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Supply chain analytics market size to increase by USD 10,121.6 million: North America will account for 39% of the market’s growth during the forecast period – Technavio

Supply chain analytics market size to increase by USD 10,121.6 million: North America will account for 39% of the market’s growth during the forecast period – Technavio
PR Newswire
NEW YORK, Jan. 25, 2023

NEW YORK, Jan. 25, 2023 /PRNewswire/ — The…

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Supply chain analytics market size to increase by USD 10,121.6 million: North America will account for 39% of the market's growth during the forecast period - Technavio

PR Newswire

NEW YORK, Jan. 25, 2023 /PRNewswire/ -- The Supply Chain Analytics Market by End-user, Deployment, and Geography - Forecast and Analysis 2023-2027 report has been published by Technavio. Market growth is estimated to accelerate at a CAGR of 20.07% and register an incremental growth of USD 10,121.6 million during the forecast period. The report provides a comprehensive analysis of growth opportunities at regional levels, new product launches, the latest trends, and the post-pandemic recovery of the global market. Download a PDF sample report

Regional Analysis

By region, the global supply chain analytics market is segmented into North America, Europe, APAC, Middle East and Africa, and South America. North America is estimated to contribute 39% to the growth of the global market over the forecast period. The need to increase operational efficiency, reduce the cost of maintaining supply chains in enterprises, and modernize logistics and warehouse operations is driving the demand for supply chain analytics in the US.

Company Profiles

The supply chain analytics market report includes information on the key products and recent developments of leading vendors, including:

  • Cloudera Inc: The company offers supply chain analytics through which we learn about trends in the retail, manufacturing, and supply chain industries, and how decision-makers can apply new data sources and technologies.
  • Datameer Inc: The company offers supply chain analytics which involves making data-driven decisions in order to improve operational and tactical efficiency between vendor touchpoints.
  • Infor Inc: The company offers supply chain analytics that modernizes the supply chain with smart and connected analytics.
  • International Business Machines Corp: The company offers supply chain analytics which represents the ability to make data-driven decisions, based on a summary of relevant, trusted data, often using visualization in the form of graphs, charts and other means.
  • Manhattan Associates Inc: The company offers supply chain analytics which accelerates speed to business values.
  • MicroStrategy Inc.
  • Oracle Corp.
  • QlikTech international AB
  • RELEX Oy
  • SAP SE
  • SAS Institute Inc.
  • Savi Technology Inc.
  • Software AG
  • Tableau Software LLC
  • TARGIT AS
  • TIBCO Software Inc.
  • Voxware Inc.
  • To gain access to more vendor profiles available with Technavio, buy the report!
Market Dynamics

The market is driven by factors such as the increased need to improve business processes, rising demand for omnichannel retailing, and the increasing need to improve supply chain visibility. However, the implementation challenges are hindering the market growth.

Competitive Analysis

The competitive scenario categorizes companies based on various performance indicators. Some of the factors considered include the financial performance of companies over the past few years, growth strategies, product innovations, new product launches, investments, and growth in market share, among others. Request a Sample

Market Segmentation

  • By end-user, the market is segmented into retail, manufacturing, healthcare, transportation, and others. The retail segment accounted for the largest share of the market.
  • By geography, the market is segmented into North America, Europe, APAC, Middle East, Africa, and South America. North America held the largest share of the market.

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What are the key data covered in this supply chain analytics market report?

  • CAGR of the market during the forecast period
  • Detailed information on factors that will drive the growth of the supply chain analytics market between 2023 and 2027
  • Precise estimation of the size of the supply chain analytics market and its contribution to the parent market
  • Accurate predictions about upcoming trends and changes in consumer behavior
  • Growth of the supply chain analytics market across North America, Europe, APAC, Middle East and Africa, and South America
  • A thorough analysis of the market's competitive landscape and detailed information about vendors
  • Comprehensive analysis of factors that will challenge the growth of supply chain analytics market vendors

Supply Chain Analytics Market Scope

Report Coverage

Details

Page number

178

Base year

2022

Historic period

2017-2021

Forecast period

2023-2027

Growth momentum & CAGR

Accelerate at a CAGR of 20.07%

Market growth 2023-2027

USD 10121.6 million

Market structure

Fragmented

YoY growth 2022-2023 (%)

