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Industrial lighting market: Growth opportunities led by Acuity Brands Inc. and Advanced Lighting Technologies LLC – Technavio

Industrial lighting market: Growth opportunities led by Acuity Brands Inc. and Advanced Lighting Technologies LLC – Technavio
PR Newswire
NEW YORK, Feb. 1, 2023

NEW YORK, Feb. 1, 2023 /PRNewswire/ — The industrial lighting market size is forecaste…

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2 months ago

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Industrial lighting market: Growth opportunities led by Acuity Brands Inc. and Advanced Lighting Technologies LLC - Technavio

PR Newswire

NEW YORK, Feb. 1, 2023

NEW YORK, Feb. 1, 2023 /PRNewswire/ -- The industrial lighting market size is forecasted to increase by USD 3,014.53 million from 2022 to 2027, at a CAGR of 6.34%, according to the recent market study by Technavio. The growth of the market will be driven by the growing adoption of energy-efficient lighting technologies, enforcement of the Minamata Convention on mercury, and growing demand from the automotive sector.

Charts & data tables about market and segment sizes for a historic period of five (2017-2021) years have been covered in this report. Download The Sample Report

Technavio has extensively analyzed 15 major vendors, including Acuity Brands Inc., Advanced Lighting Technologies LLC, Dialight Plc, Eaton Corp. Plc, ELBA SA, Emerson Electric Co, Hubbell Inc., IDEAL INDUSTRIES Inc., Iwasaki Electric Co. Ltd., Leedarson IoT Technology Inc., Legrand SA, LG Innotek Co. Ltd., LSI Industries Inc, Luminus Inc, Nichia Corp., OSRAM GmbH, Panasonic Holdings Corp., Savant Systems Inc., Schneider Electric SE, and Signify NV

To get detailed insights about vendors and their offerings, buy the report

Key benefits for industry players & stakeholders – 

  • The report offers information on the criticality of vendor inputs, including R&D, CAPEX, and technology.
  • It also provides detailed analyses of the market's competitive landscape and vendors' product offerings.
  • The report also provides a qualitative and quantitative analysis of vendors to help clients understand the wider business environment as well as the strengths and weaknesses of key market players. Data is qualitatively analyzed to categorize vendors as pure play, category-focused, industry-focused, and diversified; it is quantitatively analyzed to categorize vendors as dominant, leading, strong, tentative, and weak.

Expand operations in the future - To get requisite details, ask for a custom report.

Customer landscape - Analysis of price sensitivity, adoption lifecycle, customer purchase basket, adoption rates, and purchase criteria by Technavio

  • One of the core components of the customer landscape is price sensitivity, an analysis of which will help companies refine marketing strategies to gain a competitive advantage. 
  • Another key aspect is price sensitivity drivers (purchases are undifferentiated, the purchase is a key cost to buyers, and quality is not important), which range between LOW and HIGH.
  • Furthermore, market adoption rates for all regions have been covered.

Get a holistic overview of the industrial lighting market by industry experts to evaluate and develop growth strategies. Download the Sample

The market is segmented by type (LED technology and traditional technology) and application (new installation, replacement installation, and retrofit installation).

Segmentation by type (inclusion/exclusion)

  • Inclusion 
    • LED Technology:

The led technology segment was valued at USD 4,016.03 million in 2017 and continue to grow by 2021. The major reasons for this tremendous growth are the energy-saving characteristics of LEDs, their decreasing cost, and compatibility with the existing lighting fixtures. The penetration of LEDs in Japan grew significantly after the Fukushima nuclear disaster, leading to a severe energy crisis in the country. In addition, the European Commission has decided to ban low-voltage halogen lamps, which will further drive LED penetration during the forecast period.

Related Reports:

The industrial and commercial LED lighting market is projected to grow by USD 41.56 billion with a CAGR of 17.44% during the forecast period 2021 to 2026. Furthermore, this report extensively covers the industrial and commercial LED lighting market segmentation by product type (LED lamps and LED fixtures) and geography (Europe, APAC, North America, Middle East and Africa, and South America). 

