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Five Commodity Investments to Buy as Putin’s Predatory Predilections Imperil Peace

Five commodity investments to buy offer opportunities to profit from Russian President Vladimir Putin’s predatory predilections that led him to order…

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Five commodity investments to buy offer opportunities to profit from Russian President Vladimir Putin’s predatory predilections that led him to order the invasion of neighboring Ukraine at the expense of his soldiers’ lives and his nation’s economy.

The five commodity investments to buy include uranium, aluminum and steel stocks, along with a diversified metals and mining fund. All five of the commodity investments to buy are positioned to profit from Putin’s willingness to pass up continued peace to pursue war that led the pro-Kremlin Russian tabloid Komsomolskaya Pravda to report on March 22 that 9,861 Russian soldiers have been killed and 16,153 wounded.

Even though the numbers were removed from the newspaper’s website later with a claim that the website was hacked, the estimates are akin to forecasts from the U.S. government. The United Nations reported that Ukraine has suffered 953 civilian deaths, including 78 children, from Russia’s continuing attack that began Feb. 24.

Sanctions Against Russia Lift Outlook for Five Commodity Investments to Buy

The U.S. government has taken action to ban imports of Russian oil, liquefied natural gas (LNG) and coal, but four Republican U.S. senators are calling for uranium to be added to the list. Both Wyoming Sens. John Barrasso and Cynthia Lummis joined with Sens. Kevin Cramer, of North Dakota, and Roger Marshall, of Kansas, last Thursday, March 17, to submit a bill to ban Russian uranium imports. 

That legislation is awaiting a companion bill in the House that would propose similar action, said Scott Melbye, executive vice president at Corpus Christi, Texas-based Uranium Energy Corporation (NYSE: UEC). Democrats, Republicans and environmentalists seem to be supporting nuclear power more strongly than in the past, he added.

Investors should be pleased to learn that on January 31, 2022, UEC repaid the final $10 million balance of its secured credit facility to become completely debt-free. In addition, as of Feb. 2, UEC held approximately $125 million of cash and liquid assets. 

UEC is One of Five Commodity Investments to Buy Amid Putin’s Perilous Policies

Amir Adnani, UEC’s president and chief executive officer, said the company had successfully executed its strategy to grow UEC’s resources and production capacity while improving its financial flexibility. The goals were achieved through the accretive acquisition of Uranium One, amassing one of the largest physical portfolios of U.S. domiciled uranium and an enhanced balance sheet.

UEC completed its definitive share purchase agreement with Uranium One Investments Inc., a subsidiary of Uranium One Inc., to acquire all the issued and outstanding shares of Uranium One Americas, Inc. (U1A) for a total purchase price of $112 million in cash, plus $2.9 million in estimated working capital and the assumption of $19 million in reclamation bonds.

UEC Chairman and former U.S. Energy Secretary Spencer Abraham said the acquisition will speed the development of domestic uranium production that can supply U.S.-produced uranium to serve America’s needs.  The purchase of the assets will increase U.S. uranium production capabilities and, by returning them to U.S. ownership, strengthen America’s energy and national security.

Chart courtesy of www.stockcharts.com

U.S. Reduces Dependence on Uranium from Russia, Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan 

The United States relies on Russia, Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan to obtain 50% of its uranium inputs, Melbye said. Plus, 25% of U.S. uranium enrichment services come from Russia.

There are 1 billion pounds of known and likely uranium resources in the Western United States, according to the U.S. Geological Survey. Rather than using those resources, the United States is sending $1.3 billion to Russia annually for uranium purchases, Melbye said during an exclusive interview. 

“These uranium fuel purchases go directly to state-owned Russian companies that help to finance the country’s war against Ukraine,” Melbye said. 

Cameco Is Second of Five Commodity Investments to Buy for Profiting 

Canada’s Cameco Corporation (NYSE: CCJ), the world’s largest publicly traded uranium company, nearly rose 7% on Monday, March 21. The Saskatoon, Saskatchewan-based company is benefitting from a $5 jump in the price of uranium, equaling 10%, to reach $55 during the past two weeks.

