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US stocks seesaw in early trading ahead of key Fed meeting

US stocks opened slightly lower on Monday morning before edging higher on the first day of trading in May amid continued market jitters. However, a fresh…

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US stocks opened slightly lower on Monday morning before edging higher on the first day of trading in May amid continued market jitters. However, a fresh bout of pressure has once again pushed the major indexes lower.

The S&P 500 rose 0.7% in early trading but is now 0.4%lower, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average added over 200 points at +0.6% before slipping  0.4% to -133 points in late morning trades. 

Elsewhere, the Nasdaq Composite, which fell to its worst monthly performance since 2008 in April, jumped 1.1% but has shed the early gains is largely flat.

With this week likely to be pivotal with the US Federal Reserve meeting and a 50 basis point rate hike ‘on the table’, the early seesaw looks to signal fresh volatility after what was an absolutely brutal month for equities since the pandemic-induced rout in March 2020.

What to watch this week in stocks

Fed meeting

US Federal Reserve’s meeting highlights this week’s events and comes as investors look to move on from April’s bloodbath. It’s a key event that could impact the early outlook in May, with inflation still elevated even as the two-day meeting is expected to end with monetary policy commentary that includes a 50 basis point interest rate hike.

Jobs report

Another key event in the week is the April jobs report set to be released by the Labor Department. Investors will be watching out for snippets of just how strong the labor market is currently.

Focus will largely be on non-farm payrolls, unemployment rate stats and average hourly earnings. The jobs report is scheduled for release on Friday.

Earnings

Earnings continue this week with several companies set to release their first-quarter results. After last week’s mixed reports from major tech and banking companies, this week’s focus will be on companies such as Devon Energy (DVN), Diamondback Energy (FANG), Expedia (EXPE), Chegg (CHGG) and Pfizer (PFE).

Other companies investors are likely to be keen on this week include Marathon Petroleum (MPC), Airbnb (ABNB), Starbucks (SBUX) and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD).

Moderna (MRNA), Uber (UBER), Twilion (TLWO) and TripAdvisor will report on Wednesday, while Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL), Datadog (DDOG), Shopify (SHOP) and Block Inc. (SQ) report on Thursday.

On Friday we have Under Armour (UAA), DraftKings (DKNG) and Cigna (CI) among those to attract keen interest from investors.

The post US stocks seesaw in early trading ahead of key Fed meeting appeared first on Invezz.

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The Subtle Art of Orange Pilling

Every Bitcoin user has very different reasons for using Bitcoin in the first place. That is something that everyone should consider when trying to orange…

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Throughout the years, I have presented the case for Bitcoin to a lot of people from a wide range of backgrounds. The list includes curious cab drivers, financial advisors, young software developers, skeptical policymakers, voiceless activists, and once even an IMF employee.

Needless to say, most of these attempts ended up falling on deaf ears. So I started asking myself “why would this person in front of me care about Bitcoin?” and immediately realized that getting a response was particularly challenging because—even among Bitcoiners—there is no common understanding of what Bitcoin is in the first place. Is it “peer-to-peer electronic cash” as Satoshi originally defined it? Or should we consider it as “digital property” as Michael Saylor suggests? Or maybe listen to Gary Gensler and define it as a commodity?

As tempting as it is to look for a common definition for Bitcoin, doing so during a time when even the most simple linguistic choices are under scrutiny makes such a venture uninspiring and, frankly, pointless.

What I decided to do instead was understand what each of those people really cared about and how Bitcoin could fit into their view of the world rather than expecting them to understand a subject they are barely interested in. As the saying goes, “If the mountain will not come to Mohammed, Mohammed must go to the mountain.”

By doing so, I realized it was unreasonable to act like Morpheus and expect my interlocutors to take a big orange pill. After all, if that approach barely worked with Neo who was “the chosen one”, why would it work with my brother-in-law or with a stranger sitting next to me on the plane?

Image source: https://armantheparman.com/moaop/ 

Because I’ve known for a while that Bitcoin’s nature is multifaceted, the very idea of one single entry point to a multifaceted concept did not sound right. Depending on where one lives, social status, professional background, set of beliefs, values, and environment, there will be a different (and smaller) orange pill that will be more appropriate for each person.