The led lighting market is estimated to grow at a CAGR of 7.35% between 2022 and 2027. The size of the market is forecast to increase by USD 34.82 billion. This led market research report extensively covers market segmentation by application (residential, commercial, outdoor, industrial, and others), product (luminaries and lamps), and geography (APAC, Europe, North America, Middle East and Africa, and South America).

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What are the key data covered in this industrial lighting market report?

  • CAGR of the market during the forecast period
  • Detailed information on factors that will drive the growth of the industrial lighting market between 2023 and 2027
  • Precise estimation of the industrial lighting market size and its contribution to the market in focus on the parent market
  • Accurate predictions about upcoming trends and changes in consumer behavior
  • Growth of the industrial lighting industry across APAC, Europe, North America, South America, and Middle East and Africa
  • A thorough analysis of the market's competitive landscape and detailed information about vendors
  • Comprehensive analysis of factors that will challenge the growth of industrial lighting market vendors

Industrial lighting market scope

Report Coverage

Details

Page number

167

Base year

2022

Historic period

2017-2021

Forecast period

2023-2027

Growth momentum & CAGR

Accelerate at a CAGR of 6.34%

Market growth 2023-2027

USD 3,014.53 million

Market structure

Fragmented

YoY growth 2022-2023 (%)

5.19

Regional analysis

APAC, Europe, North America, South America, and Middle East and Africa

Performing market contribution

APAC at 51%

Key countries

US, China, Japan, Germany, and UK

Competitive landscape

Leading Vendors, Market Positioning of Vendors, Competitive Strategies, and Industry Risks

Key companies profiled

Acuity Brands Inc., Advanced Lighting Technologies LLC, Dialight Plc, Eaton Corp. Plc, ELBA SA, Emerson Electric Co, Hubbell Inc., IDEAL INDUSTRIES Inc., Iwasaki Electric Co. Ltd., Leedarson IoT Technology Inc., Legrand SA, LG Innotek Co. Ltd., LSI Industries Inc, Luminus Inc, Nichia Corp., OSRAM GmbH, Panasonic Holdings Corp., Savant Systems Inc., Schneider Electric SE, and Signify NV

Market dynamics

Parent market analysis, Market growth inducers and obstacles, Fast-growing and slow-growing segment analysis, COVID-19 impact and recovery analysis and future consumer dynamics, and Market condition analysis for the forecast period.

Customization purview

If our report has not included the data that you are looking for, you can reach out to our analysts and get segments customized.

Table of Contents:

1 Executive Summary

  • 1.1 Market Overview 
    • Exhibit 01: Executive Summary – Chart on Market Overview
    • Exhibit 02: Executive Summary – Data Table on Market Overview
    • Exhibit 03: Executive Summary – Chart on Global Market Characteristics
    • Exhibit 04: Executive Summary – Chart on Market by Geography
    • Exhibit 05: Executive Summary – Chart on Market Segmentation by Type
    • Exhibit 06: Executive Summary – Chart on Market Segmentation by Application
    • Exhibit 07: Executive Summary – Chart on Incremental Growth
    • Exhibit 08: Executive Summary – Data Table on Incremental Growth
    • Exhibit 09: Executive Summary – Chart on Vendor Market Positioning

2 Market Landscape

  • 2.1 Market ecosystem 
    • Exhibit 10: Parent market
    • Exhibit 11: Market Characteristics

3 Market Sizing

  • 3.1 Market Definition 
    • Exhibit 12: Offerings of vendors included in the market definition
  • 3.2 Market segment analysis 
    • Exhibit 13: Market segments
  • 3.3 Market size 2022
  • 3.4 Market outlook: Forecast for 2022-2027 
    • Exhibit 14: Chart on Global - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 15: Data Table on Global - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 16: Chart on Global Market: Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
    • Exhibit 17: Data Table on Global Market: Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)

