Marko Kolanovic, JPMorgan’s quant expert, sees equities as both expensive and cheap at the same time. Yes, he acknowledges stocks are priced at or near their all-time highs in absolute terms, and compared to earnings – but in relation to bonds, stocks are undervalued. And with that comparison tied directly to bond yields, which are historically low and unlikely to see gains any time soon, Kolanovic believes that stocks will act as cash magnets in 2H20.
He notes that the mega-cap growth stocks are hitting new record highs again – see Apple for a prime example – and that they are benefitting from fears of a second wave of coronavirus. But Kolanovic adds that the market isn’t estimating the effect properly. While cases are rising sharply in the three of the largest states (California, Texas, Florida), death rates are remaining low. This suggests that the virus is becoming less dangerous – and that when the markets collective wisdom realizes this, value stocks are going surge.
In fact, in Kolanovic’s view, a late summer surge “could result in a rapid momentum sell-off and value rally.” The trick now will be finding the value stocks that are primed for that gain.
Fortunately, Kolanovic’s colleagues in JPM are on the case. They have pinpointed three stocks showing signs of great value – relatively low cost now, with serious upside potential for the coming year.
We’ve used the TipRanks database to pull up the details, and find out what makes JPM's picks so compelling.
We’ll start in China, with JOYY, a major social media and online digital streaming platform. It’s easy to overlook China, from the West, as the country is highly insular by both government policy and cultural history, but we shouldn’t forget that China, with population near 1.4 billion, has an ‘online population’ of almost 800 million. That’s double the population of Europe, and more than double the population of the United States – and that is only China’s domestic market. Add in China’s moves toward the global stage, and the possibilities are staggering.
That can be seen from YY’s share growth. The stock is up 50% year-to-date; a look at the share price chart shows that YY simply shrugged off the ‘corona quarter.’
First quarter net revenue reached $1.01 billion, a 49% year-over-year gain. Strong growth across the company’s online subsidiaries powered the gains, as monthly average users (MAU) hit 520.1 million.
A major part of JOYY’s growth in recent months has come from Singapore’s Bigo live streaming platform. The Chinese company bought Bigo in May of last year, in a move valued at $2.1 billion. Since then, Bigo has become the world’s fifth largest site for streaming apps.
Bigo was on JPMorgan's Alex Yao’s mind when he reviewed JOYY stock. The 5-star analyst noted, “[W]e believe the current share price hasn’t fully factored in Bigo’s growth potential and we expect strong Bigo revenue growth in 2Q20 and turning profitable in 4Q20 will be near term share price catalysts...”
To this end, Yao rates the stock a Buy, and supports that by raising his price target to $125. That new target implies a strong upside potential of 57% for the year ahead. (To watch Yao’s track record, click here)
It’s clear that Wall Street agrees with JPM’s analysts about the quality of YY stock. The shares have a unanimous Strong Buy consensus rating, based on 7 Buy reviews. The stock is selling for $81.45, and the average target of $104.17 suggests a 28% upside potential. (See YY stock analysis on TipRanks)
Next up is Cloudflare, a multi-billion-dollar online network operator. The company offers content delivery network services, web infrastructure and website security, and domain name server services. Cloudflare say revenues rise to $287 million last year, and 1H20 saw its EPS net loss narrow. The current business environment, with more people working remotely from home, and with businesses relying more than ever on teleconferencing, have put Cloudflare’s products and services in high demand.
The Q1 earnings report shows that, as far as possible. NET’s revenues surged 48%, reaching $91.3 million and beating the forecasts. Cloudflare reported some 250,000 new customers in the quarter, putting the company’s total customer count at 2.8 million. Sales grew 44% year-over-year in the US – and an even more impressive 58% in Europe. US sales are 40% of the company’s total.
Covering the stock for JPM, 5-star analyst Sterling Auty describes the company’s portfolio of products as ‘gaining traction’ in current conditions. He writes of the stock, “[We] expect the company to convert its free Teams offering over to a paid solution in the coming quarters and that has the potential of generating additional revenue tailwinds… we believe that there is ample upside opportunity to the revenue results over the next several years to generate an attractive free cash flow profile…”
Auty’s $52 price target implies a 48% one-year upside, and fully supports his bullish outlook. (To watch Auty’s track record, click here)
Like many upwardly mobile tech companies, Cloudflare’s stock has pushed past its average price target in recent trading. The stock is currently priced at $36.75; Auty’s outlook suggests that Wall Street’s analysts may have to readjust their targets here. In the meantime, NET has a Moderate Buy rating from the analyst consensus, based on 8 Buys and 4 Holds. (See Cloudflare stock analysis on TipRanks)
Not all tech is digital tech. The last company on our list, Ormat Technologies, is an alternative and renewable energy provider, based in Nevada and operating around the world. The company boasts over 150 power plants generating more than 2,000 megawatts of power in 30 countries. Ormat is a major provider of geothermal energy in Guatemala, Honduras, Kenya, and the US.
No matter how the economy goes, we all need power – and Ormat used that fact to keep earnings up during the corona crisis. The company’s Q1 results beat the forecasts, coming in at 51 cents per share. Revenues, however, slipped year-over-year by 3.5%, to $192.1 million.