More categories may emerge in the future (Jason Lowery, for example, proposes a military interpretation of Bitcoin and the recent ordinals frenzy reminded us how valuable Bitcoin’s block space can be as its own use-case), but here are the four main buckets that I have identified so far—which represent four different set of problems that Bitcoin is solving for.

1 - Hard Money

In this sense, it’s more typical of a precious metal. Instead of the supply changing to keep the value the same, the supply is predetermined and the value changes —Satoshi Nakamoto

The first sets of problems that Bitcoin attempts to solve originate from a financial system that is broken in its most foundational aspects. For those not understanding, the problem can be described as having a similar nature (but, of course, different magnitude) to hyperinflation in Weimar Republic and Venezuela. The constant debasement of currencies (even the “mild” 2% inflation we all know about) has a tremendous societal impact, with those who are “close to the money printer” being the only winnersa phenomenon also known as the Cantillon Effect.

Unlike fiat money and commodities, such as gold, Bitcoin’s total supply is capped, which makes it the most scarce store of value in the history of mankind and, therefore, an ideal store of value in the long term.

For all those living in the half of the world that is experiencing double-digit inflation, this is a particularly interesting moment to understand how money printing and currency debasement can affect so many aspects of their lives. In fact, people who have lived through the 70s and those living in countries such as Venezuela, Lebanon, Zimbabwe, Argentina, and Turkey will be more receptive to the idea of Bitcoin as a way to preserve their purchasing power in inflationary environments.

This is arguably one of the most difficult aspects of Bitcoin to understand given the number of assumptions it requires us to challenge (e.g. “controlled inflation is good for the economy” or “fiat currencies are stable”). Yet, it’s arguably the most powerful orange pill that one could take.

2 - Superior Payment Network

Humans have invented the best financial tool in our history, and it’s an exciting time to be alive and use it — Jack Mallers

For the first time in human history, money and a payment network are integrated into one open and global system. Not only can Bitcoin serve as a store of value in the long term as explained above, but it also functions as a global medium of exchange that does not require any third party.

In a few seconds, money can be sent anywhere in the world by only paying a fraction of a cent. Compared to bank transfers, credit cards, and remittances, sending money through Bitcoin is significantly cheaper and faster.

People who don’t like bitcoin as a store of value can just use it as a payment system by converting it to the local currency at the two ends of the transaction. Why do that instead of using legacy systems? Perhaps to quickly send money during earthquakes and wars. Or to bypass remittance companies that take weeks to transfer money and charge up to 10% in fees.

The potential of Bitcoin just as a payment network extends to the most unthinkable areas. Micropayments have the potential to boost the creator economy and or solve the problems that have been haunting social networks.

3 - Freedom Technology

It would be a dark, dark world if Bitcoin didn't exist — Alex Gladstein

The two previous perspectives address the common criticism that “Bitcoin is useless”. But another common criticismoften paired with the former even though it directly contradicts itis the fact that (just like cars, computers, and most technologies) Bitcoin is used by criminals.

As crazy as it might sound to many, that’s a feature, not a bug. Because in those instances where it’s ethnicity, religion, sex, or political views that determine whether one is a criminal, having a financial system that cannot be weaponized by the government is one of the best insurance policies you can wish for. That is particularly true for two-thirds of the global population that lives in backsliding democracies or autocratic regimes.

Those who care about freedom and human rights should be paying very close attention to this technology. Bitcoin has already provided lifeline support for individuals in need for over a decade. Wikileaks would have not been able to expose serious violations of human rights and civil liberties without Bitcoin. Similarly, many in North Korea, Iran, Afghanistan, Ukraine, Hong Kong, Belarus, Nigeria, and Russia also use Bitcoin as a tool to escape the control and government censorship.

As we move away from physical money and the potential for financial surveillance and censorship increases exponentially, the world will greatly benefit an additional set of checks and balances to limit the power of governments and corporations. Understanding this is very important for all those that are active in promoting individual freedom and human rights in the most authoritarian corners of the world.

