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VIRGINIA NATIONAL BANKSHARES CORPORATION ANNOUNCES RECORD 2022 FOURTH QUARTER AND RECORD FULL YEAR EARNINGS
VIRGINIA NATIONAL BANKSHARES CORPORATION ANNOUNCES RECORD 2022 FOURTH QUARTER AND RECORD FULL YEAR EARNINGS
PR Newswire
CHARLOTTESVILLE, Va., Jan. 31, 2023
CHARLOTTESVILLE, Va., Jan. 31, 2023 /PRNewswire/ — Virginia National Bankshares Corporation…

VIRGINIA NATIONAL BANKSHARES CORPORATION ANNOUNCES RECORD 2022 FOURTH QUARTER AND RECORD FULL YEAR EARNINGS
PR Newswire
CHARLOTTESVILLE, Va., Jan. 31, 2023
CHARLOTTESVILLE, Va., Jan. 31, 2023 /PRNewswire/ -- Virginia National Bankshares Corporation (NASDAQ: VABK) (the "Company") today reported record quarterly net income of $7.1 million, or $1.32 per diluted share, for the quarter ended December 31, 2022, which represents a 35% increase over net income of $5.2 million, or $0.98 per diluted share, recognized for the quarter ended December 31, 2021. For the twelve months ended December 31, 2022, record net income of $23.4 million, or $4.38 per diluted share, was recognized, compared to $10.1 million, or $2.14 per diluted share, for the twelve months ended December 31, 2021. Note that pre-tax merger and merger-related expenses of $7.4 million were incurred in the year-to-date period ended December 31, 2021, in connection with the April 1, 2021 mergers of Fauquier Bankshares, Inc. ("Fauquier") and The Fauquier Bank ("TFB") with and into the Company and Virginia National Bank (the "Bank"), respectively.
"We are proud to post record results for the fourth quarter and calendar year of 2022," commented President and Chief Executive Officer, Glenn W. Rust. "Our earn back period for the 2021 merger with Fauquier was less than two years and we continue to reap the benefits of an effectively managed overhead cost structure. We posted a return on average assets of 1.30% for 2022 and we continue to maintain a strong credit discipline."
Fourth Quarter 2022 Highlights
- Return on average assets ("ROAA") for the three months ended December 31, 2022 increased to 1.65% compared to 1.06% realized in the same period in the prior year.
- Return on average equity ("ROAE") for the three months ended December 31, 2022 improved to 22.23% compared to 12.86% realized in same period in the prior year.
- The efficiency ratio on a fully tax equivalent basis ("FTE") (a non-GAAP financial measure)1 was 51.7% for the three months ended December 31, 2022, an improvement over 57.7% for the same period in the prior year.
- The Company did not incur any merger or merger-related expenses in 2022, compared to $7.4 million incurred during 2021.
- The Company is realizing significant savings in salaries and employee benefits, data processing and professional fees associated with the merger. Full-time equivalent employee headcount was 215 as of April 1, 2021, the effective date of the merger, and is down to 157 as of December 31, 2022. In addition, the Company closed two branches in the fourth quarter of 2022, reducing future operating costs.
- During the fourth quarter of 2022, the Company sold its interest in Sturman Wealth Advisors, resulting in a gain on sale of the line of business of $404 thousand. All goodwill and unamortized intangible assets associated with the 2016 purchase of this business line have been eliminated from the Company's balance sheet.
Loans and Asset Quality
- Credit performance remains strong with nonperforming assets as a percentage of total assets of 0.08% as of December 31, 2022, compared to 0.10% as of December 31, 2021. Nonperforming assets have been reduced to $1.4 million as of December 31, 2022, compared to $1.9 million as of December 31, 2021, and the Company currently holds no other real estate owned.
- Four loans to three borrowers are in non-accrual status, totaling $673 thousand, as of December 31, 2022, compared to $495 thousand as of December 31, 2021. Loans acquired from TFB ("acquired loans") that otherwise would be in non-accrual status are not included in this figure, as they earn interest through the yield accretion.
- Loans 90 days or more past due and still accruing interest amounted to $705 thousand as of December 31, 2022, compared to $800 thousand as of December 31, 2021. The portfolio includes three non-insured student loans that are 90 days or more past due and still accruing interest, amounting to $59 thousand. Acquired loans that are greater than 90 days past due and still accruing interest are included in this figure, net of their fair value mark.
- The period-end allowance for loan losses ("ALLL") as a percentage of total loans was 0.59% as of December 31, 2022 and 0.56% as of December 31, 2021. The fair value mark that was allocated to the acquired loans was $21.3 million as of April 1, 2021 with a remaining balance of $15.9 million as of December 31, 2022. The ALLL as a percentage of gross loans, excluding the impact of the acquired loans and fair value mark (a non-GAAP financial measure)1, would have been 0.90% as of December 31, 2022 and 0.95% as of December 31, 2021. The total of the ALLL and the fair value mark as a percentage of gross loans (a non-GAAP financial measure)1 amounted to 2.29% as of December 31, 2022 and 2.30% as of December 31, 2021.
- A provision for loan losses of $136 thousand was recognized during the three months ended December 31, 2022, compared to $537 thousand recognized in the three months ended December 31, 2021.
- Gross loans outstanding at December 31, 2022 totaled $936.4 million, a decrease of $124.8 million, or 12%, compared to December 31, 2021. Loans originated and funded during 2022 were offset by: 1) paydowns of legacy organic loans due mainly to business sales, property sales and participation fluctuations, 2) workouts and paydowns of loans, the majority of which originated from legacy Fauquier, and 3) the forgiveness of Small Business Administration Paycheck Protection Program loans.
Net Interest Income
- Net interest income for the three months ended December 31, 2022 of $15.4 million increased $3.0 million, or 24%, compared to the three months ended December 31, 2021, due primarily to the increase in average balances of securities, positively impacting net interest income through rate and volume, offset by the reduction in average balances of loans.
- The fair value accretion on acquired loans positively impacted net interest income by 21 basis points ("bps") during the current quarter.
- The overall cost of funds, including noninterest deposits, of 23 bps incurred in the three months ended December 31, 2022 increased 8 bps from 22 bps in the same period in the prior year. Overall, the cost of interest-bearing deposits increased period over period, from a cost of 30 bps to 32 bps. Average balances in noninterest-bearing deposits remained relatively flat period over period.