The stock, a current recommendation of the Fast Money Alert trading service, is up 17% in the past week after Putin threatened the use of the “nuclear option” in the war in Ukraine. Nuclear energy is also the best alternative energy source available, co-editors Mark Skousen and Jim Woods wrote in the trading service.

Uranium and other commodities traditionally are safe havens during wars, Skousen further wrote in the April 2022 edition of his Forecasts & Strategies investment newsletter. Skousen, who also leads the Home Run Trader, TNT Trader and Five Star Trader services, said traditional inflation hedges have consisted of oil, gold, silver, copper, uranium and other commodities.

Mark Skousen, editor of Forecasts & Strategies and a descendant of Benjamin Franklin, meets with Paul Dykewicz.

Paul Dykewicz meets with Jim Woods, who leads the Successful Investing and Intelligence Report trading services.

“Nuclear power is clean, and it is safe,” Secretary of Energy Jennifer Granholm told Iowa Public Radio during an interview on July 29, 2021. “It currently provides 55% of the clean energy that we use in this country.” 

The United States has announced a goal to cut up to 52% of its greenhouse gas emissions by 2030. At the same time, the global demand for nuclear power is rising, as more countries commit to net-zero carbon goals.

Chart courtesy of www.stockcharts.com

Pension Fund Chief Prefers PICK to Profit from Putin’s Predatory Predilections

Bob Carlson, a pension fund chairman who also heads the Retirement Watch investment newsletter, said he prefers to invest in metals and mining through iShares MSCI Global Metals and Mining Producers (PICK). Carlson added the exchange-traded fund (ETF) as a recommendation last fall and has seen it soar by double-digit percentages.

PICK is up 8.32% in the past month, 19.71% for the last three months, 17.67% so far this year and 29.16% in the past 12 months. The ETF tracks an index of global mining companies that excludes gold miners. 

Chart courtesy of www.stockcharts.com

The index consists of 216 stocks, but its capitalization-weighting means 50% of the fund is in its 10 largest positions. Leading holdings recently were BHP Group Ltd. (NYSE: BHP), Rio Tinto Limited (OTCMKTS: RTNTF), Vale S.A. (NYSE: VALE), Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (NYSE: FCX) and AngloAmerican plc (OTCMKTS: NGLOY).

Carlson Chose PICK Well Before Putin’s Invasion of Ukraine

“I was attracted to this ETF even before the invasion of Ukraine,” Carlson commented. “The mining companies had gone through a long bear market. They worked to reduce debt and otherwise clean up their balance sheets. Their more efficient operations mean most of them can profit at relatively low prices for their commodities and will earn strong profits as prices rise. The strong global demand, combined with the recent supply shocks, make them more attractive.”

Bob Carlson, head of Retirement Watch, speaks with columnist Paul Dykewicz.

Roughly 23% of the fund is in North American-based companies. Other leading regions in the fund are the United Kingdom, 13%; Developed Europe, 9%; Emerging Europe, 4.9%; and Africa/Middle East, 4.9%.

Alcoa Ranks as Fourth of Five Commodity Investments to Buy 

Pittsburgh-based Alcoa (NYSE: AA), America’s largest aluminum producer, indicated it will stop selling products to Russian companies and also halt buying raw material in response to the invasion of Ukraine. By doing so, Alcoa became the first major aluminum producer to stop conducting business with Russia.

Aluminum has risen in price recently to reach $1.71 per pound.

Roy Harvey, CEO of Alcoa, wrote a letter to his employees that called Russia’s invasion of Ukraine “deeply troubling” with the “devastating” loss of life, according to media reports. 

“Our hearts break for all Ukrainians who are suffering from this unprovoked conflict,” Harvey wrote in the letter. “In response to the current aggression, Alcoa will cease buying raw materials from, or selling our products to, Russian businesses.”

