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Bitcoin bulls fail to hold $21K, but pro traders refuse to flip bearish
BTC bears have successfully suppressed Bitcoin price below $25,000 for 147 daily closes, but derivatives data shows no desperation from pro traders
…
BTC bears have successfully suppressed Bitcoin price below $25,000 for 147 daily closes, but derivatives data shows no desperation from pro traders
147 days have passed since Bitcoin (BTC) closed above $25,000, and the result is that investors are less sure that the $20,000 support will hold. Backing these concerns are persistent global financial and macroeconomic tensions, which escalated on Nov. 7 after European Union officials expressed concerns over the $369 billion U.S. Inflation Reduction Act.
The extended tax, health and climate bill was approved in August and it also includes subsidies for electric cars and battery supply chains that are made in North America.
According to CNBC, this is not the first time that Europe has expressed its concerns, citing international trade rules and "discriminatory" policies.
There's additional uncertainty coming from the Nov. 8, U.S. midterm elections which will determine which party controls Congress. Currently, Democrats have a majority in the Lower House, but a change in this status could ease President Biden's future spending plans.
In other news, Apple announced a temporary reduction in iPhone 14 production due to Covid-19 restrictions in China. To put things in perspective, Apple's $2.2 trillion market capitalization has surpassed the sum of Alphabet (Google) and Amazon.
Let's look at Bitcoin derivatives data to understand if the worsening global macroeconomic conditions have impacted crypto investors.
Pro traders were not excited by the rally above $21,000
Retail traders usually avoid quarterly futures due to their price difference from spot markets. Still, they are professional traders' preferred instruments because they prevent the fluctuation of funding rates that often occurs in a perpetual futures contract.
The three-month futures annualized premium should trade at +4% to +8% in healthy markets to cover costs and associated risks. The chart above shows that derivatives traders have been neutral to bearish for the past week as the Bitcoin futures premium remained below 2.5% the entire time.
More importantly, the metric did not improve after BTC rallied 7% between Nov. 3 and Nov. 5 to test the $21,500 resistance. That price level was the highest since Sept. 13, so the data reflects professional traders' unwillingness to add leveraged long (bull) positions.
Related: Crypto no more in top 10 most-cited potential risks: US central bank report
Margin markets show bulls' resilience
Traders should also analyze the margin trading markets to understand how professional traders are positioned. Margin trading allows investors to borrow cryptocurrency to leverage their trading position. For example, one can increase exposure by borrowing stablecoins to buy an additional Bitcoin position.
On the other hand, Bitcoin borrowers can only short the cryptocurrency because they bet on its price declining. However, unlike futures contracts, the balance between margin longs and shorts isn't always matched.
Data shows that OKX traders' margin lending ratio has remained relatively stable at 8 for the past week. From one side, the indicator is somewhat concerning, giving the rally from $20,050 to $21,475 on Nov. 5, which should have positively impacted the margin lending ratio. The present 8.1 level leaves enough room for sustainable leverage buying pressure when the time comes.
The metric remains bullish by favoring stablecoin borrowing by a wide margin. In a nutshell, pro traders have been holding bullish positions using stablecoin margin lending.
The futures and margin metrics suggest that Bitcoin’s failure to hold the $21,000 support was insufficient in instilling panic in pro traders.The data also shows a modest degree of apathy because the recent 7% rally toward $21,500 was not accompanied by higher demand for leverage longs.
Bears continue to exert their strength even as the elusive $25,000 daily close becomes even more distant. Until macroeconomic conditions and political uncertainty dominate the headlines, bulls are less likely to have high hopes of a more sustainable rally.
The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.
cryptocurrency bitcoin crypto btc covid-19 cryptoUncategorized
One more airline cracks down on lounge crowding in a way you won’t like
Qantas Airways is increasing the price of accessing its network of lounges by as much as 17%.
Over the last two years, multiple airlines have dealt with crowding in their lounges. While they are designed as a luxury experience for a small subset of travelers, high numbers of people taking a trip post-pandemic as well as the different ways they are able to gain access through status or certain credit cards made it difficult for some airlines to keep up with keeping foods stocked, common areas clean and having enough staff to serve bar drinks at the rate that customers expect them.
In the fall of 2023, Delta Air Lines (DAL) caught serious traveler outcry after announcing that it was cracking down on crowding by raising how much one needs to spend for lounge access and limiting the number of times one can enter those lounges.
Related: Competitors pushed Delta to backtrack on its lounge and loyalty program changes
Some airlines saw the outcry with Delta as their chance to reassure customers that they would not raise their fees while others waited for the storm to pass to quietly implement their own increases.
This is how much more you'll have to pay for Qantas lounge access
Australia's flagship carrier Qantas Airways (QUBSF) is the latest airline to announce that it would raise the cost accessing the 24 lounges across the country as well as the 600 international lounges available at airports across the world through partner airlines.
More Travel:
- A new travel term is taking over the internet (and reaching airlines and hotels)
- The 10 best airline stocks to buy now
- Airlines see a new kind of traveler at the front of the plane
Unlike other airlines which grant access primarily after reaching frequent flyer status, Qantas also sells it through a membership — starting from April 18, 2024, prices will rise from $600 Australian dollars ($392 USD) to $699 AUD ($456 USD) for one year, $1,100 ($718 USD) to $1,299 ($848 USD) for two years and $2,000 AUD ($1,304) to lock in the rate for four years.
Those signing up for lounge access for the first time also currently pay a joining fee of $99 AUD ($65 USD) that will rise to $129 AUD ($85 USD).
The airline also allows customers to purchase their membership with Qantas Points they collect through frequent travel; the membership fees are also being raised by the equivalent amount in points in what adds up to as much as 17% — from 308,000 to 399,900 to lock in access for four years.
