US Open – Rally mode continues, Oil dips on easing cut outlook, Gold drops, Bitcoin bounces
US Open – Rally mode continues, Oil dips on easing cut outlook, Gold drops, Bitcoin bounces
Global equities continue to climb higher on hopes that Europe is finally nearing a 750-billion euro fiscal response and as investors eagerly await the results of human trials of COVID-19 vaccines. The long awaited EU fiscal response is a key turning point for the bloc as the survival of the euro was always needing nations to share financial hardship. The proposed fund will require all 27 EU nations to approve 500 billion euros in the form of grants to member states, and 250 billion euros in loans.
The long-awaited stimulus package helped European bonds rally across the board with the euro finally rising above the 1.10 level.
The next several weeks will see critical phase-one trial updates on the vaccine front, but stocks may not react as much as progress has firmly been priced in. Their is no denying Wall Street’s confidence that they believe we will see a vaccine fully in place for 2021, which means we will likely have to deal with the coronavirus in the fall. Widespread inoculation is unlikely to happen this year and that should drag down some of the prospects of a stronger finish this year.
Rally mode continues for stocks and tech will still lead the way higher, despite the catch-up trade that is unfolding with financials and industrial equities. Stay-at-home stocks still remain the favorite trade going forward, which means the small cap stocks recovery will take a lot longer.
Oil
Oil’s rally stalled out after Russia signaled they want to unwind productions in July, a sign that the battle for market share will resume as crude demand improves. The OPEC + agreement will be revisited at the June 9-10th meeting and it was always expected that the cuts would taper in July. Russia’s comments on easing cuts in July served as a reminder that higher prices and improved crude demand will likely see OPEC + compliance go out the window.
The physical market is also improving as refiners are buying up distressed cargoes from Africa and the Middle East. As the oil market nears balance, expectations are high for WTI crude to hold onto the $30 a barrel level, but struggle to break above the $40 level until air travel demand bounces back.
Gold
Gold prices are down for a third consecutive day as financial markets remain in rally mode as vaccine hopes continue to put a damper for safe-haven demand. Gold’s bullish outlook still remains intact as expectations are still high that more fiscal and monetary stimulus is on its way. The EU’s new fiscal stimulus package will likely be the beginning of another wave of stimulus that should help prop up risky assets.
The new “Cold War” between China and the US will also likely drive a lot of demand for gold as tensions will remain in place leading all the way up to the Presidential election. President Trump wanted to run on a campaign of a strong stock market and economy, but he may only have half of that. Permanent damage to the economy will likely settle in over the next couple months and gold will see steady flows as unbalanced recovery takes form.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin is shrugging off concerns that tighter regulation could be in its future. The SEC decision to block Telegram’s efforts to build an open network and associated Gram cryptocurrency has many crypto-traders concerned the regulatory hurdles could see US regulators take another shot at Bitcoin. Bitcoin is starting to see mounting bearish sentiment and a healthy pullback might be needed before it can break above the $10,000 level again.
International
New Zealand dollar pares losses as RBNZ pauses
RBNZ holds benchmark rate at 5.5% The New Zealand dollar has posted small losses on Wednesday. In Europe, NZD/USD is trading at 0.5901 in Europe, down…

- RBNZ holds benchmark rate at 5.5%
The New Zealand dollar has posted small losses on Wednesday. In Europe, NZD/USD is trading at 0.5901 in Europe, down 0.11%. Earlier, NZD/USD fell as much as 0.50% before paring these losses.
The New Zealand dollar is trying to find its footing in what has been a dismal week. NZD/USD is down 1.6% this week and fell to a one-month low earlier today. Still, the kiwi has shown little reaction to the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s decision to pause rates for a third time.
The pause in rate hikes was expected and the monetary statement didn’t contain anything new. The statement said that interest rates had cooled economic activity and reduced inflation “as required”, adding that interest rates would need to remain restrictive to ensure that inflation falls back within its 1%-3% target range.
The message from the RBNZ was rather dovish and signalled that the tightening cycle is over. Policy makers don’t want to spell out that rates have peaked, as they would lose credibility if inflation moved higher and the RBNZ was forced to raise rates. The takeaway from the meeting is that the RBNZ appears content to wait for restrictive policy settings to filter through the economy and dampen inflation, which is running at a 6% clip. This stance won’t provide any relief for the struggling New Zealand dollar.
US Treasury yields continue to move higher as the selloff in global bond markets has gained momentum. This has helped boost the US dollar as more attractive yields on Treasury bonds have dampened risk appetite. The yield on 30-year Treasuries touched 5% on Tuesday, its highest level in over a decade.
The Federal Reserve has signalled that it is unlikely to lower rates anytime soon, given the strong US economy. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said on Tuesday that the Fed should hold rates at elevated levels “for a long time” in order to bring inflation back down to the 2% target. Bostic said he favoured a single rate cut in 2024, late in the year.
.
NZD/USD Technical
- NZD/USD is testing resistance at 0.5917. The next resistance line is 0.5947
- There is support at 0.5888 and 0.5833
International
A Promising player in the energy revolution
In recent years, the demand for sustainable energy sources has intensified, leading…
The post A Promising player in the energy revolution appeared first…

