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Southern First Reports Results for Fourth Quarter 2022

Southern First Reports Results for Fourth Quarter 2022
PR Newswire
GREENVILLE, S.C., Jan. 24, 2023

GREENVILLE, S.C., Jan. 24, 2023 /PRNewswire/ — Southern First Bancshares, Inc. (NASDAQ: SFST), holding company for Southern First Bank, today announ…

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Southern First Reports Results for Fourth Quarter 2022

PR Newswire

GREENVILLE, S.C., Jan. 24, 2023 /PRNewswire/ -- Southern First Bancshares, Inc. (NASDAQ: SFST), holding company for Southern First Bank, today announced its financial results for the three and twelve months ended December 31, 2022.

"Southern First continues to attract talented bankers, and clients are moving their relationships to Southern First at a record pace," stated Art Seaver, the company's Chief Executive Officer. "In the fourth quarter of 2022, our team generated the largest loan growth quarter in our company's history. While this transitional interest rate cycle of the Federal Reserve is weakening our current margin, we continue to grow book value and are excited about our momentum as we head into the new year."

2022 Fourth Quarter Highlights

  • Net income was $5.5 million, compared to $12.0 million for Q4 2021
  • Diluted earnings per common share were $0.68 per share, compared to $1.49 for Q4 2021
  • Total loans increased 31% to $3.3 billion, compared to $2.5 billion at Q4 2021
  • Total deposits increased 22% to $3.1 billion at Q4 2022, compared to $2.6 billion at Q4 2021
  • Book value per common share increased to $36.76, or 5%, over Q4 2021


Quarter Ended



December 31

September 30

June 30

March 31

December 31



2022

2022

2022

2022

2021

Earnings ($ in thousands, except per share data):







Net income available to common shareholders

$

5,492

8,413

7,240

7,970

12,005

Earnings per common share, diluted


0.68

1.04

0.90

0.98

1.49

Total revenue(1)


25,826

28,134

27,149

26,091

26,194

Net interest margin (tax-equivalent)(2)


2.88 %

3.19 %

3.35 %

3.37 %

3.35 %

Return on average assets(3)


0.63 %

1.00 %

0.92 %

1.10 %

1.66 %

Return on average equity(3)


7.44 %

11.57 %

10.31 %

11.60 %

17.61 %

Efficiency ratio(4)


63.55 %

57.03 %

58.16 %

56.28 %

56.25 %

Noninterest expense to average assets (3)


1.87 %

1.92 %

2.02 %

2.03 %

2.06 %

Balance Sheet ($ in thousands):







Total loans(5)

$

3,273,363

3,030,027

2,845,205

2,660,675

2,489,877

Total deposits


3,133,864

3,001,452

2,870,158

2,708,174

2,563,826

Core deposits(6)


2,759,112

2,723,592

2,588,283

2,541,113

2,479,412

Total assets


3,691,981

3,439,669

3,287,663

3,073,234

2,925,548

Book value per common share


36.76

35.99

35.39

34.90

35.07

Loans to deposits


104.45 %

100.95 %

99.13 %

98.25 %

97.12 %

Holding Company Capital Ratios(7):







Total risk-based capital ratio


12.91 %

13.58 %

13.97 %

14.37 %

14.90 %

Tier 1 risk-based capital ratio


10.88 %

11.49 %

11.83 %

12.18 %

12.65 %

Leverage ratio


9.17 %

9.44 %

9.71 %

10.12 %

10.18 %

Common equity tier 1 ratio(8)


10.44 %

11.02 %

11.33 %

11.65 %

12.09 %

Tangible common equity(9)


7.98 %

8.37 %

8.60 %

9.06 %

9.50 %

Asset Quality Ratios:







Nonperforming assets/ total assets


0.07 %

0.08 %

0.09 %

0.15 %

0.17 %

Classified assets/tier one capital plus allowance for credit losses


4.71 %

5.24 %

7.29 %

7.83 %

12.61 %

Loans 30 days or more past due/ loans(5)


0.11 %

0.07 %

0.10 %

0.13 %

0.09 %

Net charge-offs (recoveries)/average loans(5) (YTD annualized)


(0.05 %)

(0.06 %)

0.02 %

0.00 %

0.06 %

Allowance for credit losses/loans(5)


1.18 %

1.20 %

1.20 %

1.24 %

1.22 %

Allowance for credit losses/nonaccrual loans


1,470.74 %

1,388.87 %

1,166.70 %

726.88 %

625.16 %

 [Footnotes to table located on page 6]

 

INCOME STATEMENTS – Unaudited












Quarter Ended


Twelve Months Ended



Dec 31

Sept 30

Jun 30

Mar 31

Dec 31


December 31

(in thousands, except per share data)