That slip is reflected in the share value, which is down 17% year-to-date. ORA has underperformed the broader markets, which ironically increases the value potential of the stock. The company’s electricity segment – about half of the total business – features high margins, giving the company a strong foundation for future income.
JPM’s 5-star analyst Mark Strouse has this in mind when he writes, “We view ORA as one of the higher-quality stocks in our Alt Energy coverage universe, based on relative balance sheet strength, earnings power and visibility that originates in the shift toward ownership and operation of a diverse portfolio of geothermal projects.”
Strouse upgrades his stance on ORA shares, raising them from Neutral to Buy. His price target, at $82, indicates room for a 32% upside. (To watch Strouse’s track record, click here)
ORA has two recent analyst reviews, one Buy and one Hold, making the consensus view a Moderate Buy. (See ORA stock analysis on TipRanks)
To find good ideas for stocks trading at attractive valuations, visit TipRanks’ Best Stocks to Buy, a newly launched tool that unites all of TipRanks’ equity insights.
In this specific predicament, U.S. officials have to choose a strategy to deliver the aid without the perception of benefiting Hamas, a group the U.S. and Israel both classify as a terrorist organization.
Logistics
When aiding people in war zones, you can’t just send money, a development strategy called “cash transfers” that has become increasingly popular due to its efficiency. Sending money can boost the supply of locally produced goods and services and help people on the ground pay for what they need most. But injecting cash into an economy so completely cut off from the world would only stoke inflation.
So the aid must consist of goods that have to be brought into Gaza, and services provided by people working as part of an aid mission. Humanitarian aid can include food and water; health, sanitation and hygiene supplies and services; and tents and other materials for shelter and settlement.
Due to the closure of the border with Israel, aid can arrive in Gaza only via the Rafah crossing on the Egyptian border.
The U.S. Agency for International Development, or USAID, will likely turn to its longtime partner on the ground, the United Nations Relief and Works Agency, or UNRWA, to serve as supply depots and distribute goods. That agency, originally founded in 1949 as a temporary measure until a two-state solution could be found, serves in effect as a parallel yet unelected government for Palestinian refugees.
USAID will likely want to tap into UNRWA’s network of 284 schools – many of which are now transformed into humanitarian shelters housing two-thirds of the estimated 1 million people displaced by Israeli airstrikes – and 22 hospitals to expedite distribution.
Gaza is a self-governing Palestinian territory. The narrow piece of land is located on the coast of the Mediterranean Sea, bordered by Israel and Egypt.PeterHermesFurian/iStock via Getty Images Plus
Since Biden took office, total yearly U.S. assistance for the Palestinian territories has totaled around $150 million, restored from just $8 million in 2020 under the Trump administration. During the Obama administration, however, the U.S. was providing more aid to the territories than it is now, with $1 billion disbursed in the 2013 fiscal year.
But the White House needs Congress to approve this assistance – a process that requires the House of Representatives to elect a new speaker and then for lawmakers to approve aid to Gaza once that happens.
Ethics
The United Nations Relief and Works Agency is a U.N. organization. It’s not run by Hamas, unlike, for instance, the Gaza Ministry of Health. However, Hamas has frequently undermined UNRWA’s efforts and diverted international aid for military purposes.
Humanitarian aid professionals regularly have to contend with these trade-offs when deciding to what extent they can work with governments and local authorities that commit violent acts. They need to do so in exchange for the access required to help civilians under their control.
Similarly, Biden has had to make concessions to Israel while brokering for the freedom to send humanitarian aid to Gaza. For example, he has assured Israel that if any of the aid is diverted by Hamas, the operation will cease.
This promise may have been politically necessary. But if Biden already believes Hamas to be uncaring about civilian welfare, he may not expect the group to refrain from taking what they can.
Security best practices
What can be done to protect the security of humanitarian aid operations that take place in the midst of dangerous conflicts?
Under International Humanitarian Law, local authorities have the primary responsibility for ensuring the delivery of aid – even when they aren’t carrying out that task. To increase the chances that the local authorities will not attack them, aid groups can give “humanitarian notification” and voluntarily alert the local government as to where they will be operating.
Hamas has repeatedly flouted international norms and laws. So the question of if and how the aid convoy will be protected looms large.
Under the current agreement between the U.S., Israel and Egypt, the convoy will raise the U.N. flag. International inspectors will make sure no weapons are on board the vehicles before crossing over from Arish, Egypt, to Rafah, a city located on the Gaza Strip’s border with Egypt.
The aid convoy will likely cross without militarized security. This puts it at some danger of diversion once inside Gaza. But whether the aid convoy is attacked, seized or left alone, the Biden administration will have demonstrated its willingness to attempt a humanitarian relief operation. In this sense, a relatively small first convoy bearing water, medical supplies and food, among other items, serves as a test balloon for a sustained operation to follow soon after.
In that case, the presence of U.S. armed forces might provoke attacks on Gaza-bound aid convoys by Hamas and Islamic jihad fighters that otherwise would not have occurred. Combined with the mobilization of two U.S. Navy carrier groups in the eastern Mediterranean Sea, I’d be concerned that such a move might also stoke regional anger. It would undermine the Biden administration’s attempts to cool the situation.