14.09

Regional analysis

North America, Europe, APAC, Middle East and Africa, and South America

Performing market contribution

North America at 39%

Key countries

US, China, Germany, UK, and France

Competitive landscape

Leading Vendors, Market Positioning of Vendors, Competitive Strategies, and Industry Risks

Key companies profiled

American Software Inc., Antuit Inc., Axway Software SA, Cloudera Inc., Datameer Inc., Infor Inc., International Business Machines Corp., Manhattan Associates Inc., MicroStrategy Inc., Oracle Corp., QlikTech international AB, RELEX Oy, SAP SE, SAS Institute Inc., Savi Technology Inc., Software AG, Tableau Software LLC, TARGIT AS, TIBCO Software Inc., and Voxware Inc.

Market dynamics

Parent Market Analysis; Market growth inducers and obstacles; Fast-growing and slow-growing segment analysis for the forecast period

Customization purview

If our report has not included the data that you are looking for, you can reach out to our analysts and get segments customized.

Browse for Technavio "Information Technology" Research Reports

Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary

  • 1.1 Market overview 
    • Exhibit 01: Executive Summary – Chart on Market Overview
    • Exhibit 02: Executive Summary – Data Table on Market Overview
    • Exhibit 03: Executive Summary – Chart on Global Market Characteristics
    • Exhibit 04: Executive Summary – Chart on Market by Geography
    • Exhibit 05: Executive Summary – Chart on Market Segmentation by End-user
    • Exhibit 06: Executive Summary – Chart on Market Segmentation by Deployment
    • Exhibit 07: Executive Summary – Chart on Incremental Growth
    • Exhibit 08: Executive Summary – Data Table on Incremental Growth
    • Exhibit 09: Executive Summary – Chart on Vendor Market Positioning

2 Market Landscape

  • 2.1 Market ecosystem 
    • Exhibit 10: Parent market
    • Exhibit 11: Market Characteristics

3 Market Sizing

  • 3.1 Market definition 
    • Exhibit 12: Offerings of vendors included in the market definition
  • 3.2 Market segment analysis 
    • Exhibit 13: Market segments
  • 3.3 Market size 2022
  • 3.4 Market outlook: Forecast for 2022-2027 
    • Exhibit 14: Chart on Global - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 15: Data Table on Global - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 16: Chart on Global Market: Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
    • Exhibit 17: Data Table on Global Market: Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)

4 Historic Market Size

  • 4.1 Global supply chain analytics market 2017 - 2021
    • Exhibit 18: Historic Market Size – Data Table on Global supply chain analytics market 2017 - 2021 ($ million)
  • 4.2 End-user Segment Analysis 2017 - 2021 
    • Exhibit 19: Historic Market Size – End-user Segment 2017 - 2021 ($ million)
  • 4.3 Deployment Segment Analysis 2017 - 2021
    • Exhibit 20: Historic Market Size – Deployment Segment 2017 - 2021 ($ million)
  • 4.4 Geography Segment Analysis 2017 - 2021 
    • Exhibit 21: Historic Market Size – Geography Segment 2017 - 2021 ($ million)
  • 4.5 Country Segment Analysis 2017 - 2021 
    • Exhibit 22: Historic Market Size – Country Segment 2017 - 2021 ($ million)

5 Five Forces Analysis

  • 5.1 Five forces summary 
    • Exhibit 23: Five forces analysis - Comparison between 2022 and 2027
  • 5.2 Bargaining power of buyers 
    • Exhibit 24: Chart on Bargaining power of buyers – Impact of key factors 2022 and 2027
  • 5.3 Bargaining power of suppliers 
    • Exhibit 25: Bargaining power of suppliers – Impact of key factors in 2022 and 2027
  • 5.4 Threat of new entrants 
    • Exhibit 26: Threat of new entrants – Impact of key factors in 2022 and 2027
  • 5.5 Threat of substitutes 
    • Exhibit 27: Threat of substitutes – Impact of key factors in 2022 and 2027
  • 5.6 Threat of rivalry 
    • Exhibit 28: Threat of rivalry – Impact of key factors in 2022 and 2027
  • 5.7 Market condition 
    • Exhibit 29: Chart on Market condition - Five forces 2022 and 2027