- Low-cost deposits, which include noninterest checking accounts and interest-bearing checking, savings and money market accounts, remained in excess of 91% of total deposits at December 31, 2022 and 2021.
Noninterest Income
Noninterest income for the three months ended December 31, 2022 decreased $100 thousand, or 3%, compared to the three months ended December 31, 2021, primarily due to the decline in wealth management fees, due to an anticipated reduction in the number of accounts served by the Trust & Estate segment and the decline in performance fees collected by Masonry Capital Management. In the fourth quarter of 2022, the Company received a $267 thousand recovery of unearned premiums related to the loss of insurance on the student loan portfolio, bringing the total recovered life-to-date to over $1 million. The Company also closed on the sale of Sturman Wealth Advisors, as noted above, in the current period.
Noninterest Expense
Noninterest expense for the three months ended December 31, 2022 increased $592 thousand, or 7%, compared to the three months ended December 31, 2021, due to combination of several variances, including an increase in losses due to fraud and an impairment charge on an asset held for sale, offset by reduced plastics expense as a result of changing vendors and lower salaries and employee benefits as a result of efficiencies gained from the merger. In addition, the fourth quarter of 2021 noninterest expense included a favorable adjustment to merger and merger-related expenses after receiving a refund from a third-party vendor for system implementation credits and adjusting merger-related accrued bonuses.
Book Value
Book value per share was $25.05 as of December 31, 2022 and $30.50 as of December 31, 2021, and tangible book value per share (a non-GAAP financial measure)1 was $22.36 as of December 31, 2022 compared to $27.36 as of December 31, 2021. These values declined due to the increase in unrealized losses on the investment portfolio period over period.
Income Taxes
The effective tax rate for the twelve months ended December 31, 2022 amounted to 17.9% compared to 15.5% for the twelve months ended December 31, 2021, which are both lower than the statutory rate due to the recognition of low-income housing tax credits and the effect of tax-exempt income from municipal bonds and bank owned life insurance policies. The 2021 effective tax rate was also impacted by the non-deductibility of certain merger-related expenses for tax purposes.
Dividends
Cash dividends of $1.6 million, or $0.30 per share, were declared during the current quarter, and $6.4 million, or $1.20 per share, were declared during the current year.
1 See "Reconciliation of Certain Non-GAAP Financial Measures" at the end of this release.
About Virginia National Bankshares Corporation
Virginia National Bankshares Corporation, headquartered in Charlottesville, Virginia, is the bank holding company for Virginia National Bank. The Bank has nine banking offices throughout Fauquier and Prince William counties, three banking offices in Charlottesville and Albemarle County, and banking offices in Winchester and Richmond, Virginia. The Bank offers a full range of banking and related financial services to meet the needs of individuals, businesses and charitable organizations, including the fiduciary services of VNB Trust and Estate Services. Investment management services are offered through Masonry Capital Management, LLC, a registered investment adviser and wholly-owned subsidiary of the Company.
The Company's common stock trades on the Nasdaq Capital Market under the symbol "VABK." Additional information on the Company is also available at www.vnbcorp.com.
Non-GAAP Financial Measures
The accounting and reporting policies of the Company conform to U.S. generally accepted accounting principles ("GAAP") and prevailing practices in the banking industry. However, management uses certain non-GAAP measures to supplement the evaluation of the Company's performance. Management believes presentations of these non-GAAP financial measures provide useful supplemental information that is essential to a proper understanding of the operating results of the Company's core businesses. These non-GAAP disclosures should not be viewed as a substitute for operating results determined in accordance with GAAP, nor are they necessarily comparable to non-GAAP performance measures that may be presented by other companies. Reconciliations of GAAP to non-GAAP measures are included at the end of this release.
Forward-Looking Statements; Other Information
Certain statements in this release may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements include, without limitation, statements with respect to the Company's operations, performance, future strategy and goals, and are often characterized by use of qualified words such as "expect," "believe," "estimate," "project," "anticipate," "intend," "will," "should," or words of similar meaning or other statements concerning the opinions or judgement of the Company and its management about future events. While Company management believes such statements to be reasonable, future events and predictions are subject to circumstances that are not within the control of the Company and its management. Actual results may differ materially from those included in the forward-looking statements due to a number of factors, including, without limitation, the effects of and changes in: general economic and market conditions, including the effects of declines in real estate values, an increase in unemployment levels and general economic contraction as a result of COVID-19 or other pandemics; fluctuations in interest rates, deposits, loan demand, and asset quality; assumptions that underlie the Company's allowance for loan losses; the potential adverse effects of unusual and infrequently occurring events, such as weather-related disasters, terrorist acts or public health events (e.g., COVID-19 or other pandemics), and of governmental and societal responses thereto; the performance of vendors or other parties with which the Company does business; competition; technology; changes in laws, regulations and guidance; changes in accounting principles or guidelines; performance of assets under management; expected revenue synergies and cost savings from the recently completed merger with Fauquier may not be fully realized or realized within the expected timeframe; the businesses of the Company and Fauquier may not be integrated successfully or such integration may be more difficult, time-consuming or costly than expected; revenues following the merger may be lower than expected; customer and employee relationships and business operations may be disrupted by the merger; and other factors impacting financial services businesses. Many of these factors and additional risks and uncertainties are described in the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2021 and other reports filed from time to time by the Company with the Securities and Exchange Commission. These statements speak only as of the date made, and the Company does not undertake to update any forward-looking statements to reflect changes or events that may occur after this release.