Perry Picks Alcoa among the Fourth of Five Commodity Investments to Buy

Alcoa boasts that it invented the aluminum industry in 1888 and continues to innovate with new technologies and processes. For example, it has one of the world’s largest bauxite mining portfolios, features a global alumina refining system, operates an aluminum smelting network, offers a cast products network, features a flexible energy portfolio and seeks to maximize synergies.

“Commodity prices have increased across the board this month, meaning that the inflation data for March, when it is reported, will likely show an annual rate above February’s 7.9% report,” Bryan Perry wrote to his Cash Machine investment newsletter subscribers on March 22.

With the Fed not scheduled to meet until mid-May, it is possible an intra-meeting rate hike of 25-50 basis points may be adopted to address the upward pressure that inflation is putting on the cost of goods and services, Perry predicted. 

“I think the market is likely to level off after this snapback rally, unless there is a ceasefire in Ukraine,” Perry continued.

The prospects of a ceasefire seem dim with Putin’s orders for his troops to decimate hospitals, schools and residential areas where civilians are taking shelter starting to receive international outrage. Putin’s actions have caused so many civilian deaths and injuries that U.K. Prime Minister Boris Johnson, U.S. President Joe Biden and key European Union leaders have accused the Russian leader of “war crimes.”

The International Criminal Court in the Netherlands is seeking evidence of potential war crimes in Ukraine ordered by Putin, but Russia does not recognize the tribunal’s jurisdiction. 

Paul Dykewicz interviews Bryan Perry, who heads the Cash Machine newsletter.

The United Nations estimated on March 22 that Russia’s attack against Ukraine that began on Feb. 24 has forced more than 10 million people, or more than a quarter of the beleaguered population, from their homes. 

Reliance Steel Becomes Fifth of Five Commodity Investments to Buy

Michelle Connell, a former portfolio manager who now is the president and owner of Dallas-based Portia Capital Management, said she likes a stock that would be safer pick as a commodity/metal company that has strong fundamentals and is not dependent on Russia for its ore.

Michelle Connell, CEO, Portia Capital Management

Alcoa is fundamentally not a strong earnings or revenue producer before Russia’s attack of Ukraine, said Connell, who also noted the company uses non-domestic metal sources.

Instead, Connell said she favors Los Angeles-based Reliance Steel and Aluminum (NYSE: RS), a diversified metal solutions provider and the largest metals service center company in North America that operates a network of about 300 locations in 40 states and 13 countries outside of America. The company is generating “strong revenue growth,” with a return on equity (ROE) of 25% and return on assets (ROA) of 14%.  

The company is experiencing strong demand from aerospace and semiconductors, Connell continued. RE’s sources of metal are domestic and they have leverage as the mills’ largest customer, she added.

Her price target for Reliance Steel and Aluminum is 30% higher from this point. The company provides value-added metals processing services and distributes a full-line of more than 100,000 metal products to 125,000-plus customers in a broad range of industries.

Reliance focuses on small orders with quick turnaround and increasing levels of value-added processing. In 2020, Reliance’s average order size was $1,910, approximately 49% of its orders included value-added processing and about 40% of the orders were delivered within 24 hours.

Chart courtesy of www.stockcharts.com

COVID-19 Cases Nearly Hit 475 Million Worldwide and 80 Million in America

COVID-19 has led to a new, highly contagious subvariant of Omicron, BA.2, that has spread a new wave of infections in Europe. The virus remains a factor for businesses worldwide, as well as in China, which is suffering its worst outbreak since the virus surfaced in Wuhan. COVID cases also are on the rise in European countries such as Germany, the Netherlands and Switzerland.

COVID-19 deaths worldwide exceeded 6 million to total 6,098,854 on March 23, according to Johns Hopkins University. Cases across the globe have soared to 474,132,151.

U.S. COVID-19 cases, as of March 23, hit 79,803,621, with deaths rising to 973,266. America has the unenviable status as the nation with the most COVID-19 cases and deaths.

