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COVID-19 Outbreaks In US, Russia & India Show Promising Slowdown As China Imposes New Restrictions On Air Travel: Live Updates

COVID-19 Outbreaks In US, Russia & India Show Promising Slowdown As China Imposes New Restrictions On Air Travel: Live Updates



COVID-19 Outbreaks In US, Russia & India Show Promising Slowdown As China Imposes New Restrictions On Air Travel: Live Updates Tyler Durden Tue, 07/21/2020 - 07:34


  • Victoria reports 374 new cases
  • Russia reports just 5,842 new cases
  • Beijing requires all foreign travelers to show negative COVID-19 test results
  • India's Delhi region confirms fewest new cases in 6 weeks
  • US reports roughly 62k new cases yesterday
  • Iran suffers record death toll
  • The EU has reportedly reached a deal on rescue fund

* * *

As we begin our COVID-19 news rundown for Tuesday, the Australian state of Victoria reported 374 new cases of coronavirus and three deaths on Tuesday as mask wearing will become mandatory in the state, a large swath of which (the city of Melbourne) is already under lockdown.

Yesterday, BBG reported that many Russian elites have  been injected with an experimental COVID-19 vaccine as early as April, a story that, if accurate, would appear to undermine the UK's claims that Russia-backed hackers stole British vaccine research.

On Tuesday, Russia reported 5,842 new cases of the novel coronavirus, pushing its total infection tally to 783,328, still the fourth largest tally in the world, although the No. 1, No. 2 and No. 3 countries - the US, Brazil and India - are pulling further and further ahead.

Russia's coronavirus response center said 153 people had died in the past 24 hours, pushing Russia's death toll to 12,580.

In the first sign that India's outbreak may have finally peaked after the country reported a record 40k+ new cases in  one day, the Indian Union territory of Delhi has registered fewer than 1,000 new cases in a day for the first time in 6 weeks. The chief minister of the region reported Monday night that the region reported just 954 cases the prior day.

Though markets seesawed briefly after the news was released, the Lancet's publication of the results from the Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccine candidate's Phase 1/2 trial predictably sent stocks ripping higher.

In China, after moving to reopen international air travel more quickly than the US had anticipated, officials imposed new rules on Tuesday for foreign passengers arriving in the country: All will now be required to provide negative COVID-19 test results before they board any China-bound flights. The tests must be from 5 days before the flight, the Civil Aviation Administration of China said in a statement.

Beijing has also announced plans to provide free COVID-19 tests to residents of Urumqi, the capital of Xinjiang which is experiencing an outbreak.

The EU has reportedly managed to reach a deal to boost the bloc's post-pandemic economies after Charles Michel, president of the European Council and chair of the summit, offered compromises over the €750 billion ($860 billion) recovery fund that will be the first fiscal vehicle jointly funded by the EU27 members. The "Frugal Four" have apparently shown a willingness to accept the following adjustments: Outright non-repayable grants will account for just €390 billion ($446 billion) compared with the €500 billion originally proposed. Disbursements will also be linked to governments observing the rule of law.

Around the world, more than 14.7 million people have been diagnosed with the virus. Nearly 610,000 of these have died, according to data from Johns Hopkins University. The US has recorded nearly 141,000 deaths, the most in the world.

Worldometer counter roughly 62,000 new cases in the US reported yesterday, as the daily totals continue to slow.

In Japan, five new novel coronavirus patients have been identified at US Marine Corps Air Station Futenma on Okinawa.

In Iran, public health authorities have recorded yet another record death toll with 229 deaths from the new coronavirus in the past 24 hours, health ministry figures showed. Iran, the Middle East country hardest hit by the pandemic, started relaxing its lockdown back in April.

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Emerita kick-starts Nuevo Tintillo drill program in Spain

Emerita Resources Corp. (TSXV:EMO) has begun its diamond drill program at its wholly owned Nuevo Tintillo project.
The post Emerita kick-starts Nuevo…



Emerita Resources Corp. (TSXV:EMO) has begun its diamond drill program  at its wholly owned Nuevo Tintillo project The drill campaign will start with one rig that will be mobilized next week An initial 3,000 metre program has been approved with a potential expansion to an already designed program of 11,500 metres of diamond drilling depending on results Emerita Resources Corp. last traded at $0.34 per share

Emerita Resources Corp. (TSXV:EMO) has begun its diamond drill program  at its wholly owned Nuevo Tintillo project.

