International
A Stunned Wall Street Reacts To Fedex’s Biggest Plunge Ever
A Stunned Wall Street Reacts To Fedex’s Biggest Plunge Ever
After shocking Wall Street by yanking its guidance, flagging weakness in Asia,…

After shocking Wall Street by yanking its guidance, flagging weakness in Asia, challenges in Europe, announcing office closures and mass layoffs - a fate that awaits most of corporate America - and warning that conditions could deteriorate further in the current quarter, Fedex shares have plunged 21% in premarket trading, its biggest drop on record...
... and - as usual on Wall Street - the move has triggered an avalanche of downgrades from countless banks such as Bank of America, Stifel, JP Morgan and KeyBanc... banks who are supposed to predict the move not react to it, and yet despite the biggest drop ever, there is still just one sell rating!
Then again, nobody ever accused sellside analysts of actually being able to predict the future: if they did, they would be on the buside.
With that said, here’s what analysts have to say:
Bank of America, Ken Hoexter (cuts to neutral from buy)
- Notes Express segment revenues coming $400m below forecasts due to macro weakness in Asia and service issues in Europe
- Miss against BofA’s own EPS target due to elevated costs
- Lowers FY23/24/25 EPS estimates due to impact from rapidly falling macro environment and FedEx’s fixed cost structure
- PT dropped to $186 from $275
Stifel, J. Bruce Chan (cuts to hold from buy)
- The print was disappointing, as Stifel had given FedEx the benefit of the doubt following “operational missteps” in areas such as the Ground division and progress with TNT integration in Europe
- Says FedEx should have achieved similar results to UPS by following same playbook, though thinks it is becoming clear that UPS is executing better.
- “We think FedEx is now very much a ‘show me’ story”
- PT slashed to $195 from $288
KeyBanc, Todd Fowler (cuts to sector-weight from overweight)
- Says KeyBanc’s own near-term expectations were “overly optimistic”; notes the Express segment had meaningfully missed expectations
- Sees “challenging path” ahead in the near-term, particularly when decelerating macro datapoints and low confidence in management’s execution are taken into consideration
- Timing and magnitude of miss, along with weaker 2Q guidance, after providing an upbeat FY23 outlook and FY25 targets in June will “likely meaningfully shake credibility”
JPMorgan, Brian Ossenbeck (cuts to neutral from overweight)
- Results likely had a material tailwind from fuel surcharges in a similar way to 4Q22, masking underlying weakness in 1Q23 results and 2Q23 guide
- “It is a sobering thought to consider Express could have lost money (ex-fuel) during the quarter”
- Notes how the lack of “freight wave” from China’s reopening seems to have impacted FedEx first due to its status as the leading airfreight carrier in the Asia-Pac region
- Says latest confirmation of weak peak season has negative impact on entire sector; expects “shockingly low” Express margin to have the clearest negative read-through to UPS
- PT cut to $214 from $258
Morgan Stanley, Ravi Shanker (equal-weight)
- Results are the start of a post-pandemic unwind; notes key ocean and air freight pricing benchmarks have mean reverted back to levels seen in 2020, showing that an “industry wide unwind is underway”
- Cost inflation remains a risk as revenue mean reverts to pre-pandemic levels; sees new independent service provider contracts being a drag on earnings in FY23 due to higher inflation
- Notes the read- across to UPS being significant, despite it not having as much international airfreight exposure
Citi, Christian Wetherbee (neutral)
- Says results were “significantly worse” than feared when Citi downgraded to neutral last week
- Has seen clear trend in lower freight, though the performance from FedEx “likely stands out to the downside” versus UPS
- “FedEx will expedite long-term cost-out initiatives, but we see EPS risk into the mid-teens, yielding short-term downside risk to shares toward $150.”