As of March 23, 254,925,941 people, or 76.8% of the U.S. population, have obtained at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine, the CDC reported. Fully vaccinated people total 217,110,680, or 65.4%, of the U.S. population, according to the CDC.

The five commodity investments to buy for profiting from Putin’s predatory predilections should be able to rise amid the economic sanctions given to Russia in the wake of the nation’s attack of neighboring Ukraine. Those commodity investments offer investors ways to heighten their returns regardless of any Putin policy missteps.

Paul Dykewicz, www.pauldykewicz.com, is an accomplished, award-winning journalist who has written for Dow Jones, the Wall Street Journal, Investor’s Business Daily, USA Today, the Journal of Commerce, Seeking Alpha, GuruFocus and other publications and websites. Paul, who can be followed on Twitter @PaulDykewicz, is the editor of StockInvestor.com and DividendInvestor.com, a writer for both websites and a columnist. He further is editorial director of Eagle Financial Publications in Washington, D.C., where he edits monthly investment newsletters, time-sensitive trading alerts, free e-letters and other investment reports. Paul previously served as business editor of Baltimore’s Daily Record newspaper. Paul also is the author of an inspirational book, “Holy Smokes! Golden Guidance from Notre Dame’s Championship Chaplain,” with a foreword by former national championship-winning football coach Lou Holtz. The book is great as a gift and is endorsed by Joe Montana, Joe Theismann, Ara Parseghian, “Rocket” Ismail, Reggie Brooks, Dick Vitale and many others. Call 202-677-4457 for multiple-book pricing.

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Trump “Clearly Hasn’t Learned From His COVID-Era Mistakes”, RFK Jr. Says

Trump "Clearly Hasn’t Learned From His COVID-Era Mistakes", RFK Jr. Says

Authored by Jeff Louderback via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

President…

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Trump "Clearly Hasn't Learned From His COVID-Era Mistakes", RFK Jr. Says

Authored by Jeff Louderback via The Epoch Times (emphasis ours),

President Joe Biden claimed that COVID vaccines are now helping cancer patients during his State of the Union address on March 7, but it was a response on Truth Social from former President Donald Trump that drew the ire of independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. holds a voter rally in Grand Rapids, Mich., on Feb. 10, 2024. (Mitch Ranger for The Epoch Times)

During the address, President Biden said: “The pandemic no longer controls our lives. The vaccines that saved us from COVID are now being used to help beat cancer, turning setback into comeback. That’s what America does.”

President Trump wrote: “The Pandemic no longer controls our lives. The VACCINES that saved us from COVID are now being used to help beat cancer—turning setback into comeback. YOU’RE WELCOME JOE. NINE-MONTH APPROVAL TIME VS. 12 YEARS THAT IT WOULD HAVE TAKEN YOU.”

An outspoken critic of President Trump’s COVID response, and the Operation Warp Speed program that escalated the availability of COVID vaccines, Mr. Kennedy said on X, formerly known as Twitter, that “Donald Trump clearly hasn’t learned from his COVID-era mistakes.”

“He fails to recognize how ineffective his warp speed vaccine is as the ninth shot is being recommended to seniors. Even more troubling is the documented harm being caused by the shot to so many innocent children and adults who are suffering myocarditis, pericarditis, and brain inflammation,” Mr. Kennedy remarked.

“This has been confirmed by a CDC-funded study of 99 million people. Instead of bragging about its speedy approval, we should be honestly and transparently debating the abundant evidence that this vaccine may have caused more harm than good.

“I look forward to debating both Trump and Biden on Sept. 16 in San Marcos, Texas.”

Mr. Kennedy announced in April 2023 that he would challenge President Biden for the 2024 Democratic Party presidential nomination before declaring his run as an independent last October, claiming that the Democrat National Committee was “rigging the primary.”

Since the early stages of his campaign, Mr. Kennedy has generated more support than pundits expected from conservatives, moderates, and independents resulting in speculation that he could take votes away from President Trump.

Many Republicans continue to seek a reckoning over the government-imposed pandemic lockdowns and vaccine mandates.