2022

2022

2022

2022

2021


2022

2021

Interest income










Loans

$

33,939

29,752

26,610

23,931

23,661


114,233

91,599

Investment securities


562

506

448

474

410


1,990

1,335

Federal funds sold


525

676

180

59

66


1,439

233

  Total interest income


35,026

30,934

27,238

24,464

24,137


117,662

93,167

Interest expense










Deposits


10,329

5,021

1,844

908

900


18,102

3,909

Borrowings


578

459

510

392

380


1,939

1,526

  Total interest expense


10,907

5,480

2,354

1,300

1,280


20,041

5,435

Net interest income


24,119

25,454

24,884

23,164

22,857


97,621

87,732

Provision (reversal) for loan losses


2,325

950

1,775

1,105

(4,200)


6,155

(12,400)

Net interest income after provision for loan losses


21,794

24,504

23,109

22,059

27,057


91,466

100,132

Noninterest income










Mortgage banking income


291

1,230

1,184

1,494

1,931


4,198

11,376

Service fees on deposit accounts


187

194

209

191

200


782

757

ATM and debit card income


575

559

563

528

560


2,225

2,092

Income from bank owned life insurance


344

315

315

315

312


1,289

1,231

Loss on disposal of fixed assets


-

-

(394)

-

-


(394)

-

Other income


310

382

388

399

334


1,480

1,645

  Total noninterest income


1,707

2,680

2,265

2,927

3,337


9,580

17,101

Noninterest expense










Compensation and benefits


9,576

9,843

9,915

9,456

9,208


38,790

36,103

Occupancy


2,666

2,442

2,219

1,778

2,081


9,105

6,956

Other real estate owned expenses


-

-

-

-

-


-

385

Outside service and data processing costs


1,521

1,529

1,528

1,533

1,395


6,112

5,468

Insurance


551

507

367

260

342


1,686

1,149

Professional fees


788

555

693

599

682


2,635

2,589

Marketing


282

338

329

269

260


1,216

905

Other


1,029

832

737

790

767


3,389

2,875

  Total noninterest expenses


16,413

16,046

15,788

14,685

14,735


62,933

56,430

Income before provision for income taxes


7,088

11,138

9,586

10,301

15,659


38,113

60,803

Income tax expense


1,596

2,725

2,346

2,331

3,654


8,998

14,092

Net income available to common shareholders

$

5,492

8,413

7,240

7,970

12,005


29,115

46,711











Earnings per common share – Basic

$

0.69

1.06

0.91

1.00

1.52


3.66

5.96

Earnings per common share – Diluted


0.68

1.04

0.90

0.98

1.49


3.61

5.85

Basic weighted average common shares


7,971

7,972

7,945

7,932

7,877


7,958

7,844

Diluted weighted average common shares


8,071

8,065

8,075

8,096

8,057


8,072

7,989

[Footnotes to table located on page 6]


Net income for the fourth quarter of 2022 was $5.5 million, or $0.68 per diluted share, a $2.9 million decrease from the third quarter of 2022 and a $6.5 million decrease from the fourth quarter of 2021. Net interest income decreased $1.3 million for the fourth quarter of 2022, compared to the third quarter of 2022, and increased $1.3 million, or 5.5%, compared to the fourth quarter of 2021. The decrease in net interest income from the prior quarter was driven by an increase in interest expense on our deposit accounts related to the Federal Reserve's 425-basis point increase in the federal funds rate. The increase in net interest income from the fourth quarter of 2021 related to growth in our loan portfolio, partially offset by the higher interest expense on our deposit accounts.   

The provision for credit losses was $2.3 million for the fourth quarter of 2022, compared to $950 thousand for the third quarter of 2022 and a reversal of $4.2 million for the fourth quarter of 2021.  The provision expense during the fourth quarter of 2022, calculated under the Current Expected Credit Loss ("CECL") methodology adopted effective January 1, 2022, includes a $2.3 million provision for loan losses and a $25 thousand provision for unfunded commitments.  The increased provision during the fourth quarter was driven by $243.3 million of loan growth.  The reversal in the provision during the fourth quarter of 2021 was driven by improvement in economic conditions after the onset of the pandemic. 

Noninterest income totaled $1.7 million for the fourth quarter of 2022, a $973 thousand decrease from the third quarter of 2022 and a $1.6 million decrease from the fourth quarter of 2021.  In prior quarters, mortgage banking income has been the largest component of our noninterest income; however, due to lower mortgage origination volume during the past 12 months, combined with our strategy to keep a larger percentage of these loans in our portfolio, mortgage banking income decreased to $291 thousand from prior quarter income of $1.2 million and from income of $1.9 million for the prior year. 