Oppenheimer, Scott Schneeberger (perform)
- Preliminary results were below expectations, with Express and Ground segments coming below internal expectations
- Notes Freight outperformance; segment revenue consistent with consensus estimates, while operating income exceeded
Source: Bloomberg
International
NYC biotech LB Pharmaceuticals eyes $75M for new take on decades-old schizophrenia drug
As Karuna Therapeutics wraps up its FDA approval request for what could be the first new type of schizophrenia drug in decades, another East Coast biotech…

As Karuna Therapeutics wraps up its FDA approval request for what could be the first new type of schizophrenia drug in decades, another East Coast biotech is raising $75 million to test an adjusted version of a decades-old medicine for the disorder next year.
LB Pharmaceuticals has secured about $35 million so far and expects another $40 million in the round, according to an SEC filing on Thursday. Per the financial document, its board includes directors associated with Vida Ventures, Pontifax, Deep Track Capital and TCGX, a crossover firm that has invested in multiple nine-figure biotech financings in recent months, including Carmot Therapeutics, Alkeus and Upstream Bio.
LB declined to comment.
The New York City biotech plans to run a Phase II trial of a chemically differentiated form of amisulpride, a D2 and D3 antagonist that has been available in Europe and more than 50 countries for decades, according to an investor deck from June. Sanofi marketed it as Solian, which generated €135 million in sales in 2002 for the French Big Pharma. It’s since become available as a generic.
LB’s board includes Piero Poli, CEO of Swiss drugmaker Rivopharm, which produces generic amisulpride. In February 2020, Acacia Pharma secured FDA approval for an IV formulation of amisulpride in certain postoperative patients with nausea, marketing it as Barhemsys.
With its methylated version of amisulpride, LB says its oral asset LB-102 has the potential to be more effective at lower doses by improving blood-brain barrier permeability, per the investor deck. Its new chemical structure gives LB-102 IP protection until “at least 2037.” LB has positioned the drug as a blockbuster treatment that could generate $1 billion or more in annual sales, pointing to antipsychotic prescriptions in the EU with an average price of $2,000 per month.
The drug is set to go into Phase II testing in adults with acute schizophrenia in the first quarter of next year, per the June document.
The company expects to enroll about 350 people at 25 sites, testing whether three doses of the drug are better than placebo based on the commonly used schizophrenia clinical trial measure known as PANSS, or Positive and Negative Syndrome Scale. Karuna’s M1/M4-preferring muscarinic agonist KarXT has passed two Phase III trials that use that measure, leading to massive financing hauls for the biotech and Cerevel Therapeutics. Boston-based Karuna plans to submit its approval request to the FDA this quarter. Meanwhile, Sumitomo and Otsuka’s ulotaront failed a Phase III on the PANSS test two months ago.
LB expects the study to focus on in-patients for four weeks. Pending the mid-stage results, the company would likely then take LB-102 into multiple Phase III trials in 2025, with plans to submit an NDA in 2028, per the June presentation. The company sees schizophrenia as the first step, with potential for studies in depression, bipolar depression and other indications.
The drug developer is led by a former family office manager, CEO Zachary Prensky. LB’s medical chief is Anna Eramo, who previously ran clinical and medical affairs at Lundbeck’s US operations and worked on the development of Rexulti, approved for schizophrenia and other indications. Science chief Andrew Vaino and chief financial officer Marc Panoff were previous executives at Retrophin.
Prensky co-founded LB with Vincent Grattan, a pharmacist who came across amisulpride in the 2000s while working on medication managements in multiple prisons. “As many are aware, correctional facilities are de facto mental health hospitals, and I wanted to make sure we were stocking the most reliable medications,” he told Psychiatric News in 2021.
depression treatment testing fda medication europe euInternational
Dana-Farber, Brigham breakup could lead to a ripple effect for CGT clinical trials for cancer
Dana-Farber Cancer Institute announced on Sept. 14 that it is securing a new joint venture with Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, marking a breakup…

Dana-Farber Cancer Institute announced on Sept. 14 that it is securing a new joint venture with Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, marking a breakup of its decadeslong adult cancer care partnership with Brigham and Women’s Hospital.