Construction of drill access roads and platforms at the Project are completed. The drill campaign will start with one rig that will be mobilized next week. The Toronto-based miner says permits for the program and agreements with local landowners are in place.

Source: Emerita Resources Corp.

An initial 3,000 metre program has been approved with a potential expansion to an already designed program of 11,500 metres of diamond drilling depending on results. 

The initial drill program at Nuevo Tintillo will focus on six targets that have been identified on the west side of the Project, nearest to the Rio Tinto mine. Targeting was based on a combination of airborne electromagnetic surveying, detailed and archived gravity data, detailed mapping, and a compilation of historical geology.

Plan view detail of gravity data previously shown, merged with TDEM conductivity data that has been filtered to show only very conductive zones (1km grid). Source: Emerita Resources Corp.

The team has continued to evaluate the potential along strike to the east, towards the center of the property, in addition to the drilling at Nuevo Tintillo.

Due to the hot and dry summer, the restrictions related to fire prevention in the area were extended to mid-October.

Oblique sectional view of surface geology at 1:5000 and TDEM section 724250E illustrating two of the drill targets. Source: Emerita Resources Corp.

Emerita was awarded the Nuevo Tintillo concessions in June 2021. The Nuevo Tintillo project is hosted in the Iberian Pyrite Belt. Nuevo Tintillo encompasses 145 square km. and is Emerita’s largest landholding in the belt. The concessions were previously held by several major companies during the 1980’s and 1990’s, most recently Boliden Apirsa (PINL:BDNNY).

Emerita Resources Corp. is a natural resource company engaged in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties in Europe, with a primary focus on exploring in Spain.

Emerita Resources Corp. last traded at $0.34 per share.

Join the discussion: Find out what everybody’s saying about this stock on the Emerita Resources Bullboard, and check out the rest of Stockhouse’s stock forums and message boards.

The material provided in this article is for information only and should not be treated as investment advice. For full disclaimer information, please click here.

The post Emerita kick-starts Nuevo Tintillo drill program in Spain appeared first on The Market Herald Canada.

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GBP/USD – UK consumer activity cools in the run-up to the festive season

UK retail sales -0.9% in Setember (-0.3% expected) UK Gfk consumer confidence -30 in October (-20 expected) GBPUSD losing momentum near recent lows UK…



  • UK retail sales -0.9% in Setember (-0.3% expected)
  • UK Gfk consumer confidence -30 in October (-20 expected)
  • GBPUSD losing momentum near recent lows

UK consumers are reining in spending in the run-up to the festive season and the latest survey from Gfk suggests it’s not just the weather that’s driving it.

Retail sales fell 0.9% in September, far exceeding expectations of a 0.3% decline as unseasonably warm weather weighed on sales of Autumn clothing. While that’s not a new phenomenon, weather is often referenced in these reports, it also comes at a time when the cost of living pressures are being felt even though wages are now outpacing inflation.

Whether it is higher prices at the pump or supermarket, larger energy bills, or big increases in mortgages and rents, households are feeling the pressure and that’s not just being reflected in sales but surveys too.

The Gfk consumer confidence slipped back to -30 again and cost-of-living pressures were cited as a reason for that. While there is a view that decelerating inflation – which Governor Bailey indicated will fall sharply in October – could support consumer spending, I’m less convinced after such a long period of falling real wages and continued pressures from higher interest rates.

A double bottom forming?

The recovery earlier this month didn’t last long, with the price running into resistance around 1.2350, just shy of the 200/233-day simple moving average band.


Source – OANDA on Trading View

It’s now facing an interesting test of support as another rebound around these levels could potentially set up a double bottom following a substantial decline over the last few months.

The pair appears to be struggling to generate fresh momentum near the lows even as the dollar remains supported by higher US yields and the pound was briefly hit by the softer spending data. Another bounce may draw focus back to last weeks highs around 1.2337 which may represent the neckline of that double bottom.

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How the Israel-Hamas war could affect the world economy and worsen global trade tensions

History shows how conflicts can create uncertainty that can rattle financial markets. This could feed into consumer price inflation, keeping it higher…




Global geopolitical tensions often play a pivotal role in shaping people’s perceptions of economic growth. Research shows concern about such issues can cause people and businesses to become more cautious about spending and investing, which can ultimately lead to economic recession.

The recent escalation of the Israel-Palestine conflict is no different. Investors around the world are worried about the repercussions of this war – particularly in light of an already bleak picture for global economic growth.