Noninterest expense for the fourth quarter of 2022 was $16.4 million, a $367 thousand increase from the third quarter of 2022, and a $1.7 million increase from the fourth quarter of 2021. The increase in noninterest expense from the previous quarter was driven by increases in occupancy, professional fees, and other noninterest expenses, while the increase from the prior year related to increases in compensation and benefits, occupancy, insurance and other noninterest expenses. In comparison to the prior quarter, the increases in occupancy, professional fees and other noninterest expenses were due to higher property tax expenses, an increase in legal and accounting/audit costs, as well as an increase in FDIC insurance premiums.  Compensation and benefits expense increased from the prior year primarily due to the hiring of new team members, combined with annual salary increases, while the increase in occupancy expense relates to costs associated with the relocation of our headquarters. In addition, our insurance costs increased during 2022 due to higher FDIC insurance premiums and our noninterest expense increase reflects higher travel and entertainment costs as well as an increase in fraud losses.

Our effective tax rate was 22.5% for the fourth quarter, a decrease from 24.5% for the prior quarter of 2022 and 23.3% for the fourth quarter of 2021. The lower tax rate in the fourth quarter of 2022 relates to the greater impact of our tax-exempt and equity compensation transactions on our tax rate during the quarter.

NET INTEREST INCOME AND MARGIN - Unaudited













For the Three Months Ended


December 31, 2022

September 30, 2022

December 31, 2021

(dollars in thousands)

Average
Balance

Income/
Expense

Yield/
Rate(3)

Average
Balance

Income/
Expense

Yield/
Rate(3)

Average
Balance

Income/
Expense

Yield/
Rate(3)

Interest-earning assets










 Federal funds sold and interest-bearing deposits

$      60,176

$       525

3.46 %

$      122,071

$       676

2.20 %

$    138,103

$       66

0.19 %

  Investment securities, taxable

86,594

515

2.36 %

91,462

449

1.95 %

107,181

351

1.30 %

  Investment securities, nontaxable(2)

9,987

61

2.42 %

10,160

74

2.89 %

11,695

75

2.56 %

  Loans(10)

3,165,061

33,939

4.25 %

2,941,350

29,752

4.01 %

2,452,677

23,661

3.83 %

    Total interest-earning assets

3,321,818

35,040

4.18 %

3,165,043

30,951

3.88 %

2,709,656

24,153

3.54 %

  Noninterest-earning assets

162,924



159,233



153,284



    Total assets

$3,484,742



$3,324,726



$2,862,940



Interest-bearing liabilities










 NOW accounts

$    343,541

379

0.44 %

$    361,500

178

0.20 %

$   330,067

64

0.08 %

 Savings & money market

1,529,532

7,657

1.99 %

1,417,181

3,663

1.03 %

1,278,930

637

0.20 %

 Time deposits

405,907

2,293

2.24 %

361,325

1,180

1.30 %

155,708

199

0.51 %

Total interest-bearing deposits

2,278,980

10,329

1.80 %

2,140,006

5,021

0.93 %

1,764,705

900

0.20 %

FHLB advances and other borrowings

7,594

81

4.23 %

1,357

10

2.92 %

-

-

- %

Subordinated debentures

36,197

497

5.45 %

36,169

449

4.93 %

36,089

380

4.18 %

Total interest-bearing liabilities

2,322,771

10,907

1.86 %

2,177,532

5,480

1.00 %

1,800,794

1,280

0.28 %

Noninterest-bearing liabilities

869,314



858,202



791,700



Shareholders' equity

292,657



288,542



270,446



Total liabilities and shareholders' equity

$3,484,742



$3,324,276



$2,862,940



Net interest spread



2.32 %



2.88 %



3.26 %

Net interest income (tax equivalent) / margin


$24,133

2.88 %


$25,471

3.19 %


$22,873

3.35 %

Less:  tax-equivalent adjustment(2)


14



17



16


Net interest income


$24,119



$25,454



$22,857


[Footnotes to table located on page 6]




Net interest income was $24.1 million for the fourth quarter of 2022, a $1.3 million decrease from the third quarter, driven by a $5.4 million increase in interest expense, partially offset by a $4.1 million increase in interest income, on a taxable basis. The increase in interest expense was driven by $139.0 million growth in average interest-bearing deposit balances at an average rate of 1.80%, an 87-basis points increase over the previous quarter, partially offset by $223.7 million growth in average loan balances at a yield of 4.25%, an increase of 24-basis points from the third quarter of 2022.  In comparison to the fourth quarter of 2021, net interest income increased $1.3 million, resulting primarily from $712.4 million growth in average loan balances during 2022, combined with a 42-basis point increase in loan yield.  Our net interest margin, on a tax-equivalent basis, was 2.88% for the fourth quarter of 2022, a 31-basis point decrease from 3.19% from the third quarter of 2022 and a 47-basis point decrease from 3.35% for the fourth quarter of 2021.  As a result of the Federal Reserve's 425-basis point interest rate hikes during 2022, the yield on our interest-earning assets has increased by 64-basis points during the fourth quarter of 2022 in comparison to the fourth quarter of 2021. However, the rate on our interest-bearing liabilities, specifically our interest-bearing deposits, has increased by 158-basis points during the same time period, resulting in the lower net interest margin during the fourth quarter of 2022. 

