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SSGA: Pandemic positioning insights

SSGA: Pandemic positioning insights

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By Charles Champagne, Vice President, Head of Portfolio Insights and Research Analytics, State Street Global Advisors.

Charles Champagne, Vice President, Head of Portfolio Insights and Research Analytics, State Street Global Advisors.

Charles Champagne, Vice President, Head of Portfolio Insights and Research Analytics, State Street Global Advisors.

As clients want to fully understand the true nature of their portfolio exposures, the demand for our Portfolio Insight analysis remains steady. This service provided by SPDR ETFs offers our clients an in-depth view into their portfolios, as we analyze exposures and identify inadvertent risks in such areas as asset class, security type, sector, and duration buckets.

This service not only provides our clients with valuable insights into their portfolio allocations but also enables our team to draw conclusions on market trends coming from hundreds of aggregated portfolios.

Our findings and observations from Pre-COVID-19 (Mid-2019 to end of Quarter 1 2020) and Post-COVID-19 (April and May 2020) are summarized in this article. We examine the active weights of a portfolio versus the clients’ strategic benchmark and break down each sub-asset class. Our team also analyzes asset allocation positioning in pre-COVID-19 and post-COVID-19 periods.

Exchange-traded funds defend the pole position

ETFs remain the most utilized investment vehicle in our clients’ portfolios, irrespective of business cycle and market condition. Throughout the pre-COVID-19 time period, the average ETF allocation within our clients’ portfolios was 64.41%, which has increased to 69.55% since the beginning of the pandemic. The analysis implies that the second-most often used vehicles were Open-End mutual funds, which made up 28.82% and 23.16% of average allocations, respectively. Almost 70% of ETF allocations were within equities, while mutual funds were used most often to acquire Fixed Income exposure, with an average allocation of 47.33%.

Source: SSGA.

Our take: More investors have been turning to ETFs, particularly for their equity exposure and for reasons other than low cost, which supports their upward growth trajectory in recent years.

Equity: Defensive positioning and risk-off sentiment prevails

As the pandemic was spreading around the world, investors looked for a risk-off trade. Before the pandemic, active allocations in Equity and Fixed Income were already negative — -0.35% and -1.84%, respectively — and such trends continued as the market turmoil persisted. During the post-COVID-19 period, Equities were underweight -0.77%, while Fixed Income was -2.57% as a result of negative market sentiment. On the other side of the spectrum, there was a clear move into our Cash/Other bucket, which consists of cash/cash equivalents, Treasury bills, and commodities (consisting primarily of gold). The overweight grew from 2.20% to 3.35% in analyzed periods.

Source: SSGA.

Our take: Market turmoil forces investors to reevaluate their risk profiles. Significant market uncertainty, unexpectedly high volatility and assets selloffs were drivers for investors to look for safe havens by underweighting risky assets and pile into cash holdings. Overweights in cash, T-bills and commodities (gold) might have been indications of defensive positioning as investors waited out distressed markets.

Sometimes convictions are best expressed with sectors

The strongest allocation conviction throughout the pre-pandemic period was in Telecommunication Services, with the average overweight relative to the clients’ strategic benchmark of 1.68%, which recently decreased to 0.85%. Client portfolios were also considerably overweight in Utilities — 0.79% — and Information Technology — 0.61%; however, the latter overweight reduced to nearly zero active allocation. The Healthcare sector was the most underweighted sector before the pandemic, but it gained the most active allocation weight in the post-COVID-19 period. In the post-COVID-19 period, investors switched the Financial sector from underweight -0.62% to overweight 0.20% and reduced underweight in Energy sectors from -0.37% to 0.1%, which signals investors’ emerging rotation into cyclicals.

Source: SSGA.

Our take: Our clients focus on the dispersion of returns and sectors’ cyclicality to determine tactical allocations and to capture trends in the market. The sector conviction during the post-COVID-19 period aligned with the overall sentiment of a market cycle. Investors upheld active allocations in Communication Services and Utilities, while at the same time, underweighting Consumer Discretionary and sharply rotating into Healthcare. All of these active allocations are signs of defensive positioning. The decrease in Information Technology active allocation is somewhat surprising, as software services were the primary means of communication during the pandemic, supporting businesses in remote work transition.