VIRGINIA NATIONAL BANKSHARES CORPORATION | |||||||
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS | |||||||
(dollars in thousands, except per share data) | |||||||
December 31, 2022 | December 31, 2021* | ||||||
(Unaudited) | |||||||
ASSETS | |||||||
Cash and due from banks | $ | 20,993 | $ | 20,345 | |||
Interest-bearing deposits in other banks | 19,098 | 336,032 | |||||
Federal funds sold | 45 | 152,463 | |||||
Securities: | |||||||
Available for sale, at fair value | 538,186 | 303,817 | |||||
Restricted securities, at cost | 5,137 | 4,950 | |||||
Total securities | 543,323 | 308,767 | |||||
Loans, net of deferred fees and costs | 936,415 | 1,061,211 | |||||
Allowance for loan losses | (5,552) | (5,984) | |||||
Loans, net | 930,863 | 1,055,227 | |||||
Premises and equipment, net | 17,808 | 25,093 | |||||
Assets held for sale | 965 | - | |||||
Bank owned life insurance | 38,552 | 31,234 | |||||
Goodwill | 7,768 | 8,140 | |||||
Core deposit intangible, net | 6,586 | 8,271 | |||||
Other intangible assets, net | - | 274 | |||||
Other real estate owned, net | - | 611 | |||||
Right of use asset, net | 6,536 | 7,583 | |||||
Deferred tax asset, net | 17,165 | 4,840 | |||||
Accrued interest receivable and other assets | 13,151 | 13,304 | |||||
Total assets | $ | 1,622,853 | $ | 1,972,184 | |||
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY | |||||||
Liabilities: | |||||||
Demand deposits: | |||||||
Noninterest-bearing | $ | 495,649 | $ | 522,281 | |||
Interest-bearing | 399,983 | 446,314 | |||||
Money market and savings deposit accounts | 467,600 | 665,530 | |||||
Certificates of deposit and other time deposits | 115,106 | 162,045 | |||||
Total deposits | 1,478,338 | 1,796,170 | |||||
Junior subordinated debt, net | 3,413 | 3,367 | |||||
Lease liability | 6,173 | 7,108 | |||||
Accrued interest payable and other liabilities | 1,513 | 3,552 | |||||
Total liabilities | 1,489,437 | 1,810,197 | |||||
Commitments and contingent liabilities | |||||||
Shareholders' equity: | |||||||
Preferred stock, $2.50 par value | - | - | |||||
Common stock, $2.50 par value | 13,214 | 13,178 | |||||
Capital surplus | 105,344 | 104,584 | |||||
Retained earnings | 63,482 | 46,436 | |||||
Accumulated other comprehensive loss | (48,624) | (2,211) | |||||
Total shareholders' equity | 133,416 | 161,987 | |||||
Total liabilities and shareholders' equity | $ | 1,622,853 | $ | 1,972,184 | |||
Common shares outstanding | 5,337,271 | 5,308,335 | |||||
Common shares authorized | 10,000,000 | 10,000,000 | |||||
Preferred shares outstanding | - | - | |||||
Preferred shares authorized | 2,000,000 | 2,000,000 |
* Derived from audited consolidated financial statements
VIRGINIA NATIONAL BANKSHARES CORPORATION | ||||||||||||||||
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME | ||||||||||||||||
(dollars in thousands, except per share data) | ||||||||||||||||
(Unaudited) | ||||||||||||||||
For the three months ended | For the twelve months ended | |||||||||||||||
December 31, 2022 | December 31, 2021 | December 31, 2022 | December 31, 2021 | |||||||||||||
Interest and dividend income: | ||||||||||||||||
Loans, including fees | $ | 11,828 | $ | 11,995 | $ | 44,231 | $ | 43,899 | ||||||||
Federal funds sold | 426 | 61 | 1,088 | 139 | ||||||||||||
Other interest-bearing deposits | 494 | 139 | 1,467 | 233 | ||||||||||||
Investment securities: | ||||||||||||||||
Taxable | 3,116 | 804 | 8,416 | 2,810 | ||||||||||||
Tax exempt | 324 | 292 | 1,249 | 1,021 | ||||||||||||
Dividends | 88 | 49 | 280 | 170 | ||||||||||||
Total interest and dividend income | 16,276 | 13,340 | 56,731 | 48,272 | ||||||||||||
Interest expense: | ||||||||||||||||
Demand and savings deposits | 682 | 710 | 2,327 | 2,308 | ||||||||||||
Certificates and other time deposits | 158 | 222 | 657 | 1,108 | ||||||||||||
Junior subordinated debt | 52 | 49 | 200 | (132) | ||||||||||||
Total interest expense | 892 | 981 | 3,184 | 3,284 | ||||||||||||
Net interest income | 15,384 | 12,359 | 53,547 | 44,988 | ||||||||||||
Provision for loan losses | 136 | 537 | 106 | 1,014 | ||||||||||||
Net interest income after provision for loan losses | 15,248 | 11,822 | 53,441 | 43,974 | ||||||||||||
Noninterest income: | ||||||||||||||||
Wealth management fees | 721 | 1,455 | 2,440 | 3,508 | ||||||||||||
Advisory and brokerage income | 131 | 246 | 770 | 1,154 | ||||||||||||
Deposit account fees | 433 | 477 | 1,799 | 1,459 | ||||||||||||
Debit/credit card and ATM fees | 648 | 509 | 2,794 | 2,070 | ||||||||||||
Earnings/increase in value of bank owned life insurance | 254 | 201 | 963 | 708 | ||||||||||||
Resolution of commercial dispute | - | - | 2,400 | - | ||||||||||||
Gain on sale of business line | 404 | - | 404 | - | ||||||||||||
Gains (losses) on sale of assets, net | (74) | 1 | 1,043 | 81 | ||||||||||||
Other | 411 | 139 | 1,048 | 1,485 | ||||||||||||
Total noninterest income | 2,928 | 3,028 | 13,661 | 10,465 | ||||||||||||
Noninterest expense: | ||||||||||||||||
Salaries and employee benefits | 4,191 | 4,424 | 17,260 | 16,129 | ||||||||||||
Net occupancy | 729 | 932 | 4,526 | 3,575 | ||||||||||||
Equipment | 111 | 305 | 897 | 966 | ||||||||||||
Bank franchise tax | 304 | 214 | 1,216 | 1,136 | ||||||||||||
Computer software | 229 | 276 | 1,136 | 1,020 | ||||||||||||
Data processing | 805 | 620 | 2,954 | 2,793 | ||||||||||||
FDIC deposit insurance assessment | 90 | 264 | 511 | 858 | ||||||||||||
Marketing, advertising and promotion | 351 | 216 | 1,224 | 922 | ||||||||||||
Merger and merger-related expenses | - | (664) | - | 7,423 | ||||||||||||
Plastics expense | 72 | 389 | 394 | 978 | ||||||||||||
Professional fees | 306 | 244 | 1,357 | 1,117 | ||||||||||||
Core deposit intangible amortization | 403 | 544 | 1,684 | 1,389 | ||||||||||||
Impairment on assets held for sale | 242 | - | 242 | - | ||||||||||||
Other | 1,683 | 1,160 | 5,155 | 4,216 | ||||||||||||
Total noninterest expense | 9,516 | 8,924 | 38,556 | 42,522 | ||||||||||||
Income before income taxes | 8,660 | 5,926 | 28,546 | 11,917 | ||||||||||||
Provision for income taxes | 1,603 | 707 | 5,108 | 1,846 | ||||||||||||
Net income | $ | 7,057 | $ | 5,219 | $ | 23,438 | $ | 10,071 | ||||||||
Net income per common share, basic | $ | 1.32 | $ | 0.98 | $ | 4.40 | $ | 2.16 | ||||||||
Net income per common share, diluted | $ | 1.32 | $ | 0.98 | $ | 4.38 | $ | 2.14 | ||||||||