4 Historic Market Size

  • 4.1 Global industrial lighting market 2017 - 2021
    • Exhibit 18: Historic Market Size – Data Table on Global industrial lighting market 2017 - 2021 ($ million)
  • 4.2 Type Segment Analysis 2017 - 2021 
    • Exhibit 19: Historic Market Size – Type Segment 2017 - 2021 ($ million)
  • 4.3 Application Segment Analysis 2017 - 2021
    • Exhibit 20: Historic Market Size – Application Segment 2017 - 2021 ($ million)
  • 4.4 Geography Segment Analysis 2017 - 2021 
    • Exhibit 21: Historic Market Size – Geography Segment 2017 - 2021 ($ million)
  • 4.5 Country Segment Analysis 2017 - 2021 
    • Exhibit 22: Historic Market Size – Country Segment 2017 - 2021 ($ million)

5 Five Forces Analysis

  • 5.1 Five forces summary 
    • Exhibit 23: Five forces analysis - Comparison between 2022 and 2027
  • 5.2 Bargaining power of buyers 
    • Exhibit 24: Chart on Bargaining power of buyers – Impact of key factors 2022 and 2027
  • 5.3 Bargaining power of suppliers 
    • Exhibit 25: Bargaining power of suppliers – Impact of key factors in 2022 and 2027
  • 5.4 Threat of new entrants 
    • Exhibit 26: Threat of new entrants – Impact of key factors in 2022 and 2027
  • 5.5 Threat of substitutes 
    • Exhibit 27: Threat of substitutes – Impact of key factors in 2022 and 2027
  • 5.6 Threat of rivalry 
    • Exhibit 28: Threat of rivalry – Impact of key factors in 2022 and 2027
  • 5.7 Market condition 
    • Exhibit 29: Chart on Market condition - Five forces 2022 and 2027

6 Market Segmentation by Type

  • 6.1 Market segments 
    • Exhibit 30: Chart on Type - Market share 2022-2027 (%)
    • Exhibit 31: Data Table on Type - Market share 2022-2027 (%)
  • 6.2 Comparison by Type 
    • Exhibit 32: Chart on Comparison by Type
    • Exhibit 33: Data Table on Comparison by Type
  • 6.3 LED technology - Market size and forecast 2022-2027
    • Exhibit 34: Chart on LED technology - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 35: Data Table on LED technology - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 36: Chart on LED technology - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
    • Exhibit 37: Data Table on LED technology - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
  • 6.4 Traditional technology - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 
    • Exhibit 38: Chart on Traditional technology - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 39: Data Table on Traditional technology - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 40: Chart on Traditional technology - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
    • Exhibit 41: Data Table on Traditional technology - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
  • 6.5 Market opportunity by Type 
    • Exhibit 42: Market opportunity by Type ($ million)

7 Market Segmentation by Application

  • 7.1 Market segments 
    • Exhibit 43: Chart on Application - Market share 2022-2027 (%)
    • Exhibit 44: Data Table on Application - Market share 2022-2027 (%)
  • 7.2 Comparison by Application 
    • Exhibit 45: Chart on Comparison by Application
    • Exhibit 46: Data Table on Comparison by Application
  • 7.3 New installation - Market size and forecast 2022-2027
    • Exhibit 47: Chart on New installation - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 48: Data Table on New installation - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 49: Chart on New installation - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
    • Exhibit 50: Data Table on New installation - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
  • 7.4 Replacement installation - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 
    • Exhibit 51: Chart on Replacement installation - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 52: Data Table on Replacement installation - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 53: Chart on Replacement installation - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
    • Exhibit 54: Data Table on Replacement installation - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
  • 7.5 Retrofit installation - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 
    • Exhibit 55: Chart on Retrofit installation - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 56: Data Table on Retrofit installation - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 57: Chart on Retrofit installation - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
    • Exhibit 58: Data Table on Retrofit installation - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
  • 7.6 Market opportunity by Application 
    • Exhibit 59: Market opportunity by Application ($ million)

8 Customer Landscape

  • 8.1 Customer landscape overview 
    • Exhibit 60: Analysis of price sensitivity, lifecycle, customer purchase basket, adoption rates, and purchase criteria

