The S&P 500 is down more than 20% since the start of year. Inflation is skyrocketing. And talks of a recession are beginning to heat up. But how low will the stock market go? Is this a sign of the times to come or can the American economy recover quicker than expectations suggest?
No matter which direction you look, it’s difficult to find many positive investment movements at the current moment. Traditional stocks are taking one hit after another. The crypto market has crashed on multiple occassions and its star, Bitcoin, is trading around $20,000 for the first time since 2020. And consumers and investors alike are looking for answers.
Market uncertainty and the current volatility is a major cause for concern. But let’s take a deeper look at why the stock market is diving with little to no signs of slowing down.
How Low Will the Stock Market Go From Here?
Can it get any worse? Many young investors have never seen such difficult times in the stock market. In fact, the pandemic investment rush made it seem as if investing was easy. New investors came into the market and stocks began to flourish once COVID-19 restrictions were lessened or removed altogether. Life returned to somewhat normalcy and the market responded.
However, now we’re asking how low will the stock market go just months after the surges that revitalized the market. And unfortunately, it will take more time before the picture becomes clearer. So how did we get here in the first place?
It’s somewhat of a domino effect. And the Russia-Ukraine war was one of the first dominos. Geopolitical tension has caused global market uncertainty, supply chain shortages and the highest inflation rates that we have seen in decades. For example, gas prices are hitting record highs. Oh, and its nearly impossible for parents to find baby formula due to production stoppages and shortages around the world. These are just two examples on opposite ends of the spectrum. As you can imagine, there are many more concerns inbetween that are also having an effect on the market.
Surging prices are squeezing the pockets of family households. Moreover, it’s cutting into company profits. And stock prices are beginning to fall as a result.
Will Stocks Recover?
How low will the stock market go and and in what timeframe? Some analysts believe its only a matter of months before the market recovers. Others say we better buckle up and hold on tight for even more difficult times. And a lot of this sentiment is due to decisions that have yet to come. For instance, the Federal Reserve just released its latest move to fight inflation.
The Fed announced its raising interest rates by 0.75%. That’s the largest move its made since 1994. And the stock market rallied shortly after. This is due to the hardened stance that the central bank is taking on inflation. And expectations suggest Fed policymakers will raise interest rates by another 1.75% across the remainder of the year, in which they meet four more times.
Now this doesnn’t immediately mean the market is destined to recover quickly. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell noted how difficult this is due to the variety of factors at play.
“I think events of the last few months have raised the degree of difficulty, created great challenges,” Powell said during a press conference shortly after the decision was made. “And there’s a much bigger chance now that it will depend on factors that we don’t control.”
Investing During a Bear Market
Investing has always come with varying levels of risks and rewards. However, the margin for error becomes smaller when the market is in a downturn. Volatility rises and so do the risks for investors. In addition, the opportunities for gains become fewer and fewer. And that is why it’s so important to do your research and due diligence before making any investment decisions.
You can start by relying on expert analysis and insights. Find one of the best investment newsletters that matches your investment interests and goals. You can receive daily stock analysis from Wall Street gurus that have experience overcoming bear markets and balancing portfolios.
So, how low will the stock market go from here after a difficult Spring has bled into the Summer? You are going to want to keep a close eye on everything from world events and news cycles to interest rate hikes and supply chains. It’s going to take a lot of moving parts for the economy to get back on track. In the meantime, you will have to be more aggressive in your reseearch and more decisive in your decision making to find the best investment opportunities for your portfolio.sp 500 stocks pandemic covid-19 bitcoin crypto crypto
Peloton reveals new measures to cut costs
Peloton Interactive Inc (NASDAQ: PTON) is up 15% on Friday after the connected fitness company made a string of announcements that reiterated its commitment…
Peloton Interactive Inc (NASDAQ: PTON) is up 15% on Friday after the connected fitness company made a string of announcements that reiterated its commitment to “profitability”.
Peloton is cutting jobs
The Nasdaq-listed firm says it will cut 780 jobs (including in-house support team) and shutter an undisclosed number of retail locations to minimise costs. It also partnered with 3rd party providers to quit last-mile logistics. In a memo to employees, CEO Barry McCarthy wrote:
The shift of our final mile delivery to 3PLs will reduce our per-product delivery costs by up to 50%. These expanded partnerships mean we can ensure we have the ability to scale up and down as volume fluctuates.
Once a pandemic darling, the Peloton stock is currently down more than 65% versus its year-to-date high in early February. Still, Wall Street currently has a consensus “overweight” rating on PTON.
Peloton is raising prices
Store closures, as per Peloton, will start in 2023. On top of that, the fitness equipment manufacturer announced a $500 and $800 increase in the price of its Bike+ and Tread, respectively.