Weighted average common shares outstanding, basic | 5,333,902 | 5,308,108 | 5,324,740 | 4,668,761 | ||||||||||||
Weighted average common shares outstanding, diluted | 5,362,220 | 5,338,088 | 5,351,358 | 4,695,405 |
VIRGINIA NATIONAL BANKSHARES CORPORATION | ||||||||||||||||||||
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS | ||||||||||||||||||||
(dollars in thousands, except per share data) | ||||||||||||||||||||
(Unaudited) | ||||||||||||||||||||
At or For the Three Months Ended | ||||||||||||||||||||
December 31, | September 30, | June 30, 2022 | March 31, | December 31, | ||||||||||||||||
Common Share Data: | ||||||||||||||||||||
Net income per weighted average share, basic | $ | 1.32 | $ | 1.08 | $ | 1.07 | $ | 0.93 | $ | 0.98 | ||||||||||
Net income per weighted average share, diluted | $ | 1.32 | $ | 1.08 | $ | 1.06 | $ | 0.92 | $ | 0.98 | ||||||||||
Weighted average shares outstanding, basic | 5,333,902 | 5,326,543 | 5,326,271 | 5,311,983 | 5,308,108 | |||||||||||||||
Weighted average shares outstanding, diluted | 5,362,220 | 5,348,900 | 5,347,008 | 5,343,564 | 5,338,088 | |||||||||||||||
Actual shares outstanding | 5,327,271 | 5,327,271 | 5,326,271 | 5,326,271 | 5,308,335 | |||||||||||||||
Tangible book value per share at period end | $ | 22.36 | $ | 20.77 | $ | 22.24 | $ | 24.37 | $ | 27.36 | ||||||||||
Key Ratios: | ||||||||||||||||||||
Return on average assets 1 | 1.65 | % | 1.30 | % | 1.27 | % | 1.03 | % | 1.06 | % | ||||||||||
Return on average equity 1 | 22.23 | % | 16.50 | % | 16.16 | % | 12.53 | % | 12.86 | % | ||||||||||
Net interest margin (FTE) 2 | 3.91 | % | 3.47 | % | 3.02 | % | 2.59 | % | 2.72 | % | ||||||||||
Efficiency ratio (FTE) 3 | 51.7 | % | 57.0 | % | 58.3 | % | 62.0 | % | 57.7 | % | ||||||||||
Loan-to-deposit ratio | 63.3 | % | 59.0 | % | 60.1 | % | 56.8 | % | 59.1 | % | ||||||||||
Net Interest Income: | ||||||||||||||||||||
Net interest income | $ | 15,384 | $ | 14,277 | $ | 12,461 | $ | 11,425 | $ | 12,359 | ||||||||||
Net interest income (FTE) 2 | $ | 15,470 | $ | 14,361 | $ | 12,543 | $ | 11,490 | $ | 12,437 | ||||||||||
Capital Ratios: | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tier 1 leverage ratio | 9.77 | % | 9.17 | % | 8.79 | % | 8.03 | % | 7.61 | % | ||||||||||
Total risk-based capital ratio | 17.64 | % | 16.97 | % | 16.51 | % | 15.66 | % | 14.56 | % | ||||||||||
Assets and Asset Quality: | ||||||||||||||||||||
Average earning assets | $ | 1,568,765 | $ | 1,644,124 | $ | 1,668,471 | $ | 1,802,461 | $ | 1,817,010 | ||||||||||
Average gross loans | $ | 938,740 | $ | 959,086 | $ | 984,883 | $ | 1,031,593 | $ | 1,088,278 | ||||||||||
Paycheck Protection Program loans, end of period | $ | 234 | $ | 254 | $ | 1,925 | $ | 9,976 | $ | 24,482 | ||||||||||
Fair value mark on acquired loans | $ | 15,887 | $ | 17,046 | $ | 17,502 | $ | 17,920 | $ | 18,466 | ||||||||||
Allowance for loan losses: | ||||||||||||||||||||
Beginning of period | $ | 5,485 | $ | 5,503 | $ | 5,834 | $ | 5,984 | $ | 5,623 | ||||||||||
Provision for (recovery of) loan losses | 136 | 39 | (217) | 148 | 537 | |||||||||||||||
Charge-offs | (472) | (119) | (191) | (473) | (230) | |||||||||||||||
Recoveries | 403 | 62 | 77 | 175 | 54 | |||||||||||||||
Net charge-offs | (69) | (57) | (114) | (298) | (176) | |||||||||||||||
End of period | $ | 5,552 | $ | 5,485 | $ | 5,503 | $ | 5,834 | $ | 5,984 | ||||||||||
Non-accrual loans 4 | $ | 673 | $ | 607 | $ | 511 | $ | 518 | $ | 495 | ||||||||||
Loans 90 days or more past due and still accruing 5 | 705 | 859 | 626 | 837 | 800 | |||||||||||||||
OREO | - | - | - | 611 | 611 | |||||||||||||||
Total nonperforming assets (NPA) | $ | 1,378 | $ | 1,466 | $ | 1,137 | $ | 1,966 | $ | 1,906 | ||||||||||
NPA as a % of total assets | 0.08 | % | 0.08 | % | 0.07 | % | 0.10 | % | 0.10 | % | ||||||||||
NPA as a % of gross loans plus OREO | 0.15 | % | 0.16 | % | 0.12 | % | 0.20 | % | 0.18 | % | ||||||||||
ALLL to gross loans | 0.59 | % | 0.58 | % | 0.57 | % | 0.58 | % | 0.56 | % | ||||||||||
ALLL + fair value mark to gross loans (non-GAAP) | 2.29 | % | 2.38 | % | 2.39 | % | 2.35 | % | 2.30 | % | ||||||||||
Non-accruing loans to gross loans 4 | 0.07 | % | 0.06 | % | 0.05 | % | 0.05 | % | 0.05 | % | ||||||||||
Net charge-offs to average loans 1 | 0.03 | % | 0.02 | % | 0.05 | % | 0.12 | % | 0.06 | % | ||||||||||
1 | Ratio is computed on an annualized basis. |
2 | The net interest margin and net interest income are reported on a fully tax-equivalent basis (FTE) basis, using a Federal income tax rate of 21%. |
3 | The efficiency ratio (FTE) is computed as a percentage of noninterest expense divided by the sum of net interest income (FTE) and noninterest income. This is a non-GAAP financial measure that management believes provides investors with important information regarding operational efficiency. Management believes such financial information is meaningful to the reader in understanding operating performance, but cautions that such information should not be viewed as a substitute for GAAP. Comparison of our efficiency ratio with those of other companies may not be possible because other companies may calculate them differently. Refer to the Reconciliation of Certain Non-GAAP Financial (FTE) Measures at the end of this release. |
4 | Acquired loans which otherwise would be in non-accrual status are not included in this figure, as they earn interest through the yield accretion. |
5 | Past due loans from the acquired portfolio are included at fair value. |
VIRGINIA NATIONAL BANKSHARES CORPORATION | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
AVERAGE BALANCES, INCOME AND EXPENSES, YIELDS AND RATES (TAXABLE EQUIVALENT BASIS) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
(dollars in thousands) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
(Unaudited) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
For the three months ended | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
December 31, 2022 | December 31, 2021 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Interest | Interest | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Average | Income/ | Average | Average | Income/ | Average | |||||||||||||||||||
Balance | Expense | Yield/Cost | Balance | Expense | Yield/Cost | |||||||||||||||||||