9 Geographic Landscape

  • 9.1 Geographic segmentation 
    • Exhibit 61: Chart on Market share by geography 2022-2027 (%)
    • Exhibit 62: Data Table on Market share by geography 2022-2027 (%)
  • 9.2 Geographic comparison 
    • Exhibit 63: Chart on Geographic comparison
    • Exhibit 64: Data Table on Geographic comparison
  • 9.3 APAC - Market size and forecast 2022-2027
    • Exhibit 65: Chart on APAC - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 66: Data Table on APAC - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 67: Chart on APAC - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
    • Exhibit 68: Data Table on APAC - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
  • 9.4 Europe - Market size and forecast 2022-2027
    • Exhibit 69: Chart on Europe - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 70: Data Table on Europe - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 71: Chart on Europe - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
    • Exhibit 72: Data Table on Europe - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
  • 9.5 North America - Market size and forecast 2022-2027
    • Exhibit 73: Chart on North America - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 74: Data Table on North America - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 75: Chart on North America - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
    • Exhibit 76: Data Table on North America - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
  • 9.6 South America - Market size and forecast 2022-2027
    • Exhibit 77: Chart on South America - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 78: Data Table on South America - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 79: Chart on South America - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
    • Exhibit 80: Data Table on South America - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
  • 9.7 Middle East and Africa - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 
    • Exhibit 81: Chart on Middle East and Africa - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 82: Data Table on Middle East and Africa - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 83: Chart on Middle East and Africa - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
    • Exhibit 84: Data Table on Middle East and Africa - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
  • 9.8 China - Market size and forecast 2022-2027
    • Exhibit 85: Chart on China - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 86: Data Table on China - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 87: Chart on China - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
    • Exhibit 88: Data Table on China - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
  • 9.9 US - Market size and forecast 2022-2027
    • Exhibit 89: Chart on US - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 90: Data Table on US - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 91: Chart on US - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
    • Exhibit 92: Data Table on US - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
  • 9.10 Japan - Market size and forecast 2022-2027
    • Exhibit 93: Chart on Japan - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 94: Data Table on Japan - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 95: Chart on Japan - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
    • Exhibit 96: Data Table on Japan - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
  • 9.11 Germany - Market size and forecast 2022-2027
    • Exhibit 97: Chart on Germany - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 98: Data Table on Germany - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 99: Chart on Germany - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
    • Exhibit 100: Data Table on Germany - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
  • 9.12 UK - Market size and forecast 2022-2027
    • Exhibit 101: Chart on UK - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 102: Data Table on UK - Market size and forecast 2022-2027 ($ million)
    • Exhibit 103: Chart on UK - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
    • Exhibit 104: Data Table on UK - Year-over-year growth 2022-2027 (%)
  • 9.13 Market opportunity by geography 
    • Exhibit 105: Market opportunity by geography ($ million)

10 Drivers, Challenges, and Trends

  • 10.1 Market drivers
  • 10.2 Market challenges
  • 10.3 Impact of drivers and challenges 
    • Exhibit 106: Impact of drivers and challenges in 2022 and 2027
  • 10.4 Market trends

11 Vendor Landscape

  • 11.1 Overview
  • 11.2 Vendor landscape 
    • Exhibit 107: Overview on Criticality of inputs and Factors of differentiation
  • 11.3 Landscape disruption 
    • Exhibit 108: Overview on factors of disruption
  • 11.4 Industry risks 
    • Exhibit 109: Impact of key risks on business