BALANCE SHEETS - Unaudited

















Ending Balance




December 31

September 30

June 30

March 31

December 31


(in thousands, except per share data)


2022

2022

2022

2022

2021


Assets








Cash and cash equivalents:








  Cash and due from banks

$

18,788

16,530

21,090

20,992

21,770


  Federal funds sold


101,277

139,544

124,462

95,093

86,882


  Interest-bearing deposits with banks


50,809

4,532

36,538

33,131

58,557


    Total cash and cash equivalents


170,874

160,606

182,090

149,216

167,209


Investment securities:








  Investment securities available for sale


93,347

91,521

98,991

106,978

120,281


  Other investments


10,833

5,449

5,065

4,104

4,021


    Total investment securities


104,180

96,970

104,056

111,082

124,302


Mortgage loans held for sale


3,917

9,243

18,329

17,840

13,556


Loans (5)


3,273,363

3,030,027

2,845,205

2,660,675

2,489,877


Less allowance for credit losses


(38,639)

(36,317)

(34,192)

(32,944)

(30,408)


    Loans, net


3,234,724

2,993,710

2,811,013

2,627,731

2,459,469


Bank owned life insurance


51,122

50,778

50,463

50,148

49,833


Property and equipment, net


99,183

99,530

96,674

95,129

92,370


Deferred income taxes


12,522

18,425

15,078

10,635

8,397


Other assets


15,459

10,407

9,960

10,859

10,412


    Total assets

$

3,691,981

3,439,669

3,287,663

3,072,640

2,925,548


Liabilities








Deposits

$

3,133,864

3,001,452

2,870,158

2,708,174

2,563,826


FHLB Advances


175,000

60,000

50,000

-

-


Subordinated debentures


36,214

36,187

36,160

36,133

36,106


Other liabilities


52,391

54,245

48,708

49,809

47,715


    Total liabilities


3,397,469

3,151,884

3,005,026

2,794,116

2,647,647


Shareholders' equity








Preferred stock - $.01 par value; 10,000,000 shares authorized


-

-

-

-

-


Common Stock - $.01 par value; 10,000,000 shares authorized


80

80

80

80

79


Nonvested restricted stock


(3,306)

(3,348)

(3,230)

(3,425)

(1,435)


Additional paid-in capital


119,027

118,433

117,714

117,286

114,226


Accumulated other comprehensive loss


(13,410)

(14,009)

(10,143)

(6,393)

(740)


Retained earnings


192,121

186,629

178,216

170,976

165,771


    Total shareholders' equity


294,512

287,785

282,637

278,524

277,901


    Total liabilities and shareholders' equity

$

3,691,981

3,439,669

3,287,663

3,072,640

2,925,548


Common Stock








Book value per common share

$

36.76

35.99

35.39

34.90

35.07


Stock price:








  High


49.50

47.16

50.09

65.02

64.73


  Low


41.46

41.66

42.25

50.84

52.73


  Period end


45.75

41.66

43.59

50.84

62.49


Common shares outstanding


8,011

7,997

7,986

7,981

7,925


[Footnotes to table located on page 6]

   

ASSET QUALITY MEASURES - Unaudited



Quarter Ended



December 31

September 30

June 30

March 31

December 31

(dollars in thousands)


2022

2022

2022

2022

2021

Nonperforming Assets







Commercial







  Non-owner occupied RE

$

247

253

259

265

270

  Commercial business


182

79

-

-

-

Consumer







  Real estate


207

-

183

739

989

  Home equity


195

197

200

815

653

Nonaccruing troubled debt restructurings


1,796

2,086

2,289

2,713

2,952

Total nonaccrual loans


2,627

2,615

2,931

4,532

4,864

Other real estate owned


-

-

-

-

-

Total nonperforming assets

$

2,627

2,615

2,931

4,532

4,864

Nonperforming assets as a percentage of:







  Total assets


0.07 %

0.08 %

0.09 %

0.15 %

0.17 %

  Total loans


0.08 %

0.09 %

0.10 %

0.17 %

0.20 %

Accruing troubled debt restructurings (TDRs)

