Dutch mortgage loans have become a cornerstone investment for many institutional investors in recent years. With their attractive risk/return profile and long duration, they can act as an appealing alternative to other high-quality fixed-income products.
Yields on Dutch mortgages have been consistently attractive compared to assets such as government bonds or credit.
Note: The blue bar indicates the 12-month historical yield range and the black dot the latest yield (October 2021). The net yield on Dutch mortgages is calculated taken into account representative management and origination fees and expected losses. Source: Dynamic Credit, Hypotheekbond, Bloomberg
Strong investor protection
A lender has full recourse to the assets of a borrower in the case of foreclosure, meaning all assets besides the property serving as collateral for the mortgage loan can be seized. Furthermore, if a borrower still has employment income, a part of the wage can be seized without court approval.
Mortgage loans of up to EUR 325 000, or EUR 344 500 in the case of energy-saving measures (updated annually), are eligible for a Dutch National Mortgage Guarantee (NHG). This provides a safety net for borrowers and lenders in the case of residual losses. NHG guarantees are backed indirectly by the Dutch State, entitling the underlying to a ‘Aaa’ credit rating by Moody’s and ‘AAA’ by Fitch Ratings and S&P.
The borrower pays an upfront fee for the guarantee. To ensure skin in the game, 10% of any losses is covered by the lender. The remainder is covered by the guarantee.
In the case that a borrower is unable to pay, the lender generally gives the borrower the opportunity to sell the property. If the borrower is unwilling to cooperate or fails to sell the property, it will be auctioned. No court approval is required prior to the auction, ensuring an efficient process.
Full recourse and an efficient legal system have resulted in a high payment morale. Note that long waiting lists in the public housing sector and the small unregulated rental sector are making these less attractive alternatives to many people compared to staying in their own home and paying their mortgage.
In the aftermath of the Great Financial Crisis, the asset class suffered its worst performance in recent history. Even though losses were minimal, underwriting standards have been tightened significantly.
This has improved the creditworthiness of Dutch mortgage loans. Since inception of our mortgage investment platform in 2014, cumulative realised losses have been well below 1bp.
COVID-19 did not impact the performance of Dutch mortgages. Payment holidays were introduced for borrowers with a temporary loss of income due to the lockdown measures. The usage of these payment holidays has been minimal and the outstanding payment holiday amounts were reduced greatly in 2020.
Estimated offer volumes over the past 12 months have been around EUR 145 billion, with around 75% in the 15 to 30-year fixed rate segment.
The share of longer fixed rate periods has grown significantly in recent years, benefiting investors with long-term liabilities.
Three ways to gain exposure
Investment exposure to Dutch mortgages can be obtained in different ways:
- Mandates are optimal for most investors as a tailor-made portfolio in terms of risk and duration segments can be built at attractive fee levels.
- Funds offer exposure to a slice of a morgage portfolio, thereby limiting flexibility. Furthermore, fee levels are generally materially higher than for a mandate.
- Own white label products provide the most flexibility. Downsides are the long set-up period and higher costs.
Any views expressed here are those of the author as of the date of publication, are based on available information, and are subject to change without notice. Individual portfolio management teams may hold different views and may take different investment decisions for different clients. The views expressed in this podcast do not in any way constitute investment advice.
The value of investments and the income they generate may go down as well as up and it is possible that investors will not recover their initial outlay. Past performance is no guarantee for future returns.
Investing in emerging markets, or specialised or restricted sectors is likely to be subject to a higher-than-average volatility due to a high degree of concentration, greater uncertainty because less information is available, there is less liquidity or due to greater sensitivity to changes in market conditions (social, political and economic conditions).
Some emerging markets offer less security than the majority of international developed markets. For this reason, services for portfolio transactions, liquidation and conservation on behalf of funds invested in emerging markets may carry greater risk.
Writen by Jasper Koops. The post Investing in Dutch mortgages – As safe as houses appeared first on Investors' Corner - The official blog of BNP Paribas Asset Management, the sustainable investor for a changing world.foreclosure covid-19 bonds government bonds emerging markets mortgages lockdown
Royal Caribbean Shares Huge News on Covid Testing, Vaccine Rules
President Michael Bayley gave some straight answers on pre-cruise covid testing and potentially dropping vaccine requirement at a Q&A during the cruise…
President Michael Bayley gave some straight answers on pre-cruise covid testing and potentially dropping vaccine requirement at a Q&A during the cruise line's President's Cruise.
Being on a cruise has largely returned to the same experience it was before the pandemic. Mask requirements have been dropped, capacities have returned to normal, and social distancing requirements have been dropped.
In fact, aside from crew members still having to wear masks and some stray passengers opting to do so in certain indoor situations, there's really no sign of covid rules once you board your cruise.