12 Vendor Analysis

  • 12.1 Vendors covered 
    • Exhibit 110: Vendors covered
  • 12.2 Market positioning of vendors 
    • Exhibit 111: Matrix on vendor position and classification
  • 12.3 Acuity Brands Inc. 
    • Exhibit 112: Acuity Brands Inc. - Overview
    • Exhibit 113: Acuity Brands Inc. - Business segments
    • Exhibit 114: Acuity Brands Inc. - Key news
    • Exhibit 115: Acuity Brands Inc. - Key offerings
    • Exhibit 116: Acuity Brands Inc. - Segment focus
  • 12.4 Advanced Lighting Technologies LLC 
    • Exhibit 117: Advanced Lighting Technologies LLC - Overview
    • Exhibit 118: Advanced Lighting Technologies LLC - Product / Service
    • Exhibit 119: Advanced Lighting Technologies LLC - Key offerings
  • 12.5 Dialight Plc 
    • Exhibit 120: Dialight Plc - Overview
    • Exhibit 121: Dialight Plc - Business segments
    • Exhibit 122: Dialight Plc - Key offerings
    • Exhibit 123: Dialight Plc - Segment focus
  • 12.6 Eaton Corp. Plc 
    • Exhibit 124: Eaton Corp. Plc - Overview
    • Exhibit 125: Eaton Corp. Plc - Business segments
    • Exhibit 126: Eaton Corp. Plc - Key news
    • Exhibit 127: Eaton Corp. Plc - Key offerings
    • Exhibit 128: Eaton Corp. Plc - Segment focus
  • 12.7 IDEAL INDUSTRIES Inc. 
    • Exhibit 129: IDEAL INDUSTRIES Inc. - Overview
    • Exhibit 130: IDEAL INDUSTRIES Inc. - Product / Service
    • Exhibit 131: IDEAL INDUSTRIES Inc. - Key offerings
  • 12.8 Leedarson IoT Technology Inc. 
    • Exhibit 132: Leedarson IoT Technology Inc. - Overview
    • Exhibit 133: Leedarson IoT Technology Inc. - Product / Service
    • Exhibit 134: Leedarson IoT Technology Inc. - Key offerings
  • 12.9 Legrand SA 
    • Exhibit 135: Legrand SA - Overview
    • Exhibit 136: Legrand SA - Business segments
    • Exhibit 137: Legrand SA - Key news
    • Exhibit 138: Legrand SA - Key offerings
    • Exhibit 139: Legrand SA - Segment focus
  • 12.10 LG Innotek Co. Ltd. 
    • Exhibit 140: LG Innotek Co. Ltd. - Overview
    • Exhibit 141: LG Innotek Co. Ltd. - Business segments
    • Exhibit 142: LG Innotek Co. Ltd. - Key news
    • Exhibit 143: LG Innotek Co. Ltd. - Key offerings
    • Exhibit 144: LG Innotek Co. Ltd. - Segment focus
  • 12.11 Luminus Inc 
    • Exhibit 145: Luminus Inc - Overview
    • Exhibit 146: Luminus Inc - Product / Service
    • Exhibit 147: Luminus Inc - Key offerings
  • 12.12 Nichia Corp. 
    • Exhibit 148: Nichia Corp. - Overview
    • Exhibit 149: Nichia Corp. - Product / Service
    • Exhibit 150: Nichia Corp. - Key offerings
  • 12.13 OSRAM GmbH 
    • Exhibit 151: OSRAM GmbH - Overview
    • Exhibit 152: OSRAM GmbH - Business segments
    • Exhibit 153: OSRAM GmbH - Key offerings
    • Exhibit 154: OSRAM GmbH - Segment focus
  • 12.14 Panasonic Holdings Corp. 
    • Exhibit 155: Panasonic Holdings Corp. - Overview
    • Exhibit 156: Panasonic Holdings Corp. - Business segments
    • Exhibit 157: Panasonic Holdings Corp. - Key news
    • Exhibit 158: Panasonic Holdings Corp. - Key offerings
    • Exhibit 159: Panasonic Holdings Corp. - Segment focus
  • 12.15 Savant Systems Inc. 
    • Exhibit 160: Savant Systems Inc. - Overview
    • Exhibit 161: Savant Systems Inc. - Product / Service
    • Exhibit 162: Savant Systems Inc. - Key offerings
  • 12.16 Schneider Electric SE 
    • Exhibit 163: Schneider Electric SE - Overview
    • Exhibit 164: Schneider Electric SE - Business segments
    • Exhibit 165: Schneider Electric SE - Key news
    • Exhibit 166: Schneider Electric SE - Key offerings
    • Exhibit 167: Schneider Electric SE - Segment focus
  • 12.17 Signify NV 
    • Exhibit 168: Signify NV - Overview
    • Exhibit 169: Signify NV - Business segments
    • Exhibit 170: Signify NV - Key news
    • Exhibit 171: Signify NV - Key offerings
    • Exhibit 172: Signify NV - Segment focus

