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Malaysia Automotive Finance Industry is expected to grow at a CAGR of ~3% between 2022-2026 owning to increasing passenger car sales, upcoming brand-new car models and strict government regulations: Ken Research

Malaysia Automotive Finance Industry is expected to grow at a CAGR of ~3% between 2022-2026 owning to increasing passenger car sales, upcoming brand-new car models and strict government regulations: Ken Research
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GURUGRAM, India, Dec. 14, 2…

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Malaysia Automotive Finance Industry is expected to grow at a CAGR of ~3% between 2022-2026 owning to increasing passenger car sales, upcoming brand-new car models and strict government regulations: Ken Research

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GURUGRAM, India, Dec. 14, 2022 /PRNewswire/ -- Malaysia Automotive Finance Market is in the growing stage, being driven by increasing passenger car ownership, emergence of new players, innovation and government initiatives. There are several players in the Malaysia auto finance market some of which are Al Rajhi Bank, Maybank, Affin Bank, CIMB Bank and AmBank group.

  • Government is planning to establish a centralized database for the transport and logistics sectors which would help in greening the Automobile sector that will eventually lead to growth in EV sector.
  • High digitization and usage of new advance technology like AI and ML will improve customer convenience by automating the process, which will led to growth in Malaysia auto finance industry.
  • Malaysian Government is expected to introduce scrapping policy in near future due to which the tenure of loan is expected to fall. People will have to discard their vehicles early and this will also affect the number of loans granted for used car segment.

Upcoming Brand-New Car Models Introduction of state-of-the-art models such with latest designs and features as well as electric vehicles at affordable and competitive prices may assist to sustain buying interest of the customers, leading more auto-loans in future. Furthermore, continuous efforts to fulfill backlogged orders and promotional campaigns by car companies are also in progress.

Promotion of National Auto-manufacturing: Government has been taking various initiatives to promote domestic vehicle manufacturing industry. It provides various benefits to national car buyers. Companies like Proton and Perodua are being set up to manufacture cars domestically.

Boosting second hand vehicle sales: Government has taken several step like Strict Puspakom inspection to ensure that the used car dealers are protected from the risk associated with sourcing, such as trading cars with pre-existing issues, in-scope components condition, or reported beyond economical repair in order to increase the sale of the used car in Malaysia. 

Government Regulations promoting automotive industry: The National Automotive Vision is to make Malaysia a hub for exports of vehicles, exports of components and spare parts, automotive research and development (R&D), development of automotive and mobility related technologies, vehicle and component testing. The Hire-Purchase Act,1967 is a Malaysian law which enacted to regulate the form and contents of hire-purchase agreements, the rights and duties of parties to such agreements and to make provisions for other matters connected therewith and incidental thereto.

 Analysts at Ken Research in their latest publication- "Malaysia Automotive Finance – Market Outlook to 2026-Driven by exorbitant car prices, growing digital penetration, preference for owning passenger cars amidst systematically regulated car ownership policies by the Government" by Ken Research provides a comprehensive analysis of the potential of Automotive Finance Industry in Malaysia. The rising demand for new and used cars among the population, along with the easy availability of finance and low interest rates along with some government initiatives will promote this industry over the forecast period. The Malaysia Automotive Finance Market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 2.98% over the forecasted period 2022F-2026F.

Key Segments Covered:-

Malaysia Automotive Finance Market

By Distribution Channels

  • OEMs
  • Banks
  • NBFCs
  • Commercial Banks
  • Investment Bank
  • Islamic Banks

By type of Vehicles

  • Passenger
  • Commercial

By tenure of Loan

  • 0-5 years
  • 6-7 years
  • 8-9 years

By condition of Vehicle

  • New
  • Old

To learn more about this report Download a Free Sample Report

By Region

  • Central
  • Southern
  • Eastern
  • Northern
  • Other

Key Target Audience:-

  • Auto Finance Providers
  • Insurance companies
  • Car Manufacturers
  • financial service provider
  • NBFCs
  • fin-tech companies
  • Global automotive finance companies
  • Government Bodies & Regulating Authorities

Time Period Captured in the Report:-

  • Historical Year: 2016-2021
  • Base Year: 2021
  • Forecast Period: 2022F– 2026F