ASSETS | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Interest Earning Assets: | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Securities: | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Taxable Securities | $ | 471,566 | $ | 3,204 | 2.72 | % | $ | 225,757 | $ | 853 | 1.51 | % | ||||||||||||
Tax Exempt Securities 1 | 67,090 | 410 | 2.44 | % | 63,083 | 370 | 2.35 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Total Securities 1 | 538,656 | 3,614 | 2.68 | % | 288,840 | 1,223 | 1.69 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Loans: | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Real Estate | 820,751 | 10,322 | 4.99 | % | 923,040 | 10,456 | 4.49 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Commercial | 71,730 | 785 | 4.34 | % | 109,024 | 846 | 3.08 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Consumer | 46,259 | 721 | 6.18 | % | 56,214 | 693 | 4.89 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Total Loans | 938,740 | 11,828 | 5.00 | % | 1,088,278 | 11,995 | 4.37 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Fed Funds Sold | 46,042 | 426 | 3.67 | % | 152,435 | 61 | 0.16 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Other interest-bearing deposits | 45,327 | 494 | 4.32 | % | 287,457 | 139 | 0.19 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Total Earning Assets | 1,568,765 | 16,362 | 4.14 | % | 1,817,010 | 13,418 | 2.93 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Less: Allowance for Loan Losses | (5,395) | (5,704) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total Non-Earning Assets | 135,015 | 140,539 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total Assets | $ | 1,698,385 | $ | 1,951,845 | ||||||||||||||||||||
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Interest Bearing Liabilities: | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Interest Bearing Deposits: | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Interest Checking | $ | 403,570 | $ | 55 | 0.05 | % | $ | 421,372 | $ | 70 | 0.07 | % | ||||||||||||
Money Market and Savings Deposits | 500,397 | 627 | 0.50 | % | 660,438 | 639 | 0.38 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Time Deposits | 125,334 | 158 | 0.50 | % | 162,584 | 222 | 0.54 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Total Interest-Bearing Deposits | 1,029,301 | 840 | 0.32 | % | 1,244,394 | 931 | 0.30 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Borrowings | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | ||||||||||||||||||
Junior subordinated debt | 3,406 | 52 | 6.06 | % | 3,360 | 50 | 5.90 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Total Interest-Bearing Liabilities | 1,032,709 | 892 | 0.34 | % | 1,247,754 | 981 | 0.31 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Non-Interest-Bearing Liabilities: | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Demand deposits | 531,719 | 532,397 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Other liabilities | 8,019 | 10,741 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total Liabilities | 1,572,447 | 1,790,892 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Shareholders' Equity | 125,938 | 160,953 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity | $ | 1,698,385 | $ | 1,951,845 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Net Interest Income (FTE) | $ | 15,470 | $ | 12,437 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Interest Rate Spread 2 | 3.80 | % | 2.62 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||
Cost of Funds | 0.23 | % | 0.22 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||
Interest Expense as a Percentage of | 0.23 | % | 0.21 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||
Net Interest Margin (FTE) 3 | 3.91 | % | 2.72 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||
1 | Tax-exempt income for investment securities has been adjusted to a fully tax-equivalent basis (FTE), using a Federal income tax rate of 21%. |
Refer to the Reconcilement of Non-GAAP Measures table at the end of this release. | |
2 | Interest spread is the average yield earned on earning assets less the average rate paid on interest-bearing liabilities. |
3 | Net interest margin (FTE) is net interest income expressed as a percentage of average earning assets. |
VIRGINIA NATIONAL BANKSHARES CORPORATION | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
AVERAGE BALANCES, INCOME AND EXPENSES, YIELDS AND RATES (TAXABLE EQUIVALENT BASIS) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
(dollars in thousands) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
(Unaudited) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
For the twelve months ended | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
December 31, 2022 | December 31, 2021 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Interest | Interest | |||||||||||||||||||||||
Average | Income/ | Average | Average | Income/ | Average | |||||||||||||||||||
Balance | Expense | Yield/Cost | Balance | Expense | Yield/Cost | |||||||||||||||||||
ASSETS | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Interest Earning Assets: | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Securities: | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Taxable Securities | $ | 373,680 | $ | 8,696 | 2.33 | % | $ | 198,450 | $ | 2,980 | 1.50 | % | ||||||||||||
Tax Exempt Securities 1 | 65,861 | 1,582 | 2.40 | % | 53,716 | 1,292 | 2.41 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Total Securities 1 | 439,541 | 10,278 | 2.34 | % | 252,166 | 4,272 | 1.69 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Loans: | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Real Estate | 847,238 | 38,011 | 4.49 | % | 808,707 | 35,303 | 4.37 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Commercial | 81,410 | 3,583 | 4.40 | % | 145,462 | 5,731 | 3.94 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Consumer | 49,619 | 2,637 | 5.31 | % | 63,039 | 2,865 | 4.54 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Total Loans | 978,267 | 44,231 | 4.52 | % | 1,017,208 | 43,899 | 4.32 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Fed Funds Sold | 100,033 | 1,088 | 1.09 | % | 109,104 | 139 | 0.13 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Other interest-bearing deposits | 161,260 | 1,467 | 0.91 | % | 160,960 | 233 | 0.14 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Total Earning Assets | 1,679,101 | 57,064 | 3.40 | % | 1,539,438 | 48,543 | 3.15 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Less: Allowance for Loan Losses | (5,702) | (5,297) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total Non-Earning Assets | 124,525 | 115,193 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total Assets | $ | 1,797,924 | $ | 1,649,334 | ||||||||||||||||||||