President Trump’s defense of Operation Warp Speed, the program he rolled out in May 2020 to spur the development and distribution of COVID-19 vaccines amid the pandemic, remains a sticking point for some of his supporters.

Vice President Mike Pence (L) and President Donald Trump deliver an update on Operation Warp Speed in the Rose Garden of the White House in Washington on Nov. 13, 2020. (Mandel Ngan/AFP via Getty Images)

Operation Warp Speed featured a partnership between the government, the military, and the private sector, with the government paying for millions of vaccine doses to be produced.

President Trump released a statement in March 2021 saying: “I hope everyone remembers when they’re getting the COVID-19 Vaccine, that if I wasn’t President, you wouldn’t be getting that beautiful ‘shot’ for 5 years, at best, and probably wouldn’t be getting it at all. I hope everyone remembers!”

President Trump said about the COVID-19 vaccine in an interview on Fox News in March 2021: “It works incredibly well. Ninety-five percent, maybe even more than that. I would recommend it, and I would recommend it to a lot of people that don’t want to get it and a lot of those people voted for me, frankly.

“But again, we have our freedoms and we have to live by that and I agree with that also. But it’s a great vaccine, it’s a safe vaccine, and it’s something that works.”

On many occasions, President Trump has said that he is not in favor of vaccine mandates.

An environmental attorney, Mr. Kennedy founded Children’s Health Defense, a nonprofit that aims to end childhood health epidemics by promoting vaccine safeguards, among other initiatives.

Last year, Mr. Kennedy told podcaster Joe Rogan that ivermectin was suppressed by the FDA so that the COVID-19 vaccines could be granted emergency use authorization.

He has criticized Big Pharma, vaccine safety, and government mandates for years.

Since launching his presidential campaign, Mr. Kennedy has made his stances on the COVID-19 vaccines, and vaccines in general, a frequent talking point.

“I would argue that the science is very clear right now that they [vaccines] caused a lot more problems than they averted,” Mr. Kennedy said on Piers Morgan Uncensored last April.

“And if you look at the countries that did not vaccinate, they had the lowest death rates, they had the lowest COVID and infection rates.”

Additional data show a “direct correlation” between excess deaths and high vaccination rates in developed countries, he said.

President Trump and Mr. Kennedy have similar views on topics like protecting the U.S.-Mexico border and ending the Russia-Ukraine war.

COVID-19 is the topic where Mr. Kennedy and President Trump seem to differ the most.

Former President Donald Trump intended to “drain the swamp” when he took office in 2017, but he was “intimidated by bureaucrats” at federal agencies and did not accomplish that objective, Mr. Kennedy said on Feb. 5.

Speaking at a voter rally in Tucson, where he collected signatures to get on the Arizona ballot, the independent presidential candidate said President Trump was “earnest” when he vowed to “drain the swamp,” but it was “business as usual” during his term.

John Bolton, who President Trump appointed as a national security adviser, is “the template for a swamp creature,” Mr. Kennedy said.

Scott Gottlieb, who President Trump named to run the FDA, “was Pfizer’s business partner” and eventually returned to Pfizer, Mr. Kennedy said.

Mr. Kennedy said that President Trump had more lobbyists running federal agencies than any president in U.S. history.

“You can’t reform them when you’ve got the swamp creatures running them, and I’m not going to do that. I’m going to do something different,” Mr. Kennedy said.

During the COVID-19 pandemic, President Trump “did not ask the questions that he should have,” he believes.

President Trump “knew that lockdowns were wrong” and then “agreed to lockdowns,” Mr. Kennedy said.

He also “knew that hydroxychloroquine worked, he said it,” Mr. Kennedy explained, adding that he was eventually “rolled over” by Dr. Anthony Fauci and his advisers.

President Donald Trump greets the crowd before he leaves at the Operation Warp Speed Vaccine Summit in Washington on Dec. 8, 2020. (Tasos Katopodis/Getty Images)

MaryJo Perry, a longtime advocate for vaccine choice and a Trump supporter, thinks votes will be at a premium come Election Day, particularly because the independent and third-party field is becoming more competitive.