Visit this Link Request for custom report

Companies Covered:-

Auto Finance Providers

  • Maybank
  • Public Bank
  • CIMB
  • Hong Leong
  • AmBank
  • RHB Bank
  • Affin Bank
  • Bank Simpanan Nasional

Key Topics Covered in the Report:-

  • Malaysia Automotive Finance Market Overview
  • Ecosystem of Malaysia Automotive Finance Market
  • Business Cycle and Genesis of Malaysia Automotive Finance Market
  • Export and Import Overview of Malaysia Automotive market
  • Industry Analysis of Malaysia Automotive Finance Market
  • SWOT Analysis of Malaysia Automotive Finance Market
  • Malaysia Auto-finance market Value Chain
  • Non-Performing Assets in Auto-finance Segment
  • Major types of Auto loans in Malaysia
  • Key Growth Drivers in Auto Finance Market in Malaysia
  • Major Challenges and Bottlenecks in Malaysia Automotive Finance Market
  • Regulatory Framework in Malaysia Automotive Finance Market
  • Competitive Landscape in in Malaysia Automotive Finance Market
  • Market Share of Major Auto Finance Providers in Malaysia Automotive Finance Market
  • Detailed Analysis on Malaysia Automotive Finance Market (Market Size and Segmentation, 2016-2022; Future Market Size and Segmentation, 2023-2027F)
  • Market Opportunity and Analyst Recommendations

For more insights on the market intelligence, refer to the link below:-

Malaysia Automotive Finance Market

Related Reports By Ken Research:- 

UAE Auto Finance Market Outlook to 2026F - Driven by growing digital penetration, evolving vehicle ownership characteristics and rebates by the Government amidst systematically regulated vehicle ownership and financing policies by the regulatory authorities

According to Ken Research estimates, that UAE Auto Finance Market has decreased from 2016 to 2021 at a CAGR of -6.3% owing to government regulations, lifestyle changes and the COVID-19 lockdown but in the upcoming period, the growth is expected to normalize owing to the emergence of new and improved technologies. UAE Auto Finance Market is estimated to grow at a positive CAGR of ~17% in between 2022E and 2026F.

KSA Auto Finance Market Outlook to 2026F– Driven by Women Entering the Market, Growing Private Entities and Initiatives by the Government

KSA Auto Finance Market is in growing stage, being driven by banks and NBFCs and introduction of Fin-Tech companies and online personal loan aggregator platforms. The credit disbursed market fell and experienced a downfall due to factors like Covid outbreak and semiconductor chip shortage. Automotive sales were also affected by higher shipping costs in 2021 as prices of shipping containers container freight rates have risen steeply. Higher prices were shifted to the consumers leading to increase in credit disbursed. However, the market is recovering and registering a positive growth since 2021. Entry of women drivers in the market has led to an increase in the total cars sold and hence the credit disbursed in automotive sector.

Singapore Auto Finance Market Outlook to 2025 (Edition II) – Driven by exorbitant Car Prices, Growing Digital Penetration and evolving Vehicle Ownership Characteristics amidst Systemically Regulated Car Ownership Policies by the Government

The Singapore Auto Finance Market was observed to be in maturity stage during the period of 2015-2020 despite growing digital advancements to ease loan application process, emerging green car loans and introduction of finance aggregators. This is due to the strict regulations of government in terms of maintaining the on-road vehicles. The Singapore Auto Finance Industry had shrunk at a CAGR of ~0.1% on the basis of Auto credit disbursed and slightly grown at ~1.5% basis Auto Loan Outstanding in 2015-20. The CAGR was comparatively low owing to less number of cars financed in 2020 due to COVID – 19.

Vietnam Auto Finance Market Outlook to 2026F– Driven by Digital Penetration and Dominance of Banks along with a Shift in Consumer Preference form 2W to 4W

Vietnam's Cold Chain market was evaluated to grow at a double-digit CAGR during 2016-2021. The market is currently in the growth stage owing to lower interest rates along with increasing government initiatives and investments in the sector. The Pandemic has resulted in the slow growth of Auto Finance where Vietnamese preferred to own a private vehicle to avoid public transportation. The growing penetration of the internet and smartphones and the rising purchasing power of the middle class resulted in changing preferences of consumers which are some of the key factors fueling the Auto Finance Market in Vietnam.