13 Appendix

  • 13.1 Scope of the report
  • 13.2 Inclusions and exclusions checklist 
    • Exhibit 173: Inclusions checklist
    • Exhibit 174: Exclusions checklist
  • 13.3 Currency conversion rates for US$ 
    • Exhibit 175: Currency conversion rates for US$
  • 13.4 Research methodology 
    • Exhibit 176: Research methodology
    • Exhibit 177: Validation techniques employed for market sizing
    • Exhibit 178: Information sources
  • 13.5 List of abbreviations 
    • Exhibit 179: List of abbreviations
About Us

Technavio is a leading global technology research and advisory company. Their research and analysis focus on emerging market trends and provide actionable insights to help businesses identify market opportunities and develop effective strategies to optimize their market positions. With over 500 specialized analysts, Technavio's report library consists of more than 17,000 reports and counting, covering 800 technologies, spanning 50 countries. Their client base consists of enterprises of all sizes, including more than 100 Fortune 500 companies. This growing client base relies on Technavio's comprehensive coverage, extensive research, and actionable market insights to identify opportunities in existing and potential markets and assess their competitive positions within changing market scenarios.

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Email: media@technavio.com
Website: www.technavio.com/

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Lower mortgage rates fueling existing home sales

To understand why we had such a beat in sales, you only need to go back to Nov. 9, when mortgage rates started to fall from 7.37% to 5.99%.

Published

1 hour ago

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March 21, 2023

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Existing home sales had a huge beat of estimates on Tuesday. This wasn’t shocking for people who follow how I track housing data. To understand why we had such a beat in sales, you only need to go back to Nov. 9, when mortgage rates started to fall from 7.37% to 5.99%.

During November, December and January, purchase application data trended positive, meaning we had many weeks of better-looking data. The weekly growth in purchase application data during those months stabilized housing sales to a historically low level.

For many years I have talked about how rare it is that existing home sales trend below 4 million. That is why the historic collapse in demand in 2022 was one for the record books. We understood why sales collapsed during COVID-19. However, that was primarily due to behavior changes, which meant sales were poised to return higher once behavior returned to normal.

In 2022, it was all about affordability as mortgage rates had a historical rise. Many people just didn’t want to sell their homes and move with a much higher total cost for housing, while first-time homebuyers had to deal with affordability issues.



Even though mortgage rates were falling in November and December, positive purchase application data takes 30-90 days to hit the sales data. So, as sales collapsed from 6.5 million to 4 million in the monthly sales data, it set a low bar for sales to grow. This is something I talked about yesterday on CNBC, to take this home sale in context to what happened before it. 

Because housing data and all economics are so violent lately, we created the weekly Housing Market Tracker, which is designed to look forward, not backward.

From NAR: Total existing-home sales – completed transactions that include single-family homes, townhomes, condominiums and co-ops – vaulted 14.5% from January to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.58 million in February. Year-over-year, sales fell 22.6% (down from 5.92 million in February 2022).




As we can see in the chart above, the bounce is very noticeable, but this is different than the COVID-19 lows and massive rebound in sales. Mortgage rates spiked from 5.99% to 7.10% this year, and that produced one month of negative forward-looking purchase application data, which takes about 30-90 days to hit the sales data.

So this report is too old and slow, but if you follow the tracker, you’re not slow. This is the wild housing action I have talked about for some time and why the Housing Market Tracker becomes helpful in understanding this data.

The last two weeks have had positive purchase application data as mortgage rates fell from 7.10% down to 6.55%; tomorrow, we will see if we can make a third positive week. One thing to remember about purchase application data since Nov. 9, 2022 is that it’s had a lot more positive data than harmful data. 

However, the one-month decline in purchase application data did bring us back to levels last seen in 1995 recently. So, the bar is so low we can trip over.