6 Market Segmentation by End-user

  • 6.1 Market segments 
    • Exhibit 30: Chart on End-user - Market share 2022-2027 (%)
    • Exhibit 31: Data Table on End-user - Market share 2022-2027 (%)
  • 6.2 Comparison by End-user 
    • Exhibit 32: Chart on Comparison by End-user
    • Exhibit 33: Data Table on Comparison by End-user
  • 6.3 Retail - Market size and forecast 2022-2027
    • Exhibit 34: Chart on Retail - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 35: Data Table on Retail - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 36: Chart on Retail - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
    • Exhibit 37: Data Table on Retail - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
  • 6.4 Manufacturing - Market size and forecast 2022-2027
    • Exhibit 38: Chart on Manufacturing - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 39: Data Table on Manufacturing - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 40: Chart on Manufacturing - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
    • Exhibit 41: Data Table on Manufacturing - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
  • 6.5 Healthcare - Market size and forecast 2022-2027
    • Exhibit 42: Chart on Healthcare - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 43: Data Table on Healthcare - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 44: Chart on Healthcare - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
    • Exhibit 45: Data Table on Healthcare - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
  • 6.6 Transportation - Market size and forecast 2022-2027
    • Exhibit 46: Chart on Transportation - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 47: Data Table on Transportation - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 48: Chart on Transportation - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
    • Exhibit 49: Data Table on Transportation - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
  • 6.7 Others - Market size and forecast 2022-2027
    • Exhibit 50: Chart on Others - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 51: Data Table on Others - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 52: Chart on Others - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
    • Exhibit 53: Data Table on Others - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
  • 6.8 Market opportunity by End-user 
    • Exhibit 54: Market opportunity by End-user ($ million)

7 Market Segmentation by Deployment

  • 7.1 Market segments 
    • Exhibit 55: Chart on Deployment - Market share 2022-2027 (%)
    • Exhibit 56: Data Table on Deployment - Market share 2022-2027 (%)
  • 7.2 Comparison by Deployment 
    • Exhibit 57: Chart on Comparison by Deployment
    • Exhibit 58: Data Table on Comparison by Deployment
  • 7.3 On-premise - Market size and forecast 2022-2027
    • Exhibit 59: Chart on On-premise - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 60: Data Table on On-premise - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 61: Chart on On-premise - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
    • Exhibit 62: Data Table on On-premise - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
  • 7.4 Cloud-based - Market size and forecast 2022-2027
    • Exhibit 63: Chart on Cloud-based - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 64: Data Table on Cloud-based - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 65: Chart on Cloud-based - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
    • Exhibit 66: Data Table on Cloud-based - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
  • 7.5 Market opportunity by Deployment 
    • Exhibit 67: Market opportunity by Deployment ($ million)

8 Customer Landscape

  • 8.1 Customer landscape overview 
    • Exhibit 68: Analysis of price sensitivity, lifecycle, customer purchase basket, adoption rates, and purchase criteria