Philippines Auto Finance Market Outlook to 2026- Driven by change in consumer spending, ease in provision of loans, improving technology and government support

Philippines is 2nd fastest growing vehicle market in ASEAN with Commercial vehicles with higher market share and the market has observed the maximum growth in the automotive industry in ASEAN Countries, with automotive loan outstanding growth in the last five years mainly due to population increase and economic growth. The Auto Finance Market is in the Growing Phase with Banking Institutions and NBFCs leading the Market and Online Aggregators Platforms entering the Market with the Introduction of Online Personal Loan aggregator Platforms in the market to provide ease in vendor selection process like BSP pay, Pesopay are among the top aggregator, Better Technological Infrastructure in the form of growing Auto Finance platforms and rising usage of AI and ML for better Auto lending experience will lead the future growth of the industry. Innovative Business Models such as Subscription Lending & shared ownership may grow in future to increase car financing. The market is still expected to a good growth in Auto Finance Market of Philippines.

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Contact Us:-
Ken Research Private Limited
Ankur Gupta, Director Strategy and Growth
Ankur@kenresearch.com
+91-9015378249

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NY Fed Finds Medium, Long-Term Inflation Expectations Jump Amid Surge In Stock Market Optimism

NY Fed Finds Medium, Long-Term Inflation Expectations Jump Amid Surge In Stock Market Optimism

One month after the inflation outlook tracked…

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NY Fed Finds Medium, Long-Term Inflation Expectations Jump Amid Surge In Stock Market Optimism

One month after the inflation outlook tracked by the NY Fed Consumer Survey extended their late 2023 slide, with 3Y inflation expectations in January sliding to a record low 2.4% (from 2.6% in December), even as 1 and 5Y inflation forecasts remained flat, moments ago the NY Fed reported that in February there was a sharp rebound in longer-term inflation expectations, rising to 2.7% from 2.4% at the three-year ahead horizon, and jumping to 2.9% from 2.5% at the five-year ahead horizon, while the 1Y inflation outlook was flat for the 3rd month in a row, stuck at 3.0%. 

The increases in both the three-year ahead and five-year ahead measures were most pronounced for respondents with at most high school degrees (in other words, the "really smart folks" are expecting deflation soon). The survey’s measure of disagreement across respondents (the difference between the 75th and 25th percentile of inflation expectations) decreased at all horizons, while the median inflation uncertainty—or the uncertainty expressed regarding future inflation outcomes—declined at the one- and three-year ahead horizons and remained unchanged at the five-year ahead horizon.

Going down the survey, we find that the median year-ahead expected price changes increased by 0.1 percentage point to 4.3% for gas; decreased by 1.8 percentage points to 6.8% for the cost of medical care (its lowest reading since September 2020); decreased by 0.1 percentage point to 5.8% for the cost of a college education; and surprisingly decreased by 0.3 percentage point for rent to 6.1% (its lowest reading since December 2020), and remained flat for food at 4.9%.

We find the rent expectations surprising because it is happening just asking rents are rising across the country.

At the same time as consumers erroneously saw sharply lower rents, median home price growth expectations remained unchanged for the fifth consecutive month at 3.0%.

Turning to the labor market, the survey found that the average perceived likelihood of voluntary and involuntary job separations increased, while the perceived likelihood of finding a job (in the event of a job loss) declined. "The mean probability of leaving one’s job voluntarily in the next 12 months also increased, by 1.8 percentage points to 19.5%."

Mean unemployment expectations - or the mean probability that the U.S. unemployment rate will be higher one year from now - decreased by 1.1 percentage points to 36.1%, the lowest reading since February 2022. Additionally, the median one-year-ahead expected earnings growth was unchanged at 2.8%, remaining slightly below its 12-month trailing average of 2.9%.