4 - Energy Buyer Of Last Resort

It is a win-win-win for everybody. It's a win for the environment and an inarguable win for the economy — Dennis Porter

Lastly, there is a relatively small crowd of people who might be able to appreciate Bitcoin for a very different set of reasons. Bitcoin constitutes an unprecedented opportunity to build a cleaner, more resilient, and more efficient energy infrastructure. Bitcoin can mitigate the problem of intermittencythe demand/supply mismatch that occurs with renewable energyand help with the $13B problem of congestion of the electric grid in rural areas.

Bitcoin miners can strengthen these grids and incentivize the deployment of more renewable energy by adapting to the fluctuations of power generation schedules since their rigs can be turned off at any moment without notice. Commonly referred to as “energy buyers of last resort”, Bitcoin miners are perfect for Demand Response programs. Last year, Bitcoin miners in Texas “returned up to 1,500 megawatts to the grid, enough to heat over 1.5 million small homes or keep 300 large hospitals fully operational”.

Bitcoin miners are also finding very creative ways to utilize energy that was previously wasted and many are arguing that Bitcoin is “the only available, practical and scalable technology when it comes to tackling the world’s most deadly greenhouse gas: methane.”

There’s (at least) four orange pills, and people don’t need to take them all.

Source: Author

One of the things I learned during my Bitcoin journey is that this is not a mono-functional technology like a washing-machine or an elevator. Because Bitcoin solves many different problems, its perceived value and utility will change significantly depending on who you talk to.

Those living in South Carolina might not care about censorship resistance or privacy as much as the local jobs that are created by a new Bitcoin company. The Turkish population might have not cared about Bitcoin as an inflation hedge (given the country’s situation, it should) during the earthquake earlier this year, but just needed a way to receive money as fast as possible. North Korean defectors like Yeonmi Park are not really interested in how Bitcoin micropayments can support artists online while they are being sold for less than $300 as sex slaves.

Listening and trying to understand who you are talking to is the most important thing you can do when presenting an idea. That is particularly true with Bitcoin, given the negative bias most people have towards it, how complex it is to understand, and how difficult it is to challenge some of the greatest assumptions that most people have.

This simple framework is an attempt to strategically identify the areas of interest of people who are new to Bitcoin and avoid overwhelming them with a big orange pill they might not be ready for.

Instead, by choosing between hard money, payment system, freedom technology, and energy buyer, I am now able to better structure conversations and elevator pitches when engaging with people and answering the usual “Uh! Tell me more about this Bitcoin thing!” question.

So go ahead, choose your orange pill and remember the most important question for Bitcoin is “why would one care about it?”

This is a guest post by Jesse Colzani. Opinions expressed are entirely their own and do not necessarily reflect those of BTC Inc or Bitcoin Magazine.

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Bitcoin fails to recoup post-Fed losses as $20K BTC price retuns to radar

Bitcoin is a bargain for some at current levels, but downside BTC price predictions are still firmly on the agenda.
Bitcoin (BTC) circled…

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Bitcoin is a bargain for some at current levels, but downside BTC price predictions are still firmly on the agenda.

Bitcoin (BTC) circled lower after the Sep. 21 Wall Street open as $20,000 BTC price predictions resurfaced.

BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: TradingView

Bitcoin analysis: Hype, FOMO and a "slow grind" to $28,500

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView covered a lackluster 24 hours for BTC price action, with $27,000 fading from view.

The aftermath of the United States Federal Reserve interest rates pause offered little for Bitcoin bulls, BTC/USD having dipped almost $700 the day prior.

Now, market participants returned to a more conservative outlook in the absence of tangible volatility.

“Something like this over the course of October would be perfect i would say,” popular trader Crypto Tony told X subscribers.

“Slow grind up to $28,500, followed by hype and FOMO, to then dump it once more.”
BTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Crypto Tony/X

Monitoring resource Material Indicators meanwhile eyed a so-called “death cross” on the weekly chart.

The death cross occurs when certain moving averages (MAs) collide, and here, the 21-week MA was on course to head below the 200-week equivalent.

“The 21-Week and the 200-Week Moving Averages are on a collision course for a DeathCross on the BTC Weekly candle Close/Open,” it warned in an X post on the day.