Hamas’s October 7 attack on southern Israel is the latest chapter of a cycle of violence that has been going on in this region for decades and, sadly, seems to have no end in sight. While the reasons behind these events are complex, the conflict’s potential immediate and long-term economic ramifications are easier to grasp.

After all, if the Russia-Ukraine war has taught us one thing, it’s that we should be mindful of the intricate interdependencies that shape the global economic and geopolitical landscape.

Read more: Ukraine and the financial markets: the winners and losers so far

How conflicts can affect the economy

Internal and inter-state conflicts often have a significant effect on stock market indices, exchange rates, and commodity prices – sometimes even sending prices higher in the lead-up to hostilities. The longer-term economic impact is typically more complicated to assess, however. The lasting effects of even seemingly dramatic events on investor behaviour can be hard to predict.

Conflicts in the Middle East tend to lead to spikes in oil prices – think of the OPEC oil embargo of 1973-1974, the Iranian revolution of 1978-1979, the Iran-Iraq War initiated in 1980, and the first Persian Gulf War in 1990-91. Since the region accounts for nearly a third of global oil supply, any instability can create market uncertainty based on concerns about interruptions to global oil supply.

This uncertainty is reflected in the risk premium in oil markets. This is the price paid for oil traded ahead of time in the futures markets versus the real-time price of oil. It reflects the profits that speculators expect to receive from buying and selling oil during a time of conflict, as well as the hedging needs of businesses that produce and consume oil and their concerns about supply and demand.

And so, the effect of the latest Israel-Hamas conflict on global financial markets will depend on the involvement of other major regional powers. If the conflict remains between Israel and Hamas, the effect will probably be limited and arguably exclusive to countries with direct trade exposure to Israel or Palestine.

But if the conflict spreads to major oil-producing nations in the region such as Iran, the global economy could face severe repercussions as energy costs for businesses and households could spike if supply is interrupted.

Higher energy prices would hamper central banks’ efforts to tame inflation pressures in most advanced and emerging economies. If this leads to a “higher for longer” monetary policy that keeps interest rates elevated, it would push up the cost of borrowing and refinancing by governments, companies and people.

History can offer some insights into how the impact on the global economy could unfold under these different scenarios. For instance, the 50-day war between Israel and Hamas in 2014, which killed 2,200 people, mostly civilians, had no significant effect on the global economy or financial markets.

Yet, when Israel and Hezbollah clashed in Lebanon in 2006, oil prices surged globally due to fears of a broader conflict in the Middle East.

What to expect this time

Unfortunately, there is another factor to consider at the moment. The escalation of the Israel-Palestine conflict has happened alongside the realignment of various global alliances. This slow creep of “deglobalisation” can be seen in a shift in trade policies in recent years.

Countries such as the US and UK are relocating economic activity including sourcing or manufacturing products from different countries out of concern about relying on suppliers in potentially hostile regions, as well as the impact of imports from low-wage countries on struggling local labour markets

At the moment, these shifts can also be seen in the reactions to the Hamas attack on Israel. A two-state solution) to the Israel/Palestine conflict was initially laid out by the United Nations in 1947 and reaffirmed in 1974, with almost unanimous support around the world.

But there has been some nuance in the international reactions to the attack. With most western countries quickly voicing support for Israel’s right to defend itself, while countries like China and Russia called for a ceasefire without taking a stance on Hamas.

This suggests that the issue of Israel-Palestine could tie in with the broader trend towards the new geopolitical divisions that were already starting to emerge before Hamas’s attack.

A prolonged conflict between Israel and Palestine, especially with the involvement of major regional powers, could further accelerate this global realignment and have detrimental consequences for global economic growth.

Read more: China-US tensions: how global trade began splitting into two blocs

Gold bars on top of dollar bills and a printed chart.
Investors often invest in gold as a eamesBot/Shutterstock

Under these circumstances, investors are already bracing for increased financial volatility across the board – from stocks and government bonds to commodity markets. So-called safe-haven assets like gold are typically used as protection against overwhelming economic uncertainty. The price of gold has shot up following the latest escalation in the Israel-Palestine conflict.

Financial markets will continue to monitor the conflict between Israel and Hamas for signs of escalation. Anything that pushes oil prices up further will reignite fears of higher inflation.

Unfortunately, this is happening just as many countries were starting to see inflation slow again after two years of persistently high consumer prices.

Daniele Bianchi does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organisation that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment.

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