$

4,503

4,683

3,558

3,241

3,299

Classified assets/tier 1 capital plus allowance for credit losses


4.71 %

5.24 %

7.29 %

7.83 %

12.61 %






Quarter Ended



December 31

September 30

June 30

March 31

December 31

(dollars in thousands)


2022

2022

2022

2022

2021

Allowance for Credit Losses







Balance, beginning of period

$

36,317

34,192

32,944

30,408

36,075

CECL adjustment


-

-

-

1,500

-

Loans charged-off


-

-

(316)

(169)

(1,509)

Recoveries of loans previously charged-off


22

1,600

39

180

42

  Net loans (charged-off) recovered


22

1,600

(277)

11

(1,467)

Provision for credit losses


2,300

525

1,525

1,025

(4,200)

Balance, end of period

$

38,639

36,317

34,192

32,944

30,408

Allowance for credit losses to gross loans


1.18 %

1.20 %

1.20 %

1.24 %

1.22 %

Allowance for credit losses to nonaccrual loans


1,470.74 %

1,388.87 %

1,166.70 %

726.88 %

625.22 %

Net charge-offs to average loans QTD (annualized)


0.00 %

(0.22 %)

0.04 %

0.00 %

0.24 %


Total nonperforming assets remained at $2.6 million for the fourth quarter of 2022, representing 0.07% of total assets, compared to 0.08% in the third quarter of 2022. During the fourth quarter of 2022, our classified asset ratio improved to 4.71% from 12.61% in the fourth quarter of 2021. The improvement over the fourth quarter of 2021 was primarily the result of six hotel loans, or $18.5 million in the aggregate, we upgraded from substandard during 2022.

Effective January 1, 2022, we early adopted the CECL methodology for estimating credit losses, which resulted in an increase of $1.5 million to our allowance for credit losses and an increase of $2.0 million to our reserve for unfunded commitments. The tax-effected impact of these two items totaled $2.8 million and was recorded as an adjustment to our retained earnings as of January 1, 2022.

On December 31, 2022, the allowance for credit losses was $38.6 million, or 1.18% of total loans, compared to $36.3 million, or 1.20% of total loans, at September 30, 2022, and $30.4 million, or 1.22% of total loans, at December 31, 2021. We had negligible net recoveries of $22 thousand for the fourth quarter of 2022 compared to net recoveries of $1.6 million for the third quarter of 2022 and net charge-offs of $1.5 million for the fourth quarter of 2021. There was a provision for credit losses of $2.3 million for the fourth quarter of 2022 compared to a provision of $525 thousand for the third quarter of 2022 and a reversal of $4.2 million for the fourth quarter of 2021.

LOAN COMPOSITION - Unaudited




Quarter Ended



December 31

September 30

June 30

March 31

December 31

(dollars in thousands)


2022

2022

2022

2022

2021

Commercial







Owner occupied RE

$

612,901

572,972

551,544

527,776

488,965

Non-owner occupied RE


862,579

799,569

741,263

705,811

666,833

Construction


109,726

85,850

84,612

75,015

64,425

Business


468,112

419,312

389,790

352,932

333,049

Total commercial loans


2,053,318

1,877,703

1,767,209

1,661,534

1,553,272

Consumer







Real estate


931,278

873,471

812,130

745,667

694,401

Home equity


179,300

171,904

161,512

155,678

154,839

Construction


80,415

77,798

76,878

72,627

59,846

Other


29,052

29,151

27,476

25,169

27,519

Total consumer loans


1,220,045

1,152,324

1,077,996

999,141

936,605

Total gross loans, net of deferred fees    


3,273,363

3,030,027

2,845,205

2,660,675

2,489,877

Less—allowance for credit losses


(38,639)

(36,317)

(34,192)

(32,944)

(30,408)

Total loans, net

$

3,234,724

2,993,710

2,811,013

2,627,731

2,459,469

 

DEPOSIT COMPOSITION - Unaudited




Quarter Ended



December 31

September 30

June 30

March 31

December 31

(dollars in thousands)


2022

2022

2022

2022

2021

Non-interest bearing

$

804,115

791,050

799,169

779,262

768,650

Interest bearing:







   NOW accounts


318,030

357,862

364,189

416,322

401,788

   Money market accounts


1,506,418

1,452,958

1,320,329

1,238,866

1,201,099

   Savings


40,673

42,335

41,944

41,630

39,696

   Time, less than $250,000


32,469

79,387

62,340

57,972

61,122

   Time and out-of-market deposits, $250,000 and over


432,159

277,860

282,187

174,122

91,471

  Total deposits

$

3,133,864

3,001,452

2,870,158

2,708,174

2,563,826

Footnotes to tables:


 (1) Total revenue is the sum of net interest income and noninterest income.

 (2) The tax-equivalent adjustment to net interest income adjusts the yield for assets earning tax-exempt income to a comparable yield on a taxable basis.