One of the reasons I took off the savagely unhealthy housing market label was that the days on the market are now above 30 days. I am not endorsing, nor will I ever, a housing market that has days on the market at teenager levels. A teenager level means one of two bad things are happening:

1. We have a massive credit boom in housing which will blow up in time because demand is booming, similar to the run-up in the housing bubble years.

2. We simply don’t have enough products for homebuyers, creating forced bidding in a low-inventory environment. 

Guess which one we had post 2020? Look at the purchase application data above — we never had a credit boom. Look at the Inventory data below. Even with the collapse in home sales and the first real rebound, total active listings are still below 1 million.

From NAR: Total housing inventory registered at the end of February was 980,000 units, identical to January & up 15.3% from one year ago (850,000). Unsold inventory sits at a 2.6-month supply at the current sales pace, down 10.3% from January but up from 1.7 months in February ’22. #NAREHS



However, with that said, the one data line that I love, love, love, the days on the market, is over 30 days again, and no longer a teenager like last year, when the housing market was savagely unhealthy.

From NAR: First-time buyers were responsible for 27% of sales in January; Individual investors purchased 18% of homes; All-cash sales accounted for 28% of transactions; Distressed sales represented 2% of sales; Properties typically remained on the market for 34 days.



Today’s existing home sales report was good: we saw a bounce in sales, as to be expected, and the days on the market are still over 30 days. When the Federal Reserve talks about a housing reset, they’re saying they did not like the bidding wars they saw last year, so the fact that price growth looks nothing like it was a year ago is a good thing.

Also, the days on market are on a level they might feel more comfortable in. And, in this report, we saw no signs of forced selling. I’ve always believed we would never see the forced selling we saw from 2005-2008, which was the worst part of the housing bubble crash years. The Federal Reserve also believes this to be the case because of the better credit standards we have in place since 2010. 

Case in point, the MBA‘s recent forbearance data shows that instead of forbearance skyrocketing higher, it’s collapsed. Remember, if you see a forbearance crash bro, hug them, they need it.

Today’s existing home sales report is backward looking as purchase application data did take a hit this year when mortgage rates spiked up to 7.10%. We all can agree now that even with a massive collapse in sales, the inventory data didn’t explode higher like many have predicted for over a decade now.

I have stressed that to understand the housing market, you need to understand how credit channels work post-2010. The 2005 bankruptcy reform laws and 2010 QM laws changed the landscape for housing economics in a way that even today I don’t believe people understand.

However, the housing market took its biggest shot ever in terms of affordability in 2022 and so far in 2023, and the American homeowner didn’t panic once. Even though this data is old, it shows the solid footing homeowners in America have, and how badly wrong the extremely bearish people in this country were about the state of the financial condition of the American homeowner.

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SVB contagion: Australia purportedly asks banks to report on crypto

Australia’s prudential regulator has purportedly told banks to improve reporting on crypto assets and provide daily updates.
Australia’s…

Published

5 hours ago

on

March 21, 2023

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Australia’s prudential regulator has purportedly told banks to improve reporting on crypto assets and provide daily updates.

Australia’s prudential regulator has purportedly asked local banks to report on cryptocurrency transactions amid the ongoing contagion of Silicon Valley Bank’s (SVB) collapse.

The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) has started requesting banks to declare their exposures to startups and crypto-related companies, the Australian Financial Review reported on March 21.

The regulator has ordered banks to improve their reporting on crypto assets and provide daily updates to the APRA, the Financial Review notes, citing three people familiar with the matter. The agency is aiming to obtain more information and insight into banking exposures into crypto as well as associated risks, the sources said.

The new measures are apparently part of the APRA’s increased supervision of the banking sector in the aftermath of recent massive collapses in the global banking system. On March 19, UBS Group agreed to buy its ailing competitor Credit Suisse for $3.2 billion after the latter collapsed over the weekend. The takeover became one of the latest failures in the banking industry following the collapses of SVB and Silvergate.

Barrenjoey analyst Jonathan Mott reportedly told clients in a note that the situation “remains stable” for Australian banks but warned confidence could be quickly disrupted, putting pressure on bank margins.