9 Geographic Landscape

  • 9.1 Geographic segmentation 
    • Exhibit 69: Chart on Market share by geography 2022-2027 (%)
    • Exhibit 70: Data Table on Market share by geography 2022-2027 (%)
  • 9.2 Geographic comparison 
    • Exhibit 71: Chart on Geographic comparison
    • Exhibit 72: Data Table on Geographic comparison
  • 9.3 North America - Market size and forecast 2022-2027
    • Exhibit 73: Chart on North America - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 74: Data Table on North America - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 75: Chart on North America - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
    • Exhibit 76: Data Table on North America - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
  • 9.4 Europe - Market size and forecast 2022-2027
    • Exhibit 77: Chart on Europe - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 78: Data Table on Europe - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 79: Chart on Europe - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
    • Exhibit 80: Data Table on Europe - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
  • 9.5 APAC - Market size and forecast 2022-2027
    • Exhibit 81: Chart on APAC - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 82: Data Table on APAC - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 83: Chart on APAC - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
    • Exhibit 84: Data Table on APAC - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
  • 9.6 Middle East and Africa - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 
    • Exhibit 85: Chart on Middle East and Africa - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 86: Data Table on Middle East and Africa - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 87: Chart on Middle East and Africa - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
    • Exhibit 88: Data Table on Middle East and Africa - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
  • 9.7 South America - Market size and forecast 2022-2027
    • Exhibit 89: Chart on South America - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 90: Data Table on South America - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 91: Chart on South America - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
    • Exhibit 92: Data Table on South America - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
  • 9.8 US - Market size and forecast 2022-2027
    • Exhibit 93: Chart on US - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 94: Data Table on US - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 95: Chart on US - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
    • Exhibit 96: Data Table on US - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
  • 9.9 China - Market size and forecast 2022-2027
    • Exhibit 97: Chart on China - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 98: Data Table on China - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 99: Chart on China - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
    • Exhibit 100: Data Table on China - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
  • 9.10 Germany - Market size and forecast 2022-2027
    • Exhibit 101: Chart on Germany - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 102: Data Table on Germany - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 103: Chart on Germany - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
    • Exhibit 104: Data Table on Germany - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
  • 9.11 UK - Market size and forecast 2022-2027
    • Exhibit 105: Chart on UK - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 106: Data Table on UK - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 107: Chart on UK - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
    • Exhibit 108: Data Table on UK - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
  • 9.12 France - Market size and forecast 2022-2027
    • Exhibit 109: Chart on France - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 110: Data Table on France - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 111: Chart on France - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
    • Exhibit 112: Data Table on France - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
  • 9.13 Market opportunity by geography 
    • Exhibit 113: Market opportunity by geography ($ million)

10 Drivers, Challenges, and Trends

  • 10.1 Market drivers
  • 10.2 Market challenges
  • 10.3 Impact of drivers and challenges 
    • Exhibit 114: Impact of drivers and challenges in 2022 and 2027
  • 10.4 Market trends

11 Vendor Landscape

  • 11.1 Overview
  • 11.2 Vendor landscape 
    • Exhibit 115: Overview on Criticality of inputs and Factors of differentiation
  • 11.3 Landscape disruption 
    • Exhibit 116: Overview on factors of disruption
  • 11.4 Industry risks 
    • Exhibit 117: Impact of key risks on business