Before you board, however, the pandemic still has an effect on cruising. Every passenger 12 and older must be vaccinated (and must prove so before getting on board) and all passengers must produce a negative covid test taken no more than two days before getting on the ship.
And, while covid remains a problem, the cruise industry sees some light at the end of the tunnel when it comes to pre-cruise protocols. Executives from the major cruise lines -- Royal Caribbean International (RCL) - Get Royal Caribbean Group Report, Carnival Cruise Lines (CCL) - Get Carnival Corporation Report, and Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) - Get Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. Report -- have said very little about plans to drop pre-cruise testing and vaccination requirements,
Now, however, Royal Caribbean President Michael Bayley has spoken out on both issues and has given cruise fans some real answers.
When Will Covid Tests and Vaccinations Get Dropped?
The major cruise lines have largely stayed quiet about covid protocols because they remain somewhat beholden to the Centers for Disease Control (CDC). The current CDC rules are voluntary, but voluntary is sort of a relative term when it comes to the power the federal agency has over the cruise industry.
It makes sense that the industry has been cautious in commenting on when covid protocols may change, but with the end at least seeming feasible Bayley answered questions about both the end of pre-cruise testing and potentially dropping vaccination requirements during the 2022 Royal Caribbean President's Cruise on Ovation of the Seas, the Royal Caribbean Blog reported.
"I think pre-cruise testing is going to be around for another couple of months," Bayley said. "We obviously want it to go back to normal, but we're incredibly cognizant of our responsibilities to keep our crew, the communities and our guests safe."
Bayley was less hopeful about the end of vaccinations, according to the blog, which has no connection to Royal Caribbean.
"The no vaccine question is is a huge question that none of us know the answer to," he said. "I'm skeptical that's going to change in the in the real short term. Many and most of the destinations that we visit require a high degree of vaccination, and they expect our crew to be vaccinated."
Cruise Lines Covid Protocols Are Working
Covid has not gone anywhere, but the cruise industry has been very successful at controlling the impact of the virus. Bayley noted that the CDC shares some information with him about the "millions" of people who have sailed from U.S. ports over the past 12 months.
"And the number of people who died from COVID who'd sailed on ships over the past year was two," the Royal Caribbean Blog reported. "Two is terrible. But against the context of everything we've seen, that's it's truly been a remarkable success."
Vaccine requirements remain a touchy issue as some people have chosen not to be vaccinated and that means they cannot cruise. That seems unlikely to change anytime soon given the destinations Royal Caribbean visits and the CDC information which shows that the current protocols are working.cdc disease control pandemic vaccine testing social distancing
China Stocks Outperform On Unexpected COVID Shift
China Stocks Outperform On Unexpected COVID Shift
Update (0920ET): China’s move to ease quarantine rules for inbound travelers from three…
Update (0920ET): China's move to ease quarantine rules for inbound travelers from three weeks to just one week has bolstered sentiment for Chinese equities.
Bullish calls are rising on Chinese stocks as the CSI 300 Index inches near a bull market.
Fred Hu, the founder of China-based investment firm Primavera Capital Group, told Bloomberg that he believes Chinese tech firms have turned the corner after a $2 trillion rout sparked by Beijing's yearslong technology crackdown.
NASDAQ Golden Dragon China Index plunged more than 76% since its peak in early 2021, coinciding with Beijing's crackdown start. The index hit a low in March and has since bounced 67% -- because the crackdown fears show signs of softening.
Hu believes "this could be the beginning of a new era for China tech ... There's a lot of value to be discovered," adding that investors still need to be selective in picking stocks.
Adding to support is the People's Bank of China's accommodative monetary policy, which is the opposite of global central banks that aggressively tighten interest rates to prevent the surge in inflation from turning into dreaded 1970s-style stagflation. Today's quarantine reduction news, tech crackdown abating, and PBOC easing have produced a more optimistic outlook for Chinese stocks.
However, a lingering threat of a US slowdown could be problematic for all investors.
Lorraine Tan, director of equity research at Morningstar, told Bloomberg TV: "Even if we do get some China recovery in 2023, which could be a buffer for this region, it's not going to offset the US or global recession."
* * *
China unexpectedly slashed quarantine times for international travelers, to just one week, which suggests Beijing is easing COVID zero policies. The nationwide relaxation of pandemic restrictions led investors to buy Chinese stocks.
Inbound travelers will only quarantine for ten days, down from three weeks, which shows local authorities are easing draconian curbs on travel and economic activity as they worry about slumping economic growth sparked by restrictive COVID zero policies earlier this year that locked down Beijing and Shanghai for months (Shanghai finally lifted its lockdown measures on May 31).