Related: Silvergate, SBV collapse ‘definitely good’ for Bitcoin, Trezor exec says

“Our channel checks indicate deposits are not being withdrawn from smaller institutions in any size, and capital and liquidity buffers are strong,” Mott said, adding:

“But this is a crisis of confidence and credit spreads and cost of capital will continue to rise. At a minimum, this will add to the margin pressure the banks are facing, while credit quality will continue to deteriorate.”

The news comes soon after the Australian Banking Association launched a cost of living inquiry to study the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and geopolitical tensions on Australians. The inquiry followed an analysis of the rising inflation suggesting that more than 186 banks in the United States are at risk of a similar shutdown if depositors decide to withdraw all funds.

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Delta Move Is Bad News For Southwest, United Airlines Passengers

Passengers won’t be happy about this, but there’s nothing they can do about it.

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5 hours ago

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March 21, 2023

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Passengers won't be happy about this, but there's nothing they can do about it.

Airfare prices move up and down based on two major things -- passenger demand and the cost of actually flying the plane. In recent months, with covid rules and mask mandates a thing of the past, demand has been very heavy.

Domestic air travel traffic for 2022 rose 10.9% compared to the prior year. The nation's air traffic in 2022 was at 79.6% of the full-year 2019 level. December 2022 domestic traffic was up 2.6% over the year-earlier period and was at 79.9% of December 2019 traffic, according to The International Air Transport Association (IATA).

“The industry left 2022 in far stronger shape than it entered, as most governments lifted COVID-19 travel restrictions during the year and people took advantage of the restoration of their freedom to travel. This momentum is expected to continue in the New Year,” said IATA Director General Willie Walsh.

And, while that's not a full recovery to 2019 levels, overall capacity has also not recovered. Total airline seats available actually sits "around 18% below the 2019 level," according to a report from industry analyst OAG.

So, basically, the drop in passengers equals the drop in capacity meaning that planes are flying full. That's one half of the equation that keeps airfare prices high and the second one looks bad for anyone planning to fly in the coming years.

Image source: Getty Images.

Airlines Face One Key Rising Cost

While airlines face some variable costs like fuel, they also must account for fixed costs when setting airfares. Personnel are a major piece of that and the pandemic has accelerated a pilot shortage. That has given the unions that represent pilots the upper hand when it comes to making deals with the airlines.

The first domino in that process fell when Delta Airlines (DAL) - Get Free Report pilots agreed to a contract in early March that gave them an immediate 18% increase with a total of a 34% raise over the four-year term of the deal.

"The Delta contract is now the industry standard, and we expect United to also offer their pilots a similar contract," investment analyst Helane Becker of Cowen wrote in a March 10 commentary, Travel Weekly reported.

US airfare prices have been climbing. They were 8.3% above pre-pandemic levels in February, according to Consumer Price Index, but they're actually below historical highs.

Southwest and United Airlines Pilots Are Next

Airlines have very little negotiating power when it comes to pilots. You can't fly a plane without pilots and the overall shortage of qualified people to fill those roles means that, within reason, United (UAL) - Get Free Report and Southwest Airlines  (LUV) - Get Free Report, both of which are negotiating new deals with their pilot unions, more or less have to equal (or improve on) the Delta deal.

The actual specifics don't matter much to consumers, but the takeaway is that the cost of hiring pilots is about to go up in a very meaningful way at both United and Southwest. That will create a situation where all major U.S. airlines have a higher cost basis going forward.

Lower fuel prices could offset that somewhat, but raises are not going to be unique to pilots. Southwest also has to make a deal with its flight attendants and, although they don't have the same leverage as the pilots, they have taken a hard line.   

The union, which represents Southwest’s 18,000 flight attendants, has been working without a contract for four years. It shared a statement on its Facebook page detailing its position Feb. 20.

"TWU Local 556 believes strongly in making this airline successful and is working to ensure this company we love isn’t run into the ground by leadership more concerned about shareholders than about workers and customers. Management’s methodology of choosing profits at the expense of the operation and its workforce has to change, because the flying public is also tired of the empty apologies that flight attendants have endured for years."

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