 23, 2024.
Selling pressure on the horizon
Despite this recent surge, XRP still confronts substantial selling pressure due to Ripple recently releasing one billion tokens from its escrow system.
While the crypto payment firm immediately relocked 800 million XRP, the company still holds 200 million tokens that could add more than $100 million in selling pressure to the market, potentially altering the current upward momentum of the asset.
The post Ripple’s XRP price jumps 5% fuelled by Singapore licensing acquisition amidst crypto market downturn appeared first on CryptoSlate.
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Blockchain finance to grow into $79.3B market by 2032
COVID-19 pandemic-induced disruptions in traditional finance, coupled with the promise to reduce operational costs set the stage for the mainstreaming…

COVID-19 pandemic-induced disruptions in traditional finance, coupled with the promise to reduce operational costs set the stage for the mainstreaming of the digital ecosystem.
The global blockchain finance market — encompassing public and private blockchains, trading, payments, settlements and asset management — is well-positioned to grow into a $79.3B market by 2032.
A report by Allied Market Research revealed that the blockchain finance market players are heavily exploring collaborations and acquisitions as a top strategy. COVID-19 pandemic-induced disruptions in traditional finance, coupled with the promise to reduce operational costs set the stage for the mainstreaming of the digital ecosystem.

In 2023, the public blockchain sub-segment represents the lion’s share of the type of blockchains being used worldwide. Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) are some of the prominent crypto ecosystems that use public blockchains. Public blockchains come with numerous upsides, as explained in the report:
“Public blockchains leverage significant computational power, making them ideal for maintaining large distributed ledgers associated with financial transactions. These factors are anticipated to boost the blockchain finance market.”
When it comes to the applications of blockchain finance, cross-border payments and trading are two of the largest sub-segments, driven by the rising demand from individuals, enterprises, merchants, industries and international development groups.

As shown above, the trend is expected to continue as users continue to seek cheaper alternatives to move their savings across the world. North America dominated the blockchain finance market in 2022 and is expected to maintain its lead for blockchain finance adoption.

Based on the quantitative analysis of trends and dynamics of the blockchain finance industry, Allied Market Research predicted a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) growth of 60.5%. Based on the estimates, the industry is poised to grow into a $79.3 billion market.
Related: Beyond finance and Bitcoin: How blockchain is disrupting secure messaging
A report recently published by digital payments network Ripple revealed that blockchain could potentially save financial institutions approximately $10 billion in cross-border payment costs by the year 2030.
Results show that global payments leaders are dissatisfied with legacy rails for cross-border payments.
— Ripple (@Ripple) July 28, 2023
Learn why 97% believe #blockchain and #crypto will transform the way money moves in our latest whitepaper with @Faster_Payments. https://t.co/qacuAAzZrR pic.twitter.com/ForjM05Wbb
“In the survey, over 50% of respondents believe that lower payment costs — both domestically and internationally — is crypto’s primary benefit,” the report notes. The statement complements Allied Market Research’s report, which bases its growth trajectory prediction on cheaper and safer alternatives.
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CBDC lays foundation for new global monetary system: French central bank
The first deputy governor at Banque de France calls central bank digital currency “the catalyst for improving cross-border payments.“
…

The first deputy governor at Banque de France calls central bank digital currency “the catalyst for improving cross-border payments.“
Representatives of Banque de France, the French central bank, have embraced the global perspective on the central bank digital currency (CBDC) discussion, touting it as the foundation of a new international monetary system.
On Oct.3, Denis Beau, the first deputy governor at Banque de France, called the CBDC “the catalyst for improving cross-border payments by enabling the build-up of a new international monetary system.” The official emphasizes the necessity of considering cross-border issue around CBDCs from the outset and not as an afterthought.
Related: Head of Portugal central bank deems crypto unsustainable, calls for global regulation
Beau sees several paths for developing a CBDC. The first is the development of common standards and interoperability between wholesale CBDCs and legacy systems. The second — promoted by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) — is the development of regional or global CBDC platforms. Wholesale CBDCs could be standardized to be exchanged directly on these platforms and perform payment versus payment and delivery versus payment transactions.
Beau cited the example of Project Mariana, which explored the possibilities of an automated market maker (AMM). The project, involving the Banque de France, the Monetary Authority of Singapore and the Swiss National Bank, successfully concluded in late September.
The official talked not only about the CBDCs but also about the tokenization of finance. He expressed his belief that the public sector must support the private sector more to enable the full potential of blockchain while limiting the risks. In his opinion, tokenized “central bank money availability” and tokenized assets are allies rather than competitors.
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