Transitioning to regional exposure equality

In aggregate, the portfolios analyzed before COVID-19 were significantly underweight developed market equities, with an average underweight of -6.62% relative to the clients’ strategic benchmark, while the US market was overweight 7.82%. Throughout the pandemic, the active allocation weights range was reduced by almost a half for both.

Source: SSGA.

Our take: While the range of active allocations versus strategic benchmark decreased, our clients are still showing a home bias to domestic equities while potentially overlooking relative value opportunities and potential benefits of diversifying into foreign equities.

Fixed income: Shorter durations lose interest. Investors prefer safety over credit risk.

Within fixed income allocations, investors remained mostly overweight in ultra-short-term duration; however, the allocation decreased slightly during the pre- and post-pandemic periods. The 3–5 year duration bucket increased the most, with 5.27% of active allocation weight, while 10+ years increased by 1.84%, as investors sought long duration to mitigate equity volatility.

Source: SSGA.

Consistent with the fixed income securities portfolio insights, bond-type positioning in the post-COVID-19 period relative to the pre-COVID-19 period indicates investors’ run for safety and yield generation by the most active allocation increases — in sovereign agency debt, 2.63%, US Treasuries, 2.51%, and convertible bonds,1.63%. As the pandemic was spreading around the globe and governments enforced lockdowns, investors adjusted by increasing underweights in preferred shares, term loans and various securitized credit.

Source: SSGA.

As market distress continued, investors started decreasing active allocation weights in high yield securities across all ratings. The flight to safety has been more evident, with investors favoring US Treasuries.

Source: SSGA.

Our take: Clients’ portfolios fixed income allocations show clear evidence of risk-off sentiments, defensive positioning and a flight for safety by reducing high yield allocations. As the treasury yield curve continued to go down, investors took on slightly more duration risk. While investors increased active allocation in US Treasuries, they also increased Convertible Bond active allocation, which provides more income potential relative to other fixed income and sufficient downside protection relative to equities. Because more businesses are going online and more people are working from home, there are rising concerns about the future of commercial real estate, which were expressed by increased underweights in CMBS and CMO.

A holistic view of portfolio construction

Constructing the right portfolio allocation can be a complex endeavor — especially during stressed markets, as we recently observed. While markets face significant selloffs, volatility, and increasing liquidity risk, a lack of holistic evaluation can lead to unintended exposures and unwanted risks. At SPDR, we pride ourselves on providing tools and solutions to help construct tailor-made portfolios reflecting investors’ long-term objectives and risk profiles. For more information, please reach out to your SPDR sales representative.

The author would like to thank Bartlomiej Szczurek, Research Analyst on the SPDR Portfolio Insights and Research Analytics Team for his contribution to this post.

(The views expressed here are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of ETF Strategy.)

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Ancient technology turns plant-based cheese into ‘something we want to eat’

Credit: Photo: Department of Food Science To produce plant-based cheeses that feel and taste like dairy cheese, scientists have their sights set on fermentation….

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Credit: Photo: Department of Food Science

To produce plant-based cheeses that feel and taste like dairy cheese, scientists have their sights set on fermentation. In a new research result, University of Copenhagen scientists demonstrate the potential of fermentation for producing climate-friendly cheeses that people want to eat. 

Nearly thirty kilos of cheese are eaten by the average dairy-loving Dane every year. But increasing pressure on Earth’s resources and climate change call for our food system to turn in a more plant-based direction. As a result, scientists are looking into how to transform protein-rich plants like peas and beans into a new generation of non-dairy cheeses that possess the similar sensory properties as the dairy-based ones that humans have enjoyed for thousands of years.

Several plant-based cheeses are already on the market. The challenge is that plant proteins behave differently than milk proteins when trying to make cheese from them. To meet this challenge, producers add starch or coconut oil to harden plant cheeses, as well as an array of flavourants to make them taste like cheese.

But it turns out that this can be done with the help of nature’s smallest creatures. In a new research result from the University of Copenhagen’s Department of Food Science, researcher Carmen Masiá has succeeded in developing plant-based cheeses made from yellow pea protein with a firm texture and improved aroma profile. She was able to do so by using the same natural fermentation process with bacteria that we have used with cheeses made from milk for thousands of years.