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS' EQUITY | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Interest Bearing Liabilities: | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Interest Bearing Deposits: | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Interest Checking | $ | 409,504 | $ | 230 | 0.06 | % | $ | 355,419 | $ | 261 | 0.07 | % | ||||||||||||
Money Market and Savings Deposits | 563,374 | 2,097 | 0.37 | % | 529,027 | 2,047 | 0.39 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Time Deposits | 144,564 | 657 | 0.45 | % | 152,211 | 1,108 | 0.73 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Total Interest-Bearing Deposits | 1,117,442 | 2,984 | 0.27 | % | 1,036,657 | 3,416 | 0.33 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Borrowings | — | — | — | 23,700 | (280) | -1.18 | % | |||||||||||||||||
Junior subordinated debt | 3,389 | 200 | 5.90 | % | 2,565 | 148 | 5.77 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Total Interest-Bearing Liabilities | 1,120,831 | 3,184 | 0.28 | % | 1,062,922 | 3,284 | 0.31 | % | ||||||||||||||||
Non-Interest-Bearing Liabilities: | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Demand deposits | 526,389 | 434,989 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Other liabilities | 9,581 | 10,875 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total Liabilities | 1,656,801 | 1,508,786 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Shareholders' Equity | 141,123 | 140,548 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Total Liabilities & Shareholders' Equity | $ | 1,797,924 | $ | 1,649,334 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Net Interest Income (FTE) | $ | 53,880 | $ | 45,259 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Interest Rate Spread 2 | 3.11 | % | 2.84 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||
Cost of Funds | 0.19 | % | 0.22 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||
Interest Expense as a Percentage of | 0.19 | % | 0.21 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||
Net Interest Margin (FTE) 3 | 3.21 | % | 2.94 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||
1 | Tax-exempt income for investment securities has been adjusted to a fully tax-equivalent basis (FTE), using a Federal income tax rate of 21%. |
Refer to the Reconcilement of Non-GAAP Measures table at the end of this release. | |
2 | Interest spread is the average yield earned on earning assets less the average rate paid on interest-bearing liabilities. |
3 | Net interest margin (FTE) is net interest income expressed as a percentage of average earning assets. |
VIRGINIA NATIONAL BANKSHARES CORPORATION | ||||||||||||||||||||
RECONCILIATION OF CERTAIN QUARTERLY NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES | ||||||||||||||||||||
(dollars in thousands) | ||||||||||||||||||||
(Unaudited) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Three Months Ended | ||||||||||||||||||||
December 31, | September 30, | June 30, 2022 | March 31, 2022 | December 31, | ||||||||||||||||
Fully tax-equivalent measures | ||||||||||||||||||||
Net interest income | $ | 15,384 | $ | 14,277 | $ | 12,461 | $ | 11,425 | $ | 12,359 | ||||||||||
Fully tax-equivalent adjustment | 86 | 83 | 82 | 65 | 78 | |||||||||||||||
Net interest income (FTE) 1 | $ | 15,470 | $ | 14,360 | $ | 12,543 | $ | 11,490 | $ | 12,437 | ||||||||||
Efficiency ratio 2 | 52.0 | % | 57.3 | % | 58.6 | % | 62.3 | % | 58.0 | % | ||||||||||
Fully tax-equivalent adjustment | -0.3 | % | -0.3 | % | -0.3 | % | -0.3 | % | -0.3 | % | ||||||||||
Efficiency ratio (FTE) 3 | 51.7 | % | 57.0 | % | 58.3 | % | 62.0 | % | 57.7 | % | ||||||||||
Net interest margin | 3.89 | % | 3.45 | % | 3.00 | % | 2.57 | % | 2.70 | % | ||||||||||
Fully tax-equivalent adjustment | 0.02 | % | 0.02 | % | 0.02 | % | 0.02 | % | 0.02 | % | ||||||||||
Net interest margin (FTE) 1 | 3.91 | % | 3.47 | % | 3.02 | % | 2.59 | % | 2.72 | % | ||||||||||
As of | ||||||||||||||||||||
December 31, | September 30, | June 30, 2022 | March 31, 2022 | December 31, | ||||||||||||||||
Other financial measures | ||||||||||||||||||||
ALLL to gross loans | 0.59 | % | 0.58 | % | 0.57 | % | 0.58 | % | 0.56 | % | ||||||||||
Impact of acquired loans and fair value mark | 0.31 | % | 0.32 | % | 0.34 | % | 0.37 | % | 0.39 | % | ||||||||||
ALLL to gross loans, excluding acquired loans and | 0.90 | % | 0.90 | % | 0.91 | % | 0.95 | % | 0.95 | % | ||||||||||
ALLL to gross loans | 0.59 | % | 0.58 | % | 0.57 | % | 0.58 | % | 0.56 | % | ||||||||||
Fair value mark to gross loans | 1.70 | % | 1.80 | % | 1.82 | % | 1.77 | % | 1.74 | % | ||||||||||
ALLL + fair value mark to gross loans (non-GAAP) | 2.29 | % | 2.38 | % | 2.39 | % | 2.35 | % | 2.30 | % | ||||||||||
Book value per share | $ | 25.05 | $ | 23.65 | $ | 25.20 | $ | 27.42 | $ | 30.50 | ||||||||||
Impact of intangible assets | (2.69) | (2.88) | (2.96) | (3.05) | $ | (3.14) | ||||||||||||||
Tangible book value per share (non-GAAP) | $ | 22.36 | $ | 20.77 | $ | 22.24 | $ | 24.37 | $ | 27.36 | ||||||||||
1 | FTE calculations use a Federal income tax rate of 21%. |
2 | The efficiency ratio, GAAP basis, is computed by dividing noninterest expense by the sum of net interest income and noninterest income. |
3 | The efficiency ratio, FTE, is computed by dividing noninterest expense by the sum of net interest income (FTE) and noninterest income. |
VIRGINIA NATIONAL BANKSHARES CORPORATION | ||||||||
RECONCILIATION OF CERTAIN ANNUAL NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES | ||||||||
(dollars in thousands, except per share data) | ||||||||
(Unaudited) | ||||||||
For the Twelve Months Ended | ||||||||
December 31, 2022 | December 31, 2021 | |||||||
Fully tax-equivalent measures | ||||||||
Net interest income | $ | 53,547 | $ | 44,988 | ||||
Fully tax-equivalent adjustment | 333 | 271 | ||||||
