Does it matter if spreads are dis-inverting because short yields are falling, or long yields are rising? MacKenzie and McCormick (Bloomberg) say yes. With...
Israel & Inflation Spark Big Week For Bonds, Bullion, & Black Gold JPM's boss summed shit up succinctly: “This may be the most...
Overview: The capital markets seemed to have an exaggerated response to the US CPI, where the headline rate, flattered by the rise in energy, rose by...
As the "soft landing" narrative grows, the risk of a "crisis" event in the economy increases. Will the Fed trigger another crisis event? While unknown,...
Absymal Auction & Inflation Angst Slam Stocks & Bonds Lower; Dollar Soars Despite upside surprises in PPI and CPI these past two sessions,...
Dollar holds onto gains as projected rate hike bets hold firm Treasury 30-year auction sees soft demand as concerns grow over rising deficits Yen’s October...
Futures Rise For 5th Straight Session Ahead Of Key CPI Print US equity futures climbed rose for a fifth consecutive session - the longest...
Gold Gains As Yield Curve, Crypto, Crude, & Crap Shoes Crumble Hotter than expected PPI, a hawkish-er than expected FOMC Minutes, and...
Billionaire investor Paul Tudor Jones says he is bearish on U.S. stocks, and bullish on Bitcoin and gold. Investing legend Paul Tudor...
Days Of Low VIX Numbered As Financial Conditions Turn The Screw Authored by Simon White, Bloomberg macro strategist, The VIX, a measure of...
The next direction of the long bonds is crucial in determining the macro.First, after a wrecking ball crash and ahead of the FOMC, we could surmise...
BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes expects Bitcoin to be $750,000 by 2026. Here’s how and why. Love him or hate him, when Arthur Hayes speaks,...
Frantic Dis-inversion In Treasury Curve May Have Further To Run By Ven Ram, Bloomberg markets live reporter and strategist Interest-rate...
Bond Valuations Are Cheap Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, Bond valuations are cheap. Psychology in markets is always...
Bond valuations are cheap. Psychology in markets is always fascinating. In February 2009, I wrote "8 Reasons For A Bull Market." While in hindsight,...
How Recession Begins? Authored by Law Ka-chung via The Epoch Times, We have been emphasizing here that the yield curve is a very powerful...
Big Squeeze Saves Stocks From Bond Bloodbath 'Hard' data collapsed further this week with 'soft' data staying near cycle highs as today's...
US jobs gains broadest since January; 336,000 created vs 170,000 eyed Wages unexpectedly came in cooler than expected; holding steady with a 0.2% monthly...
Fund Flows And Bond Yields - Two Different Stories Authored by Lance Roberts via RealInvestmentAdvice.com, While bond yields have risen sharply...
Treasury yields are one of the most important market drivers and indicators. Representing the return an investor will receive by holding a government bond...
Futures, Yields Rise Ahead Of Jobs Report Global stocks and US index futures gained ahead of the September payrolls report (exp. payrolls...
While bond yields have risen sharply lately, fund flows into bonds tell two very different stories. We have previously written much on the recent rise...
The economic outlook both in Australia and abroad remains complex, with the lags from material monetary policy tightening proving to be longer than expected....
TIPS for Retirement, BYD vs. Tesla, Katalin Karikó's vindication, Teledyne, Helzberg Diamonds, Interviews of Marc Andreessen and Shane Parrish, David...
Just when you thought it was safe to assume that the soft-landing fix was in, the bond market has thrown a wrench into the machine. So...
Overview: The markets remain unsettled. Follow-through dollar selling has been limited today after yesterday's pullback. Narrow ranges are prevailing,...
84% Of CEOs Expect A Recession In 2024 (& 0% Of Fed Staff) For much of the last year, recession fears have been building against a...
Black Gold, Bond Yields, & The Buck Tumble Amid Macro Miasma Weak European retail sales overnight (worse then expected decline), Ugly...
Today, in the Calculated Risk Real Estate Newsletter: Lawler: The Second Half “Bear Steepener”: Higher for Longer, a Higher R*, and A Rising Term Premium A...
As we enter the last quarter of 2023, it has been a roller coaster of a year. We started the year with significant uncertainty about whether...