12 Vendor Analysis

  • 12.1 Vendors covered 
    • Exhibit 118: Vendors covered
  • 12.2 Market positioning of vendors 
    • Exhibit 119: Matrix on vendor position and classification
  • 12.3 Antuit Inc. 
    • Exhibit 120: Antuit Inc. - Overview
    • Exhibit 121: Antuit Inc. - Product / Service
    • Exhibit 122: Antuit Inc. - Key offerings
  • 12.4 Cloudera Inc. 
    • Exhibit 123: Cloudera Inc. - Overview
    • Exhibit 124: Cloudera Inc. - Business segments
    • Exhibit 125: Cloudera Inc. - Key offerings
    • Exhibit 126: Cloudera Inc. - Segment focus
  • 12.5 Datameer Inc. 
    • Exhibit 127: Datameer Inc. - Overview
    • Exhibit 128: Datameer Inc. - Product / Service
    • Exhibit 129: Datameer Inc. - Key offerings
  • 12.6 Infor Inc. 
    • Exhibit 130: Infor Inc. - Overview
    • Exhibit 131: Infor Inc. - Product / Service
    • Exhibit 132: Infor Inc. - Key news
    • Exhibit 133: Infor Inc. - Key offerings
  • 12.7 International Business Machines Corp. 
    • Exhibit 134: International Business Machines Corp. - Overview
    • Exhibit 135: International Business Machines Corp. - Business segments
    • Exhibit 136: International Business Machines Corp. - Key news
    • Exhibit 137: International Business Machines Corp. - Key offerings
    • Exhibit 138: International Business Machines Corp. - Segment focus
  • 12.8 Manhattan Associates Inc. 
    • Exhibit 139: Manhattan Associates Inc. - Overview
    • Exhibit 140: Manhattan Associates Inc. - Business segments
    • Exhibit 141: Manhattan Associates Inc. - Key news
    • Exhibit 142: Manhattan Associates Inc. - Key offerings
    • Exhibit 143: Manhattan Associates Inc. - Segment focus
  • 12.9 MicroStrategy Inc. 
    • Exhibit 144: MicroStrategy Inc. - Overview
    • Exhibit 145: MicroStrategy Inc. - Product / Service
    • Exhibit 146: MicroStrategy Inc. - Key offerings
  • 12.10 Oracle Corp. 
    • Exhibit 147: Oracle Corp. - Overview
    • Exhibit 148: Oracle Corp. - Business segments
    • Exhibit 149: Oracle Corp. - Key news
    • Exhibit 150: Oracle Corp. - Key offerings
    • Exhibit 151: Oracle Corp. - Segment focus
  • 12.11 QlikTech international AB 
    • Exhibit 152: QlikTech international AB - Overview
    • Exhibit 153: QlikTech international AB - Product / Service
    • Exhibit 154: QlikTech international AB - Key offerings
  • 12.12 RELEX Oy 
    • Exhibit 155: RELEX Oy - Overview
    • Exhibit 156: RELEX Oy - Product / Service
    • Exhibit 157: RELEX Oy - Key offerings
  • 12.13 SAP SE 
    • Exhibit 158: SAP SE - Overview
    • Exhibit 159: SAP SE - Business segments
    • Exhibit 160: SAP SE - Key news
    • Exhibit 161: SAP SE - Key offerings
    • Exhibit 162: SAP SE - Segment focus
  • 12.14 SAS Institute Inc. 
    • Exhibit 163: SAS Institute Inc. - Overview
    • Exhibit 164: SAS Institute Inc. - Product / Service
    • Exhibit 165: SAS Institute Inc. - Key news
    • Exhibit 166: SAS Institute Inc. - Key offerings
  • 12.15 Software AG 
    • Exhibit 167: Software AG - Overview
    • Exhibit 168: Software AG - Business segments
    • Exhibit 169: Software AG - Key offerings
    • Exhibit 170: Software AG - Segment focus
  • 12.16 Tableau Software LLC 
    • Exhibit 171: Tableau Software LLC - Overview
    • Exhibit 172: Tableau Software LLC - Product / Service
    • Exhibit 173: Tableau Software LLC - Key offerings
  • 12.17 TIBCO Software Inc. 
    • Exhibit 174: TIBCO Software Inc. - Overview
    • Exhibit 175: TIBCO Software Inc. - Product / Service
    • Exhibit 176: TIBCO Software Inc. - Key offerings

13 Appendix

  • 13.1 Scope of the report
  • 13.2 Inclusions and exclusions checklist 
    • Exhibit 177: Inclusions checklist
    • Exhibit 178: Exclusions checklist
  • 13.3 Currency conversion rates for US$ 
    • Exhibit 179: Currency conversion rates for US$
  • 13.4 Research methodology 
    • Exhibit 180: Research methodology
    • Exhibit 181: Validation techniques employed for market sizing
    • Exhibit 182: Information sources
  • 13.5 List of abbreviations 
    • Exhibit 183: List of abbreviations
About Us

Technavio is a leading global technology research and advisory company. Their research and analysis focus on emerging market trends and provides actionable insights to help businesses identify market opportunities and develop effective strategies to optimize their market positions. With over 500 specialized analysts, Technavio's report library consists of more than 17,000 reports and counting, covering 800 technologies, spanning across 50 countries. Their client base consists of enterprises of all sizes, including more than 100 Fortune 500 companies. This growing client base relies on Technavio's comprehensive coverage, extensive research, and actionable market insights to identify opportunities in existing and potential markets and assess their competitive positions within changing market scenarios.

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Technavio Research
Jesse Maida
Media & Marketing Executive
US: +1 844 364 1100
UK: +44 203 893 3200
Email: media@technavio.com
Website: www.technavio.com/

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Are You The Collateral Damage Of Central Planners?

Are You The Collateral Damage Of Central Planners?

Authored by MN Gordon via EconomicPrism.com,

The Conference Board – a nonprofit think…

Published

on

Are You The Collateral Damage Of Central Planners?

Authored by MN Gordon via EconomicPrism.com,

The Conference Board – a nonprofit think tank that delivers cutting edge research – recently published its latest Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the United States.  The findings were a giant bummer.  In December, the LEI dropped for the tenth consecutive month.