 (3) Annualized for the respective three-month period.

 (4) Noninterest expense divided by the sum of net interest income and noninterest income.

 (5) Excludes mortgage loans held for sale.

 (6) Excludes out of market deposits and time deposits greater than $250,000.

 (7) December 31, 2022 ratios are preliminary.

 (8) The common equity tier 1 ratio is calculated as the sum of common equity divided by risk-weighted assets.

 (9) The tangible common equity ratio is calculated as total equity less preferred stock divided by total assets.

(10) Includes mortgage loans held for sale.


ABOUT SOUTHERN FIRST BANCSHARES
Southern First Bancshares, Inc., Greenville, South Carolina is a registered bank holding company incorporated under the laws of South Carolina.  The company's wholly owned subsidiary, Southern First Bank, is the second largest bank headquartered in South Carolina.  Southern First Bank has been providing financial services since 1999 and now operates in 12 locations in the Greenville, Columbia, and Charleston markets of South Carolina as well as the Charlotte, Triangle and Triad regions of North Carolina and Atlanta, Georgia. Southern First Bancshares has consolidated assets of approximately $3.7 billion and its common stock is traded on The NASDAQ Global Market under the symbol "SFST."  More information can be found at www.southernfirst.com.

FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS
Certain statements in this news release contain "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, such as statements relating to future plans and expectations, and are thus prospective. Such forward-looking statements are identified by words such as "believe," "expect," "anticipate," "estimate," "intend," "plan," "target," and "project," as well as similar expressions. Such statements are subject to risks, uncertainties, and other factors which could cause actual results to differ materially from future results expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Although we believe that the assumptions underlying the forward-looking statements are reasonable, any of the assumptions could prove to be inaccurate. Therefore, we can give no assurance that the results contemplated in the forward-looking statements will be realized. The inclusion of this forward-looking information should not be construed as a representation by our company or any person that the future events, plans, or expectations contemplated by our company will be achieved.

The following factors, among others, could cause actual results to differ materially from the anticipated results or other expectations expressed in the forward-looking statements: (1) competitive pressures among depository and other financial institutions may increase significantly and have an effect on pricing, spending, third-party relationships and revenues; (2) the strength of the United States economy in general and the strength of the local economies in which the company conducts operations may be different than expected; (3) the rate of delinquencies and amounts of charge-offs, the level of allowance for credit loss, the rates of loan and deposit growth as well as pricing of each product, or adverse changes in asset quality in our loan portfolio, which may result in increased credit risk-related losses and expenses; (4) changes in legislation, regulation, policies, or administrative practices, whether by judicial, governmental, or legislative action, including, but not limited to, changes affecting oversight of the financial services industry or consumer protection; (5) the impact of changes to Congress on the regulatory landscape and capital markets; (6) adverse conditions in the stock market, the public debt market and other capital markets (including changes in interest rate conditions) could have a negative impact on the company; (7) changes in interest rates, which may affect the company's net income, interest expense, prepayment penalty income, mortgage banking income, and other future cash flows, or the market value of the company's assets, including its investment securities; and (8) changes in accounting principles, policies, practices, or guidelines. Additional factors that could cause our results to differ materially from those described in the forward-looking statements can be found in our reports (such as Annual Reports on Form 10-K, Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q and Current Reports on Form 8-K) filed with the SEC and available at the SEC's Internet site (http://www.sec.gov). All subsequent written and oral forward-looking statements concerning the company or any person acting on its behalf is expressly qualified in its entirety by the cautionary statements above.  We do not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statement to reflect circumstances or events that occur after the date the forward-looking statements are made, except as required by law.

FINANCIAL CONTACT: MIKE DOWLING  864-679-9070

MEDIA CONTACT: ART SEAVER  864-679-9010

WEB SITE: www.southernfirst.com

 

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SOURCE Southern First Bancshares, Inc.

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Homes listed for sale in early June sell for $7,700 more

New Zillow research suggests the spring home shopping season may see a second wave this summer if mortgage rates fall
The post Homes listed for sale in…

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  • A Zillow analysis of 2023 home sales finds homes listed in the first two weeks of June sold for 2.3% more. 
  • The best time to list a home for sale is a month later than it was in 2019, likely driven by mortgage rates.
  • The best time to list can be as early as the second half of February in San Francisco, and as late as the first half of July in New York and Philadelphia. 

Spring home sellers looking to maximize their sale price may want to wait it out and list their home for sale in the first half of June. A new Zillow® analysis of 2023 sales found that homes listed in the first two weeks of June sold for 2.3% more, a $7,700 boost on a typical U.S. home.  