"This relaxation sends the signal that the economy comes first ... It is a sign of importance of the economy at this point," Li Changmin, Managing Director at Snowball Wealth in Guangzhou, told Bloomberg.
At the peak of the COVID outbreak, many residents in China's largest city, Shanghai, were quarantined in their homes for two months, while international travelers were under "hard quarantines" for three weeks. The strict curbs appear to have suppressed the outbreak, but the tradeoff came at the cost of faltering economic growth.
The announcement of the shorter quarantine period suggests a potentially more optimistic outlook for the Chinese economy. Bullish price action lifted CSI 300 Index by 1%, led by tourism-related stocks (LVMH shares rose as much as 2.5%, Richemont +3.1%, Kering +3%, Moncler +3%).
"The reduction of travel restrictions will be positive for the luxury sector, and may boost consumer sentiment and confidence following months of lockdowns in China's biggest cities," Barclays analysts Carole Madjo wrote in a note.
CSI 300 is up 19% from April's low, nearing bull market territory.
Jane Foley, a strategist at Rabobank in London, commented that "this news suggests that perhaps the authorities will not be as stringent with Covid controls as has been expected."
"The news also coincides with reports that the PBOC is pledging to keep monetary policy supportive," Foley pointed out, referring to Governor Yi Gang's latest comment.
She said, "this suggests a potentially more optimistic outlook for the Chinese economy, which is good news generally for commodity exporters such as Australia and all of China's trading partners."
Even though the move is the right step in the right direction, Joerg Wuttke, head of the European Chamber of Commerce in China, said, "the country cannot open its borders completely due to relatively low vaccination rates ... This, in conjunction with a slow introduction of mRNA vaccines, means that China may have to maintain a restricted immigration policy beyond the summer of 2023."
Alvin Tan, head of Asia currency strategy in Singapore for RBC Markets, also said shortening quarantine time for inbound visitors shouldn't be a gamechanger, and "there's nothing to say that it won't be raised tomorrow."
Penny Stocks To Watch: Why TOUR, JAN, ENDP, BRDS & WEJO Stock Are Moving
Penny stocks to watch with news
The post Penny Stocks To Watch: Why TOUR, JAN, ENDP, BRDS & WEJO Stock Are Moving appeared first on Penny Stocks to…
Penny stocks are well-known for their high-risk and high-reward potential. When it comes to a choppy stock market, traders will flock to some of these names for quick gains instead of taking a chance at investing in a broader market that still has some downside left.
Needless to say, this week, in particular, could bring more speculation and uncertainty thanks to key economic data. The foremost is second-quarter GDP results set to report on Wednesday. The biggest question is, will GDP data signal signs or even confirm a recession?
According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, the figures show some interesting trends:
“Real gross domestic product (GDP) decreased at an annual rate of 1.5 percent in the first quarter of 2022, following an increase of 6.9 percent in the fourth quarter of 2021. The decrease was revised down 0.1 percentage point from the “advance” estimate released in April. In the first quarter, there was a resurgence of COVID-19 cases from the Omicron variant and decreases in government pandemic assistance payments.”
But whether or not this read-out is bullish or bearish may not matter much to traders looking for penny stocks to buy. Let’s explain.
Penny Stocks To Watch
In general, broader market trends take a back seat to whatever individual catalysts are at play with penny stocks. If you’ve traded long enough, I’m sure you’ve seen the stock market crash lower, yet several penny stocks are exploding higher. This detached trend is unique and has become one of many reasons traders hunt for top trending penny stocks daily.
One of the most prominent reasons for cheap stocks to move iradically even with the stock market down tends to involve headlines. These can become significant catalysts for a bullish (or bearish) trend. Here’s a quick list of penny stocks with news that are moving during the week.
- Wejo Group Limited (NASDAQ: WEJO)
- Bird Global Inc. (NYSE: BRDS)
- Tuniu Corp. (NASDAQ: TOUR)
- JanOne Inc. (NASDAQ: JAN)
- Endo International (NASDAQ: ENDP)
Best Penny Stocks To Buy Now
Are penny stocks with news the best to buy now? Much of that answer deals with specific trading styles. Sometimes, news catalysts can be short-lived, primarily suitable for day traders. In other instances, headlines include verbiage and further discussion that prompt a longer-term forecast for some. If a company posts news, diving deeper beyond the headline is a good idea.
Wejo Group Limited (NASDAQ: WEJO)
Who said penny stocks have no legitimate business with well-established companies? Wejo Group is a prime example of why that statement isn’t accurate. The smart-mobility could solutions company focuses on electric and autonomous vehicle data. This has become a point of interest for those looking at car companies aiming for self-driving and a more tech-focused model.