The LEI, if you’re unfamiliar with it, consolidates various measures of economic activity, including credit, interest rate spreads, consumer expectations, building permits, new orders of goods and materials, and several other items, to assess which way the economic winds are blowing.  Over the past six months, the LEI has fallen by 4.2 percent.  This is the fastest six-month decline since the great coronavirus panic.

This week, the Bureau of Economic Analysis provided its advance estimate of Q4 U.S. gross domestic product (GDP).  For the final quarter of 2022, real GDP increased at an annual rate of 2.9 percent.

How could it be that GDP is expanding while the LEI is contracting?

The most probable answer we can think of is the massive expansion of consumer debt.  For example, credit card balances hit a new record of $866 billion during Q3 2022.  That marks a year-over-year increase of 19 percent.

Americans are borrowing from their future to make ends meet today.  This may give GDP the appearance that it’s expanding.  But, in reality, the GDP expansion is merely a measurement of the rate that consumers are going broke.

The fact is the U.S. economy is traversing headlong into a recession at the worst possible time.  We expect things will get especially ugly, as consumers are operating in a world of chaos

World of Chaos

In a centrally planned economy, decisions are not made between individuals through free market mechanisms.  Instead, they’re made by politicians and bureaucrats through policies of mass market intervention.

The elites pass down their edicts.  Thou shall not use gas burning stoves, for example.  Or though shall burn corn in their gas tank.

The central planners, many of which are unelected administrators, force the decrees upon the populace.  Programs, forms, penalties, and whatever else are imposed.  Pounds of flesh must be exacted at every turn.

The real tragedy, however, the very thing that makes ultra-mega governments possible, is the monopoly on the control and issuance of money that’s granted to central bankers.  Without the Federal Reserve, the central bank to the U.S. government, and its seemingly endless supply of fake money, it would be impossible for Washington to cast its wide nets across the entire planet.

Feeding the Leviathan is only a small part of what the Fed does.  Through its control of the money supply the Fed causes a world of chaos to storm through the economy and financial markets.  When the money supply is inflated, a false demand is signaled.  Businesses and individuals change their behavior to exploit the apparent demand.

Then, when the money supply is contracted, and the rug is yanked out from under the false demand, disaster strikes.  Businesses go bankrupts.  People lose their jobs.  Stocks and real estate prices crash.

In short, the Fed’s money games make it exceedingly impossible for a wage earner to save, invest, and build real wealth.  The uncertainty this provokes turns regular wage earners into speculators and gamblers.  Here’s why…

Uncertainty and Instability

In a centrally planned economy, like America and most countries today, where people are compelled by legal tender laws to use fiat money, people must work, save, and invest with the recognition that the government will continue to arbitrarily change the rules.  The Fed may command ultra-low interest rates one year.  The next year it’s jacking them up by hundreds of basis points.

We know that central planners change course at whim and often for political reasons.  Where did the most campaign contributions come from?  Their decisions can be downright suicidal.

The 1930 Smoot-Hawley tariffs, for instance, turned a routine recession into the Great Depression.  Likewise, Fed tightening of monetary policy in 1987 drove interest rates up and triggered a massive stock market crash.

The great consumer price inflation of 2021 into the present marked the highest rate of inflation in 40 years.  And now it’s providing an instructive lesson to individuals and organizations about the uncertainty and instability that’s inherent to centrally planned economies.

As the Fed hikes rates and tightens its balance sheet in the face of a recession, many overleveraged businesses and individuals find themselves wholly unprepared for the central planner’s new set of rules.  Decisions were made in 2021 under a framework that’s radically different today.

Consider real estate investors.  Over the last decade, as interest rates were artificially suppressed by the Fed, their businesses flourished.  They could easily borrow money to buy properties to refurbish and resell at a profit.

But then raging consumer price inflation, which was manufactured by the Fed in the first place, became politically indefensible.  So, the Fed had to move to rein it in by restricting the money supply.  This pushed interest rates relatively higher and undermined the real estate market.