The best time to list consistently had been early May in the years leading up to the pandemic. The shift to June suggests mortgage rates are strongly influencing demand on top of the usual seasonality that brings buyers to the market in the spring. This home-shopping season is poised to follow a similar pattern as that in 2023, with the potential for a second wave if the Federal Reserve lowers interest rates midyear or later. 

The 2.3% sale price premium registered last June followed the first spring in more than 15 years with mortgage rates over 6% on a 30-year fixed-rate loan. The high rates put home buyers on the back foot, and as rates continued upward through May, they were still reassessing and less likely to bid boldly. In June, however, rates pulled back a little from 6.79% to 6.67%, which likely presented an opportunity for determined buyers heading into summer. More buyers understood their market position and could afford to transact, boosting competition and sale prices.

The old logic was that sellers could earn a premium by listing in late spring, when search activity hit its peak. Now, with persistently low inventory, mortgage rate fluctuations make their own seasonality. First-time home buyers who are on the edge of qualifying for a home loan may dip in and out of the market, depending on what’s happening with rates. It is almost certain the Federal Reserve will push back any interest-rate cuts to mid-2024 at the earliest. If mortgage rates follow, that could bring another surge of buyers later this year.

Mortgage rates have been impacting affordability and sale prices since they began rising rapidly two years ago. In 2022, sellers nationwide saw the highest sale premium when they listed their home in late March, right before rates barreled past 5% and continued climbing. 

Zillow’s research finds the best time to list can vary widely by metropolitan area. In 2023, it was as early as the second half of February in San Francisco, and as late as the first half of July in New York. Thirty of the top 35 largest metro areas saw for-sale listings command the highest sale prices between May and early July last year. 

Zillow also found a wide range in the sale price premiums associated with homes listed during those peak periods. At the hottest time of the year in San Jose, homes sold for 5.5% more, a $88,000 boost on a typical home. Meanwhile, homes in San Antonio sold for 1.9% more during that same time period.  

 

Metropolitan Area Best Time to List Price Premium Dollar Boost
United States First half of June 2.3% $7,700
New York, NY First half of July 2.4% $15,500
Los Angeles, CA First half of May 4.1% $39,300
Chicago, IL First half of June 2.8% $8,800
Dallas, TX First half of June 2.5% $9,200
Houston, TX Second half of April 2.0% $6,200
Washington, DC Second half of June 2.2% $12,700
Philadelphia, PA First half of July 2.4% $8,200
Miami, FL First half of June 2.3% $12,900
Atlanta, GA Second half of June 2.3% $8,700
Boston, MA Second half of May 3.5% $23,600
Phoenix, AZ First half of June 3.2% $14,700
San Francisco, CA Second half of February 4.2% $50,300
Riverside, CA First half of May 2.7% $15,600
Detroit, MI First half of July 3.3% $7,900
Seattle, WA First half of June 4.3% $31,500
Minneapolis, MN Second half of May 3.7% $13,400
San Diego, CA Second half of April 3.1% $29,600
Tampa, FL Second half of June 2.1% $8,000
Denver, CO Second half of May 2.9% $16,900
Baltimore, MD First half of July 2.2% $8,200
St. Louis, MO First half of June 2.9% $7,000
Orlando, FL First half of June 2.2% $8,700
Charlotte, NC Second half of May 3.0% $11,000
San Antonio, TX First half of June 1.9% $5,400
Portland, OR Second half of April 2.6% $14,300
Sacramento, CA First half of June 3.2% $17,900
Pittsburgh, PA Second half of June 2.3% $4,700
Cincinnati, OH Second half of April 2.7% $7,500
Austin, TX Second half of May 2.8% $12,600
Las Vegas, NV First half of June 3.4% $14,600
Kansas City, MO Second half of May 2.5% $7,300
Columbus, OH Second half of June 3.3% $10,400
Indianapolis, IN First half of July 3.0% $8,100
Cleveland, OH First half of July  3.4% $7,400
San Jose, CA First half of June 5.5% $88,400

 

The post Homes listed for sale in early June sell for $7,700 more appeared first on Zillow Research.

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February Employment Situation

By Paul Gomme and Peter Rupert The establishment data from the BLS showed a 275,000 increase in payroll employment for February, outpacing the 230,000…

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By Paul Gomme and Peter Rupert

The establishment data from the BLS showed a 275,000 increase in payroll employment for February, outpacing the 230,000 average over the previous 12 months. The payroll data for January and December were revised down by a total of 167,000. The private sector added 223,000 new jobs, the largest gain since May of last year.

Temporary help services employment continues a steep decline after a sharp post-pandemic rise.

Average hours of work increased from 34.2 to 34.3. The increase, along with the 223,000 private employment increase led to a hefty increase in total hours of 5.6% at an annualized rate, also the largest increase since May of last year.