Why WEJO Stock Is Moving
This week, Wejo Group announced a collaboration with none other than Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F) in Europe. The two will leverage data and insights where Wejo can access personalized connected vehicle data from Ford vehicles.
“Providing actionable data insights to insurance providers is another example of how Wejo is expanding into additional markets and demonstrating new use cases for OEMs and insurance companies to monetize connected vehicle data for good,” said Richard Barlow, founder, and CEO, of Wejo.
Bird Global Inc. (NYSE: BRDS)
Another mobility company on the list of penny stocks to watch is one you might have seen “scooting” around your city. Bird Global offers eScooters and eBikes that anyone can rent using a Bird-connected app. Billing itself as a “micro electric vehicle company,” Bird’s suite of scooters and bikes is becoming popular among riders looking for urban travel without getting in an actual vehicle. Unfortunately, BRDS stock wasn’t such a high flyer after its IPO debut last year. Shares have gone from highs of $11.25 to lows of $0.4648 in a matter of 7 months.
Why BRDS Stock Is Moving
Earlier this month, Bird received a notice of non-compliance with the NYSE based on its low share price. The exchange requires companies to maintain a closing price of at least $1 for 30 consecutive trading days to keep the listing. Considering that the company plans to notify the NYSE by July 5th of its intention to “cure” the stock price deficiency, there could be some speculation building as the countdown begins.
Tuniu Corp. (NASDAQ: TOUR)
Travel is one of the industries taking a back seat over the last few years. Thanks to the rise of the pandemic and continued COVID restrictions, travel stocks haven’t faired as well as their market cohorts. However, the area of the industry that has remained beaten down involves companies with exposure to China’s market.
Tuniu Corp. is a prime example of the bearish sentiment for Chinese travel stocks. TOUR stock has slumped from over $2 to under $0.50 within the last year. The company offers an online leisure travel service focused on prepackaged and self-guided tours. This week, TOUR stock’s tides changed a bit, and shares have begun to rally.
Why TOUR Stock Is Moving
There isn’t any TOUR stock-specific news. However, broader industry information has come to light and acted as a catalyst. In particular, China has begun loosening its COVID quarantine rules. As a result, bullish sentiment has returned to the sector, prompting momentum in several travel names, including Tuniu.
JanOne Inc. (NASDAQ: JAN)
JanOne develops drugs with non-addictive and pain-relieving properties. One of its focuses is on curbing the opioid crisis. Its JAN101 platform is being developed for treating peripheral artery disease and is a catalyst behind the latest move in JAN stock today.
Why JAN Stock Is Moving
This week, JanOne announced that work was completed with Dr. Maureen Donovan at the University of Iowa. It will allow for an improved formulation of JAN101, which has been used successfully in trials for reducing pain and improving nerve function. Furthermore, JanOne expects to start manufacturing and validating processes “in the near future.”
One of the other attractive points of interest for traders is JAN stock’s float. Looking at multiple outlets, you’ll see that this figure is well below 10 million shares. In cases of low float penny stocks, volatility can play a leading role. Given the latest headline, this could be something to keep in mind heading into the rest of the week.
Endo International (NASDAQ: ENDP)
Shares of Endo International took flight this week. The specialty pharmaceutical company recently focused on developing an orthopedic product for treating osteoarthritis knee pain. It signed a deal with Taiwan Liposome to commercialize its TLC599 injectable compound, which is in Phase 3 development for osteoarthritis treatment.
“TLC599 is fully aligned with our commitment to providing differentiated nonsurgical options to healthcare providers and their appropriate patients,” said Patrick Barry, Executive Vice President, and President, Global Commercial Operations at Endo, in a June 13th update.
Why ENDP Stock Is Moving
You won’t find anything in corporate newsfeeds if you’re looking for why ENDP stock is moving right now. However, if you dig deeper into the company’s filings, there may be something evident acting as a catalyst in the stock market today. Millennium Management LLC filed a 13G on June 27th, showing a 1.7% stake in the company. In our article Buy Penny Stocks Like Hedge Funds Do: A How-To Guide, we discussed specific forms and filings to pay attention to if you want to “follow” the money of investment firms.
A 13G pertains to “passive investors” owning less than 20% of a company’s outstanding shares. Once a “passive investor” reaches over 20% of the OS, they must start filing 13D statements.
Best Penny Stocks Today
News can be a way to find names for your penny stocks list. However, when it’s time to buy them, it’s best to dig a little deeper to determine if that news has lasting potential. Penny stocks with news experience volatility early. When it comes to follow-through, much of that comes down to the market itself. Today we looked at 5 penny stocks with news, industry-related speculation, or corporate developments. After seeing why they moved, are any on your watch list right now?
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