“Fermentation is an incredibly powerful tool to develop flavour and texture in plant-based cheeses. In this study, we show that bacteria can serve to develop firmness in non-dairy cheese in a very short period of time while reducing the bean-like aroma of yellow pea protein, which is used as the main and only protein source,” explains Carmen Masiá. 

Fresh cheese after eight hours

The result builds upon a research result from last year by the same researcher, who found that yellow pea protein constituted a good “protein base” for making fermented plant-based cheese. In the new result, the researcher examined twenty four bacterial combinations made from bacterial cultures supplied by the biotech company Chr. Hansen, where Carmen Masiá is completing her Industrial PhD.

“The whole point of this study has been to combine the commercially-available bacterial cultures that are suitable for the fermentation of a plant-based raw material, and test them in a pea protein matrix to develop both taste and texture that would be suitable for a cheese-like product. And, even if some bacterial combinations performed better than others, all of them actually provided firm gels and reduced beaniness in the samples” says the researcher.

To study the behavior of the bacterial combinations, the scientist inoculated them in a protein base made of yellow pea protein. After only eight hours of incubation, the result was a firm “cheese-like gel” reminiscent of a fresh soft white cheese.

“All bacterial blends produced firm gels, which means that one can get a fermentation-induced gel without necessarily adding starch or coconut oil to the base. From an aroma perspective, we had two goals: To reduce the compounds that characterize the beaniness of yellow peas, and to produce compounds that are normally found in dairy cheese. Here we saw that some bacteria were better at producing certain volatile compounds than others, but that they all worked great to reduce beaniness – which is a very positive outcome. Furthermore, all blends acquired dairy aroma notes to different degrees” explains Carmen Masiá.

Taste and feeling is everything

The researcher points out there is still a way to go to before achieving this plant-based cheese, but that research is on the right track. According to her, tailored bacterial compositions and cultures must be developed in order to achieve the optimal cheese-like characteristics. Furthermore, the plant-based cheese might need to mature over time so that it develops flavor and character, just as dairy-based cheeses do.

Finally, the new generation of fermented plant-based cheeses must be judged by consumers, so that the flavour is perfected. All in all, this is to make plant-based cheeses so delicious that people seek them out and purchase them.

“The most challenging thing for now is that, while there are a lot of people who would like to eat plant-based cheese, they aren’t satisfied with how it tastes and feels in the mouth. In the end, this means that no matter how sustainable, nutritious, etc. a food product is, people aren’t interested in buying it if it doesn’t provide a good experience when consumed,” says Carmen Masiá, who adds:

“One needs to remember that dairy cheese production has been studied over many years, so it’s not something that we can just mimic overnight with totally different raw materials. Nevertheless, there are many scientists and companies out there doing great progress in the field; I hope that we will get closer to making non-dairy cheeses that taste good over the next few years. We are getting there.”

The study was conducted in collaboration between the Department of Food Science and microbial ingredients supplier Chr. Hansen, a bioscience company that produces ingredients for the food and pharmaceutical industries, among other things. 

What is fermentation:

Fermentation is an ancient technique which originated in China. Today, it is used to make beer, wine, cheese, pharmaceuticals and much more. Fermented foods are preserved by initiating a fermentation process in which natural lactic acid bacteria and enzymes are formed. This is done as microorganisms convert sugars in the selected food into lactic acid, acetic acid and carbon dioxide. This makes food acidic and prevents the growth of putrefactive and pathogenic bacteria.

The first textual evidence of cabbage fermentation is found in China’s oldest collection of poems, Shi Jing (Book of the Odes), which dates back to approximately 600 BC.

About the study:

  • The researchers tested twenty four different bacterial compositions on a protein base made from yellow pea protein.
  • The study shows that all of the bacterial compositions produce a firm cheese-like gel, reduced the beaniness, and produced dairy-related volatile compounds.
  • The study was conducted in collaboration between the Department of Food Science and microbial ingredients supplier Chr. Hansen, a bioscience company that manufactures microbial ingredients for the food and pharmaceutical industries.
  • The study has been published in the scientific journal Future Foods
  • The research is funded by Innovation Fund Denmark (grant 0153-00058B)

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BGI Genomics breaks new ground in Saudi Arabian precision medicine

The Saudi Society of Medical Genetics Annual Conference 2023 was held in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, on September 29-30, 2023. As the most authoritative academic…

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The Saudi Society of Medical Genetics Annual Conference 2023 was held in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, on September 29-30, 2023. As the most authoritative academic conference on precision medicine in the Kingdom, this conference attracted global experts worldwide.