The establishment report, once again, beat “expectations;” the WSJ survey of economists was 198,000. Other than the downward revisions, mentioned above, another bit of negative news was a smallish increase in wage growth, from $34.52 to $34.57.

The household survey shows that the labor force increased 150,000, a drop in employment of 184,000 and an increase in the number of unemployed persons of 334,000. The labor force participation rate held steady at 62.5, the employment to population ratio decreased from 60.2 to 60.1 and the unemployment rate increased from 3.66 to 3.86. Remember that the unemployment rate is the number of unemployed relative to the labor force (the number employed plus the number unemployed). Consequently, the unemployment rate can go up if the number of unemployed rises holding fixed the labor force, or if the labor force shrinks holding the number unemployed unchanged. An increase in the unemployment rate is not necessarily a bad thing: it may reflect a strong labor market drawing “marginally attached” individuals from outside the labor force. Indeed, there was a 96,000 decline in those workers.

Earlier in the week, the BLS announced JOLTS (Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey) data for January. There isn’t much to report here as the job openings changed little at 8.9 million, the number of hires and total separations were little changed at 5.7 million and 5.3 million, respectively.

As has been the case for the last couple of years, the number of job openings remains higher than the number of unemployed persons.

Also earlier in the week the BLS announced that productivity increased 3.2% in the 4th quarter with output rising 3.5% and hours of work rising 0.3%.

The bottom line is that the labor market continues its surprisingly (to some) strong performance, once again proving stronger than many had expected. This strength makes it difficult to justify any interest rate cuts soon, particularly given the recent inflation spike.

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Mortgage rates fall as labor market normalizes

Jobless claims show an expanding economy. We will only be in a recession once jobless claims exceed 323,000 on a four-week moving average.

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Everyone was waiting to see if this week’s jobs report would send mortgage rates higher, which is what happened last month. Instead, the 10-year yield had a muted response after the headline number beat estimates, but we have negative job revisions from previous months. The Federal Reserve’s fear of wage growth spiraling out of control hasn’t materialized for over two years now and the unemployment rate ticked up to 3.9%. For now, we can say the labor market isn’t tight anymore, but it’s also not breaking.

The key labor data line in this expansion is the weekly jobless claims report. Jobless claims show an expanding economy that has not lost jobs yet. We will only be in a recession once jobless claims exceed 323,000 on a four-week moving average.

From the Fed: In the week ended March 2, initial claims for unemployment insurance benefits were flat, at 217,000. The four-week moving average declined slightly by 750, to 212,250


Below is an explanation of how we got here with the labor market, which all started during COVID-19.

1. I wrote the COVID-19 recovery model on April 7, 2020, and retired it on Dec. 9, 2020. By that time, the upfront recovery phase was done, and I needed to model out when we would get the jobs lost back.

2. Early in the labor market recovery, when we saw weaker job reports, I doubled and tripled down on my assertion that job openings would get to 10 million in this recovery. Job openings rose as high as to 12 million and are currently over 9 million. Even with the massive miss on a job report in May 2021, I didn’t waver.

Currently, the jobs openings, quit percentage and hires data are below pre-COVID-19 levels, which means the labor market isn’t as tight as it once was, and this is why the employment cost index has been slowing data to move along the quits percentage.  

2-US_Job_Quits_Rate-1-2

3. I wrote that we should get back all the jobs lost to COVID-19 by September of 2022. At the time this would be a speedy labor market recovery, and it happened on schedule, too

Total employment data

4. This is the key one for right now: If COVID-19 hadn’t happened, we would have between 157 million and 159 million jobs today, which would have been in line with the job growth rate in February 2020. Today, we are at 157,808,000. This is important because job growth should be cooling down now. We are more in line with where the labor market should be when averaging 140K-165K monthly. So for now, the fact that we aren’t trending between 140K-165K means we still have a bit more recovery kick left before we get down to those levels. 




From BLS: Total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 275,000 in February, and the unemployment rate increased to 3.9 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job gains occurred in health care, in government, in food services and drinking places, in social assistance, and in transportation and warehousing.

Here are the jobs that were created and lost in the previous month:

IMG_5092

In this jobs report, the unemployment rate for education levels looks like this:

  • Less than a high school diploma: 6.1%
  • High school graduate and no college: 4.2%
  • Some college or associate degree: 3.1%
  • Bachelor’s degree or higher: 2.2%
IMG_5093_320f22

Today’s report has continued the trend of the labor data beating my expectations, only because I am looking for the jobs data to slow down to a level of 140K-165K, which hasn’t happened yet. I wouldn’t categorize the labor market as being tight anymore because of the quits ratio and the hires data in the job openings report. This also shows itself in the employment cost index as well. These are key data lines for the Fed and the reason we are going to see three rate cuts this year.

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