Investors who had planned for mortgage rates at 3 percent are being absolutely destroyed by mortgage rates at 6 percent.  Suddenly their investments don’t pencil out.  Real estate agents and mortgage brokers may find the years ahead to be extraordinarily challenging.

Are You the Collateral Damage of Central Planners?

When the Fed inflates the money supply it also inflates asset prices, including stocks, bonds, and real estate.  When it then yanks the rug, and contracts the money supply, businesses and investors face big losses.  And employees become collateral damage.

According to tech job tracker layoffs.fyi, there have been more than 200,000 technology jobs lost since the start of last year.  What’s more, in 2023 alone, not even one month into the New Year, technology companies have laid off over 67,000 employees.  What’s going on?

Right now, technology companies like Meta, Google, Microsoft, and Amazon, are discovering that the world they knew and loved over the last decade no longer exists.  As the supply of money has tightened, and the flow of speculative money into technology stocks has dried up, these companies have learned they have far too many employees who produce far too little value.

Coding senseless applications and widgets may be a viable job when there’s a seemingly endless supply of the Fed’s cheap credit being pumped into financial markets.  Take the money away, however, and those jobs are incapable of standing on their own two feet.

The point is in a centrally planned economy people are continually misled about how they should go about working, saving, and investing for the future.

Just asked the former code cruncher who was RIFed after two decades of Googling all day.  They thought they were set for life.

Instead, whether they know it or not, they’re the collateral damage of central planners.  Are you the collateral damage of central planners too?

*  *  *

You may not know it.  But you could unwittingly be wiped out be the schemes and designs of central planners.  One way to avoid becoming their collateral damage is to significantly increase your wealth.  The decks stacked against you.  But it can be done.  If you’re interested in learning how, take a look at my Financial First Aid Kit.  Inside, you’ll find everything you need to know to prosper and protect your privacy as the global economy slips into a worldwide depression.

Tyler Durden Sat, 01/28/2023 - 17:30

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Schedule for Week of January 29, 2023

The key reports scheduled for this week are the January employment report and November Case-Shiller house prices.Other key indicators include January ISM manufacturing and services surveys, and January vehicle sales.The FOMC meets this week, and the FO…

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The key reports scheduled for this week are the January employment report and November Case-Shiller house prices.

Other key indicators include January ISM manufacturing and services surveys, and January vehicle sales.

The FOMC meets this week, and the FOMC is expected to announce a 25 bp hike in the Fed Funds rate.

----- Monday, January 30th -----

10:30 AM: Dallas Fed Survey of Manufacturing Activity for January. This is the last of the regional Fed manufacturing surveys for January.

----- Tuesday, January 31st -----

9:00 AM: FHFA House Price Index for November. This was originally a GSE only repeat sales, however there is also an expanded index.

9:00 AM ET: S&P/Case-Shiller House Price Index for November.

This graph shows the Year over year change in the nominal seasonally adjusted National Index, Composite 10 and Composite 20 indexes through the most recent report (the Composite 20 was started in January 2000).

The consensus is for a 6.9% year-over-year increase in the Comp 20 index.

9:45 AM: Chicago Purchasing Managers Index for January. The consensus is for a reading of 44.9, down from 45.1 in December.

10:00 AM: The Q4 Housing Vacancies and Homeownership report from the Census Bureau.

----- Wednesday, February 1st -----

7:00 AM ET: The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) will release the results for the mortgage purchase applications index.

8:15 AM: The ADP Employment Report for January. This report is for private payrolls only (no government). The consensus is for 170,000 payroll jobs added in January, down from 235,000 added in December.

10:00 AM: Construction Spending for December. The consensus is for a 0.1% decrease in construction spending.

Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey10:00 AM ET: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for December from the BLS.

This graph shows job openings (black line), hires (purple), Layoff, Discharges and other (red column), and Quits (light blue column) from the JOLTS.

Job openings decreased in November to 10.458 million from 10.512 million in October

10:00 AM: ISM Manufacturing Index for January. The consensus is for the ISM to be at 48.0, down from 48.4 in December.

2:00 PM: FOMC Meeting Announcement. The FOMC is expected to announce a 25 bp hike in the Fed Funds rate.

2:30 PM: Fed Chair Jerome Powell holds a press briefing following the FOMC announcement.