The news shocked Brigham, which had been negotiating a partnership extension with Dana-Farber for the past 15 months, according to the Boston Globe.
There are around 20 ongoing cell therapy clinical trials under the Dana-Farber Brigham Cancer Center, which comprises 12 treatment centers with experts from Dana-Farber and Brigham working together. Brigham also has its own gene and cell therapy institute and a lab dedicated to next-generation, genetically-modified CAR-T cell therapies for cancer.
With the Dana-Farber contract set to end in 2028, concerns have been raised about the impact on current cell and gene therapy (CGT) studies and ones that are scheduled to start, due to the complex nature of the treatments involved.
Manufacturing CGTs is a skill- and labor-intensive process. Ori Biotech CEO Jason Foster told Endpoints News that hospitals and research centers often work together to make them on-site for clinical trials, with highly skilled experts from the specialty centers playing a key role. UK-based Ori develops technologies that automates CGT manufacturing.
At Dana-Farber Brigham Cancer Center’s cellular therapies program, cells are processed at an outside commercial facility or at the Connell and O’Reilly Families Cell Manipulation Core Facility.
When such partnerships come to an end, “that kind of [specialist] knowledge loss is something that will impact both the trajectory of [CGT] trials, but also the time it takes to get these products to patients,” Foster added.
These potential negative impacts on trials would only compound preexisting barriers to access to CGTs, including high costs and lengthy manufacturing processes. Estimates suggest that 25% of patients die while waiting for CAR-T treatments, according to ASCO Post.

Lee Buckler, senior vice president of advanced therapies at Blood Centers of America, told Endpoints in an email that collaboration between research institutes and healthcare providers was of significant — if not critical — value to the testing of CGTs.
A Brigham spokesperson said that the hospital is one of the largest recipients of NIH funding and does not expect any changes to trials already under agreement, adding it would continue to be a leader in the CGT space. “We are also planning for a new, state of the art Brigham facility which will include the medical oncology specialty,” the spokesperson said.
Dana-Farber did not respond to Endpoints before deadline.
Problems with CGT trials could be both the cause and the effect of partnership breakdowns. Buckler said that general hospitals are often reluctant to facilitate the kinds of clinical trial protocols associated with innovative CGTs, which may drive research centers to align with partners more willing to prioritize them.
Under the new partnership with Beth Israel, Dana-Farber plans to create a free-standing state-of-the-art cancer hospital, which it said would have the flexibility to “incorporate the innovations and technology in cancer care that Dana-Farber’s and BIDMC’s researchers and clinicians are developing every day.”

But a dedicated cancer hospital is not necessarily better at carrying out CGT trials than a general hospital with a tightly-integrated cancer specialty.
“I’ve seen general hospitals with tremendous capabilities and specific hospitals with tremendous capabilities — it really depends on the particular hospital,” Orgenesis CEO Vered Caplan told Endpoints in an interview. Germantown, MD-headquartered Orgenesis rolls out CGT mobile processing units and labs for cancer treatment to hospitals.
Regardless, the breakup means Dana-Farber must convince patients that its program with Beth Israel will provide at least the same quality care as the Brigham partnership, while Brigham must rebuild its specialist capabilities without Dana-Farber expertise.
treatment testing clinical trials therapy ukGovernment
Zelensky Departs Washington Mostly Empty-Handed Amid Mood Shift In West
Zelensky Departs Washington Mostly Empty-Handed Amid Mood Shift In West
By all accounts, Zelensky came away from his Washington visit with…

By all accounts, Zelensky came away from his Washington visit with nothing new. Biden did announce a fresh $325 million aid package for Ukraine from already committed funds, but the hoped-for long range missile approval never came (however, more cluster bombs are being sent). And as we detailed Thursday, House Republican leadership once again failed to move forward on a mere procedural vote for the Pentagon funding bill, due in large part to GOP members rejecting Biden's proposed $24 billion more in Ukraine aid.