Material Indicators referenced a potential lower low (LL) at the weekly close.

“The 50-Week MA, may provide some temporary support and even trigger a short term rally, but if PA takes us there, it will print a LL which I believe opens the door to grind down to test $20k,” it added.

BTC/USD 1-week chart with 21, 200 MA. Source: TradingView

On the horizon was the liquidation of crypto assets by defunct exchange FTX — an event which could contribute to BTC selling pressure.

“If there is a base case for hopium, it's that FTX liquidators don't want to see too much price erosion before they start distributing, and may try to prop price up a little longer. That's purely speculative, but not out of the realm of possibilities,” the X post concluded.

Traders eye bargain BTC price levels

More optimistic takes included that from popular trader and analyst CryptoCon, who maintained that Bitcoin was in the first innings of its next bull market.

Related: Bitcoin short-term holders ‘panic’ amid nearly 100% unrealized loss

“Doesn't get much simpler than this. Bitcoin early and late Bull Market in green, Bear Market ends in red,” he commented alongside a chart shortly following the Fed news.

Just as confident was fellow trader Jelle, who suspected a prime buying opportunity for prospective BTC investors at current prices.

BTC/USD traded at around $26,600 at the time of writing, making September gains equal around 2.5% — still Bitcoin’s best month since 2016.

Per data from monitoring resource CoinGlass, Bitcoin has delivered losses every September since.

BTC/USD monthly returns (screenshot). Source: CoinGlass

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

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Bootleg Bitcoin Mining Facility Found Inside Dangerous Venezuelan Prison

A sophisticated crypto mining operation has popped up in a most unexpected place. Apart from its notorious reputation, the Aragua Penitentiary Center in…

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A sophisticated crypto mining operation has popped up in a most unexpected place. Apart from its notorious reputation, the Aragua Penitentiary Center in Venezuela, famously known as Tocorón due to its location in the town of the same name, concealed an unexpected secret – it housed a Bitcoin mining facility.

This astonishing revelation unfolded within the confines of a prison facility closely associated with the notorious criminal gang El Tren de Aragua, originating in Venezuela but extending its criminal operations throughout Latin America.

During a meticulously planned special operation, involving the deployment of around 11,000 officials from various state security agencies, the existence of a designated space within Tocorón for cryptocurrency mining came to light. According to local reports, military and police high-ranking officers stumbled upon a room filled with Bitcoin mining machines utilized by inmates.

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Remarkably, alongside this illicit operation, the authorities also discovered three flamingos and a small jaguar confined in a cage within the prison.

Adding to the extravagance, the penitentiary boasted additional amenities, including a swimming pool, a luxury restaurant, a nightclub by the name of Disco Tokio, a baseball field, and various privileges enjoyed by the more than 1,600 prisoners held in Tocorón.

During a press conference, Bitcoin mining machines were displayed amid the assortment of confiscated items. The images showcased these machines being guarded by hooded members of the special actions brigade of the National Police, armed with rifles, while the minister addressed journalists. The special operation, codenamed ‘Cacique Guaicaipuro’, aimed to dismantle the criminal gang operating from the penitentiary center – the Tren de Aragua cartel, involved in activities such as migrant smuggling, kidnapping, contract killing, drug trafficking, and money laundering.

In addition to the cryptocurrency mining equipment, authorities seized a cache of firearms, war weapons, and barrels of ammunition during the operation. As part of the crackdown, the penitentiary center was evacuated, and approximately 1,800 inmates were relocated to various prisons across the country. The families of these detainees, numbering around 300, also left the premises.

Addressing the success of the operation, the Minister of the Interior, Remigio Ceballos, congratulated the team at a press conference, emphasizing that there would be no impunity and that they were committed to pursuing all criminals and their accomplices.

In a triumphant tone, Attorney General Tarek William Saab celebrated the operation, declaring that the “train had derailed” and that the center of evil represented by the Aragua Penitentiary Center had been effectively dismantled.

The post Bootleg Bitcoin Mining Facility Found Inside Dangerous Venezuelan Prison appeared first on The Dales Report.

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