Turning to household finance, we find the following:

  • The median expected growth in household income remained unchanged at 3.1%. The series has been moving within a narrow range of 2.9% to 3.3% since January 2023, and remains above the February 2020 pre-pandemic level of 2.7%.
  • Median household spending growth expectations increased by 0.2 percentage point to 5.2%. The increase was driven by respondents with a high school degree or less.
  • Median year-ahead expected growth in government debt increased to 9.3% from 8.9%.
  • The mean perceived probability that the average interest rate on saving accounts will be higher in 12 months increased by 0.6 percentage point to 26.1%, remaining below its 12-month trailing average of 30%.
  • Perceptions about households’ current financial situations deteriorated somewhat with fewer respondents reporting being better off than a year ago. Year-ahead expectations also deteriorated marginally with a smaller share of respondents expecting to be better off and a slightly larger share of respondents expecting to be worse off a year from now.
  • The mean perceived probability that U.S. stock prices will be higher 12 months from now increased by 1.4 percentage point to 38.9%.
  • At the same time, perceptions and expectations about credit access turned less optimistic: "Perceptions of credit access compared to a year ago deteriorated with a larger share of respondents reporting tighter conditions and a smaller share reporting looser conditions compared to a year ago."

Also, a smaller percentage of consumers, 11.45% vs 12.14% in prior month, expect to not be able to make minimum debt payment over the next three months

Last, and perhaps most humorous, is the now traditional cognitive dissonance one observes with these polls, because at a time when long-term inflation expectations jumped, which clearly suggests that financial conditions will need to be tightened, the number of respondents expecting higher stock prices one year from today jumped to the highest since November 2021... which incidentally is just when the market topped out during the last cycle before suffering a painful bear market.

Tyler Durden Mon, 03/11/2024 - 12:40

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Homes listed for sale in early June sell for $7,700 more

New Zillow research suggests the spring home shopping season may see a second wave this summer if mortgage rates fall
The post Homes listed for sale in…

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  • A Zillow analysis of 2023 home sales finds homes listed in the first two weeks of June sold for 2.3% more. 
  • The best time to list a home for sale is a month later than it was in 2019, likely driven by mortgage rates.
  • The best time to list can be as early as the second half of February in San Francisco, and as late as the first half of July in New York and Philadelphia. 

Spring home sellers looking to maximize their sale price may want to wait it out and list their home for sale in the first half of June. A new Zillow® analysis of 2023 sales found that homes listed in the first two weeks of June sold for 2.3% more, a $7,700 boost on a typical U.S. home.  

The best time to list consistently had been early May in the years leading up to the pandemic. The shift to June suggests mortgage rates are strongly influencing demand on top of the usual seasonality that brings buyers to the market in the spring. This home-shopping season is poised to follow a similar pattern as that in 2023, with the potential for a second wave if the Federal Reserve lowers interest rates midyear or later. 

The 2.3% sale price premium registered last June followed the first spring in more than 15 years with mortgage rates over 6% on a 30-year fixed-rate loan. The high rates put home buyers on the back foot, and as rates continued upward through May, they were still reassessing and less likely to bid boldly. In June, however, rates pulled back a little from 6.79% to 6.67%, which likely presented an opportunity for determined buyers heading into summer. More buyers understood their market position and could afford to transact, boosting competition and sale prices.

The old logic was that sellers could earn a premium by listing in late spring, when search activity hit its peak. Now, with persistently low inventory, mortgage rate fluctuations make their own seasonality. First-time home buyers who are on the edge of qualifying for a home loan may dip in and out of the market, depending on what’s happening with rates. It is almost certain the Federal Reserve will push back any interest-rate cuts to mid-2024 at the earliest. If mortgage rates follow, that could bring another surge of buyers later this year.

Mortgage rates have been impacting affordability and sale prices since they began rising rapidly two years ago. In 2022, sellers nationwide saw the highest sale premium when they listed their home in late March, right before rates barreled past 5% and continued climbing. 

Zillow’s research finds the best time to list can vary widely by metropolitan area. In 2023, it was as early as the second half of February in San Francisco, and as late as the first half of July in New York. Thirty of the top 35 largest metro areas saw for-sale listings command the highest sale prices between May and early July last year. 

Zillow also found a wide range in the sale price premiums associated with homes listed during those peak periods. At the hottest time of the year in San Jose, homes sold for 5.5% more, a $88,000 boost on a typical home. Meanwhile, homes in San Antonio sold for 1.9% more during that same time period.  

