Key Measures Show Inflation Decreased on YoY Basis in September

Oct 11 15:10 2018 Print This Article

The Cleveland Fed released the median CPI and the trimmed-mean CPI this morning:According to the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, the median Consumer Price Index rose 0.2% (2.3% annualized rate) in September. The 16% trimmed-mean Consumer Price Index rose 0.1% (1.7% annualized rate) during the month. The median CPI and 16% trimmed-mean CPI are measures of core inflation calculated by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland based on data released in the Bureau of Labor Statistics' (BLS) monthly CPI report. Earlier today, the BLS reported that the seasonally adjusted CPI for all urban consumers rose 0.1% (0.7% annualized rate) in September. The CPI less food and energy rose 0.1% (1.4% annualized rate) on a seasonally adjusted basis. Note: The Cleveland Fed released the median CPI details for September here. Click on graph for larger image.This graph shows the year-over-year change for these four key measures of inflation. On a year-over-year basis, the median CPI rose 2.7%, the trimmed-mean CPI rose 2.2%, and the CPI less food and energy rose 2.2%. Core PCE is for August and increased 1.96% year-over-year.On a monthly basis, median CPI was at 2.3% annualized, trimmed-mean CPI was at 1.7% annualized, and core CPI was at 1.4% annualized.Using these measures, inflation decreased on a year-over-year basis in September. Overall, these measures are at or above the Fed's 2% target (Core PCE is slightly below 2%)

Read More

About Article Author

Calculated Risk

A full time blogger, Bill McBride retired as a senior executive from a small public company in the '90s. Mr. McBride holds an MBA from the University of California, Irvine, and has a background in management, finance and economics.

  Categories:

Related Items

‘Black Monday’ is, umm, this Sunday

You better be watching this Sunday night or I don’t even know what to tell you. I know there’s football, this is for after… Welcome to “Black Monday,” a new Showtime comedy series that imagines the stock market crash of 1987 as the result of a rogue brokerage firm aiming to outfox the olde ...

Schedule for Week of January 20th

Special Note on Government Shutdown: If the Government shutdown continues, then some additional releases will be delayed. For example, this coming week, the new home sales and durable goods reports will not be released if the government remains shutdown - and probably delayed even if the government ...

Book Bits | 19 January 2019

● The Age of Surveillance Capitalism: The Fight for a Human Future at the New Frontier of Power By Shoshana ZuboffReview via Los Angeles Review of Books Silicon Valley’s Phoenix-like resurrection is a story of ingenuity and initiative. It is also a story of callousness, predation, and deceit. H ...

Separating the Contenders from the Pretenders

The S&P 500 is in the midst of a big run that lifted most boats, especially financial stocks. Even though these stocks are leading with the biggest gains over the last three weeks, most big financials are still in downtrends overall and below their 200-day SMAs. Take Citigroup for example. Even ...

Bogle’s Big Mistake

The world lost a legend this week. Jack Bogle had a greater impact on the average investor than anyone who ever lived. Bogle, however, was not an overnight sensation. The index fund, which he is best known for, wasn’t created until his fifth decade on the planet. I wanted to share the challenges h ...

Strong US Data, Trade Solace, & Consistent Fed Speak Drive Strong Dollar and Risk Narrative

The US dollar rally continues to be supported by strong US data, accommodative comments from Fed officials, and a very strong US stock market.  This week also saw big shifts in interest rate probabilities, the market shifted from seeing the next move go from a cut to now favoring a rate hike.  Ne ...

Q4 GDP Forecasts: Mid-to-High 2s

From Merrill Lynch: 4Q GDP tracking remains at 2.8%. We forecast 1Q GDP growth of 2.2%, but downside risks are emerging due to the government shutdown. [Jan 18 estimate]emphasis added From the NY Fed Nowcasting ReportThe New York Fed Staff Nowcast stands at 2.6% for 2018:Q4 and 2.2% for 2019:Q1. [J ...

Stocks rally as hope mounts for U.S.-China trade deal

Stocks rallied Friday, with major indexes trading higher for a fourth session, on reports that stoked hopes for progress in trade talks between the U.S. and China. Optimism over a potential bilateral deal helped to offset worries about the prolonged partial government shutdown and mixed corporate r ...