Vehicle SalesAll day: Light vehicle sales for January. The consensus is for light vehicle sales to be 14.3 million SAAR in January, up from 13.3 million in December (Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate).

This graph shows light vehicle sales since the BEA started keeping data in 1967. The dashed line is the December sales rate.

----- Thursday, February 2nd -----

8:30 AM: The initial weekly unemployment claims report will be released.  The consensus is for 200 thousand initial claims, up from 186 thousand last week.
----- Friday, February 3rd -----

Employment Recessions, Scariest Job Chart8:30 AM: Employment Report for December.   The consensus is for 185,000 jobs added, and for the unemployment rate to increase to 3.6%.

There were 223,000 jobs added in December, and the unemployment rate was at 3.5%.

This graph shows the job losses from the start of the employment recession, in percentage terms.

The pandemic employment recession was by far the worst recession since WWII in percentage terms. However, as of August 2022, the total number of jobs had returned and are now 1.24 million above pre-pandemic levels.

10:00 AM: ISM Manufacturing Index for January. The consensus is for the ISM to be at 50.3, up from 49.6 in December.

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US gov’t $1.5T debt interest will be equal 3X Bitcoin market cap in 2023

The U.S. will pay over $1 trillion in debt interest next year, the equivalent of three or more Bitcoin market caps at current prices.

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The U.S. will pay over $1 trillion in debt interest next year, the equivalent of three or more Bitcoin market caps at current prices.

Commentators believe that Bitcoin (BTC) bulls do not need to wait long for the United States to start printing money again.

The latest analysis of U.S. macroeconomic data has led one market strategist to predict quantitative tightening (QT) ending to avoid a “catastrophic debt crisis.”

Analyst: Fed will have “no choice” with rate cuts

The U.S. Federal Reserve continues to remove liquidity from the financial system to fight inflation, reversing years of COVID-19-era money printing.

While interest rate hikes look set to continue declining in scope, some now believe that the Fed will soon have only one option — to halt the process altogether.

“Why the Fed will have no choice but to cut or risk a catastrophic debt crisis,” Sven Henrich, founder of NorthmanTrader, summarized on Jan. 27.

“Higher for longer is a fantasy not rooted in math reality.”

Henrich uploaded a chart showing interest payments on current U.S. government expenditure, now hurtling toward $1 trillion a year.

A dizzying number, the interest comes from U.S. government debt being over $31 trillion, with the Fed printing trillions of dollars since March 2020. Since then, interest payments have increased by 42%, Henrich noted.

The phenomenon has not gone unnoticed elsewhere in crypto circles. Popular Twitter account Wall Street Silver compared the interest payments as a portion of U.S. tax revenue.

“US paid $853 Billion in Interest for $31 Trillion Debt in 2022; More than Defense Budget in 2023. If the Fed keeps rates at these levels (or higher) we will be at $1.2 trillion to $1.5 trillion in interest paid on the debt,” it wrote.

“The US govt collects about $4.9 trillion in taxes.”
Interest rates on U.S. government debt chart (screenshot). Source: Wall Street Silver/ Twitter

Such a scenario might be music to the ears of those with significant Bitcoin exposure. Periods of “easy” liquidity have corresponded with increased appetite for risk assets across the mainstream investment world.

The Fed’s unwinding of that policy accompanied Bitcoin’s 2022 bear market, and a “pivot” in interest rate hikes is thus seen by many as the first sign of the “good” times returning.

Crypto pain before pleasure?

Not everyone, however, agrees that the impact on risk assets, including crypto, will be all-out positive prior to that.

Related: Bitcoin ‘so bullish’ at $23K as analyst reveals new BTC price metrics

As Cointelegraph reported, ex-BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes believes that chaos will come first, tanking Bitcoin and altcoins to new lows before any sort of long-term renaissance kicks in.

If the Fed faces a complete lack of options to avoid a meltdown, Hayes believes that the damage will have already been done before QT gives way to quantitative easing.

“This scenario is less ideal because it would mean that everyone who is buying risky assets now would be in store for massive drawdowns in performance. 2023 could be just as bad as 2022 until the Fed pivots,” he wrote in a blog post this month.

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the authors’ alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

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