Airline says hikes will 'cover cost increases passed on from suppliers'
"This is the first time the Qantas Club membership fees have increased in seven years and will help cover cost increases passed on from a range of suppliers over that time," a Qantas spokesperson confirmed to Simple Flying. "This follows a reduction in the membership fees for several years during the pandemic."
The spokesperson said the gains from the increases will go both towards making up for inflation-related costs and keeping existing lounges looking modern by updating features like furniture and décor.
While the price increases also do not apply for those who earned lounge access through frequent flyer status or change what it takes to earn that status, Qantas is also introducing even steeper increases for those renewing a membership or adding additional features such as spouse and partner memberships.
In some cases, the cost of these features will nearly double from what members are paying now.
stocks pandemicUncategorized
Star Wars icon gives his support to Disney, Bob Iger
Disney shareholders have a huge decision to make on April 3.
Disney's (DIS) been facing some headwinds up top, but its leadership just got backing from one of the company's more prominent investors.
Star Wars creator George Lucas put out of statement in support of the company's current leadership team, led by CEO Bob Iger, ahead of the April 3 shareholders meeting which will see investors vote on the company's 12-member board.
"Creating magic is not for amateurs," Lucas said in a statement. "When I sold Lucasfilm just over a decade ago, I was delighted to become a Disney shareholder because of my long-time admiration for its iconic brand and Bob Iger’s leadership. When Bob recently returned to the company during a difficult time, I was relieved. No one knows Disney better. I remain a significant shareholder because I have full faith and confidence in the power of Disney and Bob’s track record of driving long-term value. I have voted all of my shares for Disney’s 12 directors and urge other shareholders to do the same."
Related: Disney stands against Nelson Peltz as leadership succession plan heats up
Lucasfilm was acquired by Disney for $4 billion in 2012 — notably under the first term of Iger. He received over 37 million in shares of Disney during the acquisition.
Lucas' statement seems to be an attempt to push investors away from the criticism coming from The Trian Partners investment group, led by Nelson Peltz. The group, owns about $3 million in shares of the media giant, is pushing two candidates for positions on the board, which are Peltz and former Disney CFO Jay Rasulo.
Peltz and Co. have called out a pair of Disney directors — Michael Froman and Maria Elena Lagomasino — for their lack of experience in the media space.
Related: Women's basketball is gaining ground, but is March Madness ready to rival the men's game?
Blackwells Capital is also pushing three of its candidates to take seats during the early April shareholder meeting, though Reuters has reported that the firm has been supportive of the company's current direction.
Disney has struggled in recent years amid the changes in media and the effects of the pandemic — which triggered the return of Iger at the helm in late 2022. After going through mass layoffs in the spring of 2023 and focusing on key growth brands, the company has seen a steady recovery with its stock up over 25% year-to-date and around 40% for the last six months.
Related: Veteran fund manager picks favorite stocks for 2024
stocks pandemic recoveryUncategorized
Another airline is making lounge fees more expensive
Qantas Airways is increasing the price of accessing its network of lounges by as much as 17%.
Over the last two years, multiple airlines have dealt with crowding in their lounges. While they are designed as a luxury experience for a small subset of travelers, high numbers of people taking a trip post-pandemic as well as the different ways they are able to gain access through status or certain credit cards made it difficult for some airlines to keep up with keeping foods stocked, common areas clean and having enough staff to serve bar drinks at the rate that customers expect them.
In the fall of 2023, Delta Air Lines (DAL) caught serious traveler outcry after announcing that it was cracking down on crowding by raising how much one needs to spend for lounge access and limiting the number of times one can enter those lounges.
Related: Competitors pushed Delta to backtrack on its lounge and loyalty program changes
Some airlines saw the outcry with Delta as their chance to reassure customers that they would not raise their fees while others waited for the storm to pass to quietly implement their own increases.
This is how much more you'll have to pay for Qantas lounge access
Australia's flagship carrier Qantas Airways (QUBSF) is the latest airline to announce that it would raise the cost accessing the 24 lounges across the country as well as the 600 international lounges available at airports across the world through partner airlines.
More Travel:
- A new travel term is taking over the internet (and reaching airlines and hotels)
- The 10 best airline stocks to buy now
- Airlines see a new kind of traveler at the front of the plane
Unlike other airlines which grant access primarily after reaching frequent flyer status, Qantas also sells it through a membership — starting from April 18, 2024, prices will rise from $600 Australian dollars ($392 USD) to $699 AUD ($456 USD) for one year, $1,100 ($718 USD) to $1,299 ($848 USD) for two years and $2,000 AUD ($1,304) to lock in the rate for four years.
Those signing up for lounge access for the first time also currently pay a joining fee of $99 AUD ($65 USD) that will rise to $129 AUD ($85 USD).
The airline also allows customers to purchase their membership with Qantas Points they collect through frequent travel; the membership fees are also being raised by the equivalent amount in points in what adds up to as much as 17% — from 308,000 to 399,900 to lock in access for four years.
Airline says hikes will 'cover cost increases passed on from suppliers'
"This is the first time the Qantas Club membership fees have increased in seven years and will help cover cost increases passed on from a range of suppliers over that time," a Qantas spokesperson confirmed to Simple Flying. "This follows a reduction in the membership fees for several years during the pandemic."
The spokesperson said the gains from the increases will go both towards making up for inflation-related costs and keeping existing lounges looking modern by updating features like furniture and décor.
While the price increases also do not apply for those who earned lounge access through frequent flyer status or change what it takes to earn that status, Qantas is also introducing even steeper increases for those renewing a membership or adding additional features such as spouse and partner memberships.
In some cases, the cost of these features will nearly double from what members are paying now.
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