Credit: BGI Genomics

The Saudi Society of Medical Genetics Annual Conference 2023 was held in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, on September 29-30, 2023. As the most authoritative academic conference on precision medicine in the Kingdom, this conference attracted global experts worldwide.

One of the highlights of the conference was the presentation entitled “Spatial-temporal sequencing and some large-scale application of precision medicine technologies,” delivered by Dr. Louis (Renyuan) Luo, VP of BGI Genomics West Asia, at the invitation of the Saudi Society of Medical Genetics.

Dr. Luo’s presentation discussed the importance of spatiotemporal sequencing technology in the field of precision medicine and its potential large-scale applications, introduced the company’s case studies, such as the world’s first multi-center project of newborn genetic screening, large-scale regional noninvasive prenatal testing (NIPT) coverage and extensive early screening project of colorectal cancer at Wuhan, Hubei province, China.

Besides sharing BGI Genomics research achievements and innovative applications in enhancing medical outcomes, Dr. Luo highlighted Genalive, BGI Genomics joint venture laboratory in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. This is the result of a localized strategic partnership aiming to provide cutting-edge precision medicine services, promote development and contribute to improving the country’s healthcare system.

The success of Dr. Luo’s presentation paves the way for deepening future localized collaboration and innovation in Saudi Arabia. BGI Genomics will continue to support the realization of Saudi Vision 2030 through active participation in global cooperation and exchanges in the field of precision medicine to enhance patients’ health outcomes.

About BGI Genomics:

BGI Genomics, headquartered in Shenzhen, China, is the world’s leading integrated solutions provider of precision medicine. Our services cover more than 100 countries and regions, involving more than 2,300 medical institutions. In July 2017, as a subsidiary of BGI Group, BGI Genomics (300676.SZ) was officially listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange.


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Bitcoin mining restricted to legal entities in Uzbekistan: Official

Cryptocurrency mining in Uzbekistan can only be carried out by legal entities with the use of solar power, the local crypto watchdog has reiterated.

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Cryptocurrency mining in Uzbekistan can only be carried out by legal entities with the use of solar power, the local crypto watchdog has reiterated.

Cryptocurrency mining in Uzbekistan is overcoming major changes as the country’s major crypto market supervisor has approved a framework for licensing crypto mining operations.

Uzbekistan’s National Agency for Perspective Projects (NAPP) issued a decree on licensing cryptocurrency mining operations, limiting such activities exclusively to legal entities.

Apart from banning individual miners’ operations, the NAPP has also required firms to only use solar power to mine cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC). However, miners can still use the unified power system of Uzbekistan in certain cases stipulated by the legislation. The document doesn’t mention what cases are meant.

Among other requirements, Uzbekistan’s cryptocurrency watchdog demanded companies set up a dedicated room for installing mining equipment and only mine crypto by the registered address. The rules also require crypto mining firms to provide timely and full payment or mining fees established by regulators.

Additionally, the NAPP has banned miners from mining “anonymous” cryptocurrencies, or those referred to as working based on anonymity and hiding transactions. The authority was referring to privacy-focused cryptocurrencies like Monero (XMR), which allow users to obfuscate network transactions.

Related: Kazakh crypto miners plead with president to cut energy prices

“All mining operations and services are only possible after obtaining a permitting document and license in the prescribed manner,” the NAPP wrote, adding:

“The agency also asks all citizens to act within the framework of the law and refrain from attempting to organize activities in the field of circulation of crypto-assets without obtaining the appropriate license.”

It's unclear whether the NAPP’s latest crypto-mining document is a final decree establishing a framework for mining in Uzbekistan. The local government has issued multiple similar documents in recent years, repeatedly prohibiting individual miners from operating in Uzbekistan. One such decree was signed by Uzbekistan’s President Shavkat Mirziyoyev in April 2022, reiterating that local people are not allowed to pay with crypto or to mine digital currencies.

The NAPP did not immediately respond to Cointelegraph’s request for comment.

Magazine: Web3 Gamer: Minecraft bans Bitcoin P2E, iPhone 15 & crypto gaming, Formula E

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