Ms. Perry, president of Mississippi Parents for Vaccine Rights, believes advocates for medical freedom could determine who is ultimately president.

She believes that Mr. Kennedy is “pulling votes from Trump” because of the former president’s stance on the vaccines.

“People care about medical freedom. It’s an important issue here in Mississippi, and across the country,” Ms. Perry told The Epoch Times.

“Trump should admit he was wrong about Operation Warp Speed and that COVID vaccines have been dangerous. That would make a difference among people he has offended.”

President Trump won’t lose enough votes to Mr. Kennedy about Operation Warp Speed and COVID vaccines to have a significant impact on the election, Ohio Republican strategist Wes Farno told The Epoch Times.

President Trump won in Ohio by eight percentage points in both 2016 and 2020. The Ohio Republican Party endorsed President Trump for the nomination in 2024.

“The positives of a Trump presidency far outweigh the negatives,” Mr. Farno said. “People are more concerned about their wallet and the economy.

“They are asking themselves if they were better off during President Trump’s term compared to since President Biden took office. The answer to that question is obvious because many Americans are struggling to afford groceries, gas, mortgages, and rent payments.

“America needs President Trump.”

Multiple national polls back Mr. Farno’s view.

As of March 6, the RealClearPolitics average of polls indicates that President Trump has 41.8 percent support in a five-way race that includes President Biden (38.4 percent), Mr. Kennedy (12.7 percent), independent Cornel West (2.6 percent), and Green Party nominee Jill Stein (1.7 percent).

A Pew Research Center study conducted among 10,133 U.S. adults from Feb. 7 to Feb. 11 showed that Democrats and Democrat-leaning independents (42 percent) are more likely than Republicans and GOP-leaning independents (15 percent) to say they have received an updated COVID vaccine.

The poll also reported that just 28 percent of adults say they have received the updated COVID inoculation.

The peer-reviewed multinational study of more than 99 million vaccinated people that Mr. Kennedy referenced in his X post on March 7 was published in the Vaccine journal on Feb. 12.

It aimed to evaluate the risk of 13 adverse events of special interest (AESI) following COVID-19 vaccination. The AESIs spanned three categories—neurological, hematologic (blood), and cardiovascular.

The study reviewed data collected from more than 99 million vaccinated people from eight nations—Argentina, Australia, Canada, Denmark, Finland, France, New Zealand, and Scotland—looking at risks up to 42 days after getting the shots.

Three vaccines—Pfizer and Moderna’s mRNA vaccines as well as AstraZeneca’s viral vector jab—were examined in the study.

Researchers found higher-than-expected cases that they deemed met the threshold to be potential safety signals for multiple AESIs, including for Guillain-Barre syndrome (GBS), cerebral venous sinus thrombosis (CVST), myocarditis, and pericarditis.

A safety signal refers to information that could suggest a potential risk or harm that may be associated with a medical product.

The study identified higher incidences of neurological, cardiovascular, and blood disorder complications than what the researchers expected.

President Trump’s role in Operation Warp Speed, and his continued praise of the COVID vaccine, remains a concern for some voters, including those who still support him.

Krista Cobb is a 40-year-old mother in western Ohio. She voted for President Trump in 2020 and said she would cast her vote for him this November, but she was stunned when she saw his response to President Biden about the COVID-19 vaccine during the State of the Union address.

I love President Trump and support his policies, but at this point, he has to know they [advisers and health officials] lied about the shot,” Ms. Cobb told The Epoch Times.

“If he continues to promote it, especially after all of the hearings they’ve had about it in Congress, the side effects, and cover-ups on Capitol Hill, at what point does he become the same as the people who have lied?” Ms. Cobb added.

“I think he should distance himself from talk about Operation Warp Speed and even admit that he was wrong—that the vaccines have not had the impact he was told they would have. If he did that, people would respect him even more.”