Net interest income (FTE) 1 | $ | 53,880 | $ | 45,259 | ||||
Efficiency ratio 2 | 57.4 | % | 76.7 | % | ||||
Fully tax-equivalent adjustment | -0.3 | % | -0.4 | % | ||||
Efficiency ratio (FTE) 3 | 57.1 | % | 76.3 | % | ||||
Net interest margin | 3.19 | % | 2.92 | % | ||||
Fully tax-equivalent adjustment | 0.02 | % | 0.02 | % | ||||
Net interest margin (FTE) 1 | 3.21 | % | 2.94 | % | ||||
1 | FTE calculations use a Federal income tax rate of 21%. |
2 | The efficiency ratio, GAAP basis, is computed by dividing noninterest expense by the sum of net interest income and noninterest income. |
3 | The efficiency ratio, FTE, is computed by dividing noninterest expense by the sum of net interest income (FTE) and noninterest income. |
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SOURCE Virginia National Bankshares Corporation
Uncategorized
Lower mortgage rates fueling existing home sales
To understand why we had such a beat in sales, you only need to go back to Nov. 9, when mortgage rates started to fall from 7.37% to 5.99%.

Existing home sales had a huge beat of estimates on Tuesday. This wasn’t shocking for people who follow how I track housing data. To understand why we had such a beat in sales, you only need to go back to Nov. 9, when mortgage rates started to fall from 7.37% to 5.99%.
During November, December and January, purchase application data trended positive, meaning we had many weeks of better-looking data. The weekly growth in purchase application data during those months stabilized housing sales to a historically low level.
For many years I have talked about how rare it is that existing home sales trend below 4 million. That is why the historic collapse in demand in 2022 was one for the record books. We understood why sales collapsed during COVID-19. However, that was primarily due to behavior changes, which meant sales were poised to return higher once behavior returned to normal.
In 2022, it was all about affordability as mortgage rates had a historical rise. Many people just didn’t want to sell their homes and move with a much higher total cost for housing, while first-time homebuyers had to deal with affordability issues.
Even though mortgage rates were falling in November and December, positive purchase application data takes 30-90 days to hit the sales data. So, as sales collapsed from 6.5 million to 4 million in the monthly sales data, it set a low bar for sales to grow. This is something I talked about yesterday on CNBC, to take this home sale in context to what happened before it.
Because housing data and all economics are so violent lately, we created the weekly Housing Market Tracker, which is designed to look forward, not backward.
From NAR: Total existing-home sales – completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops – vaulted 14.5% from January to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.58 million in February. Year-over-year, sales fell 22.6% (down from 5.92 million in February 2022).
As we can see in the chart above, the bounce is very noticeable, but this is different than the COVID-19 lows and massive rebound in sales. Mortgage rates spiked from 5.99% to 7.10% this year, and that produced one month of negative forward-looking purchase application data, which takes about 30-90 days to hit the sales data.
So this report is too old and slow, but if you follow the tracker, you’re not slow. This is the wild housing action I have talked about for some time and why the Housing Market Tracker becomes helpful in understanding this data.
The last two weeks have had positive purchase application data as mortgage rates fell from 7.10% down to 6.55%; tomorrow, we will see if we can make a third positive week. One thing to remember about purchase application data since Nov. 9, 2022 is that it’s had a lot more positive data than harmful data.
However, the one-month decline in purchase application data did bring us back to levels last seen in 1995 recently. So, the bar is so low we can trip over.
One of the reasons I took off the savagely unhealthy housing market label was that the days on the market are now above 30 days. I am not endorsing, nor will I ever, a housing market that has days on the market at teenager levels. A teenager level means one of two bad things are happening:
1. We have a massive credit boom in housing which will blow up in time because demand is booming, similar to the run-up in the housing bubble years.
2. We simply don’t have enough products for homebuyers, creating forced bidding in a low-inventory environment.
Guess which one we had post 2020? Look at the purchase application data above — we never had a credit boom. Look at the Inventory data below. Even with the collapse in home sales and the first real rebound, total active listings are still below 1 million.
From NAR: Total housing inventory registered at the end of February was 980,000 units, identical to January & up 15.3% from one year ago (850,000). Unsold inventory sits at a 2.6-month supply at the current sales pace, down 10.3% from January but up from 1.7 months in February ’22. #NAREHS
However, with that said, the one data line that I love, love, love, the days on the market, is over 30 days again, and no longer a teenager like last year, when the housing market was savagely unhealthy.
From NAR: First-time buyers were responsible for 27% of sales in January; Individual investors purchased 18% of homes; All-cash sales accounted for 28% of transactions; Distressed sales represented 2% of sales; Properties typically remained on the market for 34 days.
Today’s existing home sales report was good: we saw a bounce in sales, as to be expected, and the days on the market are still over 30 days. When the Federal Reserve talks about a housing reset, they’re saying they did not like the bidding wars they saw last year, so the fact that price growth looks nothing like it was a year ago is a good thing.
Also, the days on market are on a level they might feel more comfortable in. And, in this report, we saw no signs of forced selling. I’ve always believed we would never see the forced selling we saw from 2005-2008, which was the worst part of the housing bubble crash years. The Federal Reserve also believes this to be the case because of the better credit standards we have in place since 2010.
