Mortgage rates were volatile last week after the jobs report and the Fed meeting. What should we expect this week?
On Friday, the BEA released their estimate of vehicle sales for January. This graph shows heavy truck sales since 1967 using data from the BEA. The...
When the Federal Reserve whispers, the world listens. When it falls silent, that’s when you need to be scared. Everyone expected the Fed to say when...
By Paul Gomme and Peter Rupert The US economy once again fools forecasters. The BLS announced that payroll employment increased 353,000 in January, with...
Through its rate hikes in 2022 & 2023, the Fed aimed to contain inflationary forces and maintain “maximum” levels of employment — all while steering...
Here's what could cause mortgage rates and other lending rates to move in 2024.
The Best And Worst Performing Assets Of January 2024 Despite the S&P hitting multiple all-time highs toward the end of the month, January...
The Fed may need to see this surprising job-market trend continue into the coming year before committing to cutting interest rates.
- by New Deal democratInitial claims rose by 9,000 to a three month high of 224,000 last week. The four week moving average also rose 5,350...
Stocks Rebound After Powell Hawkamania Sparks Worst Market Rout In Months US equity futures rebounded after the worst day for stocks since...
Through its rate hikes in 2022 & 2023, the Fed aimed to contain inflationary forces and maintain “maximum” levels of employment — all while steering...
Through its rate hikes in 2022 & 2023, the Fed aimed to contain inflationary forces and maintain “maximum” levels of employment — all while steering...
Futures Slide Dragged by Tech Giants Ahead Of Fed Decision US equity futures slumped after earnings from tech giants GOOGL, MSFT and AMD...
Part One of this series led with a graph from Apollo Global Management implying that we are embarking on an inflation rollercoaster for the next ten...
The Conference Board’s confidence index is up, following U.Michigan’s survey of sentiment. Figure 1: University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (blue),...
The Fed's Independence Was Nice While It Lasted Authored by Simon White, Bloomberg macro strategist, Born in the 90s and tested to destruction...
Over the past six months, core inflation has risen exactly in line with the Federal Reserve’s long-run 2% inflation target. When this key measure of...
When Donald Trump ran in 2016, he said that if he got elected, we would get tired of winning. When it comes to the economy, it...
European Leaders Are Anxious About A Possible Trump Win Authored by Louis Navellier via The Epoch Times, In Europe, there is anxiety that...
Sticking The Landing? By Bas van Geffen, Senior Macro Strategist at Rabobank US data further added to markets’ optimism that the Fed may...
Consumers may grumble about inflation, but they're still working and still spending.
Consumers may grumble about inflation, but they're still working and still spending.
Consumers may grumble, but they haven't stopped spending.
The resilience of the US economy in 2023 was a surprise for some (many?) economists. From the start of last year through the first half, and...
The financial commentariat first started to worry about recession in April of 2022 when the spread between the 10-year Treasury rate and the 2-year Treasury...
One of the mysteries of recent times has been the divergence between conditions (say, as measured by the Misery Index) and measured consumer sentiment....
We are working in the third calendar year of great recession lows in demand, with a population of over 335 million and over 157 million people...
The job market is solid and consumers are still spending, but Discover is starting to see some cracks in the facade.
Futures Rebound Amid Whispers Of Relief Rally As China Plunge Protection Team Steps In Global stocks and US futures rebounded from three days...
Business in Sin City has improved in the last year, and, with a Super Bowl set for February, 2024 should be a good bet for this...