Tyler Durden Mon, 03/11/2024 - 17:00

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There will soon be one million seats on this popular Amtrak route

“More people are taking the train than ever before,” says Amtrak’s Executive Vice President.

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While the size of the United States makes it hard for it to compete with the inter-city train access available in places like Japan and many European countries, Amtrak trains are a very popular transportation option in certain pockets of the country — so much so that the country’s national railway company is expanding its Northeast Corridor by more than one million seats.

Related: This is what it's like to take a 19-hour train from New York to Chicago

Running from Boston all the way south to Washington, D.C., the route is one of the most popular as it passes through the most densely populated part of the country and serves as a commuter train for those who need to go between East Coast cities such as New York and Philadelphia for business.

Veronika Bondarenko captured this photo of New York’s Moynihan Train Hall. 

Veronika Bondarenko

Amtrak launches new routes, promises travelers ‘additional travel options’

Earlier this month, Amtrak announced that it was adding four additional Northeastern routes to its schedule — two more routes between New York’s Penn Station and Union Station in Washington, D.C. on the weekend, a new early-morning weekday route between New York and Philadelphia’s William H. Gray III 30th Street Station and a weekend route between Philadelphia and Boston’s South Station.

More Travel:

According to Amtrak, these additions will increase Northeast Corridor’s service by 20% on the weekdays and 10% on the weekends for a total of one million additional seats when counted by how many will ride the corridor over the year.

“More people are taking the train than ever before and we’re proud to offer our customers additional travel options when they ride with us on the Northeast Regional,” Amtrak Executive Vice President and Chief Commercial Officer Eliot Hamlisch said in a statement on the new routes. “The Northeast Regional gets you where you want to go comfortably, conveniently and sustainably as you breeze past traffic on I-95 for a more enjoyable travel experience.”

Here are some of the other Amtrak changes you can expect to see

Amtrak also said that, in the 2023 financial year, the Northeast Corridor had nearly 9.2 million riders — 8% more than it had pre-pandemic and a 29% increase from 2022. The higher demand, particularly during both off-peak hours and the time when many business travelers use to get to work, is pushing Amtrak to invest into this corridor in particular.

To reach more customers, Amtrak has also made several changes to both its routes and pricing system. In the fall of 2023, it introduced a type of new “Night Owl Fare” — if traveling during very late or very early hours, one can go between cities like New York and Philadelphia or Philadelphia and Washington. D.C. for $5 to $15.

As travel on the same routes during peak hours can reach as much as $300, this was a deliberate move to reach those who have the flexibility of time and might have otherwise preferred more affordable methods of transportation such as the bus. After seeing strong uptake, Amtrak added this type of fare to more Boston routes.

The largest distances, such as the ones between Boston and New York or New York and Washington, are available at the lowest rate for $20.

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The next pandemic? It’s already here for Earth’s wildlife

Bird flu is decimating species already threatened by climate change and habitat loss.

I am a conservation biologist who studies emerging infectious diseases. When people ask me what I think the next pandemic will be I often say that we are in the midst of one – it’s just afflicting a great many species more than ours.

I am referring to the highly pathogenic strain of avian influenza H5N1 (HPAI H5N1), otherwise known as bird flu, which has killed millions of birds and unknown numbers of mammals, particularly during the past three years.

This is the strain that emerged in domestic geese in China in 1997 and quickly jumped to humans in south-east Asia with a mortality rate of around 40-50%. My research group encountered the virus when it killed a mammal, an endangered Owston’s palm civet, in a captive breeding programme in Cuc Phuong National Park Vietnam in 2005.

How these animals caught bird flu was never confirmed. Their diet is mainly earthworms, so they had not been infected by eating diseased poultry like many captive tigers in the region.

This discovery prompted us to collate all confirmed reports of fatal infection with bird flu to assess just how broad a threat to wildlife this virus might pose.

This is how a newly discovered virus in Chinese poultry came to threaten so much of the world’s biodiversity.