Case in point, the MBA‘s recent forbearance data shows that instead of forbearance skyrocketing higher, it’s collapsed. Remember, if you see a forbearance crash bro, hug them, they need it.
Today’s existing home sales report is backward looking as purchase application data did take a hit this year when mortgage rates spiked up to 7.10%. We all can agree now that even with a massive collapse in sales, the inventory data didn’t explode higher like many have predicted for over a decade now.
I have stressed that to understand the housing market, you need to understand how credit channels work post-2010. The 2005 bankruptcy reform laws and 2010 QM laws changed the landscape for housing economics in a way that even today I don’t believe people understand.
However, the housing market took its biggest shot ever in terms of affordability in 2022 and so far in 2023, and the American homeowner didn’t panic once. Even though this data is old, it shows the solid footing homeowners in America have, and how badly wrong the extremely bearish people in this country were about the state of the financial condition of the American homeowner.
bankruptcy covid-19 federal reserve home sales mortgage rates housing marketUncategorized
SVB contagion: Australia purportedly asks banks to report on crypto
Australia’s prudential regulator has purportedly told banks to improve reporting on crypto assets and provide daily updates.
Australia’s…

Australia’s prudential regulator has purportedly told banks to improve reporting on crypto assets and provide daily updates.
Australia’s prudential regulator has purportedly asked local banks to report on cryptocurrency transactions amid the ongoing contagion of Silicon Valley Bank’s (SVB) collapse.
The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) has started requesting banks to declare their exposures to startups and crypto-related companies, the Australian Financial Review reported on March 21.
The regulator has ordered banks to improve their reporting on crypto assets and provide daily updates to the APRA, the Financial Review notes, citing three people familiar with the matter. The agency is aiming to obtain more information and insight into banking exposures into crypto as well as associated risks, the sources said.
The new measures are apparently part of the APRA’s increased supervision of the banking sector in the aftermath of recent massive collapses in the global banking system. On March 19, UBS Group agreed to buy its ailing competitor Credit Suisse for $3.2 billion after the latter collapsed over the weekend. The takeover became one of the latest failures in the banking industry following the collapses of SVB and Silvergate.
Barrenjoey analyst Jonathan Mott reportedly told clients in a note that the situation “remains stable” for Australian banks but warned confidence could be quickly disrupted, putting pressure on bank margins.
Related: Silvergate, SBV collapse ‘definitely good’ for Bitcoin, Trezor exec says
“Our channel checks indicate deposits are not being withdrawn from smaller institutions in any size, and capital and liquidity buffers are strong,” Mott said, adding:
“But this is a crisis of confidence and credit spreads and cost of capital will continue to rise. At a minimum, this will add to the margin pressure the banks are facing, while credit quality will continue to deteriorate.”
The news comes soon after the Australian Banking Association launched a cost of living inquiry to study the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and geopolitical tensions on Australians. The inquiry followed an analysis of the rising inflation suggesting that more than 186 banks in the United States are at risk of a similar shutdown if depositors decide to withdraw all funds.
cryptocurrency bitcoin crypto pandemic covid-19 cryptoUncategorized
Delta Move Is Bad News For Southwest, United Airlines Passengers
Passengers won’t be happy about this, but there’s nothing they can do about it.

Passengers won't be happy about this, but there's nothing they can do about it.
Airfare prices move up and down based on two major things -- passenger demand and the cost of actually flying the plane. In recent months, with covid rules and mask mandates a thing of the past, demand has been very heavy.
Domestic air travel traffic for 2022 rose 10.9% compared to the prior year. The nation's air traffic in 2022 was at 79.6% of the full-year 2019 level. December 2022 domestic traffic was up 2.6% over the year-earlier period and was at 79.9% of December 2019 traffic, according to The International Air Transport Association (IATA).
“The industry left 2022 in far stronger shape than it entered, as most governments lifted COVID-19 travel restrictions during the year and people took advantage of the restoration of their freedom to travel. This momentum is expected to continue in the New Year,” said IATA Director General Willie Walsh.
And, while that's not a full recovery to 2019 levels, overall capacity has also not recovered. Total airline seats available actually sits "around 18% below the 2019 level," according to a report from industry analyst OAG.
So, basically, the drop in passengers equals the drop in capacity meaning that planes are flying full. That's one half of the equation that keeps airfare prices high and the second one looks bad for anyone planning to fly in the coming years.
Image source: Getty Images.
Airlines Face One Key Rising Cost
While airlines face some variable costs like fuel, they also must account for fixed costs when setting airfares. Personnel are a major piece of that and the pandemic has accelerated a pilot shortage. That has given the unions that represent pilots the upper hand when it comes to making deals with the airlines.
The first domino in that process fell when Delta Airlines (DAL) - Get Free Report pilots agreed to a contract in early March that gave them an immediate 18% increase with a total of a 34% raise over the four-year term of the deal.
"The Delta contract is now the industry standard, and we expect United to also offer their pilots a similar contract," investment analyst Helane Becker of Cowen wrote in a March 10 commentary, Travel Weekly reported.
US airfare prices have been climbing. They were 8.3% above pre-pandemic levels in February, according to Consumer Price Index, but they're actually below historical highs.
Southwest and United Airlines Pilots Are Next
Airlines have very little negotiating power when it comes to pilots. You can't fly a plane without pilots and the overall shortage of qualified people to fill those roles means that, within reason, United (UAL) - Get Free Report and Southwest Airlines (LUV) - Get Free Report, both of which are negotiating new deals with their pilot unions, more or less have to equal (or improve on) the Delta deal.
The actual specifics don't matter much to consumers, but the takeaway is that the cost of hiring pilots is about to go up in a very meaningful way at both United and Southwest. That will create a situation where all major U.S. airlines have a higher cost basis going forward.
Lower fuel prices could offset that somewhat, but raises are not going to be unique to pilots. Southwest also has to make a deal with its flight attendants and, although they don't have the same leverage as the pilots, they have taken a hard line.
The union, which represents Southwest’s 18,000 flight attendants, has been working without a contract for four years. It shared a statement on its Facebook page detailing its position Feb. 20.
"TWU Local 556 believes strongly in making this airline successful and is working to ensure this company we love isn’t run into the ground by leadership more concerned about shareholders than about workers and customers. Management’s methodology of choosing profits at the expense of the operation and its workforce has to change, because the flying public is also tired of the empty apologies that flight attendants have endured for years."
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