From LTCM To 1966 - The Perils Of Rising Interest Rates Authored by Michael Lebowitz via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, Based on some comments,...
Bond Heretics, Not Bond Vigilantes, Are Biggest Risk For Yields Authored by Simon White, Bloomberg macro strategist, The biggest medium-term...
Recession Warning! Four Key Triggers Are All In-Play Right Now Authored by Michael Maharrey via SchiffGold.com, We keep hearing about a “soft...
The current second-half performance of the Nikkei 225 is considered wobbly as it recorded a Q3 loss of -4% and underperformed slightly against the US S&P...
Based on some comments, it appears we scared a few people with A Crisis Is Coming. Our article warns, "A financial crisis will likely follow the...
Juicy Jobs Data Slams Stocks, Sparks Bond Bloodbath & VIXplosion A slightly-more-dovish-than-normal Atlanta Fed president did nothing...
30 Year Yields Hit Highest Since 2007 One Day After CNBC's Santelli Suggests 10 Year Could Go To 13% This morning yields are once again rising,...
Steeper Yield Curves & The Limits Of Correlation Authored by Simon White, Bloomberg macro strategist, The US yield curve should continue...
This post estimates “convenience yields” for government debt in ten of the G11 currencies based on analysis from a recent paper. As in our companion...
Bonds, Bullion, & Black Gold Battered As Hawkish FedSpeak & Inflation Fears Lift The Dollar Rate-change expectations shifted hawkishly...
Japanese Officials jawboning unable to upend dollar rally overnight US 10-year real yields approaches 15-year high Fed rate hike odds back over 50% for...
USD/JPY on doorstep of 150 line BoJ says it will buy more JGBs BoJ’s minutes indicate 2% sustainable inflation may be close The Japanese yen has...
One of the most fundamental concepts in finance is the notion of a risk-free rate. This interest rate tells us how much money investors are guaranteed...
Upbeat longer-term inflationary expectations and business sentiment of large Japanese corporations could not derail the relentless up move of USD/JPY....
Smart Borrowing Has Made Monetary Policy "Laggier" By Peter Tchir of Academy Securities Milton Friedman made the term “long and variable...
Like many Americans, when I was a child, my family used to take a week-long vacation in July or August. Unlike many families, we weren’t the...
There are four large macro forces shape the investment and business climate here at the start of the last quarter of the year. First, the US...
"Soft Landing" Hope By The Fed Is Likely Optimistic Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, The Fed’s “soft landing” hopes...
"Fed's Last Hike" Triggers Q3 Carnage; Traders 'Sell All The Things' In September The third quarter of 2023 was the first quarter of tightening...
Positive Term Premia Drive Yields And Steeper Curve Authored by Simon White, Bloomberg macro strategist, Rising term premia, which have recently...
Futures, Global Stocks Rise As Yields, Dollar Drop Ahead Of Core PCE Print US equity futures and global stocks rose on the last trading day...
The Fed's "soft landing" hopes are likely overly optimistic. Such was the context of the recent #BullBearReport, which discussed the long record of the...
Massive Short-Squeeze Lifts Stocks; Bitcoin Jumps As Bullion & Black Gold Dumped Inflation tumbling in Europe (German CPI), the American...
Futures Flat As Yields Extend Gains After Brent Crude Hits $97 Overnight US equity futures reversed initial gains following Wednesday's surprise...
A perfect storm may be brewing for the bond market as a combination of factors drive yields higher. Exhibit A is the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield,...
Overview: The increasingly likely partial US federal government shutdown has spurred a bout of liquidation of long dollar positions. The psychologically...
Peter Schiff: It's The Beginning Of The End Of This Whole Phony Economy Via SchiffGold.com, Interest rates continue to push relentlessly...
Treasury-Bill Issuance Increase Will Support Steeper Yield Curve Authored by Simon White, Bloomberg macro strategist, The increase in Treasury...
Central banks balance different factors when raising rates – or not – including inflation and the labour market. But what other countries are doing...
American stocks have come under intense pressure in the past few weeks as the fear and greed index is nearing the extreme fear zone of 25....