Thursday's package announced by Biden, as Zelensky visited the White House and Capitol Hill, was run-of-the-mill and entirely to be expected. "Today I approved the next tranche of U.S. security assistance to Ukraine including more artillery, more ammunition, more anti-tank weapons and next week, the first U.S. Abrams tanks will be delivered to Ukraine," Biden said.
As for the earlier in the day (Thurs.) meeting with Congressional leaders, House Speaker Kevin McCarthy explained when asked why the Ukrainian leader's request to address Congress was denied, "Zelensky asked for a joint session, we just didn't have time. He's already given a joint session."
Instead in a closed-door meeting, Zelensky later acknowledged he discussed with lawmakers "the battlefield situation and priority defense needs."
But if there is any level of consolation for Kiev, it's seen in the Pentagon announcement which came late in the day Thursday. Facing potential US government shutdown on Oct.1st, given at this point Congress is not expected to pass the 12 appropriations bills needed to fund government operations before next fiscal year, the Pentagon has said it will exempt its operations supporting Ukraine from a shutdown.
The military typically suspends any activities not deemed vital to national security during government shutdowns, thus the DoD is in effect saying Ukraine aid remains "vital to national security".
"Operation Atlantic Resolve is an excepted activity under a government lapse in appropriations," Pentagon spokesman Chris Sherwood told Politico, in reference to the operational name still used for actions supporting Kiev.
But Politico points out a potential shutdown would still negatively impact US support to Ukraine:
Sherwood noted that while DOD’s activities related to Ukraine will continue, furloughs and other activities halted under the shutdown could still have a negative impact.
"Training would happen, but depending on whether or not there were certain personnel that were not able to report for duty, for example, that could have an impact," said Pentagon spokesperson Brig. Gen. Patrick Ryder on Thursday.
This Pentagon exemption to keep Ukraine-related support active during a government shutdown seems to be the only significant thing Zelensky came away with.
Zelensky visited the US in person, made a speech at the UN, and came home with an amount of ammo so small the Pentagon won't give numbers and a handful of the worst air defense systems currently in use by a major power.
— Armchair Warlord (@ArmchairW) September 22, 2023
In the Army we called this "getting thrown under the bus." pic.twitter.com/f8hFVstDud
It appears to have been the main object of discussion when Zelensky met with Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin in Washington during the trip. The Pentagon said this was "to reaffirm the steadfast US support for Ukraine."
Meanwhile, Bloomberg takes note of Zelensky "showing the strain" amid increasing divisions among allies:
The Ukrainian president allowed a dispute with one of his biggest allies to spin out of control at the United Nations General Assembly this week, and that’s just a hint of the tensions building behind the scenes.
Zelenskiy has been leading his country through Russia’s brutal assault for 19 months, all the time fighting on another front to wring the weapons and finance he needs from his US and European supporters. Now he suspects that President Joe Biden’s commitment is wavering and other leaders may be taking their cue from the US, according to a person who met with him recently.
He grew very emotional at times during that discussion, the person said, and was scathing in his criticism of nations that he said weren’t delivering weapons quickly enough.
Washington's lackluster greeting of Zelensky this week (compared to how he was received in December 2022) came simultaneous to Poland declaring it will no longer arm Ukraine, amid a fierce diplomatic spat over blockage of Ukraine grain imports by Warsaw, to protect Polish farmers.
The Economist is also taking note of the significant mood shift among Western allies...
A "long war" indeed... given a G7 leader from a European country has told reporters this week that the West is prepared for a years-long war, something likely to last some six or seven years, according to the quote.
"A senior official from one European G-7 country said the war may last as much as six or seven more years and that allies need to plan financially to continue support for Kyiv for such a long conflict," Bloomberg wrote.
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