Earlier this year, PTON terminated in-house production and doubled down on its agreement with Taiwan-based Rexon Industrial. CEO McCarthy has been announcing these moves since he joined in February to put the company on the path to profitability.
Peloton Interactive is expected to report its results for the fiscal fourth quarter on August 25th. Consensus is for it to lose 71 cents a share (unchanged from last year) on $722 million in revenue (down 23% year-over-year).nasdaq pandemic
Best Stocks to Buy in August 2022
The markets have seen positive growth over the past month. That being said, the best stocks to buy in August will see much greater returns.
The post Best…
Stocks rose again today as the S&P 500 had its fourth positive week in a row, gaining 0.6%. The DJIA (Dow Jones Industrial Average) rose about 0.5% and Nasdaq 0.7%. That being said, the best stocks to buy in August 2022 will see much greater returns. Is the bear market run finally over? Is this a sign that inflation is slowing down?
At the beginning of 2022, the S&P 500 was trading at just under $4,800. And since a June low of $3,600, the S&P 500 has recovered quite nicely, now reaching over $4,200 and climbing. The Nasdaq has seen similar results, increasing 14.5% in the past month alone.
But with all of this increased market activity, where should investors be looking? For the answer, we looked to our very own IU Einstein’s latest picks for the best stocks to buy in August 2022.
The Best Stocks to Buy in August 2022
Technical Options Expert Bryan Bottarelli on the best stocks to buy in August 2022…
Bryan Bottarelli – Starbucks (Nasdaq: SBUX)
Last week, Starbucks released quarterly results, which beat estimates on the top and bottom lines. Specifically…
- Revenues of $8.15 billion beat the expectation of $8.14 billion.
- Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.84 beat the expectation of $0.76.
- U.S. same-store sales growth of 9% beat the expectation of 8.85%.
So you have a company that’s outperforming in the midst of a multitude of pressures – including 40-year inflation highs, a recession risk, rising labor costs and unionization efforts.
Despite the risk of consumers pulling back on discretionary spending, “Starbies” (as my daughter calls it) continues to grow.
Chief Investment Expert Alexander Green on the best stocks to buy in August 2022…
Alexander Green – Follow the Insiders
One of the best strategies you can follow is to ride the coattails of knowledgeable insiders.
Why? Because they have access to all sorts of material, non-public information, like…
- The direction of sales since the last quarterly report
- New products and services in development
- Any expansion plans
- Potential mergers and acquisitions
- Whether the company has gained or lost any key customers
- The status of outstanding litigation
- Whether the company will put itself up for sale
- Plans to take the company private
… And plenty of other good stuff unavailable to those of us on the outside looking in.
Income Expert Marc Lichtenfeld on the best stocks to buy in August 2022…
Marc Lichtenfeld – Beaten-up stocks (with dividends)
Technical analysis – the use of stock charts to analyze the markets and individual stocks to inform buy and sell decisions – is great for creating a trading plan.
As I always say, technical analysis is not a crystal ball. But it does help you increase the chances of being right and, just as importantly, minimize your losses when you’re wrong.
Everyone’s trading style is different, and there are lots of technical analysis tools that fit any individual’s preferred method.
As a long-term investor, I’m a value investor. I like to buy beaten-up stocks (with dividends) and watch them bounce back over time.
So it’s no surprise that, as a trader, I do the same thing – just with a much shorter time horizon.
With the goal of entering a trade at a discount, I may buy a stock that’s predominantly moving up a trend line and yet has momentarily returned to support – the price level at which a stock’s downtrend reverses.
Fundamental Options Expert Karim Rahemtulla on the best stocks to buy in August 2022…
Karim Rahemtulla – Ford Motor (NYSE: F)
The company just released earnings, which came in better than expected.
Then it let investors in on a couple pieces of news that bolstered the case for investing in the company.
Here is the important information…
- Ford is increasing its dividend to $0.15 per share, which will bring the company back to pre-pandemic levels.
- The company sees the Ford+ plan as the biggest opportunity since the scaling of the Model T.
- Demand for EVs is overwhelming, and the company has strong multiyear order banks.
- More than 3,000 electric E-Transit Vans were sold in the second quarter, giving the company a 95% share of the electric van market.
The Best Stocks to Buy in August 2022 – Summarized
As you can see, our Einstein’s follow insider activity, beaten-up stocks with dividends and even solid retail or EV buys. The market may not be out of the woods yet, but with the positive sentiment growing, we could see even more increases. After all, if you’re in it for the long haul, why not get in at a discount? The best stocks to buy in August may not be this cheap for long. For all the latest investment information, sign up for one of the best investment newsletters on the planet today.recession pandemic dow jones sp 500 nasdaq stocks recession
This Shale Pioneer Refocusing on Natural Gas
This Shale Pioneer Refocusing on Natural Gas
Forget oil—the real money is in natural gas. Or at least that’s the message coming from…
Forget oil—the real money is in natural gas.