 

Metropolitan Area Best Time to List Price Premium Dollar Boost
United States First half of June 2.3% $7,700
New York, NY First half of July 2.4% $15,500
Los Angeles, CA First half of May 4.1% $39,300
Chicago, IL First half of June 2.8% $8,800
Dallas, TX First half of June 2.5% $9,200
Houston, TX Second half of April 2.0% $6,200
Washington, DC Second half of June 2.2% $12,700
Philadelphia, PA First half of July 2.4% $8,200
Miami, FL First half of June 2.3% $12,900
Atlanta, GA Second half of June 2.3% $8,700
Boston, MA Second half of May 3.5% $23,600
Phoenix, AZ First half of June 3.2% $14,700
San Francisco, CA Second half of February 4.2% $50,300
Riverside, CA First half of May 2.7% $15,600
Detroit, MI First half of July 3.3% $7,900
Seattle, WA First half of June 4.3% $31,500
Minneapolis, MN Second half of May 3.7% $13,400
San Diego, CA Second half of April 3.1% $29,600
Tampa, FL Second half of June 2.1% $8,000
Denver, CO Second half of May 2.9% $16,900
Baltimore, MD First half of July 2.2% $8,200
St. Louis, MO First half of June 2.9% $7,000
Orlando, FL First half of June 2.2% $8,700
Charlotte, NC Second half of May 3.0% $11,000
San Antonio, TX First half of June 1.9% $5,400
Portland, OR Second half of April 2.6% $14,300
Sacramento, CA First half of June 3.2% $17,900
Pittsburgh, PA Second half of June 2.3% $4,700
Cincinnati, OH Second half of April 2.7% $7,500
Austin, TX Second half of May 2.8% $12,600
Las Vegas, NV First half of June 3.4% $14,600
Kansas City, MO Second half of May 2.5% $7,300
Columbus, OH Second half of June 3.3% $10,400
Indianapolis, IN First half of July 3.0% $8,100
Cleveland, OH First half of July  3.4% $7,400
San Jose, CA First half of June 5.5% $88,400

 

The post Homes listed for sale in early June sell for $7,700 more appeared first on Zillow Research.

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February Employment Situation

By Paul Gomme and Peter Rupert The establishment data from the BLS showed a 275,000 increase in payroll employment for February, outpacing the 230,000…

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By Paul Gomme and Peter Rupert

The establishment data from the BLS showed a 275,000 increase in payroll employment for February, outpacing the 230,000 average over the previous 12 months. The payroll data for January and December were revised down by a total of 167,000. The private sector added 223,000 new jobs, the largest gain since May of last year.

Temporary help services employment continues a steep decline after a sharp post-pandemic rise.

Average hours of work increased from 34.2 to 34.3. The increase, along with the 223,000 private employment increase led to a hefty increase in total hours of 5.6% at an annualized rate, also the largest increase since May of last year.

The establishment report, once again, beat “expectations;” the WSJ survey of economists was 198,000. Other than the downward revisions, mentioned above, another bit of negative news was a smallish increase in wage growth, from $34.52 to $34.57.

The household survey shows that the labor force increased 150,000, a drop in employment of 184,000 and an increase in the number of unemployed persons of 334,000. The labor force participation rate held steady at 62.5, the employment to population ratio decreased from 60.2 to 60.1 and the unemployment rate increased from 3.66 to 3.86. Remember that the unemployment rate is the number of unemployed relative to the labor force (the number employed plus the number unemployed). Consequently, the unemployment rate can go up if the number of unemployed rises holding fixed the labor force, or if the labor force shrinks holding the number unemployed unchanged. An increase in the unemployment rate is not necessarily a bad thing: it may reflect a strong labor market drawing “marginally attached” individuals from outside the labor force. Indeed, there was a 96,000 decline in those workers.

Earlier in the week, the BLS announced JOLTS (Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey) data for January. There isn’t much to report here as the job openings changed little at 8.9 million, the number of hires and total separations were little changed at 5.7 million and 5.3 million, respectively.

As has been the case for the last couple of years, the number of job openings remains higher than the number of unemployed persons.

Also earlier in the week the BLS announced that productivity increased 3.2% in the 4th quarter with output rising 3.5% and hours of work rising 0.3%.

The bottom line is that the labor market continues its surprisingly (to some) strong performance, once again proving stronger than many had expected. This strength makes it difficult to justify any interest rate cuts soon, particularly given the recent inflation spike.

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