H5N1 originated on a Chinese poultry farm in 1997. ChameleonsEye/Shutterstock

The first signs

Until December 2005, most confirmed infections had been found in a few zoos and rescue centres in Thailand and Cambodia. Our analysis in 2006 showed that nearly half (48%) of all the different groups of birds (known to taxonomists as “orders”) contained a species in which a fatal infection of bird flu had been reported. These 13 orders comprised 84% of all bird species.

We reasoned 20 years ago that the strains of H5N1 circulating were probably highly pathogenic to all bird orders. We also showed that the list of confirmed infected species included those that were globally threatened and that important habitats, such as Vietnam’s Mekong delta, lay close to reported poultry outbreaks.

Mammals known to be susceptible to bird flu during the early 2000s included primates, rodents, pigs and rabbits. Large carnivores such as Bengal tigers and clouded leopards were reported to have been killed, as well as domestic cats.

Our 2006 paper showed the ease with which this virus crossed species barriers and suggested it might one day produce a pandemic-scale threat to global biodiversity.

Unfortunately, our warnings were correct.

A roving sickness

Two decades on, bird flu is killing species from the high Arctic to mainland Antarctica.

In the past couple of years, bird flu has spread rapidly across Europe and infiltrated North and South America, killing millions of poultry and a variety of bird and mammal species. A recent paper found that 26 countries have reported at least 48 mammal species that have died from the virus since 2020, when the latest increase in reported infections started.

Not even the ocean is safe. Since 2020, 13 species of aquatic mammal have succumbed, including American sea lions, porpoises and dolphins, often dying in their thousands in South America. A wide range of scavenging and predatory mammals that live on land are now also confirmed to be susceptible, including mountain lions, lynx, brown, black and polar bears.

The UK alone has lost over 75% of its great skuas and seen a 25% decline in northern gannets. Recent declines in sandwich terns (35%) and common terns (42%) were also largely driven by the virus.

Scientists haven’t managed to completely sequence the virus in all affected species. Research and continuous surveillance could tell us how adaptable it ultimately becomes, and whether it can jump to even more species. We know it can already infect humans – one or more genetic mutations may make it more infectious.

At the crossroads

Between January 1 2003 and December 21 2023, 882 cases of human infection with the H5N1 virus were reported from 23 countries, of which 461 (52%) were fatal.

Of these fatal cases, more than half were in Vietnam, China, Cambodia and Laos. Poultry-to-human infections were first recorded in Cambodia in December 2003. Intermittent cases were reported until 2014, followed by a gap until 2023, yielding 41 deaths from 64 cases. The subtype of H5N1 virus responsible has been detected in poultry in Cambodia since 2014. In the early 2000s, the H5N1 virus circulating had a high human mortality rate, so it is worrying that we are now starting to see people dying after contact with poultry again.

It’s not just H5 subtypes of bird flu that concern humans. The H10N1 virus was originally isolated from wild birds in South Korea, but has also been reported in samples from China and Mongolia.

Recent research found that these particular virus subtypes may be able to jump to humans after they were found to be pathogenic in laboratory mice and ferrets. The first person who was confirmed to be infected with H10N5 died in China on January 27 2024, but this patient was also suffering from seasonal flu (H3N2). They had been exposed to live poultry which also tested positive for H10N5.

Species already threatened with extinction are among those which have died due to bird flu in the past three years. The first deaths from the virus in mainland Antarctica have just been confirmed in skuas, highlighting a looming threat to penguin colonies whose eggs and chicks skuas prey on. Humboldt penguins have already been killed by the virus in Chile.

A colony of king penguins.
Remote penguin colonies are already threatened by climate change. AndreAnita/Shutterstock

How can we stem this tsunami of H5N1 and other avian influenzas? Completely overhaul poultry production on a global scale. Make farms self-sufficient in rearing eggs and chicks instead of exporting them internationally. The trend towards megafarms containing over a million birds must be stopped in its tracks.

To prevent the worst outcomes for this virus, we must revisit its primary source: the incubator of intensive poultry farms.

Diana Bell does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

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