In recent years, the demand for sustainable energy sources has intensified, leading to a surge in the global lithium market.
As electric vehicles (EVs) gain popularity, lithium-ion batteries have become instrumental in meeting the growing energy storage needs. Argentina Lithium & Energy Corp. (TSXV:LIT) is a Canadian mineral exploration company with a strategic approach and a strong commitment to sustainable practices. This is one company that is well-positioned to capitalize on the rising demand for lithium.The Stellantis investmentIn a significant move that underscores the growing importance of lithium in the automotive industry, the company recently secured a substantial US$90 million investment from Stellantis. This investment not only validates Argentina Lithium’s potential but also highlights the pivotal role lithium plays in the transition to a carbon-neutral future.What makes this investment significant
Stellantis, formed through the merger of Fiat Chrysler Automobiles and Groupe PSA, is one of the world’s largest automotive manufacturers. Their decision to invest such a significant amount in Argentina Lithium & Energy potentially helps secure a future supply of lithium in a rapidly growing market. This investment will not only provide Argentina Lithium with the necessary capital to explore and advance its projects but also highlights the industry’s recognition of Argentina’s lithium potential.Expansion of lithium projectsWith the infusion of funds from Stellantis, Argentina Lithium & Energy can accelerate the advancement of its lithium projects. The company’s projects are all located in the prolific Lithium Triangle region of Argentina, which holds immense promise because of its abundant, and in many cases, high-grade lithium resources. This investment will expedite the exploration process and potentially fast track the path to future lithium project development and production.
Management’s take
Speaking on this investment, Argentina Lithium President and Chief Executive Officer Nikolaos Cacos said in a news release: “We are delighted to have Stellantis as a partner in the exploration and future development of our lithium projects in Argentina. Together, we share a vision to build a sustainable lithium mining operation for the future. We look forward to a strong and successful relationship with Stellantis and we are committed to working towards delivering a sustainable lithium product that will contribute to the electrification of transportation and the protection of our atmosphere.”
Meeting the rising demand for EVsAs the world shifts towards sustainable transportation alternatives, EVs are expected to dominate the automotive sector. Lithium-ion batteries are the preferred power storage component for EVs, making lithium a vital component in the energy revolution. The investment by Stellantis in Argentina Lithium & Energy Corp. can potentially help ensure a stable supply of lithium, enabling the automotive giant to meet the soaring demand for EVs while reducing their carbon footprint.Embracing sustainable practicesThe company recognizes the importance of exploration and mining operations that prioritize environmental sustainability and social responsibility. The company is committed to minimizing its ecological footprint and engaging with local communities to ensure mutual benefits..For your considerationArgentina Lithium & Energy Corp.’s partnership with Stellantis through a US$90 million investment is a testament to its potential as a key player in the global lithium market.
The company’s stock shot up 113 per cent on this news.
Argentina Lithium & Energy Corp. stock chart – April to September 2023.As the demand for lithium continues to surge, the company’s commitment to sustainable practices and strategic projects in Argentina’s lithium-rich regions position it favorably among industry leaders. With this significant investment, Argentina Lithium & Energy Corp. is working to contribute significantly to the advancement of the clean energy transition while offering an appealing investment opportunity for those looking to support the growth of sustainable technologies.
Join the discussion: Find out what everybody’s saying about this stock on the Argentina Lithium & Energy Corp. Bullboard, and check out the rest of Stockhouse’s stock forums and message boards.
This is sponsored content issued on behalf of Argentina Lithium & Energy Corp., please see full disclaimer here.
The post A Promising player in the energy revolution appeared first on The Market Herald Canada.
canadaUncategorized
MBA: Mortgage Applications Decreased in Weekly Survey; Purchase Apps Lowest Since 1995
From the MBA: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
Mortgage applications decreased 6.0 percent from one
week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage
Applications Survey for the we…

Mortgage applications decreased 6.0 percent from one week earlier, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association’s (MBA) Weekly Mortgage Applications Survey for the week ending September 29, 2023.Click on graph for larger image.
The Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, decreased 6.0 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week earlier. On an unadjusted basis, the Index decreased 6 percent compared with the previous week. The Refinance Index decreased 7 percent from the previous week and was 11 percent lower than the same week one year ago. The seasonally adjusted Purchase Index decreased 6 percent from one week earlier. The unadjusted Purchase Index decreased 6 percent compared with the previous week and was 22 percent lower than the same week one year ago.
“Mortgage rates continued to move higher last week as markets digested the recent upswing in Treasury yields. Rates for all mortgage products increased, with the 30-year fixed mortgage rate increasing for the fourth consecutive week to 7.53 percent – the highest rate since 2000,” said Joel Kan, MBA’s Vice President and Deputy Chief Economist. “As a result, mortgage applications ground to a halt, dropping to the lowest level since 1996. The purchase market slowed to the lowest level of activity since 1995, as the rapid rise in rates pushed an increasing number of potential homebuyers out of the market. ARM loan applications picked up over the week and the ARM share increased to 8 percent, as some borrowers searched for ways to lower their payments.”
...
The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances ($726,200 or less) increased to 7.53 percent from 7.41 percent, with points increasing to 0.80 from 0.71 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent loan-to-value ratio (LTV) loans.
emphasis added
The first graph shows the MBA mortgage purchase index.
According to the MBA, purchase activity is down 22% year-over-year unadjusted.

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