Or at least that’s the message coming from a pioneer of the U.S. shale revolution, Chesapeake Energy (CHK).
From Prince to Pauper to Prince Again?
Once upon a time—when its stock was valued at more than $35 billion and its CEO, Aubrey McClendon, had the biggest pay package of any CEO of a listed firm—Chesapeake Energy was America’s best-known fracker.
But those glory days disappeared quickly, and Chesapeake became the poster child for the shale sector’s excesses.
About a year and a half ago, in the autumn of 2020, Chesapeake was in the midst of bankruptcy proceedings after the coronavirus pandemic-led crash in energy demand proved to be the final straw in the company’s fall from grace.
And for the industry more broadly, the prospects for liquefied natural gas (LNG) exports were looking bleak after a $7 billion contract to supply the French utility Engie went down the tubes on concerns over the emissions profile of U.S. natural gas.
Fast forward to 2022 and the picture has changed dramatically. Natural gas exports are booming!
Thanks to the Russian invasion of Ukraine and subsequent sanctions, Europe is in the middle of an energy crisis. It is buying up as much American LNG as it can. Those concerns about emissions are long forgotten.
In the first four months of the year, the U.S. exported 11.5 billion cubic feet a day of gas in the form of LNG, an 18% increase from 2021. Three-quarters of those exports went to Europe. And European leaders have pledged to ratchet up their imports by the end of the decade. There is also a massive opportunity in Asia, where LNG demand is set to quadruple to 44 billion cubic feet a day by 2050, according to a recent report released by think-tank, the Progressive Policy Institute.
And even here in the U.S., natural gas supplies look set to be tight this winter. Hot summer weather and high demands for power generation are sucking up supplies and leaving storage precariously low.
The investment bank Piper Sandler believes U.S. storage is on pace to fill just 3.4 trillion cubic feet of gas by the time winter arrives. That would be short of the 3.8 trillion cubic feet buffer usually needed to heat the country through a cold winter season. That could send already-elevated natural gas prices even higher in the months ahead.
These factors combined were behind the decision by Chesapeake Energy management to ditch oil in favor of gas.
Chesapeake: All in on Gas
OnAugust 2, Chesapeake announced its plan to exit oil completely and return to its roots as a natural gas producer. The company said it would offload oil producing assets in south Texas’s Eagle Ford basin, allowing it to focus solely on gas production from Louisiana’s Haynesville basin and the Marcellus Shale in Appalachia.
Its CEO Nick Dell’Osso said the company made the decision because of better returns from its gas assets—it has had more success driving down costs and improving efficiency there when compared with oil.
Chesapeake emerged from bankruptcy in February 2021, vowing to shift from its previous model of growth at all costs to one of capital discipline and higher shareholder returns.
The company has expanded its natural gas portfolio of assets since its emergence from bankruptcy. It bought gas producer Vine Energy for $2.2 billion last August to bolster its position in the Haynesville, which sits close to gas-export facilities on the US Gulf Coast. And in January, it bought Chief Oil & Gas, a gas operator in north-eastern Pennsylvania’s section of the prolific Marcellus shale field, for $2.6 billion. Chesapeake also recently offloaded its Wyoming oil business to Continental Resources, the company controlled by shale billionaire Harold Hamm.
In summarizing Chesapeake Energy’s strategy, Dell’Osso said, “What’s different today than the past… is that we are allocating capital in a way that maximizes returns to shareholders, rather than maximizing [production] growth.”
Speaking with the Financial Times, Del’Osso added: “The industry was built on [oil and gas production] growth expectations, and company stocks were valued on growth expectations. That all had to get broken down.” The “reset” had been painful, but management teams would stick with the new model, the CEO said.
The strategy seems to be working. In May, Chesapeake reported record-high adjusted quarterly free cash flow of $532 million from the first three months of 2022.
Also in the second quarter, it announced an agreement to supply gas with the Golden Pass LNG facility. Golden Pass LNG is a joint venture company formed by affiliates of two of the world’s largest and most experienced oil and gas companies: QatarEnergy (70%) and ExxonMobil (30%).
The company now plans to pay $7 billion in dividends over the next five years. That is equivalent to well over half of its current market capitalization!
Chesapeake boasts of its best-in-class shareholder return program. It has completed about a third of its $2 billion share and warrant repurchase program, and it raised the base dividend by 10%, to $2.20 per share annually.
The company has a juicy variable dividend as well. Its next quarterly dividend will consist of the $0.55 per share base dividend and a variable dividend of $1.77. Management projects that, in the third quarter, it will pay out total dividends of $275 million to $285 million. The total dividend payout for 2022 should come in at between $1.3 billion and $1.5 billion.
Chesapeake’s yield is a very impressive 10% and I do not see that changing much as gas prices stay elevated. The stock is a buy anywhere in the $90s.
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