On U.N.-approved missions, aid delivery may be secured by third-party peacekeepers – meaning, in this case, personnel who are neither Israeli nor Palestinian – with the U.N. Security Council’s blessing. In this case, tragically, it’s unlikely that such a resolution could conceivably pass such a vote, much less quickly enough to make a difference.
Topher L. McDougal does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.
Diagnosis and management of postoperative wound infections in the head and neck region
“The majority of wound infections often manifest themselves immediately postoperatively, so close followup should take place […]” Credit: 2023 Barbarewicz…
“The majority of wound infections often manifest themselves immediately postoperatively, so close followup should take place […]”
Credit: 2023 Barbarewicz et al.
“The majority of wound infections often manifest themselves immediately postoperatively, so close followup should take place […]”
BUFFALO, NY- October 20, 2023 – A new research perspective was published in Oncoscience (Volume 10) on October 4, 2023, entitled, “Diagnosis and management of postoperative wound infections in the head and neck region.”
In everyday clinical practice at a department for oral and maxillofacial surgery, a large number of surgical procedures in the head and neck region take place under both outpatient and inpatient conditions. The basis of every surgical intervention is the patient’s consent to the respective procedure. Particular attention is drawn to the general and operation-specific risks.
Particularly in the case of soft tissue procedures in the facial region, bleeding, secondary bleeding, scarring and infection of the surgical area are among the most common complications/risks, depending on the respective procedure. In their new perspective, researchers Filip Barbarewicz, Kai-Olaf Henkel and Florian Dudde from Army Hospital Hamburg in Germany discuss the diagnosis and management of postoperative infections in the head and neck region.
“In order to minimize the wound infections/surgical site infections, aseptic operating conditions with maximum sterility are required.”
Furthermore, depending on the extent of the surgical procedure and the patient‘s previous illnesses, peri- and/or postoperative antibiotics should be considered in order to avoid postoperative surgical site infection. Abscesses, cellulitis, phlegmone and (depending on the location of the procedure) empyema are among the most common postoperative infections in the respective surgical area. The main pathogens of these infections are staphylococci, although mixed (germ) patterns are also possible.
“Risk factors for the development of a postoperative surgical site infection include, in particular, increased age, smoking, multiple comorbidities and/or systemic diseases (e.g., diabetes mellitus type II) as well as congenital and/ or acquired immune deficiency [10, 11].”
Continue reading the paper: DOI:https://doi.org/10.18632/oncoscience.589
Correspondence to: Florian Dudde
Email: floriandudde@gmx.de
Keywords: surgical site infection, head and neck surgery
AboutOncoscience:
Oncoscience is a peer-reviewed, open-access, traditional journal covering the rapidly growing field of cancer research, especially emergent topics not currently covered by other journals. This journal has a special mission: Freeing oncology from publication cost. It is free for the readers and the authors.
To learn more about Oncoscience, visit Oncoscience.us and connect with us on social media:
G77 Nations, China, Push Back On U.S. "Loss And Damage" Climate Fund In Days Leading Up To UN Summit
As was the case in primary school with bringing in presents, make sure you bring enough for the rest of the class, otherwise people get ornery...
This age old rule looks like it could be rearing its head in the days leading up to the UN COP 28 climate summit, set to take place in the United Arab Emirates in about six weeks.
At the prior UN COP 27, which took place in Egypt last year, the U.S. pushed an idea for a new World Bank "loss and damage" climate slush fund to help poor countries with climate change. But the G77 nations plus China, including many developing countries, are pushing back on the idea, according to a new report from the Financial Times.
The goal was to arrange how the fund would operate and where the money would come from for the "particularly vulnerable" nations who would have access to it prior to the upcoming summit in UAE.
But as FT notes, Pedro Luis Pedroso Cuesta, the Cuban chair of the G77 plus China group, has said that talks about these details were instead "deadlocked" over issues of - you guessed it - where the money is going and the governance of the fund.
The U.S.'s proposal for the fund to be governed by the World Bank has been rejected by the G77 after "extensive" discussions, the report says. Cuesta has said that the nations seek to have the fund managed elsewhere, but that the U.S. wasn't open to such arrangements.
Cuesta said: “We have been confronted with an elephant in the room, and that elephant is the US. We have been faced with a very closed position that it is [the World Bank] or nothing.”
Christina Chan, a senior adviser to US climate envoy John Kerry, responded: “We have been working diligently at every turn to address concerns, problem-solve, and find landing zones.” She said the U.S. has been "clear and consistent" in their messaging on the need for the fund.
Cuesta contends that the World Bank, known for lending to less affluent nations, lacks a "climate culture" and often delays decision-making, hindering quick responses to climate emergencies like Pakistan's recent severe flooding.
The G77 coalition voiced concerns about the World Bank's legal framework potentially limiting the fund's ability to accept diverse funding sources like philanthropic donations or to access capital markets.
With just days left before the UN COP 28 summit, the World Bank insists that combating climate change is integral to its mission and vows to collaborate on structuring the fund.
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